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MEASURING POVERTY Seminar for Statistics New Zealand Bob Stephens Senior Research Associate, Institute of Policy Studies, School of Government New Zealand Poverty Measurement Project Member, Advisory Group, Solutions to Child Poverty, Office of the Children’s Commissioner

Seminar for Statistics New Zealand Bob Stephens Senior Research Associate, Institute of Policy Studies, School of Government New Zealand Poverty Measurement

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Seminar for Statistics New Zealand Bob Stephens Senior Research Associate, Institute of Policy Studies, School of Government New Zealand Poverty Measurement Project Member, Advisory Group, Solutions to Child Poverty, Office of the Childrens Commissioner Slide 2 Lecture Overview Media: 20% children poor, but few 65+ Defining Poverty Why have a measure of poverty? NZPMP and benefit cuts Look at the concepts of poverty, data sources and analysis Alternative ways of measuring poverty/ hardship Use NZ data (NZPMP and MSD) and analysis to show results Slide 3 Definitions, Quotes NZPMP A lack of access to sufficient economic and social resources that would allow a minimum adequate standard of living Perry (MSD) Exclusion from the minimal acceptable way of life in ones own society because of inadequate resources Children living in poverty are those who experience deprivation of income and material resources to develop and thrive, leaving them unable to enjoy their rights, achieve their full potential and participate as full and equal members of New Zealand society. (EAG?) Counting the poor is an exercise in the art of the possible. For deciding who is poor, prayers are more relevant than calculations because poverty, like beauty, lies in the eyes of the beholder (Orshansky 1958) The afflictions of poverty not addressed by moving over the threshold, and some under threshold are resilient Slide 4 The Need for a Poverty Measure Social commitment to alleviate, provide long-term solution: Monitor/evaluate impact of policy changes on standards of living of poor New Right: poverty as an externality Provide basis for determining adequacy of benefits Determine relative incidence of poverty among social groups: -> targeting, tailoring Mix of cash and in-kind benefits, or adequate wages Determine causes of poverty to develop long term policies to reduce incidence, severity and persistence Calculate costs to government of policies to alleviate and eradicate poverty Slide 5 New Zealand Poverty Measurement Project Charles Waldegrave, Paul Frater, Bob Stephens Impact of the 1991 Benefit Cuts, market rents for state housing on living standards 12% cut in average social security benefit, larger cut Inter-generational transference: Are children who grow up in poor families more likely to be poor themselves when adults? Limited NZ data: Dunedin and Christchurch cohort studies have poor income data Limited inter-generational mobility about children remain in same income bracket as parents Less mobility for parents with low education, teenage parenting, unemployment -> poorer child performance Slide 27 Deprivation Indicators EU data, with NZ added (MSD) 9 item EU index (not by choice: lack phone, colour TV, washing machine, car, meal with meat, week holiday, pay mortgage/rent/utilities, cover unexpected costs $NZ1500) Enforced lack 3+ items Child deprivation exceeds aged 65+ and for total population NZ material hardship high for children, low for aged 65+ New EU countries have high rates of deprivation Slide 28 Deprivation Rates: % 3+ enforced lacks, using 9 item EU index Source: B. Perry, MSD Children 0-17Aged 65+Total Population New Zealand18313 UK15510 Ireland14411 Germany137 Sweden736 Netherlands636 Spain911 Italy1814 Czech201720 Slide 29 Poverty Incidence Before/After Housing Costs (%) PeopleAdults 16-64 Adults 65+ Children Before Housing Costs 19.715.040.222.4 After Housing Costs 21.318.825.326.2 Slide 30 Poverty before/after Housing Costs tenure type Owned Mortgage Owned No mortgage Rent HNZC Rent Private Before Housing Costs 9.223.858.125.1 After Housing Costs 14.215.254.633.8 Slide 31 Slide 32