NatureEnergy policy: Renewables targeted before FukushimaCherp A, Jewell J Nature 533(7601):36 (2016)

Carbon tracking: Limit uncertainties in land emissionsFritz S, Schepaschenko D, See LNature 534(7609):621 (2016)

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2°CRogelj J, den Elzen M, Höhne M, Franzen T, et al.Nature 534(7609):631–639 (2016)

Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in ChinaLiu Z, Guan D, Wei W, Davis SJ, et al.Nature 524(7565):335–338 (2015)

Five priorities for the UN Sustainable Development GoalsLu Y, Nakicenovic N, Visbeck M, Stevance A-SNature 520(7548):432–433 (2015)

Climate modelling: Community initiative tackles urban heatSee L, Mills G, Ching JNature 526(7571):43 (2015)

Limited impact on decadal‑scale climate change from increased use of natural gasMcJeon H, Edmonds N, Bauer N, Clarke L, et al.Nature 514(7523):482–485 (2014)

Satellite data: Beyond sharing Earth observationsSee L, Fritz S, McCallum INature 514(7521):168 (2014)

Selected Scientific PublicationsJanuary 2014 to January 2017

Nature Climate ChangeKey indicators to track current progress and future ambition of the Paris Agreement. Peters GP, Andrew RM, Canadell JG, Fuss S, et al. Nature Climate Change 7:118-122 (2017)

Sensitivity of projected long‑term CO2 emissions across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Marangoni G, Tavoni M, Bosetti V, Borgonovo E, et al. Nature Climate Change 7:113-117 (2017)

Greenhouse gas emissions intensity of global croplands. Carlson KM, Gerber JS, Mueller ND, Herrero M, et al. Nature Climate Change 7 (1):63-68 (2017)

Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goalsRobiou du Pont Y, Jeffery ML, Gütschow J, Rogelj J, et al. Nature Climate Change 7 (1):38-43 (2017)

Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methodsLiu B, Asseng S, Müller C, Ewert F, et al. Nature Climate Change 6 (12):1130-1136 (2016)

Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivityDeryng D, Elliott J, Folberth C, Müller C, et al. Nature Climate Change 6(8):786–790 (2016)

Mapping the climate change challengeHallegatte S, Rogelj J, Allen M, Clarke L, et al. Nature Climate Change 6(7):663–668 (2016)

Greenhouse gas mitigation potentials in the livestock sectorHerrero M, Henderson B, Havlík P, Thornton PK, et al.Nature Climate Change 6(5):452–461 (2016)

IIASA produces world class science, which is regularly published in high-impact publications. A selection of articles (co)authored by IIASA researchers and published in Nature and selected other Nature Publishing Group (NPG) journals, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), and Science is presented here. Publication statistics are also included to show how much IIASA publishes and how this has increased in recent years.

Reaching peak emissionsJackson RB, Canadell JG, Le Quéré C, Andrew RM, et al.Nature Climate Change 6(1):7–10 (2016)

Emission effects of the Chinese–Russian gas dealOrlov A, Deppermann A, Wei T, Glomsrød SNature Climate Change 6(2):114 (2016)

Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelledRogelj J, Schaefer M, Friedlingstein P, Gillett N, et al.Nature Climate Change 6(3):245–252 (2016)

Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goalSchleussner C-F, Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Lissner T, et al. Nature Climate Change 6(9):827–835 (2016)

Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissionsSmith P, Davis SJ, Creutzig F, Fuss S, et al.Nature Climate Change 6(1):42–50 (2016)

Multiple carbon accounting to support just and effective climate policiesSteininger KW, Lininger C, Meyer LH, Muñoz P, Schinko TNature Climate Change 6(1):35–41 (2016)

How insurance can support climate resilienceSurminski S, Bouwer LM, Linnerooth-Bayer JNature Climate Change 6(4):333–334 (2016)

Power‑generation system vulnerability and adaptation to changes in climate and water resourcesvan Vliet MTH, Wiberg D, Leduc S, Riahi KNature Climate Change 6(4):375–381 (2016)

Fate of water pumped from underground and contributions to sea‑level riseWada Y, Lo M-H, Yeh PJ-F, Reager JT, et al.Nature Climate Change 6(8):777–780 (2016)

Greenhouse‑gas payback times for crop‑based biofuelsElshout PMF, van Zelm R, Balkovic J, Obersteiner M, et al.Nature Climate Change 5(6):604–610 (2015)

Reply to ‘Uncertain effects of nutrient availability on global forest carbon balance’ and ‘Data quality and the role of nutrients in forest carbon‑use efficiency’Fernández-Martínez M, Vicca S, Janssens IA, Sardans J, et al. Nature Climate Change 5(11):960–961 (2015)

National post‑2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity‑aware leadershipMeinshausen M, Jeffery L, Guetschow JR, du Pont YR, et al.Nature Climate Change 5(12):1098–1106 (2015)

Energy system transformations for limiting end‑of‑century warming to below 1.5°CRogelj J, Luderer G, Pietzcker RC, Kriegler E,et al.Nature Climate Change 5(6):519–527 (2015)

Long history of IAM comparisonsSmith SJ, Clark LE, Edmonds JA, Kejun J, et al.Nature Climate Change 5(5):391 (2015)

Post‑2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global modelsTavoni M, Kriegler E, Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, et al.Nature Climate Change 5(2):119–126 (2015)

Betting on negative emissionsFuss S, Canadell JG, Peters GP, Tavoni M, et al.Nature Climate Change 4(10):850–853 (2014)

Increasing stress on disaster‑risk finance due to large floodsJongman B, Hochrainer-Stigler S, Feyen L, Aerts JCJH, et al.Nature Climate Change 4(4):264–268 (2014)

Managing unnatural disaster risk  from climate extremesMechler R, Bouwer LM, Linnerooth-Bayer J, Hochrainer-Stigler S, et al.Nature Climate Change 4(4):235–237 (2014)

Potential for concentrating solar power to provide baseload and dispatchable powerPfenninger S, Gauché P, Lilliestam J, Damerau K, et al.Nature Climate Change 4(8):689–692 (2014)

Air‑pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathwaysRogelj J, Rao S, McCollum DL, Pachauri S, et al.Nature Climate Change 4(6):446–450 (2014)

Questions of bias in climate modelsSmith SJ, Wigley TML, Meinshausen M, Rogelj JNature Climate Change 4(9):741–742 (2014)

Nature CommunicationsConsistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models.Schauberger B, Archontoulis S, Arneth A, Balkovic  J, et al. Nature Communications 8 (2017)

Pathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinks. Walsh B, Ciais P, Janssens IA, Penuelas J, et al. Nature Communications (In Press) (2017)

Selected Scientific Publications January 2014 to January 2017

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January 2014 to January 2017 Selected Scientific Publications

Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate changePugh TAM, Müller C, Elliott J, Deryng D, et al. Nature Communications 7: e12608 (2016)

Uncertainty in soil data can outweigh climate impact signals in crop yield simulationsFolberth C, Skalský R, Moltchanova E, Balkovic  J, et al.Nature Communications 7:11872 (2016)

Nature Energy

Policy trade‑offs between climate mitigation and clean cook‑stove access in South AsiaCameron C, Pachauri S, Rao ND, McCollum D, et al.Nature Energy 1:15010 (2016)

Comparison and interactions between the long‑term pursuit of energy independence and climate policiesJewell J, Vinichenko V, McCollum D, Bauer N, et al.Nature Energy 1:16073 (2016)

Quantifying uncertainties influencing the long‑term impacts of oil prices on energy markets and carbon emissionsMcCollum DL, Jewell J, Krey V, Bazilian M, et al.Nature Energy 1:16077 (2016)

Nature GeoscienceRelative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India.Asoka A, Gleeson T, Wada Y, & Mishra V Nature Geoscience 10:109-117 (2017)

A scientific critique of the two‑degree climate change targetKnutti R, Rogelj J, Sedláic ek J, Fischer EMNature Geoscience 9(1):13–18 (2016)

Geosciences after ParisRogelj J, Knutti RNature Geoscience 9(3):187–189 (2016)

Biomass production efficiency controlled by management in temperate and boreal ecosystemsCampioli M, Vicca S, Luyssaert S, Bilcke J, et al.Nature Geoscience 8(11):843–846 (2015)

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)Siberian Arctic black carbon sources constrained by model and observationWiniger P, Andersson A, Eckhardt S, Stohl A, et al.PNAS e201613401 (2017)

Meeting the Sustainable Development Goals leads to lower world population growth. Abel G, Barakat B, KC S, & Lutz WPNAS 113 (50):14294-14299 (2016)

Roles of density‑dependent growth and life history evolu‑tion in accounting for fisheries‑induced trait changes. Eikeset AM, Dunlop ES, Heino M, Storvik G, et al. PNAS 113 (52):15030-15035 (2016)

Air pollutant emissions from Chinese households: A major and underappreciated ambient pollution sourceLiu J, Mauzerall DL, Chen Q, Zhang Q, et al.PNAS 113(28):7756–7761 (2016)

Understanding scaling through history‑dependent processes with collapsing sample spaceCorominas-Murtra B, Hanel R, Thurner SPNAS 112(17):5348–5353 (2015)

Cattle ranching intensification in Brazil can reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by sparing land from deforestationCohn AS, Mosnier A, Havlík P, Valin H, et al.PNAS 111(20):7236–7241 (2014)

Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate changeElliott J, Deryng D, Müller C, Frieler K, et al.PNAS 111(9):3239–3244 (2014)

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IIASA publications in PURE

Selected Scientific Publications January 2014 to January 2017

Fast running restricts evolutionary change of the vertebral column in mammalsGalis F, Carrier DR, van Alphen J, van der Mije SD, et al.PNAS 111(31):11401–11406 (2014)

Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitionsHavlík P, Valin H, Herrero M, Obersteiner M, et al.PNAS 111(10):3709–3714 (2014)

Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocksNelson GC, Valin H, Sands RD, Havlík P, et al.PNAS 111(9):3274–3279 (2014)

Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming worldPiontek F, Müller C, Pugh TAM, Clark DB, et al.PNAS 111(9):3233–3238 (2014)

Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparisonRosenzweig C, Elliott J, Deryng D, Ruane AC, et al.PNAS 111(9):3268–3273 (2014)

Global Climate Impacts: A Cross‑Sector, Multi‑Model Assessment Special FeatureSchellnhuber HJ, Frieler K, Kabat P (Eds)PNAS 111(9):3225–3297 (2014)

The elephant, the blind, and the intersectoral intercomparison of climate impactsSchellnhuber HJ, Frieler K, Kabat PPNAS 111(9):3225–3227 (2014)

Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate changeSchewe J, Heinke J, Gerten D, Haddeland I, et al.PNAS 111(9):3245–3250 (2014)

The changing face of cognitive gender differences in EuropeWeber D, Skirbekk V, Freund I, Herlitz APNAS 111(32):11673–11678 (2014)

Science

Identifying the policy space for climate loss and damage. Mechler R & Schinko T Science 354 (6310):290-292 (2016)

Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?Fawcett AA, Iyer GC, Clarke LE, Edmonds JA, et al.Science 350(6265):1168–1169 (2015)

Transport: A roadblock to climate change mitigation?Creutzig F, Jochem P, Edelenbosch OY, Mattauch L, et al.Science 350(6263):911–912 (2015)

Boreal forest health and global changeGauthier S, Bernier P, Kuuluvainen T, Shvidenko AZ, Schepaschenko DGScience 349(6250):819–822 (2015)

Universal education is key to enhanced climate adaptationLutz W, Muttarak R, Striessnig EScience 346(6213):1061–1062 (2014)

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The rising number of IIASA publications, peer-reviewed articles, and their citations. To explore these publications visit the IIASA repository at: pure.iiasa.ac.at