Seismic Swarm Cycles - INSIIDE Track Trading · I usually call a „Swarm Cycle‟ – when many of the largest and/or most destructive or deadly volcanoes erupt. This 40-Year Volcanic

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© ITTC - June 2018 Seismic Swarm Cycles INSIIDE Track Report

by Eric S. Hadik

June 2018 - The topic of Earth Disturbance Cycles typi-

cally generates an extreme of responses - ranging from

disbelieving there can be any predictive potential... to

wanting to attribute too much significance, elevating that

analysis to unmitigated alarmism.

As with any cycle research, I hope to learn from it (not

just learning about the topic being studied but also any

application it might have to other cycle studies) and rec-

ognize its strengths and weaknesses.

So, the first question is whether there are identifiable

cycles in seismic activity (earthquakes, volcanoes and

even resulting tsunamis)...

Geophysical Cycles & Swarms

There is strong evidence, in my opinion, that earth disturbances ebb and flow on a cyclic basis.

Yes, there are earthquakes rocking diverse regions throughout the world almost every day.

And yes, there are always a couple dozen resurgent volcanoes around the globe… exhibiting some form

of eruptive activity throughout each year.

That does not change or diminish the fact that these earth disturbances tend to group into swarms of in-

creased tectonic activity on a consistent basis. It is my contention that newly-discovered cycles - one that

governs geomagnetic swings within the earth’s core and also impacts the interaction between the earth and

sun’s magnetivity - are key components in this recurring oscillation of seismic activity.

The intervening periods of relative dormancy (a significant decrease in global activity) are also cyclic.

“...Let us run with patience the race that is set before us.” Hebrews 12:1

Seismic Swarm Cycles: Leading into 2019

An INSIIDE Track Report

Seismic Swarm Cycles: Leading into 2019

CONTENTS

14/28-Year Major EQ Cycle...............3

Japan & 17-Year Cycle......................7

17-Year Earth Disturbance Cycle.....9

Chile & 17-Year Cycle......................11



2008 - 2011 was a recent period of intensifying

activity - with 2010 - 2011 representing the culmina-

tion of that phase.

2017 - 2020 is expected to be another with

2019 - 2020 expected to be a type of crescendo.

There are some very unique aspects to this phase,

however, that warrant closer scrutiny.

Before getting into the specifics of this analysis

(the ‘what’), let’s step back and answer another

frequently asked question: Why? Why study earth

disturbance cycles?

Application

There are various applications to researching

cycles like this. One of those involves the rein-

forcement and validation of overall cycle analysis.

A trader is able to take what is learned from that

study and apply it to related natural studies & cy-

cles, like those of sunspots & solar storms and cli-

mate oscillations (including El Nino & La Nina and

corresponding cycles of flooding & drought) - or

vice-versa - and then apply that to specific markets.

All of that provides an important backdrop for

the study and analysis of the markets - governed by

human actions and mass psychology. There are,

however, serious limitations to this application.

The important part is that it does not stop there.

In fact, that cycle analysis is only the beginning - a

first step before moving on to more specific analy-

sis. It is next to impossible to trade directly (and

profitably) off cycles like those. So, please do not

misinterpret this discussion.

While it is intriguing to discuss esoteric topics

like these, I am always looking for the practical ap-

plication of those studies. My ultimate goal is al-

ways honing it to a level where a useable trading

strategy can be derived. And for that, I would never

rely solely on broad cycle studies.

Applications and Limitations

Forecasting the precise occurrence of volca-

noes or earthquakes - particularly if one tries to

take it to a more regionally-specific level - is next to

impossible.

From a broader perspective, however, I am con-

stantly surprised by some of the patterns and perio-

dicity that unfolds - ultimately presaging one or

more significant earth events. And the only way to

substantiate that claim (and hopefully establish

some credibility for analysis and future expectations

discussed later in this article) is by reviewing some

key analysis of the past decade.

In 2009 - 2010, INSIIDE Track published a se-

ries of reports titled Earth in Transition - projecting

a devastating trio of global earthquakes in 2010 -

2011 (www.insiidetracktrading.com/reports/earth-in-

transition-3+3-ii.pdf & www.insiidetracktrading.com/

reports/earth-in-transition-3+3-iii.pdf).

That future time frame had been discussed for

almost a decade and the published analysis speci-

fied that Chile, Japan & North America should suf-

fer those quakes, with specific time frames for each

published before the fact.

In many respects, that was very broad.

In other respects, it was far more specific than

might be expected for something of this magnitude.

The Jan. 2010 Haiti quake, Feb. 2010 Chile

quake & March 2011 Japan quake & tsunami ful-

filled that outlook with surprising precision

(relatively speaking). By materializing when they

did, those quakes also reinforced my outlook for

2018 - 2020 to trigger a future spike in earthquake

AND volcanic activity.

That 2009 analysis involved the synergy of a

myriad of cycles, with two uncanny cycles being a 7

-Year Cycle & a 17-Year Cycle.



7-Year Cycle

The 7-Year Cycle timed a recurring sequence of

spikes (sudden increase in number of quakes) that

included the devastating Indian Ocean quake & tsu-

nami of 2004 (as well as 7.0+ quakes in Japan (3 of

them), Indonesia (3 of them), New Zealand, Colom-

bia, Nicaragua & Fiji that year), the preceding Ira-

nian & Central Italian quakes of 1997 and multiple

quakes of 7.0 - 8.0 magnitude (China, Pakistan, Fiji,

Venezuela & Chile - all in 1997) and those in 1990

(7.0 - 8.0 quakes in Philippines (3 of 7.0+), Iran,

Peru/Brazil, Romania, Russia, Sudan, Papua New

Guinea, Indonesia, Costa Rica, Vanuatu (3 of 7.0+).

Going back even farther, every 7 years there

had been a spike in the concentration and intensity

of earthquake activity. However, it was the overrid-

ing 14-year and 28-year cycles that were more ac-

curate and timed many of the most dramatic events.

In certain phases of that cycle, volcanic activity

quickly followed. A prime example was the trio of

momentous (and climate-altering) volcanic eruptions

in 1991 - Mt. Pinatubo, Mt. Hudson & Mt. Unzen -

following the earthquake spike in 1990.

That earthquake/volcano sequence was ex-

pected to recur in 2018/2019 - an overarching 28-



Year Cycle (detailed separately), 40-Year Cycle,

~100-Year Cycle & ~200-Year Cycle.

The synergy is what is most important!

The table on page 3 was published in early-Jan.

2010 - at the outset of that latest phase. It pin-

pointed 2011 as the culmination of a deadly phase

of earthquakes (in 2010/2011) and tsunamis and

projected focus to a greater synergy of similar cy-

cles aligning in 2018.

There were a plethora of other geological cycles

also projecting devastating quakes for 2010/2011 -

as detailed in two years’ worth of INSIIDE Tracks

prior to the Haiti, Chile & Japan quakes in that 14-

month period. (The cycle described in this table is

only one of a myriad of diverse earth disturbance

cycles colliding in 2018 - 2021.)

The corresponding analysis, in that same Jan.

2010 publication (www.insiidetracktrading.com/

reports/earth-in-transition-3+3-iii.pdf), addressed

multi-year earth disturbance cycles projected for the

first part of 2010 (1Q ’10) and first part of 2011 (1Q

‘11) and stated:

1-05-10 - “Could either of these time frames

see similar disturbances in Japan?

Here again, 2010 could/should see some ma-

jor activity but 2011 is expected to overshadow

whatever occurs in 2010.

Even these mid-January quakes seem to oc-

cur on more of a 2-year interval (1993, 1995,

1997, 2001, 2005, 2007 & 2009)... reinforcing

the focus on January 2011.

The period from very-late-2010 into very-

early 2012 (Dec. 28th 2010 - Jan. 17, 2012)

represents a 7-year cycle from the massive

earthquake and tsunami of Dec. 2004 and a 17-

Year Cycle from the destructive California & Ja-

pan earthquakes of Jan. 1994 - Jan. 1995 (in

addition to all the other Earth Disturbance Cy-

cles that have been enumerated in the past).

However, there are other events that could

experience their own 17-Year Cycle in 2010 (or

2011). One of those has to do with major floods,

particularly in the Midwest…

Another is linked to Japanese earthquakes…

when it is combined with all of the other cycles in

2010 & 2011 - many of which apply directly to

Japan - it takes on added significance.” [End of

1-05-10 analysis.]

That Jan. 2010 analysis was first validated by

the mid-Jan. ’10 Haiti earthquake and subsequently

honed down, with the focus for a Japanese earth-

quake and potential tsunami falling on 1Q 2011.

With 20/20 hindsight, it is easy to see that analy-

sis was powerfully (and tragically) validated with the

Haiti, Chile & Japan earthquakes in the ~14 months

that followed (not to mention dozens of other power-

ful quakes that were overshadowed by those oth-

ers). That same earthquake/tsunami cycle is back

in 2018.

A related article, focusing on 2018 to usher in a

more volatile seismic period, was published on Feb.

20, 2014 (http://40yearcycle.com/pages/volcano-

cycles/).

That article incorporated a myriad of converging

cycles, including a ~100-year cycle of devastating

volcanoes that timed the most powerful volcanic

eruptions of recent centuries in the 1810’s

(Tambora) and 1910’s (Novarupta) - projecting a

significant surge in volcanic activity for 2018 - 2020.

An overlapping and corroborating 40-Year Cycle

pinpointed 2019 - 2020 for the most devastating

eruption(s), preceded by the quake/tsunami cycle in

2018. That 2014 analysis also stated:

02-20-14 - “And, as just mentioned, the 2010‟s

hold many parallels to the 1810‟s and were pro-

jected to begin with major quakes in Chile & Ja-



pan. Some of this analysis can be found in the

following 2009 & early-2010 reports that de-

tailed why uncanny cycles predicted (and were

published months and even years before the

corroborating events) a major earthquake in

Chile for 2010 and a major quake in Japan for

2011…

When these quakes occurred – right on cyclic

schedule – it powerfully reinforced volcanic cy-

cles that are forecast to „kick into high

gear‟, beginning in 2014 – cycles that have

been recognized and described for a decade!

The second, and more intense, phase of

these cycles should take hold in 2018 – with

Major volcano & earth disturbance cycles collid-

ing in 2019 & 2020…

[2019 is also an amazing convergence of 17-

Year Cycles connecting three of the largest vol-

canic eruptions of the past 200 years… and

predicting a 4th for 2019. That is discussed

separately.]…

But, overall, there is a ~40-Year Cycle – what

I usually call a „Swarm Cycle‟ – when many of

the largest and/or most destructive or deadly

volcanoes erupt.

This 40-Year Volcanic Swarm Cycle occurred

in 1774–1783, 1814–1823, 1854–1863, 1894–

1903, 1934-1943 & 1974–1983.

These previous phases included the Grims-

votn & Laki Volcanoes (that killed 25% of the

corresponding Icelandic population and ulti-

mately was blamed for 6 million deaths world-

wide, including about 1 million in Japan and 1

million in France), Tambora & the correspond-

ing eruptions, a series of deadly volcanoes in

Guatemala, Martinique, St. Vincent & the Philip-

pines at the turn of the (19/20th) century, Mt. St.

Helens & El Chicon in the early-1980‟s and

many other major eruptions.

This 40-Year Volcanic Swarm Cycle is back

in 2014–2023 and events in Indonesia are al-

ready looking eerily similar to the 1810‟s.

This includes an intensifying & accelerating

series of eruptions at Sinabung, as well as re-

newed activity at Tambora and other volcanoes

spread along that massive archipelago in South

Asia… other global volcanoes are screaming (or

spewing) for attention.” [End 02-20-14 analysis]

The reason for repeating so much of prior

analysis is to accurately gauge if these seismic

cycles have any credibility and to compare current

& recent action (and expectations) to what was

forecast previously.

It also lays the groundwork for why I have been

continuing to state, since 2011, that 2018 would

begin a surge in seismic and volcanic activity

around the globe - leading to an expected major

eruptive event in 2019 (and/or 2020).

As stated in 2014, “The second, and more in-

tense, phase of these cycles should take hold

in 2018 – with Major volcano & earth disturbance

cycles colliding in 2019 & 2020…”.

If you look at Hawaii & Guatemala, it appears

that this dangerous and potentially explosive period

- from 2018 - 2020 (continuing into 2023) - is begin-

ning ‘with a bang’. But, I do think they are only the

‘opening act’.

That is NOT said to be sensational or alarmist.

It is just an attempt to convey some very natural

and very consistent cycles that might normally be

overlooked.

As conveyed many times, earthquakes often

precede volcanic eruptions by weeks, months and

sometimes years. That was proven again in 1990 -

1991 in the Philippines (before Pinatubo erupted),

in Mt. St. Helens in 1980, in Tambora in the 1810’s

and in dozens of other examples throughout his-



tory. It is why Indonesia is projected to see an in-

crease in earthquake activity in 2018, with an in-

crease in volcanic activity expected in 2019.

Driving Forces

There are specific forces that I believe are driv-

ing this activity. Before addressing them, it is im-

portant to reiterate two overriding principles.

The first is synergy.

It is those times throughout history when a pow-

erful convergence of diverse cycles aligns that I pay

the closest attention. It would be like constructing a

Venn Diagram in which multiple circles represent

the various cycles that have shown consistent reli-

ability.

Each cycle has its own impact but the intersec-

tion of three or more - in a specific window of time -

is when these cycles have the greatest reliability

(although, even then it is FAR from perfect).

The same is true with how I approach cycle

analysis in the markets.

For instance, it was the combination of many

long-term cycles in interest rates that prompted my

forecast for a major peak in Bonds in 2016 - and a

subsequent drop into late-2019. (2016 was the

convergence of 40-Year, 70-Year & 80-Year cycles

from the lowest interest rates of the past century

and was honed by monthly & weekly cycles project-

ing the same thing… SYNERGY!)

Similarly, it was the synergy of cycles & indica-

tors projecting an intermediate surge in gold and

gold stocks in Dec. ‘17/Jan. ’18 - and a subsequent

multi-month peak in late-Jan. 18 - that lent the

analysis more credibility.

It is also the reason that I have been looking for

a series of energy market peaks in 2018 as a 2 - 3

year bull market continues to unfold.

However, those cycles do not distinguish price

levels. That is where the more detailed and more

precise indicators come into play (more SYN-

ERGY!).

The second overriding principle is swarms

(another type of synergy).

I do not typically look for a specific cycle to pin-

point an isolated future quake or eruption at a pre-

cise time period from a previous seismic event. I

think this is where many people abandon a cycle

approach and just dismiss it as too general or in-

consistent. Often they use reasons like

„earthquakes are always occurring at some point

around the globe‟. That observation is correct.

However, there are recurring times throughout

history, on a consistent rhythm & periodicity, when

greater concentrations (swarms) of major events

occur.

This is where I borrow another principle from

nature - birth pains.

A cynic could argue that a woman’s labor pains

are meaningless or arbitrary since they keep occur-

ring (during the final weeks) on a regular basis.

That cynic could make claims like “These pains

keep occurring so they mean nothing. I have heard

about dozens of these pains and there was nothing

significant about any of them, so they are just arbi-

trary.”

However, those initial labor pains - on a consis-

tent and persistent basis - are all pointing toward a

future time when there will be a sudden escalation

and intensification of those contractions. That is

when a major ‘event’ is inevitable.

If an observer only focused on the individual

labor pains, they might soon lose interest and just

dismiss those ‘rumblings’ as a new norm. Nothing

could be farther from the truth.

In the same respect, isolated earthquakes have

(Continued on page 8)



Jan. 2010 Earth In Transition Table



little individual significance. It is only when they are

viewed in the context of a larger collection of quakes

that their significance becomes more apparent. The

whole is greater than the sum of its parts. Most of

my analysis has to do with identifying those seismic

swarms and the cycles that govern them.

The table on page 7 was originally published in

Dec. 2009 „Earth in Transition: 3 + 3 II‟ Report

(www.insiidetracktrading.com/reports/earth-in-

transition-3+3-ii.pdf) and then slightly corrected in

Jan. 2010, detailing an uncanny 17-Year Cycle of

Japan Seismic Swarms - pinpointing 2010 - 2012

(later honed to 1Q 2011) for the next major quake

and tsunami in Japan.

It was the synergy of converging multi-year cy-

cles that increased that probability.

[NOTE: In the case of a 17-Year Cycle, the

‘Swarm’ is defined as a high concentration of seismic

events in a 3 - 5 year period. It is similar to the sun-

spot cycle, when the majority of solar storms are

seen at the 2 - 3 year peak of the ~11-Year Sunspot

Cycle. That is when the ‘swarm’ of sunspots is seen

on a regular basis. It might not be precise, down to

a specific week or month, but it is very regular and

quantifiable.]…

Although I never imagined it at the time that was

published (about 16 months before the March 2011

quake, tsunami & nuclear incident in Japan), there

was additional attention paid to a previous seismic/

nuclear incident in June 2007 that highlighted how

vulnerable Japan was, in that regard. 2009 - 2011

had been discussed in a completely different cycle

discussion, focused on - among other things - nu-

clear cycles that crescendoed at that time.

The June 2007 incident (Kashiwazaki-Kariwa

nuclear plant shutdown after a 6.8 quake), discussed

in that 2009 analysis, turned out to be a very pre-

scient omen.

In that same series of „Earth in Transition: 3 + 3

II‟ Reports, I also detailed a related 17-Year Swarm

Cycle impacting Chile - that pinpointed 2010 as the

latest culmination when a major quake was ex-

pected. And both of those overlapped a global 17-

Year Earth Disturbance Swarm Cycle impacting the

entire globe.

These quakes are not just any quakes!

Of the 12 largest and 12 deadliest quakes in the

past two centuries, this Swarm Cycle includes a dis-

proportionate concentration (14 out of 24) of those

dramatic seismic events in these recurring 4-year

windows.

So, almost 60% of the largest or deadliest events

occurred in a little more than 20% of the overall time.

That is statistically significant.

17-Year Cycle

In the late-1990’s and again in 2007, INSIIDE

Track published a large amount of analysis on the 17

-Year Cycle and its application in the markets. At

those two times, the analysis was explaining why the

stock market was cyclically poised to undergo a pair

of „1 - 3 year, 35 - 50% crashes‟ - first in 2000 - 2002

and later in late-2007 - 2009/2010.

That 17-Year Cycle had governed, with uncanny

precision & regularity, similar stock market declines

dating back for more than 100 years. It also created

an over-arching 34-Year Cycle (the 2xs & 3xs multi-

ples of cycles are even more powerful) - like the one

that timed the 1932 - 1966 advance and projected a

major peak 34 years later - in 2000 (low-high-high

Cycle Progression).

The reason for revisiting this analysis is the influ-

ence and ubiquity of a 17-Year Cycle. After publish-

ing those 2007/2008 reports, I began doing more

extensive research on a 17-Year Cycle.

That is when I came across the intriguing work of

(Continued on page 10)





David Juckett - describing geo and solar magnetic

cycles and a unique 17-year cycle that governed the

„to and away‟ relationship between the sun and earth

- a form of push and pull or yin and yang between

the two magnetic forces.

While I do not pretend to understand 99% of his

detailed analysis, his one observation was clear…

In his paper, „Evidence for a 17-year Cycle in the

IMF Directions at 1 AU, in Solar Coronal Hole Varia-

tions, and in Planetary Magnetospheric Modula-

tions‟ (wow, that‟s a mouthful!), he describes the ~17

-Year Cycle of ‘interplay’ (sorry, that’s my para-

phrased simplification) between the magnetic fields

of the Earth & Sun… both on a 17-Year Cycle.

He notes that a similar cycle governed „coronal

hole distributions‟. Juckett’s work concluded that

there was a 17-year cycle in the magnetic oscilla-

tions of the sun, based on multiple forms of meas-

urement.

So, the Earth has a magnetic swing („to and

away‟) of 17 years and the Sun has a 17-Year

„magnetic moment oscillatory cycle‟. Hmmm.

Both the sun and the earth have 17-Year Cycles

that govern the stability of their cores???

Well, that pretty much summed it up!

You couldn’t ask for a much stronger validation

than that since magnetic swings are at the core of

life and of our stability as humans (we are electro-

magnetic beings). They are also at the ‘core’ of

earth’s reverberations.

And wouldn‟t that have an impact on vacillating

tectonic plate movement, magma movement and

spikes in seismic instability?

As just described, there is a consistent 17-Year

Cycle in major global earthquake swarms as well as

a 17-Year Cycle in Japanese earth disturbance

swarms. There is also a similar cycle that has gov-

erned earth disturbances in Chile.

Looking Ahead

As stated at the outset, it is next to impossible to

predict specific dates and regions for earthquakes or

volcanic eruptions. However, there are periods of

time when spikes or swarms of activity are seen.

2010 - 2011 recently validated that.

With that said, there are a few areas and time

frames that deserve heightened attention in the com-

ing months and year(s). More details on these have

been, and/or will be, detailed separately. For now,

this is just a quick synopsis of the highlights.

Indonesia

For several years, I have described expectations

for a type of ‘crescendo’ of tectonic activity in Indone-

sia (quakes & volcanoes) leading into 2019.

Part of my focus on 2019 (which included expec-

tations for precursor and escalating eruptions in

2017 & 2018, as we have now seen) is linked to

three major volcanoes that include two of the most

dramatic eruptions of the past 200 years - Tambora

in 1815 & Krakatoa in 1883 (combined with Laming-

ton in 1851).

They are all connected by an 68-Year Cycle (4 xs

17-Year Cycle) that recurs in 2019.

However, it is the synergy of MANY other cycles -

colliding in 2019/2020 - that increases my confidence

in that analysis. 2019 is also 204 years - 12 xs 17-

Year Cycle - from Tambora. (All that does is rein-

force this 17-Year Cycle has been timing major vol-

cano & earthquake swarms for hundreds of years,

with many major events arriving precisely on the 17-

Year Cycle calendar.)

Sinabung (Indonesia) is acting in the 2010’s simi-

lar to how Tambora acted in the 1810’s, so it is worth

monitoring in this potentially-explosive period.

2018 - 2019 is also one 17-Year Cycle from a

spike of major eruptions in 2001 - 2002 (Ruang in

Indonesia, Reventador in Ecuador, Mayon in Philip-



pines) and the resumption of activity at Mt. Etna &

Stromboli (so, S. Europe should also be watched in

2018 - 2019) - a previous spike in activity.

All of that will be powerfully validated if Indonesia

experiences an escalating frequency and intensity of

earthquakes in 2018 and 2019, ushering in and/or

coinciding with those volcano cycles.

Hawaii

Not surprisingly, Hawaii’s Mauna Loa had its two

biggest eruptions of the past century in 1950 & 1984

- 34 years apart (the 1984 eruption followed a major

Hawaiian earthquake in 1983). Another 34 years

future is… 2018!

Mauno Loa began to stir in the 2001/2002 period

(17 years after 1984 and 17 years before 2018/

2019), but it never escalated into anything signifi-

cant. Looks like the 17-Year Cycle is alive and well

in Hawaii, as well.

Also in the Pacific, Mayon is another significant

volcano with major eruptions in the 1610’s & 1810’s,

reinforcing the ~100-year & ~200-year cycles that

converge now. More recently, it had a spectacular

eruption in 2001 and began 2018 (17 years later)

with a new phase of eruptions.

While Mayon’s 1814 eruption was overshadowed

by Tambora in 1815, it remains one of the most dan-

gerous global volcanoes on an ongoing basis. 2018/

2019 was and is a new phase of expected activity,

which has been initially validated.

Iran & Alpide Belt

Also, I am again watching some uncanny cycles

related to major earthquakes in or surrounding Iran

(on the Alpide Belt) that come back into focus in

2018… with the greatest synergy of cycles in late-

2018, particularly Dec. 2018. If that is going to be

the case, there could be a growing sequence of

quakes leading into that time frame.

Ring of Fire

Japan seismic cycles also converge again in

2018 - 2019, as do some specific South American

cycles. If any nation has seen consistency of earth

disturbances (in addition to Indonesia), it is Japan.

There are times, like in 2008 - 2009, when a spe-

cific region provides a very consistent cyclic pattern

of precursor earthquakes - portending a major one in

the near future.

That is like the birth-pain analogy in which impor-

tant clues are provided ahead of time - on a regular

basis - projecting the likely timing for a future cres-

cendo in those rumblings.

In March 2009, the following chart was published

- projecting increasing earthquake activity in Chile,

leading into a projected major event in 2010.

From the beginning of that period, in 2007, Chile



began to experience major earthquakes on a 90-

degree (~90 days or 3 months), 180-degree & 360-

degree sequence.

That created an escalating intensification of seis-

mic activity (like labor pains) in Nov. ’07, Feb. ’08,

May ’08, Aug. ’08 & Nov. ’08 and Feb. ’09, May ’09,

Aug. ’09 & Nov. ’09.

Like clock-work, there was an escalation of re-

curring earth disturbances on a 90-degree/3-month

basis - projecting a larger-scale event for Feb. 2010

(this was also detailed in the Jan. & Feb. 2010 IN-

SIIDE Tracks, before the major 8.8 Chilean quake of

late-Feb. 2010 struck).

There were also recurring eruptions of Chaiten

volcano, beginning in May 2008 - occurring on the

same 90-degree time table. Since 2010 was the

culmination of the overriding 17-Year Cycle, and the

year when the major culminating event was most

likely, the periods of Feb., May, Aug. & Nov. 2010

were pinpointed as the highest probability for a ma-

jor earthquake in Chile.

In some respects, that was very specific. And in

others, it was rather general. A lot of that depends

on your perspective and your expectations.

The analysis published in late-Jan. 2010 stated :

1-29-10 - “Since we are approaching the month

of February, I should also reiterate the other 90-

degree sequence that has governed so many

earth disturbances - both earthquakes and vol-

canic eruptions - in South America. It involves

the months of February, May, August & Novem-

ber…

The May/November coupling has seen many of

the major volcanic eruptions and the largest

magnitude earthquakes. In contrast, the Febru-

ary/August pairing has…supplied many „events‟.

February 2009 saw 6 sizeable earthquakes

(ranging from mg. 5.5 - 6.2) in Chile, Peru, Ar-

gentina & Brazil.

February 2010 could see some corresponding

quakes in S. America.

…The amazing thing is that so many of these

major quakes have not done significant damage.

Of course, much of this is due to more stringent

building standards in countries where earth-

quakes are a frequent occurrence.

These increasingly frequent swarms - of major

earth disturbances (like birth pains that increase

in frequency and intensity) - warrant some fur-

ther discussion on the Cycle that was expected

to trigger these swarms during this specific time

frame...” [End 1-29-10 analysis]

February 2010 is when Chile was rocked by a

massive, 8.8 magnitude earthquake (just a few

weeks after the Haiti earthquake of Jan. 2010 that

killed over 100,000).

The recounting of this past analysis strives to be

educational, while also lending some credibility to

the authenticity of these cycles. This is a complex

topic that demands proper context and a proven

track record. It also lays the foundation for why

2018 - 2019 has been an ongoing focus for pro-

jected volcanic eruptions, already validated by the

activity in Hawaii and Guatemala.

This quote is from the Jan. 2016 INSIIDE Track

and was an article titled “2019: The Synergy of Soy-

beans, Sunspots & Solar Cycles”

“2019 is a convergence of sunspot & solar

storm cycles (including 30 years from the 1989

storm and 160 years – 4 of the 40-Year Cycles –

from the 1859 Carrington Event).

2019 is also the next phase of a 68-Year Cy-

cle (4 – 17-Year Cycles, 3 – ~22.5 Year Solar

Polar Cycles & 6 – ~11.2 Year Sunspot Cycles)

that precisely links 3 of the most powerful &

deadly volcanoes of the past 200 years

(Tambora in 1815 to Krakatoa in 1883

to Lamington in 1951… to Indonesia? in 2019)...



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HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE MANY OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF A SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS -- ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

There are also climate/warming cycles that ap-

pear headed for a climax in the coming

years (2017–2020). So, if all these cycles were

close to being accurate, Earth could see a final

warming spike in 2016/2017 (–2019?)…

2019 is also the culmination of a 15–15.75 year

cycle in Soybeans that connects the highs of

June 1973, June 1988 & March 2004. That

would be expected to produce a high – the next

phase in a 15–15.75 year high-high-high-

(high) Cycle Progression… a strong affirmation of

all the related natural, climate & earth cycles con-

verging in 2019 (+ or – 1–2 years).

Similarly, a sunspot-related ~11-Year Cycle –

that separates the 4Q 1975 low, 3Q 1986 low, 2Q

1997 high & 3Q 2008 high (~11-Year low-low-

high-high-(high) Cycle Progression) – next comes

into play in 3Q/4Q 2019.

A high in 3Q/4Q 2019 would complete a 44-

year advance, 33-year advance, 22-year high-

high cycle & 11-year high-high cycle – all in

synch with the ~11-Year Sunspot Cycle.” [End

excerpt from Jan. ‘16 INSIIDE Track]”

There is far more to this discussion, but hopefully

this is enough to pique curiosity and interest in the

study of natural cycles. The next 12 - 24 months

could again validate these cycles, particularly if an

increase in Indonesian earthquakes is seen in 2018/

2019 and is followed by a spike in related volcanic

eruptions. A major quake in Iran would also add

some validation.

From a trader’s perspective, however, the most

intriguing part will be what unfolds in the markets -

particularly in commodity markets. Grains were fore-

cast to surge into May/June 2018 and then correct

sharply into 3Q 2018 before entering a larger ad-

vance in late-2018 - 2019.

Recent activity is confirming that with grains fulfill-

ing daily & weekly cycles, and the weekly trend pat-

tern in Soybeans, with a culminating rally into late-

May. Now comes the interesting part.

Please refer to current publications for the latest

analysis and/or trading strategies in these and all

other covered markets.

The stage is being set for 2019… but a lot is still

expected to unfold in the final 7 months of 2018.

Stay tuned…

Documents

Seismic Swarm Cycles - INSIIDE Track Trading · I usually call a „Swarm Cycle‟ – when many of the largest and/or most destructive or deadly volcanoes erupt. This 40-Year Volcanic