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Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global population high importance to food self-sufficiency India needs to increase productivity significantly 12% of global arable land 4% share of global crops 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 C anada UK Italy India A rgentina G erm any Brazil France C IS Japan China U SA 12 top markets constitute 66% of theGlobal seed industry Figures in US$ mn India US$ 1 bn market

Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

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Page 1: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry

India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5

bn.) are in the top 10 markets

India has over one sixth of the global

population

high importance to food self-

sufficiency

India needs to increase productivity

significantly

12% of global arable land

4% share of global crops

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

Canada UK Italy IndiaArgentina Germany Brazil FranceCIS Japan China USA

12 top markets constitute 66% of theGlobal seed industry

Figures in US$ mn

India US$ 1 bn market

Page 2: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

India seeds market

With a size of US$ 1 bn, India is the eighth largest commercial seed market in the world

Arable land is around 136 mn ha which is higher than China

High growth expected on the back of transition from traditional varieties to high value varieties and hybrids

Public sector – varietal crops like paddy, wheat, pulses – 80% of seed volume; 40% of total value

~ 150 companies in Private sector – majority operates as traders

Increase in India’s share in world crops

can come from improved productivity as

growers shift to hybrids.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

India Brazil USA China

Mn

ha

Land area

Arable area

Page 3: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Seed market structure

Saved seeds account for nearly 85% of the market

Commercial Seeds 15%

Saved Seeds

85%

Domestic seeds market is expected to

double over the next five years implying a

CAGR of 13%. Hybrid seeds will grow much

faster given expected conversions from

traditional varieties.

Rising food demand and limited

agricultural land

Shift to commercial seeds which

have better technology

Growth in fresh produce market and

in processed food sector

Drivenby

Private sector dominates with a 60% market share

Note: Research hybrids are 30% of commercial seed market by value

Page 4: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Seed Industry

Private Sector

MNC – 10

Public Sector

NSC IPS – 200

SSCs - 13

SFCI

Industry Structure – The Situation Today

Public sector – in self-pollinated crops of which wheat & rice account for 60%

Private sector mainly in hybrids that are low in volume but high in return

Opportunity lies in converting users of farm-saved seeds and public hybrids

In terms of volume, paddy and wheat offer largest opportunity

Page 5: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Company Holding Turnover FocusStructure (INR mio.)

Mahyco Monsanto (26%) 1200 all cropsEmergent (after HLL & Mahendra) 1200 all cropsMonsanto Monsanto 1000 sunflower, corn, cotton Proagro Bayer Crop Science 800 all cropsNamdhari family 800 vegetablesNuziveedu family 800 cotton, millet, cornGanga Kaveri family 600 sunflowerAdvanta India Advanta(Fox Paine)& Agrotech Foods (50% each) 500 sunflower, rapeseed, corn, millets, paddySyngenta Syngenta 500 sunflower, corn, cotton, milletsPioneer Dupont 450 sunflower, corn, milletsJK JK Group 400 cotton, millet, cornAnkur family 400 vegetables, cottonSeminis Fox Paine 300 vegetablesIndo-American family 300 vegetables, flowersEID Parry family; Monsanto (51%) 100 sunflower, cotton, paddyNath family 100 cotton, millet, corn

Total 10000

Key Indian Seed Players

Page 6: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Namdhari

8%

Nuziveedu

8%

Ganga Kaveri

6%

Advanta India

5%

Syngenta

5%

Pioneer

5%

JK

4%

Ankur

4%

Seminis

3%

Indo-American

3%

EID Parry

1% Nath

1%

Proagro

8%

Monsanto

11%

Emergent

14%

Mahyco

14%

Mahyco

Emergent

Monsanto

Proagro

Namdhari

Nuziveedu

Ganga Kaveri

Advanta India

Syngenta

Pioneer

JK

Ankur

Seminis

Indo-American

EID Parry

Nath

Market Share of Key Indian Players

Page 7: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Cotton is the most important segment because of a high percentage of

cultivated area under research hybrids.

Attractive research hybrid seed segments

Marketshare by value of Key Hybrid Crops

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

Cotton Maize Sorghum Bajra Sunflower

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Production (MT)

Value (US$ Mn.)

(

Key Hybrid Crops: Sales

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

Cotton Maize Sorghum Bajra Sunflower

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Production (MT)

Value (US$ Mn.)

(

Key Hybrid Crops: Sales

Page 8: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Seed Act, 1966 – min. quality standards, certification & procedures for evaluating varieties

Public sector dominated the industry until 1971

1971 – National Commission on Agriculture recommended breaking of public sector stranglehold – Indian private sector enter the sector

1988 – New Seed Policy – entry of MNCs; import of seeds and germplasm allowed for research

Seed Policy is still very restrictive and detrimental to farmers

2002 – Comprehensive Seed Policy – to overhaul existing Seed Act – should usher new growth in the liberalised era

Background – The Role of Regulation

Page 9: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Public sector – in self-pollinated crops of which wheat & rice account for 60%

Private sector mainly in hybrids that are low in volume but high in return

Opportunity lies in converting users of farm-saved seeds and public hybrids

In terms of volume, paddy and wheat offer largest opportunity

Public & Private Sector Activity

Page 10: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Agriculture growth must keep pace with growing demand; food grain demand growing at 3.4-5.5%p.a.

Efficiency to improve in use or resources –decline in land & water resource base for average farm holding

Fertiliser must be used wisely and there should be adequate storage infrastructure

Agriculture tech management must become efficient to take advantage of expanding production & marketing opportunities

Tariff and non tariff barriers imposed by developed countries

Thrust to high yielding & efficient inputs like seeds

Indian Agriculture – Challenges Ahead

Page 11: Seeds -- a US$ 30 billion global industry India (US$ 1 billion) & China (US$ 2.5 bn.) are in the top 10 markets India has over one sixth of the global

Cereals, Oilseeds, Cotton, Vegetable Cereals dominate the seed market hybrids in Corn,

Sorghum, Pearl millet, SSG Major opportunities in Wheat and Rice Sunflower dominate in oilseeds with opportunities in

Brassica (‘00’ and transgenic) 2:1 ratio of private to public hybrids in Cotton; Tomato (28%), Cabbage(23%), Brinjal (14%) – major

share of hybrids 3.12 mn ha under vegetables; Current mkt. value for

hybrids INR 200Cr, varietal INR 50Cr

Types of Seed Produced in India