Security Selection and Asset Allocation

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    Uzoamaka Okenwa

    Project 2 Asset Allocation and Securityselection

    Section I

    Asset Allocation

    For the asset allocation scheme, I used the top down approach. By

    using this approach I will allocate 40% of the total funds to REITs and then

    allocate 40% to Large CAP Growth stocks and the remaining 20% will go

    to the Large CAP Value stocks. I will then choose the stocks that fall into

    those categories and then split the funds in each category. For each of

    these categories, I will invest in different industries, these industries

    include; REIT retail, Healthcare and residential, Internet Information

    Providers, Oil and Gas, Medical Instruments and Supplies, and finally

    Financial industry.

    I have chosen to include REITs in this portfolio for two reason, first income

    and secondly diversification. REITs are dividend-paying stocks that will provide a

    stream of income. Besides the income reason, a study of investor returns from 1972

    to 2004 showed the decline in correlation between REIT and other asset classes.

    According to the study, adding REIT to a portfolio can reduce the risk and boost the

    return. REITs are not correlated with Large CAP stocks; hence I decided to invest in

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    them. I further diversified into Large CAP growth and Large CAP value. Large Cap

    growth stocks are Shares in a company whose earnings are expected to grow at an

    above-average rate relative to the market.

    Section II

    I chose some characteristics to serve as a guideline for selecting the

    stocks in this portfolio. I used market cap, price earnings ratio, return on

    equity and net profit margin as the characteristics to screen the stocks to

    be included in this portfolio. For the REITs I chose a minimum market cap

    of $100 million. For the Large cap growth stock I used a market cap

    minimum of $10 billion and finally for Large Cap Value stocks a minimum

    $30 billion. I also used price earnings ratio as a criteria, however I made

    the decision by comparing the P/E of each with other stocks in the same

    industry. For return on equity I set a limit of 7% on all stocks, however, I

    choose some stocks, which did not satisfy this criterion, but have a proven

    record of performance in the past 5 years. Finally, I used net profit margin

    as another criteria, with a minimum of 2%.

    Section III

    Market Cap

    Market capitalization is the total dollar market value of all of a

    company's outstanding shares. Market cap is calculated by multiplying a

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketcapitalization.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketcapitalization.asp
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    company's shares outstanding by the current market price of one share. The

    investment community uses this figure to determining a company's size, as

    opposed to sales or total asset figures.

    Price-Earnings Ratio - P/E Ratio

    Generally, a high P/E suggests that investors are expecting higher

    earnings growth in the future compared to companies with a lower P/E.

    However, the P/E ratio does not always tell the whole story by itself. It is

    usually more useful to compare the P/E ratios of one company to other

    companies in the same industry, to the market in general or against the

    company's own historical P/E. It would not be useful for investors using the

    P/E ratio as a basis for their investment to compare the P/E of a technology

    company (high P/E) to a utility company (low P/E) as each industry has much

    different growth prospects.

    Return On Equity

    ROE is the amount of net income returned as a percentage of

    shareholders equity. Return on equity measures a corporation's

    profitability by revealing how much profit a company generates with the

    money shareholders have invested.

    Net Profit Margin

    A ratio of profitability calculated as net income divided by revenues, or

    net profits divided by sales. It measures how much out of every dollar of

    sales a company actually keeps in earnings. Profit margin is very useful

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/returnonequity.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/profitmargin.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/profitmargin.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/returnonequity.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/profitmargin.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/profitmargin.asp
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    when comparing companies in similar industries. A higher profit margin

    indicates a more profitable company that has better control over its costs

    compared to its competitors.

    Section IV

    Summary Of Companies

    Realty Income Corporation, The Monthly Dividend Company is

    organized to operate as an equity real estate investment trust (REIT). The

    primary business objective of the REIT is to generate dependable monthly

    cash distributions from a consistent and predictable level of funds from

    operations (FFO) per share. The Companys monthly distributions are

    supported by the cash flow from the portfolio of retail properties leased to

    regional and national retail chains. The Company has in-house acquisition,

    leasing, legal, retail and real estate research, portfolio management and

    capital markets expertise.

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    Inland Real Estate Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT)

    that acquires, owns, operates and develops open-air neighborhood,

    community, power and lifestyle shopping centers and single-tenant retail

    properties. During the year ended December 31, 2008, the Company owned

    interests in 144 investment properties, including those owned through the

    unconsolidated joint ventures.

    LTC Properties, Inc. is a healthcare real estate investment trust (REIT) that

    invests primarily in long-term care and other healthcare related properties

    through mortgage loans, property lease transactions and other investments.

    The Company invests in properties that provide opportunity for additional

    value and diversifies its investment portfolio by geographic location,

    operator and form of investment. The Company provides mortgage financing

    on such properties based on established investment underwriting criteria.

    National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI) is a real estate investment trust

    (REIT), which invests in health care properties primarily in the long-term care

    industry. As of December 31, 2008, it had ownership interests in real estate

    and mortgage investments NHI revenues are derived primarily from

    mortgage interest income and rental income.

    Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. is a self-administered real estate

    investment trust (REIT), investing in income-producing healthcare facilities,

    principally long-term care facilities located in the United States. It provides

    lease or mortgage financing to qualified operators of skilled nursing facilities

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    (SNF), assisted living facilities (ALF), independent living facilities (ILF) and

    rehabilitation and acute care facilities

    Universal Health Realty Income Trust (the Trust) is a real estate

    investment trust (REIT). The Trust invests in healthcare and human service-

    related facilities, including acute care hospitals, behavioral healthcare

    facilities, rehabilitation hospitals, sub-acute facilities, surgery centers,

    childcare centers and medical office buildings (MOBs).

    Ventas, Inc., a real estate investment trust (REIT) with a portfolio of seniors

    housing and healthcare properties in the United States and Canada.

    First Real Estate Investment Trust of New Jersey, an equity real estate

    investment trust, engages in the acquisition, development, construction, and

    holding of real estate properties primarily in New Jersey, Maryland, and New

    York. The companys property portfolio comprises residential apartment

    communities and commercial properties, which consist of multi and single

    tenanted properties.

    Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc., a real estate investment

    trust (REIT), engages in acquiring, owning, and operating apartment

    communities primarily in the Sunbelt region of the United States. The

    company qualifies as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it

    would not be subject to federal income tax to the extent it distributes 90% of

    taxable income to its shareholders.

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    Senior Housing Properties Trust, a real estate investment trust

    (REIT), primarily invests in senior housing properties in the United States.

    The trust invests in hospitals, nursing homes, senior apartments,

    independent living properties, and assisted living properties. This REIT would

    not be subject to federal income tax, if it distributes at least 90% of its REIT

    taxable income to its shareholders.

    Google Inc. maintains an index of Websites and other online content, and

    makes this information freely available through its search engine to anyone

    with an Internet connection. The Companys automated search technology

    helps people obtain nearly instant access to relevant information from its

    online index. The Company generates revenue primarily by delivering online

    advertising.

    Yahoo! Inc. (Yahoo!), together with its consolidated subsidiaries, is a

    global Internet brand. Together with its owned and operated online

    properties and services. The Company generates revenues by providing

    marketing services to advertisers across a majority of Yahoo! Properties and

    Affiliate sites.

    eBay Inc. (eBay) provides online marketplaces for the sale of goods and

    services, as well as other online commerce, or ecommerce, platforms, online

    payments services and online communications offerings to a diverse

    community of individuals and businesses.

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    CNOOC Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the

    exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and

    other petroleum products in offshore China.

    Chesapeake Energy Corporation is a producer of natural gas in the

    United States. The Company own interests in approximately 41,200

    producing natural gas and oil wells that are producing approximately 2.3

    billion cubic feet equivalent (bcfe) per day, 92% of which is natural gas.

    Occidental Petroleum Corporation (Occidental) conducts its operations,

    through various oil and gas, chemical, midstream, marketing and other

    subsidiaries, and affiliates.

    Stryker Corporation (Stryker) is a medical technology company with a

    range of products in orthopaedics and a presence in other medical

    specialties.

    Alcon, Inc. (Alcon) is a research and development driven, global medical

    specialty company focused on eye care. In July 2008, Novartis AG acquired a

    25% stake in Alcon from Nestle SA.

    Baxter International Inc. (Baxter) develops, manufactures and markets

    products that save and sustain the lives of people with hemophilia, immune

    disorders, infectious diseases, kidney disease, trauma and other chronic and

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    acute medical conditions. As a diversified healthcare company, Baxter

    applies a combination of expertise in medical devices, pharmaceuticals and

    biotechnology to create products that advance patient care worldwide.

    Shell (Royal Dutch Shell plc) is a holding company, which owns, directly

    or indirectly, investments in the numerous companies constituting the group.

    Shell is engaged globally in the principal activities of oil and natural gas

    industry. The Company operates in five business segments: exploration and

    production, gas and power, oil sands, oil products, and chemicals.

    Chevron Corporation (Chevron) manages its investments in subsidiaries

    and affiliates, and provides administrative, financial, management and

    technology support to the United States and International subsidiaries that

    engage in fully integrated petroleum operations, chemicals operations,

    mining operations of coal and other minerals, power generation and energy

    services.

    Exxon Mobil Corporation (Exxon Mobil) through its divisions and

    affiliates is engaged in exploration for, and production of, crude oil and

    natural gas, manufacture of petroleum products and transportation and sale

    of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products. ExxonMobil is a

    manufacturer and marketer of commodity petrochemicals, including olefins,

    aromatics, polyethylene and polypropylene plastics and a wide variety of

    specialty products.

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    Bank of America Corporation (Bank of America) is a bank holding

    company and a financial holding company. On January 1, 2009, Bank of

    America announced the purchase of Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. On July 1, 2008,

    Bank of America completed the acquisition of Countrywide Financial

    Corporation.

    The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation is a global financial services

    company with approximately $928 billion in assets under management and

    $20.2 trillion in assets under custody and administration. The Company

    operates its business into seven business segments: asset management,

    wealth management, asset servicing, issuer services, clearing services,

    treasury services and others. In March 2009, it acquired JPMorgan Trust Bank

    Limited in Japan from JPMorgan Chase & Co.

    Wells Fargo & Company (Wells Fargo) is a financial holding company

    and a bank holding company. The Company is a diversified financial services

    company providing retail, commercial and corporate banking services

    through banking stores located in 39 states and the District of Columbia. On

    December 31, 2008, Wells Fargo acquired Wachovia Corporation.

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    Section v

    Asset Allocation and Security Selection

    40% inREIT Company

    %Allocation $ Allocation

    1 Realty Income Corp. 3.50% $350,000.00

    2 Inland Real Estate Corp. 4.50% $450,000.00

    3 LTC Properties Inc. 5.00% $500,000.00

    4 National Health Investors Inc. 4.00% $400,000.00

    5Omega Healthcare InvestorsInc 4.00% $400,000.00

    6Universal Health RealtyIncome 4.00% $400,000.00

    7 Ventas Inc. 6.00% $600,000.00

    8 First Real Estate Investment T 3.00% $300,000.00

    9Mid-America ApartmentCommunit 4.00% $400,000.00

    10Senior Housing Properties

    Trus 2.00% $200,000.00

    40.00%$4,000,000.

    00

    40% in Large Cap Growth

    11 Google 5.00% $500,000.00

    12 Yahoo 4.00% $400,000.00

    13 eBay Inc 4.00% $400,000.00

    14 Cnooc Ltd 6.00% $600,000.00

    15 Chesapeake 5.00% $500,000.00

    16Occindental PetroleumCorporation 4.00% $400,000.00

    17 Stryker 5.00% $500,000.00

    18 Alcon Inc 4.00% $400,000.00

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    19 Baxter International 3.00% $300,000.00

    40.00%$4,000,000.

    00

    20% in Large Cap Value

    20 Shell 3.00% $300,000.00

    21 Chevron 3.00% $300,000.0022 Exxonmobil 4.00% $400,000.00

    23 Bank Of America 4.00% $400,000.00

    24 Bank Of New York 3.00% $300,000.00

    25 Wells Fargo 3.00% $300,000.00

    20.00%$2,000,000.

    00

    Total funds 100.00%$10,000,000

    .00

    40% in REIT

    DescriptionMarketCap P/E

    ROE%

    Net ProfitMargin (mrq)

    REIT - Retail 46.89B 18.8 9 14.5

    1 Realty Income Corp. 2.30B 20.7157.54

    6 41.529

    2 Inland Real Estate Corp. 516.14M 15.388

    9.29

    6 7.056

    REIT - HealthcareFacilities 19.99B 16 10.1 36.3

    3 LTC Properties Inc. 459.28M 16.0089.15

    3 58.908

    4National Health InvestorsInc. 809.21M 14.147

    12.664 84.741

    5Omega HealthcareInvestors Inc 1.28B 16.61

    11.308 31.954

    6Universal Health RealtyIncome 402.73M 34.597

    7.635 10.894

    7 Ventas Inc. 3.86B 16.648

    9.15

    5 25.652REIT - Residential 24.82B 12.5 13.3 26.2

    8First Real EstateInvestment T 105.87M 17.039

    25.858 14.15

    9Mid-America ApartmentCommunity 980.86M 54.044

    7.147 8.179

    10Senior Housing Properties

    Trust 2.00B 16.3577.14

    7 44.388

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    40%in Large Cap Growth

    Internet InformationProviders

    11 Google 120B 28

    16.0

    3 19.39

    12 Yahoo 20.05B 48.75 4.08 2.32

    13 eBay Inc 18.38B 10.5515.5

    2 20.83

    Oil & Gas

    14 Cnooc Ltd 50.51B 8.2323.3

    4 34.45

    15 Chesapeake 12.28B 19.26 4.62 6.22

    16Occindental PetroleumCorporation 45.43B 6.74

    27.29 27.25

    Medical Instruments &

    Supplies

    17 Stryker 14.84B 13.3915.3

    5 17.08

    18 Alcon Inc 26.4B 13.0450.7

    5 32.52

    19 Baxter International 50.60B 15.1530.6

    4 15.3120%in Large Cap Value

    Oil & Gas

    20 Shell 133.38B 5.0420.9

    8 5.78

    21 Chevron 130B 5.5629.2

    3 8.77

    22 Exxonmobil 326.05B 7.6338.5

    8 9.47

    Financial

    23 Bank Of America 56.11B 14.05 1.81 5.51

    24 Bank Of New York 32.16B 22.81 5.15 10.56

    25 Wells Fargo 79.83B 24.15 4.09 6.34

    Section VI

    Portfolio Expectation

    It is evident that stocks follow a random walk, however, the

    characteristics which are used as a criteria for selecting the stocks in a

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    portfolio, gives an idea of the future performance of the entire portfolio. I

    have selected stocks whose company has shown a track record of high

    performance.

    I expect that this portfolio will perform very well given the quality of

    stocks that it contains. Even though companies are going through tough

    times now, it is important to notice that since the new administration came

    into office, many policies have been put in place to make the economy

    better. Therefore, in the long run, these companies will have even better

    growth than what is seen at the moment.