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Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

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Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves. Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves. 4.1 Introduction 4.2 The Mean State over West Africa 4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves 4.4 Theory 4.5 Modeling 4.6 Hot Topics: 4.6.1 Genesis 4.6.2 Scale Interactions - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Page 2: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.1 Introduction

4.2 The Mean State over West Africa

4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves

4.4 Theory

4.5 Modeling

4.6 Hot Topics:

4.6.1 Genesis

4.6.2 Scale Interactions

4.6.3 Relationship to Tropical Cyclogenesis

4.7 Easterly Waves in other Tropical Regions

4.8 Final Comments

Page 3: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.1 Introduction

• Westward moving synoptic waves characterize the whole tropics

• They are tropospheric waves, that modulate the rainfall and move at about 8m/s and have wavelengths of 2000-4000km.

Page 4: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.1 Introduction

• The environments that they are embedded in varies around the tropics, and so details of the wave characteristics also vary.

Page 5: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.1 Introduction

The emphasis here will be on African Easterly Waves (AEWs)

Have a strong influence on daily rainfall patterns over Africa and tropical Atlantic

Most Atlantic Tropical Cyclones are generated in association with AEWs

AEWs

MCSs

SAL

TC

Page 6: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.2 The Mean State over West Africa

Burpee, R.W. 1972 The origin and structure of easterly waves in the lower troposphere of North Africa, J. Atmos. Sci. 29, 77-90

Notable Features: 600mb African Easterly Jet (AEJ)

Upper-level Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ)

Low-level Monsoonal Westerlies

Low-level Easterlies north of the AEJ

Upper-level Westerly Jet to the North

Page 7: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.2 The Mean State over West AfricaReed, R.J., Norquist, D.C. and Recker, E.E., The structure and properties of African wave disturbances as observed during Phase III of GATE, Mon. Wea. Rev. 105, 317-333 (1977).

Page 8: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

PV View of the African Easterly Jet

Discussion

Consider the meridional contrasts in convection (next slide) and the diabatic source/sink term in the PV-equation.

Page 9: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Schematic of African Easterly Jet

θ

50oCθ

θe

90oC

θe

AEJ

20oC60oC

Page 10: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.2 The Mean State over West Africa

Thorncroft and Blackburn 1999

Page 11: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Mean 700hPa U wind, 16th July – 15th August 2000

Zonal Variations in the Mean State

Berry and Thorncroft 2005

Page 12: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

925hPa 315K PV

• Strong baroclinic zone 10o-20oN • PV ‘strip’ present on the cyclonic shear side of AEJ.

925hPa e

• High e strip exists near 15oN

Zonal Variations in the Mean State

Page 13: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves

Carlson, T.N., 1969a: Synoptic histories of three African disturbances that developed into Atlantic hurricanes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 97, 256-276.

Carlson, T.N., 1969b: Some remarks on African disturbances and their progress over the tropical Atlantic. Mon. Wea. Rev., 97, 716-726.

Burpee, R.W., 1970: The origin and structure of easterly waves in the lower troposphere of North Africa, J. Atmos. Sci. 29, 77-90.

Reed, R.J., Norquist, D.C. and Recker, E.E., 1977: The structure and properties of African wave disturbances as observed during Phase III of GATE, Mon. Wea. Rev. 105, 317-333

Thorncroft, C.D. and Hodges: 2001 K.I., African easterly wave variability and its relationship to tropical cyclone activity, J. Clim. 14, 1166-1179 (2001).

Kiladis, G., C. Thorncroft, and N. Hall, 2006: Three-Dimensional Structure and Dynamics of African easterly waves: part I: Observations, J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 2212-2230.

Mekonnen, A., C. Thorncroft, and A. Aiyyer, 2006: On the significance of African easterly waves on convection, J. Climate, 19, 5405-5421.

Berry, G., Thorncroft, C.D. and Hewson, T. 2006 African easterly waves in 2004 – Analysis using objective techniques Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 752-766

Page 14: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves

Carlson 1969ab

Carried out case studies of several AEWs

Peak amplitudes at 600-700mb and at surface

Eastward tilt with height from the surface to the level of the AEJ

Two cyclonic centers at low-levels

Synoptic variations in cloud cover

Peak of cloudiness close to AEW trough

Page 15: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves

Burpee (1970)

Eastward tilt beneath the AEJ – Westward tilt above the AEJ

Northerlies dry and warm

Southerlies wet and cold

Page 16: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves

Composite AEW structures from phase III of GATE (after Reed et al, 1977). (a) and (b) are relative vorticity at the surface and 700hPa respectively with a contour interval of 10 -5s-1. (c) and (d) show percentage cover by convective cloud and average precipitation rate (mm day-1) respectively. Category 4 is location of 700hPa trough and the “0” latitude is 11oN over land and 12oN over ocean.

Reed et al, 1977

Page 17: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves

Thorncroft and Hodges (2001)

Page 18: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Three Dimensional Structure of Easterly Wave Disturbances over

Africa and the Tropical North Atlantic

George N. Kiladis 1

Chris D. Thorncroft 2

Nick M. J. Hall 3

1 NOAA Aeronomy Laboratory, Boulder, CO2 Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, SUNY, Albany,

NY3 LTHE, Grenoble, France

Page 19: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Space-Time Spectrum of JJA Antisymmetric OLR, 15S-15N

Wheeler and Kiladis, 1999

Page 20: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Regression Model

Simple Linear Model:

A separate linear relationship between a predictor at a grid point and a parameter at every other grid point is

obtained:

y = ax + b

where: x= predictor (TD-filtered OLR at 10N, 10W)

y= predictand (u or v wind at any grid point)

Maps or cross sections at lag can then be constructed to show the evolution of the dynamical fields versus the

predictor

Page 21: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day 0Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 22: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day-4Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 23: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day-3Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 24: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day-2Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 25: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day-1Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 26: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day 0Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 27: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day+1Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 28: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day+2Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 29: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day+3Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 30: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day+4Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 31: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

OLR and 850 hPa Flow Regressed against TD-filtered OLR (scaled -20 W m2) at 10N, 10W for June-September 1979-1993

Day+5Streamfunction (contours 1 X 105 m2 s-1)

Wind (vectors, largest around 2 m s-1)OLR (shading starts at +/- 6 W s-2), negative blue

Page 32: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

4.3 Observations of African Easterly Waves

All the previous slides refer to composite AEW structures

They say little about the significance of AEWs on convection and

They say little about how these structures might be manifested on a weather map or how they may vary in space and time.

The next slides address the significance issue from Mekonnen et al (2006)

This will be followed by some maps of individual AEWs (Berry et al 2007).

Page 33: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Shaded region: power > red noise

Central Africa

E. Africa

Significant time scales:2-6 days & at 1 day.

Peak periods change from west to east

E. Atlantic

W. Africa

TB variance (in K2)

E. Atlantic (5-10N, 40W-20W)Land (10-15N, 15W-40E)

Page 34: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Shaded region: power > red noise

Central Africa

E. Africa

Significant time scales:2-6 days & at 1 day.

Peak periods change from west to east

E. Atlantic

W. Africa

TB variance (in K2)

Page 35: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Shaded region: power > red noise

Central Africa

E. Africa

Significant time scales:2-6 days & at 1 day.

Peak periods change from west to east

E. Atlantic

W. Africa

TB variance (in K2)

Page 36: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Shaded region: power > red noise

Central Africa

E. Africa

Significant time scales:2-6 days & at 1 day.

Peak periods change from west to east

E. Atlantic

W. Africa

TB variance (in K2)

Page 37: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Central Africa

E. Africa

E. Atlantic

W. Africa

TB variance (in K2)

Significant time scales:2-6 days & at 1 day.

Peak periods change from west to east

Shaded region: power > red noise

Page 38: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

2-6d TB variance (shaded >140K2)

2-6d contribution:25-35% over land,35-40% over ocean

west-east variance is nearlythe same

Variance explained by 2-6d TB

(shaded > 20%)

Page 39: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Comparison with dynamic measures …..

2-6d 700-hPa variance

2-6d 850-hPa variance

Variance in the west are higher than in the east!

(shaded >5m2s-2)

Land: maximum along 10N, south of the AEJ, near peak convective region.Ocean: near 20N

Land: maximum to the north of AEJ, and over the coast, near peak convective regionOcean: within ITCZ

Page 40: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Diagnostics for highlighting multi-scale aspects of AEWs

Berry et al 2006

Page 41: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 42: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 43: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 44: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 45: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 46: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 47: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 48: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 49: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 50: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 51: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 52: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 53: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 54: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 55: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 56: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

315K Potential Vorticity (Coloured contours every 0.1PVU greater than 0.1 PVU) with 700hPa trough lines and easterly jet axes from the GFS analysis (1 degree resolution), overlaid on METEOSAT-7 IR imagery.

Page 57: Section 4: Synoptic Easterly Waves

Summary of the observed AEJ and AEWs

Summary

AEJ: Consists of two prominent PV anomalies; a positive PV anomaly on the cyclonic side of the AEJ that is diabatically generated in the region of peak rainfall and a negative PV anomaly that is diabatically generated in the heat low region.

AEWs: AEWs have significant circulation anomalies at the level of the AEJ and at the surface. They tend to tilt against the horizontal and vertical shear of the AEJ – this tells us something about the growth mechanisms to be discussed in the next section.