SECRETARÍA DE ESTADO DE CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTAL PRESENTATION BY SPAIN TO THE EXECUTIVE BODY FOR THE CLRTAP:

SECRETARÍA DE ESTADODE CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO

DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTAL

PRESENTATION BY SPAIN TO THE EXECUTIVE BODY

FOR THE CLRTAP:

COMPLIANCE WITH THE NOx AND VOC PROTOCOLS

Geneva, December 2008



CONTENTS:

1. FULFILMENT BY SPAIN OF ITS OBLIGATIONS UNDER THE PROTOCOLS

2. EMISSION PROJECTIONS

3. PROGRESS MADE TOWARDS ACHIEVING COMPLIANCE

4. FRAMEWORK OF COMPLIANCE



1. FULFILMENT BY SPAIN OF ITS OBLIGATIONS UNDER THE

PROTOCOLS



NMVOC EMISSIONS: 1990-2006

Spanish commitments under both the NOx and NMVOC Protocols have not been to date fulfilled.

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

NMVOC

TARGET



NOx EMISSIONS: 1990-2006

Spanish commitments under both the NOx and NMVOC Protocols have not been to date fulfilled.

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

1.600

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

NOx

TARGET



2. EMISSION PROJECTIONS



NOx

700

800

900

1.000

1.100

1.200

1.300

1.400

1.500

1.600

1.700

1.800

1.900

2.000

2.100

2.200

2.300

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

kt N

Ox

with additional measures

with measures

without measuresinventory data 90-06

protocol


DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTALNOx

THERE IS A DECREASING TREND OF EMISSIONS PROJECTIONS FOR YEARS 2005-2020

It should be noted that:

1) policies and measures included in the “with additional measures scenario” are achieving an important improvement (around 10% emission decrease for 2010)

2) both the “with measures” and the “with additional measures” scenarios are providing a relevant improvement in Spanish NOx emissions when compared to the BAU scenario.



NMVOC

400

500

600

700

800

900

1.000

1.100

1.200

1.300

1.400

1.500

1.600

1.700

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

kt N

MV

OC

with additional measures

with measures

without measures

inventory data 90-06

protocol


DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTALNMVOC

THERE IS A DECREASING TREND OF EMISSIONS PROJECTIONS FOR THE FUTURE YEARS

It should be noted that:

1) policies and measures included in the “with measures scenario” are not rendering an effect for the last part of the projected period (2012-2020)

2) both the “with measures” and the “with additional measures” scenarios are providing a relevant improvement in Spanish NMVOC emissions when compared to the BAU scenario.



ADDITIONAL MEASURES:

1Mechanism for improving the quality of the Spanish inventory on air emissions

2 Spanish Strategy on air Quality

3 Plan on Renewable Energy 2008-2020

4 Plan for waste management 2009-2012

5 Strategic line on sustainable waste management

6 Promotion of Best Available Techniques

7 Future law to promote sustainable transport

8 Measures to reduce speed limits

9 Implementation of low emission areas in the main cities

10 VOC emission removal on petrol stations

11 Emission reductions in stationary engines



MEASURES TO BE IMPLEMENTED IN YEAR 2008:



31 additional measures

Transport: 16

Households and service: 9

Energy: 2

Horizontal measures: 4

Reduction: 6 toe (10% of national crude imports)

PLAN TO REVITALIZE ENERGY SAVINGS AND EFFICIENCY 2008-2011



MEASURES TO BE IMPLEMENTED AFTER

YEAR 2008:



Strategic lines to reduce emissions

Sustainable mobility: 4Inter-urban transportMetropolitan areasUrban mobilityClean and efficient means of transport

Sustainable construction: 4New buildingsExisting buildingsNon-residential sectorEquipment

Sustainable energy: 3Law on Energy Efficiency and Renewable EnergyReview and updating of Energy Savings and Efficiency Plan and Renewable Energy PlanCCS

Wastes and manure management: 7Forestry policy and sinks: 3Innovation: 3



ADDITIONAL MEASURES EFFECT

Effect of additional measures for Spain

-200-100

0100200300400500600700800900

10001100120013001400

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Year

NO

x (k

t)

With additional measures scenario With measures scenario Additional measures effect



3. PROGRESS MADE TOWARDS ACHIEVING COMPLIANCE


DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTALIMPACT OF MEASURES INTRODUCED IN 2007 – NMVOC

New emission projections including measures enacted in 2006 provide NMVOC projected emissions in 2020 19% below previous estimates.

400

500

600

700

800

900

1.000

1.100

1.200

1.300

1.400

1.500

1.600

1.700

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

kt N

MV

OC

with measures 2006

with measures 2007

with measures 2008


protocol



IMPACT OF MEASURES WITHIN “WITH MEASURES” SCENARIO

NMVOC

Effect of measures included in "with measures" scenario for Spain

-800-600-400-200

0200400600800

1000120014001600

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Year

NM

VO

C (

kt)

With measures scenario Without measures scenario Measures effect



IMPACT OF MEASURES INTRODUCED IN YEAR 2007 – NOx

New emission projections including measures enacted in 2006 provide NOx projected emissions in 2020 7% below previous estimates.

700

800

900

1.000

1.100

1.200

1.300

1.400

1.500

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

kt N

Ox

with measures 2006

with measures 2007

with measures 2008


protocol



IMPACT OF MEASURES WITHIN “WITH MEASURES” SCENARIO – NOx

Effect of measures included in "with measures" scenario for Spain

-1200-1000-800-600-400-200

0200400600800

1000120014001600180020002200

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Year

NO

x (k

t)

With measures scenario Without measures scenario Measures effect



RESULTS DERIVED FROM THE IMPLEMENTATION OF MEASURES:

BAU VERSUS INVENTORY DATA

Emissions 2000-2006 (%)

BAU(without measures)

Inventory 2006(with measures)

NOx 15% 1%

NMVOC 15% -11%



4. FRAMEWORK OF COMPLIANCE:



FRAMEWORK OF COMPLIANCE

Projected increase in 1998 for the 1990-

2010 period

Registered increase 1990-2005

POPULATION 4,1% 13,6%

GDP 67% 58%

PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION

44% 61,1%


DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTALPOPULATION INCREASE

Information source: EUROSTAT

Population total increase 1997-2008:

UE-27: 18.851.492 hab

Spain: 5.757.821 hab (30,5% total UE-27)

0,50

(0,70)

0,07 0,20 0,21

(0,07)

0,760,47

5,76

4,03

2,74

0,13

(0,17)(0,22)

0,07

(0,26)

0,04

0,84

0,37

(0,52)

0,55

(1,05)

0,04 0,02 0,170,34

2,95

(2,00)

(1,00)

-

1,00

2,00

3,00

4,00

5,00

6,00

7,00

Belgium

Bulgar

ia

Czech

Rep

ublic

Denm

ark

Germ

any

Estonia

Irelan

d

Greec

e

Spain

Franc

eIta

ly

Cypru

s

Latvi

a

Lithu

ania

Luxe

mbo

urg

Hunga

ry

Mal

ta

Nethe

rland

s

Austri

a

Poland

Portu

gal

Roman

ia

Sloven

ia

Slovak

ia

Finlan

d

Sweden

United

Kin

gdom

European members (EU-27)

Po

pu

lati

on

inc

rea

se

(m

illio

n h

ab

)


DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTALPOPULATION INCREASE

Contribution to the total growth 1997-2008 (%) (European member increase/EU total increase)

4%

31%

21%

15%

4%

16%

9%

Ireland

Spain

France

Italy

Netherlands

United Kingdom

Others

Population total increase 1997-2008:

UE-27: 18.851.492 hab

Spain: 5.757.821 hab (30,5% total UE-27)


DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTALREAL GDP GROWTH RATE 1997-2007

Spain vs. UE-27 Information source: EUROSTAT

Real GDP growth rate 1999-2007

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Year

GD

P G

row

th r

ate

(% c

han

ge

on

pre

vio

us

year

)

EU (27 countries) 3 3,9 2 1,2 1,3 2,5 2 3,1 2,9

Spain 4,7 5 3,6 2,7 3,1 3,3 3,6 3,9 3,7

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Documents

SECRETARÍA DE ESTADO DE CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO DIRECCION GENERAL DE CALIDAD Y EVALUACION AMBIENTAL PRESENTATION BY SPAIN TO THE EXECUTIVE BODY FOR THE CLRTAP: