23
Second Quarter 2006 August 11, 2006

Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

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Page 1: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Second Quarter 2006

August 11, 2006

Page 2: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Table of Contents

• Highlights

• Operating Statistics

• Revenue Highlights

• Expense Highlights

• Balance Sheet

Page 3: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

ACE Operating Results Improve by $3 mln –Despite $76 mln Fuel Price Incr.

Consolidated (millions)

Q2 2006

Q2 2005

Change Fav./(Unfav.)

Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224

Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221)

Oper. Income* 181 178 3

Non-oper. Income 52 104 (52)

Inc. (Loss) Before Reorg., FX & Tax 233 282 (49)

Non-controlling Interest (19) (4) (15)

FX Gain (Loss) 107 (53) 160

Provision for Income Taxes (85) (56) (29)

Income $ 236 $ 169 $ 67

Page 4: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Q2 Net Interest Expense Down $10 mln Due Income From Higher Cash Balances

(millions)

Q2 2006

Change

Fav./(Unfav.)

Net Interest Inc. (Exp.) $ (49) $ 10

Gain (Loss) on Sale 101* 101

Dilution Gain on Aeroplan - (190)

Other Non-Operating Inc. (Exp.) - 27

Total Non-Operating Inc. $ 52 $ (52)

* Gain on sale of US Airways shares $100 mln

Page 5: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Q2 2006Actual vs Prior Year

Consolidated

ASMs RPMs PLF Yield RASM Rev

Canada 5.0% 2.1% 2.2 PP 3.4% 0.6% 5.6%

US Transborder 10.0% 17.5% 4.9 PP 1.1% 8.0% 18.8%

Atlantic 3.7% 8.0% 3.6 PP 1.4% 5.7% 9.6%

Pacific 5.1% 1.0% 3.4 PP 2.8% 7.1% 1.7%

Latin Amer. & Other 2.2% 4.3% 4.9 PP 6.7% 13.8% 11.2%

Total 3.0% 5.5% 1.9 PP 3.2% 5.6% 9.0%

Total Expense 9.7%

Total CASM 6.5%

Total CASM excl. Fuel 3.6%

Page 6: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Increasing North American Capacity Growth – Flat International

(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Capacity)

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004 Q4 2005/2004 Q1 2006/2005 Q2 2006/2005

% Change in ASMs

Page 7: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

U.S. Transborder Traffic Up Sharply While International Also Strong

(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Traffic)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004 Q4 2005/2004 Q1 2006/2005 Q2 2006/2005

% Change in RPMs

Page 8: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

N.A. Yield Growth Slows in Q2 as Positive Impact of Jetsgo’s Bankruptcy Completed a Full Year in Q1’06

(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Passenger Yield)

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004 Q4 2005/2004 Q1 2006/2005 Q2 2006/2005

% Change in Yield

Page 9: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Domestic RASM Increase Slows on Weaker Yield Growth and Lower Load Factor

(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Revenue per ASM)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004 Q4 2005/2004 Q1 2006/2005 Q2 2006/2005

% Change in RASM

Page 10: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

North America Revenue Growth Accounts For Two Thirds of Quarterly Revenue Increase

(Y-O-Y Changes in Consolidated Passenger Revenue)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Canada U.S. Oth. Int'l Total

Q2 2005/2004 Q3 2005/2004 Q4 2005/2004 Q1 2006/2005 Q2 2006/2005

% Change in Revenue

Page 11: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Canada* – Q2 RASM Up 0.6% on 3.4% Increase in Yield and 2.2 PP Load Factor Decline

Y-O-Y Change

0

5

10% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

-5

0

5

10

Load FactorPP Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

5

10

15

Yield % Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

5

10

15

P-RASM % Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

*Consolidated

Page 12: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

US Transborder* – RASM Growth Up 8% as Strong LF Compensates for Slowing Yield

Y-O-Y Change

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Yield % Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

5

10PP Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

Load Factor

-10

-5

0

5

10

15% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

5

10

15

20

P-RASM % Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

*Consolidated

Page 13: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Atlantic –Stronger Load Factor lifts RASM

Y-O-Y Change

0

5

10

15% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

-2

0

2

4Load FactorPP Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

2

4

6% Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

P-RASM

0

2

4

6

Yield% Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

Page 14: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Pacific – Stronger Load Factor Lifts RASM Up 7.1% in Best Performance in a Year

Y-O-Y Change

-4

-2

0

2

4PP Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

Load Factor

-10

-5

0

5

10

% Change

0

5

10

Yield% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

-5

0

5

10

P-RASM% Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

Page 15: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Caribbean, Latin America & Australia –RASM Growth Accelerating on Higher LF & Strong Yield

Y-O-Y Change

-5

0

5

10

15% Change

Capacity (ASM)

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

-2

0

2

4

6

Load FactorPP Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

5

10

15% Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

5

10

15% Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

Yield P-RASM

Page 16: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Total* –System RASM Equally Strong on Higher Yield and LF

Y-O-Y Change

0

2

4

Load FactorPP Change

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

0

5

10% Change Capacity (ASM)

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

**Excludes special labour charge

0

5

10% Change

* Consolidated

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q22005 2006

Yield

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q20

5

10

15

CASM RASM

P-RASM% Change

**

2005 2006

Page 17: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Average Salary Up 0.4%, Employee Levels Up 684 or 2.1% All at Jazz & ACTS

(Y-O-Y Change – Average Salaries* & Employees*)

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06

Average Salaries Employees

% Change Y-O-Y

*Q3’05 and onwards consolidated - prior quarters, mainline (excluding Jazz)

Page 18: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Cost/Litre Up 13.1% While Fuel Prod. Decl. 2.3%. Embraer & CRJ Expansion + Two Add. Freighters

(Fuel Productivity* & Unit Cost*)

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06

Fuel Productivity (ASMs/Lt) Fuel Cost (Cdn cts/Lt)

% Change Y-O-Y

*Q3’05 and onwards consolidated - prior quarters, mainline (excluding Jazz)

Page 19: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Higher Cust. Mtce. Mats., Incr. Fees & Services, Terminal Hndlg. Chrgs., Cr. Card Fees, Advertising, Uniforms, Non-air Aeroplan Redemption Push-up Other Operating Expenses

RPM

s

ASM

s

S &

W

Bene

fitsA/

C Fu

elA/

C Re

ntUs

er F

ees

Mtc

e M

at.

Com

& IT

Food

/ Ba

rDe

prec

.Co

mm

iss.

Oth

er

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

% Change Y-O-Y

Q2 2006/2005Consolidated

Page 20: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Unit Cost Excl. Fuel & Spec. Labour Chrg., Up 3.6% Due Higher Ownshp. Chrgs., Incr. Mtce., Cust Materials.

(Cost Per ASM*)

-10%-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%

Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06

*Consolidated

% Change Y-O-Y

Page 21: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Balance Sheet –Good Liquidity, Good Working Capital

(ACE Aviation Holdings - Consolidated)

June 30/06 $ mlns

Dec 31/05 $ mlns

% Change

Cash + S. Term Invst. $ 2,822 $ 2,181 29%

Current Assets $ 4,022 $ 3,354 20%

Property & Equip. $ 5,753 $ 5,494 5%

Current Liabilities $ 3,404 $ 3,011 13%

Long Term Debt $ 3,584 $ 3,543 1%

Shareholder’s Equity $ 1,470 $ 1,168 26%

Book Value/share (basic) $ 14.42 $ 11.47 26%

Page 22: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income

Caution Concerning Forward-looking Information:

Certain statements made in this presentation may be of a forward-looking nature and subject to important risks and uncertainties.The results indicated in these statements could differ materially from actual results for a number of reasons, including without limitation, general industry, market and economic conditions, the ability to reduce operating costs, employment relations, energy prices, currency exchange rates, interest rates, changes in laws, adverse regulatory developments or proceedings and pending litigation. Any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation represent Air Canada’s expectations as of August 11, 2006 and are subject to change after such date. However, Air Canada disclaims any intention orobligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Page 23: Second Quarter 2006 - ACE Aviation€¦ · Q2 2005 Change Fav./(Unfav.) Oper. Revenue $ 2,682 $ 2,458 $ 224 Oper. Expense 2,501 2,280 (221) Oper. Income* 181 178 3 Non-oper. Income