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Scientific Webinars. National and subnational mortality effects of major metabolic risk factors and smoking in Iran: a comparative risk assessment. Farzadfar et al PHM 2011. Presented by Goodarz Danaei. May 11 2012. What is the most common cause of death and disabilities in Iran in men? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Text of Scientific Webinars

  • National and subnational mortality effects of major metabolic risk factors and smoking in Iran: a comparative risk assessment Scientific WebinarsFarzadfar et al PHM 2011May 11 2012Presented by Goodarz Danaei

  • What is the most common cause of death and disabilities in Iran in men?Ischemic heart diseaseStrokeLung cancerRoad traffic injuries

  • What is the most common cause of death and disabilities in Iran in women?Ischemic heart diseaseStrokeLung cancerRoad traffic injuries

  • What is the most important NCD risk factor for mortality in Iran?Overweight/obesityHigh blood pressureSmoking High serum cholesterolDiabetes and high blood glucose

  • Outline

    Background

    Data sources and methods

    Findings

    Conclusion and future directions

  • Outline

    Background

    Data sources and methods

    Findings

    Conclusion and future directions

  • Global epidemiological transitionLopez et al. Lancet 2006

  • Cardiovascular mortality in high-income countriesVital registration data from WHOMaleFemale

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    All1Chile32.1154534.0033331.2640732.7181529.0556432.7270729.8529330.2380230.1090933.8621329.7194730.192129.3955929.146429.4483129.8948528.5701429.5088231.556128.8381726.7964826.1512628.4599726.8321526.7866427.3729926.8953925.4498725.7142325.8153527.4625726.0935924.8259323.0413224.0888323.9904424.7340723.0732621.9659322.3565621.6476722.2410821.7104620.9853220.5800620.4950619.1224519.1728818.58176

    All1Mexico25.3748825.608725.4044624.9230924.0045124.4076922.8369921.6153623.5789722.5767523.1421123.3770922.8145323.9598323.5575524.5681722.7748423.0959423.6838223.0936822.9270723.424322.6661722.2793922.9082723.2808722.7070622.4106722.4813722.1558422.3188521.4831321.4496522.1058521.6849421.2734321.0026420.858420.7708220.4254220.5721220.6075820.3050120.0006519.5544618.7574618.4197618.60596

    All1USA27.6280427.5491827.1652227.2051926.0387126.4909626.6803927.308427.0701226.7784427.3701326.773427.2288427.77727.0190827.2513327.4006226.8893427.5971226.9780626.5317326.2025426.4110626.0564125.1336424.262324.0226323.4202923.2348122.5454622.8405222.2885621.8267621.9048321.6199821.6321921.2159520.9275820.847220.2128719.8074219.6230419.3524419.6988619.3641619.1865418.7639518.2832517.9414217.8125817.4202317.0829516.95049

    All1Japan34.5911132.4121731.0274132.7430730.1397529.5203931.3481332.79728.9433629.0481830.1282229.3835430.3569628.0040927.9504129.0548826.990926.545626.429526.0431425.9546524.2262723.5520723.8030823.1859822.3598921.9118920.8330320.4532319.6829120.0923519.3233318.4881918.610718.0386417.7169317.0769316.6011916.9580516.398816.5203916.239216.220216.0779415.5269515.8488814.979614.8282814.7825115.0169714.329613.9720413.7243213.71182

    All1Thailand24.6496325.6683826.3327925.5106425.0657724.961924.8689926.1223827.2354325.2809924.1803825.0478826.2364725.4559527.9383825.1316124.8546426.1298826.9792727.2156225.8097623.0509824.6607123.647226.4479827.2355626.0222126.7821626.4821923.863724.0529923.1588124.5692425.1760725.172523.7443419.9738520.6267523.317722.8443822.89404

    All1Denmark20.1099622.922922.5302522.7468522.1327222.2678123.1311922.8920222.4672323.201322.934123.995623.8297224.2797624.4176324.9070123.8753623.2227623.355923.0322723.3548323.6201323.4609523.7868222.9149624.0151922.2430922.9906723.48523.7920123.6450122.7991723.3242822.9449523.0912122.6418322.4444722.269222.2162622.6007321.6019921.8440822.2155921.7345421.9251821.1719120.4044519.880319.4734218.7676218.64293

    All1Finland34.3644235.0557833.1899234.6067233.2863334.2222532.5819132.0184232.8124732.5228734.9423833.7291933.9935735.2181934.3269534.4479434.729334.8736533.2239333.8286731.5551931.0764431.4440430.0131330.2679529.4260128.4053927.3128227.2864426.3239525.408225.9377925.0215426.4387824.7903624.4781324.3894123.7182923.770522.7999122.871122.540220.9217521.3012320.8991220.3235120.4419519.9858419.238218.6030618.3654117.9003517.35486

    All1France30.3688630.1042632.1741729.8307730.0830831.2258630.0938527.6707927.9039428.6773327.2727429.1464229.6745427.327428.5092727.2671727.9021228.0855828.7971526.7734727.170426.7442426.5208226.2856926.4321725.8353524.3366224.2683423.4693123.2695623.2696522.620522.9030722.1627422.4079821.9241520.9206620.2293719.9161819.45619.1399318.769818.7001818.0955718.2973318.332217.9340517.8833917.7411217.3362117.0294616.7225

    All1Hungary27.2307128.7454328.5808726.6722229.0863528.0066926.1957129.5251726.3844926.472928.3432425.8358427.6017128.9460728.9918829.292129.7153928.4309329.2527529.121530.0420129.9288329.8203231.3190630.4774932.5823432.5453832.8003533.9797333.8915233.9254833.6971732.7733632.1047733.30333.5060533.5533634.8326135.2500634.4320134.1087833.3604232.7867233.231733.5364331.7098730.7970730.8015931.13637

    All1Netherla21.8384721.9828821.2127122.0203321.8063422.1742422.5056121.5031921.6222521.5929421.753321.571522.891323.0581821.9743722.8645522.8976822.5808923.5102723.5361223.8135623.5813224.1048123.1623222.5991123.5842323.4257522.0713122.6889821.9535922.0692421.895921.9129821.7070421.5840621.7413621.7475120.9029620.746621.0598820.5406320.2644119.8406220.6546819.5217819.5748719.4910618.7043518.6646818.4985718.1443817.6378217.4511717.1109416.11817

    All1Poland28.5594526.2756726.6376528.0913426.5135927.2028126.5667226.1249427.4876826.5244728.0721427.638629.4769426.3041627.3418926.6789727.9168328.2265628.3610329.0137928.0756530.1170127.8476427.8542228.792229.8303831.1650830.5185830.3471929.5795329.9421330.3863931.407230.2373729.7101428.8754828.8119328.4064427.4376725.9885825.2961124.6914624.63384

    All1Spain32.9351727.0100527.7875226.3061526.7612529.1473528.4389124.5060325.2276425.3508824.1583626.1839126.3694225.4641724.9586324.7679924.5387324.2335125.3674523.1595125.1977922.7162623.8749723.6287523.6029623.5007222.9908322.9410522.2338221.7690421.4844820.3457420.5519.8205119.9785519.0543818.5158618.558918.386318.4144418.2429417.6907217.8127217.4584517.6042517.542817.2282717.4293317.5840516.6966816.3602216.2654316.4134

    All1Sweden23.7725323.0501722.9974922.6561622.3114622.5123222.8647521.6521121.2602722.3357221.5350522.5381422.1583622.0033122.255722.0920322.1848822.3358722.4191621.2469121.9903521.8806722.197222.1123322.1472722.507321.8192421.7800421.7724321.4057820.9470320.1662419.7054219.0742119.4317718.9987318.8500819.1630718.1053118.4644418.3222317.8431517.8070116.748216.9285716.5451516.2807416.0888515.8775315.3011815.0222214.91902

    All1UK30.443632.8249729.8208429.7847429.9516430.5743530.4855729.8617530.1992529.8611229.3862530.5330830.6615431.3746128.9710429.651630.0638328.4159729.9424729.8216529.231328.4766229.5521828.9310928.535328.0323428.2773326.7758726.8244726.6870925.7779325.2899825.1252624.8383723.968524.424223.6141422.4688222.0335921.6667720.9005720.6479720.093720.5569619.434719.7436919.2100318.704518.4735518.2549617.024316.8772116.70679

    All1Australi29.2389830.1094229.5109928.378728.6812228.4265529.6145628.2382527.5967629.071928.2856127.9761828.5502228.3840529.5379528.6163129.3596828.6076830.2704328.7888629.9107228.368627.9629627.5852628.2482125.980126.4722724.6755624.1524923.2413923.3825923.0877623.5475922.2020222.2408122.2452920.8701120.8201420.104120.2296318.5028517.8527917.904517.1077817.4101616.448816.4327115.8317715.2374314.8019214.4030314.0163714.03004

    All2Chile25.4776525.7830423.5797725.3133521.6551124.5047322.1314922.2345321.4114523.7361920.8843721.9853720.9886720.1731420.6421621.105220.4616720.4115720.9258219.5299518.9403217.8283619.9102617.62317.4672518.0471617.8647316.5666116.1803116.1301216.8164116.6220515.8799715.5252115.671715.0620415.4334114.4903614.2285914.2588713.6773113.7115913.3623712.8459212.9087312.8002311.8317311.9053811.45952

    All2Mexico21.6078121.3980521.4459620.8642920.1317320.4361119.1596918.1537420.1320418.8080819.1983519.2206218.5476419.3874219.0159519.3773318.2303818.2983318.6959517.5864217.5447917.54416.7779516.4598516.4855216.7434616.3506115.9445916.4460516.216516.4014215.9633615.9748115.9752815.748815.3405215.2504215.0787215.2665715.0004115.2563815.27515.0003714.7461214.4591813.7731313.6108213.60021

    All2USA19.2965319.0694418.6055118.4238417.4701117.6065417.530217.7984917.5355917.1313717.2564316.7855117.0165317.1456316.5916616.517316.5129316.0527516.434415.9643315.6186315.408215.4208215.2265214.6603713.9707213.8599513.451713.3923713.0060913.3947713.1629313.0245713.2453813.2621213.3927213.3235113.2719413.3655713.0530212.8379312.7869912.6603213.0434412.9283412.9437112.8179712.6494812.559612.6459912.4882512.3080612.16834

    All2Japan26.1482724.7048523.4765924.4341221.9452321.4959422.7051123.375120.6159120.5613821.1753220.7497321.0714719.5056319.3338519.9137718.5631818.1737717.9614817.4543817.6081716.3069915.7668216.10915.7715315.0790314.6230513.7886913.3820812.7205212.8555812.2902711.5664211.4833810.9684310.7228210.251489.8446410.062579.5884449.5800979.2663529.1462979.0159588.5913318.6909078.1240037.9690337.8415767.9620527.4987127.3181417.1293267.089785

    All2Thailand17.0460118.1805718.9866517.6518417.4321817.8905316.9770818.3407920.222918.285417.2447518.4560518.7902218.7894220.5074517.6747517.4433819.0015619.2138219.6346719.1134616.6749517.7145917.0907818.4647519.2054117.9169818.7087919.1851516.8275117.3447216.8185317.9774518.2849218.2121617.0244914.6494115.8243117.3345816.9614516.73088

    All2Denmark18.7021920.5028220.5385620.1963718.7319418.7685419.3434218.7667818.7321418.8589717.9277918.2952618.0573917.8741817.8514418.0430617.0496316.3287116.1408415.9406715.5050815.7897215.2362815.2293814.7371315.4025713.915114.2601214.3666314.6012314.4441814.1303314.4066914.3255714.519614.3982814.216914.3321314.2548214.47714.1928714.3636314.8709514.4155314.8330