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School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY Rachael Unsworth Faculty of Environment SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

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Page 1: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

School of somethingFACULTY OF OTHER

Sustainable housing development in

Leeds:

markets and planning

MA in Activism and Social ChangeSCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Rachael Unsworth

Faculty of EnvironmentSCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Page 2: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Outline

Forces influencing house building

• Patterns of demand – business-as-usual assumptions

• Supply-side factors: the house building industry; the LDF, Localism Act and future development

Leeds Sustainable Development Group – proposals complementary to W.A.R.D. arguments

Page 3: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

RU’s research, teaching and involvement in the city of Leeds

• Sustainability

• Futures reading and thinking – horizon scanning and interpretation of trends; visioning

• Long term change in cities

• Leeds: housing, offices, environment, culture, planning and land use, regeneration, community development

Page 4: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

RU’s research, teaching and involvement in the city of Leeds

20042008

Page 5: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

City living research from 2003

Page 6: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Visioning

January 2008

September 2008

Spring 2010

Vision 2010

Conference

October 2010

November 2009

Leeds

Sustainable

Development

Group

Page 7: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Forces influencing house building

Patterns of demand – commonly held assumptions:

• Smaller households

• Suburban/rural locations (SHMA 2007)

• Owner occupation

• Car ownership & use

• Semi-detached and detached

Page 8: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Supply-side factors

The house building industry:

• quantity, standardisation, little place-making, resistant to radical change (Adams and Payne, 2011)

• ‘Too many housing estates … are not well connected to local services and promote dependency on the car’ (DTLR and CABE, 2001, 5)

• ‘so cynical’ – Jackie Sadek, UK Regeneration 10.5.12

• brownfield: ‘more expensive’

• claim that planning stands on the way – it’s landowners that hold more power

Page 9: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Supply-side factors

The LDF, Localism Act and future development

Whose charter?

Page 10: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

LDF Core Strategy

Population expected to increase:

Approx 750,000 2012 to 860,000 by 2028

Existing Green Belt boundary to be reassessed – considered that brownfield sites cannot accommodate all new housing

Page 11: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

LDF Core Strategy: housing

Spatial Policy 7: Distribution of housing land & allocations

Aireborough 2,300 houses out of 66,000

5.2.1 A priority is: housing delivery in sustainable locations, which respects local character and distinctiveness, maximises opportunities to recycle previously developed land, whilst minimising greenfield and Green Belt release.

Policy H1: Allocations after the first 5 years: sites that best address: regeneration areas, best public transport accessibility, local services, least impact on Green Belt objectives, least impact on green infrastructure

.

Page 12: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

LDF Core Strategy: new housing

Page 13: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

LDF Core Strategy: major land use categories and changes

Page 14: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

LDF Core Strategy: housing

Policy H2: New housing development will be acceptable in principle on non-allocated land, providing that the number of dwellings does not exceed the capacity of transport, educational and health infrastructure, as existing or provided as a condition of development

Page 15: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

LDF Core Strategy

City Centre

5.1.18 The southern half of Leeds City Centre (all of the area south of the river) offers huge potential for development of offices, leisure uses, parkland, and housing, and possibly in the longer term further high street shopping.

Policy CC1: City Centre will be planned to accommodate …

10,200 dwellings

Page 16: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

City living and sustainability so far

• built on brownfield sites or using existing structures• improving urban vitality and viability• mixed use and lower need for travel by car

Page 17: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

City living so far – not sustainable development

• built in response to demand for buy-to-let

• built to minimum standards to keep costs down

• majority of residents plan to move in short term

• not greenest lifestyle

Page 18: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

City living: the next chapter?

In the medium to longer term:

• even more compelling rationale for city centre living for a wider range of households?

energy prices and resource shortages

environmental legislation

• need for a new approach to providing for such households?

Page 19: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Oil production to 2050 – ‘Peak Oil’ soon/now?

Page 20: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Oil use seen in long view

Page 21: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Energy is more than a strategic resource; it is integral to the structure of civilisation

Atkinson, A. (2007) Cities after oil – 1: ‘Sustainable development’ and energy futures, City 11(2) 201-213

Page 22: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Estimated reserves of metallic resources

Cohen D. (2007) Earth audit, New Scientist, 26 May 2007, 34-41.

Page 24: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

The implications of being beyond cheap energy

• Oil persistently > $100 a barrel

• Pushes up the price of everything

• Squeezes disposable income

“… complex societies need a high Energy Return On Investment built on a large primary energy base” (King and Hall, 2011, p.1811).

EROI =

the amount of energy produced

divided by

the amount consumed

Page 25: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Implications for future of Leeds?

Create options for people to live, work and spend leisure time that are less resource-intensive:

• energy-efficient housing

• reduce need to travel: facilities and jobs close by

• local sourcing of daily needs

• pleasant environment

Page 26: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

New kinds of neighbourhoods

Sustainable suburbs

Improved inner city neighbourhoods + Aire Valley eco-settlement

City centre south – new neighbourhood

Page 27: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Leeds City Centre South

Leeds Sustainable Development Group

Page 28: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Planning Policy – city centre south

South Bank

Holbeck UV

Aire Valley Leeds

Action Area Plan

?

UDP City Centre

Leeds Sustainable Development Group

Page 29: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Leeds Sustainable Development Group

Attend to road network

Page 30: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Reduce car traffic through the area

Leeds Sustainable Development Group

Page 31: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Green infrastructure

Leeds Sustainable Development Group

Page 32: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Green space: where liveability and sustainability meet

Clockwise from top left: Chicago, Havana, Tokyo, Berlin, Birmingham, Vancouver

Page 33: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Community Infrastructure

Leeds Sustainable Development Group

Page 34: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Development capacity

• > 200 acres

• Capacity for > 20 million sf of development

• 8-12,000 residential units?

Leeds Sustainable Development Group

Page 35: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Sustainable neighbourhoods:examples from a JRF publication

Page 36: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Freiburg

Created collaboratively with ‘an enabling masterplan’

Page 37: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

Living within limits

A sustainable city: the many different goals of its inhabitants and enterprises are met, without passing on costs to other people (including future generations) or to the wider environment

Adapted from HABITAT (1996) An urbanising world, p.420.

Page 38: School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Sustainable housing development in Leeds: markets and planning MA in Activism and Social Change SCHOOL OF GEOGRAPHY

References

Academy of Urbanism (2011) The Freiburg Charter for Sustainable Urbanism http://www.academyofurbanism.org.uk/

Freiberg Green City Brochure http://www.fwtm.freiburg.de/servlet/PB/menu/1182949_l2/index.html

Adams, D. and Payne, S. (2011) ‘Business as usual?’ – Exploring the design response of UK speculative housebuilders to the brownfield development challenge, in Tiesdell, S. and Adams, D. (eds) Urban Design in the Real Estate Process, Oxford, Wiley-Blackwell, 199-218.

Atkinson, A. (2007) Cities after oil – 1: ‘Sustainable development’ and energy futures, City 11(2) 201-213.

Cohen D. (2007) Earth audit, New Scientist, 26 May 2007, 34-41.

King, C.W. and Hall, C.A.S. (2011) Relating financial and energy return on investment, Sustainability 2011, 3(10), 1810-1832; doi:10.3390/su3101810 http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/3/10/1810

Rockström, J. et al (2009) Planetary boundaries: exploring the safe operating space for humanity, Ecology & Society 14(2) http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol14/iss2/art32/

Sustainable Urban Neighbourhoods Network (2012) How can local government build sustainable urban neighbourhoods? http://www.jrf.org.uk/publications/local-government-sustainable-urban-neighbourhoods

Unsworth, R. (2007) ‘City Living’ and Sustainable Development: the Experience of a UK Regional City, Town Planning Review 78(6), 725-747.