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Boston U., 2 005 C. Faloutsos 1 School of Computer Science Carnegie Mellon Data Mining using Fractals and Power laws Christos Faloutsos Carnegie Mellon University

School of Computer Science Carnegie Mellon Boston U., 2005C. Faloutsos1 Data Mining using Fractals and Power laws Christos Faloutsos Carnegie Mellon University

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Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 1

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Data Mining using Fractals and Power laws

Christos Faloutsos

Carnegie Mellon University

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 2

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

THANK YOU!

• Prof. Azer Bestavros

• Prof. Mark Crovella

• Prof. George Kollios

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 3

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Overview

• Goals/ motivation: find patterns in large datasets:– (A) Sensor data– (B) network/graph data

• Solutions: self-similarity and power laws

• Discussion

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 4

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Applications of sensors/streams

• ‘Smart house’: monitoring temperature, humidity etc

• Financial, sales, economic series

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 5

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Motivation - Applications• Medical: ECGs +; blood

pressure etc monitoring

• Scientific data: seismological; astronomical; environment / anti-pollution; meteorological [Kollios+, ICDE’04]

Sunspot Data

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 6

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Motivation - Applications (cont’d)

• civil/automobile infrastructure

– bridge vibrations [Oppenheim+02]

– road conditions / traffic monitoring

Automobile traffic

0200400600800

100012001400160018002000

time

# cars

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 7

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Motivation - Applications (cont’d)

• Computer systems

– web servers (buffering, prefetching)

– network traffic monitoring

– ...

http://repository.cs.vt.edu/lbl-conn-7.tar.Z

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 8

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Web traffic

• [Crovella Bestavros, SIGMETRICS’96]

1000 sec

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 9

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

...

survivable,self-managing storage

infrastructure

...

a storage brick(0.5–5 TB)~1 PB

“self-*” = self-managing, self-tuning, self-healing, … Goal: 1 petabyte (PB) for CMU researchers www.pdl.cmu.edu/SelfStar

Self-* Storage (Ganger+)

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 10

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem definition

• Given: one or more sequences x1 , x2 , … , xt , …; (y1, y2, … , yt, …)

• Find – patterns; clusters; outliers; forecasts;

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 11

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem #1

• Find patterns, in large datasets

time

# bytes

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 12

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem #1

• Find patterns, in large datasets

time

# bytes

Poisson indep., ident. distr

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 13

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem #1

• Find patterns, in large datasets

time

# bytes

Poisson indep., ident. distr

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 14

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem #1

• Find patterns, in large datasets

time

# bytes

Poisson indep., ident. distr

Q: Then, how to generatesuch bursty traffic?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 15

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Overview

• Goals/ motivation: find patterns in large datasets:– (A) Sensor data

– (B) network/graph data

• Solutions: self-similarity and power laws• Discussion

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 16

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem #2 - network and graph mining• How does the Internet look like?• How does the web look like?• What constitutes a ‘normal’ social

network?• What is the ‘network value’ of a

customer? • which gene/species affects the others

the most?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 17

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Network and graph mining

Food Web [Martinez ’91]

Protein Interactions [genomebiology.com]

Friendship Network [Moody ’01]

Graphs are everywhere!

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 18

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem#2Given a graph:

• which node to market-to / defend / immunize first?

• Are there un-natural sub-graphs? (eg., criminals’ rings)?

[from Lumeta: ISPs 6/1999]

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 19

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Solutions

• New tools: power laws, self-similarity and ‘fractals’ work, where traditional assumptions fail

• Let’s see the details:

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 20

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Overview

• Goals/ motivation: find patterns in large datasets:– (A) Sensor data– (B) network/graph data

• Solutions: self-similarity and power laws

• Discussion

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 21

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

What is a fractal?

= self-similar point set, e.g., Sierpinski triangle:

...zero area: (3/4)^inf

infinite length!

(4/3)^inf

Q: What is its dimensionality??

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 22

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

What is a fractal?

= self-similar point set, e.g., Sierpinski triangle:

...zero area: (3/4)^inf

infinite length!

(4/3)^inf

Q: What is its dimensionality??A: log3 / log2 = 1.58 (!?!)

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 23

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Intrinsic (‘fractal’) dimension

• Q: fractal dimension of a line?

• Q: fd of a plane?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 24

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Intrinsic (‘fractal’) dimension

• Q: fractal dimension of a line?

• A: nn ( <= r ) ~ r^1(‘power law’: y=x^a)

• Q: fd of a plane?• A: nn ( <= r ) ~ r^2fd== slope of (log(nn) vs..

log(r) )

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 25

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Sierpinsky triangle

log( r )

log(#pairs within <=r )

1.58

== ‘correlation integral’

= CDF of pairwise distances

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 26

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Observations: Fractals <-> power laws

Closely related:

• fractals <=>

• self-similarity <=>

• scale-free <=>

• power laws ( y= xa ; F=K r-2)

• (vs y=e-ax or y=xa+b)log( r )

log(#pairs within <=r )

1.58

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Outline

• Problems

• Self-similarity and power laws

• Solutions to posed problems

• Discussion

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 28

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

time

#bytes

Solution #1: traffic

• disk traces: self-similar: (also: [Leland+94])• How to generate such traffic?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 29

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Solution #1: traffic

• disk traces (80-20 ‘law’) – ‘multifractals’

time

#bytes

20% 80%

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 30

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

80-20 / multifractals20 80

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 31

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

80-20 / multifractals20

• p ; (1-p) in general

• yes, there are dependencies

80

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 32

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More on 80/20: PQRS

• Part of ‘self-* storage’ project

time

cylinder#

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 33

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More on 80/20: PQRS

• Part of ‘self-* storage’ project

p q

r s

q

r s

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 34

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Overview

• Goals/ motivation: find patterns in large datasets:– (A) Sensor data

– (B) network/graph data

• Solutions: self-similarity and power laws– sensor/traffic data

– network/graph data

• Discussion

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 35

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem #2 - topology

How does the Internet look like? Any rules?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 36

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Patterns?

• avg degree is, say 3.3• pick a node at random

– guess its degree, exactly (-> “mode”)

degree

count

avg: 3.3

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 37

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Patterns?

• avg degree is, say 3.3• pick a node at random

– guess its degree, exactly (-> “mode”)

• A: 1!!

degree

count

avg: 3.3

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 38

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Patterns?

• avg degree is, say 3.3• pick a node at random

- what is the degree you expect it to have?

• A: 1!!• A’: very skewed distr.• Corollary: the mean is

meaningless!• (and std -> infinity (!))

degree

count

avg: 3.3

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 39

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Solution#2: Rank exponent R• A1: Power law in the degree distribution

[SIGCOMM99]

internet domains

log(rank)

log(degree)

-0.82

att.com

ibm.com

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 40

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Solution#2’: Eigen Exponent E

• A2: power law in the eigenvalues of the adjacency matrix

E = -0.48

Exponent = slope

Eigenvalue

Rank of decreasing eigenvalue

May 2001

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 41

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Power laws - discussion

• do they hold, over time?

• do they hold on other graphs/domains?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 42

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Power laws - discussion

• do they hold, over time?

• Yes! for multiple years [Siganos+]

• do they hold on other graphs/domains?

• Yes!– web sites and links [Tomkins+], [Barabasi+]– peer-to-peer graphs (gnutella-style)– who-trusts-whom (epinions.com)

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 43

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Time Evolution: rank R

-1

-0.9

-0.8

-0.7

-0.6

-0.50 200 400 600 800

Instances in time: Nov'97 and on

Ra

nk

ex

po

ne

nt

• The rank exponent has not changed! [Siganos+]

Domainlevel

log(rank)

log(degree)

-0.82

att.com

ibm.com

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 44

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

The Peer-to-Peer Topology

• Number of immediate peers (= degree), follows a power-law

[Jovanovic+]

degree

count

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 45

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

epinions.com

• who-trusts-whom [Richardson + Domingos, KDD 2001]

(out) degree

count

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 46

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Why care about these patterns?

• better graph generators [BRITE, INET]– for simulations– extrapolations

• ‘abnormal’ graph and subgraph detection

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 47

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Outline

• problems

• Fractals

• Solutions

• Discussion – what else can they solve? – how frequent are fractals?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 48

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

What else can they solve?

• separability [KDD’02]• forecasting [CIKM’02]• dimensionality reduction [SBBD’00]• non-linear axis scaling [KDD’02]• disk trace modeling [PEVA’02]• selectivity of spatial/multimedia queries

[PODS’94, VLDB’95, ICDE’00]• ...

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 49

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Storyboard

• Search results

(ranked)

Collage with maps,

common phrases,

named entities and

dynamic query sliders

• Query (6TB of data)

Full Content Indexing, Search and Retrieval from Digital Video Archives

www.informedia.cs.cmu.edu

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 50

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

What else can they solve?

• separability [KDD’02]• forecasting [CIKM’02]• dimensionality reduction [SBBD’00]• non-linear axis scaling [KDD’02]• disk trace modeling [PEVA’02]• selectivity of spatial/multimedia queries

[PODS’94, VLDB’95, ICDE’00]• ...

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 51

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem #3 - spatial d.m.

Galaxies (Sloan Digital Sky Survey w/ B. Nichol) - ‘spiral’ and ‘elliptical’

galaxies

- patterns? (not Gaussian; not uniform)

-attraction/repulsion?

- separability??

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Solution#3: spatial d.m.

log(r)

log(#pairs within <=r )

spi-spi

spi-ell

ell-ell

- 1.8 slope

- plateau!

- repulsion!

CORRELATION INTEGRAL!

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 53

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Solution#3: spatial d.m.

log(r)

log(#pairs within <=r )

spi-spi

spi-ell

ell-ell

- 1.8 slope

- plateau!

- repulsion!

[w/ Seeger, Traina, Traina, SIGMOD00]

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 54

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

spatial d.m.

r1r2

r1

r2

Heuristic on choosing # of clusters

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 55

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Solution#3: spatial d.m.

log(r)

log(#pairs within <=r )

spi-spi

spi-ell

ell-ell

- 1.8 slope

- plateau!

- repulsion!

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 56

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem#4: dim. reduction

• given attributes x1, ... xn

– possibly, non-linearly correlated

• drop the useless ones mpg

cc

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 57

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Problem#4: dim. reduction

• given attributes x1, ... xn

– possibly, non-linearly correlated

• drop the useless ones

(Q: why? A: to avoid the ‘dimensionality curse’)Solution: keep on dropping attributes, until

the f.d. changes! [SBBD’00]

mpg

cc

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Outline

• problems

• Fractals

• Solutions

• Discussion – what else can they solve? – how frequent are fractals?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 59

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Fractals & power laws:

appear in numerous settings:

• medical

• geographical / geological

• social

• computer-system related

• <and many-many more! see [Mandelbrot]>

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Fractals: Brain scans

• brain-scans

octree levels

Log(#octants)

2.63 = fd

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 61

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

fMRI brain scans

• Center for Cognitive Brain Imaging @ CMU

• Tom Mitchell, Marcel Just, ++

fMRI Goal: human brain function

Which voxels are active,

for a given cognitive task?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 62

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More fractals

• periphery of malignant tumors: ~1.5

• benign: ~1.3

• [Burdet+]

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 63

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More fractals:

• cardiovascular system: 3 (!) lungs: ~2.9

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 64

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Fractals & power laws:

appear in numerous settings:

• medical

• geographical / geological

• social

• computer-system related

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 65

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More fractals:

• Coastlines: 1.2-1.58

1 1.1

1.3

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 66

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 67

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Cross-roads of Montgomery county:

•any rules?

GIS points

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 68

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

GIS

A: self-similarity:• intrinsic dim. = 1.51

log( r )

log(#pairs(within <= r))

1.51

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Examples:LB county

• Long Beach county of CA (road end-points)

1.7

log(r)

log(#pairs)

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 70

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More power laws: areas – Korcak’s law

Scandinavian lakes

Any pattern?

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 71

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More power laws: areas – Korcak’s law

Scandinavian lakes area vs complementary cumulative count (log-log axes)

log(count( >= area))

log(area)

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 72

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More power laws: Korcak

Japan islands;

area vs cumulative count (log-log axes) log(area)

log(count( >= area))

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 73

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

More power laws

• Energy of earthquakes (Gutenberg-Richter law) [simscience.org]

log(count)

Magnitude = log(energy)day

Energy released

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 74

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Fractals & power laws:

appear in numerous settings:

• medical

• geographical / geological

• social

• computer-system related

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 75

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

A famous power law: Zipf’s law

• Bible - rank vs. frequency (log-log)

log(rank)

log(freq)

“a”

“the”

“Rank/frequency plot”

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 76

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

TELCO data

# of service units

count ofcustomers

‘best customer’

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 77

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

SALES data – store#96

# units sold

count of products

“aspirin”

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 78

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Olympic medals (Sidney’00, Athens’04):

log( rank)

log(#medals)

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2

athens

sidney

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 79

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Even more power laws:

• Income distribution (Pareto’s law)• size of firms

• publication counts (Lotka’s law)

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 80

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Even more power laws:

library science (Lotka’s law of publication count); and citation counts: (citeseer.nj.nec.com 6/2001)

log(#citations)

log(count)

Ullman

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 81

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Even more power laws:

• web hit counts [w/ A. Montgomery]

Web Site Traffic

log(freq)

log(count)

Zipf“yahoo.com”

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 82

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Fractals & power laws:

appear in numerous settings:

• medical

• geographical / geological

• social

• computer-system related

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 83

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Power laws, cont’d

• In- and out-degree distribution of web sites [Barabasi], [IBM-CLEVER]

log indegree

- log(freq)

from [Ravi Kumar, Prabhakar Raghavan, Sridhar Rajagopalan, Andrew Tomkins ]

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 84

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Power laws, cont’d

• In- and out-degree distribution of web sites [Barabasi], [IBM-CLEVER]

• length of file transfers [Crovella+Bestavros ‘96]

• duration of UNIX jobs [Harchol-Balter]

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Conclusions

• Fascinating problems in Data Mining: find patterns in– sensors/streams – graphs/networks

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Conclusions - cont’d

New tools for Data Mining: self-similarity & power laws: appear in many cases

Bad news:

lead to skewed distributions

(no Gaussian, Poisson,

uniformity, independence,

mean, variance)

Good news:• ‘correlation integral’

for separability• rank/frequency plots• 80-20 (multifractals)• (Hurst exponent, • strange attractors,• renormalization theory, • ++)

Boston U., 2005 C. Faloutsos 87

School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Resources

• Manfred Schroeder “Chaos, Fractals and Power Laws”, 1991

• Jiawei Han and Micheline Kamber “Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques”, 2001

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

References

• [vldb95] Alberto Belussi and Christos Faloutsos, Estimating the Selectivity of Spatial Queries Using the `Correlation' Fractal Dimension Proc. of VLDB, p. 299-310, 1995

• M. Crovella and A. Bestavros, Self similarity in World wide web traffic: Evidence and possible causes , SIGMETRICS ’96.

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References

• J. Considine, F. Li, G. Kollios and J. Byers, Approximate Aggregation Techniques for Sensor Databases (ICDE’04, best paper award).

• [pods94] Christos Faloutsos and Ibrahim Kamel, Beyond Uniformity and Independence: Analysis of R-trees Using the Concept of Fractal Dimension, PODS, Minneapolis, MN, May 24-26, 1994, pp. 4-13

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References

• [vldb96] Christos Faloutsos, Yossi Matias and Avi Silberschatz, Modeling Skewed Distributions Using Multifractals and the `80-20 Law’ Conf. on Very Large Data Bases (VLDB), Bombay, India, Sept. 1996.

• [sigmod2000] Christos Faloutsos, Bernhard Seeger, Agma J. M. Traina and Caetano Traina Jr., Spatial Join Selectivity Using Power Laws, SIGMOD 2000

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

References

• [vldb96] Christos Faloutsos and Volker Gaede Analysis of the Z-Ordering Method Using the Hausdorff Fractal Dimension VLD, Bombay, India, Sept. 1996

• [sigcomm99] Michalis Faloutsos, Petros Faloutsos and Christos Faloutsos, What does the Internet look like? Empirical Laws of the Internet Topology, SIGCOMM 1999

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

References

• [ieeeTN94] W. E. Leland, M.S. Taqqu, W. Willinger, D.V. Wilson, On the Self-Similar Nature of Ethernet Traffic, IEEE Transactions on Networking, 2, 1, pp 1-15, Feb. 1994.

• [brite] Alberto Medina, Anukool Lakhina, Ibrahim Matta, and John Byers. BRITE: An Approach to Universal Topology Generation. MASCOTS '01

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References

• [icde99] Guido Proietti and Christos Faloutsos, I/O complexity for range queries on region data stored using an R-tree (ICDE’99)

• Stan Sclaroff, Leonid Taycher and Marco La Cascia , "ImageRover: A content-based image browser for the world wide web" Proc. IEEE Workshop on Content-based Access of Image and Video Libraries, pp 2-9, 1997.

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References

• [kdd2001] Agma J. M. Traina, Caetano Traina Jr., Spiros Papadimitriou and Christos Faloutsos: Tri-plots: Scalable Tools for Multidimensional Data Mining, KDD 2001, San Francisco, CA.

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School of Computer ScienceCarnegie Mellon

Thank you!

Contact info:christos <at> cs.cmu.edu

www. cs.cmu.edu /~christos

(w/ papers, datasets, code for fractal dimension estimation, etc)