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SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

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Page 1: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Page 2: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring

What is it?• Failure detection algorithm that uses

existing SCADA data• Uses an established relationship

between SCADA signals to detect when a component is operating abnormally

• Compares suspected failures to a database of known issues to determine likelihood of an emerging problem

What is it not?• High-frequency vibration monitoring• An automatic algorithm

Page 3: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Winding temps

Winding temps

Main bearing temp

Gearbox bearing temps

Gearbox oil sump tempGenerator bearing tempsGenerator rotational speed

Gate temperatures

Phase Voltages & Currents

Nacelle internal ambient tempCooling system tempsExternal ambient temp

SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring

Mainbearing

Pitch angle

Rotor rotational speed

Exported power

Nacelle anemometer wind speedYaw angle

Hub and pitchsystem

Gearbox Generator

Power converter

Transformer

What signals are available?

Page 4: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Temperature Trending

• Simple method• Readily applied to many datasets• Low reliability during intermittent or changing operational modes

Page 5: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Artificial Neural Networks

• Learning algorithm used to reveal patterns in data or model complex relationships between variables

• More sensitive to ‘abnormal’ behaviour

• Inability to identify nature of the operational issue

• Results difficult to interpret

Page 6: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Physical Model

Heat Loss to Surroundings

Heat Loss to Cooling System

Depends on nacelle and external temperature and cooling system duty

Model using nws3 Include ambient temperature and pressure if

available.Frictional Losses Dependent on shaft

speed (use rotor speedor generator speed in

model)

T

SCADA System

Energy Output

WIND TURBINEDRIVETRAINCOMPONENT

EnergyInput

Model inputs:Nws3, power, rotor speed,external temp, cooling system temp

Model output:Component temp

Model usingexport power

Page 7: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Conclusions

CriteriaSignal

TrendingSOM

Physical Model

Time and effort to initiate a new model for each turbine analysis 3 2 1

Page 8: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Conclusions

CriteriaSignal

TrendingSOM

Physical Model

Time and effort to initiate a new model for each turbine analysis 3 2 1

Ability to incorporate a wide range of model inputs 1 3 2

Page 9: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Conclusions

CriteriaSignal

TrendingSOM

Physical Model

Time and effort to initiate a new model for each turbine analysis 3 2 1

Ability to incorporate a wide range of model inputs 1 3 2

Ease of identifying impending component failure 2 1 3

Page 10: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Conclusions

CriteriaSignal

TrendingSOM

Physical Model

Time and effort to initiate a new model for each turbine analysis 3 2 1

Ability to incorporate a wide range of model inputs 1 3 2

Ease of identifying impending component failure 2 1 3

Ability to distinguish component deterioration from operational or environmental fluctuations

1 2 3

Page 11: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Conclusions

CriteriaSignal

TrendingSOM

Physical Model

Time and effort to initiate a new model for each turbine analysis 3 2 1

Ability to incorporate a wide range of model inputs 1 3 2

Ease of identifying impending component failure 2 1 3

Ability to distinguish component deterioration from operational or environmental fluctuations

1 2 3

Ability to detect impending failures in advance 2 1 3

Page 12: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Comparison of Methods: Conclusions

CriteriaSignal

TrendingSOM

Physical Model

Time and effort to initiate a new model for each turbine analysis 3 2 1

Ability to incorporate a wide range of model inputs 1 3 2

Ease of identifying impending component failure 2 1 3

Ability to distinguish component deterioration from operational or environmental fluctuations

1 2 3

Ability to detect impending failures in advance 2 1 3

Total Score 9 9 12

Page 13: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Validation Study

Series of blind tests were conducted• Historical data• Engineer given no indication of known failures• Suspected impending failures documented

• 472 turbine-years of data considered

• Compared against service records and site management reports

Site Location Operational Data Set

YearsA Italy 4.8B Ireland 6.0C Ireland 6.5D UK 7.0E UK 2.5

Page 14: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Validation Study: Example Results

• Both charts show different signals on same turbine:

Modelled Temperature

Rotor Side High Speed Bearing

Model Inputs Generator Speed Power Nacelle Temperature

Failed Component GearboxAdvance notice 9 months

Modelled Temperature

Gen Side Intermediate Speed Bearing

Model Inputs Generator Speed Power Nacelle Temperature

Failed Component GearboxAdvance notice 7 months

TA

CT

UA

L –T

MO

DE

LLE

DT

AC

TU

AL

–TM

OD

ELL

ED

Page 15: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Validation Study: Results

Site Location Operational Data Set

Years

Predicted failures

A Italy 4.8 7B Ireland 6.0 7C Ireland 6.5 1D UK 7.0 5E UK 2.5 7

Page 16: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Validation Study: Results

Site Location Operational Data Set

Years

Predicted failures

Actual Failures

True Detections

False Detections

Score True / False

A Italy 4.8 7 8 7 0 88% / 0%B Ireland 6.0 7 8 6 1 75% / 13%C Ireland 6.5 1 4 1 0 25% / 0%D UK 7.0 5 6 5 0 83% / 0%E UK 2.5 7 10 5 2 50% / 20%

Page 17: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Validation Study: Results

Site Location Operational Data Set

Years

Predicted failures

Actual Failures

True Detections

False Detections

Score True / False

A Italy 4.8 7 8 7 0 88% / 0%B Ireland 6.0 7 8 6 1 75% / 13%C Ireland 6.5 1 4 1 0 25% / 0%D UK 7.0 5 6 5 0 83% / 0%E UK 2.5 7 10 5 2 50% / 20%

Two thirds of failures detected

in advance

Page 18: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Validation Study: Results

Majority of failures detected 4 to 12 months in advance

Page 19: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Summary & Conclusions

• Comparison of methods:• Temperature trending, physical model and artificial neural network methods compared• Physical model identified as most promising

Page 20: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Summary & Conclusions

• Comparison of methods:• Temperature trending, physical model and artificial neural network methods compared• Physical model identified as most promising

• Validation study performed:• Two thirds of failures detected in advance• Majority of failures detected 4 to 12 months in advance

Page 21: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Summary & Conclusions

• Comparison of methods:• Temperature trending, physical model and artificial neural network methods compared• Physical model identified as most promising

• Validation study performed:• Two thirds of failures detected in advance• Majority of failures detected 4 to 12 months in advance

• Overall conclusions:• Quick implementation – no additional monitoring hardware required• Pro-active maintenance/repair activities to be scheduled and planned• Targeted inspections possible

Page 22: SCADA-Based Condition Monitoring Joining advanced analytic techniques with turbine engineering Michael Wilkinson EWEA 2013, Vienna

Questions or comments?

Michael WilkinsonGL Garrad Hassan+44 117 972 9900

[email protected]