12
Equity 14 June 2015 Khatija Haque Head of MENA Research +971 4 230 7803 [email protected] Aditya Pugalia Analyst +971 4 230 7802 [email protected] www.emiratesnbdresearch.com Saudi Arabia: Equity market opens to direct foreign investment Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most liquid market in MENA, there is understandably significant interest in and excitement about this event, and for economic reasons the decision is also timely. Saudi Arabia is the biggest economy in the GCC, and the 19th largest economy in the world, with a nominal GDP of USD 753bn in 2014. It is also the most populous nation in the GCC with 30.8 people, more than half of which are under the age of 30. With the second largest proven oil reserves in the world, oil remains a key driver of economic growth in Saudi Arabia, with the hydrocarbons sector accounting for over 40% of GDP last year, up from 33% of GDP in 2004. Moreover, hydrocarbon revenues account for around 90% of total budget revenues and have thus been the main driver behind the substantial fiscal surpluses that have been accumulated over the last decade. Saudi budget in deficit for the first time in 12 years in 2014… The sharp decline in oil prices since last summer have had an immediate and significant impact on the fiscal position. The 2014 budget recorded the first deficit in 12 years, at SAR65.5bn (-2.3% of GDP), and the deficit is likely to have widened this year to around 12%. In addition to further weakness in oil prices in Q1 2015, government spending has likely been higher than budgeted year-to-date as a result of one-off bonuses and disbursements on the accession of King Salman in February and the escalation of military activity in Yemen and against ISIS. Given the increased spending on defence, and the difficulty in reducing public sector wages, some budget cuts are likely to be made on the capital spending front. However, the government has ring-fenced funding for major infrastructure projects and we expect those projects already underway to continue. The emphasis in recent years has been on developing transport, housing, education and healthcare infrastructure, including the construction of thousands of kilometers of roads, new schools, universities, hospitals as well as expansion of ports, airports and railways. The 2015 budget allocated substantial funds for education, healthcare and social services infrastructure. Tadawul has outperformed its peers so far this year Source: Bloomberg, Emirates NBD Research 95 100 105 110 115 120 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Tadawul S&P Pan Arab Composite Index MSCI EM Index

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Page 1: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Equity 14 June 2015

Khatija Haque

Head of MENA Research

+971 4 230 7803

[email protected]

Aditya Pugalia

Analyst

+971 4 230 7802

[email protected]

www.emiratesnbdresearch.com

Saudi Arabia: Equity market opens to direct foreign investment Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June

2015. As the largest and most liquid market in MENA, there is understandably significant

interest in and excitement about this event, and for economic reasons the decision is also

timely.

Saudi Arabia is the biggest economy in the GCC, and the 19th largest economy in the

world, with a nominal GDP of USD 753bn in 2014. It is also the most populous nation in

the GCC with 30.8 people, more than half of which are under the age of 30.

With the second largest proven oil reserves in the world, oil remains a key driver of

economic growth in Saudi Arabia, with the hydrocarbons sector accounting for over 40%

of GDP last year, up from 33% of GDP in 2004. Moreover, hydrocarbon revenues account

for around 90% of total budget revenues and have thus been the main driver behind the

substantial fiscal surpluses that have been accumulated over the last decade.

Saudi budget in deficit for the first time in 12 years in 2014… The sharp decline in oil prices since last summer have had an immediate and significant

impact on the fiscal position. The 2014 budget recorded the first deficit in 12 years, at –

SAR65.5bn (-2.3% of GDP), and the deficit is likely to have widened this year to around

12%. In addition to further weakness in oil prices in Q1 2015, government spending has

likely been higher than budgeted year-to-date as a result of one-off bonuses and

disbursements on the accession of King Salman in February and the escalation of military

activity in Yemen and against ISIS.

Given the increased spending on defence, and the difficulty in reducing public sector

wages, some budget cuts are likely to be made on the capital spending front. However,

the government has ring-fenced funding for major infrastructure projects and we expect

those projects already underway to continue. The emphasis in recent years has been on

developing transport, housing, education and healthcare infrastructure, including the

construction of thousands of kilometers of roads, new schools, universities, hospitals as

well as expansion of ports, airports and railways. The 2015 budget allocated substantial

funds for education, healthcare and social services infrastructure.

Tadawul has outperformed its peers so far this year

Source: Bloomberg, Emirates NBD Research

95

100

105

110

115

120

Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15

Tadawul S&P Pan Arab Composite Index MSCI EM Index

Page 2: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 2

…but spending can be maintained for some time So far, the government appears to have been drawing down accumulated

reserves in order to fund the budget shortfalls, with SAMA’s Net Foreign Assets

(NFAs) declining by -USD 45.5bn in the year to April. However, the stock of NFAs

remains substantial, at about USD 678bn, or 90% of GDP, which provides a

substantial cushion against low oil prices and should allow the government to

avoid an immediate, sharp fiscal consolidation, which would have a negative

impact on economic growth. Furthermore, Saudi Arabia has no external public

debt, and the stock of domestic debt is low at just 1.6% of GDP (2014). We expect

the government to increase domestic debt issuance and rely less on drawing down

accumulated reserves in order to finance budget shortfalls in 2015.

Current account expected to move into deficit in 2015 It is from an external balance perspective that the decision to open the Saudi

equity market to direct foreign investment is timely. The Kingdom has run a current

account surplus since at least 2006, mainly due to oil revenues. The current

account surplus narrowed to USD 75.6bn in 2014 from USD 134.2bn in 2013, both

on the back of lower oil revenues and a higher deficit on the services balance. In

2015, we forecast a current account deficit of -USD 13.7bn (-2.0% of GDP). An

increase in portfolio investment following the opening of the equity market, while

by no means necessary, would help to offset the current account deficit, which in

the absence of other inward investment in the Kingdom would have put additional

pressure on official FX reserves and reduce maneuverability in terms of running

the budget deficit.

Why is Saudi Arabia an attractive prospect for foreign investment? Although growth is expected to be slower in 2015 – we conservatively forecast

growth of 2.5% - the Kingdom has strong fundamentals including low debt,

substantial accumulated reserves and a young and growing population. The

Tadawul is the largest stock market in MENA, and the seventh largest in the global

emerging market (GEM) universe, with a market capitalization of USD 570bn. With

an average daily value traded of c. USD 2.5bn, it is the fourth most liquid market

among its GEM peers.

However, Tadawul has not been included in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index

because of the restrictions on foreign ownership. Opening the market to direct

investment by foreigners removes the last hurdle towards being included in the

MSCI Emerging Markets index. According to market estimates, if included, Saudi

Arabia could hold a weight of as much as 4.4% in the MSCI Emerging Market

index, which could translate into c. USD5bn of inflows into the Tadawul.

Foreigners currently own an estimated 1% of the market. If the total foreign

ownership in Saudi Arabia were to increase to 5%, the equivalent of the average

foreign ownership level in the UAE and Qatar, then that could translates into

inflows of c. USD 25bn.

How will it work?

Broad Regulations In order to qualify as a Qualified Financial Institution (QFI), the applicant or any of

its affiliates must have a minimum of five years of related experience and have at

least SAR 18.75bn worth of assets under management (AUM). The CMA reserves

the right to reduce the minimum threshold for AUM to SAR 11.25bn.

Each QFI will be able to hold up to 5% at an individual company level and the

aggregate position in the market level (including any SWAP position) has been

capped at 10% of total market value.

Page 3: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 3

The Fine Print The CMA has explicitly mentioned that strategic investors will be accounted for in

the maximum allowed foreign ownership limit of 49%. The regulator also said that

it will consider allowing foreigners to participate in IPOs on a case-by-case basis.

The regulator has also approved the Independent Custody Model which in effect

separates the role of the custodian and the broker and allows QFIs to place orders

with multiple brokers without the need to maintain separate cash accounts with

each broker.

The QFIs will be subject to the 5% withholding tax on dividends which will be

collected by the company.

The current settlement cycle of T+0 will continue and hence all transactions by

QFIs will need to be pre-funded.

Individual Stock Limits The aggregate QFI limit for all stocks listed on the Tadawul is 49%. However QFIs

are barred from investing in Makkah Construction & Development, Jabal Omar

Development, Taiba Holding, Knowledge Economic City and National Shipping

Co.

As per latest available data, the following stocks have limited foreign ownership

limits:

Stock Allowed Ownership Limit Current Foreign Ownership

Saudi Hollandi Bank 49% 41.81% Saudi British Bank 49% 41.60% Arab National Bank 49% 40.87% ANB Insurance 49% 40.29% Petro Rabigh 49% 38.59%

The valuation conundrum

The Tadawul is currently trading on a 12-month forward P/E of 16.5x, a 30%

premium to the MSCI Emerging Markets index which is trading at 12.7x 12-month

forward P/E. Similarly on a P/B ratio basis, the Tadawul is currently trading at 38%

premium to the MSCI Emerging Markets index at 2.07x. The premium in valuation

looks exaggerated when net earnings downgrade of 13% and a very weak

earnings revision ratio of below 1.0 at 0.3 are taken into account.

Page 4: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 4

Tadawul in Charts

Tadawul – Foreign Fund Flows (SAR bn)

Tadawul – Relative to MENA peers (PE)

Tadawul - PE Bands

Source: Bloomberg, Emirates NBD Research

Tadawul & Oil

Tadawul – Relative to EM peers (PE)

Tadawul - Relative Strength Index (RSI)

(1,500)

(1,000)

(500)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May

y = 0.1621x + 12.399R² = 0.0291

4.0

10.0

16.0

22.0

8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0

BE

st R

OE

2015

BEst PE 2015

DSM

DFMGI

ADSMI

MADEX

MSM

TadawulISE 100

6000

8000

10000

12000

Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14

Actual Price SAR Px = 10014 @ p/e of 21.00

Px = 9059.9 @ p/e of 19.00 Px = 8106.2 @ p/e of 17.00

Px = 7152.5 @ p/e of 15.00 Px = 6198.9 @ p/e of 13.00

40

60

80

100

120

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15

SASEIDX Index (R1) OPECDALY Index (R2)

y = 0.6917x + 3.0958R² = 0.1543

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0

BE

st R

OE

2015

BEst PE 2015

Karachi

Nifty

Jakarta

Taiwan

Vietnam

Bovespa

Kospi ShanghaiJo'burg

Micex

Tadawul

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15

Page 5: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 5

Saudi Arabia in Charts

GDP growth

Purchasing Managers’ Index

Current Account and Fiscal balance

Source: Bloomberg, Haver Analytics, Emirates NBD Research

Oil production and OPEC price

Inflation

SAMA’s Net Foreign Assets

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f

% y

/y

GDP growth Oil sector Non-oil sector

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

64

Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

2012 2013 2014f 2015f 2016f

% G

DP

30

50

70

90

110

9.0

9.2

9.4

9.6

9.8

10.0

10.2

10.4

Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15

USD

mn b

pd

Saudi Arabia (lhs) OPEC oil price (rhs)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Jan-13 Jun-13 Nov-13 Apr-14 Sep-14 Feb-15

Headline CPI Food Housing

640

660

680

700

720

740

760

Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15

US

D b

n

Page 6: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 6

Key Indicators

Top Dividend Yielding Stocks

Stock Price (SAR) M. Cap (SAR) BEst Dvd Yld BEst P/E BEst P/B

Eastern Cement 47.97

4.13b 7.30% 13.21 1.80

Saudi Cement 96.36 14.74b 7.03% 13.42 4.74

Arabian Cement 77.96 7.80b 6.94% 11.58 2.46

Etihad Etisalat 33.80 26.03b 6.57% 15.41 1.16

Southern Province Cement 97.99 13.72b 6.54% 12.71 4.48

Yamama Cement 47.63 9.65b 6.48% 13.11 2.60

Yanbu Cement 66.56 10.48b 6.27% 13.06 2.93

Saudi Telecom 66.31 132.62b 6.22% 11.40 1.99

Red Sea Housing 41.80 2.51b 6.22% 10.63 -

Qassim Cement 98.19 8.84b 6.17% 15.93 4.55

Source: Bloomberg, Emirates NBD Only stocks with T12 revenues of more than SAR 250mn have been included.

Stocks with lowest foreign ownership limit room

Stock Allowed Ownership Limit (%) Current Foreign Ownership (%)

Saudi Hollandi Bank 49% 41.81%

Saudi British Bank 49% 41.60%

Arab National Bank 49% 40.87%

ANB Insurance 49% 40.29%

Petro Rabigh 49% 38.59%

Source: Tadawul, Emirates NBD

Page 7: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 7

Key Economic Forecasts

National Income 2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f

Nominal GDP (SAR bn) 2752.3 2791.3 2798.4 2630.6 2902.7

Nominal GDP (USD bn) 734.0 744.3 746.2 701.5 774.1

GDP per capita (USD) 25135 24811 24150 22040 23612

Real GDP Growth (% y/y) 5.4 2.7 3.5 2.5 3.0

Hydrocarbon 5.1 -1.6 1.5 -0.6 0.0

Non- hydrocarbon 5.5 6.4 5.0 4.9 5.4

Monetary Indicators (% y/y)

M2 13.9 10.9 10.0 8.0 9.0

Private sector credit 16.4 12.5 13.4 11.5 13.5

CPI (average) 2.9 3.5 2.7 3.0 3.5

External Accounts (USD bn)

Exports 388.2 375.7 342.1 245.8 274.8

Of which: hydrocarbons 342.5 342.5 298.7 185.2 209.9

Imports 141.8 153.3 158.5 169.6 181.4

Trade balance 246.4 222.3 183.6 76.3 93.3

% GDP 33.6 29.9 24.6 10.9 12.1

Current account balance 163.6 134.2 75.6 -13.7 2.3

% GDP 22.3 18.0 10.1 -2.0 0.3

SAMA's Net foreign Assets 647.6 716.7 724.3

Fiscal Indicators (% GDP)

Budget balance 13.6 6.5 -2.3 -11.8 -8.8

Revenue 45.3 41.4 37.3 26.2 27.0

Expenditure 31.7 35.0 39.7 38.0 35.8

Public debt 5.4 3.6 2.2 1.6

Source: Haver Analytics, Emirates NBD Research

Page 8: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 8

Stocks

Company

Price

LLC

Market Cap

(USD mn)

PE

2014

BEst

PE

2015

ROE

2014

BEst

ROE

2015

PB

2014

ROA

2014

Dvd

Yld

2014

BEst

DvdYl

d 2015 RSI

Avg Value

Traded

3m (USD

mn)

Telecom Sector

Saudi Telecom 66.31 35063.9 12.0 11.6 18.8 18.3 2.2 12.3 5.3 6.0 36 15.4

Etihad Etisalat 33.80 6939.7 - 16.6 -4.3 8.7 1.7 -1.9 8.5 5.9 28 79.1

Zain KSA 11.23 1735.5 - - -20.8 -20.9 1.3 -4.9 0.0 - 41 26.7

Average 12.0 14.1 -2.1 2.0 1.7 1.8 4.6 5.9

Petrochemical Sector

Sabic 102.01 81393.5 10.7 15.1 14.6 11.4 1.5 6.9 6.6 4.8 47 141.6

Safco 121.80 13387.8 14.8 16.5 39.4 35.1 6.0 34.5 5.0 5.3 59 17.8

NIC 23.73 4218.3 16.6 13.9 9.1 9.0 1.5 2.2 3.8 4.8 38 26.8

Saudi Kayan

Petrochemical Co

11.54 4579.6 - - -0.3 -0.8 1.2 -0.1 0.0 0.0 37 41.1

Saudi International

Petrochemical Co

32.47 3148.2 16.1 19.0 10.3 10.4 1.6 3.6 4.7 3.9 51 4.4

Yanbu National

Petrochemical Co

51.40 7536.9 10.8 18.4 16.2 9.8 1.7 10.9 6.3 5.4 43 13.9

Saudi Industrial

Investment Group

26.78 3203.7 12.3 11.7 14.2 13.2 1.7 3.6 3.9 4.8 43 16.8

Advanced Petrochem 58.03 2514.4 8.8 16.8 32.4 23.1 2.8 21.3 7.5 4.7 55 13.8

Sahara Petrochem Co 15.06 1743.3 17.3 20.5 6.6 5.5 1.1 4.5 5.6 4.1 28 25.0

Rabigh Refining

trochemical Co

23.08 5314.0 23.3 19.4 7.4 10.1 1.7 1.6 0.0 3.8 38 24.5

Average 14.5 16.8 15.0 12.7 2.1 8.9 4.3 4.2

Retail Sector

Jarir Marketing Co 229.07 5435.6 22.4 23.4 58.9 61.3 12.3 32.0 3.3 3.6 50 7.1

Fawaz Abdulaziz Al

Hokair & Co

101.47 5627.5 24.5 20.0 34.7 38.5 7.8 17.0 1.5 2.9 38 7.0

Abdullah Al Othaim

Markets Co

108.92 1298.9 22.1 19.9 24.4 23.6 5.0 9.9 1.7 1.8 63 4.5

Mouwasat Medical

Services Co

143.20 1869.9 25.7 25.0 25.1 24.0 6.0 15.1 1.6 1.9 60 2.3

Dallah Healthcare Holding

Co

143.00 1799.7 41.6 38.8 11.9 13.3 4.8 9.3 0.8 1.0 70 3.5

Aldrees Petroleum

anTransport Services

64.49 679.9 16.6 17.5 22.5 23.0 3.5 10.8 3.9 3.3 47 4.4

Average 25.5 24.1 29.6 30.6 6.6 15.7 2.1 2.4

Industrials Sector

Saudi Arabian Mining Co 44.90 13677.9 22.2 26.4 5.8 6.6 1.3 1.8 0.0 0.0 49 80.6

Saudi Chemical Co 80.55 1344.8 12.8 - 18.6 - 2.3 9.6 6.6 - 61 9.9

Saudi Pharmaceutical

Indust & Med Applia

46.44 1471.9 11.6 18.5 8.9 8.6 1.2 7.4 4.4 3.5 46 9.0

Average 15.5 22.5 11.1 7.6 1.6 6.3 3.7 1.7

Page 9: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 9

Stocks

Company

Price

LLC

Market Cap

(USD mn)

PE

2014

BEst

PE

2015

ROE

2014

BEst

ROE

2015

PB

2014

ROA

2014

Dvd

Yld

2014

BEst

DvdYl

d 2015 RSI

Avg Value

Traded

3m (USD

mn)

Real Estate Sector

Jabal Omar Development

Co

76.75 18772.4 116.8 - 4.6 - 5.2 2.4 0.0 - 46 45.2

Makkah Construction &

Development Co

93.75 4043.2 34.5 - 6.1 - 1.9 5.9 - - 20 6.0

Dar Al Arkan Real Estate

Development Co

9.07 2577.4 15.3 13.4 3.3 4.0 0.5 2.3 0.0 1.7 36 110.5

Emaar Economic City 16.08 3615.0 26.6 27.5 4.7 5.8 1.2 2.5 0.0 - 53 51.0

Taiba Holding Co 44.10 1739.9 5.0 17.3 32.4 9.1 1.5 25.4 3.2 3.7 50 25.6

Arriyadh Development Co 22.70 805.3 13.3 16.8 11.2 10.4 1.6 9.0 4.9 4.4 35 14.3

Knowledge Economic City

Co

27.82 2442.8 - - -0.9 - 1.8 -0.8 0.0 - 42 65.3

Average 35.3 18.7 8.8 7.3 2.0 6.7 1.3 3.3

Banking Sector

Al Rajhi Bank 65.34 28381.1 12.2 16.0 17.0 16.0 2.0 2.3 3.4 3.1 48 53.1

National Commercial

Bank

66.18 35330.5 12.7 16.4 20.1 17.9 2.4 2.1 2.6 2.3 38 24.0

Samba Financial Group 28.11 14825.4 9.3 11.5 13.6 12.0 1.2 2.4 3.5 3.4 38 10.9

Riyad Bank 17.70 13998.9 11.7 12.0 12.5 12.1 1.4 2.1 4.3 4.4 47 17.5

Banque Saudi Fransi 38.03 12245.4 10.7 12.6 14.2 12.9 1.4 2.0 3.3 2.1 43 2.7

Alinma Bank 23.81 9479.2 24.0 25.0 7.3 7.8 1.7 1.8 2.5 2.0 43 185.5

Saudi British Bank/The 35.95 13998.9 13.7 12.1 17.4 16.2 2.2 2.3 1.8 2.2 42 3.9

Arab National Bank 33.81 9065.9 10.6 11.2 14.5 14.6 1.5 1.9 3.3 2.8 36 2.7

Bank AlJazira 29.82 3146.4 19.4 13.1 9.6 14.0 1.8 0.9 0.0 0.6 34 12.5

Bank AlBilad 36.77 4852.9 20.6 21.1 15.7 13.3 3.0 2.1 0.0 1.0 24 8.7

Saudi Investment

Bank/The

24.32 4194.3 10.8 12.3 13.0 11.0 1.3 1.6 3.1 3.1 29 5.3

Saudi Hollandi Bank 46.00 6873.1 11.7 13.4 18.1 17.9 2.0 2.1 2.9 1.8 43 2.2

Average 14.0 14.7 14.4 13.8 1.8 2.0 2.6 2.4

Transportation Sector

National Shipping Co of

Saudi Arabia/The

53.00 5485.8 21.5 22.6 7.8 - 1.7 3.7 2.9 2.2 57 17.6

Saudi Public Transport Co 27.99 906.6 29.3 - 6.9 - 2.0 4.8 3.1 - 37 33.8

Average 25.4 22.6 7.4 - 1.9 4.2 3.0 2.2

Agriculture Sector

Savola 73.86 10464.9 20.8 19.6 21.1 19.2 4.2 8.1 2.9 3.1 43 11.1

Almarai 91.35 14558.4 27.3 26.9 15.9 18.8 4.2 7.1 1.3 1.3 55 7.9

Saudi Airline Catering 160.74 3454.7 23.3 19.6 54.9 53.1 12.4 37.4 3.6 4.3 39 13.6

Average 23.8 22.1 30.6 30.4 7.0 17.5 2.6 2.9

Page 10: Saudi Arabia: Equity direct foreign investment · 14-06-2015  · Saudi Arabia is opening its stock market to direct investment by foreigners on 15 June 2015. As the largest and most

Page 10

Stocks

Company

Price

LLC

Market Cap

(USD mn)

PE

2014

BEst

PE

2015

ROE

2014

BEst

ROE

2015

PB

2014

ROA

2014

Dvd

Yld

2014

BEst

DvdYl

d 2015 RSI

Avg Value

Traded

3m (USD

mn)

Cement Sector

Saudi Cement 96.36 3896.0 13.6 13.4 33.5 32.7 4.6 24.3 6.3 7.0 50 3.3

Yamama Cement Co 47.63 2543.1 14.5 13.3 17.6 18.2 2.6 16.1 6.3 6.5 31 5.7

Yanbu Cement Co 66.56 2750.7 12.1 12.8 23.5 21.9 2.8 18.7 6.5 6.3 43 2.9

Arabian Cement Co/Saudi

Arabia

77.96 2053.1 12.0 11.5 21.3 20.3 2.4 15.9 6.4 6.8 39 10.8

Southern Province

Cement Co

97.99 3630.3 14.6 13.0 36.5 33.3 5.2 28.8 4.6 6.4 39 1.2

Qassim Cement Co/The 98.19 2327.8 14.2 15.7 28.4 27.9 4.1 25.8 6.7 6.2 71 3.0

Northern Region Cement

Co

22.25 1067.9 19.0 16.0 9.4 12.3 1.9 6.7 9.0 4.5 38 4.4

Najran Cement Co 27.56 1246.6 18.5 15.9 12.5 13.3 2.2 8.1 - 5.5 31 6.3

Eastern Province Cement

Co

47.97 1091.5 12.7 13.4 16.4 12.7 2.1 14.8 - 6.8 27 3.5

City Cement Co 24.85 1238.5 19.4 21.7 11.1 10.4 2.2 10.5 4.4 5.1 35 7.8

Average 15.1 14.7 21.0 20.3 3.0 17.0 6.3 6.1

Construction & Building Materials Sector

Zamil Ind Investment Co 61.95 975.9 10.8 10.6 15.5 20.1 1.6 4.0 4.3 3.3 41 6.4

Saudi Ceramic 83.54 1099.9 12.8 13.2 19.2 17.6 2.3 10.7 1.9 3.0 35 7.8

Average 11.8 11.9 17.4 18.9 2.0 7.3 3.1 3.2

Insurance Sector

Bupa Arabia for

Cooperative Insurance Co

241.47 2546.5 22.0 23.9 34.3 31.9 6.4 30.3 - - 62 7.3

Co for Cooperative

Insurance/The

93.83 2446.5 8.9 15.7 30.1 25.7 2.4 25.0 2.9 2.2 53 12.4

Average 15.4 19.8 32.2 28.8 4.4 27.6 2.9 2.2

Energy Sector

Saudi Electricity Co 18.63 19942.5 17.1 24.0 6.3 5.1 1.0 1.2 4.7 3.9 35 19.8

Hotels Sector

Al Tayyar Travel Group 101.18 5359.6 16.0 15.3 44.0 38.2 6.3 19.3 1.7 3.3 31 16.0

M Investments Sector

Kingdom Holdings 22.05 21245.4 78.7 - 2.7 - 2.1 1.9 2.8 - 52 4.6

Source: Bloomberg, BEst – Bloomberg Estimate

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