SARMa – Sustainable Aggregates Resource Management WP5

Add the logo Of your institutionHere. Goto -> ViewMaster

SARMa – Sustainable Aggregates Resource Management

WP5

G.Tiess, M.Allaraj, J. Kager, J.Heimburg, A.Kriz,

Montan University of Leoben 3-5 February 2010, Split, Croatia


Content of Presentation

• WP5-overview• WP5 –approach

– theoretical

– practical

• Timeplan

• To do list


Important issues of WP5

1. Creation of a SARMa-method and SSM-Policies

2. Implementation of transnational view of theoretical and practical outputs in SEE.

3. Know-how transfer through AIS integration and Regional Centre establishment of SARM and SSM,

– in order to achieve efficient implementation of SARM harmonized approaches,

• resource efficiency and long term cooperation in SEE countries.


Overview of WP 5 / Objectives

5.1 Legislation and policies harmonizationCross-border case studies, AIS-design

5.2 Sustainable supply among SEESynthesis of case studies, AIS-clarification

SARM and SSM Manual for national and transantional level 5.3.

Feasibility study and action plan for Regional Centre on SARM in SEE 5.4

S

A

R

M


THEORETICAL APPROACH


Act.5.1 and Act.5.2 - Methodology

• Theoretical idea/approach: AIS>SARMANTAG>Supply conception– Defining and describing AIS

– SARMANTAG (tool/model): • generating data, trends, scenarios

• Practical issue: Case studies shall be based on this approach


A.I.S

• AIS = basis/structure of a (theoretical) SARM-supply concept

• AIS: describing various elements and its possible interrelations, interactions based on SSM approach

• Elements of AIS: data, information, maps, legislation, practices, protocols, procedures etc. –comprehensive as possible


AIS - symplifiedInteractions between diff. AIS elements


ANTAG

ANTAG = Anticipate access to aggregates on a long term basis

• Looking for a clear strategy for all actors: producers, consumers, public authority, society.

• Objectives:– 30-year-forecast: demand for aggregates– distribution of supply from different sources:

• Crushed rock, sand and gravel, recycling, imports– transport flows

• distribution over transport modes, distances– environmental impacts:

• CO2, t.km


System Dynamics

Component categories:

•Production and consumption

•Flows•stock

Auth.res


ANTAG-principle

approved reserves (t)

production (t/year)

reduction of capacity (t/year)

lifespan (years)

production - sourcemarket balance

new approvals (t/year)

social impact(%)

Industrial development-faktor (%)


Sub-Systems

Population, GDP

Exogenous growth rate

Energy/Coal

Demand, Production, Exploration,Depletion

Policy

Carbon tax, subsidy relief

Economy

Price, Cost, Revenue,

CO2 Emission

Endogenous emission from coal use

Welfare

Discounted utility

Impacts

Market damage from climate change

Climate

Surface warming

Carbon Cycle

Atmospheric accumulation

Emission

Tax

Coal Demand Cost

Price

GDP /cap

Measured Emission Rate

Atmospheric Concentration Temperature

Consumption

Population

Intangible damage Tangible damage

Atmospheric CO2

Concentration


LoopsPo pula tio nGDP

G DP pe r C apita

Intensity ofEnergy U se

Inte nsity o f S tee lC o nsump tio n

Ele ctricity D em a ndSte el De ma nd

C oa l D em and fo rE le c tricity

Co al D e ma ndfo r Ste e l

T ota l D e m and

Pro duc tio nPo te ntia l

P roduc tion R a te

R e s e rve

Re venue

C o al P rice

Disco very ra te

F rac tion Re se rveR em a ining

R e se rveR e ma ining

R e so urc e

Investme nt inP rod uc tion

C umulativeP rod uction

Te chnolo gy

+ +

+

++

++

+ +

+

+ ++

+

+

+

-

+

+

+

--

+

O il P rice

C oa l de ma ndfro m o the r

+


ANTAG model[consumption]

[Market]

[production of crushed rock] [production of sand and gravel]

[transport]

[environmental impact]


SARMANTAG• SARMANTAG: based on ANTAG,

– The design of ANTAG model will need to be modified to reflect the needs of SARMa, and specifically the components of SSM.

– Systems dynamics models are adaptable so this is an issue of effort, not of possibility. • For example, the following will have to be considered in more detail: Consumption/demand, Recycling, Social impacts, Multiple

transportation options Etc.

– SEE Integration project: need to create a tool that all can use. (D. Shields 2009)

• Objective: forecasting - „creating scenarios “.

• SARMANTAG outputs > Supply-concept

• >Decision-makers, e.g.: – economic development is growing>need of aggregates:– primary: increasing protection of deposits (e.g.land use plans)– secondary: increasing recycling (e.g.by tax, see UK example).


• AIS + SARMANTAG is leading to supply concept options

• „content of conception?– = comprehensive compilation of objectives, strategies and actions (region and/or national level). – Time and resources plans (e.g. financial) have to determine at which point which actions have to be taken.

Objectives Actions Time Resources

Sustainable supply of aggregates

Effective legal framework policy

Improve interactions between decision-makers and stakeholders

Optimal SSM Promote recycling

Access to land Land use planning, managementCo-operation between GS & Land use planning

….

SARM supply conception


PRACTICAL APPROACH


WP 5.1: Practical Approach

Responsability Methodology Outputs Deadline

IGME and all partners from WP 5.1

*Case studies in selected countries, i.e. AT-SI-HU-

HR and GR, RO, IT

*conducted through questionnaires and data templates based on theoretical AIS approach

Reports

(trans-border, cross-country, synthesis)

Linked to AT-SI-HU-

HR and GR, RO, IT

February 2011

Cross-border case studies


WP 5.1 – TASK 2


IGME and All Partners from WP 5.1

*using basically information from WP4, i.e. existing legislation, land use planning approaches in SEE

*using information from TASK 1/WP5.1

Guidelines for integrating SARM into legislation, land use planning

in SEE;

February 2011

Proposals on harmonization of legislation/policies and methods for incorporating SARM into land use planning


WP 5.1 – TASK 3


All partners from WP 5.1

*collecting and analysing information from WP 5.1 task 1, 2 (case studies)

Structure for multi-scale Aggregate Intelligence System

February 2011

Design of structure and protocols for Aggregate Intelligence System


Practical approach


Period 1995-2005

Criteria GDP Population Production (t/yr) Price (€/t) Demand (t/yr) Consum.(t/yr) Recycling (%) Trade Transport CO2

Country Primary Secondary R1 R2 R3 R4 Import Export radius (km) Emiss. Tax

GeoZS LP

MUL ERDF-PP1

IGME ERDF-PP3

MBFH ERDF-PP5

ER ERDF-PP6

FGG ERDF-PP10

MINGORP 10%-PP1

Note: R1: Recycling of quarry by-product, waste and residues

R2: Recycling of Construction and Demolition Waste (CDW)

R3: Recycling of rockwaste and soils from civil works

R4: Recycling of industrial waste (i.e. slags from civil ferrous metal production, bottom ash from Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) incineration,

ashes from coal combustion processes etc.


WP 5.2– TASK 1


MUL and all partners of WP 5.2

*review and synthesis on supply aspects of case studies (5.1) plus BA and AL

*data processing based on SARMANTAG

Developing of scenarios

Preliminary recommendations on securing SSM in SEE,

April 2011

Review and synthesis on supply aspects of case studies (5.1)


WP 5.2: TASK 2



*strong reliance on 5.2/ TASK 1 outputs

*Recommendations on securing SSM in land use planning and management in SEE-regions

June 2011

Proposals on harmonization of supply policies / legislation and methods for addressing SSM in land use planning and management


WP 5.2: Securing supply in SEE – TASK 3

Clarifying contributions of AIS to SSM planning



*strong reliance on WP4 and 5.2/ TASK 2

*Analysing, finding out the „gaps“- with regard to SSM

planning in SEE

*Recommendation:

Which design/structure of AIS will be needed (or would be the best one) to feed in

existing SSM planning, i.e. to „contribute, harmonize and

improve secure supplying“ in SEE

June 2011


WP 5.3 - Preparation of manual for national and transnational level

TASK Nr. PARTNERS LOCATION Start - End

TASK 1 All Partners from WP4 and

WP5

N/A July 2011 – October 2011


All partners from WP4 and WP5

arranging collected information on SARM and SSM

700 copies in english and 1500 in local languages

October 2011


WP 5.4 - Follow-up activities: SARM Regional Centre


GeoZS and MUL (AT)

IGME(GR)

TUC(GR) MBFH(HU)

IGR(RO)

FGG(RO)

*conduct feasibility study and develop

action plan for Regional Centre on

SARM in SEE

*based on outputs of WP3, WP4 and WP5.

Regional Centre to carry forward the

work and conclusions of SARMa.

Joint Action plan for Regional Centre on

SARM.

February 2011 – October 2011


Time division of Work Package 5



WP5 SEE TRANSNATIONAL LEVEL ACTIVITIES

5.1IGME

Harmonization of legislation and policies1 Synthesis report on activity 5.1 (O9)1 Recommendations on the transnational level for decision-makers on SARM (O10)1 Service: structure and protocol for AIS (data, information, maps, legislation, protocols, etc.) as infrastructural ground for regional centre (O19)4 Reports on case studies on harmonization: transborder AT-SI-HU-HR; 3X crossborder: GR-FYRM; RO-BG; IT - AT, FR(O1a)

5.2MUL

Sustainable supply across SEE regions or countries1 Synthesis report on activity 5.2 (O9)3 Study visits combined with transnational events (30 persons per visit) (O8)1 Recommendations on the transnational level for decision-makers on SSM (O10)5 Reports on case studies on sustainable supply: transborder AT-SI-HU-HR; 4X crossborder: ALB, GR, BIH, RO (O1a)

5.3MUL

Preparation of a common manual on sustainable aggregates resource management and supply mix on regional, national and transnational level1 Manual on SARM and SSM at regional, national and transnational levels - 2200 copies: 700 copies in English (30 per partner and 280 for LP) and 1.500 in local languages (100 per partner) (O4)

5.4GeoZS

Sustainable aggregates supply follow-up activities: setting the ground for a regional centre for sustainable aggregates supply1 Feasibility study for the Regional Centre on SARM and SSM (O9)1 Joint action plan for establishment of the Regional Centre on SARM and SSM (O12)

WP/ activity WP/ activity

Duration: year/ months red line: reporting periods

2009 (may - dec) 2010 (jan - dec) 2011 (jan - oct)

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30


Partners WP5.1(aug10-feb11) WP5.2(march11-june11)

WP5.3(july11-oct11) WP5.4(feb11-oct11)

MUL Prepare questionnaires for cross-border case studies

Develop/create SARMANTAG tool

AT-SI-HU-HR, GR, RO & IT

Answers to questionnaires

Synthesis and reports (+AL& BA)

IGME Analysis of questionnaires

IGME MUL,MINGORP, FGG, GeoZS, MBFH, ER

Proposals&Reports Proposals

IGME with MUL,MINGORP, FGG, GeoZS, MBFH, ER.

Designing of AIS

MUL Define general supply concept

MUL with METE, PELLA, MINGORP,MBFH, GeoZS, FGG, MGK10

Clarification of AIS (based on 5.1 outputs)

MUL with all partners from WP4&WP5

Preparation of manual

GeoZS with MUL, IGME, TUC, MBFH,IGR, FGG

Feasibility study for RC

TO DO LIST


www.unileoben.ac.at

Thank you!


Sustainable Supply Mix

Having a supply of minerals that are produced in a manner that is consistent with sustainability principles is not, the same as having a sustainable supply

mix (SSM).

The former assumes that basic market forces drive decisions.

The latter acknowledges that decision making is complex and that pure market forces will not necessarily lead to sustainable outcomes.

Economics remains an important aspect of the decision process, but not the only aspect. (D. Shields 2009)



Minerals can be supplied from different mines in different regions and countries, using different methods,

each with their own set of social, environmental, and economic impacts and benefits.

Products containing minerals can be reused and recycled, but again doing so has economic and environmental

implications.

The same can be said for alternative transportation methods. (D. Shields 2009)



Achieving a SSM necessitates that these tradeoffs be explicitly recognized and used in decision making.

Each of these variables must be weighted so as to reflect societal objectives and the needs, preferences and values of multiple

stakeholders.

SSM is achieved by selecting that mix of sources that taken together maximize benefits and minimize costs of mineral supply for present and future generations, i.e., that are intra- and inter-

generationally equitable. (D. Shields 2009)


SSM in SARMa using ANTAG

Opportunities

• Combine transportation, production, and ‘consumptions.’

• Create site specific models that reflect the situation faced by SARMa partner countries.

• Run scenarios to examine alternative futures of impacts of alternative policies. (D. Shields 2009)



Complexities• The model as currently designed does not include some essential components of SSM, and these challenges will have to be overcome for ANTAG to be useful in predicting feasible SSM.

•The model as currently designed includes other essential components, but the relationships and models used may not be consistent with SSM thinking.

• Data is going to be a serious challenge, if realistic models are to be created. (D. Shields 2009)



The design of the ANTAG model will need to be modified to reflect the needs of SARMa, and specifically the components of SSM. Systems dynamics models are adaptable so this is an issue of effort, not of possibility. For example, the following will have to be considered in more detail:

Consumption/demandRecyclingSocial impactsMultiple transportation optionsEtc.

On the other hand, this is a SEE Integration project, so we need to create a tool that all can use. This will be a great challenge, but also a real contribution if we are successful. (D. Shields 2009)

Documents

SARMa – Sustainable Aggregates Resource Management WP5