SANCTION DETECTION PERFORMANCE

Dr. Richard Bullock

Agenda Item No. 6b

SETTING THE SCENE

Performance Area Delivery Direction

Reducing Crime Good Stable

Investigating Crime Fair Stable

Performance area Delivery DirectionStatutory indicators

6b Percentage of offences brought to justice F S7a Percentage of sanction detections F S7b Burglary sanction detection rate F D7c Violent crime sanction detection rate F S7d Robbery sanction detection rate G S7e Vehicle crime sanction detection rate G SBaseline AssessmentMajor and serious crime investigation F Not gradedTackling cross border crime F Not gradedInvestigating hate crime / victimisation of the vulnerable G SVolume crime investigation F DForensic management F I

SANCTION DETECTION OVERVIEW CHART

Peer Review

Improving but Non Significant

Select Area

Select Crime Type

Time Period Forecast Based On

Number or RateDetection TypeForecast Forward

ValueCurrent Total 23.4Forecasted Total 23.6

3 MonthsSanction

South & West Devon BCU

Total Crime

3 Months

Rate

23.6

22.1

22.8

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

22.5

23

23.5

24

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

Ap

r-0

6

Ma

y-0

6

Jun

-06

Jul-

06

Au

g-0

6

Se

p-0

6

Oct

-06

No

v-0

6

De

c-0

6

DETECTION FORECASTS

12 month rolling total of selected crime Previous Year End totalYear End Forecast Target

SOUTH & WEST DEVON PERFORMANCE

TARGET 5: To achieve a minimum sanction detection rate of 22.1% for total crime

Select Area

Select Crime Type

Time Period Forecast Based On

Number or RateDetection TypeForecast Forward

ValueCurrent Total 24.2Forecasted Total 25.3

3 MonthsSanction

Force

Total Crime

6 Months

Rate

25.3

22.1

21.1

18.5

19.5

20.5

21.5

22.5

23.5

24.5

25.5

26.5

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

Ap

r-0

6

Ma

y-0

6

Jun

-06

Jul-

06

Au

g-0

6

Se

p-0

6

Oct

-06

No

v-0

6

De

c-0

6

12 month rolling total of selected crime Previous Year End totalYear End Forecast Target

NATIONAL POSITION IN SANCTION DETECTIONSelect Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Total CrimeNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Met

ropo

litan

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Hum

bers

ide

North

ampt

onsh

ire

Durh

am

Hertf

ords

hire

Clev

elan

d

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Mer

seys

ide

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Sout

h W

ales

Bedf

ords

hire

Avon

and

Som

erse

t Kent

Norfo

lk

War

wick

shire

Ches

hire

Surre

y

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Suss

ex

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Linc

olns

hire

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Ham

pshi

re

Gwe

nt

Staf

ford

shire

Suffo

lk

Derb

yshi

re

Esse

x

Glo

uces

ters

hire

North

Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Lanc

ashi

re

Dors

et

Leice

ster

shire

Cum

bria

North

Wal

es

Tham

es V

alle

y

North

umbr

ia

Wes

t Mer

cia

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

City

of L

ondo

n

NATIONAL POSITION IN % CHANGE IN SANCTION DETECTION

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Total CrimeNov-05

Percentage Point Change

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Gw

ent

Sou

th Y

orks

hire

Sou

th W

ales

Dur

ham

Bed

ford

shire

Nor

tham

pton

shire

Her

tford

shire

Nor

folk

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Sta

fford

shire

Cum

bria

Dor

set

Suf

folk

Nor

th Y

orks

hire

Sur

rey

Wilt

shire

Not

tingh

amsh

ire

Cle

vela

nd

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter Ken

t

Nor

th W

ales

Met

ropo

litan

Mer

seys

ide

Hum

bers

ide

Sus

sex

Dev

on a

nd C

ornw

all

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

War

wic

kshi

re

Ham

pshi

re

Nor

thum

bria

Lanc

ashi

re

Der

bysh

ire

Glo

uces

ters

hire

Leic

este

rshi

re

Che

shire

Ess

ex

Linc

olns

hire

Wes

t Mer

cia

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Dyf

ed-P

owys

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Tham

es V

alle

y

City

of L

ondo

n

Types of DetectionNumber %

Charge/Summons 11956 50.7

Caution 3985 16.9Reprimand 1595 6.8Warning 804 3.4Fixed Penalty 2424 10.3TIC 1894 8.0Cannabis Possession 905 3.8

TYPES OF SANCTION DETECTION

Select Area

Select Crime Type

Time Period Forecast Based On

Number or RateDetection TypeForecast Forward

ValueCurrent Total 15.6Forecasted Total 18.4

3 MonthsSanction

Force

Domestic Burglary

6 Months

Rate

18.4

12.4

9.9

10.9

11.9

12.9

13.9

14.9

15.9

16.9

17.9

18.9

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

Ap

r-0

6

Ma

y-0

6

Jun

-06

Jul-

06

Au

g-0

6

Se

p-0

6

Oct

-06

No

v-0

6

De

c-0

6

12 month rolling total of selected crime Previous Year End totalYear End Forecast Target

Sanction Detection Rate Domestic Burglary

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

BurglaryNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Mer

seys

ide

North

ampt

onsh

ire

Linc

olns

hire

Hum

bers

ide

Clev

elan

d

Leice

ster

shire

War

wick

shire

Suss

ex

North

umbr

ia

Surre

y

Kent

Hertf

ords

hire

Derb

yshi

re

Bedf

ords

hire

Met

ropo

litan

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

North

Yor

kshi

re

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Tham

es V

alle

y

Durh

am

Suffo

lk

Staf

ford

shire

Glo

uces

ters

hire Do

rset

Sout

h W

ales

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Esse

x

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Cum

bria

Lanc

ashi

re

Norfo

lk

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Ches

hire

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

Wes

t Mer

cia

North

Wal

es

Gwe

nt

City

of L

ondo

n

Ham

pshi

re

DETECTION PERFORMANCENATIONAL POSITION IN BURGLARY SANCTION DETECTION

Select Area

Select Crime Type

Time Period Forecast Based On

Number or RateDetection TypeForecast Forward

ValueCurrent Total 38.6Forecasted Total 41.0

3 MonthsSanction

Force

Total Violent Crime

6 Months

Rate

41.0

32.1

28.4

30.4

32.4

34.4

36.4

38.4

40.4

42.4

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

Ap

r-0

6

Ma

y-0

6

Jun

-06

Jul-

06

Au

g-0

6

Se

p-0

6

Oct

-06

No

v-0

6

De

c-0

6

12 month rolling total of selected crime Previous Year End totalYear End Forecast Target

Sanction Detection Rate Violent Crime

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Violent CrimeNov-05

Rate

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Met

ropo

litan

Gwe

nt

Clev

elan

d

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Mer

seys

ide

Hum

bers

ide

Durh

am

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

North

Wal

es

North

ampt

onsh

ire Kent

Norfo

lk

Bedf

ords

hire

Staf

ford

shire

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Hertf

ords

hire

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Leice

ster

shire

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Suss

ex

Cum

bria

Ham

pshi

re

Glo

uces

ters

hire

Sout

h W

ales

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Ches

hire

Lanc

ashi

re

Suffo

lk

Dors

et

Surre

y

Derb

yshi

re

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

War

wick

shire

Wilts

hire

Esse

x

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

North

Yor

kshi

re

North

umbr

ia

Linc

olns

hire

Tham

es V

alle

y

Wes

t Mer

cia

City

of L

ondo

n

DETECTION PERFORMANCE

NATIONAL POSITION IN VIOLENCE SANCTION DETECTION

Sanction Detection Rate Vehicle CrimeSelect Area

Select Crime Type

Time Period Forecast Based On

Number or RateDetection TypeForecast Forward

ValueCurrent Total 10.0Forecasted Total 10.8

3 MonthsSanction

Force

Total Vehicle Crime

3 Months

Rate

10.8

10.0

8.1

8.6

9.1

9.6

10.1

10.6

11.1

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

Ap

r-0

6

Ma

y-0

6

Jun

-06

Jul-

06

Au

g-0

6

Se

p-0

6

Oct

-06

No

v-0

6

De

c-0

6

12 month rolling total of selected crime Previous Year End totalYear End Forecast Target

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Vehicle CrimeNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Met

ropo

litan

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Hum

bers

ide

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Suss

ex

Mer

seys

ide

Durh

am

Hertf

ords

hire

Linc

olns

hire

Clev

elan

d

Sout

h W

ales

Surre

y

North

ampt

onsh

ire

Kent

Suffo

lk

Bedf

ords

hire

North

Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Ham

pshi

re

Esse

x

Norfo

lk

Derb

yshi

re

Staf

ford

shire

City

of L

ondo

n

Tham

es V

alle

y

North

umbr

ia

Leice

ster

shire

War

wick

shire

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire Dors

et

Lanc

ashi

re

Glo

uces

ters

hire

North

Wal

es

Ches

hire

Cum

bria

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Wes

t Mer

cia Gwe

nt

DETECTION PERFORMANCENATIONAL POSITION IN VEHICLE SANCTION DETECTION

SANCTION DETECTION WORK GROUP

• PSU Best Practice Matrix:

• Processes

• People

• Partnerships

• Policy

• Performance Review

• Identification of Good/Poor Working Practices

• Audit Reviews

OTHER AREAS OF WORK

• PIP (Professionalising Investigation Process)

• Enhanced Charging

• Forensic Review

• Crime Hatpegs

• Cambourne Performance Review

TARGET 4: To increase the number of offences brought to justice

by a minimum of 16.8%.

2

24000

25000

26000

27000

28000

29000

30000

Jan-

01

Apr

-01

Jul-0

1

Oct

-01

Jan-

02

Apr

-02

Jul-0

2

Oct

-02

Jan-

03

Apr

-03

Jul-0

3

Oct

-03

Jan-

04

Apr

-04

Jul-0

4

Oct

-04

Jan-

05

Apr

-05

Jul-0

5

Oct

-05

Jan-

06

12 Month Rolling Total Target (if Applicable)Required Trajectory

OUTCOME

Chart 1.5 - Percentage change in OBTJ performance against 2001-02 baseline.Comparison using each area's most recent available data.

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

45%

55%

65%

75%G

wen

t

Wes

t M

idla

nd

s

No

rth

amp

ton

shir

e

No

rth

um

bri

a

Du

rham

Glo

uce

ster

shir

e

So

uth

Wal

es

Cle

vela

nd

No

ttin

gh

amsh

ire

Wilt

shir

e

Dyf

ed P

ow

ys

Bed

ford

shir

e

Sta

ffo

rdsh

ire

No

rth

Wal

es

Dev

on

an

d C

orn

wal

l

No

rfo

lk

Der

bys

hir

e

War

wic

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ire

Wes

t M

erci

a

Lan

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ire

Ham

psh

ire

Cu

mb

ria

No

rth

Yo

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ire

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Avo

n a

nd

So

mer

set

Ken

t

Lei

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ire

Mer

seys

ide

Su

ffo

lk

So

uth

Yo

rksh

ire

Lin

coln

shir

e

Gre

ater

Lo

nd

on

Do

rset

Su

ssex

Her

tfo

rdsh

ire

Hu

mb

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de

Su

rrey

Cam

bri

dg

esh

ire

Ess

ex

Ch

esh

ire

Wes

t Y

ork

shir

e

Th

ames

Val

ley

Per

cen

tag

e p

erfo

rman

ce

co

mp

are

d t

o 2

001-

02 b

ase

line

(Ro

llin

g A

nn

ua

l)

Performance compared to March 2002 baseline Target for March 2006

Better performers

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

Lond

on

Nor

tham

pton

shire

Not

tingh

amsh

ire

Her

tford

shire

Hum

bers

ide

Avo

n an

d S

omer

set

Sou

th Y

orks

hire

Cle

vela

nd

Mer

seys

ide

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Che

shire

Bed

ford

shire

Sus

sex

Ken

t

Ham

pshi

re

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Eng

land

and

Wal

es

Ess

ex

War

wic

kshi

re

Nor

folk

Sta

fford

shire

Dev

on a

nd C

ornw

all

Sur

rey

Linc

olns

hire

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Sou

th W

ales

Nor

th Y

orks

hire

Glo

uces

ters

hire

Tha

mes

Val

ley

Der

bysh

ire

Leic

este

rshi

re

Lanc

ashi

re

Gw

ent

Dor

set

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Dur

ham

Cum

bria

Nor

thum

bria

Wilt

shire

Suf

folk

Wes

t Mer

cia

Nor

th W

ales

Dyf

ed P

owys

NATIONAL POSITION IN PERCENT OF CRIME BTJ