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Changes in The Size and Output of State Support to Russian Agriculture in 2015 (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts) Alexei Kopchenov, South Urals State Agricultural University, Chelyabinsk, Russia Samarkand Conference “Regional and International Cooperation in Central Asia and South Caucasus: Recent Developments in Agricultural Trade” 2-4 November 2016 Samarkand, Uzbekistan 1

Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

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Page 1: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Changes in The Size and Output of State Support to Russian Agriculture in 2015

(The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Alexei Kopchenov, South Urals State Agricultural University,

Chelyabinsk, Russia

Samarkand Conference“Regional and International Cooperation in Central Asia and South

Caucasus: Recent Developments in Agricultural Trade”2-4 November 2016

Samarkand, Uzbekistan

1

Page 2: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Federal Districts of Russian Federation

Source: http://www.pvsfms.ru/?q=node/272

Page 3: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts

UFD SFD

Population, % of RF (average,

2015) 8,4% 13,2%

Arable land, % of RF (2015) 7,4% 25,7%

Agriculture production, 000 rub.

(per hectare, 2015)

19,5 11,0

Agriculture production, 000 rub.

(per capita, 2015)

26,0 32,4

Foreign trade turnover, % of RF

(01-03. 2016)

6,6% 6,9%

3

Page 4: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Groups of regionsCluster 1 Cluster 2

SiberianFederal district

Republic of Altay, Republic of Buryatia, Republic of Tyva, Republic of Khakasia, Zabaikalsk territory and Tomsk oblast

Altay and Krasnoyarsk territories, Irkutsk, Kemerovo, Novosibirsk and Omsk oblasts

Ural Federal district

Kurgan oblast, Khanty-Mansiysk and Yamalo-Nenets autonomous okrugs

Sverdlovsk, Tyumen and Chelyabinsk oblasts

4

Page 5: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Farm output by federal districts, Bil. Rub.

5

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

2014 2015 2014 2015

cluster 2

cluster 1

SFD UFD

Page 6: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Farm output indices, 2015/2014

6

1.081.101.121.141.161.181.201.221.241.261.28

SFD UFD

cluster 1

cluster 2

Page 7: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Output indices, 2015/2014

7

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

per capita per hectare per capita per hectare

cluster 1

cluster 2

SFD UFD

Page 8: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Distribution of funds by sources, Siberian federal district, 2014

8

60%40%

SFD, cluster 1

FederalRegional

65%35%

SFD, cluster 2

Page 9: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Distribution of funds by sources, Urals federal district, 2014

9

37%63%

UFD, cluster 1

Federal

Regional

52%48%

UFD, cluster 2

Page 10: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

State support index in 2015, Siberian federal district, 2014=1,0

10

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

Total Federal Regional

cluster 1

cluster 2

Page 11: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

State support index in 2016, Siberian federal district, 2015=1,0

11

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

Total Federal Regional

cluster 1

cluster 2

Page 12: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

State support index in 2015, Urals federal district, 2014=1,0

12

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

Total Federal Regional

cluster 1

cluster 2

Page 13: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

State support index in 2016, Urals federal district, 2015=1,0

13

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

Total Federal Regional

cluster 1

cluster 2

Page 14: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Changes in federal budget share in total state support

14

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

2014 2015 2016

SFD

UFD

Page 15: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Structure of support by programs

SFD UFD

2015

2016

15

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Page 16: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Programs

1 Insurance

2 Interest rates

3 Livestock production

4 Crop production

5 Unbound support in crop production (decoupled payments)

6 Small farms

7 Economically significant regional programs

8 Technical and technological modernization, innovative development

9 Rural territories

10 Land improvement16

Page 17: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

The excess values of cluster 2 compared to cluster 1 in the Federal

districtsSFD UFD

2014 2015 2014 2015

Farm product value

per capita

2,123 2,208 1,493 1,572

Farm product value

per 1 ha

2,794 2,897 2,323 2,465

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Page 18: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Percentage of Government payments in farm product value

18

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

cluster 1 cluster 2 cluster 1 cluster 2

SFD UFD

2014

2015

Page 19: Samarkand Conference Samarkand, Uzbekistan Changes …ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/249957/2/B2_Kopchenov_Alexei.pdf · (The Case of The Ural and Siberian Federal Districts)

Thank You!

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