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DRAFT
Developing Zandkopsdrifta world-class rare earth project
February 2012Frontier Rare Earths Limited
TSX:FRO
Safe Harbour Statement
Certain statements contained in or incorporated by reference into this presentation constitute “forward-looking statements”. Officers and representatives of Frontier Rare Earths Limited (the “Company”) may, in their remarks or in response to questions regarding this presentation, make certain statements which are “forward-looking statements” and are prospective. Forward-looking statements are neither promises nor guarantees, but are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company, or developments in the Company’s business or its industry, to differ materially from the anticipated results, performance, achievements or developments expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s beliefs and opinions at the time the statements are made or presented, and undue reliance should not be placed on any of these forward-looking statements. There should be no expectation that these forward-looking statements will be updated or supplemented as a result of changing circumstances or otherwise, and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update these forward-looking statements.
February 2012
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Forward-looking information
Topics
The Rare Earths Market
Frontier Rare Earths and Background to the Zandkopsdrift Project
Preliminary Economic Assessment and Project Development Plans
Korea Resources Corporation Joint Venture
Outlook
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Rare Earths – Overview Series of 15 chemically similar elements that occur and are recovered together
Distribution of elements varies from deposit to deposit
Two distinct categories based on atomic weight: Light Rare Earths and Heavy Rare Earths
Each element has a range of distinctive physical properties which allow them to be used in a variety of technological applications
Magnetic, optical, electrical, catalytic and metallurgical
Underpin the “green” technology economyHybrid motor and battery technology
Energy efficiency
Wind power
Consumer electronics
Defense
Transport
Most have no substitutes and are indispensable in many applications
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Value of RE usage by application
Rare Earths – UsesBiggest, fastest-growing use is for magnet applications which, together with phosphors and metal alloys, accounts for >80% of demand by value
Source: Roskill
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Rare Earth Market DevelopmentsChina
Continued restructuring of export quota system, forced industry consolidation and clampdown on illegal mining & processing likely to have significant price implications
China has confirmed only 15-20 years reserves of heavy and medium REOs and are expected to be a net importer of these elements by 2015
Chinese export quotas have been reduced significantly since 2005
2012 quotas appear to have stabilised at c.30kt per annum, however:
2012 quota applies to a wider range of products
First -time introduction of quotas for heavy (13%) and light REOs (87%) which is likely to increase the shortage of these critical rare earths outside China
Rest of World
Plans by several countries including China, Japan, South Korea and US announced to stockpile rare earths
Major industrial users seeking to lock in long-term supply/partnership from credible potential producers i.e. Frontier/KORES, Lynas/Siemens
Although FoB China prices have declined in recent months, there has been a significant increase in REO prices over the last 12 months
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Global Supply and Demand (tonnes REO)
Rare Earths – Supply/Demand ForecastsDemand CAGR projected at 7-10% through 2015 and beyond
China’s domestic demand increasing faster than domestic supply
Supply deficit widely forecastCirca 70t of REO required from non-China sources by 2015 and 115kt by 2020
Significant opportunity for new producers of separated rare earth oxides outside of China
Source: Roskill,Freedonia Group
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Frontier OverviewFrontier's flagship asset is the Zandkopsdrift Rare Earth projectWorld-class deposit in terms of size, rare earth grade, distribution and value
Preliminary Economic Assessment confirms Zandkopsdrift’s significant potentialPEA is the only integrated NI 43-101 compliant study covering mining through separation of REOs
NPV11% of $3.7bn generating a post-tax IRR of 53% and 2 year payback from production start
Supports Frontier’s objective to become a major low cost producer of separated REOs by 2015
Definitive joint venture signed with Korea Resources Corporation (KORES) in Dec ’11Frontier is the only rare earth junior advancing a major rare earth resource outside China with a definitive
strategic partnership agreement in place
KORES forming a consortium expected to include Samsung Group, GS Caltex, Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering Group and AJU Group to participate in the Frontier Joint Venture
Pre feasibility Study scheduled Q3 2012 and Definitive Feasibility Study Q3 2013
Strong financial position: c.$38m cash and fully funded through Pre & Definitive Feasibility Studies
Experienced Board, management and technical teams
Well developed corporate and product strategy
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Zandkopsdrift Project LocationProject well-situated in the Northern Cape Province, South Africa’s oldest mining region
Excellent mining and related infrastructure available
Close to N7 highway from Cape Town (c.450 km)
35km to nearest railhead (Bitterfontein)
300km north of deep water port of Saldanha Bay
Strong support in in local communities for the development of the Zandkopsdrift
Frontier controls c.60,000 ha prospecting right area and owns c.4,500 ha of land on which the Zandkopsdrift rare earth deposit and carbonatite complex is situated
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Zandkopsdrift Project Area
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Zandkopsdrift carbonatite
complexGravel road to N7
N7 tarred roadto Cape Town
Bitterfontein rail head(~44 km by road)
Exxaro Resources Namakwa Sands Mine
(~45 km)
Zandkopsdrift Deposit
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Zandkopsdrift Project OverviewA world-class rare earth deposit
Carbonatite complex and one of the largest known rare earth deposits globally with approx. 950k TREO
Significant higher grade “Central Zone” identified within the deposit (average in situ grade 3.1% TREO ) extending from surface and amenable to preferential mining
Zandkopsdrift principally contains “conventional” RE minerals (97% monazite) for which commercial extraction processes exist
Metallurgy now well understood, and utilises established extractive processes
Rare earth minerals in many new projects have never had commercial processes developed, which is key to development time, costs and process risk
Potential for rapid development and production start-upGood regional infrastructure will also facilitate development
Targeting annual production of circa 20,000 tonnes of separated rare earths commencing in H2 2015
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PEA Financial Highlights
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PEA Financial Highlights
Post-Tax NPV &IRR
Post-Tax Net Present Value @ 11% discount rate $3.65bn
NPV attributable to Frontier Rare Earths $3.60bn
Post -Tax Internal Rate of Return 52.5%
Pre -Tax NPV & IRRPre-Tax Net Present Value @ 11% discount rate $4.3bn
Pre-Tax Internal Rate of Return 57.6%
Revenue and CashflowAverage annual revenue $1.1bn
After-tax free cashflow in full production $711m
Capital Expenditure
Total construction capex excluding contingencies $910m
Start-up costs excluding contingency $27m
Project payback from commencement of full production 2 years
Revenue and cost/kg Separated REO
“Basket price” per kg of separated REO from Zandkopsdrift $58.23
Total cash operating cost/kg separated REO $13.08
Zandkopsdrift Project Rare Earth Operations and Infrastructure
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Koeburg Nuclear Power StationKoeburg Nuclear Power Station
Saldanha Bay Rare Earth Separation Plant
Saldanha Bay Rare Earth Separation Plant
Rare earth carbonate transported 300kms by road (N7)
to Saldanha Bay
Rare earth carbonate transported 300kms by road (N7)
to Saldanha Bay
Mining, flotation and cracking plants to produce mixed rare
earth carbonate
Mining, flotation and cracking plants to produce mixed rare
earth carbonate
Zandkopsdrift Updated Resource EstimateLarge, high confidence resource (c.950k tonnes TREO) with 78% of the contained TREO at the Indicated Resource level
Higher grade Central Zone (c.624k tonnes TREO at 2% cut-off and average in situ grade of 3.04%) identified within the deposit which will be the focus for the PEA mine plan
Additional 14,200 meters drilling at Zandkopsdrift completed in Q4 2011 which is expected to advance the current resource into measured and indicated categories
Relative distribution of REOs in Zandkopsdrift is shown on page 47.Resource is NI 43-101 compliant and presented in accordance with CIM definitions The mineral resource estimates reflect 100% of the estimated resources at Zandkopsdrift. Frontier’s 74% owned subsidiary, Sedex, has complied with the BEE equity ownership requirements as laid down by the Mining Charter and MPRDA, through shareholder agreements with historically disadvantaged South African individuals and entities that together hold the remaining 26% of the issued share capital of Sedex. In addition to Frontier’s direct interest in the Zandkopsdrift Project through its 74% shareholding in Sedex, Frontier shall also be entitled to, in consideration for Frontier’s funding of the BEE Shareholders’ share of Sedex’s expenditure on the Zandkopsdrift Project up to bankable feasibility stage, a payment from certain of the BEE Shareholders following the completion of the bankable feasibility study equal to 21% of the then valuation of the Zandkopsdrift Project. This gives Frontier an effective 95% interest in the Zandkopsdrift Project until such paymenthas been received.
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2011 Resource Estimate Cut-off Grade (TREO)
Tonnes (Millions)
Average Grade(TREO)
Contained TREO (tonnes)
Indicated Resource1% 32.4 2.3% 739k
2% 16.0 3.1% 495k
Inferred Resource1% 10.1 2.1% 210k
2% 4.5 2.9% 129k
Zandkopsdrift Resource Block Model
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Zandkopsdrift ‘Central Zone’ Block Model – 3.04% TREO
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PEA Operating Assumptions and Parameters
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PEA Operating Assumptions and Parameters
Mining
Target annual mining rate 1 m tonnes
Average stripping ratio* 3:1
Life of mine 20 years
Average production grade 3.1% TREO
Mining dilution 7.50%
Processing
Target annual production rate 20,000t separated TREO
Metallurgical recovery 67%
Production start-up 2015
Time to full production 1 year
* including all stockpiled <2% grade material and waste
Zandkopsdrift Mine Pit Design (looking southwest)
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• 19.5 mt to be mined over 20 years• Average 3:1 stripping ratio• Significant LoM extension possible, as only
60% of current resource is exploited
Pit Dimensions (approx)
East -West extent 830m
North-South extent 900m
Maximum no. benches planned 12
Zandkopsdrift Mine Detailed Layout
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Zandkopsdrift Mine Process Plant Layout
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• “Conventional” metallurgical process
• Crush, grind, float and sulphuric acid crack
• 99% pure mixed rare earth carbonate produced
Zandkopsdrift Mine Concentrator Plant -Metallurgical flow sheet
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Zandkopsdrift Mine Acid Cracking Plant –Metallurgical flow sheet
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Saldanha Bay
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Sichen to Saldanha iron ore export rail line
Exxaro ilmenite smelter-Saldanha BayArcelor Mittal Saldanha Steel Works
Saldanha Port
Saldanha Bay Industrial Development Zone
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Rare Earth Separation Plant Location and Layout
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Saldanha Rare Earth Separation Plant- Metallurgical flow sheet
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EnvironmentalPreliminary environmental assessments completed
Botany
Archaeology
Air and water quality
Human health risk and radiology impact
Uranium and Thorium at low levels
Grades are low, at 60-70ppm uranium and 215-235ppm thorium
Uranium and thorium removed by precipitation and disposed to lined tailings disposal facility
Environmental studies concluded that environmental impact of theradionuclides will be negligible
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Zandkopsdrift Project Capital Expenditure
Total construction Capex estimate of $910m* (including c.$100m for sulphuric acid and desalination plants)
Split 67% for the Saldanha Bay rare earth separation plant & infrastructure and 33% for Zandkopsdrift mining, concentration plant, sulphuric acid plant and infrastructure
Additional $27m required in start-up and indirect Capex on commissioning
*excludes contingency but included in the PEA financial model and valuation
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Zandkopsdrift Project Capex versus Peers
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(1) Capex based on refurbishment of existing mine and infrastructure(2) US$/A$ exchange rate of 1.07
Actual & Forecast Capex of Projects to produce separated REOs Total Capex for the Zandkopsdrift Project is comparable with similar scale projects worldwide
2/3rds of Capex relates to the Saldanha Separation Plant and published data from peers indicates comparable capital split requirements i.e. Lynas and proposed Arafura separation plants
Separation PlantMine & ConcentratorStart-up Capex
Zandkopsdrift Project Operating Cost Breakdown
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The total operating cost per kg/separated REO from Zandkopsdrift is estimated at $13.08
The main opex components are c.54% for the separation plant and c.39% for the concentration plant, the bulk of which comprises reagent costs and the operation of the sulphuric acid plant
Mining and shipping costs are low due to the ease of mining, the high grade and the availability of infrastructure
Excludes 15% contingency but which has been included in the Zandkopsdrift financial model and valuation
PEA Rare Earth Pricing Methodology
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Applying trailing 3 year FoB China prices, the Zandkopsdrift “basket price” per kg of separated REO price is $64.36/kg
Applying the mid-point of Roskill’s 2015 price forecast ranges for the principal REOs, the Zandkopsdrift basket price is $52.10/kg
PEA utilised the average of the 3 year China FoB price and the mid-point of Roskill’s 2015 forecast. This methodology reduces the impact of recent high rare earth oxide prices and results in a Zandkopsdrift PEA basket price of $58.23/kg
At 31 December 2011, the PEA basket price represented a 58% discount to the China FOB price, a 20% discount to the China domestic price and a 9% discount to the 3 year average FoB China price
Rare Earth OxideFoB China Price
(1 Dec 2011)China Domestic
Price (1 Dec 2011)
3 Year Avg. FoB China Price
(Dec 2008-2011)
Roskill 2015 price forecast
PEA Basket PriceContribution to
PEA Basket
Lanthanum 64 17 42 20-35 35 15%
Cerium 54 19 41 10-15 27 20%
Praseodymium 20 100 81 80-120 91 7%
Neodymium 235 190 93 80-120 97 26%
Samarium 89 14 39 * 39 2%
Europium 3790 2048 1207 1,000-1,200 1154 12%
Gadolinium 133 36 56 * 56 1%
Terbium 2810 1517 1016 1,000-1,200 1058 3%
Dysprosium 1960 956 554 800-1000 727 10%
Yttrium 113 42 57 40-60 53 4%
Zandkopsdrift Basket Price/kg $137.93 $72.13 $64.36 $52.10* $58.23 100%
Korea Resources Corporation Korea Resources Corporation (“KORES”) is wholly-owned by the Korean government
Objective of becoming a global top 20 mining company by 2020, principally through international investments and joint ventures
Policy mandate to further Korea's access to strategically important mineral resources
Works with major Korean industry groups and assembles consortia of Korean companies to participate with KORES in commercial ventures
Korean government has designated rare earths as a strategic raw material for Korea’s future economic growth and selected Zandkopsdrift source of their future rare earth supply
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Frontier/KORES Joint Venture December 2011
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Shin-Jong Kim, President and CEO of KORES (seated lhs) said:
“In order to support Korea’s high technology, automotive and other industries, the development of Zandkopsdrift will be a strategic priority project for the KORES Consortium and a critical element of KORES’ efforts to secure a long term, stable source of rare earth supply for Korean industry.”
KORES Joint Venture HighlightsKORES to acquire initial 10% interest in Zandkopsdrift
Consideration to be based on the Enterprise Value of Frontier using 15-day average share price post PEA publication, subject to a minimum share price of C$2.39
KORES options:
acquire further 10% interest in Zandkopsdrift at DFS project valuation
acquire 10% shareholding in Frontier at market price post DFS
If all options are exercised, KORES will have the off take right and obligation for 31% of Zandkopsdrift production
KORES to arrange
debt finance to cover development costs, and contribute their share of costs pro rata to equity interest
technical and operational assistance in relation to the development of Zandkopsdrift
Frontier and the KORES Consortium will investigate and pursue downstream business opportunities in the areas of rare earth alloys, rare earth metals and rare earth magnets
Zandkopsdrift is KORES’ only investment in a rare earth mine development worldwide to date
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Frontier Peer Comparison
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Company Lynas Molycorp Avalon Rare Element Quest Arafura Tasman Frontier
Deposit Mt Weld Mtn Pass Nechalacho Bear LodgeStrange
LakeNolan's Bore Norra Karr
Central Zone
Deposit
Location Australia California NW Territories Wyoming Quebec Australia Sweden South Africa
TREO Grade 8.08% 7.04% 1.70% 3.45% 1.20% 2.80% 0.54% 3.12% 2.28%
Tonnes per annum 11kt / 22kt 19kt / 40kt 10kt 10kt 12kt 20kt 6kt 20kt
Rare Earth Product Separated REO Separated REO Concentrate Concentrate ConcentrateSeparated
REON/A Separated REO
Project stage Commissioning Commissioning PFS PEA PEA PFS Resource PEA
Primary RE Mineral Monazite Bastnaesite SyeniteAncylite &
bastnaesiteGranite
Fluorapatite & Cheralite
Eudialyte Monazite
Deposit type Pipe Pipe Tabular Dykes/veins Veins Veins Tabular Pipe
Mining Method Open Pit Open Pit Underground Open Pit Open Pit Open Pit Open Pit Open Pit
Climate Arid Arid Arctic Cold Cold Arid Moderate Good
Infrastructure Poor Good Poor Good Poor Poor Good Good
Industry Partner Yes Yes No No No No No Yes
Market Cap $2.33bn $2.18bn $307m $277m $184m $139m $127m $103m
Enterprise Value ($m) $2.09bn $1.62bn $247m $231m $139m $110m $112m $65m
Zandkopsdrift Project Timeline
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PEA Resource
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PFS/DFS Resource
PEA
Pre Feasibility Study
Definitive Feasibility Study
Financing
Construction
Production Start-up
Corporate InformationTSX:FRO
Shares Outstanding: 89,562,781
Fully Diluted Shares: 90,072,765 (Feb 2012)
Market Cap c.$103m
Share Price $1.15 (52 week hi/low $3.75 - $0.87)
Working Capital c.$38m (no debt)
Research Coverage:
CIBC initiated coverage March 6 2011 - 12/18 month target price $7.30
Byron Capital initiated coverage March 17 2011 - 12/18 month price target $4.80
Jacob Securities initiated coverage June 8 2011 - 12 month price target $9.83
Cormark Securities initiated coverage Sept 13 2011 - 12 month price target $4.30
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Frontier Relative Share Price (rebased)
Senior Management TeamManagement team with extensive experience of exploration and development of mineral projects in Southern Africa, financing and corporate development
Philip Kenny B Eng, MBA Chairman25 years experience in natural resource sector. Founder and former Executive Chairman and CEO of Firestone Diamonds plc, an AIM-listed diamond mining company focused which built and operated diamond mines in South Africa, Botswana and Lesotho.
Derick de Wit B Tech, Chem. Eng.Vice President, Project Development
15+ years experience in minerals industry. Has managed or prepared more than 30 independent review, scoping, pre-feasibility and feasibility studies in Africa and Canada.
James Kenny B Comm, MBSChief Executive Officer
20+ years experience in natural resources sector as an executive, adviser and broker. Centrally involved in Frontier's corporate strategy and development activities since incorporation.
Paul McGuinness B Comm, ACA Chief Financial Officer
15+ years experience in investment banking and financial control with Arthur Anderson, Salomon Brothers, Schroders, Collins Stewart and MG Capital.
Dr. Stuart Smith B Sc, PhDVice President, Exploration
30+ years experience in mineral exploration with particular experience in rare earths, uranium, base metals and diamonds.
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SummaryWorld-class rare earth deposit
Experienced management and technical teams
PEA confirms significant economic potential and low risk profile
Only rare earth junior with a strategic industry partner
Downstream opportunity in rare earth metals, alloys and magnets to be pursued with Korean consortium partners and others
Strong financial position (cash c.$38m) and fully funded through PFS and DFS
Share price trading at significant discount to peers and re-rating warranted post-PEA
Very well positioned to become the next major, low cost producer of separated rare xearth oxides commencing in 2015
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