Russia Synthetic Rubber Market

Barykovsky lane 4, building 2, office 201

Moscow, 119034

Phone number: +7 495 988 96 06

e-mail: [email protected] www.indexbox.ru

Demo-Version

Russia: Synthetic

Rubber Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

June 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

Page 2 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Synthetic Rubber Market. June 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian synthetic rubber market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian synthetic rubber market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 150 pages, 53 Tables, and 75 Figures.




The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have

completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts

verify all secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of

the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.

• We offer unique and individualized customer service:

o Personal account on the website with a personal manager;

o Monitoring of the status of your order online;

o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions.

• We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested,

find out about these conditions from our specialists now!




Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian synthetic rubber market and

build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of synthetic rubber

3.1. Classification of synthetic rubber by usage

3.2. Classification of synthetic rubber by monomers

4. Characteristics of raw materials’ base

5. Technology of production of synthetic rubber

6. Characteristics of the Russian synthetic rubber market

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian synthetic rubber market in 2008 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

6.2. Structure of the synthetic rubber market: production, exports, imports,

consumption

7. Characteristics of the domestic production of synthetic rubber in 2005 - 2011

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of synthetic rubber in 2005 - June 2012

7.1.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of synthetic rubber with special

purpose in 2005 - 2009

7.1.2. Volume and dynamics of the production of polybutadiene synthetic rubber in

2005 - June 2012

7.1.3. Volume and dynamics of the production of polyisoprene synthetic rubber in

2005 - 2011

7.1.4. Volume and dynamics of the production of butadiene nitrillium synthetic

rubber in 2005 - June 2012

7.1.5. Volume and dynamics of the production of propylene synthetic rubber in

2005 - 2009

7.1.6. Volume and dynamics of the production of butadienestyrole and

butadienemethylstryrole synthetic rubber in 2005 – June 2012

7.1.7. Volume and dynamics of the production of low molecular liquid synthetic

rubber in 2005 - 2009

7.1.8. Volume and dynamics of the production of siloxane, fluoroorsiloxane,

fluoroelastomer and surful containing polymer synthetic rubber in 2005 - 2009

7.1.9. Volume and dynamics of the production of urethane synthetic rubber in 2005

- 2009

7.2. Structure of production of synthetic rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation

7.3. Main manufacturers of synthetic rubber and their corresponding market shares

7.3.1. OJSC “Nizhnekamskneftekhim”

7.3.2. OJSC “Voronezhsintezkauchuk”

7.3.3. LLC “Togliattikauchuk”

7.3.4. OJSC “Krasnoyarsk Factory for Synthetic Rubber”

7.3.5. OJSC “Omsk Synthetic Rubber”

7.3.6. OJSC “Kazan Factory for Synthetic Rubber”




7.3.7. “Sterlitamak Petrochemical Factory”

7.4. Investment projects in the industry

8. Characteristics of prices of synthetic rubber

8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of synthetic rubber

9. Characteristics of the imports of synthetic rubber to the Russian market

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported synthetic rubber on the

territory of the Russian Federation

9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the synthetic rubber, imported to the Russian

Federation

9.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of synthetic rubber

9.5. Structure of the imports of synthetic rubber by regions of the Russian Federation

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the exports of synthetic rubber

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber

10.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying synthetic rubber for exports

10.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber

11. Factors, influencing the development of the synthetic rubber market in Russia

11.1. Tyres market

11.2. Market of rubber and rubber-based products

12. Characteristics of the consumption of synthetic rubber

12.1.Volume and dynamics of the consumption of synthetic rubber in 2005 – 2011.


12.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of synthetic rubber by Federal Districts

of the Russian Federation in 2008 – 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017

12.3. Structure of consumption of synthetic rubber by industries in 2008 – 2011.


12.4. Balance between production and consumption of synthetic rubber

13. Forecast for the development of the synthetic rubber market in 2011 - 2017

13.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of synthetic rubber in 2012 - 2017

13.2. Evaluation of the development of the synthetic rubber market after Russia’s

accesstion to the WTO

Appendix1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

Appendix2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers

OJSC “EFREMOVSKIY FACTORY FOR SYNTHETIC RUBBER”

OJSC “KAZAN FACTORY FOR SYNTHETIC RUBBER”

OJSC “KRASNOYARSK FACTORY FOR SYNTHETIC RUBBER”

OJSC “NIZHNEKAMSKNEFTEKHIM”

OJSC “STERLITAMAK PETROCHEMICAL FACTORY”

CJSC “OMSK FACTORY FOR SYNTHETIC RUBBER”

OJSC “VORONEZHSINTEZKAUCHUK”

LLC “TOGLIATTIKAUCHUK”




List of tables

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the synthetic rubber market in 2008-2011 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

Table 2. Production of synthetic rubber in 2005 – June 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 3. Production of synthetic rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2005 - June 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 4. Dynamics of the production of synthetic rubber by producers in 2006 - June 2012,

in thousands of tons

Table 5. Production capacity for synthetic rubber production, planned for commissioning in

2012-2017

Table 6. Average manufacturers' prices of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in

January 2009 - June 2012

Table 7. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in 2011, in

tons

Table 8. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 9. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in January-

May, 2012, in tons

Table 10. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in January-

May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 11. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

tons

Table 12. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 13. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing countries in January-

May, 2012, in tons

Table 14. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing countries in January-


Table 15. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing companies in 2011,

in tons

Table 16. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing companies in 2011,

in thousands of USD

Table 17. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing companies in

January-May, 2012, in tons

Table 18. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing companies in

January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 19. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation by importing

companies in 2011, in tons


companies in 2011, in thousands of USD


companies in January-May, 2012, in tons





companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 23. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber by recipient regions of the Russian

Federation in 2011, in tons


Federation in 2011, in thousands of USD


Federation in January-May, 2012, in tons


Federation in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 27. Volume of the exports of synthetic rubber in 2011, in tons

Table 28. Volume of the exports of synthetic rubber in 2011, in USD

Table 29. Volume of the exports of synthetic rubber in January-May, 2012, in tons

Table 30. Volume of the exports of synthetic rubber in January-May 2012, in thousands of

USD

Table 31. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in 2011,

in tons

Table 32. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in 2011,

in thousands of USD

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in

January-May, 2012, in tons

Table 34. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in


Table 35. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing companies in

2011, in tons


2011, in thousands of USD


January-May 2012, in tons



Table 39. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in 2011, in

tons

Table 40. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 41. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in January-

May, 2012, in tons

Table 42. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in January-


Table 43. The main domestic manufacturers of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation

Table 44. The main foreign manufacturers importing synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation

Table 45. Consumption of synthetic rubber in 2008 - 2011 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons




Table 46. Structure of consumption of synthetic rubber by industry in 2008-2011 and

forecast until 2017

Table 47. Forecast for the balance between production and consumption on the synthetic

rubber market in 2008-2017, in thousands of tons

Table 48. Forecast for the development of the synthetic rubber market in 2008-2017, in

thousands of tons

Table 49. Volume and dynamics of the synthetic rubber market in 2008-2011 and forecast

until 2017 after Russia's accession to the WTO, in thousands of tons

Table 50. Revenues (net) from the sale of goods and services (excluding VAT, excise duties

and other similar necessary expenses) for the production of synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation, in thousands of RUR

Table 51. Management expenses for the production of synthetic rubber in the Russian


Table 52. Cost of goods sold for the production of synthetic rubber in the Russian


Table 53. Profit (net) from sales from the production of synthetic rubber in the Russian





List of Figures

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the synthetic rubber market in 2008-2011 and forecast for

2012-2017, in thousands of tons

Fig. 2. Structure and dynamics of the synthetic rubber market in 2008-2011 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of tons

Fig. 3. Structure of the synthetic rubber market by origin in physical terms in 2011

Fig. 4. Production of synthetic rubber in 2011 - June 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 5. Production of synthetic rubber in January 2010 - June 2012, in %, to the analogical

period of the previous year

Fig. 6. Production of synthetic rubber in 2005-2011 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of

tons

Fig. 7. Structure of production of synthetic rubber in 2011 by types in physical terms

Fig. 8. Production of synthetic rubber for special purpose in 2005-2009, in thousands of tons

Fig. 9. Production of polybutadiene rubber in 2005, in June 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 10. Production of polyisoprene rubber in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 11. Production of butadiene rubber in 2005, in June 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 12. Production of ethylene propylene rubber in 2005-2009, in thousands of tons

Fig. 13. Production of rubber and butadiene butadienmetilstirolnyh in 2005, in June 2012, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 14. Production of low molecular weight liquid rubbers in 2005 - 2009, in thousands of

tons

Fig. 15. Production of rubber siloxane, fluorosiloxane, fluoroelastomers, sulfur-containing

polymers in 2005-2009, in thousands of tons

Fig. 16. Production of rubber urethane in 2005-2009, in tons

Fig. 17. Structure of production of synthetic rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in January-June 2012

Fig. 18. Structure of production of synthetic rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2005 - June 2012

Fig. 19. Structure of production of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation by producers

in January-June 2012

Fig. 20. Structure of production of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation by producers

in 2006 - June 2012

Fig. 21. Index of the average manufacturers' prices of synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011

Fig. 22. Index of the average manufacturers' prices of synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation in January-June 2012

Fig. 23. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation in January 2010 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

Fig. 24. Comparison of the average manufacturers' prices of synthetic rubber by Federal

Districts, in June 2012

Fig. 25. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in 2011, in

tons




Fig. 26. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Fig. 27. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in January-

May, 2012, in tons

Fig. 28. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in January-


Fig. 29. Structure of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms


manufacturing countries in 2011 in value terms


manufacturing countries in January-May 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing countries in January-May 2012 in value terms


manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in 2011 in terms of value


manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in value

Fig. 37. Structure of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation by importing

companies in 2011 in physical terms


companies in 2011 in value terms


companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


companies in January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 41. Structure of the imports of synthetic rubber by regions of the Russian Federation in

2011 in physical terms


2011 in value terms


January-May 2012 in physical terms


January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 45. Dynamics of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber in 2011, in tons

Fig. 46. Dynamics of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber in 2011, in thousands of USD

Fig. 47. Dynamics of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber in January-May, 2012, in tons

Fig. 48. Dynamics of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber in January-May 2012, in

thousands of USD




Fig. 49. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in 2011

in physical terms

Fig. 50. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in 2011

in value terms

Fig. 51. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in


Fig. 52. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries in


Fig. 53. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by manufacturing companies in

2011 in physical terms


2011 in value terms





Fig. 57. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in 2011 in

physical terms

Fig. 58. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in 2011 in

value terms

Fig. 59. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in January-

May 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 60. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by sending regions in January-

May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 61. Ratio between imported and domestic products on the automobile tires market in

Russia in 2011, in physical terms

Fig. 62. Volume of supply on the market of automobile tires in 2008-2011 and forecast for

2012-2017F, in millions of units

Fig. 63. Structure of the Russian market of tires for construction (radial / cross) in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 64. Structure of the Russian tire market by type (primary / secondary) in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 65. Structure of production of rubber products in 2011 by producers in value terms

Fig. 66. Structure of production of arms in 2011 by producers in physical terms

Fig. 67. Structure of production of molded rubber goods in 2011 by producers in physical

terms

Fig. 68. Structure of production of rubber plates in 2011 by producers in physical terms

Fig. 69. Structure of production of non-molded rubber goods in 2011 by producers in

physical terms

Fig. 70. Dynamics of consumption of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in 2008-

2017, in thousands of tons

Fig. 71. Consumption of synthetic rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2011




Fig. 72. Consumption of synthetic rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2008 - 2011 and forecast until 2017

Fig. 73. Structure of consumption of synthetic rubber by industry in 2011

Fig. 74. Structure of consumption of synthetic rubber by industry in 2008 - 2011 and

forecast until 2017

Fig. 75. Forecast for the balance between production and consumption on the synthetic

rubber market in 2008-2017




Executive Summary*

…

The volume of supply on the Russian synthetic rubber market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the synthetic rubber market was …%.

The volume of production of synthetic rubber in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than

the volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all synthetic rubber manufactured in the Russian Federation in

2012 belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of synthetic rubber in Russia amounted to … tons in physical

terms and to … thousand USD in value terms.

In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber was … tons, which was equal

to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes

only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more

information, you can contact us at: [email protected].

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market

mailto:[email protected]




6. Characteristics of the Russian

synthetic rubber market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian synthetic rubber

market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian synthetic rubber market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the synthetic rubber market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the synthetic rubber market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the synthetic rubber market in Russia:

production, exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of synthetic rubber in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the

total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented

below.

Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the synthetic rubber market in 2008 - 2012

and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the synthetic rubber market in 2008 - 2012

and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Production Consumption

Exports Imports




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of synthetic rubber in

Russia in 2007 - 2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of synthetic rubber production in 2007

- 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 8 Synthetic rubber production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 9 Synthetic rubber production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %,

to the previous year




7.3 The main manufacturers of synthetic rubber and their

corresponding market shares

The main manufacturers of synthetic rubber in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company

B, and Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed by

Company D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of synthetic

rubber, in

tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




8. Characteristics of synthetic rubber prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of synthetic rubber

Manufacturers’ prices of synthetic rubber have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in

2009 to … RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their

highest value in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.

Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of synthetic rubber in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical period of the

previous year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical

period of the previous

year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).




9. Characteristics of the imports of

synthetic rubber to the Russian

market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of

synthetic rubber

…

The volume of Russian imports of synthetic rubber in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount

of synthetic rubber was imported in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported

synthetic rubber on the territory of the Russian Federation

Country A was the leader in terms of imports of synthetic rubber (in physical terms) in

2011, with a share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of synthetic rubber in

2011. The second place was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of

synthetic rubber (a share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Country C with a

share of …%.






manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms

Table 24. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the synthetic rubber,

imported to the Russian Federation

Company A was the leader in terms of imports of synthetic rubber (in physical terms) in

2011, with a share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of synthetic rubber in

2011. The second place was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of

synthetic rubber (a share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Company C with a

share of …%.

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS






manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms

Table 26. Volume of the imports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Company A … …%

Company B … …%

Company C … …%

Company D … …%

Company E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

OTHERS




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of synthetic rubber 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of

synthetic rubber

…

The volume of Russian exports of synthetic rubber in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount

of synthetic rubber was exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011, in tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …






Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of synthetic rubber in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of synthetic

rubber

In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber was Country

A. Its share in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and

Country C (…%). To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The

combined share of the other countries is …%.





Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries

in 2011 in physical terms

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of synthetic rubber by recipient countries

in 2011, in tons

Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


…

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS




12. Characteristics of consumption

of synthetic rubber 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of synthetic

rubber in 2008 - 2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017

The volume of consumption of synthetic rubber in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more,

compared to 2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of synthetic

rubber in recent years - a decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent

years was observed in 2009, when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end

of 2012, the consumption of synthetic rubber almost reached the level in 2010, but the

growth is not yet possible to reach the pre-crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.

According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help

consumption of synthetic rubber increase in the next few years with rates of …-…%

annually. Thus, by 2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for

synthetic rubber in the country will be met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who

account for over …% of the market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of synthetic rubber in the Russian

Federation in 2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons




12.3. Structure of consumption of synthetic rubber by

industries

Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of synthetic rubber are taken by Industry A

(…%) and Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry

D consumes about …% of the synthetic rubber in Russia.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of synthetic rubber by industries in 2012

35%

37%

10%

8%

10% Industry A Industry B

Industry C Industry D

Others




12.4. Balance between production and consumption of synthetic

rubber

In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the

consumption of synthetic rubber and projections for increase in production.

Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the

difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will

be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in

made in Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the

synthetic rubber market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production … … … … … … … … … …

Consumption … … … … … … … … … …

Balance

(Production-

Consumption)

… … … … … … … … … …

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the synthetic

rubber market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands

of tons

20082009

20102011

20122013F

2014F2015F

2016F2017F

Consumption

Production




About IndexBox

"IndexBox" is one of the leading companies in the sphere of marketing consulting. We carry

out pieces of marketing research and consult on questions about strategic marketing.

• The "IndexBox" team has been working together for more than 7 years.

• The average experience of "IndexBox" specialists in the marketing sphere is 10

years.

• “IndexBox" employs 15 specialists in its research analytical department.

• The gathering of the researched information is controlled by 8 employees, all with

vast experience in field work. And who oversee more than 150 experienced

interviewers.

• Over 10 years, we have completed more than sixteen hundred projects, most of

which are focused on the consumer and industrial markets. The geography of the

research includes not only the territory of Russia, but also foreign markets.

• In total, more than 80,000 respondents have taken part in our research studies.

• Not only does "IndexBox" have a wide partner network in the regions of the

Russian Federation, the CIS, and the Baltic countries, but also has countless foreign

partners, including the largest research companies in the USA, the UK, France,

India, and China.

Our clients are big Russian and foreign companies:




Marketing research

Our specialization - the study of consumer and industrial markets, segments of B2C and

B2B. Among the methods used: desk research, consumer surveys, expert surveys,

competitive analysis, sales audit, a wide range of qualitative market research products and

services. Our competitive advantage is the formation of special research techniques to the

tasks of each project. System planning and operational monitoring of the industry, created a

company that allows professionals to operate in IndexBox their work relevant and accurate

information.

Business Planning

We are professionally engaged in developing business plans, feasibility studies, investment

memoranda, conduct financial analysis of enterprises and prepare analysis for transactions

M & A. Business plans developed by IndexBox, contain a complete financial model for the

further implementation of the project, all calculations are based on marketing information,

which is permanently collected and analyzed for over 7 years. Documents comply with the

standards of Russian and foreign banks, the projects have market feasibility and realistic

projections, and we provide assistance in finding an investor and financing, legal support.

Strategic Marketing

We develop strategic development for brands, products, separate business units and

industry. Generally, programs include product, pricing, marketing and communication

strategy. Projects in the field of strategic marketing are relevant to large enterprises,

financial and investment companies that are planning to expand its interests as well as

small companies that are thinking about business development.

Development

Consulting in development - is to develop the best options for use of the area. To do this,

our marketing agency, conducts research real estate market, analyzes the possible

construction, and estimates the market feasibility and economic benefits of investing in real

estate. Marketing agency IndexBox offers a range of professional services for the study of

the real estate market and the development of individual marketing concept of the facility.
