Russia ferroalloys market

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Russia: Ferroalloys

Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

December 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

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Market Research Russia: Ferroalloys Market. December 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian ferroalloys market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of imports and exports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report on the Russian ferroalloys market contains information on the

following commodity groups:

Ferromolybdenum;

Ferrotitanium;

Ferrosilicocalcium.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian ferroalloys market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 123 pages, 76 Tables, and 79 Figures.




The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian ferroalloys market and build

a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of ferroalloys

3.1. Ferromolybdenum

3.2. Ferrotitanium

3.3. Silicocalcium

4. Characteristics of raw materials’ base

5. Characteristics of the Russian ferroalloys market

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian ferromolybdenum market in 2008 - 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

5.2. Structure of the ferromolybdenum market: production, exports, imports,

consumption

5.3. Volume and dynamics of the Russian ferrotitanium market in 2008 – 2011.


5.4. Structure of the ferrotitanium market: production, exports, imports, consumption

5.5. Volume and dynamics of the Russian ferrosilicocalcium market in 2008 – 2011.


5.6. Structure of the ferrosilicocalcium market: production, exports, imports,

consumption

6. Characteristics of the Russian production of ferroalloys

6.1. Characteristics of the Russian production of ferroalloys in 2005 - September 2012

6.1.1. Characteristics of the production of ferromolybdenum

6.1.2. Characteristics of the production of ferrotitanium

6.1.3. Characteristics of the production of ferrosilicocalcium

6.2. Characteristics of the Russian manufacturers of ferroalloys

6.2.1. OJSC “Kliuchevskiy Ferroalloys Factory”

6.2.2. OJSC “Chelyabinsk Electro-metallurgy Factory”

6.2.3. LLC “Sorsk Ferromolybdenum Factory”

6.2.4. LLC “Zhirekenskiy Ferromolybdenum Factory”

6.2.5. AVISIMA

6.3. Characteristics of the manufacturers of ferroalloys in the CIS countries

6.3.1. LLC “Pobuzhskiy ferronikel Factory” (Ukraine)

6.3.2. LLC “Project Ferroalloy” (Belarus)

6.3.3. OJSC “Pure Iron Factory” (Armenia)

7. Characteristics of prices of ferroalloys

7.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of ferromolybdenum

8. Characteristics of the imports of ferroalloys to the Russian market

8.1. Volume, dynamics, and structure of the imports of ferroalloys

8.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported ferroalloys on the

territory of the Russian Federation

8.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the ferroalloys, imported into the Russian




Federation

8.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of ferroalloys

8.5. Structure of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation

9. Characteristics of the Russian exports of ferroalloys

9.1. Volume, dynamics, and structure of the exports of ferroalloys

9.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of ferroalloys

9.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying ferroalloys for exports

9.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of ferroalloys

10. Factors, influencing the development of the ferroalloys market in Russia

10.1. Heavy machinery building industry

10.2. Production of steel и cast iron

10.3. Raw materials and electrical energy

11. Characteristics of the consumption of ferroalloys

11.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of ferromolybdenum in 2008 – 2011.


11.2. Balance between production and consumption of ferromolybdenum

11.3. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of ferrotitanium in 2008 – 2011.


11.4. Balance between production and consumption of ferrotitanium

11.5. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of ferrosilicocalcium in 2008 – 2011.


11.6. Balance between production and consumption of ferrosilicocalcium




List of tables

Table 1. Chemical composition and brands of ferromolybdenum by GOST

Table 2. Chemical composition and brands of ferrotitanium by GOST

Table 3. Volume and dynamics of the ferromolybdenum market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast

until 2017, in tons

Table 4. Volume and dynamics of the ferrotitanium market in 2007 - 2011 and forecast until

2017, in tons

Table 5. Volume and dynamics of the ferrosilicocalcium market in 2007 - 2011 and forecast

until 2017, in tons

Table 6. Production of ferromolybdenum in 2007 - September 2012, in tons

Table 7. Production of ferromolybdenum by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2005-2011, in thousands of tons

Table 8. Comparative characteristics of the enterprises, producing ferromolybdenum in 2003

-2011, in thousands of tons

Table 9. Production of ferrotitanium in 2005-2011, in tons

Table 10. Production of ferrosilococalcium in 2005-2011, in tons

Table 11. Production ferrosilococalcium in 2003 - 2010 by manufacturers, in thousands of

tons

Table 12. Volumes of production of the OJSC “Klyuchevskii ZF” in 2003 - 2010, in thousands

of tons

Table 13. Financial activities of the “Klyuchevskii ZF” in 2002 - 2008

Table 14. Volumes of production of the OJSC “Chelyabinsk HER” in 2003 - 2009, in

thousands of tons

Table 15. Financial activities of the OJSC “Chelyabinsk HER” in 2002 - 2008

Table 16. Volumes of production of SMR in 2007 - 2010, in thousands of tons

Table 17. Production volumes of the corporation "AVISMA" in 2003 - 2009, in thousands of

tons

Table 18. Financial activities of the corporation "AVISMA" in 2002 - 2008

Table 19. Volumes of production of the OJSC “Aktyube ZF” in 2004 - 2009, in thousands of

tons

Table 20. Average manufacturers' prices of ferromolybdenum in the Russian Federation in

January 2009 - September 2011

Table 21. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 23. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-June

2012, in tons

Table 24. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-June

2012, in thousands of USD

Table 25. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by types in 2011, in thousands of tons and

thousands of USD




Table 26. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by types in 2011, in thousands of tons and

thousands of USD

Table 27. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Table 28. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 29. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing countries in January-June

2012, in tons

Table 30. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing countries in January-June


Table 31. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Table 32. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 33. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in January-June

2012, in tons

Table 34. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in January-June


Table 35. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011, in tons


companies in January-September 2011, in thousands of USD


companies in January-June 2012, in tons


companies in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 39. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011,

in tons

Table 40. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011,

in thousands of USD

Table 41. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012, in tons

Table 42. Volume of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 43. Volume of the exports of ferroalloys in 2011, in tons

Table 44. Volume of the exports of ferroalloys in 2011, in USD

Table 45. Volume of the exports of ferroalloys in January-June 2012, in tons

Table 46. Volume of the exports of ferroalloys in January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 47. Volume of the exports of ferroalloys by types in 2011, in tons and thousands of

USD

Table 48. Volume of the exports of ferroalloys by types in January-June 2012, in tons and

thousands of USD

Table 49. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in 2011, in

tons

Table 50. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD




Table 51. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in January-

June 2012, in tons

Table 52. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in January-

June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 53. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in

2011, in tons




January-September 2011, in tons


January-June 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 57. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in 2011, in tons

Table 58. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 59. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in January-June

2012, in tons

Table 60. Volume of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in January-June


Table 61. Volume of production of products in the field of mechanical engineering 2006 -

September 2011, in units

Table 62. Volume of production of wagons in 2006 - September 2011, in units

Table 63. Volume of production of ships in 2005 – 2009, in units

Table 64. Volume of production of cars in 2006 - September 2011, in units

Table 65. Volume of production of aircrafts in 2006 - 2010, in units

Table 66. Volume of production of steel in 2005 - 2009, in thousands of tons

Table 67. Volume of production of cast iron in 2005 - September 2011, in thousands of tons

Table 68. Average manufacturers' prices of commodity iron ore in 2005 - September 2011

Table 69. Average manufacturers' prices of natural gas in 2005 - September 2011

Table 70. Average manufacturers' prices of fuel oil in 2005 - September 2011, Rs. per ton

Table 71. Average manufacturers' prices of coke, based on 6% moisture content in 2005 -

September 2011, in RUR / ton

Table 72. Average manufacturers' prices of coke and oil shale in 2005 - September 2011

Table 73. Average manufacturers' prices of electricity in 2005 - September 2011

Table 74. Forecast for the balance between production and consumption on the

ferromolybdenum market in 2009 - 2015, in tons


ferrotitanium market in 2009-2015, in tons


ferrosilicocalcium market in 2009-2015, in tons




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the ferromolybdenum market in 2008-2011 and forecast for

2012 - 2017, in tons

Fig. 2. Dynamics and structure of the ferromolybdenum market in 2009-2011 and forecast

until 2017, in tons

Fig. 3. Structure of the ferromolybdenum market by origin in physical terms in 2011

Fig. 4. Volume of supply on the ferrotitanium market in 2008-2011 and forecast for 2012-

2017, in tons

Fig. 5. Dynamics and structure of the ferrotitanium market in 2009-2011 and forecast until

2017, in tons

Fig. 6. Structure of the ferrotitanium market by origin in physical terms in 2011

Fig. 7. Volume of supply on the ferrosilicocalcium market in 2008-2011 and forecast for

2012-2017, in tons

Fig. 8. Dynamics and structure of the ferrosilicocalcium market in 2009-2011 and forecast

until 2017, in tons

Fig. 9. Structure of the ferrosilicocalcium market by origin in physical terms in 2011

Fig. 10. Production of ferromolybdenum in 2011 - September 2012, in tons

Fig. 11. Production of ferromolybdenum in January 2010 - September 2012, in%, to the

analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 12. Production of ferromolybdenum in 2006 - 2011, in tons

Fig. 13. Structure of production of ferromolybdenum by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2005-2011

Fig. 14. Structure of production of ferromolybdenum by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in January-September 2012

Fig. 15. Shares of companies in the total production of ferromolybdenum in the Russian

Federation in 2009


Federation in 2010


Federation in 2011

Fig. 18. Production of ferrotitanium in 2005 - 2011, in tons

Fig. 19. Shares of companies in the total production of ferrotitanium in the Russian

Federation in 2009


Federation in 2010


Federation in 2011

Fig. 22. Production of ferrosilicocalcium in 2005-2011, in tons

Fig. 23. Shares of companies in the total production of ferrosilicocalcium in the Russian

Federation in 2009

Fig. 24. Shares of companies in total production of ferrosilicocalcium in the Russian

Federation in 2010




Fig. 25. Shares of companies in total production of ferrosilicocalcium in the Russian

Federation in 2011

Fig. 26. Index of the average manufacturers' prices of ferromolybdenum in the Russian

Federation in 2010

Fig. 27. Index of the average manufacturers' prices of ferromolybdenum in the Russian

Federation in January-September 2011

Fig. 28. Dynamics of the average manufacturers' prices of ferromolybdenum in the Russian

Federation in January - September 2011, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

Fig. 29. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in tons

Fig. 30. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in thousands of USD

Fig. 31. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-June

2012, in tons

Fig. 32. Dynamics of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation in January-June


Fig. 33. Structure of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation by manufacturing

countries in 2011 in physical terms


countries in 2011 in value terms


countries in January-July 2012 in physical terms


countries in January-June 2012 in value terms


companies in 2011 in physical terms


companies in 2011 in value terms


companies in January-June 2012 in physical terms


companies in January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 41. Structure of the imports of ferroalloys in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011 in physical terms


companies in January-September 2011 in value terms


companies in January-June 2012 in physical terms


companies in January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 45. Structure of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011

in physical terms




Fig. 46. Structure of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011

in value terms

Fig. 47. Structure of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 48. Structure of the imports of ferroalloys by regions of the Russian Federation in

January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 49. Dynamics of the Russian exports of ferroalloys in 2011, in tons

Fig. 50. Dynamics of the Russian exports of ferroalloys in 2011, in thousands of USD

Fig. 51. Dynamics of the Russian exports of ferroalloys in January-June 2012, in tons

Fig. 52. Dynamics of the Russian exports of ferroalloys in January-June 2012, in thousands

of USD

Fig. 53. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in 2011 in

physical terms

Fig. 54. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in 2011 in

value terms

Fig. 55. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in January-

June 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 56. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by recipient countries in January-

June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 57. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in 2011

in physical terms

Fig. 58. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in 2011

in value terms

Fig. 59. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in

January-June 2012 in physical terms

Fig. 60. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by manufacturing companies in

January-June 2012 in value terms

Fig. 61. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in 2011 in

physical terms

Fig. 62. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in 2011 in value

terms

Fig. 63. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in January-June

2012 in physical terms

Fig. 64. Structure of the Russian exports of ferroalloys by sending regions in January-June

2012 in value terms

Fig. 65. Total volume of production in the machinery industry in 2006 - September 2011, in

units

Fig. 66. Volume of production of steel in 2005 - September 2011, in millions of tons

Fig. 67. Volume of production of cast iron in 2005 - September 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 68. Average manufacturers' prices of commodity iron ore in 2005 - September 2011, in

RUR / ton

Fig. 69. Average manufacturers' prices of natural gas in 2005 - September 2011, in RUR /

m3

Fig. 70. Average manufacturers' prices of fuel oil in 2005 - September 2011, in USD / ton




Fig. 71. Average manufacturers' prices of coke, based on 6% moisture content in 2005 -

September 2011, in USD / ton

Fig. 72. Average manufacturers' prices of coke and oil shale 2005 - 2011, in USD / ton

Fig. 73. Average manufacturers' prices of electricity in 2005 - September 2011, in RUR /

MWh

Fig. 74. Dynamics of consumption of ferromolybdenum in the Russian Federation in 2008-

2017, in tons

Fig. 75. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand of ferromolybdenum in 2009-

2015

Fig. 76. Dynamics of consumption of ferrotitanium in the Russian Federation in 2008-2017,

in tons

Fig. 77. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand of ferrotitanium in 2009 -

2015

Fig. 78. Dynamics of consumption of ferrosilicocalcium in the Russian Federation in 2008-

2017, in tons

Fig. 79. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand in the ferrosilicocalcium

market in 2009 - 2015




Executive Summary

…

The volume of supply on the Russian ferroalloys market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is

…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the ferroalloys market was …%.

The volume of production of ferroalloys in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the

volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all ferroalloys manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012

belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of ferroalloys in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms

and to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market




5. Characteristics of the Russian

ferroalloys market

...

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian ferromolybdenum

market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian ferromolybdenum market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the ferromolybdenum market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the ferromolybdenum market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons




5.2. Structure of the ferromolybdenum market in Russia:

production, exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of ferromolybdenum in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the

total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented

below.

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the ferromolybdenum market in 2008 -

2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




6. Characteristics of the domestic

production of ferroalloys in Russia in

2007 - 2012

…

6.1.1 Volume and dynamics of ferromolybdenum production

in 2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6 Ferromolybdenum production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




6.2 The main manufacturers of ferroalloys and their

corresponding market shares

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of ferroalloys in Russia in

2010 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of

ferroalloys,

in tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




9. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of ferroalloys 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of

ferroalloys

…

The volume of Russian exports of ferroalloys in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of

ferroalloys was exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 20. Structure and volume of the foreign trade operations on the

ferroalloys market in 2012

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 32. Dynamics of the Russian exports of ferroalloys in 2011 - 2012, in

thousands of tons

…




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