Rural population: Global context

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1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050

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Global PopulationUnited Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population DivisionWorld Urbanization Prospects: The 2009 RevisionFile 2: Percentage of Population Residing in Urban Areas by Major Area, Region and Country, 1950-2050POP/DB/WUP/Rev.2009/1/F2All rights reserved.

http://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/index.htm

Rural population: Global context

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US (18%)

Canada (19%)

Mexico (22%)

Percent Rural Population by Country 2010 (estimated)

http://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/index.htm

Puerto Rico (1%)

US Rural Demographics

Rural Population Indicators for United States, 2000

Rural is defined as areas outside…Census Places with a

population ≥ U.S. total2,500 10,000 50,000

PopulationTotal population considered rural (million) 87.7 115.8 177 281.4

Percent of population considered rural 31.1 41.1 62.9 N/A

Percent of land area considered rural 97 97.9 99 N/APopulation density (people/sq mile) 25.6 33.4 50.5 79.6

USDA National and State Indicator Tables http://ers.usda.gov/Data/RuralDefinitions/indicators.htm

US Rural Demographics

Rural is defined as areasoutside…

Census Places with a population ≥ U.S. total

2,500 10,000 50,000AgePercent younger than 18 26 25.9 25.7 25.6Percent 19 to 64 61.5 61 61.1 61.9Percent 65 or older 12.5 13.1 13.1 12.4EthnicityPercent non-Hispanic Black 6.9 7.2 8.3 12Percent American Indian 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.7Percent Hispanic 5 5.8 7.8 12.5

US Rural Demographics

Rural is defined as areas outside…Census Places with a

population ≥ U.S. total2,500 10,000 50,000

Education

Percent not completing high school 19.2 19.1 18.4 19.6

Percent completing high school only 33.7 33.1 31.2 28.6Percent with only some college 20.4 20.5 21 21

Percent with a college degree or higher 26.8 27.3 29.4 30.7Income

Average household income ($1,000) 56 56 57 57

Percent in near-poverty households 8 8.2 8 8.6

Percent in below-poverty households 9.9 10.3 10.5 12.4

Percent in deep-poverty households 4.1 4.3 4.5 5.6

US Rural Demographics

Rural is defined as areas outside…Census Places with a

population ≥ U.S. total2,500 10,000 50,000

EmploymentPercent in agriculture, forestry, fishing, hunting, mining industries 4 3.5 2.6 1.9

Percent traveling > 1/2 hour to work 10.3 9.9 9.8 10.4HousingPercent seasonal housing 7 6.2 4.7 3.3Percent without complete plumbing 2 1.7 1.3 1.2Houshold compositionPercent 65 and older and living alone 25 26.4 27.2 28.2Percent of children under 18 in female-headed household 13.5 14.9 16.5 20

US Rural: Recent trends

US Rural: Recent trends and geographic distribution

Mexico: Rural trends

In the 20th century, population in Mexico passed from a predominantly rural population to predominantly urban.

In1950, 57% of the population lived in rural localities. In 2000, 25% of the population lived in rural localities.

However, the process of urbanization has not been consistent across the country: while more than 90% of the population of the Distrito Federal is urban, less than half the population in Oaxaca, Chiapas and Hidalgo states live in urban localities.

Mexico: Geographic distribution

Source: INEGI, in: Government of the United Mexican States, Second Report of Government, September 1, 2002

Degree of urbanization by state, 2002

Degree of Urbanization

Predominately urban >89%Very urban 80 - 89.9%Urban 67 – 79.9%Semi-urban 59 – 66.9%Rural < 59%

Mexico: Poverty level

http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTMEXICO/Resources/A_Study_of_Rural_Poverty_in_Mexico.pdf

Mexico: Sources of income

http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTMEXICO/Resources/A_Study_of_Rural_Poverty_in_Mexico.pdf

Mexico: Age distributions

Rural Population, 2000 Urban Population, 2000>6560-6455-5950-5445-4940-4435-3930-3425-2920-2415-1910-145-90-4

Men Women

>6560-6455-5950-5445-4940-4435-3930-3425-2920-2415-1910-145-90-4

Men Women

Source: INEGI, in: Government of the United Mexican States, Second Report of Government, September 1, 2002, President of the Republic, Mexico, 2002.

Canada: Rural trends

Canadian provinces

Canada: Geographic distribution

Canada: Employment

0 200 400 600

Wholesale and retail trade

Manufacturing

Primary (agriculture, mining, forestry, …

Health services

Other services

Accomodation, food and beverages

Employment (thousands)

Employment by Major Industrial Sectors in Rural and Small Town areas, Canada, 1998

Canada: Employment

60% 65% 70% 75%

Predominantly urban regions

Intermediate regions

All predominantly rural regions

Canada

Employment/Population ages 15 to 64

Employment by type of region, 1996

Canada: Availability of health care

Urban Semi-urban Rural and small towns

Canada: Availability of health care

moving further north

Canada: Age distributionDr. Ivan P. Fellegi

Chief Statistician of Canada

September, 1996

Dr. Ivan P. Fellegi

Chief Statistician of Canada

September, 1996

Understanding Rural Canada: Structures and TrendsDr. Ivan P. FellegiChief Statistician of CanadaSeptember, 1996

Canada: Education

Understanding Rural Canada: Structures and TrendsDr. Ivan P. FellegiChief Statistician of CanadaSeptember, 1996

Canada: Ethnicity

Understanding Rural Canada: Structures and TrendsDr. Ivan P. FellegiChief Statistician of CanadaSeptember, 1996

Canada: Income

Understanding Rural Canada: Structures and TrendsDr. Ivan P. FellegiChief Statistician of CanadaSeptember, 1996