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Seminar on Three‐Runway System of y y
Hong Kong International Airport
The Three‐Runway System Project at HKIA
11 December 2015
Wilson Fung, Executive Director, Corporate Development
Need and Urgency of 3RSNeed and Urgency of 3RS
2
Global air traffic has been driven by the phenomenal growth in the Mainland in the past 10 yearsg p yTotal pax (million trips)
W ld 4 3%
CAGR 2004‐2014
World = 4.3%
1,000
Mainland = 13.1%
GPRD = 8.0%
Source: ACI, CAAC, AAHK 3
2014 air traffic movements showed that 3RS is urgently requiredg y q
420
460MP2030 forecast = 390,000 (base case)
2014 throughput = 391,000
Air Traffic Movements (ATMs)/ year (’000)
Capacity of 2RS =
340
380
420420,000 ATMs/ year
Over 90% capacity
260
300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Actual AAHK estimates MP2030 estimates (base case)
Source: IATA Consulting estimates; AAHK for actual statistics and estimates 4
HKIA’s passenger growth in the past 10 months has not been affected by the major drop in visitor arrivals y j p
YoY Growth (%)YTD 2015
YoY Growth (%)
HKIA Pax = 8.3%
Visitor Arrivals to HK = – 0.8%HK 0.8%
5Source: AAHK, HKTB
Airports worldwide are expanding aggressively to meet growing demand
London HeathrowPotential
London HeathrowPotential
FrankfurtTerminal 3 (2022)
FrankfurtTerminal 3 (2022)
Beijing (Daxing)New airport (2019)Beijing (Daxing)
New airport (2019)
Guangzhou•3rd Runway (2015)•Terminal 2 (2018)
Guangzhou•3rd Runway (2015)•Terminal 2 (2018)
g g
Los AngelesNew satellite
concourse (2020)
Los AngelesNew satellite
concourse (2020)
Potential 3rd Runway (2030)
Potential 3rd Runway (2030)
Terminal 3 (2022)Terminal 3 (2022)
IstanbulNew airport (2018)
IstanbulNew airport (2018)
D hD h
Seoul IncheonTerminal 2 (2017)Seoul Incheon
Terminal 2 (2017)
Shanghai Pudong•4th Runway (2014)Shanghai Pudong
•4th Runway (2014)
p ( )p ( )Terminal 2 (2018)Terminal 2 (2018)
ChengduNew airport (2019)
ChengduNew airport (2019)
Guangzhou (new airports)
•2nd airport•New airport for business aviation
Guangzhou (new airports)
•2nd airport•New airport for business aviation
Beijing4th Runway (2018)
Beijing4th Runway (2018)
Bangkok Suvarnabhumi3rd R (2020)
Bangkok Suvarnabhumi3rd R (2020)
Atlanta6th Runway (2025)
Atlanta6th Runway (2025)
DohaNew airport (2014)
DohaNew airport (2014)
Abu DhabiNew terminal (2017)
Abu DhabiNew terminal (2017)
DubaiAirport upgrade(2022)
DubaiAirport upgrade(2022)
•4th Runway (2014)•5th Runway (2017)•New satellite concourse (2018)
•4th Runway (2014)•5th Runway (2017)•New satellite concourse (2018)
Taipei Taoyuan• 4th terminal# (2018)•Terminal 3 (2020)
Taipei Taoyuan• 4th terminal# (2018)•Terminal 3 (2020)
Shenzhen•3rd Runway (2018)•Terminal 4 (2020)
Shenzhen•3rd Runway (2018)•Terminal 4 (2020)
New airport (2019)New airport (2019)
•3rd Runway (2020)•Terminal 2 (2020) •3rd Runway (2020)•Terminal 2 (2020)
New airport constructionE istin airport onstr tion
SydneyNew airport (2025)
SydneyNew airport (2025)
Singapore•Terminal 4 (2017)•3rd Runway (2020)•Terminal 5 (2025‐28)
Singapore•Terminal 4 (2017)•3rd Runway (2020)•Terminal 5 (2025‐28)
According CAPA, there are currently >1,500 airport construction projects worldwide with investment totalling USD891 billion*
Ho Chi Minh CityNew airport (2023)Ho Chi Minh CityNew airport (2023)
Existing airport constructionp ( )p ( )
* as of Dec 2015, including new airport construction and projects at existing airports# the new 4th terminal announced in 2015 will be completed before the completion of Terminal 3Note: Only key expansion projects are indicatedNote: Only key expansion projects are indicatedSource: CAPA (as of Sep 2015)
6
Major airport developments in Asia
Bangkok Bangkok SuvarnabhumiSuvarnabhumi –– 33rdrd runway runway Seoul Seoul IncheonIncheon –– 55thth runwayrunway
Taipei Taipei TaoyuanTaoyuan –– 44thth terminalterminal
Singapore Changi – 3rd runway
Ho Chi Minh City Long Ho Chi Minh City Long ThanhThanh ––new airportnew airport
Source: Airport Annual Reports and websites; CAPA news; ACI 7
GPRD airport developmentsGuangzhouGuangzhou –– 55thth runwayrunway
MacaoMacao terminalterminalShenzhenShenzhen –– 33rdrd runwayrunway
MacaoMacao –– terminal terminal expansionexpansion
H K 3rdZhuhaiZhuhai –– 22ndnd runwayrunway Hong Kong – 3rd runway
Source: IATA Consulting PRD Airport Forecasts (Jan 2015), IATA Consulting Research 8
Super hubs in the Middle EastIstanbul, Turkey – new airport with 6 runways
Doha, QatarDoha, Qatar –– new airportnew airport
Dubai Int’l, UAEDubai Int’l, UAE –– No. 1 airport No. 1 airport for int’l for int’l paxpax
ll kkAl Al MaktoumMaktoum UAEUAE –– 5 runways5 runways
9Source: Airport Annual Reports and websites; CAPA news; CNN news; ACI
What is 3RS?What is 3RS?
10
11
3RS is much more than a runway
Third Runway ConcourseThird Runway ConcourseAutomated PeopleAutomated People
Terminal 2 ExpansionTerminal 2 Expansion
Automated People Automated People MoverMover
Terminal 2 ExpansionTerminal 2 Expansion
Seawall (Stone Column and DCM)
Seawall & General Land (Low Headroom DCM)
3RS Reclamation
12Seawall and General Land
(Low Headroom DCM)
(Low Headroom DCM)
Seawall (Stone Column and DCM) Baggage Handling SystemBaggage Handling System
3RS Project Cost (Scheme Design)
Three‐Runway System3RS Scheme Design
(HK$ billion)
Land formation 36.836.8
Runway and taxiway systems 6.5
New passenger concourse and apron 16.8
Expansion of and modifications to Terminal 2 9.5
Automated people mover system 6.1
Baggage handling system 4.5
Road network and transportation facilities 4.3
2010 Dollars HK$ 84.5 bn
MOD HK$ 141.5 bn
13
Economic Benefits of 3RSEconomic Benefits of 3RS
14
“Airport is not solely a Transport Infrastructure.
It is an Economic Infrastructure”It is an Economic Infrastructure
15
Airport expansion benefits the people of Hong Kong
• The 3RS will spur the economic growth of Hong Kong and strengthen its status as an international and regional aviation hub
2323
16
Cost of Delay of 3RS Opening: Construction Cost
34 0
(MOD, HK$ Bn)
27.5
34.0
14.1
20.9
7.2
1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Years
Source: AA Projects Dept., Dec 2, 2014 17
THANK YOU
18