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ROUTT COUNTY & CITY OF STEAMBOAT SPRINGS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
INVENTORY AND FORECASTING OVERVIEW
AGENDA
Introductions
What are greenhouse gas emissions?
What are local climate change risks?
Current and future emissions trends by sector
Next steps
Questions
WHAT ARE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS?
LOCAL CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS
▪ Increased temperatures
▪ More rain, less snow
▪ More extreme weather events
▪ Increased susceptibility to pests and
diseases
▪ Increased risk of catastrophic wildfires
▪ Public health impacts
▪ Tourism and economic impacts
▪ Water quality impacts
▪ Air quality impacts
PROJECT OVERVIEW
Create a clear picture of past and current greenhouse gas emission sources, understand trends, and establish a baseline for future emissions inventories that will guide climate action planning.
Deliverables:
✓ 2005 and 2018 Emissions Inventory Spreadsheets for Steamboat Springs and Routt County
✓ Forecasted Emissions Tool
✓ Inventory Management Plan
✓ Report on current and forecasted emissions
HIGH LEVEL REVIEW OF TODAY
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000
Steamboat Springs
Routt County (without Steamboat Springs)
Total for Routt County
Commercial and Industrial Buildings Residential Buildings Fugitive Emissions Transportation Solid Waste Wastewater Treatment AFOLU
36% of emissions in Routt County are attributed to Steamboat Springs
2005 TO 2018 TRENDS FOR ROUTT COUNTY3.3%
increase in
emissions
2005 TO 2018 TRENDS FOR STEAMBOAT SPRINGS9.4%
decrease in
emissions
2005: 688,539 mt CO2e 2018: 711,308 mt CO2e
2030: 556,998 mt CO2e 2050: 520,585 mt CO2e
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Stationary Energy Fugitive Emissions Transportation Waste/Wastewater AFOLU Total
Projected decrease in emissions of 24%
Projected Business-as-Usual Emissions for Routt County
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2018 2050
Commercial Diesel
Residential Wood
Commercial Propane
Residential Propane
Commercial Natural Gas
Residential Natural Gas
T&D Loses
Commercial Electricity
Residential Electricity
62%
53%
33%
STATIONARY
ENERGY
STATIONARY ENERGY TRENDSEnergy Use Trends
Expected increase in usage due to population growth and second homes
Renewable Energy Trends
Colorado Goals: 100% of electricity generated from carbon-free sources by 2040
Xcel Energy Goals: 80% of electricity generated from carbon-free sources by 2030. 100% of electricity generated from carbon-free sources by 2050
Oak Creek Municipality Goals: Unknown.
HAYDEN POWER PLANT
Unit 1 scheduled to close in 2030
Unit 2 scheduled to close in 2036
Only emissions from the operation of the plant were considered in the inventory and forecast. Energy produced by Hayden Power Plant but consumed outside communities were not considered.
Emissions at Hayden peaked in 2010 at 3,757,251 mt CO2e.
HAYDEN IN PERSPECTIVE
2005: 3,720,648
2018: 3,199,477
2030: 1,577,148
2050: 520,585
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
5,000,000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Hayden Routt County Total
0%
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90%
100%
2005 2018 2050
Coal Mine
Oil and Gas
Leakage Rate Natural Gas
5% 9% 8%
Fugitive Emissions
0%
10%
20%
30%
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50%
60%
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80%
90%
100%
2005 2018 2050
Railway
Waterborne
Av Gas
Jet Fuel
On-Road Gasoline andEthanol
On-Road Diesel andBiodiesel
On-Road Electric
21%
25%
32%
Transportation
TRANSPORTATION TRENDSElectric Vehicles
Expected increase in electric vehicles
In January 2019, Governor Polis signed Executive Order B 2019-002 Supporting a Transition to Zero Emission Vehicles
Vehicle Miles Traveled
Expected increase in vehicle miles traveled over time due to population increase and tourism
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2018 2050
Wastewater
Compost
Waste
9% 7%
15%
Waste and Wastewater
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2018 2050
Biomass Burning
ManureManagement
Enteric Emissions
4% 7%11%
Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use
Type of Livestock 2005 (Baseline) 2018% Change Between
2018 and Baseline
Dairy Cattle 7 23 228.6%
Beef Cattle 14,807 24,859 67.9%
Sheep 713 14,163 1886.4%
Goat 37 243 556.8%
Buffalo 0 250 N/A
Swine 92 24 -73.9%
Horse 3,501 2,736 -21.9%
Poultry 452 1,469 225.0%
NEXT STEPS
Climate Action Plan
A reduction in emissions will be directly tied to action-based strategies in line with existing initiatives including, but not limited to, the following:
▪ Increase the recycling of waste materials from demolition projects and achieve zero waste by 2030 from construction and demolition.
▪ Increase biking, carsharing, and transit options.
▪Establish a composting program for food scraps, which would divert organics from the landfill and reduce overall solid waste emissions.
▪ Increase green infrastructure by two percent annually and increase cooling via tree canopy cover, green roofs, and green walls.
▪Reduce energy use and water use by 15 percent (each) over the next five years.
