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ROSNEFT ROSNEFT Credit Suisse Energy Credit Suisse Energy Summit Summit Vail Vail February February , 2011 , 2011

ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

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Page 1: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

ROSNEFTROSNEFT

Credit Suisse Energy Credit Suisse Energy SummitSummit

VailVailFebruaryFebruary, 2011, 2011

Page 2: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

2

Important NoticeImportant Notice

The information contained herein has been prepared by the Company. The opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. The Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.

These materials contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. We assume no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

Page 3: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

3

Q4Q4’’10 and 12M10 and 12M’’10 Highlights10 Highlights

Q4`10 - challenges

Growth in transportation tariffs

Strengthening of the RUB against the USD

Domestic prices lagging export netbacks

2011 priorities

Internal optimization: divestment of non-core assets/subsidiaries, optimization of business processes

Meeting 2011 Business plan targets

Continued cost controlIncrease in energy efficiency Work with suppliers and contractorsHeadcount optimization Capex prioritization

Continue discussion to update tax regime

Strong financial results:

• EBITDA – USD 5.4 bln in Q4 and USD 19.2 bln in 12M

• Net income – USD 3.1 bln in Q4 and USD 10.7 bln in 12M

• Operating cash flow – USD 14.9 bln in 12M

• Record free-cash flow generation of USD 5.8 bln in 12M

• Net debt decreased to USD 13.7 bln(pre-2007 acquisitions level), or by USD 4.8 blnfrom December 31, 2009

Crude oil production growth of 6.4% y-on-y

Retail sales volumes growth of 10% y-on-y

Sales of petroleum products through commodity exchanges – 3.4 mln tonnes in 12M, or 16.6% of total domestic sales (x2.9 increase y-on-y)

PositivesPositives Challenges, PrioritiesChallenges, Priorities

Page 4: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

4

Macroeconomic Environment:Macroeconomic Environment:Prices Up YPrices Up Y--onon--Y and QY and Q--onon--Q, Real Strengthening of the RubleQ, Real Strengthening of the Ruble

(4.3)%

18.0%

18.2%

26.9%

29.1%

28.9%

, %

(12.5)%

8.8%

31.72

398.0

579.8

348.6

520.7

59.5

12M’09

11.6%

8.8%

30.37

469.5

685.1

442.3

672.3

76.7

12M’10

9.0%464.2506.2Diesel (av. Russia), $/tonne (summer)

(0.3)%706.2704.2High octane gasoline (av. Russia), $/tonne

8.4%427.7463.6Fuel oil 3.5% (FOB/CIF Med), $/tonne

12.4%652.0732.7Gasoil 0.1% (FOB/CIF Med), $/tonne

11.3%75.183.6Urals FOB Primorsk, $/bbl

0.3%

, %

0.2%

1.8%

30.62

Q3’10Q4’10

Average USD/RUB exchange rate 30.71

Inflation for the period, % 2.6%

Real RUB appreciation/(depreciation)compared with the previous period, %

1.8%

Page 5: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

5

NonNon--controlled Expenses:controlled Expenses:Transportation Tariffs Up AgainTransportation Tariffs Up Again

45.6%

39.7%

22.5%

17.3%

52.6%

, %

65.8%

39.22

9.91

4.80

1,115

24.51

12M’09

74.4%

57.12

13.84

5.88

1,307

37.40

12M’10

%

USD/bbl

USD/bbl

USD/bbl

RUB/t

USD/bbl

10.2%55.0060.60Total non-controlled costs

15.2%13.3415.37MET

2.7%5.846.00Yugansk – Novorossiysk tariff

3.0%1,3071,347Yugansk – Novorossiysk tariff

73.4%72.5%Non-controlled costs / Urals FOB Novorossiysk

9.5%35.8239.23Export customs duty

, %Q3’10Q4’10

Transneft increased the tariffs three times in 2010: by 15.9% from January 1, by 3.3% from August 1 and by 9.9% from December 1

Zero export duty on East Siberian crude oil was replaced by a special duty calculated according to the following formula: 45% * (Urals – USD 50 bbl). Rosneft accrued USD 236 mln of export duties on Vankor crude oil in Q32010 and USD 312 mln in Q4 2010

Page 6: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

6

Q4`10 and 12MQ4`10 and 12M’’10 Results Overview:10 Results Overview:Record EBITDA and FCF, Strong Volume GrowthRecord EBITDA and FCF, Strong Volume Growth

(58.9)%2,04584069.6%3,4435,839Free cash flow before dividends1

(26.1)%

23.2%

38.2%

61.3%

41.6%

34.6%

1.8%

(2.7)%

6.4%

, %

18,489

7,252

10,791

6,472

13,565

46,826

47.06

12.68

2,182

12M’09

13,662

8,931

14,910

10,442

19,203

63,047

47.89

12.34

2,322

12M’10

19.4%2,3182,768Capital expenditures, USD mln

13,952

4,386

2,525

4,638

15, 471

12.42

2.86

2,332

Q3’10

(2.1)%

(15.1)%

17.1%

15.9%

12.4%

(1.4)%

13.6%

0.9%

, %Q4’10

Daily crude oil production, th. bpd 2,352

Gas production, bcm 3.25

Petroleum product output, mln t 12.25

Revenues, USD mln 17,384

EBITDA, USD mln 5,377

Adjusted net Income , USD mln 2,958

Adjusted operating cash flow1 , USD mln 3,722

Net debt , USD mln 13,662

1. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are adjusted for operations with trading securities as part of excess cash management (outflow of USD 472 mln in 12M’09, inflow of USD 262 mln in 12M’10, outflow of USD 32 mln in Q3’10, outflow of USD 86 mln in Q4’10).

Page 7: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

7

Daily Crude Oil Production:Daily Crude Oil Production:Continuing to Contribute Majority Continuing to Contribute Majority of Russian Production Growthof Russian Production Growth

* Excluding share in Tomskneft.

Source: CDU TEK, Rosneft.

(2.8)%

(2.2)%

(0.2)%

(0.1)%

0.0%

2.0%

6.4%Rosneft

TNK-BP

Tatneft

Surgutneftegaz

Gazprom Neft*

LUKOIL (in Russia)

Slavneft

Daily Crude Oil Production in Russia, 2010 vs. 2009Daily Crude Oil Production in Russia, 2010 vs. 2009

Russ

ia’s

ave

rage

+2.2

%

Crude oil output in Russia, th. bpd

10,123

9,905

6810140

9,300

9,800

10,300

2009 Rosneft Otherintegrated oils

Othercompanies

2010

+2.2%

Page 8: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

8

Daily Crude Oil ProductionDaily Crude Oil ProductionImplementing Sustainable Growth StrategyImplementing Sustainable Growth Strategy

Key priorities for 2011Key priorities for 2011

Production growth by ~1%

Construction works at Vankor to ramp-up production in the middle of the year by 45,000 bpd and continue ramp up in the end of 2011 through gradual launch of the second stage of the project

Plateau production at Yugansk of ~1.3 mln bpd

Focus on efficient recovery of drilled but not recovered reserves – growth of recovery ratio –increase in reserves and stabilization of production at developed fields at lowest cost

Drilling risk management to maximize capexefficiency – additional seismic works and other geological information to enhance field development models and make better placement of wells1,900

2,000

2,100

2,200

2,300

2,400

2,500

2009 2010 2011

th. bpd Launch of production at

Vankor

Extremely low temperatures in Western Siberia

Jan Feb Mar Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecMayApr

Turnaround works at

Sakhalin-1

Page 9: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

9

726

470

332

3,043

Vankor Rosneftaverage

Yugansk Russia'saverage

Drilling Activity and Wells ProductivityDrilling Activity and Wells ProductivityDrilling More Wells with Industry Leading Flow RatesDrilling More Wells with Industry Leading Flow Rates

530 533605

700779

1 1

76

71

71

90 84

52

64

117

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011BP

Yugansk Vankor All other

New production and injection wells put into operation by Rosneft’s subsidiariesNew production and injection wells put into operation by Rosneft’s subsidiaries

* Including injection wells.

Average flow rates of the new wells, 9M’10Average flow rates of the new wells, 9M’10

bpd

Page 10: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

10

1,250

1,300

1,350

2009 2010 2011

1,291

1,324

13

5

15

1,280

1,290

1,300

1,310

1,320

1,330

2010 Plan Higher flowrates of new

wells

Additionalwells

Higherefficiency of

wellinterventions

2010 Actual

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

Yuganskneftegaz Daily Crude Oil Production, ‘000 bpdYuganskneftegaz Daily Crude Oil Production, ‘000 bpd

Yugansk: Yugansk: 2.6% Ahead of Plan in 20102.6% Ahead of Plan in 2010

Plan-fact Analysis, ‘000 bpdPlan-fact Analysis, ‘000 bpd

Jan Feb Nov DecSep OctAugMar Apr May Jun Jul

Initial flow rates of new wells, bpdInitial flow rates of new wells, bpd

Stabilized

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 11: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

11

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Vankor:Vankor:Above Midpoint Guidance for 2010, Expanding Capacities in 2011 Above Midpoint Guidance for 2010, Expanding Capacities in 2011

2009 2010

‘000 bpd

July 20, 2009 - start of ‘zero’ production

stage, filling of the pipeline

‘Extended zero’ stage, 260 th. bpd just within

8 months

Jan Jan

‘000 bpd

2011

Current output -280 th. bpd

Increase in capacity of the

Southern oil treatment unit

Gradual launch of the Central oil

treatment unit

2011 plans:

Average daily production ~300,000 bpd

CAPEX - USD 2.6 bln

Production growth factors:

~70 production and injection wells

Increase in capacity of the Southern oil treatment unit

Gradual launch of the Central oil treatment unit

Jan Dec

Page 12: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

12

Refinery Upgrade ProgressRefinery Upgrade Progresson Scheduleon Schedule

upgradeCDU-VDU

upgradeReforming

upgradeReforming

upgradeVisbreaking

upgradeupgradeReforming

upgradeIsomerization

newIsomerization

Komsomolsk

newDelayed coking

Syzran

newHydrogen production

Kuibyshev

newHydrogen production

Angarsk

newIsomerization

newHydrogen concentration

Novokuibyshevsk

201120102009

Completed construction and upgrades and plan for 2011Completed construction and upgrades and plan for 2011

CDU-VDU, hydrocracking, hydrotreatment, isomerization, catalytical reforming, flexicokingTuapse

alkylation, hydrotreatment, MTBE productionAngarsk

delayed coking, reforming, hydrocracking+ hydrotreatmentAchinsk

FCC complex, hydrotreatmentSyzran

FCC complex, isomerizationKuibyshev

catalytical reforming, hydrocracking + hydrotreatment, second stage of isomerizationNovokuibyshevsk

hydrocracking + hydrotreatmentKomsomolsk

Key new units to be completed after 2011Key new units to be completed after 2011

2011 capex – USD 2.1* bln (USD 1.5 bln in 2010)

Upgrades to be completed by 2015

Capacity to increase by 150,000 bpd

Nelson complexity to increase from 4 to more than 7

Light product yield to grow from 57% to 78%

IRR above 20% (including at 60/66 scenario)

* At 30.5 RUB/USD. Not including the capitalized expenses on the expansion of the pipeline to the Tuapse refinery.

Page 13: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

13

46,826

63,047350135176623131,3641,524

(726)

3,2732,100

7,650

12M'09 Oil exportsprice

Oil exportsvolume

Productexports

price

Productexportsvolume

Productdomestic

price

Productdomesticvolume

Bunkerfuel salesto end-

users

Gas Petroche-micals

Oildomestic

Other 12M'10

Revenues Reconciliation, USD mlnRevenues Reconciliation, USD mln

15,471

17,384583

(253)(5)

23

1,142350

157

(77) (34)

4 23

Q3'10 Oil exportsprice

Oil exportsvolume

Productexports

price

Productexportsvolume

Productdomestic

price

Productdomesticvolume

Bunker fuelsales to

end-users

Gas Petroche-micals

Oil domestic Other Q4'10

12M

`10

vs. 1

2M`0

912

M`1

0vs

. 12M

`09

Q4’

10 v

s. Q

3’10

Q4’

10 v

s. Q

3’10

+12.4%

+34.6%

Page 14: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

14

Expenses DynamicsExpenses DynamicsDecreasing in Real TermsDecreasing in Real Terms

Upstream Operating Expenses, USD/bbl of oil producedUpstream Operating Expenses, USD/bbl of oil produced Refining Operating Expenses, USD/bbl of oil processedRefining Operating Expenses, USD/bbl of oil processed

SG&A Expenses, USD/bbl of oil producedSG&A Expenses, USD/bbl of oil produced Transportation Expenses, USD/bbl of oil producedTransportation Expenses, USD/bbl of oil produced

2.832.57

3.413.48

0

1

2

3

4

2007 2008 2009 2010

2.001.88

2.342.19

0

1

2

3

2007 2008 2009 2010

2.031.94

2.31

1.88

0

1

2

3

2007 2008 2009 2010

8.967.448.02

5.93

0

3

6

9

12

2007 2008 2009 2010

Upstream operating expenses include materials and electricity, workover, wages and salaries, and cost of transport to a trunk pipeline.

Selling, general and administrative expenses include payroll at headquarters and management-related subsidiaries, payroll of top management of operating subsidiaries, audit & consulting expenses, bad debt allowance and other costs.

Transportation costs include costs to transport crude oil for refining and to end customers, and to deliver petroleum products from refineries to end customers (cost of pipeline and railroad transportation, handling, port fees, sea freight and other costs).

+10.1% y-on-yat 12% real ruble appreciation

+6.4% y-on-yat 12% real ruble appreciation

+4.6% y-on-yat 12% real ruble appreciation

+20.4% y-on-yat 12% real ruble appreciation

Page 15: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

15

18.6324.65

(0.09)(0.74)(1.52)(0.47)

(7.77)

16.61

12M'09 Revenue Taxes Purchases Transport OPEX SG&A 12M'10

+32.3%

EBITDA and Net Income per bbl Reconciliation:EBITDA and Net Income per bbl Reconciliation:1212MM’’1010 vs. vs. 1212MM’’0909

EBITD

A, U

SD/b

blEB

ITDA

, USD

/bbl

Net

Inco

me,

USD

/bbl

Net

Inco

me,

USD

/bbl

8.95

(0.33)(0.06)(1.23)(0.09)(0.74)(1.52)(0.47)

(7.77)

16.61

13.35

12M'09 Revenue Taxes Purchases Transport OPEX SG&A DD&A FX Income taxand others

12M'10

+49.2%

Page 16: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

16

Operating Cash Flow ReconciliationOperating Cash Flow Reconciliation

10,79114,910

(677)216

5,717 (603)(469)(248)183

12M'09 Increase in netincome before FXand deferred tax

effect

Difference inreceivables change

Difference inadvances issued

and other currentassets change

Difference in tradepayables change

Difference in taxespayable change

Difference in otherworking capital

change

Other 12M'10

+38.2%

12M

’10

vs.1

2M’0

912

M’1

0 vs

.12M

’09

Q4’

10vs

. Q3’

10Q

4’10

vs. Q

3’10

649

4,3863,722

(497)(475)

230(191) (107) (273)

Q3'10 Increase in netincome before FXand deferred tax

effect

Difference inreceivables change

Difference inadvances issued

and other currentassets change

Difference in tradepayables change

Difference in taxespayable change

Difference in otherworking capital

change

Other Q4'10

-15.1%

Operating Cash Flow Reconciliation, USD mlnOperating Cash Flow Reconciliation, USD mln

Page 17: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

17

Sources and Uses of Cash:Sources and Uses of Cash:Strongest Cash Flow GenerationStrongest Cash Flow Generation

170

Sources Uses

Dividends paid and rights for Sochi-2014

trademarks repayment

Increase in cash and investments

5,250

759

Capital expenditures and

licenses acquisition

9,071

Net increase in debt

Operations 14,910

12M’201012M’2010 Q4’2010Q4’2010

2,882

Operations3,722

2,912

Sources Uses

Dividends paid and other

outflows

737

Increase in cash

and investments

3,015

Capital expenditures and

licenses acquisition

Net increase in debt

Operating cash flow is adjusted for operations with trading securities as part of excess cash management (inflow of USD 262 mln in 12M’10, outflow of USD 86 mln in Q4’10).

Page 18: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

18

2,768

2,318

2,091

1,754

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Capital Expenditures:Capital Expenditures:At the Lower End of the Initial Guidance in 2010At the Lower End of the Initial Guidance in 2010

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Upstream Yugansk Upstream Vankor Other Upstream

Refining Marketing Other**

6,780

8,732

7,252

~11,000*

8,931

** Other includes net change in construction materials, capex of service companies and other capex.

USD mln

20102011

USD mln

* At 30.5 RUB/USD. Not including the capitalized expenses on the expansion of the pipeline to the Tuapse refinery.

Page 19: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

19

Net Debt Reconciliation:Net Debt Reconciliation:Reaching preReaching pre--2007 Acquisitions Level2007 Acquisitions Level

18,489

(25)278

9,830

(14,910)

13,662

Adjusted net debt as ofDecember 31, 2009

Adjusted operating cashflow

CAPEX, licenses, Sochi-2014 trademark and

dividends

Net acquisition ofavailable for sale

securities

Other Adjusted net debt as ofDecember 31, 2010

Decreased by USD 4.8 bln

USD mln

Net debt is adjusted for short and medium term bank deposits and other short-term investments as part of the excess cash management.Operating cash flow is adjusted for operations with trading securities as part of excess cash management

13.715.8

18.519.221.321.4

26.324.8

13.3

31.12.06 30.06.07 31.12.07 30.06.08 31.12.08 30.06.09 31.12.09 30.06.10 31.12.10

USD bln

Page 20: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

20

Credit ProfileCredit ProfileStrengthened FurtherStrengthened Further

18.4913.66Net debt, USD bln

16.628.2LTM EBITDA interest coverage

29.2%20.0%Gearing (Net Debt to Net Debt + Equity)

66.7%76.7%Long-term debt, %

2.32%3.53%Weighted av. cost of debt

85.2%88.4%USD denominated debt, %

23.523.6Total debt, USD bln

1.36

Dec. 31, 2009

0.71

Dec. 31,2010

Net debt / LTM EBITDA

Repayment profile*, USD blnRepayment profile*, USD bln

BBB- (stable)

1 (stable)

BBB- (positive)

Fitch

Moody’s

S&P

Credit ratingCredit rating

5.76

1.040.620.66

2.14

3.16

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Repaid as of Dec. 31, 2010 To be repaid

The China Development Bank facility (USD 15 bln) was fully drawn by Dec. 31, 2010

Repayment starts in 2014

* Future repayments include only long-term debt with its current portion.

Page 21: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

21

Strategic Alliance with BPStrategic Alliance with BPBeginning of the Arctic HistoryBeginning of the Arctic History

Estimated resources (Russian classifications)

5.71.6East-Prinovozemelsky-3

10.335.8Total

2.212.5East-Prinovozemelsky-2

2.421.7East-Prinovozemelsky-1

Gas, tcmOil, bln bbls

World-class joint exploration program in the South Kara Sea (Rosneft to have 66.67% stake in the Joint Operating Company, BP to carry financing of the initial exploration stage)

Formation of an ‘Arctic Technology Centre’ -access to additional technological expertise to kick start works on the Russian Arctic shelf

Formation of a ‘Mobile Emergency Preventionand Rapid Reaction Centre’

Strategic equity swap – Rosneft to acquire 5% of BP in exchange for 9.5% of Rosneft (treasury shares)

Discussion of potential joint international projects

125,000 sq. km

Page 22: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

22

Black Sea Exploration Efforts Black Sea Exploration Efforts High Potential to Share with PartnersHigh Potential to Share with Partners

Prospective recoverable oil resources(D&M estimate as of 31.12.09)Prospective recoverable oil resources(D&M estimate as of 31.12.09)

Acreage – 20,600 sq.kmSea depth from 30 to 2,250 metersBlocks are estimated to hold mainly crude oil

8.2 bln bblsTuapse Trough

West-Chernomorsky 6.3 bln bbls

Total 14.5 bln bbls

Chevron will be the partner for the West Chernomorsky block

ExxonMobil will be the partner for the Tuapse Trough block

Rosneft is estimated to hold 67% stake in the operating companies

Partners will carry financing of the initial exploration stage – Rosneft’s initial exploration risks will be reduced to zero

Partners will contribute the technological and managerial expertise

The partnership provides for other potential joint projects

First well may be drilled as early as 2013

Page 23: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

23

ArcticArctic and Far East and Far East ShelfShelf ProspectsProspects::BestBest Access to Large Resource BaseAccess to Large Resource Base

Total Total Resources (30(30 blocks)blocks):

oil 129.2 bln bblsgas 29.3 tcmhydrocarbon 304.9 bln boe

Western Arctic –1-st Priority

Crude oil resources: 61.6 bln bblGas resources: 14.6 tcm

Eastern ArcticCrude oil resources: 58.2 bln bblGas resources: 12.8 tcm

Licenses receivedApplication for licenses filed

Far EastCrude oil resources: 9.4 bln bblGas resources: 2.5 tcm

RUSSIA

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24

Blocks at the South of Eastern SiberiaBlocks at the South of Eastern Siberia3 3 bln bln bblsbbls of Likely C1+C2 Reserves Discovered in Just 2 Yearsof Likely C1+C2 Reserves Discovered in Just 2 Years

Prospective recoverable resources (as of 31.12.09)Prospective recoverable resources (as of 31.12.09)

720 bcm

1,059 mln tonnes

Gas

Oil

16

1,150

0

2014

8

1,300

0

20152013201220112010

13

1,550

300

4

250

310

16

450

850

4

0

570

3D seismic work, sq. km

2D seismic work, linear km

Number of exploration wells, wells

Exploration worksExploration works

Exploration region of strategic priority

15 blocks at 50-600 km from the ESPO

Complex geology

Commercial viability depends on tax regime

2009 — Savostyanov field discovered at East-Sugdinskyand Mogdinsky blocks. Current C1+C2 reserves of the field are estimated at 1.5 bln bbls

2010 — 2 new fields discovered at Sanarsky and Preobrazhensky blocks. C1+C2 reserves are estimated at 1.5 bln bbls

2011 plans – 4 wells (Mogdinsky, Preobrazhensky, Sanarsky, Danilovsky)

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25

Q4Q4’’1010 andand 12M`10 12M`10 US GAAP Financial ResultsUS GAAP Financial Results

Appendix

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26

13.7

11.3

10.5

10.3

8.9

7.0

5.7

4.9

4.0

3.5

13.7

18.1Rosneft (PRMS)

Rosneft (SEC)

LUKOIL

PetroChina

BP

Petrobras

Exxon

Chevron

Total

ConocoPhillips

Shell

ENI

1,448

5,40814,877

3,644

18,089

31.12.2005 Production in2006-2010

Acquisitions of2007

Organicincrease in2006-2010

31.12.2010

ReservesReserves

Proved Crude Oil Reserves (bln bbls)Proved Crude Oil Reserves (bln bbls)

PRMS Proved Gas Reserves - 787 bcm (27.8 tcf)Source: companies information. Note: PRMS for specified companies, SEC for other companies.

Oil Reserve Replacement (2006-2010)Oil Reserve Replacement (2006-2010)

Average organic reserve replacement ratio – 148%

2010 replacement ratio – 104%

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27

2,322

2,182

8 6

(2)(16)

(14)(24)

182

12M'09 WesternSiberia

Timan-Pechora

SouthernRussia

Far East Vankor Other EastSiberia

CentralRussia

12M'10 Jan'11

2,364

Daily Crude Oil Production:Daily Crude Oil Production:Vankor Vankor –– the Key Driverthe Key Driver

mln bblDaily Crude Oil Production Reconciliation, 12M’10 vs. 12M`09Daily Crude Oil Production Reconciliation, 12M’10 vs. 12M`09

‘000 bpd

+6.4%

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28

BlocksBlocks around Vankoraround Vankor

5

2014 2015201320122011As of 31.12.10

7

200

4

546

200

6

400

8

150

7,113

3D seismic work, sq. km

2D seismic work, linear km

Number of exploration wells, wells 7

Prospective recoverable oil and gas resources (D&M estimate as of 31.12.09)Prospective recoverable oil and gas resources (D&M estimate as of 31.12.09)

9 exploration blocks

2009 — discovery of the Baikalovskoye field adjacent to Vankor (total 1 and 2 recoverable reserves – 53.1 mln tonnes of oil and gas condensate and 28.2 bcm of gas)

2010 results — 17,600 meters of exploration drilling, 4 wells completed (Baykalovsky, Samoedsky, Tukolandsky, North Vankorsky), no new major discoveries, but the results are very important for the future exploration works

2011 plans – 13,100 meters of exploration drilling, 4 wells (Baykalovsky - 1, Samoedsky – 2, West-Lodochny -1)

126 bcmGas

Oil 2.5 bln bbls

WorksWorks

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29

P&L: Key Line Item AnalysisP&L: Key Line Item Analysis

59.66%6,51410,400Net income

In line with statutory tax rate due to stable FX rate32.20%2,0002,644Income tax

Increase in capex: more wells drilled, construction at Vankor and refinery upgrades28.67%4,3505,597DD&A

Growth in revenues, cost control partially offset by growth in tax payments and tariffs of natural monopolies and real ruble appreciation of 12%41.56%13,56519,203EBITDA

Increase in MET following the growth of crude oil prices35.47%8,06110,920Taxes other than on income

Increase in export duty rate following the growth in crude oil prices and export volumes38.02%12,13116,743Export duty

Volume growth and inflation, per-unit expenses down in real terms19.09%4,0244,792

Operating expenses

Increase in tariffs of natural monopolies and higher transportation volumes due to increase in crude oil production at the Vankor field28.93%5,4146,980

Transportation expenses

Higher prices and volumes34.64%46,82663,047Revenues

, %12M’0912M’10

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30

Interest ExpenseInterest Expense

* Capitalized interests are estimated in accordance with FASB ASC 835-20 ‘Capitalization of interest’.The capitalization rate is calculated by dividing interest expenses on loans related to capital expenditures by the average balance of these loans. Interests capitalized are calculated by multiplying the average balance of construction in progress by the capitalization rate.

162180155835808. Interest expense as reflected in P&L

(1-4+5+6+7)

16151720687. Other

71687386. Debt issue cost

406058(18)1405. Interest SWAP loss/(gain)

7383911003474. Interest capitalized*

-63130(134)130633. Change in interest payables (1-2)

23542297446182. Interest paid (cash)

1721721631746811. Interest accrued according to loan agreements

Q1’10Q2’10Q3'10Q4'1012M’10USD mln

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31

Income TaxIncome Tax

16%

596

14

-

(1)

93

(4)

(266)

30

730

20%

3,652

Q4’10

(65)(331)Effect of income tax preferences

20%

2,644

55

(155)

(20)

362

20

50

2,663

20%

13,316

12M’10

41Other

21%

2,048

(155)

(19)

269

24

20

1,933

20%

9,664

9M’10

Deferred tax on undistributed earnings

Income tax

Effective tax rate

Non-deductible items, net

Foreign exchange effects, net

Unrecognized income tax benefits

Statutory income tax rate

Change in valuation allowance

Add/(deduct) tax effect of:

Theoretical income tax

Income before income tax

USD mln

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32

NetNetback Ladderback Ladder2010 vs. 20092010 vs. 2009

2010

2010 $42.1

$35.3$39.9

Rosneft refineriesTransneft export

1. Urals average price: USD 78.3/bbl2. Crude Export Duty: USD 37.4/bbl3. Implied crude net export revenue (1-2) = USD 40.9/bbl4. Weighted average netback: USD 39.9/bbl 5. Av. netback vs crude net export revenue (4-3) = USD (1.0)/bbl

Total sales: 811 mln bbl

38% 1%13%

Non-Transneft export

45%

CIS Transneft export: $35.0

Domestic sales: $30.4

3%

2009

2009 $33.2

$29.6$29.9

Rosneft refineries Transneft export

1. Urals average price: USD 61.0/bbl2. Crude Export Duty: USD 24.5/bbl3. Implied crude net export revenue (1-2) = USD 36.5/bbl4. Weighted average netback: USD 31.5/bbl 5. Av. netback vs crude net export revenue (4-3) = USD (5.0)/bbl

Total sales: 760 mln bbl

34% 1%15%

Non-Transneft export

46%

CIS Transneft export: $31.8

Domestic sales: $25.9

4%

2010

2010

2009

2009

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33

NetNetback Ladderback LadderQ4Q4’’10 vs. Q310 vs. Q3’’1010

Q4’

10Q

4’10

$46.1$42.1$43.5

Rosneft refineriesTransneft export

1. Urals average price: USD 85.2/bbl2. Crude Export Duty: USD 39.2/bbl3. Implied crude net export revenue (1-2) = USD 46.0/bbl4. Weighted average netback: USD 44.1/bbl 5. Av. netback vs crude net export revenue (4-3) = USD (1.9)/bbl

Total sales: 206 mln bbl

38%1%13%

Non-Transneft export

45%

CIS Transneft export: $39.8

Domestic sales: $34.7

3%

Q3’

10Q

3’10 $39.4

$31.6$39.1

Rosneft refineriesTransneft export

1. Urals average price: USD 75.6/bbl2. Crude Export Duty: USD 35.8/bbl3. Implied crude net export revenue (1-2) = USD 39.8/bbl4. Weighted average netback: USD 38.0/bbl 5. Av. netback vs crude net export revenue (4-3) = USD (1.8)/bbl

Total sales: 206 mln bbl

38% 1%13%

Non-Transneft export

46%

CIS Transneft export: $34.7

Domestic sales: $28.1

2%

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34

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q4'09 Q3'10 Q4'10

Europe and other directions Asia CIS Domestic

Crude Oil SalesCrude Oil Sales

58.0%54.3%

56.8%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q4'09 Q3'10 Q4'100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Europe and other directions Asia

CIS Domestic

Share in total sales volume

USD/bbl

86.4

84.3

85.2

86.5

04’10

Rosneft export

75.674.3Urals (average Med+NWE) (Platts)

75.072.3Europe and other directions

75.575.0Asia

76.974.6Average Brent (Platts)

Q3’10Q4'09

Crude Oil and Condensate Sales Volumes, mln bblCrude Oil and Condensate Sales Volumes, mln bbl Average Prices, USD/bblAverage Prices, USD/bbl

114.0 111.9117.2

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35

27.0 31.023.6 26.1 23.2

28.7 30.822.9 21.6

26.8 26.0 26.130.6 29.4 31.8 32.4

26.2 26.5

32.931.6

37.036.5

37.034.7

36.8

38.8 39.934.0 36.1 37.4

36.4 39.741.5 43.4

47.4 47.1

12.613.4

12.813.3

12.713.5

14.8

12.7 12.9 13.0 13.3 13.714.6

15.216.4

17.116.5 16.5

28.430.6

26.327.1 26.1 25.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb* Mar*

Net export revenue before transport Export duty Mineral extraction tax

Urals (Platt's) Average net export revenue for the quarter

2009 2010 2011

Net Revenue of an Oil ExporterNet Revenue of an Oil Exporter

USD/bbl

* Assuming Urals price of USD 90 per bbl in February and March.

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36

41.6 43.9

37.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Q4'09 Q3'10 Q4'10

Other Far East Southern Russia

Western Siberia Average price

Gas Production and SalesGas Production and Sales

3.253.44

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Q4'09 Q3'10 Q4'10

Western Siberia Southern Russia

Far East Other

Sales

Production by subsidiaries

2.86

Gas Sales vs. Production, bcmGas Sales vs. Production, bcm Gas Sales Prices, USD per 1,000 cubic metersGas Sales Prices, USD per 1,000 cubic meters

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37

Gas Sales PricesGas Sales Prices

43.941.641.427.528.2 30.1 31.6 41.2 40.7 40.3 33.6 28.8 33.5 33.3 37.8 42.8

1,347

1,2741,251

1,279

1,113

1,0441,078

977

915

9769611,000

780767

710742

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

Q1 '07 Q2 '07 Q3 '07 Q4 '07 Q1 '08 Q2 '08 Q3 '08 Q4 '08 Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

USD per 1,000 cubic meters RUB per 1,000 cubic meters

USD RUB

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38

Petroleum Product RevenuesPetroleum Product Revenues

Q1’10Q4’09 Q2’10

432

12.69

5,488

1,173

6,661

439

11.73

5,148

1,190

6,338

425

11.74

4,988

1,220

6,208

439

11.11

4,878

1,110

5,988Revenue, USD mln 7,037Excise and export duty, USD mln

1,234

Net revenue, USD mln 5,803

Volume sold, mln tonnes11.96

Net revenue per tonne, USD

485

Petroleum Products: Average Prices and Volume BreakdownPetroleum Products: Average Prices and Volume Breakdown

800

600

400

200

0

USD/t

2 3High octane gasoline Naphtha Low octane gasoline Diesel fuel Kerosine Fuel oil Other

12%

3%6%

36%

$779

$667

$435

$556$503

$641

1%

$419

35%7%

1,000

11%

3%

7%35%

$707$698

$445

$561$478

$573

1%

$413

37%6%

12%

3%

7%

35%

$769

$688

$414

$580$551

$614

$384

34%

6%

3%

Q3’10

12%

3%

6%

35%

$789

$648

$422

$548$528

$627

$401

34%7%

3%

Q4’10

12%

2%

6%

36%

35%6%

3%

$790 $779

$439

$636$585

$649

$438

Page 39: ROSNEFT · PDF fileThis presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, ... Western Siberia ... Gas Petroche-micals Oil domestic Other Q4'10 1 2 `. 2 `

39

0

200

400

600

Jan-09

Feb-09

Mar-09

Apr-09

May-09

Jun-09

Jul-09 Aug-09

Sep-09

Oct-09

Nov-09

Dec-09

Jan-10

Feb-10

Mar-10

Apr-10

May-10

Jun-10

Jul-10 Aug-10

Sep-10

Oct-10

Nov-10

Dec-10

Diesel (export netback) Fuel oil (export netback) Straight-run gasoline (export netback)

Diesel (domestic wholesale) Fuel oil (domestic wholesale)

Petroleum Product Prices in Petroleum Product Prices in 20020099--20102010(Rosneft Refineries)* (Rosneft Refineries)*

USD/t

* Refinery-gate export netback or domestic wholesale price net of VAT and excise (average for Rosneft refineries).

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40

0.1

-1.4

7.3 7.7

5.46.1

7.5

13.515.0

16.1

4.4

8.4

6.3

16.017.617.3

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Actual net refining margin (difference between netbacks of crude deliveries to refineries and exports through Transneft system)

Tax base of the margin (difference between export duty for crude oil and export duty for a 50/50 (dark/light) product basket)

2009 2010

Net Refining MarginNet Refining Margin

USD/bblDomestic prices lag export

netbacks. To normalize in Q1 2011.

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41

Key Processes Planned within Refinery Upgrade ProgramKey Processes Planned within Refinery Upgrade Program

New units:Novokuibyshevsk, Achinsk, Tuapse,

Upgrades:Syzran, Kuibyshev, Komsomolsk

Production of gasoline meeting Euro standards.

Uses naphta as input. Produces high-octane gasoline components.

Catalytic reforming (CCR)

New units:Syzran, Angarsk

Upgrades:Kuibyshev

Production of diesel meeting Euro standards

Uses high-sulfur diesel fractions. Produces low-sulphur diesel fuel.

Hydrotreatment of diesel

New units:Syzran, Kuibyshev, Novokuibyshevsk, Achinsk, Angarsk, Komsomolsk, Tuapse

Upgrades:Novokuibyshevsk

• Production of high-octane gasoline components with low aromatics content to meet Euro standards

• Decrease in naphta production

Uses naphta as input and produces high-octane gasoline components.

Isomerization

Relevance to Rosneft refineries

Result of construction / upgradeDescription of processUnit/process

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42

Key Processes Planned within Refinery Upgrade ProgramKey Processes Planned within Refinery Upgrade Program

Relevance to Rosneft refineries

Result of construction / upgradeDescription of ProcessUnit/process

New units:Komsomolsk, Achinsk, Tuapse

Upgrades:Novokuibyshevsk

Processing of heavy residues, increase in light product yield of a refinery,

Conversion process. Uses heavy vacuum, FCC and Hydro Cracking residues. Produces light products – high-sulfurdiesel, gasoline, coke.

Delayed coking

New units:Syzran, Kuibyshev

• Production of high-octane gasoline components with low aromatics content from dark input (vacuum gasoil) to meet Euro standards for gasoline

• Increase in light product yield of a refinery and share of gasoline in total refinery output

Conversion process. Uses vacuum gasoil as input. Produces high-octane gasoline components, diesel fuel, gases and heavy residues. Share of gasoline components in total output is higher than share of diesel.

Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC)

New units:Novokuibyshevsk, Achinsk, Komsomolsk, Tuapse

• Production of low-sulfur diesel component from dark input (vacuum gasoil) to meet Euro standards for diesel

• Increase in light product yield of a refinery and share of diesel in total output

Conversion process. Uses vacuum gasoil as input. Produces low-sulfur diesel components, gasoline, gases and heavy residues. Share of diesel components in total output is higher than share of gasoline.

Hydrocracking

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43

Key Processes Planned within Refinery Upgrade ProgramKey Processes Planned within Refinery Upgrade Program

New units:Angarsk, Kuibyshev, Syzran

Production of octane booster to meet Euro standards for gasoline

Uses refinery gases as input. Produces octane booster.

MTBE (methyl tertiarybutyl ether)

Relevance to Rosneft refineries

Result of construction / upgradeDescription of ProcessUnit/process

Upgrade:Kuibyshev

Processing of heavy residues into fuel oil.

Conversion process. Uses heavy vacuum, FCC and Hydro Cracking residues. Produces fuel oil component.

Visbreaking

New units:Angarsk

Production of high-octane gasoline components to meet Euro standards for gasoline

Uses refinery gases as input. Produces high octane gasoline component

Alkylation

New units:Angarsk

Production of high-octane gasoline components to meet Euro standards for gasoline

Uses gasoline fractions from delayed coking, FCC and pyrolysis units. Produces high octane gasoline components.

Etherification

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44

Transportation Costs DynamicsTransportation Costs DynamicsTariffs and FX Tariffs and FX –– Key Growth FactorsKey Growth Factors

6,980

5,414

12M'09 Tariffs Volume Mix FX 12M'10

1,788

1,393

12M'09 Tariffs Volume Mix FX 12M'10

Total Transportation Costs, USD mlnTotal Transportation Costs, USD mln Transportation Costs for Crude Exports, USD mlnTransportation Costs for Crude Exports, USD mln

Transportation Costs for Crude Deliveries to Refineries, USD mlnTransportation Costs for Crude Deliveries to Refineries, USD mln Transportation Costs for Product Exports, USD mlnTransportation Costs for Product Exports, USD mln

1,4571,280

12M'09 Tariffs Volume Mix FX 12M'10

2,316

3,059

12M'09 Tarriffs Volume Mix FX 12M'10

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45

Transportation Costs, Factor Analysis: Transportation Costs, Factor Analysis: Q4Q4’’10 vs. Q310 vs. Q3’’1010

1,7011,763

Q3'10 Tariffs Volume Mix FX Q4'10

751 796

Q3'10 Tariffs Volume Mix FX Q4'10

427489

Q3'10 Tariffs Volume Mix FX Q4'10

Total Transportation Costs, USD mlnTotal Transportation Costs, USD mln Transportation Costs for Crude Exports, USD mlnTransportation Costs for Crude Exports, USD mln

Transportation Costs for Crude Deliveries to Refineries, USD mlnTransportation Costs for Crude Deliveries to Refineries, USD mln

294

375

Q3'10 Tariffs Volume Mix FX Q4'10

Transportation Costs for Product Exports, USD mlnTransportation Costs for Product Exports, USD mln

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46

23.52 27.03

0.12(2.08)

(0.24)(0.08)

(3.16)

8.95

Q3'10 Revenue Taxes Purchases Transport OPEX SG&A Q4'10

+14.9%

EBITDA and Net Income per bbl Reconciliation:EBITDA and Net Income per bbl Reconciliation:Q4Q4’’1010 vs. Q3vs. Q3’’1010

EBITD

A, U

SD/b

blEB

ITDA

, USD

/bbl

Net

Inco

me,

USD

/bbl

Net

Inco

me,

USD

/bbl

12.63

(2.08)

(0.84)

0.12(0.24)(0.08)

(3.16)

8.95

(0.62)

0.37

15.10

0.05

Q3'10 Revenue Taxes Purchases Transport OPEX SG&A DD&A FX Net interest

Income taxand others

Q4'10

+19.6%

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47

Excess Cash ManagementExcess Cash Management

Rosneft’s total cash position including cash and equivalent and short-term investments related to excess cash management was USD 9.9 bln as of December 31, 2010

Excess cash management is based on analysis of different alternatives (including risk analysis) to choose the best investment for a specific period of time

Cash portfolio includes:

– USD 4.2 bln of cash and equivalents

– USD 4.7 bln of short-term deposits denominated in foreign currency placed in leading local banks

– USD 0.4 bln of short-term deposits denominated in RUB placed in leading local banks

– USD 0.4 bln of liquid securities received under REPO deals

– USD 0.2 bln of short-term investments into state and corporate bonds and other securities

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48

Progress on Tax RegimeProgress on Tax RegimeThe Right Direction The Right Direction

Rosneft IPO

Export duty calculation methodology adjusted to reduce lag effectedIncome tax reduced from 24% to 20% (effective since January 1, 2009)

Mineral Extraction Tax holidays in East Siberia (Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), Irkutsk region, Krasnoyarsk territory)

Zero Mineral Extraction Tax rate for high-viscosity crude

Reduced Mineral Extraction Tax rate for fields depleted by more than 80%

In effect sinceJanuary 1, 2007

Mineral Extraction Tax formula reviewed, rate reduced by USD 1.3/bbl

Mineral Extraction Tax holidays (to the north of the Polar Circle, offshore Azov and Caspian seas, Nenets autonomous district, the YamalPeninsula)

Cancellation of requirement to use direct method of oil volumes calculation for fields depleted by more than 80%

Shortened depreciation period for oil and gas assets

In effect sinceJanuary 1, 2009

Zero export duty on East Siberian crude oil from December 1

Jul 06 Dec 08Jul–Aug 06 Jul 08 Dec 09 Dec 10

Rebalancing upstream vs. downstream (60%/66% concept)

MET to reflect inflation of transportation tariffs

Profit based taxation for the greenfields

Appropriate tax regime for the Arctic shelf

Resolution to gradually equalize export duties on light and dark products by 2013

2011 +

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