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Draft: Do not quote or disseminate Emotion and Emotion and Global Consciousness Global Consciousness A study of basic emotions evoked or embodied A study of basic emotions evoked or embodied In major events correlated with GCP/EGG data In major events correlated with GCP/EGG data Prepared for a presentation to the Prepared for a presentation to the Bial Bial Symposium on Emotions Symposium on Emotions Roger Nelson Roger Nelson Global Consciousness Project Global Consciousness Project http:// http:// noosphere.princeton.edu noosphere.princeton.edu

Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

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Page 1: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Draft: Do not quote or disseminate

Emotion andEmotion andGlobal ConsciousnessGlobal Consciousness

A study of basic emotions evoked or embodiedA study of basic emotions evoked or embodiedIn major events correlated with GCP/EGG dataIn major events correlated with GCP/EGG data

Prepared for a presentation to thePrepared for a presentation to theBialBial Symposium on EmotionsSymposium on Emotions

Roger NelsonRoger Nelson

Global Consciousness ProjectGlobal Consciousness Projecthttp://http://noosphere.princeton.edunoosphere.princeton.edu

Page 2: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

A prototype global event, November 1995 Assassination of Yitzhak Rabin

Surprise, Fear, SadnessMurder

Page 3: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Princess Diana’s FuneralSadness, Compassion, Love

Multi-REG data, 12 independent data streamsExpectation is level trend

Page 4: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

A World Spanning Network of About 60 EggsA World Spanning Network of About 60 Eggs

http://noosphere.princeton.edu/egghosts/

A Google Map

Page 5: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

The World Trade Center

September 11 2001

The GCP network Then had 37 REGsAround the world

Tamara Beckwith

Page 6: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

September 11 2001 Destruction of the World Trade Towers

A 50-hour trend followed the attacks

Two days

Page 7: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Other Views of September 11 2001These are pictures of the variability among the eggs

They should look like a “random walk” on 9/11, but …9/11 was uniquein 3 years of dataVariance began changing at 04:00

The autocorrelation says this event was extraordinary

Page 8: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Consciousness Fields?Compassion may

be a primarysource

Page 9: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Positive intent and compassionAn organizing field of consciousness?

2004 analysis based onJaan Suurkula hypothesis

Page 10: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Compassion seems inherent in efforts to build or restore

the social fabric

Meditations, Prayer Vigils, Ceremonies

Compassion seems inherent in efforts to build or restore

the social fabric

Meditations, Prayer Vigils, Ceremonies

Compassion implies Interaction, Interdependence, Respect, Love

It is a necessary and possibly sufficient Substrate for shared consciousness

Compassion implies Interaction, Interdependence, Respect, Love

It is a necessary and possibly sufficient Substrate for shared consciousness

Page 11: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Querying the GCP ResultsQuerying the GCP ResultsFirst, we look at overall findings

Second, general categorizations

Specific questions about emotions

Overarching implications and conclusions

Page 12: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Current result: formal database, 9 years 239 rigorously defined global events

Odds: Million to 1 against chance

Page 13: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Distribution of Event Z-scores:Roughly normal, shifted by 0.37 std dev

(Small effect implies potential small sample issues)

z-Test: Two Sample for Means

Variable 1 Variable 2Mean -0.01163904 0.372648Known Variance 1.001459 1.080784Observations 10000 159Hypothesized Mean D 0z -4.62710645P(Z<=z) one-tail 1.856E-06

Page 14: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Effects by GCP event categories2007 update generally similar to 2004

(More categories are significant – N is greater)

Page 15: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

William James’ Four Basic EmotionsDerived from “Bodily Involvement”

Page 16: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Level of emotion relatively easyTo assign -- highly significant factor

Page 17: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

VALENCE: Both positive and negative eventsHave larger effects than neutral events

(But differences are not significant)2007

2004

Page 18: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

COMPASSION: Events that evoke or Comprise compassion or love

Have larger effects2007

2004

(Hypothesis proposed by Jaan Suurkula)

Page 19: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

NUMBER of people paying attention has a substantial effect on the network

Significant but may be confounded2007

2004

Page 20: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Surprise is listed by some researchers As an emotion, but it does not have A big effect in GCP formal events

(note possible confounds with some emotions)

Page 21: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

A reversal of trendAfter the defined event:

Probably Changing Emotions

EventPeriod

PostEvent

Analysis by Peter Bancel

Page 22: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Emotion on a grand, global scale?Long-term negative trend in primary measure

Are we meditative, or depressed?

9/11

Trend issignificant

9/11

Analysis by Peter Bancel

Page 23: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

What might explain the long-term trend?Correlation with a sociological measurePresidential Approval Rating vs NetVar

Model Fit & Update to 2007

9/11

GCP Data: BrownPolling Data: Blue

We see similar spikes and trends

Analysis by Peter Bancel

Page 24: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

How could these trend Correlations come about?

Maybe the EGGs reflect our long-term Emotional state. We’re conscious it

Is not a happy time in the world.

We have much to do.

Page 25: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

"The Age of Nations is past. The task before us now, if we would not perish, is to build the Earth."

- - Père Teilhard de Chardin

Page 26: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

Can the flap of a butterfly’s wings …

Page 27: Roger Nelson- Emotion and Global Consciousness

GCP/EGG ProjectGCP/EGG ProjectThe people who make it goThe people who make it go

International collaboration of about 100 Scientists, Artists, Friends, …Richard Adams, USA, general supportBrad Anderson, USA, widget programmingPeter Bancel, Paris, professional analysis, collaborationPaul Bethke, USA, windows programming, networkDick Bierman, Netherlands, design and realtime displayTaylor Jackson, Canada, realtime display maintenanceGreg Nelson, USA, program architecture, general supportDean Radin, USA, design and independent analysisFernando Rodríguez, Spain, egghosts google mapLeane Roffey, USA, music, outreach, general supportJaroen Ruuward, Netherlands, realtime programmingDick Shoup, USA, independent analysisNishith Singh, India, realtime programmingMahadeva Srinivasan, India, general supportWilliam Treurniet, Canada, egganalysis programmingJohn Walker, Switzerland, programming, general support… And all the EGG hosts around the world