ROBERT Y. SHAPIRO (February 2017) Department of Political Science e-mail:rys3@columbia.edu Columbia University Fax: (212) 854-5670 420 West 118th Street, 730 IAB Dept. (212) 854-3644/46 New York, N.Y. l0027 Home: (212) 945-1586 Phone:(212) 854-3944 Cell: (917) 755-1673 Education Ph.D., Political Science, University of Chicago, 1982. M.A., Policy Studies, University of Chicago, 1978. M.A., Political Science, University of Chicago, 1977. B.S., Political Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1974. State of Massachusetts Teaching Certificate, high school social studies and mathematics. Professional Experience Wallace S. Sayre Professor of Government, Columbia University, 2015-present Professor of International and Public Affairs, 2017-present Acting Director, Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy (ISERP), 2008-2009. Russell Sage Foundation, Visiting Scholar, 2006-2007. Visiting Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations, 2005. Chair, Department of Political Science, Columbia University, 2000-2003. Professor of Political Science, Columbia University, 1995-present. Associate Professor of Political Science, Columbia University, 1987-1995. Associate Director: Institute for Social and Economic Theory and Policy (ISERP), 2000-2001; Institute for Social and Economic Theory and Research, 1999-2000; Paul F. Lazarsfeld Center for the Social Sciences, Columbia University, 1994-1999 (Acting Director, Spring 1996). Director, Public Opinion Project, ISERP, 2002-present. Director, Center for Economic and Political Analysis, ISERP, 2000-2002. Assistant Professor of Political Science, Columbia University, 1982-87. Research Associate, NORC, University of Chicago, 1982-87. Associate Study Director, NORC, University of Chicago, 1979-81. Teaching and Research Interests American politics, public policy, public opinion, voting and elections, quantitative methods, survey research, mass media, political leadership, foreign policy, urban politics. Honors and Grants Bruce E. Gronbeck Political Communication Research Book Award, 2014, Carl Crouch Center. Distinguished Columbia Faculty Award, Columbia University, 2012. Certificate of Appreciation, 2011 Leadership Alliance Summer Research-Early Identification Program.

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Outstanding Achievement Award, New York Chapter, American Association for Public Opinion Research (NYAAPOR), 2010. Fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Elected 2009. Carnegie Corporation of New York, Grant, Symposium on the Presidential Nominating Process, Academy of Political Science 2009-2010. Russell Sage Foundation, Visiting Scholar, 2006-2007. Listed as one of “The Political Science 400” most cited scholars (ca.2002), January 2007. Council on Foreign Relations, Visiting Fellow, 2005. Honorable Mention, Graduate Student Mentor Award, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Columbia University, 2004. The 2003 Philip E. Converse Book Award, American Political Science Association Section of Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior, for the outstanding book in the field published at least five years before. Tomas Rivera Policy Institute, Grant, 2003-3004. Public Agenda Grant, 2002-2003. U.S. Department of Justice Contract/Grant, 2002. Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Columbia University, Award to Representatives of the Political Science Department's Commitment to Increasing the Number of Underrepresented Minority Groups at Columbia University. Center for International Business Education Grant, Columbia University, 2002. Finalist, President's Teaching Award, Columbia University (1998-1999, 1999-2000, 2002- 2003). The 2001 Richard E. Neustadt Award for the best book on the U.S. Presidency Published in 2000, of the Presidency Research Group of the American Political Science Association. Distinguished Book Award, Political Sociology section of the American Sociological Association, 2001 (for book published) in 2000). Goldsmith Book Prize, Shorenstein-Barone Press/Politics Center, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2001 (for book published in 2000). Rockefeller Foundation Grant, 1999-2001. Public Relations Society of America Foundation, Grant, 1999-2000. Center for International Business Education Grant, Columbia University, 1999. Public Relations Society of America Foundation and Rockefeller Foundation, Grant (two grants, through R/S/M, Inc.), 1998-1999. Member, National Academy of Social Insurance, 1998. PEW Charitable Trusts Grant, 1997-1998. 1199 National Health and Human Service Employees Union, AFL-CIO New York State and New York City Political Participation Project, Grant, 1997-1998. U.S. Department of Justice, Contract/Grant (Barnard), 1997. International Communication Association, Political Communication Division, Distinguished Essay Award, 1996, for article published in 1995. International Labour Office Grant, 1995-1996. Center for International Business Education Grant, Columbia University, 1996. Russell Sage Foundation Grant, 1995-1996.

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Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Investigator's Award, 1994-1996. Goldsmith Research Award, Shorenstein-Barone Center, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 1994-1996. American Association for Public Opinion Research committee, 1995, selected The Rational Public one of the 50 significant books in public opinion research over the past 50 years. National Science Foundation Dissertation Improvement Grant, (for E.Scott Adler), 1994-1995. National Academy of Social Insurance Contract/Grant, 1994. Best Paper Award, Presidency Research Group, American Political Science Association, 1993, for paper presented at the 1992 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. University of Minnesota, Subcontract Grants, 1992-95. National Science Foundation Grant, 1992-1994. National Bureau of Economic Research Grant, 1992-93. Hewlitt Foundation Grant (University of Wisconsin), 1992. Earhart Foundation Grant, 1988. Spencer Foundation Grant (Columbia Teachers College), 1986-87. Ford Foundation Grant, 1985-86. National Science Foundation Grant, 1983-85. Columbia University Council for Research in the Social Sciences Grants, 1983,1985-86. Doctoral Dissertation Nominated for APSA's E.E. Schattschneider Award, 1984. SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL, Prize for Interesting Application of SPSS in User Competition, 1978. Dept. of HEW Public Service Education Fellowship, University of Chicago, 1977-78. Hillman, Hawley, and Social Science Scholarships, University of Chicago, 1974-79. General Motors Scholarship, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1970-74. Professional and Academic Activities (selected) Chair, Board of Directors, The Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, 2011-present; Member 1988-present. Vice President, Academy of Political Science, 2016-present. Member, Board of Directors, Academy of Political Science, 2013-present. Chair, American Association for Public Opinion Research Advisory Committee, Public Opinion Quarterly, 2009-present, and Chair of editor search committee 2011-2012; Member of review committee and editor search committee for Survey Practice.2011-12; Member of editor search committee and committee founding the Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, 2011-present; Co-Chair, Public Opinion Quarterly, Publishing Contract Committee, 2007-2008; Co-Chair, American Association for Public Opinion Research Task Force on Public Opinion and Leadership, 2010-2013. Member, Board of Directors, Public Agenda, 2014-present.

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Series of talks on American politics, the 2016 elections, partisan conflict, and public opinion sponsored by US Embassy in Argentina, in Buenos Aires, Córdoba, and La Rioja, June 2016. Short course on quantitative methods in political science, American University, Cairo, June 3-6, 2012 (with John Huber and Jack Snyder). Fellow, Inter-University Seminar on Armed Forces and Society, 2010-present. Chair, 2009 Philip E. Converse Book Award Committee, Elections. Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior Section of the American Political Science Association. Member, Advisory Committee, WhosOnTheBalllot, 2012-present. Member, Nominating Committee, Politics and History Section of the American Political Science Association, 2012. Member, 2009 Richard E. Neustadt Book Award Committee, Presidency Research Section of the American Political Science Association. President, New York Chapter of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2007-8; Vice President/President Elect, New York Chapter of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2006-7; Past President, 2008-09. Member, 2008 Carey McWilliams Award Committee, American Political Science Association. Member, 2007-2009, Dissertation Proposal Development Fellowship Field Selection Committee, Social Science Research Council. Luncheon Speaker, Midwest Political Science Association Conference, November 16, 2007, “Ideology, Partisanship, and More About the U.S. Army.” Councilor-At-Large, American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2005-7; Conference proposal/abstract reviewer, 2005-2008. Reviewer, Quality of Life Competition, high school student projects in New York City, 2004-present. Advisor to high school students in the Intel Science Competition, 2009-2010. Board member, selection of interns to the Federal Statistical System, The Joint Program in Survey Methodology, summer internship program, 1997-present. Team Member, Mexico and the World, Foreign Policy Surveys, CIDE, Mexico. 2006.

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Team Member, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy Surveys in the United States, Mexico, and South Korea, Chicago Council on Global Affair and CIDE, Mexico. 2004 Member of the 2004 American National Election Study Planning Committee. Elected Offices: Member of the Electoral Nominating Committee of the Section on Social, Economic, and Political Sciences (K), American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2002-5. Member of the Governing Council of the International Society of Political Psychology, 2002-4. Member of National Task Force on the Presidency and Public Opinion (2003-2004), for the 10th Annual Conference on Presidential Rhetoric, George Bush Presidential Library, Texas A&M University. Member of Editorial Boards of Political Science Quarterly (and Summer Editor, 2003-present) and Public Opinion Quarterly; past Editor of "The Polls--Trends," Public Opinion Quarterly; Member, Editorial Board, Presidential Studies Quarterly; Member, Board of Advisors, Critical Review; Policy Review Board, Public Agenda Foundation, 1999-present. Member, Board of Advisors, Program on International Policy Attitudes, School of Public Affairs, University of Maryland. Reviewer, Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada, 2010. Reviewer for the National Science Foundation, the Swiss National Science Foundation, and the Israel Science Foundation. Reviewer for the NSF- supported Time-sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences project. Editor: Book series: "Power, Conflict, and Democracy: American Politics into the 21st Century," Columbia University Press; Member, Editorial Advisory Board, "Pole-to-Pole: Asking and Listening," WETV Network, 1999-present; Member, Scientific Committee, Centre for the Study of Political Change, University of Siena, Italy, 1998-present; past Member Board of Presidency Research Group, American Political Science Association; past Board member of Political Communication Report, APSA. Referee: American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, American Sociological Review, Political Science Quarterly, Public Opinion Quarterly, Policy Studies Review, Policy Studies Journal, Social Science Quarterly, Polity, Political Research Quarterly (Western Political Quarterly), American Politics Quarterly, Research in Urban Policy, Political Behavior, International Journal of Public Opinion Research, Economics and Politics, Sociological Quarterly, Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law, Legislative Studies Quarterly, International Studies Quarterly, Journal of Peace Research, Political Psychology, Government and Policy, Political Analysis, Harvard International Journal of Press/Politics, American Journal of Sociology, Health Affairs, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Political Communication, Critical Studies in Mass Communication, Presidential Studies Quarterly, Congress & the Presidency, Social Forces, The Public Perspective, Centro Journal,

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PS: Political Science and Politics, Political Communication, Political Analysis, The Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization, The Sociological Quarterly, Millenium, British Journal of Political Science, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Comparative Political Studies, Journal of Policy History, Public Administration Review, Diplomatic History, Studies in American Political Development, International Political Science Review, and other publications. Reviewer for Cambridge University Press, Oxford University Press, Duke University Press, Columbia University Press, Harvard University Press, University of Chicago Press, University of Pittsburgh Press, McGraw-Hill, St. Martin's, D.C. Heath, Houghton-Mifflin, Westview, HarperCollins, Wadsworth, Georgetown University Press, Louisiana State University press, Stanford University Press, Congressional Quarterly, and other publishers. Member: American Political Science Association, Midwest Political Science Association, Southern Political Science Association, The Academy of Political Science, Policy Studies Organization, American Association for Public Opinion Research (and Midwest and New York Chapters), World Association for Public Opinion Research, Social Science History Association, International Society of Political Psychology, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Center for the Study of the Presidency, American Society for Public Administration, American Sociological Association (past member), The American Academy of Political and Social Science, Southwestern Social Science Association, International Communication Association, International Studies Association. Other selected activities: Chair, American Association for Public Opinion Research, Book Award Committee, 2006. Member of the American Associate for Public Opinion Research's Innovators' Award Selection Committee, 2005-7. Member of the Peck Award 2005 nomination committee, Presidency Research Group. American Political Science Association. Conference paper reviewer, 2005-present, International Communication Association. Conference proposal/abstract reviewer for the 2006 and 2007 annual meetings of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. Committee Chair of the first annual Alexander L. George Book Award Committee of the International Society of Political Psychology, 2003-2004. Member of the first American Associate for Public Opinion Research Book Award Committee, 2003-2006. Participant in conferences of The Constitutional Education and Engagement Project (CEEP), Bonomo Institute, 2003-2004. Speaker at Plenary Session, 2003 annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research; and organized and chaired panel on "Public Opinion and Campaign Finance Reform." Member, selection committee for the Emerging Scholar Award, Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior section, APSA, 2002. Member of Scientific Advisory Committee, "By the People" Deliberative Poll, 2002. Assisted in planning of the Department of Homeless Services, New York City, Homeless Outreach Survey, 2003. Organizer, Conference on "Public Opinion, the Mass Media, and European and American Foreign Policy," Columbia University, New York, N.Y., November 19-20, 1998. Speaker on "Public Opinion Research and Voter Identification," Ronald H. Brown Center for Politics and Commercial Diplomacy, Howard University, Washington, D.C., June 9, 1998. Organizer, Conference on "Presidential Power: Forging the Presidency for the 21st Century." Columbia University, New York, N.Y., November 15-16, 1996. Program Committee, 1996 Annual

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Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Political Psychology Division; Member of book award committee (first annual "J. David Greenstone Best Book Award"), History and Politics section, American Political Science Association, 1993; Participant in the German Marshall Memorial Fellowship Program, 1993. AAPOR Program Committee and Judge in Student Paper Competition (2003, 1999, 1995, Chaired Committee in 1991); United States Information Agency, presentations in Italy (Sienna, Milan, Sardenia, Rome, and Messina) on the 1996 election and public opinion and policymaking, October 1996; New York AAPOR, holiday party, after-dinner speaker, "Presidents and Their Pollsters," December 1996; University of Delaware, seminar and lecture, "Public Opinion, Democracy, and Foreign Policy," Winter session program, January 1997. Columbia University Service (selected) Member, Executive Committee, Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy (ISERP), 2016-present. Member, Promotion and Tenure Committee (PTC), School of Arts and Sciences, 2011-2015, Chair 2013-2015. Head, Institute for Social and Economics Research and Policy (ISERP), Statistical Consulting Service (iserp-stats@columbia.edu), 2000-2014. Columbia Leadership Alliance, Summer Research Program, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, mentored four students from underrepresented minorities, 2010-2013. Faculty Advisory Committee, Columbia Institute for Tele-Information, Graduate School of Business, 2010-present. Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy, Summer Research Program, Faculty Mentor, 2007-2012 Member, NCAA Certification Review Steering Committee, Columbia-Barnard Athletics Consortium, 2009-2010. Member, Search Committee, Chair of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, 2008-9 Member, President’s Committee on Undergraduate Education, and member of Subcommitee on Undergraduate Curricular Structure, 2007-2012. Member, Standing Committee on the Conduct of Research, 2006-2011. Member, Faculty Athletics Committee, 2006-2011.

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Member, E-Science Task Force, 2008-2009. Member, Advisory Committee and Seed Grant Reviewer, Columbia University Population Research Center, 2008-2009 Member of Provost’s Faculty Quality of Life Committee, 2006-2011. Speaker, School of Social Work, Annual Alumni Conference, 2010 and 2011. Regular speaker at alumni clubs and meetings of Columbia College Classes, 2005, 2008-present. Presenter, Dean’s Award for Distinguished Achievement to the Hon. Congresswoman Rosa L. DeLauro, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Master of Arts Convocation, May 16, 2006. Speaker at Columbia University Club of Washington, D.C., Eighteenth Annual Alumni Symposium, May 21, 2005. Speaker at Columbia College Dean’s Days, 2005, 2008. Member of Provost's Tenure Process Review Committee, 2004-2005. Speaker at Columbia College Office of Alumni Affairs and Development's Washington, D.C., program, September 2004. Speaker at Columbia University Alumni Association of Northern New Jersey, 2004, 2008, and 2012; Atlanta, 2008; Naples, Florida, 2008; Connecticut, 2008. Graduate School of Arts and Sciences and other alumni talks on 2010 elections, 2010. Convocation Address, Master's Degree Convocation, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, May 20, 2003. Member of Executive Committee Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy (ISERP formerly ISETR), 1999-2004; Faculty Fellow, 1999-present; Reviewer, ISERP Graduate Fellows Program; past Advisory Board Member and Affiliated Researcher, Paul F. Lazarsfeld Center for the Social Sciences/ Center for the Social Sciences. Faculty participant in Robert Wood Johnson/ Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy Health & Society Scholars Post-Doctoral Program, 2002-present. Salary Equity Committee, Office of the Provost, 2004-2006 Reviewer of Statistics Core Curriculum in School of International and Public Affairs, 2003-2004.

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Member, Steering Committee of Department Chairs, Arts and Sciences, 2001-2003. Member, Faculty Budget Group, Arts and Sciences, 2001-2003. Member, Executive Committee of the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, 1998-2011. Reviewer of the School of Social Work doctoral program, 2009. Member and Chair, Academic Review Committee (ARC), School of Arts and Sciences, 1999-2002 (Chair, 2001-2). Chaired review of Department of Psychology, 2001. Member, Executive Committee, School/Department of International and Public Affairs, 1991-2003; Policy and Personnel Committee, 1990-1991 Member, International Affairs Building Space Policy Committee, 2002-2003. Member, Steering/Advisory Committee, MPA in Community Building Program, School of International and Public Affairs, 1999-2003. Member, Executive Committee, Center for Urban Research and Policy, 1998-present; Member, Planning Committee, 1994-2003. Member, Steering Committee, Institute for Child and Family Policy, 2001-2002. Co-Chair, Doctoral Program Subcommittee on Sociomedical Sciences, 1997-present (member of newly established Executive Committee, 1998-2012); Member of Subcommittee since 1990. Member, Governing Committee, Doctoral Program Subcommittee in Communications, 1997-present. Member, committee/executive committee, University-wide Provost's Committee on Communications Studies at Columbia, 1994-1997. Member of Advisory Committee, Revson Fellowship Program, 2002-2009. Faculty Advisor, 2002-2005 Faculty Adviser, M.A. program in Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences, 1998-present. Member, Doctoral Program Subcommitee on Biostatistics, 1997-present. Marshall, Columbia University, Commencement, 2001, 2002. 2003, 2004. Faculty Advisor, Project Democracy, 2004. Member, Student Speakers' Fund Board, 2002-2003.

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Member, Public Policy Consortium, Executive Committee, 1998-2005; Member, (Provost's) Policy Consortium Committee and Steering Committee, 1995-1997. Faculty Mentor, Minority Summer Research Program, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, 1989-1991, 2000. Member, Advisory Board, School of Social Work's Social Indicators Survey Research Center, 1996-present. Review, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Minority Fellowship Applications, 2006. Member Graduate Admissions Committee, Political Science Department, 2003-2004 Member Academic Review Self-Study Committee, Political Science Department, 2003-2004. Member, Dissertation Proposal Review Committee, Political Science Department, 2002-2003, and past member. Member, Search Committee, Reference & Development Collection Librarian for the Social Sciences, 2002. Member, Search Committee, Director of Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences M.A. Program, 2001-2. Member, Search Committee, Library Electronic Data Service-Head, 1992-1993, 2000-2001. Member, Search Committee, Head of Division of Sociomedical Sciences, 1995-96, 2000-2002. Chair, Search Committee, Carnegie Chair, School of International and Public Affairs, 2000-2001. Chair, Search Committee, Director of Institute of Social and Economic Theory and Research, 1997-98. Member, Search Committee, Dean of School of International and Public Affairs, 1996. Member, Minority Affairs Committee, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, 1995-1999. Co-Chair, Human Subjects Review Committee, 1992-2000; member 1991-2002, 2005-2006. Director of Undergraduate Studies, Department of Political Science, Columbia College and School of General Studies, 2007-2008, 1991-1993; Acting Departmental Representative, November-December 1989. Member of Curriculum Committee, 1995-1996. Political Science

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advisor, 1982-present. Reader, senior honors theses, 1994-present. Reviewer of Robbins and Sharp Fellowship applications, 2006. Reviewer for Undergraduate paper awards, 2006. Field Coordinator, American Politics, Department of Political Science, 1990-1999, 2005-2006 Chair, American Politics Search Committees, Department of Political Science, 1998-99; 1995-96; Member, 1996-97, 2002-2006, 2009-2010. Member, Graduate Admissions Committee, Department of Political Science, 2010. Member, Graduate Fellowship Committee, Department of Political Science, 2006. Member, Minority Politics Search Committee, Department of Political Science, 2005- 2006. Chair, Methodology Committee, Department of Political Science, 2000; Member, 1999-2000. Member, Quantitative Methods and Public Policy Search Committees (two), School of International and Public Affairs, 1998-99. Member, Personnel Committee and Committee on the Future of the Department, Department of Political Science, 1994-2003. Member, Comprehensive Examination Task Force, Department of Political Science, 1995-96. Fellowship Committee, Department of Political Science, 1994-1995. Member, Senior Faculty Search Committee, African American Studies, 1994-1996 Member, Committee on Military Recruitment on Campus, Spring 1995. Member, Lehman Library Space Committee, 1994-1995. Member, Computer Task Force, School of International and Public Affairs, 1992-93. Chair: Electronic Data Service (EDS) Advisory Board, 1993-present. Coordinator of Electronic Research Assistant (ERA) for Department of Political Science and Center for the Social Sciences, 1994-96. Census Data Task Force, 1990-1992. Conducted Graduate School of Arts and Sciences Pre-dissertation research and proposal writing workshops, Spring 1992, Fall 1992. Faculty Sponsor, Dissertation Workshops, Department of Political Science, 1991-92. 1991 Bancroft Dissertation Award Committee, judge, October 1992-January 1993.

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Undergraduate Curriculum Committee, Department of Political Science, 1993-1994; chair of committee involved in selection of Columbia College Paper Prizes and Robbins Fellowships, 1989-1991; developed Robbins Fellowship proposal, 1988-89. Participant in Barnard/Columbia Urban New York Program, 1994-95. Past: First and second-year student advisor, Columbia College. Member, 1992-96, Planning Committee, Barnard Center for Research on Women, 1993, 1994, 1996 Conference on “The Scholar and the Feminist.” Member, focus group, University's Quality of Life Task Force, Nov. 1992. Speaker, forum on "The Impact of Electronic Communication: Threat or Promise," Columbia Institute for Tele-Information, Columbia Business School, September 1995. Speaker, Public Policy Conference, School of International and Public Affairs, April 1995. Speaker, seminar for World Bank program students, School of International and Public Affairs, July 1992. Speaker, Columbia College Dean's Day, April 1990. Chair/Co-chair, American Society and Politics Seminar (through 1999; founding co-chair), Political Economy Workshop (1995-96), Seminar on Public Communication (past), New York Political Psychology Seminar (1990-present; founding co-chair), past Survey Research Workshop (founding co-chair) and Mass Communication Workshop (founding co-chair), Paul F. Center for the Social Sciences. Member, Columbia University Seminars on the Changing Metropolis, Communications and Society, and Twentieth Century Politics and Society. Member (former), Gannett Center Study Group on the History of Mass Communication Research. Member, School of International and Public Affairs' Policy Research Seminar. Member, Ford Foundation Seminar on Comparative Social Policy. Affiliated Researcher, Graduate School of Business, Columbia Institute for Tele-Information. Columbia's Representative (past) to the Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research.

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Director of Graduate Placement, Department of Political Science, 2004, 1989-1991. Member: Search committees in public policy, American politics and public administration, financial management, public management, methodology, economics, and American politics in the Department of Political Science, the School of International and Public Affairs, and Barnard College. Member: University Senate Committee on the University Rules of Conduct, 1989-1990. Books The Rational Public: Fifty Years of Trends in Americans' Policy Preferences. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1992 (with Benjamin I. Page). Winner of the 2003 Philip E. Converse Book Award, American Political Science Association Section of Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior, for the outstanding book in the field published at least five years before. The American Association for Public Opinion Research committee, 1995, selected The Rational Public one of the 50 significant books in public opinion research over the past 50 years. Research in Micropolitics, Volume 4: New Directions in Political Psychology. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press, 1994 (ed. with Michael X. Delli Carpini and Leonie Huddy). Understanding Presidential Elections: Trends and New Developments (Articles from Political Science Quarterly). New York: The Academy of Political Science, 1996 (ed.). Research in Micropolitics, Volume 5: Rethinking Rationality. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press, 1996 (ed. with Michael X. Delli Carpini and Leonie Huddy). Public Opinion. Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 1999 (with Carroll J. Glynn, Susan Herbst, and Garrett O'Keefe). Politicians Don't Pander: Political Manipulation and the Loss of Democratic Responsiveness. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2000, (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). Winner of: the Goldsmith Book Prize, Shorenstein-Barone Press/Politics Center, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2001 (for book published in 2000); the 2001 Richard E. Neustadt Award for the best book on the U.S. Presidency Published in 2000, of the Presidency Research Group of the American Political Science Association; and the Distinguished Book Award of the Political Sociology Section of the American Sociological Association, 2001 (for book published in 2000). Presidential Power: Forging the Presidency for the Twenty-first Century. New York, Columbia University Press, 2000 (ed. with Martha Joynt Kumar and Lawrence R. Jacobs).

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Decisionmaking in a Glass House: Mass Media, Public Opinion, and American and European Foreign Policy in the 21st Century. Boston: Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, 2000 (ed. with Brigitte L. Nacos and Pierangelo Isernia). Research in Micropolitics, Volume 6: Political Decision-Making, Deliberation and Participation. New York: JAI/Elsevier Science, 2002 (ed. with Michael X. Delli Carpini and Leonie Huddy). Public Opinion. Second edition. Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 2004 (with Carroll J. Glynn, Susan Herbst, Garrett J. O'Keefe, and Mark Lindeman). The Meaning of American Democracy. New York: The Academy of Political Science, 2005 (ed.). Special Issue: Polling Politics, Media, and Election Campaigns. Public Opinion Quarterly 69 (5), 2005 (ed. with Lawrence R. Jacobs). The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011 (ed. with Lawrence R. Jacobs). Selling Fear: Counterterrorism, the Media, and Public Opinion. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2011 (with Brigittte L. Nacos and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). Winner of the Bruce E. Gronbeck Political Communication Research Award, 2014, The Carl Crouch Center. Public Opinion. Third edition. Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 2016 (with Carroll J. Glynn, Susan Herbst, Mark Lindeman, and Garrett J. O'Keefe. Reports/Monographs Polling and Democracy: Report of the AAPOR Task Force on Public Opinion and Leadership. February 2013. With Frank Newport and Task Force Members, American Association for Public Opinion Research. http://www.aapor.org/AAPOR_Main/media/MainSiteFiles/Final_Task_Force_Report_September_2_2013w_LOGO.pdf Mexico and the World 2006: Public Opinion and Foreign Policy in Mexico. Mexico City: CIDE and COMEXI, 2006 (with Susan Minushkin, Guadalupe Gonzalez, Jorge Chabat, Antonio Ortiz Mena L. N., Jose Luis Caballero, Monica Colin, Andres Rozental, and Aurora Adame). Mexico and the World 2006—Leaders, Pubilic Opinion and Foreign Policy in Mexico, the United States, and Asia: A Comparative Study. Mexico City: CIDE and COMEXI, 2006 (with Susan Minushkin, Guadalupe Gonzalez, Jorge Chabat, Antonio Ortiz Mena L. N., Jose Luis

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Caballero, Monica Colin, Andres Rozental, and Aurora Adame). Global Views 2004: American Public Opinion and Foreign Policy. Chicago: Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, 2004 (with Marshall M. Bouton, Catherine Hug, Steven Kull, Benjamin I. Page, Jennie Taylor, and Christopher B. Whitney). Global Views 2004: Comparing Mexican and American Public Opinion and Foreign Policy. Mexico City and Chicago: CIDE, COMEXI, and Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, 2004 (with Susan Minushkin, Guadalupe Gonzalez, Ulises Beltran, Laura E. Cedillo, Antonio Ortiz, Marshall M. Bouton, Catherine Hug, Steven Kull, Benjamin I. Page, Jennie Taylor, and Christopher B. Whitney). Global Views 2004: Mexican Public Opinion and Foreign Policy. Mexico City: CIDE and COMEXI, 2004 (with Susan Minushkin, Guadalupe Gonzalez, Ulises Beltran, Laura E. Cedillo, Antonio Ortiz). Global Views 2004: Comparing South Korean and American Public Opinion and Foreign Policy. Chicago: Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, 2004 (with Steven Kull, Marshall M. Bouton, Catherine Hug, Benjamin I. Page, Jennie Taylor, and Christopher B. Whitney). Articles “Turnout and Weather Disruptions: Survey Evidence from the 2012 Presidential Elections in the Aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.” Electoral Studies 2016 (early online publication date, with Narayani Lasala-Blanco and Viviana Rivera-Burgos). “Public Opinion.” In Robert Lieberman, Suzanne Mettler, and Richard Valelly. eds., Oxford Handbook of American Political Development. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2016. Pp. 516-534. “Political Science and Polling.” In James D. Wright, ed. The International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences, 2nd edition. Vol.18. Oxford: Elsevier, 2015. Pp. 459-465. “Can Young Voters Break the Cycle of polarization?” In Daniel J. Hopkins and John Sides, eds. Political Polarization in American Politics. New York: Bloomsbury Academic, 2015. Pp.151-154. “Hearing the Other Side: It Starts at the Top.” Critical Review 25 (2, 2013): 226-244. “Polling and Democracy: Executive Summary of the AAPOR Task Force Report on Public Opinion and Leadership.” Public Opinion Quarterly 77 (Winter 2013): 853-860 (with Frank Newport and others).

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"Public Opinion and American Democracy." Public Opinion Quarterly 75 (5, 2011): 982-1017. “Free Hand Abroad, Divide and Rule at Home.” In G. John Ikenberrry, Michael Mastanduno, and William C. Wohlforth, eds., International Relations Theory and the Consequences of Unipolarity. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2011. Pp.178-215. Revised version of article under the same title, World Politics 61 (January 2009): 155-187 (with Jack Snyder and Yaeli-Bloch-Elkon). “The Democratic Paradox: The Waning of Popular Sovereignty and the Pathologies of American Politics.” In Robert Y. Shapiro and Lawrence R. Jacobs, eds. The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011. Pp.713-731 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). “Informational Interdependence: Public Opinion and the Media in the New Communications Era.” In Robert Y. Shapiro and Lawrence R. Jacobs, eds., The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011 Pp.3-21 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). “Big Government and Public Opinion.” In Robert Y. Shapiro and Lawrence R. Jacobs, eds., The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011. Pp.639-656 (with Costas Panagopoulos). “Simulating Representation: Elite Mobilization and Political Power in Health Care Reform.” The Forum 8, Issue 1, Article 4, Berkeley Electronic Press, 2010 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). “Public Opinion Polling 1946-1975.” In Thomas S. Langston, ed. The Encyclopedia of U.S. Political History, Vol. 6, 1946-1975. Washington, DC: CQ Press, 2010. Pp.313-318. “Public Opinion 1946-1975.” In Thomas S. Langston, ed. The Encyclopedia of U.S. Political History, Vol. 6, 1946-1975. Washington, DC: CQ Press, 2010. Pp.318-321. “Free Hand Abroad, Divide and Rule at Home.” World Politics 61 (January 2009): 155-187 (with Jack Snyder and Yaeli-Bloch-Elkon). Updated under the same title in G. John Ikenberrry, Michael Mastanduno, and William C. Wohlforth, eds., International Relations Theory and the Consequences of Unipolarity. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2011. Pp.178-215 “Opinion and Election Polls.” In D. Pfeffermann and C.R. Rao, eds., Handbook of Statistics 29A: Sample Surveys: Design, Methods, and Applications. The Netherlands: North Holland, 2009. Pp. 567-596 (with Kathleen A. Frankovic and Costas Panagopoulos). “The Politics of the Death Penalty. Perspectives on Politics 7 (December 2009): 923-924. “A New Partisan Voter.” The Journal of Politics 71 (January 2009): 1-24 (with Joseph Bafumi).

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“The Army’s Hispanic Future.” Armed Forces & Society 35 (April 2009): 526-561 (with Jason K. Dempsey). “Retrospective on the Election: Divisiveness and Democracy.” In Nick Anstead and Will Straw, eds., The Change We Need: What Britain Can Learn from Obama’s Victory. London: Fabian Society, 2009. Pp.7-11. “Partisan Conflict and American Public Opinion Towards East Asia.” The Journal of Asiatic Studies 52 (1) (2009): 240-286 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “On to the Convention!” Political Science Quarterly 123 (Spring 2008): 1-9 (with Jason Bello). “Do the Facts Speak for Themselves? Partisan Disagreement as a Challenge to Democratic Competence.” Critical Review 20 (1-2) (2008): 115-139 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Foreign Policy, Meet the People.” The National Interest 97 (September/October 2008): 37-42 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Prevention of Terrorism in Post-9/11 America: News Coverage, Public Perceptions, and the Politics of Homeland Security.” Terrorism and Political Violence 20 (1) 2008: 1-25 (with Brigitte L. Nacos and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Bush’s Democratic Ambivalence: Responsiveness and Policy Promotion in Republican Government.” In Colin Campbell, Bert A. Rockman, and Andrew Rudalevige, eds., The George W. Bush Legacy. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press, 2008. Pp.45-61 (with Lawrence Jacobs). “Post-9/11 Terrorism Threats, News Coverage, and Public Perceptions in the United States.” International Journal of Conflict and Violence 1 (2) 2007: 105-126 (with Brigitte L. Nacos and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Ideological Partisanship and American Public Opinion Toward Foreign Policy.” In Morton H. Halperin, Jeffery Laurenti, Peter Rundlet, and Spencer P. Boyer, eds. Power and Superpower: Leadership and Exceptionalism in the 21st Century. New York: The Century Foundation Press, 2007. Pp.49-68,364-372 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Social Policy Preferences, National Defense and Political Polarization in the United States.” In Steffen Mau and Benjamin Veghte, eds. (2007), Social Justice, Legitimacy and the Welfare State. Aldershot, Hamshire: Ashgate Publishing Limited, 2007. Pp.145-168 (with Benjamin Veghte and Greg M. Shaw). “Polling Politics, Media, and Election Campaigns.” In Lawrence R. Jacobs and Robert Y.

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Shapiro (eds.) Special Issue: Polling Politics, Media, and Election Campaigns. Public Opinion Quarterly 69 (5) (2005): 635-641 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). French Translation: “Sondages Politques, Medias et Campagnes Electorales aux Etats-Unis.” Revue Francaise du Marketing No. 211 – 1/5 (Fevrier, 2007):33-39. “The Meaning of American Democracy.” In Robert Y. Shapiro (ed.), The Meaning of American Democracy. New York: The Academy of Political Science, 2005. Pp.3-23. "Welfare." In Samuel J. Best and Benjamin Radcliff (eds.), Polling America: An Encyclopedia of Public Opinion. Westport, Conn.: Greenwood Press, 2005. Pp. 880-892 (with Greg M. Shaw). "Introduction: Awaited Voices--Latinos and U.S. Elections." In Rodolfo O. de la Garza and Louis DeSipio (eds.), Muted Voices: Latinos and the 2000 Elections. New York, Rowman & Littlefield. 2005. "Rebuttal to Ayres." In Anthony Corrado, Thomas E. Mann, and Trevor Potter (eds.), Inside the Campaign Finance Battle: Court Testimony on the New Reform. Washington, D.C.: Brookings, 2003. Pp. 278-284. "Public Attitudes toward Campaign Finance Practice and Reform." In Anthony Corrado, Thomas E. Mann, and Trevor Potter (eds.), Inside the Campaign Finance Battle: Court Testimony on the New Reform. Washington, D.C.: Brookings, 2003. Pp. 259-265 plus on-line Appendices available. "The Polls--Trends: Women and Sexual Orientation in the Military." Public Opinion Quarterly 66 (Winter 2002): 618-632 (with Oscar Torres-Reyna). "Politics and Policymaking in the Real World: Crafted Talk and the Loss of Democratic Responsiveness." In Jeff Manza, Fay Lomax Cook, and Benjamin I. Page (eds), Navigating Public Opinion: Polls, Policy, and the Future of American Democracy. New York: Oxford University Press, 2002 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion, Foreign Policy, and Democracy: How Presidents Use Public Opinion. In Jeff Manza, Fay Lomax Cook, and Benjamin I. Page (eds.), Navigating Public Opinion: Polls, Policy, and the Future of American Democracy. New York: Oxford University Press, 2002 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Polls--Trends: Defense and the Military." Public Opinion Quarterly 66 (Summer 2002): 279-303 (with Oscar Torres-Reyna). "Polling and the White House: Public Opinion and Presidential Behavior." In Jeffrey Cohen and David Nice (eds), The Presidency: Classic and Contemporary Readings. New York: McGraw-

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Hill, 2002 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Polls--Trends: Poverty and Public Assistance." Public Opinion Quarterly 66 (Spring 2002): 105-128 (with Greg M. Shaw). "Cooler Passions: Welfare Reform Five Years Later." The Public Perspective (March/April 2002): 26-30 (with Greg M. Shaw). "Polling." In Neil J. Smelser and Paul B. Balters (eds.), International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences. Oxford, England: Pergamon, 2001. "Social Capital, Political Participation, and the Urban Community." In Susan Saegert, J. Phillip Thompson, and Mark R. Warren (eds.), Social Capital and Poor Communities. New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2001 (with Ester R. Fuchs and Lorraine C. Minnite). "Presidents and Polling: Politicians, Pandering, and the Study of Democratic Responsiveness." Presidential Studies Quarterly 31 (March 2001): 150-167,(with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Legacy of the Marshall Plan: American Public Support for Foreign Aid." In Martin A. Schain (ed.), The Marshall Plan Fifty Years After. New York: Palgrave, 2001. "Origins and Consequences of Changes in U.S. Corporate Taxation, 1981-1998." American Journal of Political Science 45 (January 2001): 179-201 (With Carla Inclan and Dennis P. Quinn). "Polling and Pandering." Society 37 (September/October 2000): 11-13 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Polling and Pandering: The End of the Presidency's Moral Authority?" In R. Gordon Hoxie (ed.), The Moral Authority of Government, New York: National Institute of Social Sciences, 2000 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Who Leads and Who Follows? U.S. Presidents, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy." In Brigitte L. Nacos, Robert Y. Shapiro, and Pierangelo Isernia (eds.), Decisionmaking in a Glass House: Mass Media, Public Opinion, and American and European Foreign Policy in the 21st Century. Boston: Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, 2000, (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "New Issues and the Media: American and German News Coverage of the Global Warming Debate." In Brigitte L. Nacos, Robert Y. Shapiro, and Pierangelo Isernia (eds.), Decisionmaking in a Glass House: Mass Media, Public Opinion, and American and European Foreign Policy in the 21st Century. Boston: Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, 2000 (with Brigitte L. Nacos, Natasha Hritzuk, and Bruce Chadwick).

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"Conclusion: Presidential Power, Institutions, and Democracy." In Robert Y. Shapiro, Martha Joynt Kumar, and Lawrence R. Jacobs (eds.), Presidential Power: Forging the Presidency for the Twenty-first Century. New York, Columbia University Press, 2000, (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The American Public's Pragmatic Liberalism Meets Its Philosophical Conservatism." Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 24 (October 1999): 1021-1031 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Impact of Political Debate on Government Trust: Reminding the Public What the Federal Government Does." Political Behavior 21 (September 1999): 239-264 (with Shmuel Lock and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Lyndon Johnson, Vietnam, and Public Opinion."Presidential Studies Quarterly 29 (September 1999): 592-616 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion, Elites, and Democracy." Critical Review 12 (Fall 1998): 501-528. "The Rational Public and Beyond." In Stephen L. Elkin (ed.), Democracy and Citizen Competence. University Park, Penn.: Pennsylvania State University press, 1999. Originally presented at the PEGS Conference on Citizen Competence, Washington, D.C., February 9-11, 1995 (with Benjamin I. Page). "Myths and Misunderstandings about Public Opinion toward Social Security." In R. Douglas Arnold, Michael J. Graetz, and Alicia H. Munnell (eds.), Framing the Social Security Debate: Values, Politics, and Economics. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Social Insurance, 1998 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Polls--Trends: Crime, the Police, and Civil Liberties." Public Opinion Quarterly 62 (Fall 1998): 405-426 (with Greg M. Shaw, Shmuel Lock, and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Is Washington Disconnected from Public Thinking About Social Security." The Public Perspective (June/July 1998): 54-57 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Congressional Leadership of Public Opinion." Political Science Quarterly 113 (Spring 1998): 21-41 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs, Eric D. Lawrence, and Steven S. Smith). "Welfare State Regimes and Subjective Well-Being: A Cross- National Study." International Journal of Public Opinion Research 10 (Spring 1998): 2-24 (with John S. Lapinski, Charles R. Riemann, Matthew F. Stevens, and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Politicization of Public Opinion: The Fight for the Pulpit." In Margaret Weir (ed.), The Social Divide: Political Parties and the Future of Activist Government. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 1998 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs).

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"Privacy of Health Care Data: What Does the Public Know? How Much Do They Care?" In Audrey R. Chapman (ed.), Health Care and Information Ethics: Protecting Fundamental Human Rights. Kansas City: Sheed & Ward, 1997 (with Eleanor Singer and Lawrence R. Jacobs). Originally a Report to the American Association for the Advancement of Science, July 1995. "The Polling Crisis: It's Real, But Not Because of Politician Pandering or Flubbed Surveys." Roll Call: Politics (April 24, 1997): 15,20 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Debunking the Pandering Politician Myth." The Public Perspective (April/May, 1997): 3-5 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Searching Presidential Documents On-Line: Advantages and Limitations." PS: Political Science and Politics 29 (September 1996): 501-504 (with Greg M. Shaw and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Elusive Common Ground: The Politics of Public Opinion and Healthcare Reform." Generations 20 (Summer 1996):7-12 (with Michael Zis and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Presidential Manipulation of Polls and Public Opinion: The Nixon Administration and the Pollsters." Political Science Quarterly 110 (Winter 1995-96): 519-538 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). Winner of International Communication Association, Political Communication Division, Distinguished Essay Award, 1996. "Toward the Integrated Study of Political Communications, Public Opinion, and the Policy-making Process." PS: Political Science and Politics 29 (March 1996): 10-13 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion on Welfare Reform: A Mandate for What?" In R. Kent Weaver and William Dickens, ed., Looking Before We Leap: Social Science and Welfare Reform. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 1995 (with R. Kent Weaver and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Poll Trends: Welfare." Public Opinion Quarterly, 59 (Winter 1995): 606-627 (with R. Kent Weaver and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Rise of Presidential Polling: The Nixon White House in Historical Perspective." Public Opinion Quarterly 59 (Summer 1995): 163-195 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Poll Trends: Social Security--An Update." Public Opinion Quarterly 59 (Fall 1995):420-442 (with Jennifer Baggette and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Media Coverage and Public Views of Social Security." The Public Perspective (April/May 1995): 9-10, 48-49 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs and Mark D. Watts). "Don't Blame the Public for Failed Health Care Reform." Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and

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Law 20 (Summer 1995): 411-423 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Issues, Candidate Image, and Priming: The Use of Private Polls in Kennedy's 1960 Presidential Campaign." American Political Science Review 88 (September 1994): 527-540 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion in President Clinton's First Year: Leadership and Responsiveness." In Stanley A. Renshon, ed., The Clinton Presidency: Campaigning, Governing, and the Psychology of Leadership. Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 1995 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Questioning the Conventional Wisdom on Public Opinion Toward Health Reform." " PS: Political Science and Politics 27 (June 1994): 208-214 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion, Institutions, and Policymaking: Studying Substantive Democracy: " PS: Political Science and Politics 27 (March 1994): 9-17 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion's Tilt Against Private Enterprise." Health Affairs 13 (Spring (1) 1994): 285-298 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Letters: Public Opinion and Reform" (Response to Marc L. Berk) Health Affairs 13 (Summer (3) 1994): 275-276 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion and Reform" (Reply/Letter). Health Affairs 13 (Summer, 1994): 275-276 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Introduction." In Delli Carpini, Huddy, and Shapiro, eds., Research in Micropolitics, Volume 4: New Directions in Political Psychology. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press, 1994 (with Michael X. Delli Carpini and Leonie Huddy). "Foreign Policy and Public Opinion." In David A. Deese, ed., The Politics of American Foreign Policy, St. Martin's Press, 1994. Originally presented (and titled "Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in a Transformed World") at the Thomas P. O'Neill, Jr., Symposium on the Politics of American Foreign Policy, Boston College, April 3-4, 1992. "The Duality of Public Opinion: Personal Interests and the National Interest in Health Care Reform." Domestic Affairs 2 (Winter 1993/94): 245-259 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Poll Trends: Medical Care in the United States--An Update." Public Opinion Quarterly 57 (Fall 1993): 394-427 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs and Eli C. Schulman). "The Conventional Wisdom that Portrays Americans as Narrow Individualists is Myopic." The Public Perspective 4 (May/June 1993): 22-27 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion." In Oxford Companion to Politics of the World. New York: Oxford University

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Press, 1993. Pp. 757-758. "The Rational Public and Democracy." In George E. Marcus and Russell L. Hanson, eds., Reconsidering The Democratic Public. University Park, Pa.: The Pennsylvania State University Press, 1993. Originally presented at the NEH Democratic Theory Symposium, Williams College, Williamstown, Mass., 1989 (with Benjamin I. Page). "Business Political Power: The Case of Taxation." American Political Science Review 85 (September 1991): 851-874 (with Dennis P. Quinn). "Economic Growth Strategies: The Effects of Ideological Partisanship on Interest Rates and Business Taxation in the United States." American Journal of Political Science 35 (August 1991): 656-685 (with Dennis P. Quinn). "Media Influences on Support for Presidential Candidates in Primary Elections: Theory, Method, and Evidence." International Journal of Public Opinion Research 3 (1991): 340-365 (with J. Young, K. Patterson, J. Blumenfeld, D. Cifu, S. Offenhartz, and T. Tsekerides). "Content Analysis of News Reports: Comparing Human Coding and a Computer-Assisted Method." Communication 12 (1991): 111-128 (with B. Nacos, J. Young, D. Fan, T. Kjellstrand, and C. McCaa). "Public Opinion Toward Social Welfare Policies: The United States in Comparative Perspective." In Samuel Long, ed., Research in Micropolitics. Volume 3. Public Opinion. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press, 1990 (with John T. Young). "Restraining the Whims and Passions of the Public." In Bernard Grofman and Donald Wittman, eds., The Federalist Papers and the New Institutionalism. New York: Agathon Press, 1989. Originally presented at the 1987 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago (with Benjamin I. Page). "Educating and Manipulating the Public." In Michael Margolis and Gary Mauser, eds., Manipulating Public Opinion, Pacific Grove, Cal.: Brooks/Cole Publishing Company, 1989. Originally presented at the 1987 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Benjamin I. Page). "The Relationship Between Public Opinion and Public Policy: A Review." In Samuel Long, ed., Political Behavior Annual, Vol. II. Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 1989 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion and the Welfare State: The United States in Comparative Perspective." Political Science Quarterly, (Spring 1989): 59-89 (with John T. Young).

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"Public Opinion and the New Social History: Some Lessons for the Study of Public Opinion and Democratic Policy Making." Social Science History 13 (Spring 1989): 1-24 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Toujours plus de depenses sociales." Le Journal de Elections 5 (Nov./Dec. 1988): 32, 37. Original English title was "The 1988 Election and the U.S. Social Welfare Agenda." "Le vote des televisions." Le Journal des Elections 4 (Sept./Oct. 1988): 22-23 (with John T. Young). Original English title was "The Role of the Media in the Primaries." "The Polls -- A Report: Human Rights." Public Opinion Quarterly 52 (Fall, 1988): 386-398 (with Anne E. Geyer). "Foreign Policy and the Rational Public." Journal of Conflict Resolution, 32 (June, 1988): 211-247. An earlier version, "Trends in Public Opinion Toward Foreign Policy, 1935-1985," was presented at the 1986 annual meeting of the American Sociological Association, New York (with Benjamin I. Page). "The Polls: Employment and Social Welfare." Public Opinion Quarterly 51 (Summer, 1987): 268-281 (with Kelly D. Patterson, Judith Russell, and John T. Young). "The Polls: Public Assistance." Public Opinion Quarterly 51 (Spring, 1987): 120-130 (with Kelly D. Patterson, Judith Russell, and John T. Young). "What Moves Public Opinion." American Political Science Review 81 (March, 1987): 23-43 (with Benjamin I. Page and Glenn R. Dempsey). Reprinted in Doris A. Graber, ed., Media Power in Politics, Second Edition, Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press, 1990. "The Polls: Medical Care in the United States." Public Opinion Quarterly 50 (Fall, 1986): 418-428 (with John T. Young). "The Polls: Environmental Protection." Public Opinion Quarterly 50 (Summer, 1986): 270-279 (with John M. Gillroy). "Gender Differences in Policy Preferences: A Summary of Trends from the 1960s to the 1980s." Public Opinion Quarterly 50 (Spring, 1986): 42-61 (with Harpreet Mahajan). An earlier report was "Gender Differences in Policy Choices: Trends from the 1960s to the 1980s," presented at the 1984 annual meeting of the Midwest Association for Public Opinion Research, Chicago (with Kurt Veith). "Measuring Mayoral Power: Comparing Formal Authority with Reputed Power." In Terry Nichols Clark, ed., Research in Urban Policy, Volume 2, Part A: Fiscal Austerity and Urban Management. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press, Inc., 1986 (with John A. Williams).

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"The Polls: Social Security." Public Opinion Quarterly 49 (Winter, 1985): 561-572 (with Tom W. Smith). "The Polls: Regulation - Part I." Public Opinion Quarterly 48 (Summer, 1984): 531-542 (with John M. Gillroy). "The Polls: Regulation - Part II." Public Opinion Quarterly 48 (Fall, 1984): 666-677 (with John M. Gillroy). "Public Opinion and the Federal Judiciary: Crime, Punishment, and Demographic Constraints." Population Research and Policy Review 3 (1984): 255-280. An earlier version, "Public Opinion and the Federal Judiciary: A Reappraisal of the Representative Model," was presented at the 1981 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Cincinnati (with Charles M. Silver). "Presidents as Opinion Leaders: Some New Evidence." Policy Studies Journal 12 (June, 1984): 649-661 (with Benjamin I. Page). Reprinted in Randall P. Ripley and Elliot E. Slotnick, eds. Readings in American Government and Politics. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1989. "Presidential Leadership Through Public Opinion," in George C. Edwards III, Steven A. Shull, and Norman C. Thomas, eds., The Presidency and Public Policy. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1985 (with Benjamin I. Page). "Constituency, Party, and Representation in Congress." Public Opinion Quarterly 48 (Winter, 1984): 741-756. This is a shortened version of a report with the same title, NORC, 1982 (with Benjamin I. Page, Paul W. Gronke, and Robert M. Rosenberg). "Government Performance as a Basis for Machine Support." Urban Affairs Quarterly 18 (June, l983): 537-550 (with Ester R. Fuchs). Reprinted in Marilyn Gittel, ed., State Politics and the New Federalism. New York: Longman Press, 1986. "Effects of Public Opinion on Policy." American Political Science Review 77 (March, l983): l75-l90. Originally presented at the 198l annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York. A preliminary report was "Congruence Between Preferences and Policy," presented at the 198l annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Cincinnati (with Benjamin I. Page). "Data Sources, Sampling, and Measurement" (Appendix 1), and "Functional Performance Analysis" (Appendix 4). In Terry Nichols Clark and Lorna C. Ferguson, City Money: Political Processes, Fiscal Strain, and Retrenchment. New York: Columbia University Press, l983 (with Terry N. Clark and Lorna C. Ferguson). "Functional Performance Analysis: A New Approach to the Study of Municipal Expenditures and Debt." Political Methodology 8, 2 (l982): 87-l23 (with Terry Nichols Clark and Lorna C. Ferguson).

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"Changes in Americans' Policy Preferences, l935-l979." Public Opinion Quarterly 46 (Spring, l982): 24-42. Originally presented at the l980 annual meeting of the Midwest Association for Public Opinion Research, Chicago (with Benjamin I. Page). "Presidential Performance, the Economy, and the Public's Evaluation of Economic Conditions." Journal of Politics 42 (February, l980): 49-67 (with Bruce M. Conforto). "Economic Perception and Political Behavior: Reply to Professor Kenski." Journal of Politics 42 (February, l980): 76-8l (with Bruce M. Conforto). Book Reviews and Other Essays “The Uncertain Legacy of Barack Obama ’83.” Columbia College Today, Winter 2016-17, p.24-27.

미대선 한미전문가 공동분석 Joint US-Korea Expert Analysis on the US Presidential Election Series Munhwa Ilbo (with James Kim):

1“트럼프 누가 왜 지지하는가?” 2016-07-18 Title: “Trump, Who Supports Him and Why?” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-07-18 (with James Kim).

2“클린턴이 넘어야 할 장벽” 2016-07-25 “Clinton’s Challenge” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-07-25 (with James Kim).

3“대선 6주전, 막판 뒤집기 가능한가?’” 2016-09-26 “An Upset with Six Weeks Left Till the Election?” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-09-26 (with James Kim).

4“트럼프 리스크” “The Trump Risk” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-10-06 (with James Kim).

5“캐스팅보트 쥔 젊은세대” “Decisive Votes in the Hands of Youth Generation” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-10-12 (with James Kim).

6“여전히 알 수 없는 승부” “Still an Unpredictable Game” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-10-19(with James Kim).

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7“선거막판변수와 조기 투표” “Last Minute Variables and Early Voting” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-11-02 (with James Kim).

8“’초박빙’ 미대선… 한미 전문가 대담” “US Election Neck and Neck…. Korea-US Experts Dialogue” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-11-9 (with James Kim).

9“트럼프 역전은 어떻게 가능했나?” “How was Trump Upset Possible?” Munhwa Ilbo. 2016-11-22 (with James Kim). “Is it crazy for Michael Bloomberg to run for president? Maybe not.” The Washington Post, January 23, 2016. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/01/23/is-it-crazy-for-michael-bloomberg-to-run-for-president-maybe-not/ Review of The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election (by John Sides and Lynn Vavreck). Perspectives on Politics 12 (September 2014): 752-753. Review of Changing Minds or Changing Channels? Partisan News in an Age of Choice (by Kevin Arceneaux and Martin Johnson). Political Science Quarterly 129 (Fall 2014): 513-515 “Americans don’t like protests. But protests may work anyway.” The Washington Post. August 25, 2014. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/08/25/americans-dont-like-protests-but-protests-may-work-anyway/ “Can young voters break the cycle of polarization?” The Washington Post. January 20, 2014. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/01/20/can-young-voters-break-the-cycle-of-polarization/ Review of The Undeserving Rich: American Beliefs about Inequality, Opportunity, and Redistribution (by Leslie McCall). Political Science Quarterly 128 (Winter 2013-2014): 750-753. Review of Breaking Through the Noise: Presidential Leadership, Public Opinion, and the News Media (by Matthew Eshbaugh-Soha and Jeffrey S. Peake). Political Science Quarterly 127 (Fall 2012): 481-483. Review of American Public Opinion and Health Care (by Robert J. Blendon, et al.). Political Science Quarterly 127 (Summer 2012): 312-313. Review of Americanism in the Twenty-First Century: Public Opinion in the Age of Immigration (by Deborah J. Schildkraut). Political Science Quarterly 127 (Spring 2012): 149-150. Review of Paying Attention to Foreign Affairs: How Public Opinion Affects Presidential Decision

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Making (by Thomas Knecht). Political Science Quarterly 126 (Winter 2011-12): 685-687. Review of The Opinion Makers; An Insider Exposes the Truth Behind the Polls (by David W. Moore). Political Science Quarterly 124 (Winter 2009-2010): 722-724. “Comment: Media Use Measures for New Generations.” Political Communication Report (Winter 2008). “The Campaign Will Go On!” The Link (ISERP Newsletter) 4 (2) (Winter 2007-08): 1,8-9 (with Jason Bello). “The Threat of International Terrorism after 9/11: News Coverage and Public Perceptions.” Public Opinion Pros. Online periodical. February 2007 (with Brigitte L. Nacos and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Why Respond to Exit Polls.” Public Opinion Pros Online periodical. January 2007 (with Lisa Ferraro Parmelee). Review of Polling Matters: Why Leaders Must Listen to the Wisdom of the People (by Frank Newport). Public Opinion Quarterly 70 (Fall 2006): 402-405. “Citizenship and Service: Political and Social Attitudes of Active-Duty Army and Cadets at the U.S. Military Academy, West Point.” ISERP Newletter 2 (Spring 2006): 1,8-9 (with Jason Dempsey and Craig Cummings). “Can the Supreme Court Lead Public Opinion.” Public Opinioin Pros Online periodical. March 2006 (with Craig Cummings). Review of Tides of Consent: How Public Opinion Shapes American Politics (by James A. Stimson). Political Communication 23 (January-March, 2006): 113-115. “Public Opinion Polling and the 2004 Election.” Columbia College Today (November 2005): 28-31. “Deep Suspicions: Iraq, Misperception, and Partisanship.” Public Opinion Pros. Online periodical. June 2005 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Bush’s Harder Sell.” Opinion. Newsday. March 13, 2005, p.A36-37. "'Why Respond to Polls? Public Opinion Polling and Democracy." Public Opinion Pros. Online periodical. 2004.

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"The 2004 Election--What Happened and What Didn't?" SIPA News. December 2004. Review of Out of Touch: The Presidency and Public Opinion (by Michael J. Towle). Political Science Quarterly 119 (Fall 2004): 526-527. Review of The Grassroots of a Green Revolution (by Judith Gruber). Perspectives on Politics 2 (March 2004): 142-143. Review of Stealth Democracy: Americans' Beliefs about How Government Should Work (by John R. Hibbing and Elizabeth Theiss-Morse). Political Science Quarterly 118 (Fall 2003): 497-499. Review of The Private Roots of Public Action: Gender, Equality, and Political Participation (by Nancy Burns, Kay Lehman Schlozman, and Sidney Verba). Political Science Quarterly 117 (Fall 2002): 497-499. Review of Constructing Public Opinion: How Political Elites Do What They Like and Why We Seem to Go Along With It (by Justin Lewis). Rhetoric & Public Affairs 5 (Summer 2002): 374-377. Review of Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of Amercian Community (by Robert D. Putnam). Political Science Quarterly 115 (Winter 2000-1): 618-620. "Politicians Don't Pander: Political Manipulation and the Loss of Democratic Responsiveness." PRG Report 23 (Fall 2000): 1, 25-28 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). Review of The Sometime Connection: Public Opinion and Social Policy (by Elaine B. Sharp). Public Opinion Quarterly (Winter 2000): 549-552. "More Social Security bunk: UFO Stories." The New Republic, August 10, 1998 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). Review of The New American Voter (by Warren E. Miller and J. Merrill Shanks). Political Science Quarterly, 112 (Summer 1997): 313-314. Review of Voice and Equality: Civic Voluntarism in American Politics (by Sidney Verba, Kay Lehman Schlozman, and Henry Brady). Political Science Quarterly 111 (Winter 1996-97):706-707. Review of The Voice of the People: Public Opinion and Democracy (by James S. Fishkin). American Political Science Review 90 (September 1996):625-626. Review of Policy and Opinion in the Gulf War (by John Mueller). American Political Science Review 89 (March 1995): 214-215. Review of Manipulation and Consent: How Voters and Leaders Manage Complexity (by David J.

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Elkins). Political Science Quarterly 109 (Spring 1994): 189-191. Review of Race, Class, and Culture: A Study in Afro-American Mass Opinion (by Robert C. Smith and Richard Seltzer). Political Science Quarterly 108 (Spring 1993): 172-173. Review of People, Polls, and Policymakers: American Public Opinion and National Security (by Ronald H. Hinckley). Public Opinion Quarterly 57 (Spring 1993): 121-123. Review of News that Matters: Television and American Opinion (by Shanto Iyengar and Donald R. Kinder). Congress and the Presidency 15 (August 1988): 195-197. Review of Stability and Change in American Politics: The Coming of Age of the Generation of the 1960s (by Michael X. Delli Carpini). Perspective 15 (September/October, 1986): 139-140. Review of The American Ethos: Public Attitudes toward Capitalism and Democracy (by Herbert McClosky and John Zaller). American Political Science Review 79 (September, 1985). Review of The Visual Display of Quantitative Information (by Edward R. Tufte). Political Science Quarterly 99 (Summer, 1984): 369-70. Review of The Confidence Gap: Business, Labor, and Government in the Public Mind (by Seymour Martin Lipset and William Schneider). Political Science Quarterly 99 (Spring, 1984): 102-103. Review of Political Attitudes in America: Formation and Change (by Paul R. Abramson). Political Science Quarterly 98 (Winter, 1983-1984): 694-696. Review of Generations and Politics: A Panel Study of Young Adults and Their Parents (by M. Kent Jennings and Richard G. Niemi). American Political Science Review 77 (June, l983): 470. "Political Psychology Section Doings at the 1996 Meeting of the APSA." The Political Psychologist (Political Psychology Group, American Political Science Association) 2 (Winter 1997):2-3. "Polls Should be Messengers, Not Messages." The Los Angeles Times, December 2, 1996, p.B6 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "On-Line Presidential Documents: User Friendly But Still Incomplete." PRG Report: Newsletter of the Presidency Research Group, The American Political Science Association 17 (Fall 1995): 1,7-10 (with Greg M. Shaw and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Have We Too Much Democracy?" The Los Angeles Times, September 9, 1994 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs).

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"A Day in the Life..." NYAAPOR News (Spring 1993), p.3. "Want to Promote Democracy, Ross?: I'll take `MTV' and `Larry King Live' over the Electronic Town Hall." States and Societies 9 (Summer 1992): 1-2. "What Influences Public Opinion: The News Media and Their Sources." Center for the Social Sciences Newsletter 5 (Spring, 1986): 5-8. Other Selected Papers and Works “The Polls—Trends: Improving Public Education in the United States.” Columbia University, November 2016 (with Oliver McClellan, Anja Kilibarda, and Sofi Sinozich). “American Public Opinion and Partisan Conflict: Education’s Exceptionalism.” Paper presented at “The Politics of Education Policy: An International Perspective,” John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, May 5-6, 2016 (with Anja Kilibarda, Oliver McClellan, and Sofi Sinozich). “Race, Economic Status, and Attitudes Toward Education and Social Welfare Issues.” Paper presented at poster session at “The Politics of Education Policy: An International Perspective,” John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, May 5-6, 2016 (with Oliver McClellan, Anja Kilibarda, and Sofi Sinozich). “Did Hurricane Sandy Damage the Vote? Survey Evidence from New York City.” Paper presented at the at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, August 29- September 1, 2014, Chicago, Illinois (with Narayani Lasala-Blanco and Viviana Rivera-Burgos). “From Depression to Depression? Seventy-five years of Public Opinion Toward Welfare.” Paper presented at the panel on "The Politics of TANF Reauthorization” at the 31st Annual Fall Research Conference of the Association of Public Policy Analysis and Management, November 5-7, 2009, Washington, D.C. “Political Conflict and the Rational Public.” Paper presented at the Annual Conference of the Israel Communication Association, Tel Aviv, Israel, April 13, 2008. “Challenges to Democratic Competence.” Columbia University and Bar Ilan University, January 2008 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Free Hand Abroad, Divide and Rule at Home: The Domestic Politics of Unipolarity.” Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, August 30-September 2, 2007, Chicago, Illinois (with Jack Snyder and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon).

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“Prevention of Terrorism in Post-9/11 America: News Coverage, Public Perceptions and the Politics of Homeland Security.” Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, August 30-September 2, 2007, Chicago, Illinois (with Brigitte L. Nacos and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Public Opinion Polling 1976-Present.” Columbia University, February 2007. “The Threat of International Terrorism after 9/11: News Coverage and Public Perceptions.” , Philadelphia (with Brigitte L. Nacos and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Political Polarization and the Rational Public.” Paper presented at the Annual Conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, May 18-21, 2006 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “Partisan Conflict, Public Opinion, and U.S. Foreign Policy.” Paper presented at the Inequality & Social Policy Seminar, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, December 12, 2005 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). “A Divided Team: Understanding the Underlying Ideology and Content of the Partisan Affiliations of Members of the United States Army.” Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Atlanta, Georgia, 2006. An earlier version was presented at the Biennial International 45th Anniversary Conference of the Inter-University Seminar on Armed Forces and Society, October 21-23, 2005, Chicago, Illinois (with Jason K. Dempsey). “The Army’s Next Generation: The Political and Social Attitudes of West Point Cadets.” Paper presented at the Biennial International 45th Anniversary Conference of the Inter-University Seminar on Armed Forces and Society, October 21-23, 2005, Chicago, Illinois (with Craig P. Cummings and Jason K. Dempsey). “Partisan Conflict in the United States and Prospects for an International Security Order.” Paper presented at the joint conference of the East Asia Institute (Korea), CIDE (Mexico), and the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations (USA), Seoul, Republic of Korea, August 19-20, 2005 (with Yaeli Bloch-Elkon). "Studying the Effect of Elite Leadership on the Public's Policy Preferences and Confidence in Elites with a Split-Ballot Design." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, September 2-5, 2004 (with Craig P. Cummings). "The Supreme Court and Public Opinion: The Impact of Information on Confidence in the Court." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, April 15-18, 2004 (with Craig P. Cummings). Final Report, National Task Force on the Presidency and Public Opinion. Presented at the 10th

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Annual Conference on Presidential Rhetoric, George Bush Presidential Library, Texas A&M University, March 4-7, 2004 (with J. Michael Hogan [chair], George C. Edwards III, Wynton C. Hall, Christine L. Harold, Gerald A. Hauser, Susan Herbst, Ted J. Smith III). "Confidence in Major Companies: A Comparative and Multilevel Approach." Working Paper, Center for International Business Education, Columbia University, December 16, 2003 (with Oscar M. Torres-Reyna and Serban R. Iorga). "Public Opinion, Presidential Persuasion, and Members' Predispositions." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April, 2002 (with Jennifer J. Hora, Lawrence R. Jacobs, Andrea McAtee, Eric Ostermeier, and Terry Sullivant). "Presidents and Polling: Politicians, Pandering, and the Study of Democratic Responsiveness." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., August 30-September 3, 2000 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Credibility of Information Sources on Corporate Performance." Working Paper, Center for International Business Education, Columbia University, January 12, 2000 (with Ronald H. Hinckley, Mariana Servin-Gonzalez, and Serban Iorga). "When Pollsters Speak, Who Believes Them?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, St. Petersburg, Florida, May 13-16, 1999 (with Ronald H. Hinckley). "Political Capital and Political Participation." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 1999 (with Ester R. Fuchs and Lorraine C. Minnite). "Racial and Ethnic and Urban/Suburban Difference in Public Opinion and Policy Priorities: Crime, Drugs, and Justice." Paper presented at the annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 1999 (with Ester R. Fuchs, Lorraine C. Minnite, and Gustavo Cano). "The Public Opinion-Foreign Policy Linkage: U.S. Presidents and Public Opinion." Paper presented at Conference on "Public Opinion, the Mass Media, and European and American Foreign Policy," Columbia University, New York, N.Y., November 19-20, 1998 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "New International Issues and the Mass Media: American and German News Coverage of the Global Warming Debate." Paper presented at Conference on "Public Opinion, the Mass Media, and European and American Foreign Policy," Columbia University, New York, N.Y., November 19-20, 1998 (with Brigitte L. Nacos, Natasha Hritzuk, and Bruce Chadwick). "Presidential Power: Dilemmas of Democracy." Paper presented at the 1998 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, Massachusetts (with Lawrence R. Jacobs).

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"Political Capital and Urban Democracy." Paper presented at the Workshop on Revitalizing Urban Democracy, Russell Sage Foundation, New York, N.Y., April 2-3, 1998 (with Ester R. Fuchs and Lorraine C. Minnite). "The Legacy of the Marshall Plan: American Public Support for Foreign Aid." Paper presented at "The Marshall Plan: 50 Years Later" Conference, February 12-14, 1998, Columbia University and New York University, New York, N.Y. "Myths and Misunderstandings About Public Opinion Toward Social Security: Knowledge, Support, and Reformism." Paper presented at the 10th Annual Conference of the National Academy of Social Insurance, January 29-30, 1998, National Press Club, Washington, D.C. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Pollwatch: The Media's Reporting and Distorting of Public Opinion Toward Entitlements." University of Minnesota and Columbia University. Presented for discussion at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., September 1997 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Myth of Pandering and Public Opinion during Clinton's First Term." Columbia University and the University of Minnesota, January 1997 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion, Democracy, and Foreign Policy." January 1997. Revised version of paper presented at the CERTOSA DI PONTIGNANO INTERNATIONAL "SEMINAR ON PUBLIC OPINION, DEMOCRACY, AND SECURITY POLICY," Pontignano, Italy, October 1996. "Presidents and Their Pollsters." Paper presented at the holiday meeting of New York chapter of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, December 1996, New York, N.Y. "The Annenberg Public Policy Center Poll Watch: The 1996 Presidential Elections." Columbia University and the University of Minnesota, November 1996 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Political Knowledge and Public Opinion Toward Criminal Justice." Paper presented at the 1996 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, Cal. (with Shmuel T. Lock and Michael X. Delli Carpini). "Political Discontent: Reminding the Public What the Federal Government Does--An Experiment." July 1996. Revised version of paper originally presented at the 1996 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill. (with Shmuel Lock and Lawrence R. Jacobs). "A Comparative Perspective on Social Welfare and Unemployment." November 1996. An earlier version of this paper, "The Psychology of Work: A Comparative Perspective on Social Welfare and Unemployment," was originally presented at a poster session at the 1996 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, Cal. (with John S. Lapinski, Charles R.

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Riemann, Matthew F. Stevens, and Lawrence R. Jacobs). This research is based on a larger report, "Social Welfare, Unemployment, and Well-Being," for the International Labour Office. "The Media's Persuasive Influence on Public Opinion: The Case of Social Security." Paper presented at the 1995 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill. (with David P. Fan, Lawrence R. Jacobs, and Mark D. Watts). "Congressional Perceptions of Public Opinion and Health Reform." Paper presented at the 1995 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs, Eric D. Lawrence, and Steven S. Smith). "Dimensions of Satisfaction Among Columbia College and Engineering and Applied Science Students." Report to the Office of the Provost, supported by the Center for the Social Sciences and the Office of the Dean, Columbia College, Columbia University, July 1995 (with John S. Lapinski and Charles R. Riemann). "Influences on Public Opinion Toward Health Care Policy." Paper originally presented at the 1995 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs and Lynn K. Harvey); revised and presented at seminars and workshops at the Department of Political Science, University of Chicago; the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University; the Annenberg School of Communication, University of Pennsylvania; and the Center for the Social Sciences, Columbia University. "The News Media's Coverage of Social Security, 1977-94." March 1995. A Report to the National Academy of Social Insurance (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion Toward Social Security." October 1994. A Report to the National Academy of Social Insurance (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Disorganized Democracy: The Institutionalization of Polling and Public Opinion Analysis during the Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon Presidencies." Presented at the 1994 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York, N.Y. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Influences on Public Opinion Toward Health Care Policy: Self-Interest and Collective Concern." August 1994 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs and Lynn K. Harvey). "Lyndon Johnson, Vietnam, and Public Opinion: Rethinking Realist Theory of Leadership." Presented at the 1994 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion in President Clinton's First Year: Leadership and Responsiveness." Presented at the conference on "The Clinton Presidency: Campaigning, Governing, and the Psychology of Leadership," the Graduate School and University Center of the City University of New York, New

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York, November 18-19, 1993 (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Studying Substantive Democracy: Public Opinion, Institutions, and Policymaking." Presented at the 1993 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Public Presidency, Private Polls, and Policymaking: Lyndon Johnson." Presented at the 1993 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion and Health Care: Individualism, Government, and the Market." Presented at the 1993 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Leadership in a Liberal Democracy: Johnson's Private Polls and Public Announcements." Presented at the 1993 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Public Opinion, Institutions, and Government Responses to Poverty." Presented at the NBER Pre- Conference: Extreme Poverty in Wealthy Industrialized Countries, Russell Sage Foundation, New York, January 21-22, 1993 (with Sunita Parikh and Scott Spitzer). "Leadership and Responsiveness: Some New Evidence on the Johnson Presidency." Presented at the 1992 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). Received Best Paper Award, Presidency Research Group, American Political Science Association, 1993, for paper presented at the 1992 annual meeting. "Public Decisions, Private Polls: John F. Kennedy's Presidency." Presented at the 1992 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Democracy, Leadership, and the Private Polls of Presidents Kennedy and Johnson: Beginnings during the Kennedy Campaign." Presented at the 1991 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C. (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "Democracy and Leadership: The Case of John F. Kennedy's Private Polls." Presented at the 1991 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Lawrence R. Jacobs). "The Impact of the Media on Candidate Support in Presidential Primary and General Elections." Presented at the 1990 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco (with J. Young, K. Patterson, J. Blumenfeld, S. Farkas, S. Offenhartz, T. Tsekerides). "The Dynamics of Public Opinion and Policy." Presented at the 1990 annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Lancaster, Pennsylvania (with Steve Farkas

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and Benjamin I. Page). "Media Influences on Candidate Support in Primary Elections: Theory, Method, and Some Further Findings." Presented at the 1990 annual meeting of the World Association for Public Opinion Research, Lancaster, Pennsylvania (with J. Young, K. Patterson, J. Blumenfeld, S. Offenhartz, and T. Tsekerides). "Media Influences on Candidate Support in Primary Elections." Presented at the 1990 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with J. Young, K. Patterson, J. Blumenfeld, S. Offenhartz, and T. Tsekerides). "Business Influence on Corporate Taxation in the United States." Presented at the 1989 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Atlanta (with Dennis P. Quinn). "Profile of Dropouts and Attenders in a Family Support Group." Presented at the 1989 annual meeting of the American Psychiatric Association, San Francisco (with M. De Florio, S. Cole, S. Simmons, S. Barr, and D. Wu). "Democracy, Information, and the Rational Public." Presented at the 1988 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C. (with Benjamin I. Page). "The 1988 Presidential Election: Media and Momentum." Columbia University, 1988. Revised version of a paper presented at the Columbia University Research Institute on International Change seminar series, New York. "The Impact of the Media on Candidate Support in the 1984 Democratic Primaries." Columbia University, 1988. Revised version of a paper presented at the 1987 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with John T. Young, Douglas A. Cifu, and Kelly D. Patterson). "Economic Status and Other Influences on Public Opinion Toward Social Welfare Policies." Presented at the 1986 annual meeting of the Northeastern Political Science Association, Boston (with Kelly D. Patterson and John T. Young). "The Dynamics of Public Opinion Toward Social Welfare Policy." Presented at the 1986 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C. (with Kelly D. Patterson). "What Moves Public Opinion." Presented at the 1985 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New Orleans (with Benjamin I. Page and Glenn R. Dempsey). "The Mass Media Do Affect Policy Preferences." Presented at the 1985 annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, McAfee, N.J. (with Benjamin I. Page and

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Glenn R. Dempsey). "Subgroup Trends in Policy Choices: A Preliminary Report on Some Theories and Findings." Presented at the 1984 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Benjamin I. Page). "Television News and Changes in Americans' Policy Preferences." Presented at the 1984 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Benjamin I. Page and Glenn R. Dempsey). "The Mass Media and Changes in Americans' Policy Preferences: A Preliminary Analysis." Presented at the l983 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago (with Benjamin I. Page). "Polling the Pollsters: The Less Famous National Opinion Surveys," NORC, 1982 (with Glenn R. Dempsey). THE DYNAMICS OF PUBLIC OPINION AND PUBLIC POLICY. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Chicago, Department of Political Science, l982. "Comparative Political Development:Theory, Research, and Change," University of Chicago, 1980.