ROADMAP FOR FINALISING SOUTH AFRICA’S INTENDED NATIONALLY

DETERMINED CONTRIBUTIONPORTFOLIO COMMITTEE

MARCH 2015

UNFCCC DECISION – 1CP20• Reiterates the invitation to communicate to the Secretariat

its intended nationally determined contribution (INDC) towards achieving Article 2 of the Convention

• Agrees that each Party’s INDC will represent a progression beyond the current undertaking of the Party

• Parties to consider communicating their undertakings in adaptation planning or consider including an adaptaiton component in their INDC

• Communicate INDCs well in advance of COP 21 (by the first quarter of 2015 by those Parties ready to do so)

• Information to be provided may include ……. • Requests the secretariat to: (i) publish INDCs on UNFCCC

website; (ii) prepare by 1 Nov 2015 a synthesis report on the aggregate effect of the INDCs communicated by Parties by 1 Oct 2015

Framework for SA’s INDCSingle submission covering adaptation & mitigation

Table of contents:•South Africa’s socio-economic and development context and priorities•Overview of: – SA’s vulnerability to the impacts of climate change (based

on the Long Term Adaptation Scenarios)– SA’s greenhouse gas emissions profile (based on 2000 –

2012 ghg inventory), and an overview of high profile programmes that have been implemented to reduce South Africa’s emissions

Adaptation elements of INDC

• Overview of likely impacts in key sectors (water, agriculture, health, biodiversity, human settlements) under different global ghg emission scenarios: short, medium and long term (based on Longterm Adaptation Scenarios)

• Overview of economic implications of these impacts• Portfolio of adaptation programmes:5 – 10 years • Quantified review of adaptation investments made

in the last 5 years

Mitigation elements of the INDC

• Confirmation of South Africa’s commitment to reduce GHG emissions by 34% and 42% against BAU emissions by 2020 and 2025 respectively

• Desired emission reduction outcomes and carbon budgets will be designed so annual emissions fall within the PPD; Aiming for the midpoint of the PPD range

• Designing a system to implement the PPD range, with 5 year cycles of 2016 – 2020; 2021 – 2025; 2026 – 2030; 2031 – 2035;

Technical work – for consultation process

• Concurrent with consultation process on the design of the emission reduction system

• This requires finalisation of technical work on design of emission reduction system, including “design of c-budgets” and alignment with carbon tax, including agreement with Treasury.

INDC Consultation processFeb 2015: •Engagement with Business and other Stakeholders on discussion documents on: (i) mix of measures / instruments to achieve emission reductions; (ii) design of desired emission reduction outcomes; (iii) carbon budget design

Mar 2015: -Briefing with Portfolio Committee on report back from COP 20 (Lima), preparatory process for COP 21 (Paris) and roadmap for SA’s intended nationally determined contribution (INDC)-meeting with National Committee on Climate Change to present: (i) report back from COP 20 Lima; (ii) overall approach to SA INDC; (iii) preparatory process for COP 21 Paris-Discussion with Business on: (i) report from COP 20 Lima; (ii) overall approach to SA INDC; (iii) preparatory process for COP 21 Paris-Focused meetings with stakeholder groups on the design of the emission reduction system (including carbon budgets / carbon tax alignment, regulations on GHG pollution prevention plans in term of the Air Quality Act (AQA); and regulations on reporting of GHG emissions ito AQA (continues to May 2015)

INDC Consultation Process (2)April 2015: -Finalisation of discussion document on SA intended nationally determined contribution-Discussion with key government departments on the emission reduction system (DTI, DOT, EDD, DMR, DOE)

May 2015:-Briefing for Portfolio Committee on Environmental Affairs-Focused meetings with stakeholder groups on the SA’s INDC-Presentation of emission reduction system to Economic Cluster

June 2015:•Further stakeholder engagement (at provincial level) on preparations for COP 21, status of negotiations; key elements of SA’s position, and SA’s INDC