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Risk Management Risk Management Through Governance Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

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Page 1: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Risk Management Risk Management Through GovernanceThrough Governance

S.RameshManaging Director

Gaia Advisors

Sa-Dhan

Page 2: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Governance is concerned with the system of law,regulations and practice which will promote the enterprise and ensure accountability.

GovernanceGovernance

Pillars of Governance

Transparency Accountability Responsibility Integrity

Constituents Owners Board Managers Employees Other Stakeholders

Page 3: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

3

Key Decisions VariablesKey Decisions Variables

Profitability & Market Value

Capital AccountManagement

Productivity/Cost & Operational Risk

Interest Rate & Other Market Risks

Credit RiskManagement

Liquidity Risk Management

Page 4: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Appropriate BalanceAppropriate Balance-- Expected Profits and Risk Expected Profits and Risk

4

Expected profits

Solvencyrisk

Creditrisk

Operationalrisk

Interestrate risk

Liquidity andfunding risk

Technologyrisk

Foreigncurrency risk

Overheadrisk

Marketrisk

Reputationrisk

Inflation risk

Regulatoryrisk

Page 5: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Risk categories and their importance Risk categories and their importance for MFIfor MFIRisk categories Rating

Credit Loan portfolio risk XXXXX

Interbank risk XX

Market Interest rate risk XXXX

Currency risk

Liquidity Liquidity risk XXXXX

Other risk Performance risk XXXXX

Compliance risk XXXXX

Reputation risk XXXX

Country risk

Operational risk Operational risk XXXXX

Page 6: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Operational risk is every MFI's Operational risk is every MFI's greatest fear.greatest fear.

Staff

Control Failures

Compliance

Rapid Expansion Legal

Multiple Financing

FraudInformation Technology

Management System Failures

Disbursements / Re payments

Human Error

PremisesBusiness Continuity

Credit Risk

Market Risk

Page 7: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

• Circumstances that have been identified and if left unattended may lead to a loss in the future, example : technology

• Happening or occurrences that are indicative of the underlying risk, they might have resulted in an economic loss, but did not, example : large cash balances; no monetary loss yet

• Incidents that resulted in a monetary loss Example: Small frauds

Operational RiskOperational Risk

Page 8: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

OR can arise fromOR can arise from::

Internal and external fraud

Failure to comply with laws or meet workplace safety standards

Policy breaches

Failure to meet regulatory requirements

Personnel risks

Damage to physical assets

Business disruptions

Transaction processing failures (execution, errors)

Failure of internal controls and corporate governance

Page 9: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

But how do you define, analyze and But how do you define, analyze and solve a potential problem before it has solve a potential problem before it has even arisen? even arisen? “ Operational Risk is the risk of loss resulting from

inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events”

People Process Technology ReputationOperating Environment

Page 10: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

But how do you define, analyze and But how do you define, analyze and solve a potential problem before it has solve a potential problem before it has even arisen? even arisen?

Systems LegalExternal Events Includes legal risk but excludes strategic risk

Page 11: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Operational risk (OR) – People RiskOperational risk (OR) – People Risk

OR is more than people and technology risk. It encompasses all the hidden dangers that do not come under the umbrella of market or credit risk.

People: Positing of Staff in Key Areas

Competency of Staff

Insufficient training,

negligence, integrity, etc.

Work Environment

Employee Motivation

HR initiatives

Frequency and impact of staff turnover/rotation

Page 12: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Operational risk (OR) – Process RiskOperational risk (OR) – Process Risk

Transaction risk:

◦ Operational Manual to execute Transaction◦ Frequency of execution of errors in transactions◦ Business volume fluctuation/ concentration◦ Organizational complexity◦ Product complexity, and major changes

Operational Control risk

◦ Frequency of Violation of operational controls ( exceeding limits, powers)

◦ Efficiency of information flows◦ Frequency of operational disruption◦ Operational Control: inadequate segregation of duties ◦ lack of management supervision◦ inadequate procedures.◦ Risk due to loose security at operational points ( overnight cash)

Page 13: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Operational risk (OR) – Technology RiskOperational risk (OR) – Technology Risk

Technology: Poor technology and Partial /disconnect computerization

Obsolete applications

lack of full automation for consolidation and /or accounts and Operations

MIS complexity, poor design, development and testing.

Systems failure

Volume of transaction Vis-a- Vis level of system development and capacity

Level of Manual intervention required to process transactions

Validity of IT systems

IT related frauds

Page 14: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Operational risk (OR) – Operational risk (OR) –

Reputation risk Customer perception of the Company/MFI Mostly dependent of Field officer Individual is recognized than the institution by the customer Public /Politicians perception of MFIs

Operating Environment Unanticipated changes in external environment Multiple lending Macro Economic Factors like loan waiver, low fund flow to MFIs

leading to failure to keep up commitments to customers

Page 15: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Operational Risk - Operational Risk - 7 OP Risk types7 OP Risk types

Internal Fraud

External Fraud

Employment Practices

Professional Practices

Loss/Damage to assets

Business disruption & system failures

Transaction processing risk

Page 16: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Change

Complacency

Complexity Sources

Operational Risk

Categories

People Process

Technology

Internal External

Interconnection of Operational Risks

Dependencies

Connectivity of

Operational Risk

Exposure

Likely driversof Operational

Risk associated with each

Operational RiskCategory

Page 17: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Risk types contd…Risk types contd…

Internal fraud: intended to defraud, misappropriate property, employee theft

External fraud: robbery, forgery, Collusion.

Employment practices and workplace safety: workers compensation claims, organized labor activities likely

Business disruptions and system failures: hw. and sw. failure.

Execution, delivery and process management: data entry errors, incomplete legal documentation, unapproved access given to client accounts.

Page 18: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

How can we addressing Operational How can we addressing Operational Risk?Risk?

Transfer the risk to another party (e.g. through insurance)

Accept and manage the risk through effective management monitoring and control

Put appropriate fall-back plans in place to reduce the impact in case of an operational failure.

Least- Avoid the risk by withdrawing from a business activity

Page 19: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

OR ManagementOR Management

Risk Management systems-adequacy, demarcation of responsibilities, day-to-day supervision

Areas- Cash management, internal control & housekeeping, AML controls

Robust internal control-Effective internal Inspection/AuditKYC & AML measures-emphasis

Page 20: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

ORM Practices should be based on policy duly ORM Practices should be based on policy duly approved at the board level that describes approved at the board level that describes the processes involved in controlling OR.the processes involved in controlling OR.

Clear strategies and oversight by the Board: Board of Directors should approve and review the MFIs ORM framework.

Internal Control System: ORM framework is subject to effective internal audit by operationally independent and competent staff.

Strong Operational Risk Culture: ORF should be implemented throughout the whole organization, all levels of staff should understand their responsibilities.

Contingency Planning: MFIs should have contingency and business continuity plans to operate on an ongoing basis and limit losses.

Effective internal reporting: Senior management have responsibility for developing policies, processes and procedures for managing OR.

Page 21: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Issues in ORMIssues in ORM

Qualitative vs Quantitative approach Mapping of existing business lines to the

standard business lines Data collection

Proper identification of key risk indicators Monitoring of databases Gathering loss data Estimating frequency/severity of loss

Quality of data Cost/technology implications Overlap with Credit and Market Risk

Page 22: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Distribution of Operational LossesDistribution of Operational Losses

Magnitude of loss

Like-lihood

of Loss

Expected Loss-Loss Prov.

Absorbed

Unexpected Loss -Op. Risk

Capital

Catastrophic Loss -Risk financing using

Core Capital

Page 23: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Expected LossExpected Loss

Expected Loss (EL) - likelihood of failure and

likely loss severity given that a failure occurs

Exposure Indicator (EI) - proxy for the size of a

particular business line’s OR exposure Probability of loss Event (PE) - probability of occurrence of loss event Loss Given that event (LGE) - proportion of transaction or exposure that would be expressed as loss, given the default

EL = EI X PE X LGE

Page 24: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

CONCLUSION-CONCLUSION-

DEFINEMONITORMEASUREMITIGATE

Page 25: Risk Management Through Governance S.Ramesh Managing Director Gaia Advisors Sa-Dhan

Thanks!!! Thanks!!!

[email protected]@gaiaadvisors.com