10
RESEARCH AND PRACTICE Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a Multisite Case Control Study Jacquelyn C. Campbell, PhD, RN. Daniel Webster. ScD. MPH, Jane Koziol-McLain, PhD. RN. Carolyn Block. PhD. Doris Campbell, PhD. RN. Mary Ann Curry. PhD. RN, Faye Gary, PhD, RN, Nancy Glass. PhD, MPH, RN. Judith McFariane, PhD. RN, Carolyn Sachs, MD, MPH, Phyllis Sharps. PhD. RN, Yvonne Ulrich, PhD, RN. Susan A. Wilt. DrPH. Jennifer Manganello, PhD. MPH, Xiao Xu. PhD. RN, Janet Schollenberger. MHS, Victoria Frye. MPH. and Kathryn Laughon. MPH Femicide. the homicide of women, is the lead- ing cause of deatli in the United States among young African American women aged 15 to 45 years and the seventh leatling cause of premature death among women overall.' American women are killed hy intimate part- ners (husbands, lovers, ex-husbands, nr ex- lovers) more often than by any other type of perpetrator,^^ Intimate partner homicide ac- counts for approximately 40*'/(i to 50"/i) of US femicides but a relatively small proportion of male homicides (5.9%).''^"'*' The percentage of intimate partner homicides involving male victims decreased between 1976 and 1996. whereas the percentage of female victims in- creased, from 54"/() to 72%"' The majority (67%-80%) of intimate pait- ner homiddas involve physical abuse of the female by the male before tlie murder, no matter which partner is killed.'''^'^'""'^ There- fore, one of the major ways to decrease inti- mate partner homicide is to identify and in- tervene willi battered women at risk, Tlie objective of this study was to specify the risk factors for intimate partner femicide among women in violent relationships with tlic aim of preventing this form of mortality. METHODS An ll-dty case-control design was used; fpmicide victims wore cases {n = 220), and randomly identified abused women residing in the same metropolitan area were control women (n=343). Co-investigators at each site collaboi-ated with domestic violence advo- cac)-, law enforcement, and medical examiner offices in implementing the study. Sampling quotas for cases and control women in eadi cily were proportionately calculated so that the dties with the liighest annual femidde rates included the largest number of cases and contrx)! women. Objectives. This 11-city study sought to Identify risk factors for femicide in abusive relationships. Methods. Proxies of 220 intimate partner femicide victims identified from police or medical examiner records were interviewed, along with 343 abused control women. Results. Preincident risk factors associated in multivariate analyses with increased risk of intimate partner femicide included perpetrator's access to a gun and previous threat with a weapon, perpetrator's stepchild in the home, and estrangement, espe- cially from a controlling partner. Never living together and prior domestic violence ar- rest were associated with lowered risks. Significant incident factors included the vic- tim having left for another partner and the perpetrator's use of a gun. Other significant bivariate-levei risks included stalking, forced sex. and abuse during pregnancy. Conc/tisions. There are identifiable risk factors for intimate partner femicides. {Am J Public Health. 2003:93:1089-1097) FemJcide Cases All consecutive femicide police or med- ical examiner records from 1994 through 2000 at each site were examined to assess victim-perpetrator relationships. Cases were eligible if the perpetiator was a current or former intimate partner and the case was designated as "closed" by the police {suicide by the perpetrator, arrest, or adjudication, depending on the jurisdiction). Records were abstracted for data specific to the homicide. At least 2 potential proxy informants, indi- viduals knowledgeable about the victim's re- lationship with the perpetrator, were identi- fied from the records. The proxy who. in the investigator's judgment was the most knowl- edgeable source was then sent a letter ex- plaining the study and including researcher contact information. If no communication was initiated hy the proxy, study personnel at- temjjted telephone or (in the few cases in which no telephone contact was possible) per- sonal contact If the first proxy was not knowledgeable about details of the relationship, she or he was asked to identify another willing potential proxy infomiant. When a knowledgeable proxy was found, informed consent was ob- tained. In 373 of the 545 (68%) total femi- dde cases abstracted, a knowledgeable proxy was identified and located. In 82"/o (307/ 373) of these cases, proxies agreed to partici- pate. Two exdusion criteria, age (18-50 years) and no previous abuse by the femidde perpetrator, resulted iji the elimination of 87 additional cases (28.3% of 307 cases), with 59 {19.2^/11 of 307 cases) eliminated solely as a result of the latter criterion. Researchers and doctoral students experi- enced in working with victinvs of domestic vi- olence conducted telephone or in-person in- terviews in English or Spanish; interviews were 60 to 90 minutes in duration. Both proxies and abused control women were ex- duded if they could speak neither English nor Spanish, Abused Control Women Stratified random-digit dialing (up to 6 at- tempts per number) was used to select women aged 18 to 50 years who had been involved "romantically or sexually" in a rela- tionship at some time in the past 2 years in the same dties in which Uie femicides oc- curred. A woman was considered "abused" if she had been physically assaulted or threat- ened with a weapon by a current or fonner intimate partner during the past 2 yetu-s; we July 2003, Vol 93, No. 7 | American Journal of Public Health Campbell et at. \ Peer Reviewed | Research anfl Practice | 1089

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Page 1: Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a

RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships:Results From a Multisite Case Control Study

Jacquelyn C. Campbell, PhD, RN. Daniel Webster. ScD. MPH, Jane Koziol-McLain, PhD. RN. Carolyn Block. PhD. Doris Campbell, PhD. RN. Mary AnnCurry. PhD. RN, Faye Gary, PhD, RN, Nancy Glass. PhD, MPH, RN. Judith McFariane, PhD. RN, Carolyn Sachs, MD, MPH, Phyllis Sharps. PhD. RN,Yvonne Ulrich, PhD, RN. Susan A. Wilt. DrPH. Jennifer Manganello, PhD. MPH, Xiao Xu. PhD. RN, Janet Schollenberger. MHS, Victoria Frye. MPH.and Kathryn Laughon. MPH

Femicide. the homicide of women, is the lead-ing cause of deatli in the United States amongyoung African American women aged 15 to45 years and the seventh leatling cause ofpremature death among women overall.'American women are killed hy intimate part-ners (husbands, lovers, ex-husbands, nr ex-lovers) more often than by any other type ofperpetrator,^^ Intimate partner homicide ac-counts for approximately 40*'/(i to 50"/i) of USfemicides but a relatively small proportion ofmale homicides (5.9%).''^"'*' The percentageof intimate partner homicides involving malevictims decreased between 1976 and 1996.whereas the percentage of female victims in-creased, from 54"/() to 72%"'

The majority (67%-80%) of intimate pait-ner homiddas involve physical abuse of thefemale by the male before tlie murder, nomatter which partner is killed.''' ' '""' There-fore, one of the major ways to decrease inti-mate partner homicide is to identify and in-tervene willi battered women at risk, Tlieobjective of this study was to specify the riskfactors for intimate partner femicide amongwomen in violent relationships with tlic aimof preventing this form of mortality.

METHODS

An ll-dty case-control design was used;fpmicide victims wore cases {n = 220), andrandomly identified abused women residingin the same metropolitan area were controlwomen (n=343). Co-investigators at each sitecollaboi-ated with domestic violence advo-cac)-, law enforcement, and medical examineroffices in implementing the study. Samplingquotas for cases and control women in eadicily were proportionately calculated so thatthe dties with the liighest annual femidderates included the largest number of casesand contrx)! women.

Objectives. This 11-city study sought to Identify risk factors for femicide in abusiverelationships.

Methods. Proxies of 220 intimate partner femicide victims identified from police ormedical examiner records were interviewed, along with 343 abused control women.

Results. Preincident risk factors associated in multivariate analyses with increasedrisk of intimate partner femicide included perpetrator's access to a gun and previousthreat with a weapon, perpetrator's stepchild in the home, and estrangement, espe-cially from a controlling partner. Never living together and prior domestic violence ar-rest were associated with lowered risks. Significant incident factors included the vic-tim having left for another partner and the perpetrator's use of a gun. Other significantbivariate-levei risks included stalking, forced sex. and abuse during pregnancy.

Conc/tisions. There are identifiable risk factors for intimate partner femicides. {Am JPublic Health. 2003:93:1089-1097)

FemJcide CasesAll consecutive femicide police or med-

ical examiner records from 1994 through2000 at each site were examined to assessvictim-perpetrator relationships. Cases wereeligible if the perpetiator was a current orformer intimate partner and the case wasdesignated as "closed" by the police {suicideby the perpetrator, arrest, or adjudication,depending on the jurisdiction). Records wereabstracted for data specific to the homicide.

At least 2 potential proxy informants, indi-viduals knowledgeable about the victim's re-lationship with the perpetrator, were identi-fied from the records. The proxy who. in theinvestigator's judgment was the most knowl-edgeable source was then sent a letter ex-plaining the study and including researchercontact information. If no communication wasinitiated hy the proxy, study personnel at-temjjted telephone or (in the few cases inwhich no telephone contact was possible) per-sonal contact

If the first proxy was not knowledgeableabout details of the relationship, she or hewas asked to identify another willing potentialproxy infomiant. When a knowledgeableproxy was found, informed consent was ob-tained. In 373 of the 545 (68%) total femi-

dde cases abstracted, a knowledgeable proxywas identified and located. In 82"/o (307/373) of these cases, proxies agreed to partici-pate. Two exdusion criteria, age (18-50years) and no previous abuse by the femiddeperpetrator, resulted iji the elimination of 87additional cases (28.3% of 307 cases), with59 {19.2 /11 of 307 cases) eliminated solely asa result of the latter criterion.

Researchers and doctoral students experi-enced in working with victinvs of domestic vi-olence conducted telephone or in-person in-terviews in English or Spanish; interviewswere 60 to 90 minutes in duration. Bothproxies and abused control women were ex-duded if they could speak neither Englishnor Spanish,

Abused Control WomenStratified random-digit dialing (up to 6 at-

tempts per number) was used to selectwomen aged 18 to 50 years who had beeninvolved "romantically or sexually" in a rela-tionship at some time in the past 2 years inthe same dties in which Uie femicides oc-curred. A woman was considered "abused" ifshe had been physically assaulted or threat-ened with a weapon by a current or fonnerintimate partner during the past 2 yetu-s; we

July 2003, Vol 93, No. 7 | American Journal of Public Health Campbell et at. \ Peer Reviewed | Research anfl Practice | 1089

Page 2: Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a

RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

identified episodes of abuse with a tnodifiedvei-sion of the Conflict Tactics Scale withstalking items added."'"*

English- and Spanish-speaking teleplioneinterviewers employed by an experiencedtelephone survey firm completed sensitivityand safety protocol training.'^ A total of 4746women met the age and relationship criteriaanti wrre read the consent statement. Amongthese women, 3637 (76.6%) agreed to partic-ipate, 356 (9,8%) of whom had been physi-cally abused or threatened with a weapon bya current or recent intimate partner. Thirteenabused control women were exduded fromthe ajialysis because they reported tliat tlieinjuries from their most severe incident ofabuse were so severe that they thought theycould have died.

Risk Factor Survey InstrumentTbe Interview induded previously tested

instruments, such as the Danger Asst ss-ment,"^''' and gathered information on demo-graphic and relationship characteristics, in-cluding type, frequency, and severity ofviolence, psychological abuse, and harass-ment; alcohol and drug use; and weaponavailability. The Danger Assessment hadbeen ti-ansiated to and \'a!idated in Spanish inearlier research; the remainder of the surveywas translated and back-translated by ourSpanish-speaking intm-viL-wers and by projectstaff in Houston. Los Angeles, and New York.A factor analysis of the risk items was used incon.structing scales measuring |)ailners' con-trolling and stalking behaviors, Each scalewas internally consistent (a=.83 and .75,re.spectively).

Data AnalysisLogistic regression was used to estimate

the independent associations between eachof the hypothe,sized risk factors and the riskof intimate partner femidde. Because the im-portance of certain risk faetors may not bedetecteil when tlioir effects ari mediated bymore pi-oximal risk factors, we sequentiallyadded blocks of conceptually similar e.xplana-toiy variable,s along a risk factor continuumTTinging from most distal (demographic char-acteri.stics of perpetrators and victims) tomost proximal (e.g., weapon used in tJie femi-cide or mast serious abuse incident). Vari-ables not significantly associated with femi-

cide risk were dropped from subsequentmodels. Model coefficients were exponenti-ated so that they could be interpreted as ad-justed odds ratios (ORs),

RESULTS

Demographic, background, and relation-ship variables that diflerentiated case womenfrom control women in bivariate analyses arepresented in Tables 1 and 2. Table 3 displaysfindings from the series of logistic regressionmodels. The strongest sociodemographic riskfactor (model 1) for intimate partner femicidewas tlie abuser's lack of employment (ad-justed OR=5.09; 95% confidence interval[Cn=2,74, 9.45). Instances in which theabuser had a college education (vs a highschool education) were protective againstfemidde (adjtisted OR=0.31: 95% CI=0.12.0.80), as were instances in which the abuserhad a college degree and was unemployedbut looking for work. Race/ethnicity of"abusers and victims was not independentlyassodated with intimate partner femidde riskafter contrfil for other demographic factors.

When additional individual-level risk fac-tors for homidde were added to the mode!(model 2), both abuser's access to a firearm(adjusted OR = 759: 95% CI = 3.85. 14.99)and abuser's use of illidt drugs (adjustedOR=4.76; 95%CI=2.I9. 10.34) werestrongly assodated with intimate partnerfemidde. although the abuser's excrasive useof alcohol was not. Although the abuser's ac-cess to a firearm increased femidde risk, vic-tims* risk of being killed by their intimatepartner was lower when they lived apart fromthe abuser and had sole access to a firearm(adjusted 0R=0.22), Neither alcohol abusenor drug u.se by the victim was independentlyassodated with her risk of being killed.

Relationship variables were added inmodel 3. Never having lived with tlie abusivepartner significantly lowered women's risk offemidde (OR=0.39; 95% CI=0.16, 0.97).Having been separated from an abusive part-ner after living togetlier was associated witli aliigher risk of femicide (adjusted OR=3.64;95<>/() Cl= 1.71, 778). as was having ever leftor having asked the partner to leave (adjustedOR=3.I9: 95% CI= 1.70, 6.02). Having achild living in tlie bome who was not the abu-

sive partner's biological child more than dou-bled the risk of femidde (adjusted OR=2.23;95%CI=1.13, 4.39), AddiUon of the rela-tionship variables resulted in victims' sole ac-cess to a fiR'arm no longer being staU.sticallysignificant and substantially reduced the ef-fects of abuser's drug use.

Variables related to ahusive partners' con-trolling behaviors and verbal aggression wereadded in model 4. The effects of a highlycontrolling abuser were modified by whetherthe abuser and victim sepai-att d alter livirigtogether The risk of intimate partner femi-dde was increased 9-fold by the romhinationof a highly controlling ahuser and tlie cou-ple's separation after living together (adjustedOR=8.98; 95%CI=3.25, 24.83). f-emidderisk was increased to a lesser degree whenthe abuser was highly controlling but the cou-ple had not separated (adjusted OR=2.90;95% CI= 1.41, 5.97) and when the couplehad separated after living together but theabuser was not liighly contrtilling (adjusted0R = 3.10; 95% Cl= 1.20, 8.05).

Threatening behaviors and stalking wereadded in model 5. Abusers' previous thn;atswith a weapon (adjusted 0R=4,08; 95"AiCI= 1,91. 8.72) and tJircats to kill (adjustedOR=2.60;95%CI=1.24, 5.42) were assod-ated with substantially higher risks for femi-dde. After control for threatening behaviors,there were no significant independent elfcctsof abusers' drug use (0R= i.64; 95"/i) Cl=0.88, 3.04). The effects of high control withseparation (adjusted OR=4.07; 95"/o CI=1.33, 12.4) and access to guns (adjustedOR=5.44; 95%CI=2.89, 10.22), altlioughsubstantially reduced, remained strong

Stalking and threats to harm cliildren andother family members were not indepen-dently associated with intimate partner femi-cide risk after variables had been entered inthe first models. When variables related toprevious physical abase weif included inmodel 6, previous arrest of the abuser for do-mestic violence was awodated with a de-creased risk of intimate partJier femidde (ad-justed OR = 0.34; 95% Cl = O.lfi, 0.7.3). 'Vheassodation between abusers' use of forcedsex on victim,*; and increased intimate partnerfemicide risks approached statistical signifi-cance (adjusted 0R= 1.87; 95% CI=0.97,3.63: P<.07).

1090 I Research ana Practice | Peer Reviewed | Campbell et al. Amerlcart Journal of Public Health | July 2003. Vol 93, No. 7

Page 3: Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a

RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

TABLE 1-Soclodemo^phic Characteristics of Victims and Perpetrators and General Risk

Factors for Homicide, by Group

l ^ , y , meaniSD

Don't ktiow/refused/missing

Race/ethnicity, Ho. (%)

Black/African American

White

Latino/Hispanic

Other

Don't know/retused/fflissing

Education, No. (%)

Less tlian high school

High sctiooi

Some college/trade school

College/trade school

Oon't know/refused/missing

&nployment, No. (%)

Fuii-time

Part-time

Unempioyed, seeking job

Unempioyed, not seekingjob

Don't know/refused/mlssing

income (anntiai household). $,

No. (%)

Less than 10000

10000-19999

20000-29999

30000-39999

40000 Of more

Don't know/refused/missing

Threatened/attempted suicide

Ves

Don't know/rehjsed/missing

Problem alcohol drinker. No. {%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Illicit drug use. No. (%)

Yes

Don't know/retused/missing

Access to a firearm,' No, (%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Nonfatal

Ptiysicat Abuse

|n-343)

Victims

Homicide

(n-220) P

Soclodemographic variables

30.118.6

0

70 (20,6)

157 (46.3)

82 (24,2)

30 (8.9)

4

61 (17.9)

73 (21.5)

109 (32.1)

97 (28.5)

3

179(52,2)

70 (20.4)

40 (11.7)

54 (15,7)

0

67 (21,7)

49 (15,9)

«(13,9)

41 (13.3)

109 (35,3)

34

31,41 7,7

0

104 (47,3)

53 (24.1)

53 (24.1)

10 (4.5)

0

71 (33.2)

59 (27.5)

68 (31.8)

16 (7.5)

6

114 (51,8)

31 (14.1)

12(5.5)

63 (28.6)

0

25 (18,8)

32 (24,1)

20 (15,0)

29 (21.8)

27 (20.3)

87

.081

<,001

<,001

<,001

.005

Perpetrators

Nonfatal

Physical Abuse

(n-343)

31.2 ± 9.2

4

83 (24.3)

153(44.7)

80 (23.4)

26 (7.6)

1

92 (28,0)

91 (27,7)

58 (17.7)

87 (26,5)

15

229 (68,2)

39 (11.6)

25(7.4)

43 (12.8)

7

Geaend vtotence/tiomlcide risk variables

33 (9,6)

0

27 (7,9)

0

49 (14,3)

1

17 (6.0)

2

12 (5.6)

6

36(19.1)

32

48 (25.3)

30

10 (5.0)

19

.091

<.OO1

-002

,996

68 (20.1)

i

106 (30,9)

0

101 (30,4)

11

82 (23.9)

0

Homicide

(n-220)

34.2 ± 8,7

22

107 (48,9)

49 (22,4)

58 (26,5)

5(2.3)

1

70 (48.9)

47 (32.9)

17(11.9)

9(6.3)

77

84 (39,6)

20 (9.5)

13 (6.1)

95 (44,8)

8

45 (25.0)

40

105 (52,0)

18

123 (65.4)

32

143(65.0)

0

/

P

<.OO1

<.OO1

<,001

<.O01

,149

< ^ 1

<,001

<.0Ol

Sontrntffid

/ /

Inddent-Ievel variables were added inmodel 7. Abuser's use of a gun in the worstincident of abuse was associated with a 41-fold increase in risk of femidde after controlfor other risk factors, this effect apparentlymediating the effects of abuser's access to agun, which was no longer significant How-evei", previous threats with a weapon contin-ued to be associated with increased femidderisks {OR=4,41; 95% a = 1.76. 11.06).

When the worst incident of abuse wastriggered by the victim's having left theabuser for another partner or by the abuser'sjealousy, there was a nearly 5-fold increasein femicide risk (adjusted OR = 4.91; 95%Cl=2.42, 9.96). When the incident was trig-gered by the victim's having left the abuserfor any other reason, femicide risks werealso significantly increased (adjusted OR =4,04; 95% CI= 1.80. 9,06), These incident-level effects appear to mediate those i-elatedto highly controlling abusers and separationafter cohabitation.

Each of the models induded in Table 3demonstrated an adequate fit according toHosmer-Lemeshow'^ goodness-of-fit tests.Model 6 correctly predicted the case status of73% of the cases and 93% of the controlwomen. Model 7 correctly predicted the casestattis of 81 % of the cases and 95"/o of thecontrol women.

DISCUSSION

Seventy-nine percent (220/279) of thefemidde victims aged 18 to 50 years and70% of the 307 total femicide cases werephysically abused before their deaths by thesame intimate partner who killed them, incomparison with lO"/o of the pool of eligiblecontrol women. Thus, our first premise, thatphysical violence against the victim is the pri-mary risk factor for intimate partner femicide,was upheld. The purpose of this study, how-ever, was to determine the risk factors that,over and above previous intimate partner vio-lence, are assodated with femidde within asample of battered women. Our analysisdemonstrated that a combination of the mostcommonly identified risk factors for homicide,in conjunction with characteristics specific toviolent intimate relationships, predicted inti-mate partner femidde risks.

July 2003, Vol 93, No. 7 { American Journal of Public Heattii Peer Reviewed | Research and Practice | 1091

Page 4: Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a

RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

TABLE 1-Contfnuetf

Arrest for violent crime. No. (%)

Ves

Don't know/terused/missing

<.0Ol38(11.5)12

43 (21.8)23

Note. The referent time periods for all rish variables were the year previous to the most abusive event for abused control

women and the year previous to Itie temicrde for femicide victims.

'For abused women, gun access was defined as a woman's sole access to a firearm on the basis of her living apart from her

partner and reporling having s gun in the home; gun access for partner was based on reports of his personal ownership of a

firearm or living in a tiousefiold with a firearm.

TTie model-building strategy we used al-lowed for consideration ol' dirferent levels of|)a'vpntion and the degree to which intimatepartner femicides could be prevented hy strat-egies directed al risk factors for homicide ingtmerai. For example, our analysis and thoseof others suggest that increasing emplc^mentopportunities, preventing substance abuse,ami restricting abusers' access to guns can po-tentially reduce both overall rates of homicideand rates of inliniate partner I'emicide.

In comparing our femidde perpetratorswith other abusive men, we found that unem-ployment was tlie most important demo-jiraphic risk factor for acts of intimate partnerfeniicide. In fact abuser's lack of employtnentwas the only demographic risk factor that sig-nificantly predicted femicide risk's after wecontrolled for a comprehensive list of moreproximate risk factors, increasing risks 4-foldrelative to tlie case of employed abusers(model 6), Unemployment appears to under-lie increased nsks often attributed to race/ethnicity, as has been found and reported inother analyses related to violence.' ' "^

'Hie prt'sent results revealed that traits ofperfieti"atoi"s thought to be chai^acteristic of vi-olent criminals in general^' tended to be nomore characteiistic of femicide peqietratorsthan of uther batterera. For instance, in con-trast to results of previous research compar-ing abusers fuid nonabusers,^^ our regressionanalyses showed that arrests for other crimesdid not differentiate femicide perpetratorsfrom por[)etrators of intimate partner vio-lence. .After controlling for other risk factors,prior arrest for domestic violence actually de-creased the risk for femicide. suggesting thatarrest of ahusers piT)tects against future inti-mate partner femidde risks. I^rpetrator drugabuse significantly increased the risk of inti-

mate partner femidde, but only before the ef-fects of previous threats and abuse wei"eadded. Drug abuse, therefore, was assodatedwith patterns of intimate partner abuse thatincrease femicide risks-

Our iterative model-building strategy alsoallowed us to observe whether the effects ofmore proximate risk factoi-s mediate the ef-fects of more distal factors in a manner con-sistent with theory. For example, the 8-fold in-crease in intimate partner femicide riskassociated witli abusers' access to firearms at-tenuated to a 5-fold increase when character-istics of the abuse wei-e considered, includingprevious thi-eats with a weapon on the part ofthe abuser. This suggests that abusers whopossess guns tend to inflid the most severeabuse.

However, consistent with other re-seardi.'''^'^'^'^''''^ gun availability still had sub-stantial independent effects that increasedhomidde risks. As expected, these effectswere due to gun owning ahusere' muchgreater likelihood of using a gun in the worstincident of abuse, in some cases, the actualfemicide, Tbe substantial increase in lethalityassodated with using a firearm was consistentwith the findings of other research assessingweapon lethality. A victim's access to a guncould plausihly reduce her risk of beingkilled, at least if she does not live vnth theabuser. A small percentage (S /o) of both caseand control women lived apart iram theabuser and owned a gun, however, and therewas no clear evidence of protective effects.

Previous arrests for domestic violence wasprotective f^ainst intimate partner femicidein both of tbe final models. In most of thecities where data were collected, there is acoordinated community response to domes-tic violence. Under optimal conditions, such

responses include adequate and swift adjudi-cation, close supervision of parole outcomesthrough periodic court reviews or spedalizedprobation programs, ongoing risk manage-ment for arrested perpetrators and ongoingsafety planning for victims, and close super-vision involving sanctions for batterers whodrop out of mandated intervention pro-grams.''' Under tliese kinds of conditions,arrest can indeed be protective against do-mestic violence escalating to lethality.

Two relationship vanahles remained signif-icant throughout the models. Consistent withearlier research,"^** instances in which acliild of the victim by a previous partner wasliving in the home increased the risk of inti-mate partner fnmicide. Situations in whichthe victim and abuser had never lived to-gether were protective, validating safety ad-vice that battered women have offered tooilier battered women in interview studies. **Women who separated from Uieir abusivepartners after cohabitation experienced in-creased risk of femicide, particularly whenthe abuser was highly controlling. Other stud-ies have revealed the same risks posetl by es-trangement,"'"" but ours further explicatestlie findings by identifying bighly controllingmale partners as [irt'senting the most dangerin this situation. At tlie Lnddent level, wefound that batterers were significantly morelikely to perpetrate homicide if Iheir partnerwas leaving them lor a dilTerent paitner.

TTie bivariate analysis supported earlier ev-idence that certain characteristics nf intimatepartner \iolence are associated with intimatepartner femidde. induding stalking, strangula-tion, forced sex. abuse during pn-gnancy. apattern of escalating severity and frequencyof physical violence, perpetrator suiddaiity,perce|>tion of danger on the part of the vic-tim, and child abuse.'^•"*^"'^^" However,these risk fadors, with the exception of forcedsex. were not associated with inliniate partnerfemicide risk in the multivariate analysis.Many of these characteristics of abuse are as-sotnated witli previous threats with a weaponand previous tlireats to kill tlie victim, factorsthat more closely predid intimate partnerfemidde risks.

This investigation is one of the few studiesof intimate partner femidde to include acontrol population and, to our knowledge.

1092 I Research and Practice | Peer Reviewed I Campbell et al. American Journal of Public Health | July 2003, Vol 93, No. 7

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RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

TABLE 2-Reiationshlp Dynamics, Threatening Behavior, and Abuse Characteristics

Abused Control

Women [n-343)

Relationship vsriatries

Age djflerence, y, mean ± SD

Length of relationship, No. (%)

1 morth or less

1 month to 1 year

1 or more years

Don't know/refused/missing

Relationship partfter. No. (%)

Hiishand

Boyfriend

Ex-husband

Ex-boyfriend

Don't know/reftised/missing

Separated. No. (%)

Ves

Doi't hnow/tefused/missing

Cohabitation, No. {%)

Yes

!n the past year, but not currently

Previously, but not in the past year

Never

Don't know/refused/missing

Biological child(fen) of victim and partner living in the

household, No. {%)

Ves

Ooi't know/refused/missing

Biological child(^n) of victim, and not of partner, living

in thehousetiold,No.(%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

1.1 £ 5.7

5(1.5)

94 (27.5)

243 (71.0)

1

101 (29.7)

86 (25.3)

36(10.6)

117(34.4)

3

117 (34.9)

8

174(50.7)

39(n.4)

11 (3.2)

118(34.7)

1

98 (28.6)

0

60 (17.5)

0

Relationslilp abuse dynamics

Partner controlling behaviors {score > 31, No. {%)

Ves

Partner called victim names to put her down. No. (%|

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

84 (24.5)

164 (47.8)

0

Eienerai vioience/iiomiclde risk variabies

Partner violent outside home, No. (%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Partner threatened to kill woman. No. (%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Partner threatened to kill family, tio. {%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

116(35.5)

16

50(14.6)

1

26 (7.6)

0

Homicide Victims

(11-220)

2.9 ±6.4

0

44(20,0)

176 (80.0)

0

85 (39.0)

65 (29-8)

20 (9.2)

48(22.0)

2

101 (55.2)

37

81 (45.0)

68(37.8)

11(6.1)

20(11.1)

40

73(37.4)

25

82 (38.7)

8

145(65.9)

151 (77.8)

26

102(55.7)

37

142 (73.6)

72 (33.8)

7

P

.001

,023

.005

<,001

<,001

,034

<.0Ol

<.0Ol

<.OO1

<.oai

<.0Ol

<.0Ol

Continued

the first to examine the connection betweenrelationship variables and specific demo-grapliic diaracteristics of victims and perpe-trators. Pferhaps the most important limita-tion of the study is its necciisary reiiance onptx>xy respondents for data rt-garding hy-pothesized risk factors for intimate partnerfemicide cases. Because we obtained datafrom controi women directly, rather thanfrom a proxy, observed differences betweencase anc] conti'ol women may have beenwhoily or partly attributable to tlilTerences inaccuracy of reporting between victims andtheir proxies. To examine tbis issue, we con-ducted a small pilot study comparing re-sponses of victims of attempted femidde andrespoiises of their proxy respondents andfound good agi-eement between summedDanger Assessment scores from the 2sources of information. Furthermore, tlierewas no cleat" tendency for proxies to tmder-rt'pfirt or overreport victims' exposure tospecific risk factors relative to the self-teports of victims themselves.^''

li is also possible that some of the womenwho were excluded fmm this analysis be-cause of no record of previous physical vio-lence were in fact being abused, unknown tothe proxy. However, we found fairly goodcorrespondence witli |K>lice records of previ-ous domestic violence, and, if anything, wefound more loiowledge of previous physicalabuse among proxies tlian among police. Arelated limitation is the relatively lai ge pro-portion of "don't know" responses frotn prox-ies regarding certain hypotliesizcd risk lac-tors of a more personal nature (e,g.. forcedsex). Our decision to treat these "don't know"responses as representing absence of the "ex-posure" produced conservative biases in ourestimates of relationships with intimate part-ner femicide risks. Therefore, we may haveinappropriately failed to reject the null hy-pothesis in the case of some of these vari-ables witli large amounts of missing data andnear-significant associations with intimatepartner femiride risk.

Another limitation was that we excludedwomen who did not reside in large urbanareas (other than Wichita. Kan) and controlgroup women who did not have telephones.We also failed to keep records of exactlywhich proxy intei-views (estimated to be less

July 2003, Vol 93, No. 7 [ American Journal of Public Health Campbell et al. { Peer Reviewed I Researcn ana Practice | 1093

Page 6: Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a

RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

TABLE 2-Continued

Partner threatened woman with a weapon, No. (%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Partner tfirealened to harm children, No. (%)

Vfes

Don't know/refused/missing

Stalking behavior (score >3}, No, (%)

YBs

Don't know/refusetl/missing

16 (4.7)

0

4(1.2)

7

21(6.1)

0

Characteristics ot physical violence

Increase in frequency, No, (%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Increase in severity. No. (%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Partner tried to choke (strangle) woman, No, (%)

Don't know/refused/missing

Forced sex, No. {%)

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Abused during pregnancy (ever). No, (%)

Yes

No or never been pregnant

Don't know/refused/missing

Partr er arrest previously for domestic violence. No,

Yes

Don't know/refused/missing

Gun used. No. {%)

Yes

Partner used alcohol or drugs. No, t%)

Yes

Victim used alcohol or drugs, No. (%]

Yes

Order of protection. No. (%)

Yes

Trigger: jealousy. No. (%)

Yes

No or don't know

Triger: woman leaving, No. {%)

Yes

No or don't know

Trigger: woman has new relationship. No, {%]

Yes

No or don't know

88 (25.7}

5

70 (20,4)

5

34(9.9)

1

51 (14.9)

1

24 (7.0)

319 (93,D)

0

(*)46 (13.9)

12

Incident-level variables

3(0,9}

123(34.6)

44(12.4)

16(4.7)

52(17,1)

291 (82,9)

32 (10,5)

311 (89,5)

7(2.0)

336 (98,D}

I ID (55,3)

21

36 (18.5)

25

47 (21.4)

0

109 (59.9)

38

105 (64.4)

57

84 (56.4)

71

84 (57.1)

73

49 (25.8)

141 (74.2)

30

50 (25,6%)

25

84 (38.2)

133 (60,5)

53 (24,1)

54 (24,5)

85 (38.6)

135 (61.4)

72 (32.7)

148(67.3)

26(11.8)

194 (88,2)

<.OO1

<.0Ol

<.OO1

<.O01

<.0Ol

<.OO1

<.OO1

<.OO1

.003

<.0Ol

<.OO1

<.0Ol

<.0Ol

<,001

<.OD1

<.OO1

Note. Unless otherwise noted, the referent time periods for risk variables were the year previous to the most abusive event for

abused control women and the year previous to the femicide for femicide victims.

than 10% of the total) were conducted inperson rather than by telephone, and thti.swe cannot evaluate the efiects of this sourceof bias. Finally, we have no way to comparethe control women who participated withthose who did not. and womon living in themost dangerotis situations may have beenless likely to participate as control women, [fso, true exposure to the risk factors ol" inter-est among women involved in abusive inti-mate relationships may be greater than ourcontrol data suggest, thus inflating our esti-mates of increased risks associated withthese exposures.

CONCLUSIONS

In light of our flndings, it is important toconsider the role medical professionals mightplay in identifying women at high risk of inti-mate partner femicide. The variables that re-mained significant in model 6 are those mostimportant for identifying abused women atrisk for femicide in the health care systemand elsewhere, whereas those that were sig-nificant in model 7 are partiailarly impoiiantin prevention of the lethal incident itself.When women are identified as abused inmedical settings, it is important to assess per-petrators' access to gun.s and to warn womenof the risk guns present This is e^wciallytrue in the case of women who have beenthreatened with a gtin or another weaponand in conditions of estrangement. Under fed-eral law. individuals who have been con-victed of domestic violence or who are sub-ject to a restraining order are barred fromowning firearms. Judges issuing orders of pro-tection in cases of intimate partner violenceshould consider the heightened risk of lethalviolence associated with abusers' access tofirearms.

Often, battered women like the idea of ahealth care professional nodtying the policefor them; however, with the exception of Cal-ifornia, states do not require health care pro-fessionals to report to the criminal justice sys-tem unless there is evidence of a felonyassault or an injury from an assault. '^""' Instates other than California, the professionalcan offer to call tlie police, but the womanshould have the final say, in that she canbest assess any increased danger that might

1094 I Research and Practice | Peer Reviewed i Campbell et al. American Journal of Public Health I July 2003. Voi 93, No, 7

Page 7: Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a

RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

TABLE 3-Hypottiesfzed Risk Factors for Intimate Partner Femicide Among Women involved

in a Physicaiiy Abusive intimate Relationship Wltiiin the Past 2 Years: Adjusted Odds Ratios

Abuser age

Abuser race/ethnicJty

Abuser ^ucation (reference group:

high school graduates)

Less than high school

Some college

College

Abuser job slalu5 (reference group:

employed lull lime)

Employed parl time

Unemployed, seeking job

Unemployed, not seeking job

Victim age

Victim cace/ethfiicity

Victim education (reference group:

high school graduates)

Less than high scfino)

Some college

College

Victim job status (feference group:

employed f j l l time)

Employed part time

Unemployed, seekingjob

Unemployed, not seekingjob

General risk factors for homicide

Abuser problem drinker

Abuser used illicit drugs

Abuser mental health

Abuser threatened suicide

Abuser hurt pet

Abuser access to gun

Abuser arrest for violent crime

Victim problem drinker

Victim used illicit drugs

Victim sole access to gun

Relationship variables

Married

Divorced

Time in relationship

Cohabitation (reference: living

together during entire past

year)

Living togetha less than 1 year

Previously lived together,

separated at time of

incident

Never lived together

Modell

U O * * '

NS

140

0.72

0,31*

1,61

1,34

5,09* • '

NS

NS

1.61

0.87

0.31* •

0.95

0.13*'*

0.99

Model 2

1.08" •

NS

NSNS

mfJS

6 . 2 7 ' "

NS

NS

0.15*

NS

0.25*

NS

NS

4 . 7 6 ' "

NSNS

NS

7.59* *•

NS

NSNS

0,22*

Model 3

NS

NS

NS

4 ,00" •

NS

NS

0,28*

NS

NS

NS

2,19*

9 , 2 1 " *

N5

NS

NS

NS

NS

3 ,64"

0 J 9 "

Model 4

NS

NS3.24* • •

NS

NS

NS

1.88'

8 , 2 8 ' "

NS

0 .30"

Models

NS

NS

4 .28" *

NS

5,44*"

NS

0.36'

Model 6

f S

NS

4 . 4 2 * "

NS

5 , 3 8 " '

NS

0.34"

Model 7

NS

NS

4.35*

NS

NS

0 . 3 1 "

Continued

result from the police being notified. An ex-cellent resource for referral, shelttT, and in-fonnatioii is Lhe NsUanal Domestic ViolenceHotline (1-800-799-SAFE).

If a woman confides that she is planning toleave her abuser. it Is critical to warn her notto confront him personally with her decision.Instead, she needs to leave when he is notpresent and leave a note or call him later. It isalso dear that extremely controlling abusersare particularly dangerous under conditionsof estrangement A question such as "Doesyour partner try to control all of yotir dailyactivities?" (from the Danger Assessment'^)can quickly assess lliis extienic need for con-trol. Health care professionals can also expe-didously assess whether tlie perpeti-ator is un-employed, whether stepchUdren ai-e presentin the home, and whether tbe perpetrator hasthreatened to kill the victim. Under these con-ditions of extreme danger, it is incumbent onhealth care professionals to be extremely as-sertive with abused women about theii" risk ofhomidde and their need for shelter." •

About the AuthorsJai'ijueli/n C. CumpbeU, Phi/llb Shai-ps. and Kathryuiaughon are with the .'icliool of/Vumng.Jt'lnu' llopkmsUniversity. Hallmtore, Md. Daniel Webster, /enniferManganello. and Janet Sclwllenherger are with IkeBloomberg Schtjol of Ihihlir Ilealih.John'i llnpkin.t VnhI'ersiiif. Jane Koziol-McLain is wiih the School of Nursing..Auckland Vniwrsiiy of Ti-chnology. Auckland. NewZealan<l Carolipi Rebeaa BhKk is with the Illinois Crim-inal Jxislice Informalxon Aiilliority. Chicagn Dons Camp-bell IS with the Collide of Medicine. Umivrsitj/ of Southf-lorida. Tatnpa Mury Ann Curry and Nancy Glasi urewith the Schoitl ufNwsing, Oi-ef-on Health Scimces Vni-versity. Portland. Fat/e Can/ it with the College of Nurs-ing. Univeisity off-lnrida. Came.'sville. Judifh McFarlanrIS with the School of .Wursing. Texw Wnmiti's Uniivrsjly.Houston Camlt/n Sarlvi is wilh the School of Mediiine.Universitj/of California Los Angeles. YmniK Ulrich iswith the Scliool ofNiining, Vniveniti/ of Washington.Seattle. Susan A. Wilt is with the \'ew York City Depart-ment of Health Xiao Xu is with Covttnce Inc. Woihing-ton, DC. Victoria A. Fiye w wiHi St. Luke's Medicat Cen-ter. New York Ci'fy,

He<piestsfor reprinLt sliouid IK smi tofavquelyn C.CampbeU, /•*/), RN. Johns Hopkins Vmvenitii. School ofNursing. 525 N Wolfe St. *-i.W. Baltimore. MU 21205-2110 (e-mail [email protected].

This article was accepted September 23. 2002.

ContributorsJ.C, Canipbiill tlcsignL'd the study and wrote most ofthe introducLoty and Discussion sections, D. Websteranalyzed tlic data, wmtc most of the Ktsuils section,and contribnlpd lo tlie Mi-tliods and DLsaission sec-tifKis, J. Koziiil-Mcl^n vimW Uie Mtilhods sectiun, con-

July 2003, Vol 93, No. 7 1 American Journal of Public Health Campbell et al. I Peer Reviewed 1 Research and Practice I 1095

Page 8: Risk Factors for Femicide in Abusive Relationships: Results From a

RESEARCH AND PRACTICE

TABLE 3-Continued

Victim left or asked abuser to leave

Victim-abusei had biological child

Victim had child by a previous

partner in home

Abuser-victim age difference

Abuser control of victim, verbal

aggression

Calls names

Not high control and separated

after living together

High control and not separated

after living together

High control and separated after

living together

Abuser threats and stalking

Threatened to harm children

•Rireatened to fiami family

Threatened victim with weapon

Threatened to kili victim

Stalking

Physical abuse before worst incident

Abuse increasing in frequency

and severity

Choked (strangled)

Forced sex

Abused when pregnant

Previous an'est for domestic

violence

Incident-level risk factors

Abuser used alcohol or dnjgs

Victim used alcohol or drugs

Abuser used gun

Trigger: jealousy/victim left for

other relationsnip

Trigger: victim left abuser for

other reasons

3 . 2 0 "

NS

2 . 2 3 "

2 . 4 0 "

1.70

NS

1.94' 2.44* 2.35*

NS

NS

3.10* 3,36* 3.64* 3,10*

2.90" 2.09* 2-08' 2.40'

8 .98" ' 4.07* 5.52" 3.43-

NS

NS

4 . 0 8 ' " 3 . 3 8 * " 4 . 4 1 '

2 . 6 0 " 3 . 2 2 " NS

NS

NS

NS1.87

NS

0 . 3 4 "

NS

0.31*

NS

NS

41 .38 "

4 5 1 ' "

4.04*

Note. NS-nonsignificant.

tributrd to llie Results .section, and prepared the tables.J. MariKancllo contributed to tbe data analysis and Ke-siilis sections. All oUicf authors collected dala, con-tributed lo llic inliiKluctory and Discussion sections,and reviewed the article.

Acknowledgmentsi his i*esearch wi\s supported by joint funding from theNational Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism,the National In.stitiitc on Dru^ Abuse, tlif National in-stitute of Mental Health, the National Institutes onAging, the Centei-s for Disease Ccntnsl and lVeventjon.anrf the National Institute of Justice (grunt ROl # DA/AAtll56).

We would like to thank our advocacy, criminal jus-tice, and medical exammer collaborators at each of thesites, along with the women and family members whotold their stories. We a\so thank .Arthur Kellerman,MD, for his wise consultation and original ideas. Fi-nally, we thank the staff of the Data Stat Survey Re-search rirm and Jo F.llen Stinchcomb, Nadiyah John-son, and the many other assistants and students for allof their work.

Human Participant ProtectionInsututional I'eview boaiid approval was obtained fromi ach study site. Informed consent was obtained by tele-phone from all participants who were interviewed

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