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Presented at the International Marine Conservation Congress, Victoria BC, 2011
Citation preview
Response and recovery potential of temperate benthic marine ecosystems
following human disturbance
Sciencedaily.comNationalgeographic.com Sciencedaily.com
Erin McClelland
Janelle Curtis
Chris Wood
Devon Warawa
Katrina Poppe
Fishing DisturbanceKukenthal Peak, NE Atlantic
http://www.whoi.edu Before trawling
After trawling
International conservation concern: (Collie, 2000)
• Reduction of productivity and biodiversity
• Poorly understood indirect effects
• Fishing footprint is expanding
Fishing Disturbance
http://www.whoi.edu (Kukenthal Peak, NE Atlantic)
Before trawling
After trawling
Most widespread anthropogenic disturbance in marine ecosystems
(Watling & Norse 1998; Kaiser et al. 2002)
United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) Resolution 61/105 (2006):
•“…determine whether bottom fishing activities would cause significant adverse impacts” (Paragraph 83)
•“protect vulnerable marine ecosystems, …., from destructive fishing practices” (Paragraph 80)
Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) (2008):•“identify…significant and/or vulnerable marine areas”
(Paragraph 18, Decision IX/20)
•“Identify processes and … activities which have or are likely to have significant adverse impacts…” (Article 7)
Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (2008):
•Significant adverse impacts compromise ecosystem integrity over long- term e.g. >20 years (Paragraph 17)
International Commitments and Technical Advice
Ecosystem Response and RecoveryEc
osys
tem
indi
cato
r
Refe
renc
e st
ate
-5 0 5 10 15 20
Time (years)
Disturbance event
Objectives
Focus:
• Use a meta-analysis to examine the response and recovery of benthic marine ecosystems to anthropogenic activities
• Identify factors that affect recovery time
Temperate and polar areas
Subtidal ecosystemsFishing disturbance
Systematic literature review (1999-2010)
Keywords: “(marine OR deep* OR cold-water OR pelagic OR benth*) AND (ecosystem*) AND (trawl* OR fishing OR fisher* OR dredg*) AND (recover* OR vulnerab*)”
Criteria for analysis:
• Empirical measure(s) of species response
• Means and standard deviations reported
• Temporal or spatial reference site comparison
n = 24/674 studies
Factors Influencing Response and Recovery
CATEGORY CLASS
Duration Single Repeated
Gear Otter trawl Beam trawl Whiting net Scallop dredge Box dredge Clam dredge
Depth (m) <20 20-50 50-80 >80
Substrate Silt Sand Pebble Boulder
Taxa 21 taxa
Habitat Infauna Epifauna Pelagic
Feeding Photo. Filter Grazers Scavengers predators
Mobility Fixed Low Moderate High
Lifespan (yrs) <1 2-5 5-10 10-20 >20
Ecosystem Indicators: Species richness, abundance, and diversity
Meta-analysis: Mixed-effects model
Sum of the weighted effect
size for each comparison
within a class
(Gurevitch & Hedges 1999)
=-
Sum of the variance within a class
Sum of the weighted effect size for each comparison
within a class
2
silt sandExamine weighted
effect size, di* di* = -0.149 ± 0.215
Apply fail-safe test, Nfs(Publication bias)
Nfs=664
Test for homogeneity of variance between
classes,
boulderpebble
di* = -0.411 ± 0.163
di* = -0.128 ± 0.357
di* = 0.120 ± 0.153
Q = 21.62; p<0.05
There is a significant negative response of abundance following fishing in sandy habitats
Example: Is sediment type important in predicting change in abundance?
*bQ
*bQ
Response: All ComparisonsE
ffe
ct S
ize
(di*)
Diversity Species Abundance
Richness
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1.0
-1.2
-1.4
Response: Species RichnessCategory/Class Test Statistic Effect Size 95% CIDuration 2.81
single -0.527 -1.075 – 0.020
repeated -1.142 -1.607 – -0.677
Substrate 2.94 silt -0.335 -1.493 – 0.823
sand -0.670 -1.184 – -0.156
pebble -1.270 -1.899 – -0.641
Depth 1.44 0-20m -0.639 -1.207 – -0.071
20-50m -1.127 -1.738 – -0.516
50-80m -1.103 -1.793 – -0.232
>80m -0.699 -3.175 – 1.777
Gear 10.69 otter trawl -0.023 -0.453 – 0.407
beam trawl -1.471 -2.278 – -0.663
whiting net -0.716 -1.889 – 0.457 clam dredge -0.579 -0.879 – -0.279
box dredge -0.461 -0.913 – -0.008
*bQ
*id
OtterTrawl
BeamTrawl
WhitingNet
ClamDredge
BoxDredge
Effec
t Siz
e (d
i*)
Response: Species Richness
Type of Gear1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
-2.5
Category
Duration 0.11
Substrate 21.62
Depth 12.38
Gear 18.65
Taxa: class 67.63
Position 1.27
Feeding 31.19
Mobility 0.649
Life-span 5.58
*bQ*id*bQ*id*bQ*id*bQ*id*bQ*id
*bQ
Response: Species Abundance
Response: Species AbundanceEff
ect S
ize
(di*
)
Otter Beam Whiting Scallop Clam Box Trawl Trawl Net Dredge Dredge Dredge
Type of Gear0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1.0
-1.2
-1.4
Response: Species Abundance
Silt Sand Pebble Boulder
Substrate
Effec
t Siz
e (d
i*)
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Response: Species AbundanceEff
ect S
ize
(di*
)
0-20m 20-50m 50-80m >80m
Depth0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
*bQ*id*bQ*id*bQ*id
Taxanomic Class: 95%CI
Taxonomic class: 95% CI
Actinopterygii -0.02 -0.314 – 0.275 Gastropoda 0.602 0.164 – 1.039
Agnatha 2.703 -0.062 – 5.467 Holothuroidea 0.38 -0.075 – 0.835
Anthozoa -0.192 -0.557 – 0.173 Hydrozoa 0.251 -0.387 – 0.888
Articulata 0.564 -1.009 – 2.138 Malacostraca -0.374 -0.576 – -0.172
Ascidiacea -0.429 -0.987 – 0.129 Maxillopoda 0.385 -0.524 – 1.294
Asteroidea 0.127 -0.342 – 0.596 Ophiuroidea -0.647 -1.336 – 0.041
Bivalvia -0.128 -0.384 – 0.128 Polychaeta -0.323 -0.553 – -0.092
Cephalopoda 0.462 -1.856 – 2.780 Rhodophyceae -4.04 -5.498 – -2.583
Chondricthyes -0.04 -1.206 – 1.126 Staurozoa 0.47 -1.103 – 2.043
Demospongiae 0.135 -0.652 – 0.922 Stelleroidea 0.153 -0.755 – 1.062
Echinodea -0.523 -1.020 – -0.025
*id
*id
Marlin.ac.uk
UWPhoto.no©Erling Svensenafsc.noaa.gov
Eol.org
Marlin.ac.uk
© OCEANA Juan Carlos Calvín
Response: Species Abundance
Response: Species AbundanceEff
ect S
ize
(di*
)
Photosynth. Filter/ Grazer Scavenger Predator Deposit
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
Recovery
<1year 1-2 years >2years
Observation Time
DiversityRichnessAbundance
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
-0.50
-1.00
-1.50
-2.00
-2.50
Effec
t Siz
e (d
i*)
•Type of fishing gear is an important predictor of species richness and abundance
•Despite 5 years since UNGA 61/105, insufficient data to measure recovery times
• Ecosystem indicators to represent ecosystem state and functionality as a whole
•Need for interim measures to identify and protect VMEs
Concluding Remarks
Collaborators:
Erin McClelland
Janelle Curtis
Chris Wood
Katrina Poppe
Acknowledgements
Special thanks to:
Jim Boutillier
Michael Kaiser
Jon Schnute
Buzz Holling
Funding: International Governance Strategy
Sciencedaily.comNationalgeographic.com Sciencedaily.com
Publication bias arises from a variety of sources:
•Not all published studies are included in the analysis
•Some studies never get published
•Some systems have not been studied
Fail-Safe Number:
To determine if publication bias is a potential problem in our meta-analysis we calculated a fail-safe number for each class and for each category which indicates the weight an additional study would need to be to change a finding of significance
•Large fail-safe numbers mean the finding is not prone to publication bias
•Small numbers mean that there may be publication bias
Fail-safe # =
# comparisons
Sum of the reciprocal of the variances for each comparison
sum of squares of the weighted effect size divided by the critical value of a t-test with significance
level 0.05
Publication Bias: Fail-Safe Number
• Only as good as the studies within the meta-analysis• Other factors we did not measure, nor did the studies we used• Very subject to publication bias which may exaggerate outcomes (We
used ‘Fail safe N’ – see other slide)• Personal bias (we made a-priori search and inclusion criteria to try and
reduce this)• Lack of independence between effect sizes