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RESILIENCE THROUGH ELECTRIC MICROGRID POLICY: DRIVERS, DEMOCRACY, AND LEARNING A dissertation presented by Joshua Ariel Laufer to School of Public Policy and Urban Affairs In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy In the field of Law and Public Policy Northeastern University Boston, Massachusetts December 2019

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Page 1: Resilience through electric microgrid policy: drivers ...m044wr35q/... · RESILIENCE THROUGH ELECTRIC MICROGRID POLICY: DRIVERS, DEMOCRACY, AND LEARNING by Joshua Ariel Laufer ABSTRACT

RESILIENCE THROUGH ELECTRIC MICROGRID POLICY:

DRIVERS, DEMOCRACY, AND LEARNING

A dissertation presented

by

Joshua Ariel Laufer

to

School of Public Policy and Urban Affairs

In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of

Doctor of Philosophy

In the field of

Law and Public Policy

Northeastern University

Boston, Massachusetts

December 2019

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2

RESILIENCE THROUGH ELECTRIC MICROGRID POLICY:

DRIVERS, DEMOCRACY, AND LEARNING

by

Joshua Ariel Laufer

ABSTRACT OF DISSERTATION

Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of

Doctor of Philosophy in Law and Public Policy

in the College of Social Sciences and Humanities of

Northeastern University

December 2019

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ABSTRACT Electric microgrids have become an increasingly attractive technology solution for states

looking to enhance the resilience of critical infrastructure to extreme weather events and climate

change. Although most states have pursued their development, there are significant differences

between states in terms of levels of policy support and planning. What is driving the observed

differences in policy outcomes for states across the U.S.? Furthermore, whether current policies

and patterns of electric microgrid development are working towards or against a more

democratic energy future, and whether state and local governments are learning from each other

in implementing these policies have been underexplored. This dissertation addresses these three

lines of inquiry.

Chapter 1 defines how the electric grid is vulnerable, what electric microgrids are and

how they can mitigate the hazards facing the electric grid, what ownership models exist for them,

and what research questions drive this dissertation. Chapter 2 combines a quantitative analysis of

drivers of adoption and strength of electric microgrid policy with policy sequencing theory.

Chapter 3 explores comparisons of the electric microgrid policies in Massachusetts, New York,

and the largest city within each state to better understand whether they are consistent with the

goals of energy democracy. Chapter 4 takes the same cases in Chapter 3 but compares their

electric microgrid policies to better understand the development of their policies using the

analytical lenses of policy diffusion and policy learning. The combination of locations and

technologies studied herein are unrepresented in their respective literatures. The conclusion

revisits the findings of these chapters, contextualizes them in their respective literatures, and

makes recommendations for future research topics on electric microgrid policy.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I wish to thank my family, friends, and colleagues for all of their support over the years-

long journey that has culminated with this dissertation. My committee members, Professors Joan

Fitzgerald, Jennie Stephens, Laura Kuhl, and Alan Clayton-Matthews all deserve enormous

credit for their guidance, patience, and efforts to make this undertaking possible. In particular, I

want to acknowledge my advisor and chair of my committee, Professor Joan Fitzgerald, for the

countless hours of meetings, conversations, and time spent reviewing my work from start to

finish.

I cannot give enough credit to my loving parents and brother. They were the true

unofficial committee members that served as my sounding board for ideas and helping me

through challenges I faced along the way. The honorable gentlemen of Blue House must be

acknowledged here; you guys are the best. Finally, I want to give a shout out to my girlfriend for

being there for me. You saw in me a tiny potato that could do the thing. My grandfather would

tell me as I grew up that if it couldn’t be done, do it. I hope this serves as evidence of doing it. I

look forward to my post-student life, finding my way to professionally and personally confront

the climate crisis and make the world a more sustainable and loving place for all.

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Table of Contents ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................................... 3 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ............................................................................................................... 4 CHAPTER 1: Introduction .......................................................................................................... 8

Electric Grid Vulnerabilities ........................................................................................................ 8 Electric Microgrid Definition, Operational Considerations, Costs and Benefits, and Ownership Models ....................................................................................................................................... 10 Research Questions ................................................................................................................... 17 Methodology .............................................................................................................................. 17 Policy Contexts of Cases Studied in Chapters 3 and 4 .............................................................. 22

State Policy Context-Massachusetts and New York ......................................................... 22 City Policy Context-Boston and New York City .............................................................. 33

Dissertation Outline ................................................................................................................... 42 CHAPTER 2: Energy Resilience: An Analysis of Drivers of State Electric Microgrid Policy ....................................................................................................................................................... 43

Abstract ...................................................................................................................................... 43 Keywords ................................................................................................................................... 43 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 43 Methodology .............................................................................................................................. 51 Results and Discussion .............................................................................................................. 55 Conclusions and Policy Implications ........................................................................................ 62

CHAPTER 3: Energy Democracy and Electric Microgrid Policy .......................................... 65 Abstract ...................................................................................................................................... 65 Keywords ................................................................................................................................... 65 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 66 Energy Democracy as an Analytical Lens and Frame ............................................................... 69 Methods ..................................................................................................................................... 75 Results ....................................................................................................................................... 76 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................. 84

CHAPTER 4: Decentralizing Energy and Policy: A Study of Electric Microgrid Policy Diffusion ....................................................................................................................................... 89

Abstract ...................................................................................................................................... 89 Keywords ................................................................................................................................... 89

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Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 89 A Review of Policy Learning, Diffusion, and Measuring These Concepts .............................. 93 Methods ................................................................................................................................... 103 Results ..................................................................................................................................... 105 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................... 114

CHAPTER 5: Concluding Analysis ......................................................................................... 116 Bibliography ............................................................................................................................... 119 Appendix A: Chapter 3 Interview Protocol Template ........................................................... 135 Appendix B: Chapter 4 Interview Protocol Template ........................................................... 136

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List of Tables and Figures

Table 1. 1: Interviewee Demographics .......................................................................................... 19 Figure 2. 1: 2009 ............................................................................................................................ 52 Figure 2. 2: 2014 ............................................................................................................................ 53 Figure 2. 3: 2018 ............................................................................................................................ 53 Table 2. 1: Models 1-5 Results ...................................................................................................... 55 Table 2. 2: Population Density and Policy Level .......................................................................... 58 Table 3. 1: Energy Democracy Frameworks and Dimensions ...................................................... 72 Table 3. 2: Energy Democracy Analysis ....................................................................................... 83 Figure 4. 1: Structure of the Policy Diffusion Concept, based on Goertz (2006, 27-67), Maggetti and Gilardi (2016), Problems (and solutions) in the measurement of policy diffusion mechanisms, Journal of Public Policy, Volume 36, Issue 1, Page 92, Reproduced with permission. ................................................................................................................................... 101

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CHAPTER 1: Introduction

This dissertation research focuses on the relationships between policy and the potential

role for electric microgrids in mitigating the disruptive impacts of climate change and extreme

weather events on the electric grid. Electric microgrids provide the unique potential for

combining environmental benefits, enhanced infrastructure resilience, and uninterrupted service

during macrogrid outages into a single system, thus avoiding the risks of exclusively grid-

connected renewable energy, fossil fuel, and energy storage systems that cannot island

themselves (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; Smith and Ton 2013; Vine, Attanasio, and

Shittu 2017). Given the vulnerabilities of the current electric grid to extreme weather events and

outages, cities need to implement solutions like microgrids to enhance the resilience of their

critical infrastructure and communities (Campbell 2012; EOP 2013; Panteli and Mancarella

2015). However, electric microgrids are sufficiently expensive systems, relative to conventional

grid-tied generation, that states have enacted policies to help cities plan and pay for their

deployment (Cook et al. 2018; Kema Inc. 2014).

Electric Grid Vulnerabilities

The US electric grid has over 5,800 major power stations that provide energy to over 144

million end-use customers via more than 450,000 high voltage transmission lines (EOP 2013).

The fact that much of the electric grid is above ground makes it vulnerable to extreme weather

events (EOP 2013; Panteli and Mancarella 2015). Age amplifies the fragility of the system to

severe weather; 70 percent of the transmission lines and transformers are over 25 years old, and

the average age of power generating facilities exceeds 30 years (EOP 2013; Panteli and

Mancarella 2015). Extreme weather is a major threat to energy system operations, as 80 percent

of the significant outages between 2003 and 2012 in the US were due to severe weather events.

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Such weather-related blackouts annually cost on average between $18 to $32 billion between

2003 and 2012, and have been increasing in frequency over the last 30 years (Campbell 2012;

EOP 2013; Panteli and Mancarella 2015). Outages of this type will likely increase further due to

climate change. With so much infrastructure exposed to the elements, particularly hurricane-

force winds, it follows that approximately 90 percent of outages occur along transmission and

distribution systems (EOP 2013; Panteli and Mancarella 2015).

Climate-driven increases in water and air temperatures, reduced water availability in

some areas, and increasing intensity and frequency of storm events, sea level rise, and flooding

all pose risks to the energy sector in the US (EOP 2013; Panteli and Mancarella 2015; Zamuda et

al. 2013). One study developed a global hydrological-electricity modelling framework

consisting of a physically based hydrological and temperature model connected to hydropower

and thermoelectric power models, and found that due to a combination of projected rising global

water temperatures and overall reduced streamflow, 5-22 percent of the 24,515 hydropower

plants globally (included in the study) in the general circulation models’ (GCM) ensemble mean

for representative concentration pathways (RCP) 2.6-8.5 will experience reductions in monthly

usable capacity exceeding 30 percent by the 2050s (van Vliet et al. 2016). This compares with

thermoelectric power usable capacity production reductions of 81-86 percent under the same

climate assumptions for the 1,427 plants included in the study. Thus, the generating capacity of

hydropower and thermoelectric powerplants will decrease in the future relative to their current

capacities due to reduced streamflow and increased water temperatures in the absence of

adaptation or technological innovation. Rising air temperatures due to climate change will likely

affect the number of cooling degree days and heating degree days, as well as peak demand

patterns (Wilbanks 2014). Other types of severe weather and natural phenomena that are

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hazardous to energy infrastructure include: cold snaps, ice storms, snow, lightning strikes, fire,

earthquakes, and heat waves (Hines, Apt, and Talukdar 2009; Panteli and Mancarella 2015).

In addition to climate change and severe weather, physical and cyber terrorism represent

threats to national electric infrastructure (Quadrennial Energy Review Task Force 2015; National

Research Council 2012; Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from

Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack 2008; H. Yin, Xiao, and Lv 2015). Solar and geomagnetic

storms are further threats to the functionality of the electric grid in the United States and globally

(Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP)

Attack 2008). The centralized design of the electric grid, in part manifest via long-range

transmission lines, exacerbates the risk of major outages as these lines serve a large number of

customers compared to local distribution lines (Campbell 2012).

Electric Microgrid Definition, Operational Considerations, Costs and Benefits, and

Ownership Models

One technology that can address some of the vulnerabilities of the electric grid is a

microgrid, which is:

a group of interconnected loads and distributed energy resources within clearly defined electrical boundaries that acts as a single controllable entity with respect to the grid. A microgrid can connect and disconnect from the grid to enable it to operate in both grid-connected or island mode (Smith and Ton 2013, 22).

The composition of microgrids as both an energy supply source and electric infrastructure

to distribute the energy generated on-site allows them to operate independent from the

macrogrid. Hirsch et al. (2018) asserts that microgrids in industrialized countries must be

contextualized as operating in parallel to a mature “macrogrid” featuring gigawatt-scale

generation facilities and up to hundreds of thousands of miles of high voltage lines, little energy

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storage, and powered primarily by fossil fuels (Farzan et al. 2013; Hirsch, Parag, and Guerrero

2018; E. R. Morgan et al. 2016). The independence of both generation and distribution systems

from the macrogrid can also be referred to as a power island, or “an energized section of circuits

separate from the larger system” (von Meier 2006, 152; K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017).

The island, upon being disconnected from the macrogrid, transitions from being a redundant set

of infrastructures to the main source of power for users connected to the islanded area (K. B.

Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; von Meier 2006, 153).

Stability, or maintaining a balance between generation and load, is the most significant

operational challenge for microgrids (Kema Inc. 2014). Energy storage and responsive

generation like combined heat and power (CHP) can accommodate for load variation. Other

types of distributed energy resources (DER) are unable or less capable of modifying electricity

output to improve stability. Smart inverter development, among other technologies, will likely

improve the economics of variable supply as they become more available. Load management

systems are also experiencing advancements that enhance their responsiveness and capacity to

modulate loads. Storage technologies like batteries, which absorb or discharge energy, continue

to grow in value at both macrogrid and microgrid scales.

Microgrids generally have fewer resources, which makes maintaining stability more

difficult when the microgrid is islanded from the macrogrid (Kema Inc. 2014). Stability of a

microgrid is usually resolved when it is connected to the macrogrid because the macrogrid

supports the microgrid. However, the microgrid must use its own DER when the macrogrid is

down to maintain stability. If electricity is oversupplied by the sources within the microgrid, a

generator might trip-off and lead to loss of power. Rebooting generation and incrementally

increasing load to restore equilibrium can take time. On the other hand, if power is under-

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supplied, the equipment can get malfunction, become damaged, and may also result in instability

that can shutdown generation. These concerns highlight the need for advanced control systems

for microgrid stability. While technology is making microgrid stability easier to maintain,

experienced distribution system engineers are still essential to appropriate design and effective

operation of microgrids. Large microgrids generally have full-time engineering staff who have

experience operating and maintaining the stability of microgrids. Small microgrid owners may

not have the capital to hire a veteran engineer, especially since the need to operate microgrids

islanded from the macrogrid is generally infrequent.

Understanding when microgrids need to operate independently of the macrogrid

represents another operational challenge (Kema Inc. 2014). A brief outage or drop in generation

from the macrogrid may be restored almost instantaneously while local generation ramps up.

However, if the generation does not respond quickly enough, the energy loss within the

microgrid can lead to outages that may require a lengthy “black start” process to restore power.

Relays and monitoring systems that make these decisions automatically, as well as switches to

enact different types of transitions, can vary enormously in terms of cost. Having a

comprehensive knowledge of the requirements for undergoing operational transitions between

the microgrid and macrogrid is crucial in selecting the equipment specifications when designing

and buying a microgrid.

The modeling and engineering expense to develop the appropriate microgrid

specifications, depending on how complicated the loads are as well as the types and quantity of

generation within the microgrid, can range between $10,000 to over $1,000,000 for larger and

more complex installations (Kema Inc. 2014). For a hypothetical 5MW microgrid with multiple

DERs, there are several different categories of components needed totaling in cost between $1-

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2.5 million. Three different components are needed for microgrid isolation and stability: a main

transfer switch, a master controller, and a switchgear. For distribution automation, when both

critical and non-critical loads are present, there are at least four pieces of equipment required.

Distribution automation needs a sectionalizing switchgear, a remote switchgear control,

automatic fault protection, and smart meters. There are also costs associated with smart grid

enabled substation communication infrastructure up to the utility transformer or point of

common coupling.

There are a variety of economic, environmental, reliability and power quality, and

security and safety benefits of microgrids, some of which the macrogrid or DERs alone are

unable to provide (Kema Inc. 2014). There are multiple economic benefits that can be realized

from microgrid development. Microgrids can potentially reduce the cost of energy for facilities

connected to them. Microgrids can participate in ancillary services markets and sell surplus

electricity generated to the macrogrid in jurisdictions with net metering policies. Microgrids can

also work with demand response programs. Furthermore, they can optimize assets given real

time energy markets and pricing signals. Microgrids can decrease electric transmission and

distribution losses and diminish or defer the need for additional electric transmission and

distribution capacity investment. Microgrids can also facilitate the deployment of renewable

energy generation.

Microgrid power quality, reliability, and environmental performance can benefit their

developers and facility owners (Kema Inc. 2014). Facilities connected to a microgrid gain the

ability to operate in the absence of the macrogrid, can decrease power interruptions they

experience, improve the quality of the power delivered, and in combination enhance the

reliability of electricity for connected facilities. Microgrids also provide the capability of

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functioning without pre-existing gas or electric infrastructure. When microgrids have renewable

DERs connected to them, they can reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and air pollutants of

the electricity generated and delivered to the connected facilities. Microgrids can even provide

safety and security as well in the form of safe havens during macrogrid outages, and community

support when such outages are protracted over longer periods of time.

There are multiple models of microgrid ownership (Emmett Environmental Law &

Policy Clinic 2014; Kema Inc. 2014). One such model places ownership in the hands of a

distribution company (Kema Inc. 2014). The company would own a microgrid in parallel to the

macrogrid, and because distribution companies are generally responsible for design and

maintenance of the macrogrid, their expertise and inclusion in planning and implementing

microgrids to improve grid stability and reliability logically follows. They also would not have

to coordinate with multiple other entities in this process, thereby simplifying the management

and governance aspects of ownership. However, this model is only possible in states that allow

distribution companies to directly own and operate generation assets. A second ownership model

involves a single private owner and participant. The one user would have full control over

performance benchmarks for critical load support capacity and stability of the microgrid. If the

combined user and owner of the microgrid had enough expertise in-house to operate and

maintain it, additional expense in contracting out maintenance could be avoided.

Another model is a hybrid microgrid, which is a combination of private and distribution

company ownership and operation (Kema Inc. 2014). Generation is owned or contracted for on

behalf of the microgrid users whose load is controlled by the microgrid, while the individual

service meters and distribution system are owned and serviced by the distribution company.

Microgrid control and interconnection points are managed by the distribution company, as well

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as when the microgrid is islanded from the macrogrid on both ends of the interconnection point.

However, during the time that the microgrid operates in isolation from the macrogrid, the cost of

management would be borne by the microgrid users. This model leverages private investment

capital and the existing expertise of distribution companies regarding grid operations.

Multi-user, non-utility microgrid ownership represents yet another possible arrangement

(Kema Inc. 2014). Multi-user microgrids allow business organizations to operate or own a

microgrid serving multiple customers, their respective meters, and facilities. The business

owning and operating a microgrid would need proficiency in efficiently and safely generating

and distributing energy to its users. Access to private capital and sharing of private capital costs

are two possible features of this ownership model. Multi-user microgrids require utility

companies to grant an exception to utility franchise rules to allow their development. Working

with multiple entities, meters, and facilities can increase the complexity of these projects.

Military bases, hospitals, university campuses, and critical community facilities during

emergencies have been the focus of early microgrid development because they demanded higher

reliability than was provided by the macrogrid (Grimley and Farrell 2016; K. B. Jones, James,

and Mastor 2017). These entities generally were single-owner and did not cross many public

right-of-way areas, thus avoiding some of the challenges that prospective microgrid customers

currently face. Furthermore, the upfront costs and complexities of these systems, both

technically and legally, have inhibited more rapid development.

Microgrids have also served completely independent of macrogrids to electrify rural

villages and small islands (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; Schnitzer et al. 2014). Lower

operational costs, superior environmental performance of energy supply, and enhanced system

reliability and resilience are among some of the reasons that microgrid development has been

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undertaken (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; Smith and Ton 2013, 13).

DERs, generally recognized as a crucial aspect of microgrids, are smaller-scale

generation, efficiency, or storage resources that are typically sited on the customer end of the

electric meter. Over their lifetime, DERs are hypothetically cleaner, more reliable, more

efficient, and possibly even cheaper than the centralized macrogrid. There are at least two

distinct reasons why microgrids can yield significant environmental benefits to customers (Vine,

Attanasio, and Shittu 2017). Microgrids have the capacity to utilize renewable and zero-

emission sources of generation, such as wind turbines and solar photovoltaic panels, which are

less polluting and greenhouse gas intensive than fossil fuel-based ones like natural gas or coal.

The other is the potential to more fully utilize the heat generated on-site for space heating and

hot water relative to centralized generating facilities, as well as reducing the efficiency losses

associated with long transmission distances from centralized power plants.

Community microgrids build upon the islanding and environmental benefits of single-

owner microgrids by sharing their distributed energy resources and associated resilience benefits

with the communities they serve (Wu, Ortmeyer, and Li 2016). Community microgrids can link

multiple distributed energy resources and critical loads via utility-owned distribution lines.

Community microgrids provide regulation over frequency and voltage, the capacity for fast load

shedding, economic and emergency demand response, and power flow control. New York City

and Boston are two examples of cities, bolstered by state policies, that are funding and building

electric microgrids that will serve their communities and neighborhoods (BNL 2017; NYSERDA

n.d.; Wood 2018).

These different models of ownership and use of electric microgrids demonstrate that

multiple approaches exist for their development. What models work best for a given community

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often depends on their legal and policy context (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; Kema Inc.

2014). There has not been much research on how cities and states decide which models of

microgrid development are best suited for them. Do communities and states learn from each

other’s experiences with electric microgrid policies and projects? What is driving states and

cities to pursue this technology and policies that support their development? My dissertation

research questions address those above.

Research Questions

The overarching research question for this dissertation is what factors influence state

electric microgrid policy, and how do they affect policy implementation? This question is

broken down into three sub-questions that serve as the focus of Chapters 2-4. The first is what

are the key drivers of state electric microgrid policy adoption, and is there a correlation between

these factors and the strength of those policies? The second is how do policies and regulations

related to microgrid development align with or run counter to the goals of energy democracy?

The third set of questions ask whether policy diffusion occurred in the case of electric microgrid

adoption? If diffusion did occur, what was the mechanism of diffusion? And how did policy

innovation come from within the polity in cases where policy diffusion was not responsible for

policy change?

Methodology

The methodology of the quantitative analysis in Chapter 2 is a combination of linear

fixed effects and random effects ordered probit models that are described in greater detail within

that chapter. Since Chapters 3 and 4 use the same methodology and cases but ask different

questions, I describe the methodology and cases for both chapters here.

To address my research questions and assess the explanatory propositions for the cases

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studied, a comparative case study approach was adopted in both Chapters 3 and 4. These case

studies utilize both interviews and a review of existing documents and literature on these policies

to address the research questions. Explanation building as a case study methodology is an

iterative process in which a tentative initial theoretical statement or explanatory proposition is

made, and is subsequently contrasted with the data collected (R. K. Yin 2017). Revisions are

then applied to the proposition or statement as needed, which is then compared against other

details of the case, and then with data from other cases since it is a multiple-case study. These

studies utilize a multiple-case embedded case study design because the two states are the cases,

and the two subunits of analysis are the actions taken by the state and the actions taken by a

municipality within each state (R. K. Yin 2017). The subunits were sufficiently connected that

neither could be considered as merely context for the other, but rather were intertwined as co-

equal subunits worthy of further investigation. The analytic technique I use in data collection is

explanation building, which stipulates set of causal sequences about ‘how’ or ‘why’ an outcome

occurred (Yin 2017, 179-181). The explanation is built by articulating an explanatory

proposition, and then comparing the data from the case study against the proposition. This is an

iterative process and is compatible with the multiple case study design chosen. Entertaining

plausible alternative or rival explanations is an essential component of the process of explanation

building.

The cases were selected after completing preliminary research into which states were

pioneering electric microgrid policy. Both states had produced major reports on developing

microgrids and established microgrid grant programs with budgets in the tens of millions of

dollars. Both states also passed legislation for economy-wide greenhouse gas emission reduction

and renewable energy production targets, which created policy environments favorable to

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electric microgrids integrating renewable energy sources. Prior knowledge of some of the

stakeholders in the Massachusetts case, discovering that NY was a first mover in electric

microgrid policy, and their regional proximity and similarities in governance all contributed to

the selection of Massachusetts, New York, and their analytical subunits. There are several

differences between the states that enabled comparisons between them. One such difference is

that NY funds every stage of development with NY Prize, while MA primarily funds feasibility

studies to assist recipients in attracting private investment capital for the remaining financing.

Unlike MA, NY received post-Hurricane Sandy support from the federal government that was

allocated by the state to programs investing in microgrid development that had an emphasis on

communities devastated by the storm. NY also has a significantly larger population size than

MA. The role of federal policy in advancing electric microgrids in these cases is minimal beyond

block grant distribution, does not substantially affect energy democracy in these cases, and for

these reasons is not explored in Chapter 3. Similarly, since the discussion of policy diffusion in

Chapter 4 is between states, the role of federal policy in the diffusion and innovation of electric

microgrid policy is not investigated.

Table 1. 1: Interviewee Demographics

Organization Type MA NY

Government 3 4 Quasi-Public/Public Benefits Corporation 1 1

Nonprofit 2 3

Private Utility 1 0

The data were collected between November 2018 and February 2019 via 15 semi-

structured interviews conducted over the phone or in-person. The interviewees represent officials

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of the governments of the jurisdictions, as well as quasi-public and nonprofit agencies

advocating for electric microgrid implementation. These sectors were the focus of my data

collection because policy formulation and implementation are primarily done in the public

domain. Nonprofits were specifically interviewed in part because they were recipients of policy

benefits and were arguably the next closest representation of the general outside of elected

government officials. Efforts to schedule interviews with utility companies were unsuccessful,

and private non-utility stakeholders were not targeted for inclusion in the study because the focus

of the research was to study policy and the dynamics between policymakers and nonprofit sector

microgrid advocates.

Interviewees were selected based on a combination of: internet-based research or prior

knowledge of individuals connected to either an organization administering or receiving electric

microgrid-targeted funds, and in the case of nonprofits demonstrated advocacy and campaigns

specifically focused on microgrids in the cases studied. Having these criteria for participant

identification and selection makes this a purposeful sample because the participants included met

characteristics that directly related to my research question (Lichtman 2014). Snowball sampling

was also used to expand the list of interview participants; snowball sampling is a sampling

method where interviewers ask interviewees for recommendations for who else they should talk

to (Lichtman 2014). The combination of purposeful and snowball sampling yielded the final 15

participants that were interviewed; seven from purposeful sampling and eight were added later

by snowball sampling. Fourteen of the fifteen interviews were completed in a single session,

ranging in length from thirty minutes to over an hour (for one interviewee it took two sessions to

complete going through the protocol due to scheduling constraints). The number of interviews

conducted was sufficient because at both the state and municipal level governments, quasi-public

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entities, and nonprofits were represented, often with more than one individual interviewed, and

enabled discussion of both the explanatory proposition as well as rival propositions. As Yin

(2017) highlights, ensuring a case is complete does not require the impossible task of gathering

all possible evidence, but rather that readers are satisfied that a comprehensive treatment of the

critical pieces was achieved (Yin 2017, 244-245). The “completeness” of a case study is

challenging to operationally define but is important in an analogous fashion to finishing a

musical composition or painting; there are three aspects of completeness discussed in Yin

(2017). The first is to clearly distinguish the phenomenon being studied with the its context by

identifying case boundaries. The second is through sufficient data collection as referenced

above, and the third is the absence of artifactual conditions that arbitrarily constrain the

researcher’s ability to finish the study.

The policy context analyses involved reviewing and synthesizing gray literature (digitally

available government reports press releases, websites, news and peer-reviewed) and journal

articles. Energy and climate change plans, reports, and policies that directly or indirectly address

electric microgrids at state and municipal levels and from their respective governments or quasi-

public entities served as the scope of policies included in the policy context analysis. The

analysis of interview data was based on a combination of notetaking during the interviews,

reviewing recordings for recorded interviews, and synthesizing details into a spreadsheet

organized by interviewee and summaries of their responses with regards to the explanatory

proposition. The contextual background research and interview data for each case together

comprise the case-level analyses detailed in Chapters 3 and 4.

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Policy Contexts of Cases Studied in Chapters 3 and 4

Massachusetts and New York are two states in the U.S. Northeast with large cities

(Boston and NYC respectively); both are home rule states that have deregulated their electricity

sectors. Massachusetts and New York, and Boston and NYC all have ambitious GHG emission

reduction goals, and all have been early adopters of electric microgrid policy. New York is one

of the first to have implemented a competitive microgrid incentive program, and it funds all

stages of the project development process for winning applicants. Projects that relate to storm

recovery in New York and New York City also receive federal financial support. Massachusetts

also has competitive microgrid incentive programs, but they only fund feasibility studies using

state and local money. The programs studied in both states focus on critical infrastructure

resilience and serving vulnerable populations. New York has allowed NYC to develop hybrid

ownership models for electric microgrids despite electric sector deregulation, while

Massachusetts has yet to permit Boston to pursue the same ownership model given similar legal

constraints.

State Policy Context-Massachusetts and New York

Both state and urban analytical subunits of electric microgrid development and policy in

these cases are influenced by state policy and thus it is important to understand the extent to

which state requirements versus local decisions affect the policy approaches observed. This

section reviews the policy context in Massachusetts and New York.

Massachusetts Policy Context

M.G.L. Chapter 164: Massachusetts Electric Industry Restructuring Act of 1997 changed

the electric utility industry in Massachusetts such that electric supply be sold to customers

through a competitive market, rather than exclusively owned and sold from utility companies

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(Commonwealth of Massachusetts 1997). This gave customers the option, for the first time, to

select which electric supply company they purchase their energy from. This was enacted into

law for multiple reasons, including consumer protection, lowering electric rates, reduction in

monopoly power of utility companies, and giving suppliers the opportunity to offer more

environmentally friendly options to customers than were previously offered by the utility

companies. It is the latter goal that could potentially positively impact the development of

renewable energy-fueled microgrids.

However, (M.G.L. c. 164, § 1B(a)), also known as the “franchise clause,” could

potentially constrain non-utility owned microgrid development (Emmett Environmental Law &

Policy Clinic 2014). The franchise clause has been summarized, according to one analysis, as

stated below:

Except with the written consent of the distribution company, no person other than a distribution company shall deliver electricity over lines operating between 110 and 69,000 volts from points on the transmission system or from a generating plant to a customer within the distribution company’s service territory. (Emmett Environmental Law & Policy Clinic 2014)

M.G.L. c. 164, § 1A and M.G.L. c. 164, § 1A(c) collectively prohibit a distribution

company from owning, operating, or acquiring generating facilities, which greatly constrains the

ability of utility companies to build or develop their own microgrids (Emmett Environmental

Law & Policy Clinic 2014).

GHG emission reduction targets pressure electric microgrid developers, in addition to

electric supply companies more generally, towards prioritizing renewable energy over fossil fuel

energy. Massachusetts passed the Global Warming Solutions Act (GWSA) in August 2008

(EOEEA 2012). GWSA is one of the first regulatory programs to directly address climate

change enacted in the nation. GWSA mandated the Massachusetts Executive Office of Energy

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and Environmental Affairs (EOEEA), in collaboration with the public and other state agencies,

to establish GHG emission reduction targets for the state across all economic sectors. The state

must achieve reductions between 10-25% below 1990 statewide GHG levels by 2020, and 80%

below 1990 statewide GHG levels by 2050. The act mandates the state take multiple steps to

achieve these objectives. One such step orders the creation of regulations requiring reporting of

GHG from the state’s biggest emitters. The state needed to produce a baseline evaluation of

GHG emissions statewide in 1990 to serve as a benchmark against which progress was

measured. GWSA required the state to establish a projected “business as usual” scenario for

2020 in the absence of government intervention as another variable to help estimate required

emission reductions by that year (EOEEA 2012). The act mandated the state set target emission

reductions for 2020, as well as a roadmap for accomplishing them by January 1, 2011. The state

also needed to analyze approaches and provide recommendations for climate change adaptation

by December 31, 2009 via an advisory committee. EOEEA created two advisory committees for

the purpose of informing GWSA implementation. EOEEA formed the Climate Protection and

Green Economy Advisory Committee to advise EOEEA on how to achieve GHG emissions in

compliance with GWSA. The second committee EOEEA developed is called the Climate

Change Adaptation Advisory Committee, and they analyze and prescribe climate change

adaptation solutions for the state.

Massachusetts created the Community Clean Energy and Resiliency Initiative (CCERI), a

$40 million grant program administered by the Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources

as part of its broader efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change (EOEEA 2014). The grant’s

funds support municipal resilience by utilizing clean energy technologies to prevent energy

service disruption due to severe weather events exacerbated by climate change. Three rounds of

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funding transpired beginning in 2014, with particular emphasis on critical facilities, and among

the technologies receiving funding from the grant program were microgrids. CCERI funding

applications had four major requirements (The Cadmus Group, Inc. 2015). The first was that the

project needed to be submitted by one or more municipalities, regional planning agency, or

public-private partnership. The second requirement was that the project would serve a critical

facility. The third requirement was that the proposed project had to incorporate storage, clean

energy generation, or energy management technologies. The final requirement was that the

project had to provide a minimum of three days of electric power autonomously in the event of a

power outage. Critical facilities were defined by the program as “buildings or structures where

loss of electrical service would result in disruption of a critical public safety life sustaining

function,” which could include community, lifeline, or life safety resources (McGuire 2014).

The Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, in accordance with a 2014 order from the

Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities for public utilities to develop 10-year grid

modernization plans, created and executed an electric microgrid feasibility study grant program

(MassCEC 2017b). The goals of the program were to accelerate the development of community

microgrids to reduce energy costs for customers, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and enhance

energy system resilience. Community microgrids were defined in the Request for Expressions of

Interest (REOI) as “…multi-user microgrids, which provide electrical and/or thermal energy to

multiple site owners and have broad support from the local community, relevant utility(ies), and

building or site owners” (MassCEC 2017a). Eligible microgrids had to be located in

Massachusetts, be a multi-user microgrid, serve a minimum of one critical facility, and integrate

renewable energy. According to the REOI,

A critical facility is a structure that – because of its function, size, service area, or uniqueness – has the potential to cause serious bodily harm, extensive property

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damage, or disruption of vital socioeconomic activities if it is destroyed or damaged or if its functionality is impaired. It is incumbent upon respondents to adequately justify that a facility included in the response serves a vital function to the community in the event of an emergency and is thus a “critical facility” (MassCEC 2017a). Additional project guidelines from the REOI were that proposed microgrid projects have

no more than a dozen buildings in close proximity, have symbiotic loads, include a significant

thermal component to take advantage of CHP, were located in an area or community with a

minimum population density of around 4,500 people per square mile, serve at least one

vulnerable population, and have demonstrable local government and utility support (MassCEC

2017a). Both financial and non-financial metrics for indicating local government support were

acceptable, including providing city-owned space for generation assets, designating staff to

support the project, or developing policies that facilitate microgrid deployment. Requests for

Expressions of Interest and Proposals were sent out in 2017, and in February 2018 14 multi-user

community microgrid projects, including multiple projects in and close to Boston, each received

$75,000 for feasibility studies with the hope of attracting private investment (MassCEC 2017b;

Wood 2018). According to Steve Pike, CEO of the Massachusetts Clean Energy Center

(MassCEC) and organization administering the microgrid program,

These assessments will provide critical insight into the potential benefits community-based microgrids could deliver to ratepayers across the Commonwealth… While increasing resilience and lower the cost of energy in these communities, we expect these projects will help to identify market barriers and provide models that can be replicated in cities and towns across the state. (Wood 2018). The microgrids that received feasibility study funding intend to serve hospitals, fire and

police departments, public schools, affordable housing facilities for low-income and senior

citizens, grocery stores, emergency shelters, and water and wastewater treatment plants

(MassCEC 2017a; Rubenoff 2018; Wood 2018). While applicants self-selected what projects

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they applied for, MassCEC had the sole authority to select winning projects (MassCEC 2017a).

Seven of the fourteen winning project summaries list “affordable housing” as among the

infrastructure served by their respective proposed microgrids (MassCEC 2018).

State policies in Massachusetts establish the importance of reducing greenhouse gas

emissions, increasing critical infrastructure resilience, and funds feasibility studies of projects in

municipalities within the state that contribute to these goals. The cost premium of electric

microgrids over conventional grid-tied systems makes state incentives vital for a number of

projects to become viable. The policies also define what constitute eligible microgrids,

applicants, technologies, and deadlines for submission among other project elements.

New York State Policy Context

In 1996, the New York Public Service Commission (PSC) issued an electric industry

restructuring order that mandated utilities to submit restructuring plans that articulated how they

would fully divest from generation assets (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014). In

1998, the PSC issued the Vertical Market Power Policy Statement (VMPP) of 1998, which

stipulates specific conditions under which utility ownership of generation assets may be

permitted, including demonstrable ratepayer benefits and market power mitigation measures

from utility ownership.

The PSC is granted the authority to regulate electric and steam corporations under Article

4 of New York State Public Service Law (PSL) (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES

2014). Electric corporations are any corporation or analogous entity that owns, operates, or

manages any electric plant subject to certain exemptions. Private microgrid developers, if they

are unable to secure an exemption may receive a reduced regulatory requirement based on a

“realistic appraisal” test that gives the PSC discretion over the appropriate degree of regulation

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(NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014). If a microgrid is regulated by the PSC as a

utility, Article 4 delineates the regulatory powers the PSC would apply to the project. Such PSC

regulatory powers include: general supervision, determine rates, quality of service, billing, public

reports and administration, corporate structure and finance, incorporation, certificates, and

franchises, and residential service. Perhaps the most critical of these powers, with regards to

microgrid development, are the incorporation, franchises, and certificates; an electric corporation

may not build a plant without PSC consent and approval. Similarly, a corporation may not

utilize a privilege or right under a granted franchise without PSC permission and approval; the

PSC can grant permission and approval after a hearing and determination that building or

exercising a right, privilege, or franchise is convenient or necessary to serve the public.

Microgrids that cross a public right of way, including the development of transmission or

distribution facilities over public streets, must receive permission by the municipal authority via

a franchise or lesser consent depending on the scope of the development (NYSERDA, NYS

DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014).

As provided by N.Y. Gen. City Law § 20(10), every city is empowered to grant franchises or rights to use the streets, waters, waterfront, public ways, and public places of the city. “Use” encompasses occupying public rights-of-way and operation of the provider’s built infrastructure to provide the public service. Individual franchises—contracts between a company and the municipal authority—require specific legislative authority and are granted for a limited term of years after a public bidding process (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014).

Franchises are often nonexclusive, and the territory where a facility installation is

permitted under a franchise is where the public service is provided (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and

NYS DHSES 2014). Unless a grant is exclusive in its terms, the grantor wields the authority to

grant future competitive franchise without violating the first franchisee’s constitutional or

contractual rights. Monopoly is not a critical feature or state requirement of a franchise.

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Municipalities can administer special permissions for small encroachments of public space that

provide an alternative to large-scale franchise via permits, right of way permits, revocable

consents, revocable licenses among other legal instruments. If a municipality does not utilize a

standardized permitting process for granting such a property right, an authorized party must give

permission on an individual basis.

The 2015 New York State Energy Plan articulates a vision for New York’s energy future,

including policy recommendations (NYSEPB 2015). The plan coordinates Governor Andrew

Cuomo’s Reforming the Energy Vision (REV) and other policies in a comprehensive roadmap.

It outlines three goals for the state by 2030: a 40% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from

the energy sector from 1990 levels, providing 50% of electricity generation from renewable

energy sources, and a 600 trillion Btu gain in energy efficiency.

On July 28, 2019, Governor Cuomo built upon NY REV by passing the Climate

Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA) (Governor’s Press Office 2019). CLCPA

mandates the state achieve 70% of the state’s energy come from renewable energy resources by

2030 and is carbon neutral by 2040. CLCPA also requires the State to reduce its overall

greenhouse gas emissions by 40% by 2030 and by 85% by 2050 relative to a 1990 baseline. The

Climate Action Council will create a plan to offset the last 15% of emissions by capturing carbon

or using other technologies.

New York State’s Energy Research and Development Authority’s (NYSERDA) 2010

report, “Microgrids: An Assessment of the Values, Opportunities, and Barriers to Deployment in

New York State,” explored the potential value of deploying electric microgrids and opportunities

and barriers to their implementation. The report detailed a typology of microgrid ownership and

service models, case studies of existing and planned projects, and NY legal and regulatory

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frameworks for electric microgrids. It also studied microgrids elsewhere in the U.S. and their

value streams. The research for the report was based on a combination of legal analysis and

literature review on microgrids and distributed energy resources, and semi-structured interviews

with state energy regulators and microgrid developers from eleven U.S. jurisdictions outside of

NY (Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maryland, Minnesota, Oregon,

Pennsylvania, Texas, and Washington DC). The interviews were conducted to answer four

questions: whether microgrids were legally defined in administrative rules or state law, whether

microgrids could legally exist and under what conditions, whether policymakers thought about

microgrids, and whether existing distributed generation policies like interconnection standards

and net metering might apply to microgrids. The report ended with policy recommendations to

encourage microgrid investment in the state. Thus, the report was based upon learning about

policies from elsewhere, and articulated recommendations in response to that data formulated to

the context of NY.

Following the 2010 report and Hurricane Sandy in 2012, the NY State Legislature in

2013 directed NYSERDA, NYS Department of Public Service (DPS), and the NYS Division of

Homeland Security and Emergency Services (DHSES) to craft recommendations for developing

microgrids in the state. (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014). The result was a report

published in 2014 that evaluated the feasibility of electric microgrids for enhancing resilience of

critical facilities that provide public security, health, and safety when the electric grid goes down

for more than three days due to manmade or natural hazards. The enabling legislation for the

interagency team (Project Team) defined what a microgrid was and mandated responses from the

Project Team on eight topics. These topics were: whether critical facilities with a mission in

disaster relief and recovery want to collaborate on microgrids, what geographic areas should be

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prioritized for microgrid development, the types of microgrid projects that were possible, how

microgrid operation would work within utility requirements for safe and adequate service

provision to ratepayers, the regulatory environment microgrids would be operating under, both

technical and regulatory aspects of how microgrids would interconnect, whether microgrids

would operate as intended under emergency situations, funding mechanisms that would pay for

the entire lifecycle of these technologies, and a cost benefit analysis for microgrid development

and implementation. The report made numerous recommendations, particularly that in

conjunction with federal and private sector partners, the state should advance microgrid

development at critical infrastructure sites only if the benefits exceeded the costs.

NY Prize, a pioneering $40 million competition, offers awards to communities statewide

for microgrid projects that began in early 2015 (NYSEPB 2015). The competition consists of

three stages of awards: feasibility studies, audit-grade design, and project build. The competition

pushes communities, businesses, electric utilities, and entrepreneurs to design and implement

community-based microgrids. According to the Stage 2 RFP,

NY Prize seeks to support the development of community grids encompassing no less than one facility providing a critical service to the public that is connected to multiple, uniquely owned/controlled buildings that act as a group of interconnected loads and distributed energy resources, lie within a clearly defined electrical boundary and act as a single controllable entity, which can connect and disconnect from the surrounding utility grid and operate in both grid-connected or island mode (NYSERDA 2016). NYSERDA administers the program with assistance from the Governor’s Office of

Storm Recovery (NYSERDA n.d.). Applicants must include the local electric distribution

company and more than one entity that will benefit from microgrid operation, but single-owner

“campus-style” microgrids are ineligible (NYSERDA n.d.). Eligible entities can include teams

of: universities, counties, utilities, municipalities, property owners, energy service companies,

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hospitals, critical facilities, emergency shelters, schools, technology vendors, and energy project

developers.

'Critical infrastructure' means systems, assets, places or things, whether physical or virtual, so vital to the State that the disruption, incapacitation or destruction of such systems, assets, places or things could jeopardize the health, safety, welfare or security of the state, its residents or its economy (NYSERDA n.d.). NY Prize proposals submitted by storm-impacted communities across the state, as well as

low and moderate income (LMI) communities, may be supported via funding from the

Governor’s Office of Storm Recovery (NYSERDA n.d.). Stage 1 Request For Proposals (RFP)

is closed and applications were accepted until May 2015 (NYSERDA n.d.). The NY Prize

Selection Committee approved up to $100,000 in funding for 83 feasibility studies across the

state in July 2015 (NYSERDA n.d.). Participation in Stage 1 was not required for Stage 2

eligibility, and Stage 1 feasibility studies are complete and uploaded to NYSERDA’s website.

Stage 2 RFP is also closed, and the NY Prize Selection Committee approved up to $1,000,000 in

funding for 11 designs across the state in April 2017. Stage 2 design RFP studies are underway

and anticipated to be finished by spring 2019. For Stage 3, NYSERDA expects a competitive

project build-out RFP to be released in 2019 with winners selected and announced by late 2019.

Nine of the 83 Stage 1 awards and three Stage 2 awards are located in New York City

(NYSERDA n.d.). NY Prize exclusively focuses on electric microgrids and grants money

towards audit-grade design and project builds.

Governor Cuomo established the Office of Storm Recovery (GOSR) in response to

Hurricanes Irene, Lee, and Sandy to address the needs of affected communities and enhance the

resilience of New York State’s critical infrastructure (GOSR n.d.; n.d.). With approximately

$4.4 billion in flexible funding from the U.S. Department of Housing & Urban Development

(HUD) Community Development Block Grant Disaster Recovery (CDBG-DR) program, and

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partnering with NYSERDA, GOSR’s Microgrid Program selected three projects: a downtown

microgrid in the Village of Freeport, a microgrid in the Village of Greenport, and a microgrid

powering disaster recovery shelters and multiple businesses in Schenectady (GOSR n.d.; n.d.;

n.d.). All three projects are in progress with estimated completion dates in 2021 (GOSR n.d.).

State policies in both cases emphasize critical infrastructure, vulnerable populations, and

public benefits for project eligibility and criteria for funding consideration. Both cases also

highlight new possible ownership models for more distributed and decentralized energy systems

under greater degrees of public control. In NY in particular, there is also a focus on recovery

from devastating storms that already hit the state, including in some of its more vulnerable

communities. Since much of the funding for electric microgrids comes from state policies in

both cases, the definitions set by state agencies for eligible microgrids, applicants, technologies,

and deadlines for submission among other project elements, shapes the terms within which these

cities have to operate if they want to utilize the money and technical assistance set aside by these

policies for electric microgrid projects in their municipality. Both states deregulated their

electricity sectors, which generally prohibits nearly all forms of utility ownership of generation

assets, and by extension utility ownership of electric microgrids.

City Policy Context-Boston and New York City

Microgrid development is also affected by municipal policy – this section reviews and

analyzes the policy context in Boston and New York City. Municipalities are where microgrids

are installed, and require city approval for permitting and siting, making municipal governments

important collaborators even if they are not the initiating party developing them. Since these

projects are expensive to implement, cities often need exogenous sources of investment to

finance them, be it from private stakeholders, utilities, state governments, or a combination of

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these. In these cases, state governments have been important collaborators and sources of

additional capital to finance electric microgrid projects. Thus, municipal policies have been

significantly influenced by this dynamic. In NYC, this also includes federal financial assistance

through funds received in response to Hurricane Sandy and other disasters. Legal limitations on

municipality authority imposed by the state to execute certain kinds of projects can also constrain

municipal electric microgrid policy.

Boston Policy Context

The city’s climate action planning officially began with a 2007 Executive Order that

established greenhouse gas emission reduction targets 25% below 2005 levels by 2020 and 80%

by 2050 for municipal operations, as well as requiring the City preparation and planning for

climate change impacts (City of Boston 2014). Four years later, the City published A Climate of

Progress, which expanded the application of the previously mentioned goals across all of

Boston. The 2014 Plan further elaborates and builds upon previous work through numerous

strategies and actions in five key areas developed by a Steering Committee and five strategy

subcommittees among others: Neighborhoods, Large Buildings and Institutions, Transportation,

Climate Preparedness, and achieving the 80% reduction target by 2050. The Large Institutions

and Buildings and GHG goal sections of the document specifically mention microgrids. Action

1.73 under Large Buildings and Institutions calls for the facilitation of expanded district energy

implementation, which includes microgrids. Other actions under 1.7 deal with interconnection,

on-site renewable and CHP energy, and district-level planning. Under the 80% by 2050 goal

section, the carbon-neutral and resilient visioning section contains a brief discussion of the City’s

efforts towards a pilot microgrid development project, a legal analysis of owning microgrids in

the state, and a process for microgrid business models that involve multiple stakeholders. It also

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outlines how the City will work with state government, other government agencies, and

stakeholders to eliminate barriers to implementing more district energy and renewable generating

capacity among other synergistic goals with microgrid development. Greenovate Boston 2014

Climate Action Plan Update represents Boston’s climate action plan. Boston’s Climate Action

Plan pressures electric microgrid developers to utilize renewable energy with their GHG

emission reduction targets, and explicitly encourages microgrid development as part of their

proposed policy solutions.

The Boston Community Energy Study in 2016 built upon the foundation set by the

Greenovate Boston plan by modeling and identifying 42 districts in Boston that would be

technically or demographically optimal for community energy solutions, including microgrids

(Boston Redevelopment Authority Planning Division 2016). The study was the product of a

coalition between the Boston Redevelopment Authority (now the Boston Planning &

Development Agency), MIT Sustainable Design Lab and Lincoln Laboratory, and the City of

Boston among other partners. This study enabled the City of Boston to begin discussions on the

state of existing infrastructure in these districts, the costs of infrastructure installation, and

negotiations with property owners to support community energy solutions.

In July of 2017, Boston released two plans that mention microgrids as a focus of future

development: Resilient Boston and the city’s comprehensive plan Imagine Boston 2030 (City of

Boston 2017a; 2017b). Both plans explicitly promote expanding community microgrids in

Boston and highlight Lower Roxbury as a site of particular interest to host a pilot microgrid

project given the nexus of critical infrastructure and social vulnerability in the district. Imagine

Boston 2030 also references an ongoing effort to implement an electric microgrid at the

Raymond L. Flynn Marine Park due to the vulnerability of the location to flooding and

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sensitivity of current tenants to electricity quality and prices (City of Boston 2017a; Wood 2017).

The U.S. Department of Energy analyzed the site in 2014 and 2016 and found a potential for

$500,000-$800,000 in annual cost savings should the marine park install an electric microgrid

given the greater efficiency, smarter management, and resiliency provided by the new systems.

Boston City Council in December 2017 approved Docket 0340 to send a home rule

petition to the state legislature to allow the city to enter into an energy savings performance

contract (ESPC) with a business partner via a request for qualifications for a microgrid project

(Wood 2017). The petition was submitted by Boston Mayor Martin Walsh. If the state

legislature approves of the proposal, it would allow the city to enter into an ESPC for both

private and publicly owned buildings at the Raymond L. Flynn marine park, whereas the law

only currently allows the latter. This petition came after years of Boston planning to implement

a microgrid at the marine park, only to discover these legal constraints barred further progress.

Since Boston also recognized utility opposition as a potential obstacle to completing the project,

Boston and Eversource came together early in the process and drafted a memorandum of

understanding that governs their relationship. “The city hopes its early efforts will offer lessons

learned for others developing microgrids,” and was one of the fourteen projects selected by

MassCEC’s Community Microgrid Program for feasibility study funding (MassCEC 2018;

Wood 2017). Bradford Swing, Boston’s Director of Energy Policy and Programs, wrote that the

feasibility study built upon previous work the city had done to identify end users, eligible

technologies, and a preliminary scope for a district energy microgrid project (Swing 2018).

According to Swing, a crucial remaining question for the feasibility study was whether a public-

private partnership through an ESPC or a utility-driven approach by having the utility either own

or procure it would be the most viable strategy for advancing the project.

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In 2016, the BPDA and City of Boston began an interdepartmental initiative, in

consultation with utility companies, developers, academic and nonprofit institutions, and private

stakeholders, called the Smart Utilities Vision project (“SUV project”), whose goal was to create

strategies for more affordable, sustainable, resilient, equitable, and innovative utility services in

Boston (BPDA n.d.). The SUV project resulted in policy and engineering recommendations for

water, telecommunication, energy, and transit infrastructure. These included the promotion of

utilities that are: easier to upgrade, maintain, and build, reduce costs and resource consumption,

protected against flooding and heat waves, attractive to businesses, and utilize advanced

technologies. The SUV project studied the case of the PLAN: South Boston Dorchester Avenue

Planning Initiative from December 2016, which called for 12-16 million square feet of new

development and 2 miles of new sidewalks and roads which all required new infrastructure to

service it. The two products of the SUV project were the Smart Utilities Policy for Article 80

Development Review and the Smart Utility Standards.

The Smart Utilities Policy for Article 80 Development Review was adopted by the BPDA

Board on June 14th, 2018, and recommends five of the ten Smart Utilities Technologies (SUTs)

studied to be integrated into new Article 80 developments, including district energy microgrids

(BPDA n.d.). The Smart Utilities Policy is a two-year pilot that includes educational sessions

with engineers, architects, developers, and City of Boston staff. After the two years, staff will

evaluate the results and adjust the policy based on technology performance and developer

feedback.

Article 80 was adopted in 1996 by the Boston Planning & Development Agency (BPDA)

to clarify guidelines for the development review process pertaining to large and small projects,

planned development areas, and institutional master plans (BPDA n.d.). The process can include

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but is not limited to evaluation of a project’s projected effects on the environment, transportation,

the public sphere, and “historic resources” (BPDA n.d.). BPDA Project Managers help

developers during the Article 80 process, and public feedback on projects is encouraged

throughout the review timeline. District energy microgrids were only one of two technologies

that required an Article 80 project size threshold in excess of 1.5 million square feet to have the

city recommend their inclusion when cost-effective to do so (BPDA n.d.; 2018).

The Smart Utility Standards established guidelines for integration and planning of SUTs

with pre-existing utility infrastructure in both new and existing streets (BPDA n.d.). The

guidelines are for developers, engineers, utility providers, and architects that are planning,

locating, and designing utilities. The standards are a work-in-progress, with finalization

concluding with the adoption of the Smart Utilities Policy for Article 80 Development Review.

In addition to the aforementioned planned and proposed electric microgrid projects,

Boston’s existing and forthcoming microgrids include: the Medical Area Total Energy Plant

(MATEP) in Longwood, Veolia’s district energy networks in Boston, Longwood, and

Cambridge, Veolia’s Kendall Station CHP plant and cogeneration plant for a biotechnology firm

in Cambridge, as well as university microgrids at MIT, Tufts, Harvard, and Northeastern

Universities (Burger 2017a; 2017b; Emmett Environmental Law & Policy Clinic 2014; Lund

2017; MIT Sustainable Design Lab 2016; Wood 2019).

The policies enacted and plans published guide local development of electric microgrids

to specific kinds of projects, and highlights areas of particular interest for future microgrid

development. However, state policy greatly affects what types of projects the city can pursue

and what ownership models are legally permitted. While Massachusetts is a home rule state, the

limitations on local autonomy granted by the state impact Boston’s ability to execute ESPCs

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(Barron, Frug, and Su 2004; Wood 2017). The deregulation of the electricity sector also makes

it nearly impossible to have utilities own or co-develop microgrids with municipalities like

Boston without a waiver from the state (Emmett Environmental Law & Policy Clinic 2014). The

expense of electric microgrid systems also hinders municipal microgrid development, leading to

greater reliance on financing defined and implemented by the state.

New York City Policy Context

With regards to franchise rights in New York City, the municipal government has a

formal and organized system whereby applicants may receive a revocable consent permitting

them to build and use infrastructure within public space as a quasi-owner of the property

(NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014). The New York City Department of

Transportation (DOT) website indicates that getting a revocable consent necessitates petitioning

the Division of Franchises, Concessions and Consents and submitting a petition for DOT

evaluation. The DOT then gives the petition to relevant City agencies, which could include the

Department of City Planning, Department of Buildings, and other agencies that administer

safety, zoning, and landmark preservation rules. The DOT then holds a public hearing about the

petition’s merits, followed by a 10-day comment period. In the absence of issues with the

petition, the DOT executes a revocable consent agreement with the petitioner subject to Mayoral

approval. Similar permit systems exist in other cities in New York State. If a microgrid project

tries to provide service within an existing franchise area, any pre-existing franchisee can

intervene or be invited to comment on proceedings between the incoming microgrid developer

and the municipality on granting new property use permissions.

In September, 2014 the DeBlasio administration released One City: Built to Last, which

called for an update to New York City’s climate targets to an 80% reduction GHG by 2050

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compared to 2005 levels (City of New York 2014; City of New York Press Office 2014). In

April 2015, New York City published One New York: The Plan for a Strong and Just City

(OneNYC), which represents its strategic plan for tackling climate change, aging infrastructure,

population growth, and increasing inequality (City of New York 2018). Among other goals, the

plan set forth lowering the City’s GHG emissions by 30% by 2030 and reiterated the longer term

80% by 2050 target all relative to a 2005 baseline (City of New York 2014; 2015). Furthermore,

the plan called for smart grid technology adoption and increased development of decentralized

renewable energy. OneNYC was the first resilience strategy released in collaboration with the

Rockefeller Foundation’s 100 Resilient Cities initiative (City of New York 2018). In April 2018,

the Mayor’s Office of Recovery and Resiliency published a report called Climate Resiliency

Design Guidelines, which in a section on strategies to address electricity outages during

heatwaves recommended exploring opportunities to isolate and island critical loads from the

larger grid (Mayor’s Office of Recovery and Resiliency 2018).

In response to the damage caused by Hurricane Sandy in 2012, the NYC Economic

Development Corporation (NYCEDC) launched a $30 million program with federal disaster

recovery funds from the Community Development Block Grant-Disaster Recovery program

administered by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) in 2014 called

Resiliency Innovations for a Stronger Economy (RISE: NYC) (NYCEDC 2015a; 2015b; 2018).

It was a global competition to identify resiliency technologies that could help small businesses in

NYC for future sea level rise, storms, and other climate change impacts. After nearly 200

applications, 11 technologies were chosen. The types of technologies selected include building

systems, telecom networks, and energy solutions. Microgrids were among the energy

technologies funded as a result of this competition.

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As with the case of Boston, NYC does not have a publicly available comprehensive

inventory of existing or proposed electric microgrids exists for NYC. According to a 2015

Navigant study, there are at least five electric microgrids online, two under development, and

three proposed projects in NYC (Horne, Asmus, and Stanton 2015). This mostly excludes the

ongoing project efforts from NY Prize and RISE: NYC.

The policies enacted and plans published in NYC also guide municipal development of

electric microgrids, and in the case of RISE: NYC funds microgrid technological innovation and

pilot projects. Again, as in the case of Boston, New York State policy great affects what types of

projects the city can pursue and what ownership models are legally permitted. New York is also

a home rule state, and the associated limitations on local autonomy granted by the state affects

NYC’s ability to unilaterally develop electric microgrids (NYSBA 2016). The deregulation of

the electricity sector poses significant obstacles to having utilities be the sole owner or developer

of microgrids; hybrid models of ownership for multi-user microgrids between utilities,

municipalities, and private stakeholders have been permitted and represent a path forward for

future development in the city (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014; Walton 2018).

The Hudson Yard electric microgrid, made possible through the partnership between the utility

Consolidated Edison and the private developer Related Cos. of the Hudson Yards project,

exemplifies how microgrids in NYC can be developed via hybrid ownership. The cost of electric

microgrid systems also inhibits municipal microgrid development, resulting in greater reliance

on financing defined and implemented by the state and federal government in projects related to

disaster recovery.

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Dissertation Outline

This dissertation elaborates upon three research inquiries. Chapter 2 addresses what are

the key drivers of state electric microgrid policy adoption are and asks if there is a correlation

between these factors and the strength of those policies. This chapter combines a quantitative

analysis of drivers of adoption and strength of electric microgrid policy with policy sequencing

theory. Chapter 3 explores how policies and regulations related to microgrid development align

with or run counter to the goals of energy democracy. This qualitative study compares the

electric microgrid policies in Massachusetts, New York, and the largest city within each state to

better understand whether they are consistent with the goals of energy democracy. Chapter 4

analyzes whether policy diffusion occurred in the case of electric microgrid policy adoption, if

yes what was the mechanism, and if no how did policy innovation come from within the polity.

This qualitative case study compares the electric microgrid policies in Massachusetts, New York,

and the two largest cities in these states (Boston and New York City) to better understand the

development of their policies using the analytical lenses of policy diffusion and policy learning.

Chapter 5 concludes by revisiting the findings of these chapters, contextualizes them in their

respective literatures, and makes recommendations for future research topics on electric

microgrid policy.

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CHAPTER 2: Energy Resilience: An Analysis of Drivers of State

Electric Microgrid Policy

Abstract

This study quantitatively evaluates the adoption and strength of U.S. state electric

microgrid policies as these metrics relate to potential predictors and drivers of policy adoption

and strength. Linear fixed effects and random effects ordered probit models were developed to

assess how predictive variables such as population density, real gross state product per capita,

and average annual state electricity prices among others were of policy adoption and strength.

Policy adoption and strength were operationalized using a 0-3 scale derived from policy

sequencing literature, with 0 being no policy and 3 being market expansion and the most

supportive of microgrid development. Variables representing geographic policy diffusion, citizen

and government ideology (linear models only), average annual electricity prices (ordered probit

models only) and population density were statistically significant predictors of policy outcomes

observed. Threshold values in the ordered probit analysis increased in size between market

preparation and market expansion, which empirically demonstrates policy stacking in the case of

electric microgrids.

Keywords

Electric Microgrid Policy, Policy Sequencing, Policy Stacking, Linear Fixed Effects Model,

Random Effects Ordered Probit Model

Introduction

Electric microgrid policy is more nascent than policies that specifically address

renewable energy like Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) (Carley and Miller 2012; Cook et

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al. 2018). Since both are potential vehicles for addressing climate change, and the microgrids

can also enhance the resilience of critical infrastructure and the electric grid as a whole,

understanding the policy environment and drivers for policy adoption and strength is essential.

However, while efforts to quantify and identify predictors of policy adoption and strength exist

for RPS, the same cannot be said of microgrid policy. Electric microgrid policy is distinct from

RPS and other renewable energy policies because the technology can island critical infrastructure

during extreme weather events, and is capable of using fossil fuels as an input to the system,

which can complicate its measurement towards greenhouse gas emission reduction goals

(Campbell 2012; EOP 2013; K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; Panteli and Mancarella 2015;

Vine, Attanasio, and Shittu 2017; Zamuda et al. 2013). These distinguishing features, as well as

the urgency of the aforementioned exogenous threats to the electric grid, make studying the

drivers of electric microgrid policy adoption and strength worthwhile for understanding ongoing

policy efforts.

This study is a quantitative evaluation of the adoption and strength of electric microgrid

policies at the state level. Many studies, both domestic case studies and international

comparisons, use qualitative methods to discuss microgrid policy barriers, opportunities, and

economics (Ali et al. 2017; Emmett Environmental Law & Policy Clinic 2014; Hanna et al.

2017; Hirsch, Parag, and Guerrero 2018; Hyams et al. 2010; K. B. Jones et al. 2014; K. B. Jones,

James, and Mastor 2017; Kema Inc. 2014; Soshinskaya et al. 2014). Quantitative analysis

already exists in the literature exploring the adoption and strength of other renewable energy-

related policies, namely RPS (Carley and Miller 2012). There is categorization of different

microgrid policies in the literature (Cook et al. 2018). No study to date has utilized statistical

models to identify drivers of electric microgrid policy adoption and strength (in terms of policy

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sequencing) at the state-level. The quantitative approach taken here measures differences

between variables and observed policy outcomes in all states and Washington DC rather than a

subset of states. Some of the models used in this study also quantify and delineate the variation

explained by national trends affecting all states equally. These characteristics of my study create

a unique national-level view of drivers of state electric microgrid policy.

The research questions for this chapter are: what are the key drivers of state electric

microgrid policy adoption, and is there a correlation between these factors and the strength of

those policies? To answer these questions, I create statistical models that identify variables that

are predictive of electric microgrid policy adoption and strength at the state level. The chapter

most closely builds off of the works of Carley and Miller (2012), which asked similar questions

but about RPS policies, and a National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) report’s

microgrid policy framework and research (Carley and Miller 2012; Cook et al. 2018). The

dependent variable is the strength of electric microgrid policy present in a state, which from

weakest to strongest is: no policy, market preparation, market creation, and market expansion.

This scale for the dependent variable is based upon a policy sequencing framework articulated by

NREL (Cook et al. 2018). The independent variables tested include: state average annual

electricity price, the percent of Democrats in the lower house of state legislature relative to total

representatives, citizen and government ideology scores (0-100) from the

Berry/Ringquist/Fording/Hanson (BRFH) indices, whether contiguous states have microgrid

policies, the gross state product (GSP) per capita ($/person) in chained 2012 dollars, and state

population density in number of people per square kilometer (W. D. Berry et al. 2010; 1998;

2007; Carley and Miller 2012; Cook et al. 2018; NCSL 2018; U.S. BEA 2019; U.S. Census

Bureau 2010; 2016; 2018; U.S. EIA 2018). These independent variables collectively represent a

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list of statistically and conceptually significant indicators for environmental and energy policy

according to state-level policy adoption studies (Carley and Miller 2012; Chandler 2009; Huang

et al. 2007; Lyon and Yin 2010; Matisoff 2008; Ringquist and Garand 1999; Stoutenborough and

Beverlin 2008; Wiener and Koontz 2010).

While there have been ongoing refinements to policy diffusion theory, geographic

models, and learning, the underlying diffusion process has no single unifying theory (F. S. Berry

and Berry 2007; Carley and Miller 2012). The nongeographic leader-laggard diffusion model

whereby certain states become trend setters, does not appear to apply to the case of RPS and net

metering policies, which are the closest proxies in the literature to electric microgrid policy

(Carley and Miller 2012; Stoutenborough and Beverlin 2008). There is no obvious consensus for

internal determinants that contribute to state energy policy adoption, with conflicting results for

the impact of renewable energy potential on RPS and net metering policy adoption (Carley 2009;

Carley and Miller 2012; Lyon and Yin 2010; Matisoff 2008; Stoutenborough and Beverlin

2008). Specific policies can vary widely, hindering generalizability across policy domains

(Carley and Miller 2012). Factors that multiple researchers found to be significant and positively

related to state energy policy enactment include state-level political ideology of citizen

preferences and partisan legislative dominance, and state affluence measured by total or per

capita GSP (Carley and Miller 2012; Chandler 2009; Huang et al. 2007; Lyon and Yin 2010;

Matisoff 2008; Stoutenborough and Beverlin 2008; Wiener and Koontz 2010). However,

multiple researchers have found no significance from the presence of coal or natural gas

industries upon policy adoption (Carley and Miller 2012; Huang et al. 2007; Matisoff 2008).

Since regular and comprehensive polling of state-level political ideology is unavailable, political

ideology is most frequently operationalized via proxies like partisan legislative control (Carley

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and Miller 2012). This type of proxy can present problems because the binary nature of the

metric can indicate erroneously high degrees of volatility. Thus, as was the case in Carley and

Miller (2012), the BRFH indices are included to estimate ideologies, which I hypothesize that

both citizen and government ideological liberalism will be significant positive indicators of

electric microgrid policy adoption. The BRFH indices comprise complex models that include

and weight multiple factors such as ideology estimates of electoral challengers, ratings of

congressional representatives from interest groups, a nonlinear distribution of partisanship in

legislation, and vote weights by district. The results of the models are expressed numerically

with a sliding scale of policy liberalism from 0 to 100. One index covers state-level citizen

ideology made with Americans for Democratic Action scores, while another captures state-level

government ideology utilizing DW-Nominate scores (W. D. Berry et al. 2010; 1998; F. S. Berry

and Berry 2007; Carley and Miller 2012). As a bulwark against omitted variable bias, the

percent of Democratic seats in states’ House of Representatives is included (Carley and Miller

2012). While the percentage is a proxy for ideology, party status can track less in parallel with

liberalism depending on the state and can express itself differently via party-line voting or

caucus-based authority of committee assignments. The two ideology variables, as well as the

percent of Democrats in state houses variable are tested to confirm they are not so highly

correlated as to lead to multicollinearity.

Electricity prices are included as an independent variable because the author concurs with

Carley and Miller’s (2012) hypothesis that higher energy prices from existing sources could

increase public acceptance of investment into alternative options, which could include the

installation of microgrids (Carley and Miller 2012). Some prior analyses have included total GSP

as an independent variable measuring state economic activity and affluence, but utilizing GSP

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per capita standardizes for potentially large discrepancies between states of different sizes that

may not represent relative affluence disparities (Carley and Miller 2012; Chandler 2009;

Matisoff 2008). All else held equal, states with more financial resources may possess greater

public resources for electric microgrid development and thus be more likely to adopt policies that

promote their development than states with less financial means (Carley and Miller 2012). The

justification for including population density is the hypothesis that states with higher population

densities may experience commensurately greater energy demand placed upon more centralized

grid infrastructure, and thus have either actual or perceived greater need for investment and

policy in energy systems, including electric microgrids.

The geographic diffusion variable, measuring the percentage of contiguous states that

have electric microgrid policies, is included to ascertain whether an observable relationship

exists between policy actions of one state and the pre-existing policies of neighboring states

(Carley and Miller 2012). This variable could yield mixed outcomes; if a positive coefficient

results, one could deduce policy diffusion from state to state, but a negative coefficient means a

state became less likely to adopt a policy if neighboring states already have that policy (Carley

and Miller 2012; Hays and Glick 1997).

Policy sequencing, also known as policy stacking, is a concept in the theoretical literature

whereby policymakers adopt market reforms in a step-wise fashion, thus incrementally

addressing barriers (Cook et al. 2018; Demont and Rizzotto 2012; Krasko and Doris 2013;

Meckling, Sterner, and Wagner 2017; Nsouli, Rached, and Funke 2005). Lower cost and lower

impact policies are pursued first to open a potential market before passing more complicated

policies with a greater impact that advance their goals. Policy stacking has been applied in

energy, financing, economic reform, and agriculture markets (Asiedu-Saforo 1989; Cook et al.

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2018; Daugbjerg 2009; Demont and Rizzotto 2012; Krasko and Doris 2013; Meckling, Sterner,

and Wagner 2017; Nsouli, Rached, and Funke 2005; Soyibo 1997; Spooner and Smith 1991).

The efficacy of policy sequencing has varied based upon the policy area addressed (Cook et al.

2018; Nsouli, Rached, and Funke 2005). Krasko and Doris (2013) applied policy stacking to

distributed solar policy, and concluded it had a significant positive effect on overall deployment,

with subsequent tests corroborating the correlation (Cook et al. 2018; Krasko and Doris 2013;

Steward et al. 2014; Steward and Doris 2014). More recent work contended policy stacking

assisted policymakers in reaching their goals for more widespread energy markets by

diminishing technical and political barriers (Cook et al. 2018; Meckling, Sterner, and Wagner

2017).

Policy stacking has also been applied to microgrid policy (Cook et al. 2018). The

microgrid policy-specific application established three categories for microgrid policy: market

preparation, creation, and expansion. Market preparation policies work towards diminishing

institutional barriers that could limit market access to a technology, such as interconnection

standards that specify how microgrids can connect to the electric grid, regulations that allow the

deployment of electric microgrids, and energy or resilience planning efforts. Examples of

market preparation include New York State’s Energy Research and Development Authority’s

(NYSERDA) report “Microgrids: An Assessment of the Value, Opportunities and Barriers to

Deployment in New York State,”1 KEMA’s “Microgrids-Benefits, Models, Barriers and

Suggested Policy Initiatives for the Commonwealth of Massachusetts”2 report supported by the

Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, and Connecticut’s Public Act 13-2983 that legally defines

1 https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/-/media/Files/Publications/Research/Electic-Power-Delivery/microgrids-value-opportunities-barriers.pdf 2 http://files.masscec.com/research/Microgrids.pdf 3 https://www.cga.ct.gov/2013/act/pa/pdf/2013PA-00298-R00HB-06360-PA.pdf

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electric microgrids and relevant utility regulations. Market creation policies encourage private

investment in microgrids, which could be accomplished through mandating the deployment of

microgrids for particular facilities, pilot projects either funded by the state or partnering with

public institutions, or requiring utility procurement of electric microgrids. An example of market

creation is Duke Energy’s McAlpine microgrid pilot project4 in Charlotte, North Carolina that

provides resilience and grid benefits for a fire station. Market expansion policies are intended to

lower investment costs and enable widespread deployment, with tax incentives that offset

technology costs, financing mechanisms including subsidies and grants, advancing research and

development for the technology, and regulatory reform of the energy market all exemplify

market expansion policy. NYSERDA’s NY Prize5 microgrid grant competition and the state’s

Reforming the Energy Vision (REV)6 initiatives are both policies that qualify as market

expansion for electric microgrids. This order, preparation, creation, and then expansion is

highlighted as being potentially more successful for achieving state policy goals than states who

do not follow this sequence or adopt only parts of it (Cook et al. 2018; Krasko and Doris 2013).

There are, as of this writing, no studies that utilize the policy stacking concept in a quantitative

model of U.S. state electric microgrid policy. This is precisely the gap in the literature my study

addresses. Thus, the dependent variable for the random effects ordered probit and linear fixed

effects models described below utilize this policy stack to analyze whether certain independent

variables are predictive of observed outcomes in state microgrid policy.

4 https://microgridknowledge.com/green-microgrids-duke/ 5 https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/All-Programs/Programs/NY-Prize 6 https://rev.ny.gov/

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Methodology

This analysis utilized random effects ordered probit and linear fixed effects models to

assess adoption and strength of electric microgrid policies across the U.S. in relation to a series

of independent variables. The ordered probit models implemented Chamberlain’s correlated

random effects model, which enables the random effects to be correlated with the model’s

independent variables (Wooldridge 2010). These models are essentially fixed-effect

counterparts to the linear fixed-effect models that acknowledge that the dependent variable is an

ordered censored variable. The dependent variable of this study was the adoption and strength of

a state microgrid policy. The dependent variable was an ordered variable, with 0 being no policy,

1 being market preparation-only, 2 being market creation (in addition to market preparation if

applicable), and 3 being market expansion (in addition to market creation and preparation if

applicable). Thus, the policy that was most advanced along a policy sequence within a state was

what determined the coding for a state. For example, if a state had policies that qualify for 1 and

2, but not 3 or 0, the state was coded a 2. To construct the dataset for the dependent variable, I

completed a combination of searches using Google and Microgrid Knowledge. For the former, I

used keywords “___ state electric microgrid policy” and searched through the top 30 website

hits. For the latter, I searched every page that came up, and would only type in the state name as

it was already a website specializing in microgrids and energy. Information on these webpages

that described state policies and projects that fit the three policy categories, as well as pilot

projects that were approved, funded, and built were all counted in the dataset as long as they

were public (including state universities) rather than private and were civilian and not military.

The 50 U.S. states and Washington D.C. between 2009-2018 were the cases and timeframe

considered in the scope of the study. Figures 2.1-2.3 illustrate the evolution of electric microgrid

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policy over the time period considered in my study using the policy sequencing concept and

database created for this analysis. Only Texas and Florida had electric microgrid policies in

2009, but by 2018 a majority of states did. For the random effects ordered probit model,

Between variables were created for each independent variable to capture the correlation between

the random effects and the independent variables, removing the bias that could otherwise be

present in the independent variable coefficient estimates due to this correlation. For one of the

two random effects ordered probit models, time dummies were created to account for time fixed

effects that affect every state the same but capture other factors.

Figure 2. 1: 2009

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Figure 2. 2: 2014

Figure 2. 3: 2018

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The independent variables were introduced to the model simultaneously via standard

selection. The independent variables tested include: state average annual electricity price, the

percent of Democrats in the lower house of state legislature relative to total representatives,

citizen and government ideology scores (0-100) from the Berry/Ringquist/Fording/Hanson

(BRFH) indices, whether contiguous states have microgrid policies, the real gross state product

per capita ($/person) in chained 2012 dollars, and state population density in individuals per

square kilometer (W. D. Berry et al. 2010; 1998; 2007; Carley and Miller 2012; Cook et al.

2018; NCSL 2018; U.S. BEA 2019; U.S. Census Bureau 2010; 2016; 2018; U.S. EIA 2018).

Electricity price is the average price across all sectors paid by end user electric customers

in each state in cents/kWh in a given year (Carley and Miller 2012; U.S. EIA 2018). The

geographic diffusion variable was created with the policy environment data from NREL and a

social accounting matrix that records which states share borders (Carley and Miller 2012; Cook

et al. 2018; U.S. Census Bureau 2010). Electric microgrid policy presence was counted from a

contiguous state matrix and divided by the total quantity of contiguous states (Carley and Miller

2012). Hawaii was treated as sharing borders with California, while Alaska with no other states.

The variable ranged from 0, when no adjacent states have an electric microgrid policy, to 100

percent when they all did.

Average electricity price data was only available through 2017, while the latest citizen

and government ideology score data collected was available through 2016. Extrapolation of the

data point from the final year of these three variables through 2018 was necessary to increase the

statistical power of the model. Thus, for average electricity price, the 2017 prices were used for

2018, and the 2016 citizen and government ideology scores were used for 2017 and 2018.

Several other variables were initially considered for inclusion but were excluded in the

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final analysis due to statistical insignificance or other problems. These included renewable

energy potential in individual states, national energy storage costs and capacity volumes, national

number of net metering customers by capacity and technology, the percentage of the population

that lived in urban areas in each state, and average construction cost of installed generation

capacity in dollars per kWh of nameplate capacity installed. Electric and natural gas sector

deregulation variables were perfectly collinear as neither varied within states between 2009 and

2018, and thus were dropped from the model.

Results and Discussion

Table 2. 1: Models 1-5 Results ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 --------------------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- AvgPrice | -0.001 0.027 .0267945 .3494174*** .1934094* (0.035) (0.036) (.036211) (.0869567) (.1021847) CitizenIdeology | 0.018** 0.017** .016554** .017156 -.000354 (0.008) (0.007) (.00733) (.0212498) (.0299861) ContState | 0.783*** 0.578*** .5784461*** 3.395438*** 1.78522*** (0.193) (0.183) (.1831003) (.444039) (.5423122) Dems | 0.154 0.975 .975265 -2.739387 1.93987 (0.752) (0.680) (.6797918) (1.942247) (2.612373) GovernmentIdeology | 0.011** 0.010** .0099123** .0081829 .0069283 (0.005) (0.005) (.0049331) (.015725) (.019354) gsp | -0.00000 0.00001 .0000143 .0000499 -.0000178 (0.00002) (0.00002) (.0000166) (.0000528) (.0000689) PopDen | 0.077*** 0.033* .0325995* .0914077** -.078529 (0.023) (0.019) (.0189781) (.0438778) (.0555816) 2010 | .106281 .2467503 (.1377772) (.6866298) 2011 | .2237235 .5148803 (.1500172) (.7416371) 2012 | .3019154* 1.478203** (.1549325) (.7291792) 2013 | .4244173*** 2.20207*** (.1576862) (.6975701) 2014 | .5689655*** 2.652703*** (.1749936) (.7578312) 2015 | .6918203*** 3.044599*** (.1926029) (.7989265) 2016 | .7957171*** 3.496471*** (.1998222) (.8065279)

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2017 | 1.002565*** 3.949225*** (.2147248) (.8443919) 2018 | 1.15334*** 4.156011*** (.231531) (.8934984)

_cons | -5.344715*** (1.668267)

/cut1 | 4.14501 7.117275 (1.474576) (1.823887) /cut2 | 4.750934 7.837074 (1.47995) (1.833461) /cut3 | 6.511894 9.829036 (1.509485) (1.877855) BetweenAvgPrice | -.3184706** -.1586562 (.1266295) (.1461689) BetweenCitizenIdeology | .0172609 .0401052 (.0395623) (.0479741) BetweenContState | -4.002369** -2.243545 (1.866221) (2.120438) BetweenDems | .6692177 -3.852324 (4.022494) (4.809229) BetweenGovernmentIdeology | .0139488 .01522 (.0350484) (.0406823) Betweengsp | -.000033 .0000343 (.0000602) (.0000745) BetweenPopDen | -.0870602** .0840112 (.0440074) (.0558958) StateFixedEffects | Yes Yes Yes No No StateRandomEffects | No No No Yes Yes FixedTimeEffects | Yes Yes Yes No Yes Observations | 392 490 490 490 490 R^2 | 0.142 0.088 0.4755 Loglikelihood | -293.88849 -270.32489 FStatistic | 7.793*** 5.845*** 24.08*** (7df,329) (7df,425) (16df,425) ChiSquare | 151.36*** 144.95*** (14df) (23df) --------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

Note: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 The results of the linear fixed effects analysis excluding extrapolated values (Model 1)

yielded multiple statistically significant and insignificant variables. Citizen and Government

Ideology were both statistically significant at the 0.05 alpha level, while the contiguous states

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and population density variables were statistically significant at the 0.01 alpha level. The average

electric price in states, share of Democrats elected in lower state houses, and gross state product

in dollars per person were not statistically significant. A change in Citizen Ideology from the

lowest quartile state to the highest quartile state would predict a 0.317 increase in the electric

microgrid policy strength. A 1-unit change in policy strength was the difference between a state

having no policy and a policy of market preparation etc. A change in Government Ideology from

the lowest quartile state to the highest quartile state would predict a 0.376 increase in the electric

microgrid policy strength. The largest effect on electric microgrid policy strength came from the

Population Density variable, where a change from the lowest quartile state to the highest quartile

state would predict a 5.566 increase in the electric microgrid policy strength. A change in the

Contiguous States variable from the lowest quartile state to the highest quartile state would

predict a 0.392 increase in the electric microgrid policy strength.

The R-squared value of 0.14 is low, which suggests this model only accounts for a small

amount of the observed variation, even though some of the independent variables were

statistically significant. This could be due to several reasons. The decision focus on state policies

and projects and exclude military and federal initiatives could make certain states have

artificially low dependent variable scores which could be higher if those were included. It is

possible that the partisan affiliation of state governors could play a role, which was not examined

here. The effect from population density could corroborate the aforementioned hypothesis

regarding increased energy demand placed upon more centralized energy infrastructure and need

for investment in these systems. The large effect from population density could be also causal.

There are urban and rural models for microgrid development, with urban microgrids serving as a

means of enhancing resilience of existing electric infrastructure, while rural microgrids generally

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are the only source of electric generation and service provision for remote communities not tied

to the macrogrid (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017). The positive and predictive effect of

population density on policy level could suggest that the urban microgrid model was a focus of

the policies adopted. Table 2.2 lists states and their policy level in 2018 in the order of their

2018 population density.

Table 2. 2: Population Density and Policy Level State Name and Policy Level in 2018 2018 Population Density District of Columbia (1) 4442.578269 New Jersey (3) 467.7041138 Rhode Island (3) 394.8807046 Massachusetts (3) 341.655672 Connecticut (3) 284.8639356 Maryland (3) 240.3470567 Delaware (0) 191.6444244 New York (3) 160.1074854 Florida (2) 153.3566902 Pennsylvania (2) 110.517106 Ohio (1) 110.4562595 California (3) 98.04299388 Illinois (3) 88.60687154 Hawaii (2) 85.39409317 Virginia (1) 83.27903798 North Carolina (2) 82.46216807 Indiana (0) 72.11915138 Georgia (2) 70.61981769 Michigan (0) 68.26175471 South Carolina (1) 65.30095749 Tennessee (2) 63.39085545 New Hampshire (1) 58.5001518 Washington (3) 43.78128522 Kentucky (1) 43.69257141 Texas (2) 42.42151453 Louisiana (1) 41.64502835 Wisconsin (1) 41.44613055 Alabama (2) 37.26340856 Missouri (2) 34.41059264

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West Virginia (0) 29.00530709 Minnesota (2) 27.20805116 Vermont (3) 26.2367719 Mississippi (2) 24.57428327 Arizona (2) 24.37616572 Arkansas (0) 22.36251856 Oklahoma (2) 22.19452079 Iowa (1) 21.81627393 Colorado (2) 21.21796166 Oregon (2) 16.85672413 Maine (2) 16.75459702 Utah (2) 14.8535373 Kansas (0) 13.74946199 Nevada (0) 10.67200545 Nebraska (0) 9.696096567 Idaho (1) 8.195522194 New Mexico (2) 6.6699229 South Dakota (0) 4.493185056 North Dakota (0) 4.253101165 Montana (0) 2.818070126 Wyoming (0) 2.297438442 Alaska (3) 0.498958961

The results of the linear fixed effects analysis with extrapolated values (Model 2) also

yielded multiple statistically significant and insignificant variables. Citizen and Government

Ideology were both statistically significant at the 0.05 alpha level, while the contiguous states

variable was statistically significant at the 0.01 alpha level, and the population density variable

was statistically significant at the 0.1 alpha level. The average electric price in states, share of

Democrats elected in lower state houses, and gross state product in dollars per person were not

statistically significant. A change in Citizen Ideology from the lowest quartile state to the highest

quartile state would predict a 0.303 increase in the electric microgrid policy strength. A change

in Government Ideology from the lowest quartile state to the highest quartile state would predict

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a 0.337 increase in the electric microgrid policy strength. A change in Population Density from

the lowest quartile state to the highest quartile state would predict a 2.386 increase in the electric

microgrid policy strength. For the Contiguous States variable, a change from the lowest quartile

state to the highest quartile state would predict a 0.289 increase in the electric microgrid policy

strength. The R-squared value of 0.09 is even lower, which suggests this fixed-effects model

only accounts for a small amount of the observed variation as well, despite some of the

independent variables being statistically significant.

The difference in R^2 value between the models in Model 2 and Model 3 is due to the

inclusion of the time fixed effects dummy variable, which explains a large portion of the

variance in policy outcomes. The coefficients on the time dummies trends upwards, suggesting

there is a common national trend affecting policy across the states, but they do not reveal what

the cause or causes were for this result. In model 3, 2012 was trending at the 0.1 level, while

2013-2014 were significant at the 0.01 level and 2015-2018 were significant at the 0.001 level.

The within R-squared value was 0.476, which was the highest of the three linear fixed effects

models.

The two random effects ordered probit models run all used the extrapolated values

mentioned previously. Both models yielded at least one, and in a number of cases a few

statistically significant variables. The cutoff values calculated were also noteworthy. The

models differed on whether time dummies were included and which (if any) variables were

excluded. The random effects ordered probit model with no time dummies (Model 4) yielded

statistically significant results at the 0.001 alpha level for Contiguous States and Average Price,

and Population Density at the 0.05 alpha level. For both Models 4 and 5, effect sizes for the

variables were calculated using average marginal effects coefficients, while both average

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marginal and conditional marginal effects coefficients yielded qualitatively similar results.

States in the highest quartile of Average Price were 17% less likely to have no policy and 7%

more likely to have market expansion policies than states in the lowest quartile. States in the

highest quartile of Contiguous States were 24% less likely to have no policy and 10% more

likely to have market expansion policies than states in the lowest quartile. States in the highest

quartile of Population Density were 9% less likely to have no policy and 38% more likely to

have market expansion policies than states in the lowest quartile.

Model 5 included time dummies. In Model 5, Contiguous States was statistically

significant at the 0.01 alpha level, and Average Price was trending at the 0.1 alpha level. The

effect sizes were less than half of Model 4 and many of the time dummies were statistically

significant as was the case in the linear fixed effects model that included them, which suggests

the passage of time and other factors not captured by the model affected the calculated predictive

power of Average Price and Contiguous States. Furthermore, this suggests that there is

correlation between time and the independent variables, making it difficult to distinguish

between effects on policy related to trends in the independent variables within states and effects

on policy related to national trends that were common across states. States in the highest quartile

of Average Price were 8% less likely to have no policy and 3% more likely to have market

expansion policies than states in the lowest quartile. States in the highest quartile of Contiguous

States were 11% less likely to have no policy and 5% more likely to have market expansion

policies than states in the lowest quartile. The difference in thresholds between market

preparation and market creation (.61 for Model 4 and .72 for Model 5) were much smaller than

between market creation and market expansion (1.76 for Model 4 and 1.99 for Model 5). This

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suggests that in going from no policy to market expansion, the market creation phase takes much

more “effort” than the market preparation phase.

Conclusions and Policy Implications

The low amount of variation explained by the models suggests that it is difficult to

pinpoint the exact factors contributing to microgrid policy adoption. However, future models

could provide additional clarity as to which factors contribute to electric microgrid policy

outcomes. The statistically significant factors-ideologies of citizens and governments, population

density, average electricity prices, and contiguous states-suggest the hypotheses that these

variables contributed to observed policy outcomes were corroborated by the analysis. The

significance of population density suggests states with larger or more urban populations are more

likely to adopt market expansion microgrid policies. The relationship between policy strength

and population density also makes the urban microgrid model a focus of microgrid policy

support. The significance of the ideology variables means that states that are more liberal in

terms of their citizenry and the votes of their elected officials are more likely to have microgrid

policies that are further along the policy sequence. States with higher average annual electricity

prices are more likely to adopt policies further along the policy sequence, suggesting that the

presence of high prices pressures states to explore and support technology and policy alternatives

like microgrids that could rein in prices. The contiguous states variable’s significance means

there is a relationship between the adoption of policies further along the policy sequence in a

given state and that of its neighboring states. While spatial proximity of governments adopting

policies has been used as an indicator of policy diffusion in the literature, there are many

indicators used to measure policy diffusion, and further investigation is required to make a

determination as to whether spatial proximity is a proxy for diffusion or not in the case of

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electric microgrid policy. The results for partisan composition of state legislatures and state

affluence as measured by gross state product per capita were all statistically insignificant. Thus,

ideologies of legislators and citizens were more predictive than partisan affiliation of legislators.

Gross state product per capita did not meaningfully predict which states adopted which policies

along the policy sequence for microgrids. These findings are mostly consistent with previous

research regarding other energy policies.

Compared to the discrete time multinomial logit model studying RPS policy stringency in

Carley and Miller (2012), results for gross state product and Democrats in state legislatures

variables were statistically insignificant in both studies. Citizen ideology, government ideology,

and time variables were statistically significant in both studies as well. Contiguous states and

average electricity price were statistically significant variables in my study of microgrids but

were not in Carley and Miller’s (2012) analysis of RPS. The presence of statistically significant

variables and increasing threshold values for the different dependent variable outcomes lends

further credence to the hypothesis that policy stacking is applicable to the case of electric

microgrid policy.

The greater R-squared values for models including time fixed effects suggests that

national trends that affected states equally are important in understanding microgrid policy

drivers. These trends could be technological advances in microgrids, federal policy changes and

initiatives, and events that influenced the policy priorities of states. Hurricane Sandy struck the

Northeast in the fall of 2012, which could have served as a focusing event for getting electric

microgrid policy, as well as policies addressing resilience more generally, on the legislative

agendas of states in the years that followed. The price of lithium ion batteries dropped by 85%

between 2010 and 2018 (from $1,160 per kWh down to $176 per kWh in real 2018 dollars),

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which is important since lithium ion batteries are a leading source of energy storage, and energy

storage is increasingly viewed as an essential element of microgrids, especially for those utilizing

renewable resources (Goldie-Scot 2019). The prices for renewable energy also declined, with a

77% cost reduction in utility-scale solar PV between 2010 and 2018, solar PV module prices

dropped over 90% between 2009 and 2018, and a 35% drop in cost of onshore wind projects

commissioned between 2010 and 2018 (IRENA 2019). These are several possibilities for

national trends and events influencing state electric microgrid policy adoption. The complicated

landscape created by state and national trends affecting microgrid policy makes it difficult to

distill what is driving those policies to a few simple factors. Future research could explore

variables beyond the scope of this study related to executive and gubernatorial policy, federal

and military development of microgrids, and vulnerability of state infrastructure to various

hazards including climate change.

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CHAPTER 3: Energy Democracy and Electric Microgrid Policy

Abstract

Electric microgrids are a group of distributed energy sources and interconnected loads

acting as one controllable entity that can connect and disconnect from the grid. Electric

microgrids represent one set of technologies that can distribute and decentralize energy

infrastructure assets and ownership, which can increase democratic participation in energy

systems and transitions to renewable energy. This qualitative study compared the electric

microgrid policies in Massachusetts, New York, and the largest city within each state to better

understand whether they are consistent with the goals of energy democracy. Energy democracy

is an aspirational and normative set of goals with the intent to increase public participation,

ownership, and decentralization of energy systems as part of a transition to renewable energy

sources. Analysis of interviews with representatives of state and city government, public benefit

corporations, quasi-public agencies, and grassroots advocacy organizations revealed that

elements of energy democracy were integrated into energy policy in both states and cities.

Political factors with potential to inhibit energy democracy goals were also uncovered, including

the influence and role of private developers in the decision-making process and limitations of

community participation and feedback in some microgrid projects.

Keywords

Electric Microgrid Policy, Energy Democracy, Explanation Building Case Studies,

Massachusetts, New York

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Introduction

Extreme weather events, climate change, and other hazards threaten the stability of the

electric grid; electric microgrids represent one technology that can enhance grid resilience and

integrate more renewable energy sources (Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States

from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack 2008; EOP 2013; K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor

2017; National Research Council 2012; Panteli and Mancarella 2015; Quadrennial Energy

Review Task Force 2015; Smith and Ton 2013; Vine, Attanasio, and Shittu 2017; H. Yin, Xiao,

and Lv 2015; Zamuda et al. 2013). There are a number of definitions for what electric

microgrids are; one is

a group of interconnected loads and distributed energy resources within clearly defined electrical boundaries that acts as a single controllable entity with respect to the grid. A microgrid can connect and disconnect from the grid to enable it to operate in both grid-connected or island mode (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; Smith and Ton 2013, 22). The composition of microgrids as both an energy supply source and electric infrastructure

to distribute the energy generated on-site allows them to operate independent from the

macrogrid. The independence of both generation and distribution systems from the macrogrid

can also be referred to as a power island, or “an energized section of circuits separate from the

larger system” (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; von Meier 2006, 152). The island, upon

being disconnected from the macrogrid, transitions from being a redundant set of infrastructures

to the main source of power for users connected to the islanded area (K. B. Jones, James, and

Mastor 2017; von Meier 2006, 153). While many early microgrids were deployed at hospitals,

universities, and military bases, electric microgrids have been deployed in every sector in both

urban and rural settings (Cohn 2019; Roberts and Chang 2018). There is a dispute over which

microgrid is the world’s largest, but the range is between 100MW to 135MW in capacity (Burger

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2018). As a proxy for average microgrid size, Hitachi claims the optimal range in microgrid size

in terms of costs and benefits is between 1.5MW and 40MW (Wood 2016).

U.S. microgrid capacity has increased from 700 MW in 2010 to over 2 GW in 2017, with

545 MW in new capacity installed in 2018 alone (GTM Research 2018a; 2018b; Wood

Mackenzie 2018; 2019b). Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary database of electric microgrids

currently tracks 2,288 systems across the country, and they are forecasting that cumulative U.S.

microgrid capacity will reach 8.8GW by 2024 (Wood Mackenzie 2019b; 2019a). Over half of

all 2018 U.S. microgrid projects were third-party-owned, 80% were supported by third-party

financing, and 39% of operational microgrids in 2018 were for commercial purposes (Wood

Mackenzie 2018; 2019b). As a growing technology, microgrids serve as both a vehicle for

renewable energy deployment and as a potential means of decentralizing and enhancing the

resilience of electric infrastructure (Angel 2016a; Burke and Stephens 2017; 2018; Cook et al.

2018; GTM Research 2018a; 2018b; Speth 2015; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015).

Furthermore, electric microgrids can decentralize the management structure and ownership of

these systems relative to macrogrid systems, which are both intended outcomes of energy

democracy. Microgrids can also be powered by fossil fuels like natural gas or diesel in a

privatized, centralized ownership structure, so their contribution to energy system transformation

is complex. In addition to the benefits for communities, microgrid projects can also serve the

interests of large, centralized, legacy energy institutions that may not be interested in advancing

renewable energy. Since microgrids can produce a range of process and equity outcomes,

including everything between the two extremes presented here, comparing the design, process,

and results of microgrid policy and development between states and at different scales can

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provide insight into how microgrid policies can align with or stray from the goals of energy

democracy.

This study provides a unique multi-scale comparative analysis of electric microgrid

policy through the analytical lens of energy democracy. The case studies of New York and

Massachusetts, through both state policy and municipal action in Boston and New York City,

provide insights on the evolution of energy policy in two large urban contexts in the northeastern

United States. Several prior studies highlight the value and need for further research in

characterizing energy democracy in practice, including the efficacy and application of different

combinations of approaches within and across communities (Angel 2017; Burke and Stephens

2017; Hess 2018; Szulecki 2018; Stephens et al. 2018). This study contributes to filling this gap

by examining microgrids and related policies in two states with ambitious renewable energy

goals and large cities within them. Building upon the applied research of energy democracy and

electric microgrids is important in part because energy democracy is not a guaranteed outcome of

their installation (Burke and Stephens 2018).

My research question is: how do policies and regulations related to microgrid

development align with or run counter to the goals of energy democracy? Microgrids have

historically been used by hospitals, universities and other large institutions that cannot be without

power. More recently, cities have been encouraging more wide-scale adoption to enhance critical

infrastructure resilience through energy redundancy, which would enable grocery stores, senior

and affordable housing among other facilities to continuously function during and after extreme

weather events (BRA 2016; City of Boston 2017b; City of New York 2014; 2015; Grimley and

Farrell 2016; K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; Mayor’s Office of Recovery and Resiliency

2018). The energy democracy literature would suggest that where a city expands microgrids

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may depend on private investment, which could exclude vulnerable populations from enjoying

the benefits from the operation of these systems (Burke and Stephens 2017; 2018; Walton 2018).

To examine that premise, this project examines what determines where microgrids will be

located. Is it a function of the economic value of a particular part of the city? What determines

whether or not low-income communities will be sites for microgrid development? Are the

decision-making processes used consistent with energy democracy’s goals?

To examine my research question on how policies and regulations related to microgrid

development align or counter the goals of energy democracy, I apply Burke and Stephens’

(2017) resist, reclaim, and restructure framework to comparatively assess two cases, each having

two subunits of analysis. The cases are Massachusetts and New York. The state level actions

represent the first subunit of analysis, while a municipality within each state (Boston and New

York City respectively) are the second analytical subunit. Both states and municipalities are

pioneering in microgrid policy. New York provides funding for all stages of microgrid projects,

not just feasibility studies (EOEEA 2014; NYSEPB 2015; Rubenoff 2018). New York also

changed its electricity market via the Reforming the Energy Vision (REV) proceeding to value

Distributed Generation with a value stack (tariffs), whereas Massachusetts utilizes net metering

(DSIRE 2016; NYSEPB 2015; Shrestha 2018). These differences, along with their similarities in

regional proximity and governmental structure, make them ideal cases suited for comparative

analysis.

Energy Democracy as an Analytical Lens and Frame

Energy democracy is an emerging social movement as well as a theoretical approach

within the sociotechnical transition literature (Burke and Stephens 2017; Farrell 2014; Stephens

2019; Stephens et al. 2018; Van Veelen and Van Der Horst 2018). Energy democracy has three

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overarching goals, with numerous intended outcomes associated with each goal (Angel 2016a;

Burke and Stephens 2017; Speth 2015; Sweeney 2014; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015). The

first goal is to resist the agenda of the fossil fuel industry by eliminating its government subsidies

and other public support, halting fossil fuel extraction and infrastructure expansion, and

minimizing their public legitimacy and the sector’s privatization (Angel 2016a; 2016b; Burke

and Stephens 2017; 2018; Chavez 2015; Farrell 2014; Grimley and Farrell 2016; Giancatarino

2012; Kunze 2014; Kunze and Becker 2014; Speth 2015; Sweeney 2014; 2015; Weinrub and

Giancatarino 2015). Other strategies for resisting the dominant energy agenda are to stop land

grabs for large-scale renewable energy, create new social alliances (municipalities,

environmental groups, and unions etc.), cease intentional efforts to undermine climate action,

and protect populations most dependent on fossil fuels with a particular focus on labor (Angel

2016a; Burke and Stephens 2017; Duda 2015; Farrell 2016; Jenkins et al. 2016; Weinrub and

Giancatarino 2015). The second objective is to reclaim the energy sector, which directly shifts

the ownership and paradigms guiding energy companies from private to public control (Angel

2016b; Burke and Stephens 2017; CSI 2013; Farrell 2014; 2016; Jenkins et al. 2016; Sweeney

2014; Thompson and Bazilian 2014; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015). In the process of

reclamation, existing energy corporations should become more local and democratic in their

scope and guiding principles, while new energy companies, financial vehicles, and public and

social ownership models develop (Angel 2016b; 2016a; Burke and Stephens 2017; 2018; Speth

2015; Sweeney 2014; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015). The third aspect of energy democracy is

to restructure the energy sector, which further entrenches the outcomes of the first two goals by

treating control of, access to, and assets of the energy systems as decentralized and community-

owned (Ahlborg et al. 2015; Angel 2016b; 2016a; Burke and Stephens 2017; 2018; Goldthau

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2014; Speth 2015; Sweeney 2014; Sweeney, Benton-Connell, and Skinner 2015; Thompson and

Bazilian 2014; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015). Political and economic power become more

distributed and decentralized. Community capacity and power to plan and control energy

systems increases along with low-income communities, workers, and communities of color

holding central positions in those systems (Angel 2016b; Burke and Stephens 2017; 2018; CSI

2010; LCEA n.d.; 2015; Speth 2015; Sweeney 2014; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015). The

geopolitics of energy focuses on global cooperation and peace rather than conflict and

competition, with more democratic participation, inclusion, and solidarity. A new paradigm of

viewing the energy sector as interdependent within the natural environment would predominate.

Within this concept and social movement, microgrids are recognized as one approach to

advance energy democracy goals (Angel 2016a; Burke and Stephens 2017; Farrell 2014;

Grimley and Farrell 2016). Advocates of energy democracy perceive centralized grid

management that reinforces the power of large utility and fossil fuel companies as an obstacle to

democratizing renewable energy (Burke 2018; Burke and Stephens 2017; Farrell 2014; Grimley

and Farrell 2016; Stephens 2019; Szulecki 2018). Decentralizing and more equitably

distributing ownership and management are both important to democratizing energy systems

(Angel 2016b; Burke and Stephens 2017; CSI 2013; Duda, Hanna, and Burke 2016; Farrell

2011; 2014; 2016; Jenkins et al. 2016; Sweeney 2014; Szulecki 2018; Thompson and Bazilian

2014; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015). Grid management that enables equitable access for all

providers is the “structural center of a democratized energy system,” and electric microgrids can

serve as a technological vehicle for the scale, distribution, and decentralization energy

democracy advocates seek in energy systems (Angel 2016b; Burke and Stephens 2017; CSI

2013; Duda, Hanna, and Burke 2016; Farrell 2011; 2014; 2016; Jenkins et al. 2016; Sweeney

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2014; Szulecki 2018; Thompson and Bazilian 2014; Weinrub and Giancatarino 2015). Burke and

Stephens (2017) identify microgrids and democratized grid management as strongly related to

the goal of reclamation of the energy sector and modestly related to the goal of restructuring it.

While this literature suggests the potential is there, there has been little research on the extent to

which electric microgrid policies in the U.S. are consistent with energy democracy objectives.

The resist, reclaim, and restructure framework is one of many energy democracy

frameworks articulated in the literature. Table 3.1 lists energy democracy frameworks found in

the literature, and delineates them by main, secondary, and ancillary dimensions. These studies

were included because they represent a diverse sample of energy democracy dimensions and

applications, ranging from discussions of state structures, policy outcomes, coalition structure or

narratives driving energy democracy advocacy.

Table 3. 1: Energy Democracy Frameworks and Dimensions Energy Democracy Study

Framework Main Dimensions Framework Secondary Dimensions

Framework Ancillary Dimensions

Angel 2017 Energy Politics In-State, Energy Politics Against-State, Energy Politics Beyond-State

Becker and Naumann 2017

Decentralized Energy Generation, Public and Cooperative Ownership, and Energy Sovereignty

Political Objectives, Mode of Organization, Resources and Technologies, and Scope of Projects

Burke 2018 Local and Regional Communities, Public Partnerships, Social Movements

Collective-Action Frames, Discourses, Sociotechnical Imaginaries, Stories

Burke and Stephens 2017

Resist, Reclaim, Restructure Goals, Intended Outcomes

Burke and Stephens 2018

Centralized Renewable Energy Model, Decentralized Renewable Energy Model

How Models Analyze the Climate Crisis, Model's Solutions, Structural Aim of the Model, Programmatic Approach, Socio-Economic Change Agents, Model's Fundamental Views on Energy

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Hess 2018 General Societal Change vs. Sociotechnical Transition of Technological System/Industry, Sunrising vs. Sunsetting Structures/Systems

Szulecki 2018 Popular Sovereignty, Participatory Governance, and Civic Ownership

Citizens as Stakeholders, Transparency and Inclusiveness, Civic Ownership of Generation and Transmission Infrastructure

Share of Energy Produced by Individuals and Community Cooperatives and Associations, Prosumers

Stephens et al. (2018) applies the resist, reclaim, and restructure energy democracy

framework to Vermont’s renewable energy transition policies and social movement networks

(Burke and Stephens 2017; Stephens et al. 2018). While the authors concluded that the state’s

renewable energy deployment targets were both strong and aligned with energy democracy

goals, they observed a lack of focus on distributed ownership of renewable energy assets, a

relative dearth of resistance to fossil fuels directly, and how organizations and initiatives

struggled to simultaneously embrace working towards resisting, reclaiming, and restructuring the

energy sector. These studies represent several applied approaches to study the actions and social

fabric of the energy democracy movement.

Energy democracy, despite its relatively short history, has much to offer to energy

transition and democratic governance advocates (Antal 2015; Becker and Naumann 2017; Burke

and Stephens 2017; 2018; Hess 2018; Szulecki 2018). Some of the literature applies the concept

to specific campaigns or coalitions with the intent of advancing multi-coalition energy transition

efforts, while others focus on the relationships between civil and governmental actors in energy

democracy (Angel 2017; Hess 2018). The fact that there are multiple definitions and typologies

of energy democracy potentially further complicates the methodology of future analyses utilizing

the framework (Becker and Naumann 2017; Burke and Stephens 2017; 2018; Szulecki 2018).

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The advantage of the multiple typologies is that they help researchers and others distinguish the

constituent elements and indicators of energy democracy, which enables applied analysis as

demonstrated in the literature as well as for future studies. The distinctions between centralized

and decentralized energy systems, public and cooperative vs. private ownership, and community

scale vs. state management of systems as envisioned in energy sovereignty substantively

distinguish elements of possible approaches to energy democracy. There is also a relative dearth

of comparative in-practice energy democracy analyses vertically, horizontally, and

internationally as Burke and Stephens (2017) explicitly highlight (Angel 2017; Burke and

Stephens 2017; Hess 2018; Stephens et al. 2018). Stephens et al. (2018) concludes that the lack

of focus on distributed ownership in Vermont’s energy democracy initiatives represents an

opportunity for future innovation for both that state and beyond (Stephens et al. 2018). It is

precisely this lack of applied analysis of energy democracy and focus on distributed ownership

of energy assets in energy democracy initiatives in the literature that this chapter attempts to

address through an inter-state comparative analysis of microgrid policy and stakeholders in

practice (Burke and Stephens 2017).

This study of energy democracy and electric microgrid policies uses the resist, reclaim,

and restructure framework articulated in Burke and Stephens (2017) and applied to Vermont in

Stephens et al. (2018) (Burke and Stephens 2017; Stephens et al. 2018). The intent of the study

is to analyze policy; frameworks that focus on the politics, models, coalitions, and narratives of

energy democracy do not align well with the study’s purpose (Angel 2017; Becker and Naumann

2017; Burke 2018; Burke and Stephens 2018; Hess 2018). The framework articulated in

Szulecki (2018) also focuses on analyzing and measuring energy democracy policies, but its

indicators require the projects be completed to quantify properly, and many of the microgrids in

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the cases studied here are unfinished (Szulecki 2018). The resist, reclaim, restructure framework

provides a means of evaluating whether policies as designed are consistent with energy

democracy’s goals without requiring the intended projects of those policies be completed

already, which is why it was selected as the analytical framework (Burke and Stephens 2017;

Szulecki 2018). Furthermore, the results of this study can serve to corroborate or refute Burke

and Stephens’ (2017) finding that microgrids are most related to the goals of reclaiming and

restructuring the energy sector and least with resisting the dominant energy agenda.

Methods

To address my research question and assess the explanatory proposition that the design

and implementation of policies relevant to microgrid project support and development are

inconsistent with energy democracy’s goals, a comparative case study approach has been

adopted. The explanatory proposition is based upon the energy democracy framework guiding

this study. Since energy democracy is considered by advocates as an aspirational and normative

suite of goals, the explanatory proposition does not assume the goals have already been reached

and is not structured as evaluating policies and projects retroactively. Instead, the explanatory

proposition is designed to assess the alignment of ongoing projects and policies with the goals of

energy democracy. Thus, the explanatory proposition is that the policies studied here are

inconsistent with the concept’s objectives of resisting, reclaiming, and restructuring the energy

sector. The intended outcomes of the three energy democracy goals serve as indicators and are

contrasted with the observed outcomes. If one or more of the intended outcomes of at least one

goal is observed as already having happened or is in progress, then the policies are deemed

consistent with that energy democracy goal.

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The contents of the policies were reviewed for consistency with the explanatory

proposition and the energy democracy framework goals of resisting, reclaiming, restructuring the

energy sector and their respective intended outcomes. The interview protocol template is

included in Appendix A. The criteria for interpreting answers from respondents come from the

three goals of energy democracy (resist, reclaim, and restructure) articulated by Burke and

Stephens (2017) and their corresponding intended outcomes. For example, if an interviewee

indicated through their answers to the interview protocol questions that new social alliances

formed as part of an effort to develop microgrids, this would suggest the presence of energy

democracy under the goal of resisting the dominant energy agenda’s intended outcome of

cultivating new social alliances. If none of the intended outcomes of a particular goal were

present based on the answers provided by the interviewee, then that goal was excluded from the

results. If none of the intended outcomes were present according to the interviewee, energy

democracy would not be considered present based on that interviewee. If interviewees for the

same policy did not agree, then it was more challenging for me to interpret, and I would

elaborate upon the conflict in my analysis.

Results

The policy context analyses of the two cases, and their analytical subunits, provide the

backdrop for the data collected from interviews discussed below. Interviews for the first policy

discussed below, MassCEC’s Community Microgrid Program, yielded evidence that the policy is

consistent with resisting, reclaiming, and restructuring the energy sector. The data bolsters the

case that the explanatory proposition that Massachusetts’ policies are inconsistent with the three

goals of energy democracy is not supported.

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Both administrators and recipients of MassCEC’s Community Microgrid Program cited

high degrees of community engagement and open communication between them, and applicants

had the authority to craft the projects to maximize community benefits, particularly for

vulnerable populations. Furthermore, MassCEC had specific criteria that made carve outs for

microgrids serving vulnerable populations as part of the application selection process. One

administrator said:

It was frankly the right thing to do. Low-income and/or vulnerable populations don’t have as many options as middle and upper-income people do when it comes to escaping from natural disasters or bad storms, from long-term power outages…emergency management professionals would prefer that vulnerable populations be able to shelter in-place…Another reason was very practical in that, in many cases, low-income and/or vulnerable populations live in buildings with one owner so you have an opportunity to impact a lot of people positively by addressing energy resilience needs with one building owner. They added that it was an open solicitation for projects that had a viable business model,

had a strong community resilience project narrative, and had avid local supporters. The

formation of RUN-GJC (Resilient Urban Neighborhoods-Green Justice Coalition) as a coalition

of over 40 community organizations, environmental groups, and labor unions that advocated for

and received grants from MassCEC for microgrid feasibility studies is an example of resisting

the dominant energy agenda through the formation of a new social alliance. If built, the Chelsea

microgrid would be the first to be a community-led and owned project (Wilcox 2018). The

successful applications for the Chelsea and Chinatown microgrids provide evidence of both new

ownership models and normalization of social control over energy production and consumption,

which are two intended outcomes of reclaiming the energy sector. While these projects are still

in the planning stages, they promise greater community autonomy over energy systems, indicate

greater energy planning capacity, and would put low-income communities and communities of

color in positions of authority over these energy systems. For the Chelsea microgrid, because the

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low-income communities and customers are not all next to each other, a cloud-based system will

be used to combine them (Wilcox 2018). According to David Dayton, engineer and founder of

Clean Energy Solutions, a collaborator for the project,

We can sell solar panel output under the state’s new smart program to utilities. We can sell grid services to the independent system operator, ISO New England. We can lease clean energy products to neighboring businesses and folks who can afford to lease them and get a service contract (Wilcox 2018). Chelsea’s town manager, Tom Ambrosino, commented on the project: “I see all positives

attached to it and very little downsides to the city. We’re supportive if they get the state’s green

light to go forward” (Wilcox 2018). While Reid Lamberty, a spokesperson for Eversource,

mentioned that the project is still early on in its development, he said “we’re excited to be part of

the process with the city, also with [Massachusetts Clean Energy Center], and the project teams

that are developing these feasibility studies” (Wilcox 2018). Two representatives of a nonprofit

that is part of RUN-GJC bolstered this point by mentioning that the microgrids are 100% based

on the community’s feedback. According to them, the community has veto-power and that the

project is for them, so they should have a say on all of this. A representative of a different

nonprofit organization in RUN-GJC added that “…on our side we’ve been giving them

[MassCEC] feedback about what we needed and hoping for…we wanted democratic community

ownership and decision-making over the projects.” The representative of the second nonprofit

desired “…a sustainable source of income and [to] empower communities to get control over this

essential resource… getting at what this meant exactly was tricky because there was no model to

go by, no template…we had to work with MassCEC on those questions.” The mutual agreement

over empowering communities between MassCEC and RUN-GJC, as well as their collaboration

to ensure these outcomes were achieved, serve as evidence of restructuring the energy sector.

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Interviews with DOER about CCERI provided evidence for the energy democracy goals

of reclaiming and restructuring the energy sector, and strengthens the case that the explanatory

proposition is not accepted for the Massachusetts case. CCERI, according to one administrator,

explicitly awarded additional points as part of the application selection process to microgrids that

served dense and vulnerable population centers, with constituents wielding most of the authority

in determining whether the projects served low-income neighborhoods. The administrator added

that points were also awarded to applications that served different kinds of facilities, such as

shelters, hospitals, wastewater treatment plants, and were geographically distributed throughout

the state. All of the six winning microgrid projects after all three rounds of the competition

support energy democracy goals because they would decentralize both political power in the

energy sector and power generation. However, evaluating how much access community

members have to these new energy assets can only be determined after installation. The

interview data gathered suggests that CCERI aligned with two of the three goals of energy

democracy. These were the data points collected from the Massachusetts and Boston subunits

that led to the rejection of the explanatory proposition for the Massachusetts case.

While the Massachusetts and New York cases share similar policy requirements for

serving vulnerable communities with microgrid incentives, levels of community engagement

varied more in the NY case. The GOSR Microgrid Program had specific federal HUD and state

requirements for projects to serve low-income communities. One administrator of the GOSR

program, in response to the question about support and opposition to the program, mentioned

that while there is not an organized resistance to the microgrid program and that no one is losing

with this kind of project, in their view “…there’s not necessarily people cooperating or going out

of their way to get things done. It’s not on their radar,” where the “thing” and “it” are microgrids.

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This lack of coordination could hinder electric microgrid advocacy. Ensuring microgrids funded

by NY Prize served low-income communities was a key criterion for the competition, and

applicants have significant authority over their projects. One NYC government official, in

reference to OneNYC and NY Prize, echoed enthusiasm that communities in the city have been

pretty involved, the funding contained strings requiring that these projects serve particular

populations, and that communication has been substantial. They elaborated that there was a

community engagement process with regular public meetings, presentations of alternative project

designs, and efforts made to understand community goals for these projects while increasing

resilience. These developments are indicative of reclamation and restructuring of the energy

sector.

In the New York case, the role of the private sector in microgrid policy was particularly

divisive for interviewees regarding policy alignment with energy democracy goals. For RISE:

NYC, serving LMI communities was part of the requirements of HUD block grant program

RISE: NYC was funded by, but little community input was possible other than through the

community complaints process, and most input came from small businesses that may or may not

represent entire communities. Several NY government and nonprofit representatives noted that

while the goals of NY state and NYC generally acknowledge equity as a desired outcome,

microgrid development largely resides with the private sector. Both real estate companies and

utilities have opposed such projects because the decentralization of authority and revenue

generated from microgrid operation that can result from their development threatens the bottom

line of these industries. The heavy involvement and opposition from the private sector, as well as

the view of these representatives that communities have less than full authority over projects, are

inconsistent with energy democracy’s goals. One interviewee, part of a statewide nonprofit

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organization, labeled NY REV as being based on a neoliberal ideology, that microgrids are

expensive and complex, and that for microgrids to scale, they will have to be part of publicly

funded infrastructure projects rather than private sector initiatives. They went on to say that the

high cost of microgrid projects affects the likelihood of them being developed in low-income

communities and is in part why they are mostly built for large institutions. The representative of

the NY nonprofit elaborated further that most microgrids use natural gas or are CHP facilities,

and mentioned the Empire State Plaza microgrid project in an environmental justice community

in Albany as a case of utilities and the State wanting to modernize the existing microgrid with

CHP instead of geothermal that community advocates were pushing for.

The Empire State Plaza microgrid project was first proposed by New York Power

Authority (NYPA) in May 2017 (Maloney 2019). NYPA announced in February 2018, in

response to local advocacy from groups like the Sheridan Hollow Alliance for Renewable

Energy, it would re-evaluate the microgrid plan in order explore whether it could use renewable

energy resources. NYPA also reconsidered the microgrid in part because bids received for the

project were 25% more expensive than anticipated. Since my interview with the nonprofit

representative, the state has changed course with the project. The opposition to and expense of

the project, as well as advocacy for renewable alternatives, ultimately led to NYPA and the

Office of General Services (OGS) scrapping plans for the microgrid project altogether on

September 19, 2019 in favor of building a solar PV project on state-owned land in Oneida

County. The goal of the solar project is to provide half of the energy needs of the Empire State

Plaza. NYPA spokesman Paul DeMichele commented that “we are moving in a different

direction…we want more renewables, in keeping with the governor’s clean energy vision”

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(Maloney 2019). Thus, the shift in renewable energy targets at the state level passed in July of

2019 influenced the trajectory of the project.

The data collected point towards continued dominance of the existing energy agenda of

private corporations, a lack of democratization of energy production and political power, and no

guarantee that low-income communities or communities of color would hold positions of

authority over the energy system even though it might serve them. Thus, there is a lack of

resisting, reclaiming, or restructuring of the energy sector. The conflict in data gathered for NY

means there is evidence of elements of energy democracy in electric microgrid policy, but it is

not the dominant paradigm.

Massachusetts state policies, and the political environments in which they operate,

suggest they are consistent with energy democracy goals given the community engagement,

criteria for project selection, and delegation of authority for project development. New York

State policies all have goals that reflect principles of energy democracy, but opinions diverge on

whether the political conditions are consistent with the concept. In particular, the roles of real

estate and utility companies in driving electric microgrid development are sources of

disagreement amongst stakeholders for whether the power dynamics and benefits accrued from

projects go towards low-income and vulnerable populations. This divide in analysis largely split

along sectoral lines; government and administrators of the projects in New York mostly thought

the programs gave much authority over projects to applicants that were serving communities,

while grassroots nonprofits were more inclined to believe it only further entrenched powerful

private interests.

Boston’s microgrid development efforts are guided by the plans the city has published

with input from over 10,000 residents for both Imagine Boston 2030 and Resilient Boston, the

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regulations developed in consultation with city departments and external stakeholders, and the

state and nonprofit policies that support their efforts (BPDA n.d.; City of Boston 2017a; 2017b;

EOEEA 2014; MassCEC 2017b). In this regard, New York City is similar given the plans it has

produced and the policies it has at the state level that support their vision articulated in their

plans (City of New York 2015; 2018; NYCEDC 2015b; NYSERDA n.d.). Boston’s direct

support for vulnerable populations, high community delegation of project authority, and open

communication between recipients and administrators serve as evidence for the policies’

alignment with energy democracy’s goals. While New York City’s policies based on the policy

context analysis, as well as the position of their administrators support a similar assessment as

the Boston case, the interviews conducted provided a more conflicted result. One of the

interviewees highlighted that a key difference between the two municipalities’ capacity to enact

change is that NYC has the legal authority to change their building codes, while Boston does not.

Despite this difference in legal capacity, the evidence gathered suggests greater grassroots

advocacy for electric microgrids in Boston than in NYC.

Table 3.2 visually summarizes the results of applying the resist, reclaim, and restructure

framework to both the policy context and interview data collected for both cases.

Table 3. 2: Energy Democracy Analysis

Case Study Policies

Evidence for resisting the dominant energy agenda

Evidence for reclaiming the energy sector

Evidence for restructuring the energy sector

GWSA (MA) + + + CCERI (MA) N/A + +

MassCEC Electric Microgrid Feasibility Study Grant Program (MA) + + +

Greenovate Boston 2014 Climate Action Plan Update (Boston) + + + A Climate of Progress (Boston) N/A + + Boston Community Energy Study (Boston) N/A + + Resilient Boston (Boston) N/A + +

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Imagine Boston 2030 (Boston) N/A + + Docket 0340 (Boston) + + + SUV Project (Boston) + N/A + Smart Utilities Policy (Boston) N/A + + Smart Utilities Standards (Boston) N/A + + New York State Energy Plan and NYREV (NY) +/- +/- +/- CLCPA (NY) +/- +/- +/- NY Prize (NY) N/A + + GOSR Microgrid Program (NY) N/A + + One City: Built to Last (NYC) N/A + + OneNYC (NYC) + + + Climate Resiliency Design Guidelines (NYC) N/A N/A + RISE: NYC (NYC) N/A + +/-

Legend: + = aligned with the goal, - = not aligned with the goal, +/- = conflicted result, N/A = not applicable

Overall, of the 20 policies and plans studied across both states and cities, I calculated that

39 of the 60 (65%) goals were consistent with energy democracy without conflicted results.

Broken down by goal, 30% of the policies and plans analyzed were consistent with the objective

of resisting the dominant fossil fuel energy agenda, while 80% and 85% were aligned with

reclaiming and restructuring the energy sector respectively. Both qualitative and quantitative

analyses of these policies produced an answer that overall does not support the explanatory

proposition, finding that generally the policies in these cases were aligned with energy

democracy’s goals.

Conclusion

This comparative analysis of two cases of electric microgrid policy at different scales

suggests that electric microgrid policy in these cases are aligned with energy democracy’s goals

and do not support the explanatory proposition. Of the three energy democracy goals, electric

microgrid policy was most related to restructuring the energy sector, followed by reclaiming it,

and least with resisting the dominant fossil fuel agenda. Planners and policymakers in the two

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cases, guided by plans that receive resident feedback, interdepartmental discussions, and even

academic studies, created criteria that are used to evaluate potential microgrid projects. New

York City’s regular meetings for citizen feedback on projects related to OneNYC and NY Prize

resonate with concepts of popular sovereignty and participatory governance, while the projects

related to the NY GOSR Microgrid Program did not appear to engage a similarly interested set of

constituencies (Becker and Naumann 2017; Szulecki 2018). While the policymaking and public

feedback processes observed in both cases advanced the goals of reclaiming and restructuring the

energy sector, the program administrators had authority over which projects received funding.

Civic ownership was a critical dimension of the RUN-GJC microgrid projects funded by

MassCEC’s Community Microgrids Program. Projects like those spearheaded by RUN-GJC

located in Boston and Chelsea, and funded a state-level organization (MassCEC), work directly

towards the intended outcomes of resisting, reclaiming, and restructuring the energy sector

because they empower communities instead of the private sector (Burke and Stephens 2017).

The formation of RUN-GJC better enabled and organized the Massachusetts communities they

represent to advance their microgrid projects and apply for funding.

A range of perspectives amongst interviewees existed, especially in the case of New

York, regarding whether the policies aligned with energy democracy goals. Most of the policies

examined, especially those directly addressing electric microgrids, contained provisions and

legal requirements to serve low-income or vulnerable populations in project selection. Since all

of the microgrid incentive programs studied were grant-based competitions, the burden was

largely on applicants to make the case that their proposed plans would benefit vulnerable and

low-income populations. Interviews with administrators of these programs reflected their interest

in delivering benefits to the public through greater resilience and environmental outcomes. Some

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government and quasi-public agency administrators acknowledged what most nonprofit

representatives mentioned as hindering further microgrid development in their communities,

which is that powerful private sector stakeholders like real-estate developers and utilities can

greatly influence whether projects move forward and are consistent with community and energy

democracy goals. The energy democracy movement is simultaneously concerned about the

climate crisis and challenges people to understand the political underpinnings for rapid

transitions: “Whose interests will be most served through new energy infrastructures? Will a

rapid energy transition seek to extend concentrated power into new energy regimes, or

conversely build new political power among communities, energy citizens, unions and so on?”

(Burke and Stephens 2018).

A democratic response to climate emergency requires immediate resistance to fossil fuels coupled with the deployment of renewable energy systems at a pace that sustains and can be sustained by democratic governance, lest projects of democratization collapse and renewable solutions rapidly transform into the next human catastrophe (Burke and Stephens 2018). Energy democracy advocates warn that renewable energy systems, including microgrids,

developed with the same systems of logic as used during the fossil fuel era risk exacerbating

global social and environmental problems in the future (Burke and Stephens 2018; C. F. Jones

2013). In order to be more certain of climate benefits of projects, renewable energy systems

need to substitute rather than be additive to existing fossil fuel systems, and from a biophysical

perspective must not be deployed a pace exceeding global and local environmental capacity to

accommodate their installation (Burke and Stephens 2018; Steffen et al. 2015; York 2012). The

tension about the role of the private sector in the NY case reflects the concerns articulated in the

energy democracy literature. While the evidence gathered here is insufficient to conclude that

the economic value of city neighborhoods is the primary determinant of where publicly

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supported systems are installed, the evidence suggests that privately funded electric microgrids

are related to the affluence of the institutions they serve. Hudson Yards, the numerous

universities in both cases, and national trends of third-party financing of electric microgrid

investment exemplify the influence of capital in project location. Across sectoral lines, the

higher cost of electric microgrids compared to on-grid only energy systems also posed an

obstacle to further deployment in these cases.

While electric microgrids create the possibility for decentralized energy infrastructure,

their installation does not guarantee the accompanying political power or dynamics associated

with community-based project ownership and operation energy democracy strives for. This

finding corroborates Burke and Stephens (2018), which concluded that a renewable energy

transition does not guarantee energy democracy, and that a range of outcomes along a spectrum

of more or less energy democratic are possible. Furthermore, this research also corroborates the

findings of Burke and Stephens (2017) that electric microgrids, as a potential policy instrument,

are least related to the energy democracy objective of resisting the dominant energy agenda, and

more centered on reclaiming and restructuring the energy sector. This imbalance in emphasis of

alignment of electric microgrid policies with energy democracy goals, especially with regards to

a relative lack of resistance to the dominant fossil fuel agenda, is also similar to the minimal

direct resistance to fossil fuels and failure to simultaneously operationalize all three energy

democracy goals in the policies found in the case of Vermont in the literature (Burke and

Stephens 2017; Stephens et al. 2018). While policymakers in both of these cases are striving to

achieve high levels of support for vulnerable communities with these projects, operationalizing

energy democracy in practice is an ongoing process and struggle between policymakers,

constituents, and civil society stakeholders. Future studies could address the critique that most

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energy democracy studies focus on European and American settings, thus under-examining how

energy democracy may work in other countries with different economic conditions and

governmental structures (Angel 2017; Hess 2018).

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CHAPTER 4: Decentralizing Energy and Policy: A Study of Electric

Microgrid Policy Diffusion

Abstract

Electric microgrids are a group of distributed energy sources and interconnected loads

acting as one controllable entity that can connect and disconnect from the grid. Electric

microgrids can integrate renewable energy sources, decentralize energy infrastructure, and

increase macrogrid resilience. This qualitative case study compares the electric microgrid

policies in Massachusetts, New York, and the two largest cities in these states (Boston and New

York City) to better understand the development of their policies using the analytical lenses of

policy diffusion and policy learning. Interviews of government administrators, quasi-public

agencies, and grassroots advocacy organizations in both cities and states revealed policy

diffusion through the mechanism of learning occurred in all cases but to varying extents. Energy

planners from the cases studied frequently communicated about microgrid policy

experimentation, shared lessons with each other, and these discussions influenced policy

formulation that proceeded the earliest adopters.

Keywords

Electric Microgrid Policy, Policy Learning, Policy Diffusion, Explanation Building Case Studies,

Massachusetts, New York

Introduction

Extreme weather events, climate change, and other hazards threaten the stability of the

electric grid; electric microgrids represent one technology that can enhance grid resilience and

integrate more renewable energy sources (Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States

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from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack 2008; EOP 2013; K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor

2017; National Research Council 2012; Panteli and Mancarella 2015; Quadrennial Energy

Review Task Force 2015; Smith and Ton 2013; Vine, Attanasio, and Shittu 2017; H. Yin, Xiao,

and Lv 2015; Zamuda et al. 2013). There are a number of definitions for what electric

microgrids are; one is

a group of interconnected loads and distributed energy resources within clearly defined electrical boundaries that acts as a single controllable entity with respect to the grid. A microgrid can connect and disconnect from the grid to enable it to operate in both grid-connected or island mode (Smith and Ton 2013, 22). The composition of microgrids as both an energy supply source and electric infrastructure

to distribute the energy generated on-site allows them to operate independent from the

macrogrid. Hirsch et al. (2018) asserts that microgrids in industrialized countries must be

contextualized as operating in parallel to a mature “macrogrid” featuring gigawatt-scale

generation facilities and up to hundreds of thousands of miles of high voltage lines, little energy

storage, and powered primarily by fossil fuels (Farzan et al. 2013; Hirsch, Parag, and Guerrero

2018; E. R. Morgan et al. 2016). The independence of both generation and distribution systems

from the macrogrid can also be referred to as a power island, or “an energized section of circuits

separate from the larger system” (K. B. Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; von Meier 2006, 152).

The island, upon being disconnected from the macrogrid, transitions from being a redundant set

of infrastructures to the main source of power for users connected to the islanded area (K. B.

Jones, James, and Mastor 2017; von Meier 2006, 153). While many early microgrids were

deployed at hospitals, universities, and military bases, electric microgrids have been deployed in

every sector in both urban and rural settings (Cohn 2019; Roberts and Chang 2018). There is a

dispute over which microgrid is the world’s largest, but the range is between 100MW to 135MW

in capacity (Burger 2018). As a proxy for average microgrid size, Hitachi claims the optimal

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range in microgrid size in terms of costs and benefits is between 1.5MW and 40MW (Wood

2016).

U.S. microgrid capacity has increased from 700 MW in 2010 to over 2 GW in 2017, with

545 MW in new capacity installed in 2018 alone (GTM Research 2018a; 2018b; Wood

Mackenzie 2018; 2019b). Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary database of electric microgrids

currently tracks 2,288 systems across the country, and they are forecasting that cumulative U.S.

microgrid capacity will reach 8.8GW by 2024 (Wood Mackenzie 2019b; 2019a). Over half of

all 2018 U.S. microgrid projects were third-party-owned, 80% were supported by third-party

financing, and 39% of operational microgrids in 2018 were for commercial purposes (Wood

Mackenzie 2018; 2019b). The Southeast, without state incentives supporting the region, led the

country’s deployment of microgrids in 2018 and has most of the operational commercial

microgrids with 75% of the region’s operational capacity serving commercial end users. Florida

experienced the greatest year-over-year increase in microgrid projects, which could possibly be

linked to recent hurricanes striking the state. State policy has been a significant source of

electric microgrid financing; of the $275 million in microgrid-related state incentives announced

between 2012 and 2017, 33% was in California, 27% was in New York, 19% was in

Connecticut, and 15% was in Massachusetts (Wood Mackenzie 2018).

However, there is little analysis on the policies that have encouraged this growth in

microgrids, whether policy learning has influenced policies implemented, and if policy learning

has affected policy formulation how it changed these policies (Cook et al. 2018; GTM Research

2018a; 2018b). Policy learning refers to revising policies, strategies, and implementation based

on observed or lived experiences, social interaction, or analysis (Checkel 2001; Dunlop and

Radaelli 2013; Hall 1993; Heclo 1974; Meseguer 2006). Similarly, there is a gap in the literature

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and lack of data regarding whether policy diffusion has played a role in the recent uptick in

incentive programs and projects deployed, which this study addresses in part (Cook et al. 2018).

Policy diffusion refers to the transfer of policy innovations from one government to another unit

of government (Shipan and Volden 2008). A systematic analysis of policies in pioneering states

could reveal the extent to which and the types of diffusion that led to policy implementation

(Shipan and Volden 2008). While policy learning and diffusion theories have been used to

understand renewable energy adoption, they have not been applied to microgrid development

and policies to support it (Howlett, Mukherjee, and Koppenjan 2017; Motta 2015). Because

microgrids are distinct, this chapter can provide new insights into a burgeoning field within the

broader shifts occurring in the energy sector.

This chapter details a case study analysis of microgrid policies in Massachusetts, New

York, the City of Boston, and New York City through the analytical lens of policy diffusion with

policy learning as a mechanism of particular interest. These states and municipalities are early

adopters of microgrid policies, and the New York case is a first mover, enabling examination of

how governments learn when they create unprecedented policy. This analysis uniquely

addresses how policy learning in and diffusion to and from governments implementing policies

promoting microgrids takes place.

There are three research questions. Did policy diffusion occur in the case of electric

microgrid adoption? If diffusion occurred, what was the mechanism of diffusion? How did

policy innovation come from within the polity in cases where policy diffusion was not

responsible for policy change? This chapter investigates the opportunities for and barriers to

scaling up and accelerating microgrid policy implementation and project development, as well as

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the extent to which the theories of policy learning and diffusion apply to the observed rate of

microgrid deployment. This study attempts to identify the extent to which learning drives policy.

A Review of Policy Learning, Diffusion, and Measuring These Concepts

The updating process of policy learning can be intentional and conscious, more

spontaneous and organic, or even unintended (Dunlop and Radaelli 2013; Hall 1993; Heclo

1974; Liberatore 1999). Superficial and limited analysis can be thought of as soft learning,

whereas hard learning involves deep analytical processes (Dolowitz 2009; Dunlop and Radaelli

2013). Learning has also been conceptualized as being either single or double-loop, where single

loop learning is simple and political actors adjust their strategies, whereas complex double-loop

entails questioning and revising fundamental objectives, preferences, and even identities (Argyris

and Schön 1978; Checkel 2001; Dunlop and Radaelli 2013; Levy 1994).

Policy innovation occurs when a government at any scale adopts a new policy, which can

come either within or outside of the polity (Mintrom 1997; Shipan and Volden 2008; Walker

1969). Policy innovation from within the polity can be driven by interest group pressure,

electoral politics, and the influence of other institutions (Shipan and Volden 2008). Policy

innovation from outside of the polity, meaning the transfer of innovation from other

governments, is called policy diffusion. The four major mechanisms for policy diffusion are

learning, economic competition, imitation, and coercion. Policy diffusion via learning means the

likelihood of a unit of government adopting a policy increases when the same policy is adopted

by other places of the same scale. Policy diffusion via economic competition means that a unit of

government is more or less likely to adopt a policy depending on whether there are positive or

negative economic spillovers from spatially proximate governments. Policy diffusion via

imitation, also known as emulation, is replicating the policy of another place in order to appear

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similar to that other place, rather than focusing on the substance of the policy change seen in

policy learning. Policy diffusion via coercion is when a government adopts a policy because it is

either legally obligated to by a higher level of government pre-empting lower levels of

government, a higher level of government making funding available or unavailable on the

condition that a policy is adopted, or a higher level of government implementing a minimum set

of regulations that applies to lower levels that can be built upon. The dichotomy and

mechanisms of policy innovation coming from inside and outside of the polity are essential

concepts for understanding the answers to my research questions. Policy learning represents one

of the mechanisms for policy diffusion, connecting both the policy diffusion and policy learning

concepts and literatures.

The policy learning literature includes different perspectives on the types of actors,

knowledge, and policy processes that structure policy learning (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible

2017). The complexity of policy challenges that confront decisionmakers and inevitability of

making mistakes in addressing them cements the value of learning in developing and

implementing policy. Learning from the experiences of others, past and present, provides an

opportunity to develop better policies in the future. Microgrid deployment is rapidly increasing,

and yet there is little analysis on whether and how policy learning, and related policy processes,

have defined and influenced practices in particular places. Understanding the role of learning in

microgrid policy can contribute to the formulation, implementation, and ongoing refinement of

efforts to develop microgrids.

Moyson et al. (2017) categorizes policy learning literature by the scales at which they

operate: micro, meso, and macro-levels. Micro-level policy learning theories assert that learning

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happens between and within individuals in social settings, also known as “social learning”

(Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017).

…politics finds its sources not only in power but also in uncertainty-men collectively wondering what to do…Governments not only ‘power’… they also puzzle. Policy-making is a form of collective puzzlement on society’s behalf; it entails both deciding and knowing…Much political inter-action has constituted a process of social learning expressed through policy. (Heclo 1974) Social learning approaches weave learning and power together (Moyson, Scholten, and

Weible 2017; Parsons 1995). Policy knowledge comes from power relations between different

groups of people and is embedded socially (Friedmann 1984; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible

2017). Haas’s epistemic communities, Hall’s social learning, and Sabatier and Jenkins-Smith’s

advocacy coalition framework are examples of social learning approaches (Haas 1992; Hall

1993; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Sabatier and Jenkins-Smith 1993).

The focus of meso-level approaches to policy learning is on organizations, which is a

byproduct of two tendencies (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). The first, derived from

political science, considers the role of learning as part of a body of research that takes a business

viewpoint of government actions (Etheredge and Short 1983; Metcalfe 1993; Moyson, Scholten,

and Weible 2017). Organizational science produced the second tendency, which is to take a

learning perspective on how organizations, including public ones, behave (Common 2004;

Gilson, Dunleavy, and Tinkler 2009; Moynihan and Landuyt 2009; Moyson, Scholten, and

Weible 2017). Cyert and March (1963) assert that “through organizational learning

processes…the firm adapts to its environment” (Cyert and March 1963; Moyson, Scholten, and

Weible 2017). Organizational learning is strategic because it affects an organization’s capacity to

identify, respond, and adapt to exogenous changes (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017).

Argyris and Schön (1996) note that learning includes the detection and correction of errors,

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which enables organizations to implement their norms and objectives, which they define as

single-loop learning, while modifying them constitutes double-loop learning (Argyris and Schön

1996; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017).

In contrast to micro and meso-level approaches, macro-level policy learning theory

examines how learning happens at the system level and often across units of government

(Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). It analyzes how a policy decision could influence another

government over time; the process through which this can occur has been called policy transfer,

policy diffusion, lesson drawing, and policy convergence (Bennett 1991; Dolowitz and Marsh

2000; Knill 2005; Marsh and Sharman 2009; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Rose 1991).

These approaches, built on a foundation of sociological diffusion research, are “primarily

interested in the take-up of information and ideas, practices and technologies among networks of

peers” (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Rogers 2003). The concept of policy transfer

exemplifies this as it has been defined as a process whereby decisionmakers in one institutional

environment “learn” from policy decisions made in another setting (Dolowitz and Marsh 2000;

Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). The creation of a typology of rival mechanisms of

diffusion (competition, imitation, and coercion) is a byproduct of the indirect focus on learning

in the literature (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Shipan and Volden 2008). However,

research into collective, system-scale learning facilitating idea transfer is relatively new (Gilardi

2010; Meseguer 2004; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Volden, Ting, and Carpenter 2008).

Lesson drawing is an idealized type of learning that assumes a practical ability to take insights

from institutional setting to achieve goals in another institutional setting (Gilardi, Füglister, and

Luyet 2009; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Rose 1991). In contrast to the ideal of lesson

drawing, and possible for the three scales of learning, policy learning can be biased, random, or

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absent (Dussauge-Laguna 2012; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Shipan and Volden 2012;

Wolman and Page 2002).

There are three characteristics micro, meso, and macro-level policy learning share

(Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). The first is the focus on the relationship between the state

and society; it is a dynamic exchange where political and policy-relevant ideas and power both

circulate and exist in the state among stakeholders, scientists, experts, and citizens (Hall 1993;

Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Sabatier and Jenkins-Smith 1993). Thus, policy learning

literature applies to the development of ideas that revolve around collective action and people-

government interactions, including epistemic communities, policy networks, and advocacy

coalitions among others (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Parsons 1995). The second trait,

derived from psychological research, is that policy learning literature has largely adopted the

“behavioral turn,” in which people have bounded rationality with incomplete knowledge, limited

capacity to process information, and are constrained by their environment (Moyson, Scholten,

and Weible 2017; Zito and Schout 2009). These factors affect policy learning because the

relationship people have with their environment is dynamic and socially constructed, which

influences the stimuli they observe and how they understand it. The third characteristic broadly

shared by the different approaches to policy learning is that they view the policy process over

time (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). One of the primary factors affecting policy at a

given point in time is the policy that preceded it, which is important because ideas can have

contradictory effects on politics (Hall 1993; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). The stability

of ideas can grind decision making to a halt, but how ideas can be gathered, chosen, presented,

communicated, advocated for, or abandoned can be quite dynamic. Public policy analysis must

account for the potential influence of the stability or dynamism of ideas in the temporal

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dimension of policymaking (Dunlop 2013; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Sabatier 1993).

The micro, meso, and macro-level approaches to policy learning contextualize the scales and

nature of policy innovation coming from outside of the polity.

Despite the interest in policy learning, it rarely explains policy change because it is one of

many contributing factors to policy change. A unit of government could be influenced to adopt

or not pursue a policy due to the amount of coercion they experience, the efforts of an

entrepreneur, or a change in the governing coalition (Dolowitz and Marsh 2000; Moyson,

Scholten, and Weible 2017). Individual policy learning also does not always result in collective

learning and policy change (Heikkila and Gerlak 2013; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017).

Upscaling individual or micro-level knowledge obtained via learning to a collective in a system

or organization is dependent on a variety of factors, including the network structure of

individuals and governing rules of decision-making and information exchange (Heikkila and

Gerlak 2013; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017; Witting and Moyson 2015). The preferences

of policy actors for particular policies can be rigid (Moyson 2018; Moyson, Scholten, and

Weible 2017; Sabatier 1993). Due to psychological biases like the “certainty effect,” policy

actors do not always exhibit perfect rationality by accepting information that could undermine

those beliefs (Leach et al. 2014; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). Understanding how

policy learning does not guarantee policy change contextualizes the interest of this paper in

policy diffusion and learning within the plethora of reasons policy change does and does not

happen.

While the link between policy learning and policy change motivates much of the

published policy learning research, most of this research does not examine the mechanisms and

extent of policy learning, as well as the conditions most conducive for it and its effects on policy

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change (Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). However, the studies that do analyze policy

diffusion mechanisms, and their respective indicators, operationalize them inconsistently across

the literature; Maggetti and Gilardi (2016) completed a fuzzy-set qualitative analysis of 114

articles published between 1990 and 2012 that focus on measuring diffusion mechanisms and the

connection between concepts and indicators. They quantify the frequency the three mechanisms

they study (learning, emulation, and competition) were measured by six different indicators

(structural equivalence, geographic proximity, joint membership, success of policy, number of

previous adopters, and trade flows) (Maggetti and Gilardi 2016). Structural equivalence

measures units with structurally equivalent inside of a network that could be either competing

with each other or exposed to analogous normative pressures and fit with the emulation

mechanism. Geographic proximity refers to the geographic distance between units or whether

they share an adjacent border and cannot exclusively be associated with a single mechanism.

Joint membership measures co-participation in institutions, groups, or organizations where direct

interaction or contact is assumed. Joint membership is unlikely to be linked to competition, and

since the nature of interactions is not measured, it is difficult to connect to only one mechanism.

Success of policy measures whether or not a policy was successful, which if effectively

operationalized can be directly connected to the mechanism of learning. Number of previous

adopters measures how many other units have previously adopted a policy either relative to

potential adopters or in absolute terms. While number of previous adopters could be discussed in

the context normative pressures and emulation as a mechanism, it does not directly identify

norms. Trade flows measures pattern of trade and gives greater weight to countries with which

one country exchanges large volumes of goods and services. Trade flows could be a good

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indicator of competition if the competitive relationship is tightly connected to bilateral trade, but

it could also indicate a link between countries more generally.

The results reveal significant inconsistencies. The same mechanisms are operationalized using different indicators, and different mechanisms are operationalized using the same indicators. What is more, no systematic patterns emerged about methodological choices, which are extremely varied, especially regarding the study of emulation. This state of affairs hinders the accumulation of knowledge and creates confusion and potential misunderstandings among scholars and vis-à-vis policymakers (Maggetti and Gilardi 2016). Of the forty-seven operationalizations of the learning mechanism in the literature

sampled, eighteen were operationalized through policy success as its indicator, ten by geographic

proximity, seven by joint membership, six by structural equivalence, four by number of previous

adopters, and two by trade flows (Maggetti and Gilardi 2016). To address the observed

heterogeneity of policy diffusion methodology and application, Maggetti and Gilardi (2016)

created a conceptually precise policy diffusion framework intended for applied analysis. They

hold that policy diffusion has three levels: basic, secondary, and indicator.

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Figure 4. 1: Structure of the Policy Diffusion Concept, based on Goertz (2006, 27-67), Maggetti and Gilardi (2016), Problems (and solutions) in the measurement of policy diffusion mechanisms, Journal of Public Policy, Volume 36, Issue 1, Page 92, Reproduced with permission.

The basic level corresponds to their theoretical definition of policy diffusion, which is

that “policies in one unit are influenced by policies in other units” (Braun and Gilardi 2006;

Maggetti and Gilardi 2016; Gilardi 2012; Goertz 2006; Graham, Shipan, and Volden 2013;

Strang 1991). The secondary level consists of the three policy diffusion mechanisms: learning,

emulation, and competition. If one of the three mechanisms are present, then policy diffusion

occurs. The indicator level operationalizes the secondary level so a given case can be

determined whether it is in fact policy diffusion with its associated mechanism. In other words,

the indicator level denotes the types of evidence required to corroborate whether policy diffusion

happened by which mechanism. Thus, three indicators of policy diffusion are successful policies

for the learning mechanism, appropriate policies for emulation, or policies of competitors for

competition. In Maggetti and Gilardi’s framework, learning is a result of being influenced by

successful policies, emulation is copying appropriate policies, and competitions is following the

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policies of competitors in the pursuit of attracting or retaining resources (Maggetti and Gilardi

2016). Policy success can take different forms: it can be related the goals the policy is crafted to

accomplish, the challenges of policy implementation, or receiving political support (Braun and

Gilardi 2006; Gilardi 2010; Jensen and Lindstädt 2012; Maggetti and Gilardi 2016; Meseguer

2004; Volden 2006). Emulation prioritizes the symbolic and socially constructed aspects of

policies rather than their objective consequences (Cao 2009; Fernández and Lutter 2013;

Greenhill 2010; Krook and True 2012; Maggetti and Gilardi 2016).

Using the framework of Maggetti and Gilardi (2016), my research focuses on the

following questions: is policy diffusion occurring in the rapid expansion of electric microgrids?

If policy diffusion is happening, what is the mechanism? In cases where policy diffusion does

not occur, how did policy innovation happen from within the polity? I chose this framework

because it avoids the observed heterogeneity of the operationalization of the policy diffusion

mechanisms in the literature by identifying and defining a single indicator for each mechanism of

policy diffusion. To examine my research questions on whether policy diffusion is occurring,

and which mechanism enabled the diffusion, I apply the different components of the policy

diffusion framework identified in Figure 4.1 to comparatively assess two cases, each having two

subunits of analysis. Shipan and Volden (2008) identify several sources of policy innovation

from within the polity, which will be analyzed and discussed for my third question in cases when

policy diffusion did not occur (Shipan and Volden 2008). The cases are Massachusetts and New

York. The state level actions represent the first subunit of analysis in each case, while the largest

municipality within each state (Boston and New York City respectively) are the second

analytical subunit for each case. Both states and municipalities are pioneering in microgrid

policy, but New York provides funding for all stages of microgrid projects, not just feasibility

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studies (EOEEA 2014; NYSEPB 2015; Rubenoff 2018). New York also changed its electricity

market via the Reforming the Energy Vision (REV) proceeding to value Distributed Generation

with a value stack (tariffs), whereas Massachusetts utilizes net metering (DSIRE 2016; NYSEPB

2015; Shrestha 2018). These differences, along with their similarities in regional proximity and

governmental structure, make them ideal cases for more detailed study. While policy innovation

from within the policy is an important piece of the broader discussion of policy change, the focus

of this paper is the study of policy diffusion and policy learning as a mechanism of it. Of the

policy diffusion mechanisms considered, particular interest is paid to policy learning. If the

lessons learned are beneficial for future policies adopted, then learning holds great potential

value for other jurisdictions. Emulation of appropriate policies is less plausible because of the

appeal of copying expensive incentive programs for the sake of imitation. Competition as a

mechanism for policy diffusion is more plausible than emulation because marketing one’s state

as the most resilient and cutting-edge could hold economic advantages in attracting investment

and business opportunities. However, even if competition is the predominant mechanism, a

certain amount of learning about competitor’s policies would be required in order to formulate

and adopt a competitive policy. While the learning mechanism is the focus, both learning and

competition would involve knowledge transfer from other governments.

Methods

A comparative case study approach has been adopted to address my research questions

and assess the explanatory proposition for these cases. The theory-based explanatory proposition

is that policy diffusion did occur, and learning was the mechanism which enabled it. This

technique uniquely addresses my questions about how and why electric microgrid policies

developed in the selected cases in the manner that they did. The criteria for interpreting answers

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from respondents comes from the framework articulated by Maggetti and Gilardi (2016) (see

Figure 4.1) (Maggetti and Gilardi 2016). The basic level of the framework addresses whether

policy diffusion occurred, the secondary level determines which mechanism resulted in the

diffusion if diffusion did happen, and the indicator level is the evidence one would expect to find

should the hypotheses about the basic and secondary levels be correct. Thus, if the basic level is

that policy diffusion did occur, and the available evidence supports that learning was the

mechanism, successful policies would have to exist prior to the case’s policy development and

be cited as influential to the case’s policy design and adoption.

The interview protocol utilized in the interviews is included in Appendix B. The first

question most directly related to policy diffusion was whether the microgrid policy or project

was based on or inspired by a policy or project from somewhere else. This binary question had

follow-up questions if the interviewee’s answer was “yes” to the first question. When, where,

and how the learning occurred, what the interviewee thought of the other project or policy, the

lessons taken from the other policy or project, and why their organization sought to learn more

about the project or policy were the follow-up questions in the protocol. The protocol questions

were designed to elicit details regarding the policy and political landscapes the cases operate in,

whether policy diffusion was present, what mechanism was involved if policy diffusion was

present, and what lessons were taken from other policies if policy diffusion had taken place.

These details, if provided by the interviewee, would identify the successful policies that indicate

policy learning as the mechanism for policy diffusion as outlined in Maggetti and Gilardi’s

(2016) framework. The criteria for interpreting answers from respondents come from the basic

level, mechanism, and indicators of policy diffusion (Maggetti and Gilardi 2016). For example,

if an interviewee responded that a particular policy influenced the development of their own, this

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data point would suggest the presence of policy diffusion via policy learning that was indicated

by that policy. My interviews rely on the interviewee’s assessment of whether and how policy

diffusion took place. If interviewees have conflicting assessments of whether and how policy

diffusion took place for the same policy, I will contextualize and discuss their responses in my

analysis.

The contents of the policies described in Chapter 1 were reviewed for consistency or lack

thereof with the explanatory proposition and the policy diffusion framework (Maggetti and

Gilardi 2016). If policy diffusion was present, a subsequent evaluation of what mechanism and

its respective indicators that enabled the diffusion was carried out. The contextual background

research and interview data for each case together comprise the case-level analyses detailed in

the sections below.

Results

According to an NYSERDA representative, NYSERDA’s NY Prize was “… was based

on the needs of NY, so most of it was built on our 2010 study…we have different generation

resources, we have different state goals, we have different initiatives in REV etc., so it is meant

to be NY-specific…” The policy review corroborates that NY Prize was a policy that pioneered

competitive microgrid grant funding, so no single successful policy diffused from another state

that served as a direct model for what became NY Prize. However, NYSERDA’s reports include

analysis of the regulatory environments for electric microgrids in other states, which informed

the development of NY Prize (NYSERDA 2010; NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES

2014). The authors of the report cited California’s leadership in adopting a legal definition of

what a microgrid is, financing research and development through their Public Interest Energy

Research program. California’s implementation of virtual net metering for low-income multi-

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family residential buildings and complexes allowed customers that may not otherwise be capable

of receiving benefits of on-site generation to become a larger group that is served by a larger

system (King 2006; M. G. Morgan and Zerriffi 2002; Navigant Consulting, Inc. 2006;

NYSERDA 2010). California allows net metering for “multiple tariff facilities” to accommodate

locations with more than one source of generation served through a single point of common

coupling (NYSERDA 2010). “Under multiple facility net metering, billing credits are based on

the proportional contribution of the energy production (in terms of kWh) of each net metering-

eligible generator over the applicable billing period” (NYSERDA 2010). The report’s authors

found that the latter policy is important for enabling microgrids because it clarifies billing

protocols for facilities with multiple generation sources.

The two most frequently cited barriers to microgrid implementation NYSERDA found

based on their interviews of other states were having public utility or electricity marketer status

in order to sell electricity to others, and franchise violations arising from selling electricity to

customers within an existing utility’s service territory or running wires across public rights-of-

way (King 2006; M. G. Morgan and Zerriffi 2002; NYSERDA 2010). Microgrid

interconnection to the distribution grid was not perceived by the study’s interviewees as

technically or legally problematic, and most critically officials from multiple states suggested

that the lack of economic incentives was a major obstacle to microgrid development (NYSERDA

2010). In the study, officials from Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Maryland, and Illinois “did not see

the value-added for the development of such systems, and one stated that there should be no need

for a microgrid if incumbent utilities were ‘doing their job’” (NYSERDA 2010).

Lessons were drawn from the experiences of these other states, as much of what had

worked, as well as addressing what was lacking, translated into the recommendations made by

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the 2010 report (NYSERDA 2010). The authors of the report recommended enacting a statutory

definition of microgrid, enabling via statutory authority the sharing of electric and thermal loads

among unaffiliated utility customers, measures that could encourage microgrid development like

net metering and virtual net metering, and that the NYS PSC should adopt policies that promote

microgrids in the state regardless of statutory authority. The report also recommended providing

incentives for development and demonstration of microgrids. Through the success of

California’s policies among others, as well as the challenges multiple other states faced, elements

of what became NY Prize diffused into the recommendations of NYSERDA’s 2010 report. The

2013 enabling legislation for NYSERDA’s 2014 report provided an operational definition of

microgrids, and continued the dialogue between the state and NYSERDA to advance microgrid

policy in the state (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014). The findings and

conclusions of the 2014 report served as the final springboard between NYSERDA’s inter-state

research and NY Prize:

…NYSERDA in partnership with the Governor’s Office of Storm Recovery will launch the NY Prize Community Grid Competition to support developing community microgrids aimed at improving the local distribution system performance and resiliency. Picking up where this study left off, NY Prize will leverage the knowledge of incumbent utilities about their system conditions with the creativity of community members to encourage broad customer participation, protect vulnerable populations and provide tools for building an efficient, cleaner and more reliable local-scale energy system. Several local community microgrids grids are expected to be built through NY Prize where REV principles could be tested. The outcomes from this Critical Facility Resiliency Assessment, taken in the proper context, coupled with ongoing NYSERDA and utility sponsored smart grid research supported through a strategically administered Clean Energy Fund (CEF), will fully reinforce a vibrant REV “ecosystem” across New York State (NYSERDA, NYS DPS, and NYS DHSES 2014).

While policy diffusion of a competitive microgrid grant program to NY did not occur, the

legal and regulatory context in which NY Prize was created was heavily influenced by the

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experiences of other states and diffusion of the best elements of other state policies contributed

to NY Prize’s formulation. The case is particularly salient for the influence of California’s

definition of a microgrid and its virtual and multiple tariff facility net metering policies. The

successful policies of California and elsewhere serve as indicators of policy learning as a

mechanism for policy diffusion the case of NY and NY Prize. The establishment of the

mechanism of policy learning (secondary level) supports the explanatory proposition that the

basic level of policy diffusion did occur, and the innovation in this case came in part from ideas

originating from outside of the polity.

In an interview with DPS staff members, one individual said that while NY REV as a

whole was not based on a single policy from outside of the state and was driven by existing clean

energy policies within NY, they identified the NY’s community choice aggregation program was

influenced by pre-existing programs in Massachusetts, Illinois, and Ohio. This evidence suggests

policy diffusion of elements of NY REV happened as a result of learning about community

choice aggregation policies from these three states.

In an effort to ensure federal procurement compliance, the NY GOSR Microgrid

Program, according to a GOSR official, initially partnered with NYSERDA but eventually

GOSR and NYSERDA decided to split off their programs.

The regulations didn’t line up, so we thought it would be easier to run the program separate and parallel than together because there were more stringent guidelines for procurement for federal dollars...we came in behind NYSERDA and we looked at projects they didn’t select. We did not do an RFP for our program because NYSERDA had already done the whole Phase 1 competition…it saved us dollars, it saved us time…from having to do the whole RFP process. While there were differences between the sources of funding for NY Prize and the GOSR

program, since the programs were initially collaborating together and the projects for both

policies came from the NY Prize competition, NY Prize and the GOSR Microgrid Program seem

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substantially connected to each other. Thus, the policy diffusion (basic level) through the

mechanism (secondary level) of learning indicated (indicator level) by California’s successful

policies (microgrid definition and virtual and multi tariff facility net metering) that contributed to

the formation of NY Prize was both essential and the same learning that informed the GOSR

Microgrid Program.

RISE: NYC was established as a response to damage and vulnerabilities identified in the

electric grid from Hurricane Sandy. An advisory board member of RISE: NYC wrote that

NYCEDC “dreamed up the RISE:NYC competition” (Crawford 2014). A representative of

NYCEDC I interviewed, in reference to RISE: NYC “…couldn’t speak to any programmatic

comparisons that we drew on” but thought that policies like it have been used more since then.

The lack of influence from outside of the polity was echoed by David Gilford, Vice President of

NYCEDC: “there hasn’t been something like this done before that we know of” (Gardett 2014).

The fact that people outside of NY and NYC viewed the program as innovative and a model to

learn from is hinted at in a press release announcing the winners of the program (NYCEDC

2015a). The press release included laudatory quotes about RISE: NYC and the winners selected

from a Yale University professor and a CEO and visiting scholar at the Harvard Wyss Institute.

However, these individuals’ quotes were likely in the press release in part because they helped

generate positive press coverage, which potentially biases their input. More evidence of outside

interest in and learning from the program is required in order to determine whether it will

become a source of diffusion. The explanatory proposition that policy diffusion (basic level)

occurred via learning (secondary level) is not supported in the case of RISE: NYC because there

are no successful policies (indicator level) that serve as the indicator of learning as the

mechanism of policy diffusion. The policy innovation, originating from NYCEDC, was

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spearheaded through a collaboration between it, Mayor de Blasio, and HUD according to New

York City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito (NYCEDC 2014). NYCEDC and HUD

represented other institutions that influenced NYC policy, which supports the rival explanation

that policy innovation came from within the polity in the case of RISE: NYC.

A NYC official in the Mayor’s Office of Resiliency responded that he did not know if the

city’s microgrid efforts were based on policies or projects from elsewhere. However, the same

official affirmed they had learned about policies and projects related to solar and other

technologies from other municipalities; they cited Boston as a good partner because their

electricity sector is also deregulated and has a similar policy environment and suite of

constraints. The basic level of policy diffusion occurred through the secondary level and

mechanism of policy learning because of successful policies as the indicator (indicator level)

regarding solar and other technologies they had taken lessons from. As first movers, neither NY

nor NYC directly learned about (secondary level) and diffused policy about their respective

electric microgrid policies from pre-existing successful electric microgrid policies as the

indicator (indicator level), but lessons about the best practices and shortcomings of existing

policies and regulatory environments in other states (indicator level) did diffuse (basic level)

through learning (secondary level). Thus, the explanatory proposition in NY and NYC was

supported.

The explanatory proposition for Massachusetts and Boston was supported by the

evidence gathered. Massachusetts drew lessons directly from New York’s experience. A

representative of MassCEC acknowledged that the MassCEC Community Microgrid Program

was significantly influenced by the experience of NYSERDA’s NY Prize in NY. “We borrowed

very heavily from NY, and… the staff there were very gracious in sharing lessons learned.”

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They elaborated further that this information exchange is not new; “…it’s no secret that leading

clean energy states like CA, NY, and MA are always looking at each other’s programming, and

borrowed a lot of market development concepts from each other.” While this confirmed the

influence of NY Prize on MassCEC’s program, MassCEC adapted the program to serve its

needs:

We did change it a bit, we did learn some lessons from them…we were able to avoid some of the mistakes they acknowledged they made in their program design. And hopefully, collectively, as two states and ultimately as more are added to this list of states that are experimenting with microgrids, energy resilience program and policy makers and the industry will learn from these projects by providing injections of strategic investment capital and making tweaks to regulatory frameworks to enable and encourage private investment in clean and resilient microgrids…We were much more selective in picking the feasibility studies that we ultimately funded …I’m hoping we’ll have more of a 30-50% conversion rate, whereas NYSERDA had a pretty low conversion rate from feasibility study to project execution…NYSERDA also emphasized technical viability of these projects at the expense of the business or finance viability. Multiple interviewees from nonprofits in Massachusetts corroborated that MassCEC

communicated with NYSERDA and formulated their Community Microgrid Program based on

NY Prize. A representative of one such grassroots group that received a grant from this program

added that MassCEC learned from the experience of Connecticut and their microgrid incentive

program; Massachusetts decided to more specifically require “clean” energy generate the power

used in the microgrids funded. An official at DOER mentioned that DOER’s CCERI also

informed the development of MassCEC’s Community Microgrid Program. The link between

MassCEC’s program and previously implemented successful policies in MA and other states

(indicator level) provide sufficient evidence to conclude that policy diffusion (basic level)

occurred with learning as the mechanism (secondary level). Thus, the explanatory proposition

for MassCEC’s Community Microgrid Program was supported.

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An official at Massachusetts’ DOER recounted that their CCERI policy was developed

under the Deval Patrick administration as a response to Hurricane Sandy and had continued

support under the Baker administration. Two DOER officials asserted there were no specific

policies that DOER learned from to create CCERI, but one of them noted that DOER

coordinated with MassCEC in developing the funding and programmatic elements for CCERI

out of a mutual interest to support this policy approach. The same official elaborated that while

DOER had implemented other grant-funded demonstration projects, it “was a first-of-its-kind

program in the country” to focus specifically on infrastructure resilience projects to mitigate the

impacts of extreme weather events exacerbated by climate change. While this program was a

first mover, it did not exclusively focus on microgrids, which is part of what distinguished

NYSERDA’s NY Prize. A different DOER official said CCERI “was based on best practices

established nationally, particularly the focus on energy security for critical infrastructure and

local services, which informed the various rounds we went through.” However, the second

official went further to suggest that CCERI informed policy in the Commonwealth since its

implementation, with the SMART solar incentive program pairing solar and energy storage for

energy resilience as an example. While there is insufficient evidence to suggest that policy

diffusion (basic level) through learning (secondary level) occurred due to a specific pre-existing

and successful policy (indicator level), CCERI (indicator level) served as a source of learning

(secondary level) for policy diffusion (basic level) to SMART and MassCEC’s Community

Microgrid Program. Thus, the explanatory proposition for CCERI is supported.

At the municipal level, at least one microgrid project in the cases studied was influenced

by the experience of another project. According to a Boston government official, the plans for

the Raymond L. Flynn marine park microgrid, funded in part by MassCEC’s Community

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Microgrid Program, were inspired by a master’s thesis from a former City of Boston official

about DER, including the Hudson Yard microgrid in New York City (Sheehan 2012; 2016;

Wood 2018). Navigating the complexities of owning and operating multi-user microgrids, as

well as ensuring appropriate incentives existed to support their functioning via offset tariffs, were

among some of the ideas Boston gleaned from New York’s experience that influenced its design

and development (Walton 2018). In particular, the Boston official elaborated that “the hybrid

ownership solution of ConEd and Hudson Yards…really unstuck the stuck” with regards to

resolving the standby tariff issues experienced in the case of Hudson Yards. These specific

lessons support the explanatory proposition because policy diffusion (basic level) was enabled

through learning (mechanism and secondary level) about the substance of New York City’s

successful Hudson Yards hybrid ownership model and offset tariffs (indicators and indicator

level).

Policy diffusion through the mechanism of learning was indicated by successful policies

in both cases at both analytical subunits. NY Prize, Hudson Yards’ hybrid ownership model and

offset tariffs, and CCERI were some of the successful policies that were indicators of policy

diffusion through the policy learning mechanism. The policies of California and elsewhere

served as indicators of policy diffusion through policy learning for first mover policies and

projects at both analytical subunits in NY. The relatively consistent finding that policy learning

was enabling policy diffusion is bolstered by the accounts of multiple interviewees from the two

cases and their analytical subunits that policymakers in this field in these jurisdictions are

frequently discussing their experiences with each other, as well as observing what does and does

not work with electric microgrid policy experimentation in other states. Only in the case of

RISE: NYC did policy innovation come from within the polity as part of a collaboration between

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NYCEDC, NYC government, and HUD. Collectively, the evidence of successful policies as an

indicator for policy learning facilitating policy diffusion is strong for both cases and supports the

explanatory proposition.

Conclusion

Understanding the details of how policies are developed and implemented provides a

policy foundation to build upon going forward. Massachusetts learned from the New York

cases, New York learned about the successes and challenges of other states in formulating their

policies, and other states may look to the examples set by them for their own programs. The

interview data suggests that these policies generally benefitted, either directly or indirectly, from

the diffusion of ideas and experiences through learning about the experiences of other cities and

states. The discussions with the representative of MassCEC and NYC official in particular

highlighted that energy planners from leading states and cities are frequently communicating

with and learning from each other about microgrid policy. Even in the case of RISE: NYC

where policy innovation came from within the polity, these entities collaborated to implement

policy change that advanced electric microgrids. While NY was a first mover for many of its

policies and the explanatory proposition was not supported in every case studied here, the level

of communication present suggests it is unlikely that most of these policies were created in a

vacuum. Much of the learning that happened did not shift fundamental governmental objectives,

but was single loop learning where policymakers and planners tweaked policies to optimize

outcomes for existing goals (Argyris and Schön 1978; Checkel 2001; Dunlop and Radaelli 2013;

Levy 1994). This study serves as the first to document how different jurisdictions at different

scales learn about electric microgrid policies and projects, and what kinds of lessons are drawn

and influence future policymaking. Furthermore, it examines how policy pioneering jurisdictions

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learn, inform, and develop policy, as well as how it affects the places that follow them. Despite

the numerous policy changes studied in this analysis, the presence of policy learning and

diffusion did not guarantee policy change, corroborating findings in the literature (Dolowitz and

Marsh 2000; Metcalfe 1993; Moyson 2014; Moyson, Scholten, and Weible 2017). The case of

the Raymond L. Flynn microgrid in Boston is one where lessons were learned from Hudson

Yards in NYC, but since the legislative petition to grant Boston authority to pursue an ESPC has

yet to be signed, factors other than learning could be impeding progress on the project.

While grants and financial incentives were the dominant policies that diffused in these

cases, there are calls for other forms of governmental support rather than increasing funding,

such as regulatory reform for permitting multi-user non-utility owned microgrids (Cohn 2018).

Thus, while the literature on policy diffusion is correct to warn that “it would be wrong to

declare inter-related policy decisions across governments are always beneficial,” learning led to

positive outcomes in the cases examined here (Shipan and Volden 2012). The number and

sectoral demographics of people who were interviewed represents a limitation of this research.

The decision not to interview representatives of private companies, particularly real estate and

microgrid developers kept the focus of the research on how policy innovation occurred rather

than whether these stakeholders found the changes in policy helpful. Similarly, the inability to

schedule representatives from utility companies also yielded similar constraints on the study.

Future studies could examine the consequences of the policy changes and decisions from private

sector perspectives that were unrepresented here. Future research on these cases and the field of

policy learning more generally could focus on improving knowledge of the effects learning has

on policy processes for specific groups or for particular kinds of knowledge claims (Moyson,

Scholten, and Weible 2017).

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CHAPTER 5: Concluding Analysis

The story arc of this dissertation started with what is driving the divergent outcomes in

observed in policy outcomes for U.S. states regarding electric microgrid policy, whether such

policies were consistent with the goals of energy democracy, and whether governments at state

and local scales were learning from each other as they formulate and implement policies

supporting their development. The findings from both Chapters 2 and 4 support the hypothesis

that policy diffusion has occurred, and Chapter 4 expands upon this in the cases of NY and MA

and concludes that policy learning was the mechanism responsible for the diffusion observed.

Furthermore, policy learning is occurring in these cases through a context of frequent interstate

communication between policymakers and close observation of policy outcomes from policies

outside their own boundaries, even when a jurisdiction is a first mover. However, even with the

generally favorable outcomes for learning observed in these cases, it did not guarantee policy

change as in the case of developing the Raymond L. Flynn microgrid in Boston. The city is still

waiting for the state legislature to grant the city the authority to execute an ESPC for private

buildings in addition to public buildings which the city already possesses the authority to do.

The random effect ordered probit analyses in Chapter 2 quantifies and corroborates policy

stacking theory does apply in the case of electric microgrids. The threshold values between

different categories of policy increased from market preparation to market creation and market

creation to market expansion. This is consistent with what policy sequencing theory would

predict despite the low proportion of variation explained by the independent variables in the

models. Elements of energy democracy’s aspirational goals were found in the electric microgrid

policies in the NY and MA cases, especially consistent with those of reclaiming and

restructuring the energy sector. However, it was revealed through the interviews conducted that

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private sector stakeholders, namely utility companies and real estate developers, influence the

policy landscape in ways incongruent with the goals of energy democracy advocates. All three

chapters confirm that numerous factors contribute to the policy development and outcomes

observed; no single policy concept or theory, be it policy stacking, energy democracy, or policy

diffusion can fully explain the policy outcomes observed. Another takeaway from these chapters

is that policy is a dynamic field of study where shifts can occur even quickly. Less than a year

after I conducted my interviews, NY passed CLCPA and changed course regarding the Empire

State Plaza microgrid project.

The inquiries conducted here focused on public state and local level electric microgrid

policies coming primarily from legislative efforts and quasi-public agencies. Future studies

examining the U.S. can build upon the cases here or others by contextualizing these findings

with federal, military, gubernatorial, and private sector efforts to develop microgrids. The policy

sequence scores of states created in Chapter 2 could be compared with the partisan affiliation of

state governors or number or capacity of private sector microgrids. The latter could reveal

whether public policy was related to private investment in microgrids in states. Qualitative

studies could examine whether lessons from military and federally funded microgrids diffused to

public microgrid development efforts. States that have regulated energy sectors, operate under

Dillon’s rule and not home rule, and U.S. territories represent several opportunities to explore the

same questions but with cases with different characteristics. As more microgrid projects are

completed, an analysis of these projects using Szulecki’s (2018) framework could also be

conducted to quantitatively measure energy democracy in and across states. Exploring efforts to

reform regulations defining microgrids, and under what circumstances they are permitted to be

developed and owned, could further advance the literature on electric microgrid policy. All of

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these opportunities for future study could also be pursued outside of American and European

contexts because few studies exploring these topics exist in their respective literatures.

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Appendix A: Chapter 3 Interview Protocol Template

• Would you say that your state/city is on a pathway to continue to build microgrids? Why

or why not?

• In your experience, how has developing microgrids changed the relationship between the

city and the utility company that serves it?

• Who was involved (participants) in the development of the microgrid project/policy of

(organization)?

o Biggest supporters/opponents of development of the microgrid project/policy, and

why?

o How did your organization notify the public of the project/policy development

efforts?

o How did your organization engage participants?

o What degree of decision-making authority did participants have on aspects of the

project/policy?

• How did your organization decide to site/fund the projects you selected?

o If a project, who owns and operates it?

• What determines whether or not low-income communities (or facilities that serve them)

will be sites for microgrid development?

• Briefly, please describe how the microgrid project/policy is connected to other policies

and projects being pursued by your organization?

• What is the most important thing you think I should know that I have not asked about

yet?

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Appendix B: Chapter 4 Interview Protocol Template

• Would you say that your state/city is on a pathway to continue to build microgrids? Why

or why not?

• Who was involved (participants) in the development of the microgrid project/policy of

(organization)?

o Biggest supporters/opponents of development of the microgrid project/policy, and

why?

o How did your organization notify the public of the project/policy development

efforts?

o How did your organization engage participants?

o What degree of decision-making authority did participants have on aspects of the

project/policy?

• Was the microgrid project/policy inspired by or based on a project/policy from

elsewhere?

o If yes, when, where, and how did you learn about the other project/policy?

o What did you think of the other project/policy?

o What lessons did you take away from the other project/policy?

o Why did your organization pursue the project/policy and relevant learning?

• How did your organization decide to site/fund the projects you selected?

o If a project, who owns and operates it?

• Briefly, please describe how the microgrid project/policy is connected to other policies

and projects being pursued by your organization?

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• What is the most important thing you think I should know that I have not asked about

yet?