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10/4/2015
1
Residential Tools for Hidden Value
Vermont Symposium
October 29, 2015
Time: 10:15 AM until 12:15 pm
2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service 1
Sandra K. Adomatis, SRA, LEED Green Associate
• Author• Real Estate Appraiser – SRA
Designation with Appraisal Institute
• REALTOR• Appraisal Institute Instructor• LEED Green Associate – U.S.
Green Building Council• National Speaker on High
Performance Houses
[email protected] Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service 2
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Learning Objectives
When you finish this session you will be able to
List differences in house labels
Identify challenges in valuing high performance
Describe the data needed to assist appraisers in using the valuation tools
Illustrate the Valuation Tools
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House Labels Defined
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Green
High Performance
Energy Efficient2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service 5
House Labels
Features Green House
High Performance
House
Code-Built
Net Zero
EnergyEnergy Efficient X X Maybe X
Resource efficient X X No Maybe
Environmentally responsible X Maybe No Maybe
Six Elements Site
Water EfficiencyEnergy EfficiencyIndoor Air Quality
MaterialsOperations & Maintenance
X MaybeNot all
sixMaybe
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Defining High Performance Modulars Versus Mobile or
Double Wide
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Features High-Performance
Modular
ManufacturedHome-Mobile-or
Single Wide
Double Wide
Manuf.
Energy Efficient X HUD CodeHUD Code
PermanentFoundation
X On Wheels Could be
Water EfficiencyEnergy EfficiencyImproved Indoor Air QualityLower maintenance
X No No
2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service
Challenges in Valuing High Performance
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Challenges of Valuing Green or High Performance
Defining green and high performance
Too many rating systems
Insufficient databases
Limited sales data
Fannie Mae guidelines are interpreted differently by underwriters. – Clarification needed from Fannie Mae similar to FHA Guide.
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Challenges of Valuing Green or High Performance
Lack of standardization of language
Appraisal forms do not address new building types
Insufficient knowledge by industry professionals
Industry professionals communication breakdown – data must be shared
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How Does Fannie Mae Define an Energy Efficient Property
Page 6032015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service
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Fannie Mae Selling Guideline
December 16, 2014
What?
Part B – Page 604
USPAP says
Std Rule 1-1 (a) be aware of, understand, and correctly employ those recognized methods and techniques that are necessary to produce a credible appraisal.
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HUD Handbook 4000.1
Page 461
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(d)Adjusting Comparable Properties
(i) Standard
Calculation of the Contributory Value includes methods based on the:
• direct sales comparison approach;• cost approach; and• Income approach.
Lenders’ Vision of Energy Efficiency
“The property is located in Big City for which there is minimal climate change, therefore the value for energy efficiency is less probable than a home in the desert.”
Source: Actual statement from a lender regarding validity of an energy efficient adjustment.2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service
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Target Group -Lenders/Underwriters
Must direct efforts to educate the lending world on energy efficiency or this battle will not be solved.
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Data that brings results
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http://aceee.org/state-policy/scorecard
The State Energy Efficiency Scorecard
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Vermont Green/Energy Rating Programs
Only MLS in Vermont
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Local Resources
NNEREN green fields
NNEREN HERS tutorial
NNEREN HERS Appraiser Database
Efficiency Vermont support in VT
GDS Associates support in NH
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Vermont Residential Building Energy Standards (RBES) VT’s
energy code 7/1/97 Act 250 new construction & additions > 500 sq. ft.7/1/98 All new construction & additions > 500 sq. ft.
1/1/05 All new construction & additions > 500 sq. ft. –added mechanical ventilation & combustion safety requirements (HERS Classic score used to mid 2006*)
10/1/11 All new construction & existing home alteration, renovation & repair – code began exceeding conventional construction specifications
3/1/15 Base Code - All new construction & existing home alteration, renovation & repair12/1/15 Stretch Code – Act 250 projects &/or where voluntarily adopted by towns
Log Home≤ 100
Non-log Home≤ 90
All Homes≤ 75 Base
Code≤ 60
Stretch Code≤ 54
* HERS Classic used until mid 2006 (higher score = more efficiency)
HERS Index 100 = HERS Classic 80 & HERS Index 90 = HERS Classic 82
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New Hampshire Energy Code
New Hampshire Code Adopted 1979 (Effective August 79’)
Administered by the Governor’s Council on Energy
Administrative responsibility passed on to PUC in 1982
Revised 1980, 1986, 1993 & 1998
New Hampshire adopts a State Building Code in 2002
No longer a local option
2006 IECC, August 2007
2009 IECC, April 2010
2015 IECC, under review by the Building Code Review Board
International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) Changes from 2006 and forward
IECC Year Percent of Change
2006 Base Year
2009 +15%
2012 +30%
2015 +31%
Seems there is a trend here that cannot be ignored.
Relax – I am just the appraiser.
When I look into the camera at your house, what do I see?
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AI Residential Green & E.E. Addendum
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The direct link for the fillable PDF “AI Residential Green and Energy Efficient Addendum” is http://www.appraisalinstitute.org/assets/1/7/Interactive820.04-ResidentialGreenandEnergyEffecientAddendum.pdf
• Appraisers• Builders• Real
Estate Agents
• Energy Raters
• Sellers
2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service
AI Res. Green & E.E. Addendum Benefits…
Notice to lender and/or AMC that appraiser with competency is required
Notice to Appraiser that the house has special features requiring competency and special documentation
Supplements the 1004 Appraisal Report Form that does not address these features
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AI Res. Green & E.E. Addendum Benefits…
Provides Appraiser with an inspection sheet and key to identifying “comparable sales”
Assists real estate agents in identifying the special features of the house and becomes a brag sheet for the seller
Assists the buyer in their decision-making
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Vermont – Only Four Green Rating Organizations
• LEED – U.S. Green Building Council
• NGBS- ICC 700 National Green Building Standard
• Vermont Builds Greener
• Green Building and Design Standards
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NGBS Ratingsas of October 1, 2015
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74
158
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
NH
VT
NGBS Certified Single‐Family Homes by StateAs of October 4, 2015
http://www.homeinnovation.com/services/certification/green_homes/resources/certification_activity_report
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ENERGY STAR
https://www.energystar.gov/index.cfm?fuseaction=new_homes_partners.locator
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Existing Homes • Low-E Windows• Good
Orientation• High Efficiency
Mechanicals• ENERGY STAR
Appliances• Overhangs to
control solar access
• Landscaping to enhance energy efficiency
Features that may reveal hidden value
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Home Energy ScoreFor Existing Homes
Home Energy Score website: www.homeenergyscore.gov
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Home Energy Score
Home Energy Score website: www.homeenergyscore.gov
• Takes an hour or less to complete
• Can be generated by home inspectors, contractors, utilities, others
• Can be used directly on‐line or linked to other software tools
• No reporting requirements, all automated
• Builds on social norming principles: “5” represents a home with expected average energy use2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service 31
Calculations provided by the Home Energy Scoring Tool can be converted into locally relevant information
Estimate annual utility costs pre and post upgrade using local utility rates
Show expected utility costs for a “1” “5” “10” etc.
Estimated energy use and cost for the home before and after improvements
Energy use per square foot
Carbon emissions and savings reflecting local fuel mix
Customizable Information
Home Energy Score website: www.homeenergyscore.gov
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http://programs.dsireusa.org/system/program/detail/46362015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service
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Data Flow Possibilities
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Data Repository
Inspectors
E.E. Services
Real Estate Agents
MLS
Appraisers
Lenders
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Data Flow Reality
Real Estate Agent
Appraiser
Lender
Home Performance
E.E. Services
MLS
Value?????
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Valuation Tools Illustrated
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Review of the Valuation Toolbox
Cost Approach (Depreciated)
Income Approach
Sales Comparison Approach
Market Studies (Appraiser driven)
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Are you missing hidden value?
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Paired-Data AnalysisSale 1 Sale 2
Sale Date 3/26/2015 2/4/2015
Sale Price $235,000 $252,000
Site Size 11,240 SF 9,000 SF
Room Count 7/3/2 + 2,500 6/3/2.5
Gross LivingArea/SF
1,580 +2,500 1,710
Age 2 4
Adjusted Sale Price
$240,000 $252,000
HERS Index 75 12,000 42
Adjusted Sales Price
$249,500 $252,000
Compares two similar properties to extract value of energy improvements. Sale 2 Sales Price $252,000 – Adjusted Sales Price of Sale 2 before making energy efficient adjustment $240,000 = $12,000 adjustment for EE. 2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service 39
Paired-Data AnalysisAppraisedProperty
Sale 1 Sale 2
Sale Date 5/1/2015 3/26/2015 2/4/2015
Sale Price $250,000 $235,000 $252,000
Site Size 12,000 SF 11,240 SF 9,000 SF
Room Count
7/3/2.5 7/3/2 + 2,500 6/3/2.5
Gross LivingArea/SF
1,650 1,580 1,710
Age 3 2 4
HERS Index 50 75 12,000 42
Other 2-car garage
2-cargarage
2-car garage
Adjusted Sales Price
$249,500 $252,0002015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service 40
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Depreciated Cost
Cost New of Energy Improvement Items $17,500
Depreciation from all forms of loss
3 yrs old/23 yr life expectancy = 13%
13% x $17,500 - 2,275
“As Is” (Depreciated Value of Energy Imprv) $15,225
(23 year life expectancy based on Marshall & Swift Res. Handbook life of energy features. The energy improvements are 3 years old now.)
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Income ApproachHP12 C
20 N – Number of years features will last (physical life) (23 yr life
less actual age of 3 years)
5 (%) I - Discount Rate – based on mortgage rate plus 1%
$850 PMT - Annual savings amount (based on Home Energy
Score)
Press PV - Should give present value or
$ 10,600 rd
(It will show as a minus-press CHS for change sign)
(Uses Annual Compound Interest rate of 5% based on mortgage
rate plus 1% for risk factor)2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service
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Income Approach GRM
Fannie Mae’s Preferred Income Approach
Monthly RentAppraiser finds rents of Energy Efficient Houses $1,200Appraiser finds rents of similar non-EE Houses $1,100
Difference in rents (income) $ 100
Appraiser finds Gross Rent Multipliers of EE Houses Sale Price of EE House $110,000 / Monthly Rent $1,200 = 91.7
Indicated Value of Energy Efficient Items Using GRM
91.7 GRM x Rent attributed for EE $100 = $ 9,170 2015 Copyright Adomatis Appraisal Service 43
Tests of ReasonablenessOverview of Methodology to Value Energy Efficient FeaturesPaired-Data Analysis $12,000
Depreciated Cost $15,225
Income Approach (GRM) $ 9,170
Income Approach (PV) $10,600
Reconciliation: All methods form a reasonable value range for the energy efficient features. The depreciated cost method deserves the least consideration because the estimate of depreciation has most room for error. The Paired-Data and Income Approach closely point to $12,000 and deserve the most consideration because the Paired-Data Analysis is directly from sales in this market. The Income Approach closely represents buyers thinking on savings from energy improvements.
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Appraiser Driven Studies
More local appraiser driven studies are needed
Studies done by academia are not useful to support energy adjustments
Appraisers must understand the methodology
Appraisers are required by USPAP to deem the study credible prior to relying on the work of others By Lisa Desmarsis, SRA
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Steps Forward to Solving The Challenges
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Solving the Data Challenge
Coordinate with MLS Board and assure the green
fields are implemented and populated accurately
Auto populating the MLS where possible would
increase accuracy.
Complete the AI Residential Green and Energy
Efficient Addendum and make sure the borrower,
appraiser, lender, and real estate agent has a copy.
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Solving the Data Challenge
Attach full energy and green reports to Addendum
Encourage agents to put Addendum, energy and
green reports in MLS
Label electrical box with energy/envelop ratings to
assure a permanent transfer of the data behind the
walls.
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Education is a MUST
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Resources
AI Residential Green & Energy Efficient Addendum
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Appraisal Institute Green Registry
Find an appraiser w/education completed
http://www.appraisalinstitute.org/education/your-career/professional-development-programs/
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Follow me on Twitter:https://twitter.com/sadomatis
By: Sandra K. Adomatis, SRA, LEED Green Associate
Questions?
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