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RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH
A REVIEW OF KEY RESIDENTIAL INDICATORS ACROSS MAJOR AUSTRALIAN CITIES
2
Economic growth was
recorded at 3.4% annual growth
in June 2018. Unemployment
across Australia was 5.0% in the
December 2018 quarter. The
official cash rate target
remained unchanged at 1.50%
on 7 February 2019. In
December 2018 housing
finance annual growth fell 10%.
Annual growth for residential
building approvals was down
5.6% in December 2018.
Australian median house values were down 6.5% in the year
ending December 2018 (falling
1.8% in the last quarter) to
$766,500. Apartment values
were down 5.3% over the year
ending December 2018 (falling
2.9% in the last quarter) to
$531,000.
In the year ending December
2018, the volume of house
sales across Australia fell 12.9%
to 299,297; whilst 86,578
apartment sales were recorded
(falling by 24.4%).
Gross rental yields rose 10 bps in the December 2018 quarter
with Australian houses averaging
4.20%; whilst Australian
apartments remained stable at 4.30%.
Australian house rents rose 3.8% to $415 per week in the
year ending December 2018;
whilst apartment rents rose
5.0% to $420 per week.
The weighted average total
residential vacancy for
Australian capital cities was last
recorded at 2.6% in September
2018; down 20 bps over the year.
Knight Frank Residential Research
National Key Economic Indicators
Annual Capital Growth & Gross
Rental Yield & Median Capital Value Greater Capital Cities, Gold Coast LGA & Australia
(excl. Greater Darwin), as at 31 December 2018
-16%
-14%
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Jun-1
7
Dec-1
7
Jun-1
8
Dec-1
7
Jun-1
8
Dec-1
8
Feb
-18
Aug
-18
Feb
-19
Dec-1
7
Jun-1
8
Dec-1
8
Dec-1
7
Jun-1
8
Dec-1
8
GROSS DOMESTIC
PRODUCT,
ANNUAL GROWTH
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE CASH RATE TARGET HOUSING FINANCE,
ANNUAL GROWTH,
BY VALUE
(excl. refinancing)
TOTAL BUILDING
APPROVALS ANNUAL
GROWTH
(houses & apartments)
AU (99)
SYD (70)
MEL (51)
BNE (75)
PER (133)
ADE (88)
CAN (50)
HOB (42)
DAR (131)
GC (91)
AU (101)
SYD (70)
MEL (69)
BNE (127)
PER (144)
ADE (114)
CAN (76)
HOB (33)
DAR (279)
GC (115)
-14%
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2.50% 3.50% 4.50% 5.50% 6.50%
APARTMENTS
HOUSES
(X) AVE DAYS ON MARKET
Late 2018 marked four years since APRA
wrote to financial institutions imposing a
restriction in the growth of their loan
book to residential investors. Over the
course of 2014, Australian house prices
had rapidly grown 8.2% and apartments
by 8.0%. It wasn’t until the past year
these restrictions most impacted
Australian house values—trending down
by 6.5% and similarly, apartments falling
by 5.3%. Once driving up price growth,
Sydney and Melbourne are now skewing
the Australian average while in correction
mode, with the median house price falling
by 9.9% and 8.4% respectively.
Looking at the underlying fundamentals,
both markets are continuing to
experience the strongest population
growth for more than 25 years, the lowest
unemployment on record for Sydney (and
the tightest in Melbourne for the past 10
years), whilst the Australian government
has committed more than $75b over the
next 10 years in transport infrastructure
across Australia (in addition to state-
based government projects). There have
certainly been elevated dwelling
completions, but its accessing finance for
investors which continues to challenge
the market. Although this has seen a
welcomed return of first home buyers. As
vendor and developer expectations have
now adjusted, so too will investors in this
new responsible lending environment as
we approach the bottom of the cycle for
these east coast cities.
3
RESEARCH
Market Trends in Greater Sydney Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth decreased 9.9% for
houses; falling 3.2% over the past
quarter to a median value of $1,062,500.
Apartment values fell 5.8% over the past
year, decreasing 3.3% in the last quarter
to a median of $702,000.
The volume of sales tallied 39,439
houses (down 19.5%) and 24,401
apartments (down 29.2%) in the year
ending December 2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 70 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was also 70
days. A year earlier, this comparable
period was recorded at 45 days and 54
days, respectively. The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 54.4% out
of 322 scheduled auctions. This was
higher than the week prior, at 49.5%
from 130 scheduled auctions, but lower
than the comparable week a year earlier
when 61.1% (out of 522 auctions) were
sold.
Gross rental yields remained steady at
3.20% for houses, but rose 10 bps to
3.90% for apartments over the
December 2018 quarter.
Rents fell 1.8% for houses over the year
ending December 2018, and fell 2.8% for
apartments. Weekly median rents stood
at $540 for houses and $530 for
apartments.
Total vacancy was 3.2% as at
December 2018; recording 3.0% in the
Inner Suburbs (0-10km from the CBD),
5.1% in the Middle Suburbs (10-25km)
and 3.3% in the Outer Suburbs (25km+).
Capital Growth, Greater Sydney % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Greater Sydney %
Population in Greater Sydney
was estimated at 5.1 million
persons in June 2017,
experiencing annual population
growth of 2.0%. The
population projection is
currently set at 1.6% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 4.0%
in Greater Sydney as at
December 2018, trending 30 bps lower than recorded in
December 2017.
Gross State Product in New
South Wales (NSW) was recorded at $593,275 million in
2017/18; 2.6% greater than the
prior year.
The value of NSW housing
finance commitments fell by
13.9% in the year ending
December 2018; down from 11.2% recorded for the previous
year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled 18,041 houses and 29,340
apartments in Greater Sydney.
This was trending 2.7% lower
for houses and 21.1% lower for apartment approvals compared
to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Sydney Houses 1,062,500 -3.2 -9.9 39,439 3.20 540 70
Sydney Apartments 702,000 -3.3 -5.8 24,401 3.90 530 70
AUSTRALIAN RESIDENTIAL REVIEW Q1 2019
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
4
Market Trends in Greater Melbourne Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth decreased 8.4% for
houses; and fell 2.1% over the past
quarter to a median value of $833,500.
Apartment values fell 4.3% over the year,
and fell 1.8% in the past quarter to a
median of $479,500.
The volume of sales tallied 52,682
houses (down 18.0%) and 16,146
apartments (down 30.1%) in the year
ending December 2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 51 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 69 days.
A year earlier, this comparable period
was recorded at 41 days and 80 days,
respectively.
The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 52.4% out
of 350 scheduled auctions. This was
higher than the week prior, at 44.3% from
162 scheduled auctions, but lower than
the comparable week a year earlier when
70.7% (out of 619 auctions) were sold.
Gross rental yields were up 10 bps to
3.20% for houses and up 10 bps to
4.40% for apartments over the December
2018 quarter.
Rents for houses increased 3.5% and
2.5% for apartments over the year ending
December 2018. Weekly median rents
stood at $440 for houses and $410 for
apartments.
Total vacancy was 2.2% as at December
2018; recording 2.1% in the Inner
Suburbs (0-10km from the CBD), 3.1% in
the Middle Suburbs (10-25km) and 1.4%
in the Outer Suburbs (25km+).
Capital Growth, Greater Melbourne % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Greater Melbourne %
Population in Greater
Melbourne was estimated at 4.8
million persons in June 2017,
experiencing annual population
growth of 2.7%. The
population projection is
currently set at 1.9% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 4.0%
in Greater Melbourne as at December 2018, trending 190
bps lower than recorded in
December 2017.
Gross State Product in Victoria was recorded at $423,961
million in 2017/18; 3.5% greater
than the prior year.
The value of Victorian housing
finance commitments fell by
6.7% in the year ending
December 2018; down from
14.7% recorded for the previous year.
Building approvals in the year ending December 2018 totalled
28,071 houses and 26,845
apartments in Greater Melbourne. This was trending
3.9% higher for houses but
16.9% lower for apartment
approvals compared to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Melbourne Houses 833,500 -2.1 -8.4 52,682 3.20 440 51
Melbourne Apartments 479,500 -1.8 -4.3 16,146 4.40 410 69
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
5
RESEARCH AUSTRALIAN RESIDENTIAL REVIEW Q1 2019
The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 37.1% out
of 90 scheduled auctions. This was
higher than the week prior, at 28.0% from
55 scheduled auctions, but lower than
the comparable week a year earlier when
45.7% (out of 115 auctions) were sold.
Gross rental yields remained steady to
4.60% for houses and 5.10% apartments
over the December 2018 quarter.
Rents increased 2.5% for houses and
grew 2.7% for apartments over the year
ending December 2018. Weekly median
rents stood at $410 for houses and $380
for apartments.
Total vacancy was 2.5% in the Brisbane
LGA as at December 2018; recording
4.0% in the Inner Suburbs (0-5km from
the CBD), 2.0% in the Middle Suburbs
(5-20km) and 2.0% in the Outer Suburbs
(20km+).
Capital Growth, Greater Brisbane % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Greater Brisbane %
Population in Greater Brisbane
was estimated at 2.4 million
persons in June 2017,
experiencing annual population
growth of 2.0%. The
population projection is
currently set at 1.7% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 5.9%
in Greater Brisbane as at December 2018, trending 90
bps higher than recorded in
December 2017.
Gross State Product in Queensland was recorded at
$339,504 million in 2017/18;
3.4% greater than the prior year.
The value of Queensland
housing finance commitments fell by 8.2% in the year ending
December 2018; down from
0.1% recorded for the previous
year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled
13,592 houses and 9,591
apartments in Greater Brisbane. This was trending 0.6% lower
for houses and 10.9% lower for
apartment approvals compared to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Brisbane Houses 566,000 -0.2 -0.1 30,973 4.60 410 75
Brisbane Apartments 370,000 -5.0 -7.9 10,842 5.10 380 127
Market Trends in Greater Brisbane Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth decreased 0.1% for
houses; and fell 0.2% over the past
quarter to a median value of $566,000.
Apartment values fell 7.9% over the year,
decreasing 5.0% in the past quarter to a
median of $370,000.
The volume of sales tallied 30,973
houses (down 16.5%) and 10,842
apartments (down 21.6%) in the year
ending December 2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 75 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 127
days. A year earlier, this comparable
period was recorded at a similar 73 days
and 122 days, respectively.
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
6
The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 48.1% out
of 36 scheduled auctions. This was
higher than the week prior, at 15.4% from
30 scheduled auctions, and higher than
the comparable week a year earlier when
34.1% (out of 52 auctions) were sold.
Gross rental yields were steady at
4.30% for houses, and rose 20 bps to
4.80% for apartments over the December
2018 quarter.
Rents increased for houses 2.9% and
remained steady for apartments over the
year ending December 2018. Weekly
median rents stood at $360 for houses
and $300 for apartments.
Total vacancy was 2.8% as at December
2018; falling from 5.5% one year earlier.
Capital Growth, Greater Perth % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Greater Perth %
Population in Greater Perth was
estimated at 2.1 million persons
in June 2017, experiencing
annual population growth of
1.0%. The population
projection is currently set at
1.6% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 6.5%
in Greater Perth as at December 2018, trending 60 bps higher
than recorded in December
2017.
Gross State Product in
Western Australia was recorded at $255,883 million in 2017/18;
1.9% greater than the prior year.
The value of Western Australian
housing finance commitments
fell by 13.4% in the year ending December 2018; down from
–4.0% recorded for the
previous year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled
10,551 houses and 3,365
apartments in Greater Perth. This was trending 9.5% lower
for houses and 35.1% lower for
apartment approvals compared to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Perth Houses 546,500 0.0 -3.3 26,255 4.30 360 133
Perth Apartments 352,000 -3.1 -2.9 3,113 4.80 300 144
Market Trends in Greater Perth Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth decreased 3.3% for
houses but remaining stable over the
past quarter to a median value of
$546,500. Over this year, apartment
values decreased 2.9%, falling 3.1% in
the past quarter to a median of $352,000.
The volume of sales tallied 26,255
houses (down 10.3%) and 3,113
apartments (down 17.3%) in the year
ending December 2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 133 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 144
days. A year earlier, this comparable
period was recorded at 114 days and 131
days, respectively.
-7%
-6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
5.50%
6.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
7
RESEARCH AUSTRALIAN RESIDENTIAL REVIEW Q1 2019
Market Trends in Gold Coast LGA Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth increased 0.2% for
houses; but remained steady over the
past quarter to a median value of
$620,000.
Apartment values rose 1.2% over the
year, but remained steady in the past
quarter to a median of $425,000.
The volume of sales tallied 8,931 houses
(falling by 8.1%) and 7,810 apartments
(down 9.1%) in the year ending
December 2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 91 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 115
days. A year earlier, this comparable
period was recorded at 72 days and 98
days, respectively.
Gross rental yields rose 10bps to 4.90%
for houses, but remained steady at
5.80% for apartments over the December
2018 quarter.
Rents increased 4.2% for houses and
rose 3.7% for apartments over the year
ending December 2018. Weekly median
rents stood at $500 for houses and $425
for apartments.
Total vacancy was 4.8% as at
December 2018 up from 1.1% one year
earlier.
Capital Growth, Gold Coast LGA % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Gold Coast LGA %
Population in the Gold Coast
LGA was estimated at 576,900
persons in June 2017,
experiencing annual population
growth of 2.4%. The
population projection is
currently set at 2.1% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 4.3%
for the Gold Coast LGA as at September 2018, trending 50
bps lower than recorded a year
earlier.
Gross State Product in Queensland was recorded at
$339,504 million in 2017/18;
3.4% greater than the prior year.
The value of Queensland
housing finance commitments
fell by 8.2% in the year ending
December 2018; down from
0.1% recorded for the previous year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled
2,534 houses and 3,481 apartments in the Gold Coast
LGA.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
LGA Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Gold Coast Houses 620,000 0.0 0.2 8,931 4.90 500 91
Gold Coast Apartments 425,000 0.0 1.2 7,810 5.80 425 115
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
8
Market Trends in Greater Adelaide Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth increased 1.7% for
houses; and rose 0.1% over the past
quarter to a median value of $538,000.
Apartments increased 0.7% over the
year, and rose 2.4% in the past quarter to
a median of $321,500.
The volume of sales tallied 19,349
houses (up 0.8%) and 3,940 apartments
(down 3.5%) in the year ending
December 2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 88 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 114
days. A year earlier, this comparable
period was recorded at 90 days and 128
days, respectively.
The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 46.9% out
of 79 scheduled auctions. This was
higher than the week prior, at 43.6% from
111 scheduled auctions, but lower than
the comparable week a year earlier when
67.1% (out of 78 auctions) were sold.
Gross rental yields remained steady at
4.50% for houses, but rose 10 bps to
5.30% for apartments over the December
2018 quarter.
Rents increased 2.7% for houses and
rose 5.1% for apartments over the year
ending December 2018. Weekly median
rents stood at $380 for houses and $310
for apartments.
Capital Growth, Greater Adelaide % annual
Gross Rental Yield
Greater Adelaide %
Population in Greater Adelaide
was estimated at 1.3 million
persons in June 2017,
experiencing annual population
growth of 0.7%. The
population projection is
currently set at 0.8% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 6.0%
in Greater Adelaide as at December 2018, trending 10
bps higher than recorded in
December 2017.
Gross State Product in South Australia was recorded at
$106,004 million in 2017/18;
2.0% greater than the prior year.
The value of South Australian
housing finance commitments
fell by 3.4% in the year ending December 2018; down from
1.0% recorded for the
previous year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled
6,380 houses and 3,894
apartments in Greater Adelaide. This was trending 3.1% lower
for houses and 0.8% lower for
apartment approvals compared to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Adelaide Houses 538,000 0.1 1.7 19,349 4.50 380 88
Adelaide Apartments 321,500 2.4 0.7 3,940 5.30 310 114
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
5.50%
6.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
9
RESEARCH AUSTRALIAN RESIDENTIAL REVIEW Q1 2019
Market Trends in Canberra Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth remained steady for
houses; and slightly increased by 0.1%
over the past quarter to a median value
of $739,000. Apartment values fell 6.1%
over the year, falling 3.6% in the past
quarter to a median of $412,500.
The volume of sales tallied 4,925 houses
(down 12.3%) and 3,874 apartments
(down 19.7%) in the year ending
December 2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 50 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 76 days.
A year earlier, this comparable period
was recorded similar at 50 days and 79
days, respectively.
The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 55.3% out
of 44 scheduled auctions. This was
higher than the week prior, at 46.2% from
43 scheduled auctions, and lower than
the comparable week a year earlier when
70.1 (out of 73 auctions) were sold.
Gross rental yields rose 10bps to 4.40%
for houses, but remained steady at
6.00% for apartments over the December
2018 quarter.
Rents increased 3.7% for houses and
rose 8.1% for apartments over the year
ending December 2018. Weekly median
rents stood at $560 for houses and $465
for apartments.
Total vacancy was a tight 0.6% as at
September 2018; falling from 0.7% one
year earlier.
Capital Growth, Canberra % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Canberra %
Population in the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) was
estimated at 410,300 persons in
June 2017, experiencing annual
population growth of 1.7%.
The population projection is
currently set at 1.5% per annum
until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 3.8%
in the ACT as at December 2018, trending 10 bps lower
than recorded in December
2017.
Gross State Product in the ACT was recorded at $39,442
million in 2017/18; 4.0% greater
than the prior year.
The value of ACT housing
finance commitments fell by 1.5% in the year ending
December 2018; down from
16.2% recorded for the previous
year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled
1,372 houses and 5,773
apartments in the ACT. This was trending 42.6% higher for
houses and 70.5% higher for
apartment approvals compared to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Canberra Houses 739,000 0.1 0.0 4,924 4.40 560 50
Canberra Apartments 412,500 -3.6 -6.1 3,874 6.00 465 76
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
10
Market Trends in Greater Hobart Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth increased 8.8% for
houses; rising 2.7% over the past quarter
to a median value of $479,500.
Apartment values fell 3.5% over the year,
falling 2.6% in the past quarter, to a
median of $343,000.
The volume of sales tallied 3,758 houses
(down 13.9%) and 651 apartments (down
19.7%) in the year ending December
2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 42 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 33 days.
A year earlier, this comparable period
was recorded at 49 days and 30 days,
respectively.
The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 0% out of
7 scheduled auctions. This was lower
than the week prior, at 100% from 5
scheduled auctions, and lower than the
comparable week a year earlier when
55.6% (out of 11 auctions) were sold.
Gross rental yields were up 20 bps to
5.10% for houses, and up 20 bps to
4.90% for apartments over the December
2018 quarter.
Rents increased 6.3% for houses and
rose 11.8% for apartments over the year
ending December 2018. Weekly median
rents stood at $420 for houses and $380
for apartments.
Total vacancy was 1.5% as at
September 2018; falling from 1.7% one
year earlier.
Capital Growth, Greater Hobart % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Greater Hobart %
Population in Greater Hobart
was estimated at 226,900
persons in June 2017,
experiencing annual population
growth of 1.1%. The
population projection is
currently set at 0.9% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 6.6%
in Greater Hobart as at December 2018, trending 60
bps higher than recorded in
December 2017.
Gross State Product in Tasmania was recorded at
$30,266 million in 2017/18;
3.3% greater than the prior year.
The value of Tasmanian
housing finance commitments
rose by 7.4% in the year ending December 2018, this was down
from 13.2% recorded for the
previous year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled
1,412 houses and 147
apartments in Greater Hobart. This was trending 51.7% higher
for houses, but 61.7% lower for
apartment approvals compared to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Hobart Houses 479,500 2.7 8.8 3,758 5.10 420 42
Hobart Apartments 343,000 -2.6 -3.5 651 4.90 380 33
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
11
RESEARCH AUSTRALIAN RESIDENTIAL REVIEW Q1 2019
The auction clearance rate for the week
ending 10 February 2019 was 0% out of
2 scheduled auctions. This was lower
than the week prior, at 100% (from 2
scheduled auctions) and lower than the
comparable week a year earlier when
33.0% (out of 8 auctions) were sold.
Gross rental yields were down 10 bps
to 4.80% for houses, and down 10 bps
to 6.00% for apartments over the
December 2018 quarter.
Rents decreased 9.1% for houses and
fell 3.6% for apartments over the year
ending December 2018. Weekly median
rents stood at $500 for houses and $400
for apartments.
Total vacancy was 7.9% as at
September 2018; increasing from 5.9%
one year earlier.
Capital Growth, Greater Darwin % annual
Gross Rental Yield & Total Vacancy
Greater Darwin %
Population in Greater Darwin
was estimated at 146,600
persons in June 2017,
experiencing annual population
growth of 0.5%. The
population projection is
currently set at 1.8% per annum until 2041.
Unemployment stood at 4.4%
in Greater Darwin as at December 2018, trending 50
bps lower than recorded in
December 2017.
Gross State Product in the Northern Territory was recorded
at $26,200 million in 2017/18;
1.7% greater than the prior year.
The value of Northern Territory
housing finance commitments
fell by 13.9% in the year ending December 2018, down from the
–6.6% recorded for the previous
year.
Building approvals in the year
ending December 2018 totalled
452 houses and 31 apartments
in Greater Darwin. This was trending 4.6% higher for houses
but 67.7% lower for apartment
approvals compared to a year earlier.
Key Residential Indicators, 31 December 2018
Greater Region Type
Median
Capital Value
($)
Capital
Growth
Last Quarter
(%)
Capital
Growth
Last Year
(%)
Sales
Volume
Last Year
(no.)
Gross
Rental Yield
(%)
Median
Weekly Rent
($)
Average
Days on
Market
(no.)
Darwin Houses 515,000 -0.4 -8.7 662 4.80 500 131
Darwin Apartments 322,000 -0.3 -13.0 410 6.00 400 279
Market Trends in Greater Darwin Over the year ending December 2018,
capital growth decreased 8.7% for
houses; falling 0.4% in the past quarter
to a median value of $515,000.
Apartment values fell 13.0% over the
year, and fell 0.3% in the past quarter to
a median of $322,000.
The volume of sales tallied 662 houses
(up 7.8%) and 410 apartments (down
25.7%) in the year ending December
2018.
The average days on market for houses
stood at 131 days in the December 2018
quarter. For apartments this was 279
days. A year earlier, this comparable
period was recorded at 142 days and 293
days, respectively.
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
Dec-1
5
Mar-
16
Jun-1
6
Sep
-16
Dec-1
6
Mar-
17
Jun-1
7
Sep
-17
Dec-1
7
Mar-
18
Jun-1
8
Sep
-18
Dec-1
8
HOUSES APARTMENTS VACANCY
Knight Frank Research Reports are available at KnightFrank.com.au/Research
RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH
Michelle Ciesielski
Director, Residential Research, Australia
+61 2 9036 6659
Ben Burston
Partner, Head of Research & Consulting,
Australia
+61 2 9036 6756
RESIDENTIAL
SALES, PROJECT MARKETING &
PROPERTY MANAGEMENT
Sarah Harding
Partner, Head of Residential, Australia
+61 2 9036 6752
RESIDENTIAL SITE SALES
Paul Henley
Partner, Head of Commercial Sales,
Australia
+61 3 9604 4760 [email protected]
RESIDENTIAL VALUATION &
ADVISORY
Chris Hill
Partner, Head of Residential Valuation
and Advisory, Australia
+61 438 807 249
MEDIA ENQUIRIES
Rebecca Sands
Director, PR & Communications,
Australia
+61 2 9036 6833
Knight Frank Residential Research provides strategic advice, consultancy services and
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Important Notice
© Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd 2019 –
This report is published for general information only and not
to be relied upon in any way. Although high standards have
been used in the preparation of the information, analysis,
views and projections presented in this report, no
responsibility or liability whatsoever can be accepted by
Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd for any loss or damage
resultant from any use of, reliance on or reference to the
contents of this document. As a general report, this material
does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank
Australia Pty Ltd in relation to particular properties or
projects. Reproduction of this report in whole or in part is
not allowed without prior written approval of Knight Frank
Australia Pty Ltd to the form and content within which it
appears.
Global Residential
Cities Index Q3 2018 Focus On Perth
Q1 2019
Global House Price
Index Q3 2018
Global Waterfront
Report 2019
Capital Growth, Houses, Key Regional Local Government Areas % annual, as at 31 December 2018
Note: Unless stated, all references to dollars or $ refer to Australian dollars (AUD).
-6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
WOLLONGONG, NSW
CAIRNS, QLD
TOWNSVILLE, QLD
ROCKHAMPTON, QLD
TOOWOOMBA, QLD
GLADSTONE, QLD
SHELLHARBOUR, NSW
WAGGA WAGGA, NSW
LAKE MACQUARIE, NSW
MACKAY, QLD
SUNSHINE COAST, QLD
KIAMA, NSW
NEWCASTLE, NSW
LAUNCESTON, TAS
GREATER GEELONG, VIC
Focus On Melbourne
Q1 2019 Focus On Sydney
Q1 2019
Focus On Brisbane
Q1 2019
Focus On Gold Coast
Q1 2019