Reserve Managment Framwork - Australia

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    Abubakar Riaz - Internee

    International Market and Investments Department

    State Bank of Pakistan

    Karachi

    Reserves

    Management

    Framework-Australia-

    Presented to IMID

    Hailey College of Commerce

    University of the Punjab

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    Re s e r v e M a n a g e m e n t F r a m e w o rk A u s

    A b u b a k a r R i a z 2 | P a g e

    AcknowledgementAll the acclamation and appreciation is for Almighty Allah the most merciful, gracious

    and beneficent who isentire source of all the knowledge and wisdom endowed to mankind .

    All the thanks to the name of Almighty Allah, who helped me in setting goals and objectives

    and blessed me to reach the destination. Without His assistance none is capable of

    accomplishment.

    This report was carefully guided to me by mysupervisor Miss Asma Yousaf without

    whom it would bevery difficult for me to producesuch a unique report. I w ould also like to

    thank Mr. Ayaz Aijaz for giving me the outline and showing the overview perspective of

    reserve framework. WhereMr. Husnain provided me with thesufficient data and I would also

    like to thank to Hafiz Anwaar ul Haq for explaining me through rest of the report making

    procedure.

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................ ................................ ................................ ................... 4

    AUSTRALIA................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ... 5

    Objectivesofreserves management................................ ................................ ................................ ... 5

    Organizational anddecision-making structure................................ ................................ .................... 6

    Institutional Framework ................................ ................................ ................................ ................... 6

    Organizational Structure................................ ................................ ................................ .................. 6

    Decision Making ................................ ................................ ................................ .............................. 8

    Active Management ................................ ................................ ................................ ......................... 9

    Transparency and accountability ................................ ................................ ................................ ........ 9

    Procedure Manuals................................ ................................ ................................ .......................... 9

    Staffing policy ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ .. 9

    Statements ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ .....10

    Audit................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ...............10

    Capacity to Assess and Manage Risk ................................ ................................ ................................ ..10

    Benchmark Portfolios................................ ................................ ................................ ......................10

    Composition ofBenchmarks ................................ ................................ ................................ ...........11

    Cash Repo ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ .......12

    Instruments................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ........12

    Futures Contracts ................................ ................................ ................................ ........................... 13

    Stock Lending ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ .13

    Risk andperformance measurement................................ ................................ ................................ .14

    Value at Risk (VaR) ................................ ................................ ................................ .......................... 14

    Informationsystem ................................ ................................ ................................ ............................ 15

    Glossary ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ............16

    References ................................ ................................ ................................ ................................ ........18

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    AUSTRALIA

    Australias foreign currency reserves are managed by the ReserveBank of Australia

    (RBA). Its Head officea

    is in Sydney thevalue of gross reserves portfolios is

    SD36,342 Million

    on May 2010[7]

    Official Reserve Assets[1]

    In MillionofUS Dollars

    May 2010

    Official reserve 36,341.71

    (1) Foreign currency reserves (in convertible foreign

    currencies)

    27,237.72

    (a) Securities of which: issuer headquartered

    in reporting country but located abroad

    21,349.60

    (b) total currency and deposits with: 5,888.12

    (i) other national central

    banks, BIS and IMF of which:

    located abroad

    580.18

    (ii) banks headquarteredoutside the reporting country

    of which: located in the

    reporting country

    5,307.93

    (2) IMF reserve position 1,031.15

    (3) SDRs 4,585.92

    (4) gold (including gold deposits and, if appropriate, gold

    swapped)

    3,112.53

    -volume in millions of fine troy

    ounces

    2.57

    (5) other reserve assets (specify) 374.39

    -financial derivatives -0.14

    -other 374.54

    aAustralia has three dealing centers; New York( S), London( K), Sydney(A S)

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    FRAMEWORK

    OBJECTIVES OF RESERVES MANAGEMENTAustralias Reserves are held for intervention purpose. The primary role of the

    reserves portfolio is to fund foreign exchange market operations that arise as part of the

    Banks broader monetary policy function.

    Analysis:

    The reserves are managed in such a manner that it gives priority to low

    levels of credit risk, limited exposure to market risk, while maintaining a high

    degree of liquidity. They are managed to achieve the highest returns within defined

    risk parameters taking into account the need to ensure funds at short notice when

    required for intervention.

    ORGANIZATIONAL AND DECISION-MAKING STRUCTURE

    INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK

    The RBAs responsibility to manage Australias foreign exchange reserves is given

    through broad legislative powers that allow the Bank to buy, sell, and otherwise deal in

    foreign exchange to achieve monetary policy objectives. Responsibilities are not shared with

    other government agencies, reflecting the role of reserves as a source of intervention capital.

    The RBA acts independently in its management decisions.

    ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE

    Responsibility for management of reserves is delegated by the Governor of theBank

    to the Financial Markets Group (FMG). Firstly international department was responsible for

    both middle and front office function and back office was also located in it. As thescale of

    operations increased RBA made flexibility in investment operations . [160]

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    Figure 1 Organi

    ational Structure

    160

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    DECISION MAKING

    Early every transaction in reserves management had to be approved by higher

    management. Later it was devised that day-to-day management of reserves should be

    delegated to an Investment Committee within the Financial Markets Group. The Committee,

    made up ofsenior managers from units involved in reserves management, had discretion to

    take sizable positions in currency and asset allocation subject to limits approved by the

    Governor. The Investment Committee meets regularly and takes positions largely based on

    assessments of the medium-term macroeconomic outlook ofcountries in which the reserves

    were invested.[166]

    The Governor requires that reserves are accounted for in line with best practice and that the level of

    transparency is consistent with that in other parts of the RBAs monetary policy operations. Senior managers

    overseeing front office operations are now responsible for day-to-day management of currency and asset

    allocation, maintaining the portfolio close to benchmark. They report directly to the Assistant Governor of the

    Financial Markets Group. [167]

    Analysis:

    Approval of transaction from higher management means it maximized

    control over the management process, but it makes decision making unwieldy and,

    therefore, poorly suited to a more active risk management framework. It also

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    constrained initiative at manager levels. So in order to move to more active

    management above system was devised and a small and qualified amount of

    trading discretion was delegated to managers in trading centers.

    ACTIVE MANAGEMENT

    No More passive management is observed. Close to benchmark.

    Analysis:

    Before 2000, Short term investment decision made a positive return from

    market. Whereas investment position in medium term macroeconomics

    development also made positive returns in some years but negative returns in

    others leaving a small positive returns from this activity overall. This significantly

    reduced the importance of discretionary management.[158]

    TRANSPARENCY AND ACCOUNTABILITYThe RBA publishes statistical information on its reserves and foreign currency

    transactions in its monthlyBulletin. Also, since 1992, the Bank has provided an overview of

    reserves management operations and return relative to benchmark in its Annual Report. It is

    SDDSsubscriber;Special data dissemination standards, as an IMF member country it observes

    thestandards and reserves data template approved by IMFsexecutive board.

    PROCEDURE MANUAL [170]A keyelement in thecontrol of operational risk has been the development of manuals

    detailing investment and risk management procedures.

    The manualsspecify;

    y The kinds of instruments in which investmentscan be madey The risk parameters for each portfolio, andy The responsibilities ofvarious positions associated with reserves management.

    They also specify how risks and returns arecalculated and how officesystemsshould

    be used in specific circumstances. Procedures manuals also exist for middle and back office

    staff.

    STAFFING POLICY

    Staffing policy is another key element. The RBA has found considerable benefit in

    specialization of professional staff in operational areas. Frequently rotating staff in and out of

    these areas in order to provide a breadth ofexperience was felt to be a significant constraint

    on maintaining adequate levels ofexperience and knowledge. Over the past ten years, efforts

    have been made to maintain a core ofexperience at senior levels within the operational areas

    while, at the same time, allowing rotation at junior levels in order to build a foundation of

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    experience. Compensation is reviewed regularly to ensure competitiveness with other

    organizations and staff isencouraged to participate in a range ofcourses. [171]

    STATEMENTSThe RBAs annual financial statements are prepared in accordance with Australian

    Accounting Standards and other mandatory reporting requirements contained in the

    Commonwealth Authorities andCompanies Act. Thestatements arescrutinized by an external

    auditor, the Australian National Audit Office, to ensure that they comply with relevant

    standards.[173]

    AUDIT

    Reserves management functions are audited internallyeach year in accordance with

    recommended control frameworks published by the Bank for International Settlements and

    requirements set out by the Australian Financial Markets Association. The internal auditreports on compliance with controls and seeks to strengthen management processes where it

    sees potential for loss through inadequatecontrol.

    CAPACITY TOASSESS AND MANAGE RISK

    BENCHMARKPORTFOLIOS

    The benchmarks represent the risk-return trade-off acceptable to the RBA over the

    long term. Statistical, practical, andjudgmental factors relevant to the RBA are important in

    deciding the appropriate composition and they are periodically reviewed for optimal

    risk/return trade off. Mean-variance analysis in addition to judgmental factors is used indeciding on the weights assigned to the threecurrencies in the benchmark portfolio.

    Thechoice of a duration benchmark of 30 months for each of the asset portfolios was

    made on the basis of factorsspecific to the RBA in its responsibility for managing reserves and

    analysis of risk and return for each asset.[176]

    Table 1 Currency, Asset, and Duration Benchmarks

    Unit d St t s Eur p Japan

    Curr ncy allocation (%) 45 45 10

    Ass tallocation (%) 45 45 10

    Duration (Months) 30 30 30

    Analysis:

    With the aim of maximizing the Banks capacity to intervene, thats way its

    decided that a trade weighted basket of currencies would be an appropriate

    currency. The decision was taken to spread the composition across the three major

    reserve currenciesthe U.S. dollar, deutschemark (later the euro), and Japanese

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    Table 2. CompositionofIndividual Portfolio Benchmarks[179]

    United States Europe Japan

    AssetClass % of

    Total

    AssetClass % of

    Total

    AssetClass % of

    TotalDeposits 22 Deposits 30 Deposits 22

    Treasury bills 21 Treasury bills 15 Treasury bills 33

    Treasury Notes 57 Bonds 55 Bonds 45

    Analysis:

    The desire to maintain a liquid and secure portfolio led the RBA to limit its

    benchmark investments to government securities and cash instruments. Typically,

    some 75 to 80 percent of the RBAs benchmark foreign investment portfolios are

    held in government paper.For the European portfolio, the RBA has decided on a combination of French

    and German government securities as the best structure to satisfy requirements for

    credit risk and liquidity. In order to limit exposure to price risk, the maximum

    maturity of securities holdings is restricted to 10 years in each portfolio.

    CASH REPO

    Cash invested under repurchase agreements (repo) and deposits with highly rated

    banks make up the balance of the asset benchmarks.

    Analysis:

    The RBA has found the short duration offered by deposits to be attractive in

    markets where access to short-term government debt was limited. They have also

    been a good, immediate source of liquid funds during episodes of currency

    intervention. That said, the proportion of foreign exchange reserves invested in

    deposits has declined in recent years, reflecting tighter credit constraints and

    changes in cash management practices. The RBA now makes greater use of cash

    repo, which has the security advantage of being collateralized with government

    securities. [181]

    INSTRUMENTSIn addition to the assets held in the benchmark portfolios, the RBAs dealing centers

    have discretion to hold a small range of other highly rated instruments.

    These include the[183]

    y U.K. Gilts,

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    y Dutch and Swiss government paper,y Deposits and medium-term notes issued by the Bank for International

    Settlements.

    Analysis:

    With the exception of BIS deposits, these investments have accounted for a

    negligible share of total holdings. Discretion to hold U.K., Dutch, and Swiss paper is

    a remnant of a period in the 1980s when the composition of Australias official

    foreign currency liabilities influenced the composition of the reserves portfolio.

    Discretion also exists to hold U.S. Federal Agency debt in the U.S. portfolio as a

    source of return enhancement. Total holdings are restricted to a maximum of

    US$500 million. [183]

    FUTURES

    CONTRACTS

    In 1994, theBank began trading interest ratefuturescontracts. Futures trading havebeen concentrated in theEuropean and Japanese portfolios. The RBA does not use any over -

    the-counter or exchange-traded options in its reserves management activities.

    Analysis:

    The decision for futures trading was driven by a desire to improve

    management of market risk and, in particular, to provide a liquid hedging

    instrument to minimize the risk of capital losses when interest rates were rising. An

    additional attraction of using futures was the greater liquidity and flexib ility that

    they provide in some markets when implementing investment strategies. Some

    futures markets are more liquid than their underlying physical bond markets in that

    the bid-offer spread is usually much narrower.[184]

    STOCKLENDING

    Stocklending is also an activity undertaken by the dealing centers.

    Analysis:

    As stock lending, particularly from the U.S. portfolio has risen to be a majorcomponent of return enhancement. Though the back office workload associated

    with this activity can be large. The RBA sees this activity as relatively low risk.

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    RISK AND PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENTMarket risk and return enhancement are measured relative to the benchmark

    portfolios. For currency and asset allocation, Currency and asset positions are managed

    separately within the discretionary band through the use of foreign currency swaps. Thecost/benefit of these swaps is taken into account when measuring the performance of the

    asset and currency positions relative to benchmark. Foreign exchange dealers in each of the

    three dealing centers have a small amount of discretion set in terms of a maximum open

    position that falls within the 1 percent discretionary limit on currency allocation. Breaches of

    the limit are reported to Assistant Governor on the day they occur. The dealing centers are

    also required to report daily losses that exceed US$1 million to senior management in the

    Financial Markets Group.

    Analysis:

    Risk measurement and trading discretion around the duration benchmark

    for each asset portfolio are based on the concept of dollars-at risk. This is the

    change in portfolio value arising from a one basis point change in yield. Within each

    of the portfolios, the dealing centers are required to maintain dollars-at-risk to

    within US$70,000 per basis point at all times. This limit applies to the aggregate

    position of the portfolio and to the position undertaken in each maturity bucket of

    the portfolio in order to control the amount of curve risk. [187]

    VALUE AT RISK(VAR)

    The VaR number represents the portfolio loss the RBA could incur once every 20

    business days in normal market conditions. Two VaR measures arecalculated each dayonebased on thecorrelation method and the other based on historical simulation methodology.

    The assumptions underlying these VaR methodologies are reviewed periodically and their

    performance is tested regularly. In accordance with best practice, the RBA also stress tests

    the portfolio. This involves simulating and evaluating the impact of extreme market

    movements on thevalue of the portfolio.[189]

    Analysis:

    The dollars-at-risk measure also forms the basis of the Value-at-Risk (VaR)

    methodology, which the RBA has used since 1995 to estimate the consolidatedexposure of the Banks foreign currency reserves to market risk. Though the overall

    limits to control market riski.e., the discretionary trading bands around the

    benchmarkare not defined in terms of VaR, the RBA has found that it nonetheless

    provides a useful tool for conveying information about the overall portfolio

    exposure to senior management and staff involved in reserves management.[189]

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    INFORMATION SYSTEM [190]All international transactionsentered into by the RBA are processed through a main-

    frame electronic Global Trading and Settlement System (GTS). This system has been

    developed by an external software provider to their specifications.

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    Glossary

    Back office. The area of reserve

    management operations responsible for

    confirmation, settlement and in many

    cases, reconciliation of reserve

    management transactions.

    Benchmark. The mix of currencies,

    investment instruments, and duration that

    reflect the reserve managers tolerance for

    exposure to liquidity, credit, and marketrisks.

    Benchmark portfolio. A preset list of

    securities to be used to compare the

    performance of an actual portfolio.[3]

    Cash repo. A Repurchase agreement (also

    known as a repo or Sale and Repurchase

    Agreement) allows a borrower to use a

    financial security as collateral for a cash

    loan at a fixed rate of interest. In a repo,the borrower agrees to sell immediately a

    security to a lender and also agrees to buy

    the same security from the lender at a

    fixed price at some later date. A repo is

    equivalent to a cash transaction combined

    with a forward contract.[4]

    Credit risk. Probability of loss from a

    debtor's default. In banking, credit risk is a

    major factor in determination of interest

    rate on a loan: longer the term of loan,usually higher the interest rate. Also called

    credit exposure.[3]

    Foreign exchange reserves. Thoseexternal

    assets that are readily available to and

    controlled by monetary authorities for

    direct financing of payments imbalances,

    for indirectly regulating the magnitudes of

    such imbalances through intervention in

    exchange markets to affect the currency

    exchange rate, and/or for other purposes.

    Front office. The area responsible for

    initiating investment transactions in

    accordance with approved delegations,

    limits, and benchmarks and the prompt

    and accurateentry of transactions into the

    investment management system.

    Futures contracts. A contractual

    agreement, generally made on the trading

    floor of a futuresexchange, to buy or sell a

    particular commodity or financial

    instrument at a pre-determined price in

    the future. Futures contracts detail the

    quality and quantity of the underlying

    asset; they are standardized to facilitate

    trading on a futures exchange. Some

    futures contracts may call for physicaldelivery of the asset, while others are

    settled in cash.[2]

    Middle office. Located between the front

    and back offices, the middle offices role is

    to monitor that all transactions have been

    performed properly, that risks are being

    monitored and limits observed, and that

    relevant information is available for

    management.

    Reserve management. The process by

    which publicsector assets are managed in

    a manner that provides for the ready

    availability of funds, the prudent

    management of risks, and the generation

    of a reasonable return on the funds

    invested.

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    Stock lending. The act of loaning a stock,

    derivative, or other security to an investor

    or firm. Securities lending requires the

    borrower to put up collateral, whether

    cash, security, or a letter of credit. Thecompletion of this transaction requires a

    securities lending agreement, which s tates,

    among other things, how long the loan

    lasts, what fee the lender receives, and the

    amount and type ofcollateral.[5]

    SDDS. The Special Data Dissemination

    Standard (SDDS) was established by the

    International Monetary Fund (IMF/Fund)

    to guide members that have, or that might

    seek, access to international capitalmarkets in the provision of their economic

    and financial data to the public. Both the

    General Data Dissemination System

    (GDDS) and the SDDS are expected to

    enhance the availability of timely and

    comprehensive statistics and therefore

    contribute to the pursuit of sound

    macroeconomic policies; the SDDS is also

    expected to contribute to the improved

    functioning of financial markets. [6]

    Stress Testing. A simulation technique

    used on asset and liability portfolios to

    determine their reactions to different

    financial situations. Stress tests are alsoused to gauge how certain stressors will

    affect a company or industry. They are

    usually computer-generated simulation

    models that test hypothetical scenarios.

    Stress testing is a useful method for

    determining how a portfolio will fare

    during a period of financial crisis. The

    Monte Carlo simulation is one of the most

    widely used methods ofstress testing. [2]

    Value atRisk VaR. A technique used toestimate the probability of portfolio losses

    based on the statistical analysis of

    historical price trends and volatilities. VaR

    iscommonly used by banks, security firms

    and companies that are involved in trading

    energy and other commodities. VaR is able

    to measure risk while it happens and is an

    important consideration when firms make

    trading or hedging decisions.[2]

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