Research_Smart Grid_Mrugesh_Pawar

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    Page 1

    Development of

    Business ModelForSmart Grid Technology

    Implementation in

    DISCOMsto improve SBU / Sub-Division efficiency

    Presented by

    Mrugesh Pawar

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    Page 2

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    Introduction

    Literature Review

    Data Presentation

    Research Methodology

    Concepts of Smart Grid

    TechnologyThe Literature Review

    Data Analysis & FindingsConceptual Frame Work from the Literature Review

    Development of Proposed Business Model forSmart Grid Technology Implementation

    Conclusion

    Summary of Findings Limitations of Study Future Scope of Research

    Research Study Structure Design

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    InstalledCapacity(in

    MW)

    PeakLoa

    d(MW)

    ElectricalEnergyRequir e

    ment(GW

    h)

    Generation 4,46,771

    Transmission 1,40,000

    Distribution 2,87,000

    HRD 462

    R&D 1,214

    DSM 653

    Total Power Sector 8,76,100

    NCES and Captive 1,15,500

    Merchant Plants 40,000

    Total Funds Requirement 10,31,600

    Years(Rupees in Crores)Fund Requirement 11th Plan

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    Concepts of Smart Grid Technology :

    SMART GRID: It is a making Grid intelligent, self-healing, self-

    talking, communicating & self-decision making system which

    will help attaining enhanced situation awareness and

    responsiveness, enabling operational excellence for the utility,

    and improved experience for the consumer through systemoperations, automation and controlling the consumer premise

    for load control ......... DoE

    Definition of Smart Grid

    Smart Grid

    Intelligent GridInter OperatingElectronicsLeaching toImprovedGridEnterprises

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    Smart Grid Technology implementation in Indian

    Context-in totality is going to provide a situation of,

    End of Load SheddingPeak Load Shifting through a combination of direct control and

    differential pricing (demand response / dynamic DSM)

    Reliable Power

    Robust systems with self-healing capabilities; first step in improvedmonitoring

    Cheaper PowerDramatic improvement in AT&C Losses? Knowing where every kWh is

    going in real-timeShifting the Peak away from Costly Power

    Better utilization of assets

    More sustainable PowerIntegration of green and renewable resources at a massive scale?

    Enough to increase energy independence

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    Operational EfficiencyIncrease operational productivityReduce capital and operatingcostsImprove physical/cyber security

    CustomerSatisfaction

    Improve reliabilitymetricsConsumer empowered tocontrol energy usageTighter communicationswith UtilityAdditional servicesEnvironmental Impact

    Reduce, avoid and/or sequester CO2emissionsMeet or exceed regulatoryrequirementsIncrease environmental options forconsumer

    Energy EfficiencyOptimize energy usageManage growing energydemandExtend asset utilization

    Source: IBM, EPRI & DoE

    Smart Green Grid its Integrated benefits through

    Integrated AMI-NMS-OMS-iDMS System with SCADA-GIS & CIS

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    Feed - back

    Supplier Customer

    Customer

    Supplier

    The knowledgeChannel

    Customer is the only Profit, rest are overheads

    Every Organisation earns profit when and only when a customer allows it to earn

    Feed-back

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    For any Project to succeed Fourindicating factors for consideration:

    (1) Techno-Economical Feasibility,

    (2) Cultural Appropriateness,(3) Socially Equitability, and

    (4) Ecological Sustainability

    Customer is the only Profit, rest are overheads

    Every Organisation earns profit when and only when a customer allows it to earn

    By way of improving the SBUs i.e. Sub-Division efficiency at DISCOMs.

    At present SBUs Revenue centers only Profit Centers Investment Centers

    Thru Smart Grid TechnologySmart Grid Technology using ICT

    Smart Grid Project Investments in DISCOMs

    SBU resources thruappropriate Business Model

    S G f S

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    Page 21

    Smart Grid Infrastructure - Power Sector Projects

    Risks

    With the large capital outlay and long gestation period, the risklevels in power projects are quite high

    Various risks involved are

    Project implementation risks Completion risks

    Operational risks

    Commercial risks

    Financial risks Political risks

    Viability of the projects and credit worthiness of the borrowersare to be appraised in detail by the financial institutions

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    Creating a brand image

    Providing products and service at best

    Having ways of communicating

    Managing supply chain

    Making Organization sustainably profitably growing

    Applying state-of-the-art technology

    Business is a system that occupies a niche in an ecosystem by;Business is a system that occupies a niche in an ecosystem by;

    . Creates what customers experience, those experiences shape the game of

    business.

    A business model describes how a company is organized and operates to

    deliver those experiences.

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    Research ScopeTo derive appropriate Business Model for Smart grid

    Technology implementation in DISCOMs

    Research Problem To identify Drivers for the Project To find out effectiveness of Smart Grid Technology in DISCOM To Derive Best Road Map for implementation To identify Challenges for Project Implementation

    To identify Cost Benefit Analysis & EVA & Socio-Economic Evaluation ofProject

    To identify various effective major & minor stakeholders & their participation To identify prospective Investors and their wishes To identify various factors and clusters for Project implementation To identify Business Strategy suitable for the Project Implementation

    To derive Alternative Business Models Selecting appropriate Business Model best suitable for this Project

    Research ObjectiveMajor: To derive appropriate Business Model most suitable for Smart grid

    Technology implementation in DISCOMs

    Minor: To explore & derive best suitable strategy for SLAs and BLAs (outsourcingstructure) for the Project a Contractual Framework

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    Research Methodology

    To generate set of Hypotheses for consideration of variousFactors & Clusters

    Phase-I

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    Phase-II

    To generate set of Hypotheses for consideration of variousFactors & Clusters

    Research Methodology

    Framing

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    Defining SampleSize

    Obtaining inputsfrom Samples

    Check Validity, Reliability, andObjectivity then derive

    Predictability

    Conduct complete empiricalStudy and Analysis

    DecidingSampling Unit

    DesigningSampling Frame

    DecidingSampling

    Population

    gSampling PlanSampling Technique:

    Strategic

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    Business Model(with

    Contractual

    Framework) -Strategy

    Business Model(with

    ContractualFramework)

    Strategy

    Design Variables

    Competitive

    Positionin

    gVariables

    StrategicBusiness

    Unit / Sub-Division

    Efficiency &PerformanceImprovement

    (using

    Smart GridTechnology

    andappropriate

    BusinessModel (with

    properContractualFramework)

    PerformanceVariables

    ClustersVariables

    Basic Conceptual Framework

    PESTLEAnalysis

    Business Model Strategy based on CoT: Circle of Trust

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    Business Model Strategy based on CoT: Circle of Trust

    Performance Variables

    Clusters

    performance-power to be checked for each

    possible alternative model for each

    performance variables & Clusters

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    Relationship Direct Effects Model Coalignment Model

    Business Orientations

    Customer Orientation .009/.095 .820/.116

    Competitor Orientation .009/.095 .556/.100Employee Orientation -.049/.080 .206/.061

    Shareholder Orientation .231/.109 1.106/.144

    Management Assets

    Customer Assets 2.132/1.12 .302/.103

    Internal Assets -2.04/1.15 .688/.100

    Channel Assets 2.101/1.160 .767/.0108

    Allience Assets .043/.218 .680/.099

    Management Capabilities

    In-out capability .683/.197 .911/.130

    Out-in Capability -.089/.105 .723/.119

    Networking capability -.152/.067 .846/.147

    Spanning Capability .043/.218 .830/.166

    Coalignment FinancialPerformance

    ---------------- .831/.136

    2=4158; df=1005;

    GFI=.804, AGFI=.78,

    NFI=.713, TLI=.747,CFI=.765, RMSEA=.066

    2=3090; df=1015;

    GFI=.86, AGFI=.84,

    NFI=.83, TLI=.88CFI=.90, RMSEA=.053

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    Business Outsourcing Strategy

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    Business Outsourcing Strategy

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    Business Outsourcing Strategy

    All non-core business outsourcedNeutralized Bargaining Power of Suppliers

    Ericsson was given the mandate to provide, manage and maintain the

    equipment as well as provide quality assurance in Airtels Mobile Operating

    Circles

    IBM was given mandate to handle the back office requirements of Airtels

    presence in India

    Bharti Infrarel & Indus Towers ware give mandate to provide physical network

    infrastructures and maintain service levels

    IBM Daksh, Mphasis, Hinduja TMT, Aegis BPO, and Nortel were given mandate

    to provide Customer Care support and solutions

    Bharti-Airtels Value Prepositions

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    Bharti-Airtel s Value Prepositions

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    Summary of Hypotheses

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    Summary of Hypotheses

    Factors NULLHypothesis: H0

    AlternativeHypothesis: H1

    Business Model: Investment Opportunity (RoCE) Power No SignificantDifference betn Mean

    Values

    Yes, there isSignificant Difference

    betn Mean Values

    Business Model: Revenue Sharing v/s Sharing Relationship,Roles & Responsibilities, Rights, and Obligations Power

    -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: Manufacturing / OEMs & IPR Legal Power -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: Technical Power -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: Finance Power -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: R&D and Technology up-gradation Power -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: Governance, Version Control and Change

    Management Power

    -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: Enforcement, Indemnification & RemediesPower

    -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: Liability, Risk Management & InsurancePower

    -- do -- -- do --

    Business Model: Entrance & Exit of Members Power -- do -- -- do --

    On analysis of Phase-I & II, a set of Hypotheses derived for testing

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    Factor Analysis Impact of All Factors on Models

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    y p

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    Hypotheses Testing Results

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    Hypotheses Testing Results

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    Basic Conceptual Framework Adopted

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    Need Design Engineering BidValue

    EngineeringBuild

    OwnerArchi-

    tectConsulting

    EngineersArchi-

    tect

    Contra-

    ctor

    Archi-tect

    Contr-actor

    Owner

    Consulting

    Engineers

    ProfitEconomy

    PlanetEconomy

    People

    Equity

    SmartGrid

    GreenTechnology

    Time

    Human

    HSWEcology

    Cost Quality

    PPP-SPV

    With SAAS

    Correlation Matrix

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    Regression Analysis

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    Business Model = 0.143 + 0.304A1 + 0.284B1 +

    0.248C1 + 0.347D1 + 0.232E1 + 0.173F1 + 0.352G1

    BMt = + a1A1t + b1B1t + c1C1t + d1D1t+ e1E1t + f1F1t + g1G1t +

    BMt = 0.14286+0.142A1t + 0.142B1t + 0.142C1t +

    0.142D1t

    + 0.142E1t

    + 0.142F1t

    + 0.142G1t

    + 0.00714

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    Product innovation Value proposition, target and aptitudes

    Customer Relationship Feel, serve and protect customers interest

    Infrastructure & logistics Logistics control, process and alliances

    Finance & Revenue generation Investment opportunities (RoCE) v/s smoothened assured cash

    in-flow for the Project

    Business Model Components:

    The difference between success and failure: some companies fails,which dont change their business model v/s most of the innovative

    companies succeed which change their business model

    A Parable of Business Model Warfare

    Technology

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    TechnologyInnovation

    Business Development &

    Revenue EnhancementUsing ICT & e-commerce

    Allows

    Levier to change

    Business ModelICT Strategy

    Infrastructure

    Inter-operability

    Open Standards&

    User friendliness

    IntegrationImpact

    Power Industry

    Impact

    CommunityIntermediary

    Allows

    .. improveBusinessValue

    PromotionCustomer Service

    .. reduce CostDiffusion timeLearning

    .. create NewProduct/service

    New ChannelsNew Business

    ProductInnovation

    Finance &Revenue

    Infrastructure& Logistics

    CustomerRelationship

    Business Strategy

    Who?

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    ProductInnovation

    Finance &Revenue

    Infrastructure &Logistics

    CustomerRelationship

    How?To organize the infrastructure?Its resources?Knowledge?Structure of resulting costs?Manage the value chain & processes?Build alliance to achieve performance?

    To manage relationship withCustomers?

    Satisfy them & generate revenues to beon the winning side?

    What? Is the scope ofProducts & Services

    improvement?Its value (benefits) for the consumer?Capabilities to deliver them in aninnovative way?

    How much? What is the revenue model?The profit model?Its sustainable growth?

    Its design to last life cycle?

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    Business

    Model Innovation

    Industry Model

    Innovation (IMI)

    Enterprise Model

    Innovation (EMI)

    Revenue Model

    Innovation (RMI)

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    ProfitEconomy

    PlanetEconomy

    People Equity

    SmartGrid

    GreenTechnol

    ogy

    Owner

    /

    Devel-

    oper

    CM /Contrac-

    tor

    Users

    Arch-

    itect

    Consulting

    Engineers

    Finan-

    ciers

    Comm-

    unity

    Supp-

    liers

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    Listen to theCustomer

    Establish theconfiguration

    Planning ofproduction

    Production (internal)

    Outsourcing(external)

    Smart Grid multi-functioning

    One-to-many, one-to-oneMass-customization

    CRM

    SCM

    ERP

    Distribution

    Custom Product/Servic

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    Customer

    Personalization

    Distribution

    Trust

    CRM

    ChannelsDis-

    intermediation

    Value forProduct/Servic

    eInfrastructure

    ValuePropositio

    nOnline

    sales &service

    E-markets

    Info-mediation

    Capabilities

    Resource for

    Target Resources

    Alliances/netwo

    rks

    Activities/processes

    Value

    chainValueshopValue

    network

    Fee

    l

    Serve

    Revenue

    Value added Costs

    Price Profit

    Contract Governance

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    Contract Governance

    Dimensions

    Plan

    Mana

    gethe

    Relat

    ionship

    Admi

    nister

    theCo

    ntract

    Service

    Deliv

    ery

    Strateg

    ic

    Mana

    geme

    nt

    Servi

    ce

    Improv

    ement

    Tech

    nolog

    y

    &Se

    rvice

    s

    Time Horizon

    Core Processes

    SupportProc

    esses

    Monitor

    &

    Control

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    Lender

    Sponsor /

    Investors

    SupplierPurchaser /

    User

    Credit Risk

    Financial RiskCompletion Risk

    Revenue /

    Purchase Risk

    Operation Risk

    Operating

    Agency

    PPP-SPV JVC

    Equity /

    Investors

    Investment Risk

    Raw Mtrls.

    ConstructionC

    ontract

    Supply Contract

    EPC

    Proje

    ctOp

    eration

    Operation

    Con

    tract

    Service / User Contract

    Out put - Service

    Sponsoring

    Authority

    Concessionary /

    VGF Risk

    Debt RepaymentLoan Funds

    Cash DeficitAgreements & Other

    Credit Support

    Returns to InvestorEquity FundsGranting

    Authority

    Regulatory

    Risk

    Project Approval

    Project Appraisal

    Land Acquisition

    ProjectC

    onstruction

    Technical

    Advisory

    ITC

    Legal

    Advisory

    LC

    AERA

    Regulatory

    Committee

    Financial

    Consultant

    FC

    ITIA, SIA

    Implementation Risk

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    2010

    20202015

    Deploy base technologies

    Smart meters installedOMS/DMS system

    Microgrid Pilot

    New Customer programs offered by Utilities

    Dynamic Pricing EE, Demand Response HAN, Energy Management

    Many Smart Grid components to be initially

    deployed

    AMI ADR

    IDMSEnergy Accounting-AuditingAT&C Loss controlPower Theft curbingSelf-healing-grid technologies in full deploymentMicro grid technology deployed and self-

    sustaining community concept demonstratedPHEV infrastructure pilots

    2010-2011

    Automated outage detection, restoration,

    and customer notification

    Expanded SCADA & line devicesAMI-GPRS, 3G, EDGE, PLC controlsMobile Work Force Management SystemAsset Mgmt. SystemSelf-Healing Grid technologies in place

    Traditional utility relationship with

    customer is changing due to more mature

    new services for customers

    Load control with DR

    Bundled servicesDER Aggregation (including PHEV)

    Major regulatory issues be solved

    Data ownership and accessCross jurisdictional conflictsT&D renewable strategy

    2011-2015

    Customer supply side & storage decisions become

    the norm

    Significant DER PenetrationAdditional Micro grids where cost effective

    Customers as resources

    PHEV adoption rises- utility becomes "gas station

    of the future

    PHEV adoption emerges as a critical component of

    DERCharging infrastructure in placePHEV rates in place (charge & discharge)

    Advanced grid technologies in place

    CBM, Cable DiagnosticsAdvance Energy Storage to support RPS goalsSelf-healing grid is a reality

    2016-2020

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    Through this it can be concluded that by considering all relevant factors and clusters by way

    of introducing PPP-SPV Business Model it will definitely will give better outcome of the

    Project and if further if the ESOPand the SaaStechniques included in to that then it will

    give the best result outcome with highest level of performance as an appropriate Business

    Model for Smart grid technology implementation which ultimately will improve the

    efficiency of the SBUs Sub/Division of the various DISCOMs in Indian Power Sector and

    it will lead towards making them Investment Centers rather than simply remaining as

    Revenue Centers.

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    DISCOMs ?

    Where doDISCOMs

    are?

    Where doDISCOMs

    Should be?

    S/Dn-SBU asRevenueCentre

    DISCOMs

    S/Dn-SBU asInvestment

    Centre

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    An Intelligent Smart Grid Utility Network is information architecture and infrastructure

    which enables the continuous automated monitoring of a Utilitys Customers, Assets &

    Operations and uses this On Demand information to improve Service, Reliability &

    Efficiency

    Cost

    Risks

    AT&CLoss

    Revenue

    CustomerSatisfacti

    on

    Stakeholders Value

    Business Sustainable

    Profitable Growthwith Customer

    delighters

    Most important Point to be considered at Top most Priority

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    AT&C Loss Factor in entire Power

    Sector Value Chain

    Most important Point to be considered at Top most Priority

    while Designing the Business Model

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    Page 85

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    Demand Response Solution

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    Load2

    Load2

    Load2

    Load1

    Load1

    Load1

    Load1

    Load1

    Load1

    ALC : AMI Load Controller

    ALC

    ALC

    ALC

    Demand Response SolutionOption

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    Memory

    Data Concentrator

    Zigbee

    PLCC

    6LowPAN

    RF

    IRIS MDMS

    R Y B

    ..

    GSM /

    GPRSWi-Fi / Wi-MaxFibreOpticsPSTNData Call

    101010

    101010Internet

    Internet

    IRIS MDMS

    10101

    ACC

    Power Usage > 3A

    ACC

    10101

    ALC

    101011010110101

    10101

    10101

    Power Usage < 3A

    10101

    10101

    p

    ACC : AMI Control Card

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    Integrated NMS-OMS System with SCADA-GIS & CIS using ICT & providing a strong Platform forAMI and ADR

    Smart Green GridSmart Green Grid ananICT: Integrated InformationICT: Integrated Information

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    ICT: Integrated InformationICT: Integrated Information

    Communication TechnologyCommunication Technology

    Sensing

    andMeasureme

    nt

    Advanced ControlMethods

    ImprovedInterfaces

    andDecisionSupport

    Advanced

    Components

    ICTICT

    ICTICT

    ICTICT

    Connection Conformation Bus COTP Connection Oriented Transport

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    Socio-Economic IRR & Cost Benefit AnalysisSocio-Economic IRR & Cost Benefit Analy

    sis

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    Socio Economic IRR & Cost Benefit AnalysisSocio Economic IRR & Cost Benefit Analysis

    Project Case Study: Surat Division - DGVCL

    Socio Economic IRR & Cost Benefit AnalysisSocio Economic IRR & Cost Benefit Analy

    sis

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    Socio-Economic IRR & Cost Benefit AnalysisSocio-Economic IRR & Cost Benefit Analysis

    Socio Economic IRR & Cost Benefit AnalysisSocio-Economic IRR & Cost Benefit Analy

    sis

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    Socio-Economic IRR & Cost Benefit AnalysisSocio-Economic IRR & Cost Benefit Analysis

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    Thank YouThank You

    Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:M/S InfosysM/S InfosysM/S IBMM/S IBM