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Johan Skold Ericsson Research RESEARCH TRENDS AND IMT BEYOND 2020

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

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Page 1: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Johan SkoldEricsson Research

RESEARCH TRENDS AND IMT BEYOND 2020

Page 2: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 2

wireless access generations

The foundation ofmobile telephony

The foundation of mobile broadband

Mobile telephonyfor everyone

Mobile broadbandFor everyone

Page 3: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 3

wireless access generations

The foundation ofmobile telephony

The foundation of mobile broadband

Mobile telephonyfor everyone

Mobile broadbandFor everyone

Page 4: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 4

The networked society

Collaboration

Innovation

Integrity

Competence

Trust

Socializing

Interaction

Learning

Page 5: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 5

Affordable and sustainable

Massive growth in

Traffic Volume

Wide range ofRequirements & Characteristics

• Data rates• Latency• Reliability/availability• Device cost and

energy consumption• Security• .....

Massive growth in

Connected Devices

Future wireless accessKey challenges

It is not only about Bigger and betterMobile broadband

Page 6: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 6

Affordable and sustainable

Key challenges

Massive growth in

Traffic Volume

Wide range ofRequirements & Characteristics

• Data rates• Latency• Reliability/availability• Device cost and

energy consumption• Security• .....

Massive growth in

Connected Devices

Page 7: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 7

2010 2020 2030

A set of well-integrated wireless-access technologies jointly enabling the long-term Networked Society

Future wireless Access – “5G”

› Evolution of existing radio-access technologies› New complementary radio-access technologies

New technology componentsneeded in both cases

Page 8: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8

Future Wireless access

Ultra-reliable communication Inter-vehicular / vehicular-to-road

communicationMachine

communication

Multi-hopcommunication

Ultra-dense deploymentsDevice-to-device

communication and

cooperative devices

Capillary network

A set of integrated radio-access technologies jointly enabling the long-term Networked Society

Page 9: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 9

Higher rata rates has been the “flying flag” for each technology step!

Data rates

› 10 Gbps in specific scenarios› 100 Mbps generally available in urban/suburban scenarios› High-quality (Mbps) connectivity essentially everywhere

Future targets

3G2 Mbps (indoor)

384 kbps (outdoor)

HSPA

14 Mbps

LTE

100 Mbps

IMT/LTEAdvanced

1 Gbps ?

Page 10: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 10

Latency / reliability0

Possibility for sub-ms latency with very high reliability

LTE radio-interface latency sufficient in most cases

Very low latency may be required by some ”new applications”

Traffic safety/control Smart grid Industrial application “Tactile Internet”

Target for the future

Page 11: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 11

Traffic capacity

Spectrum efficiency

Networkdensity

Availablespectrum Traffic capacity

[Mbps/km2]=

Availablespectrum

[MHz]Network density

[sites/km2]

Spectrumefficiency

[Mbps/MHz/site]

Area spectrum efficiency

› More spectrum – extending into higher bands including mm-wave band

› More dense networks – including more extensive antenna configurations

› Smart cooperation between network nodes

Page 12: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 12

Multi-antenna transmission/reception

Air-interface evolution

Simultaneous transmission and reception,network coding, …

Multi-layer coordinationCoordination

Multi-site transmission/reception

Interference suppression

Page 13: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 13

Research for 5G

Making the extremes possible:• Extreme user data-rates • Extreme capacity and density• Extreme mobility• Extreme energy efficiency• Extreme number of devices• Extreme reliability• Extremely low latency• Extreme bandwidth

Page 14: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 14

Target areas for research

Technologies for new and specific use cases

• Machine-to-machine, proximity service

• Reaching the “extremes”: Ultra-low latency, high reliability applications, ultra-low power, etc.

“Disruptive” technology components:

• Targets existing or new, possibly revolutionary use cases

Technologies for improved mobile broadband:

• General enhancements for “bigger and better” Mobile Broadband

• Higher bit rates, lower latency, more traffic, higher density

!

Page 15: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 15

Examples of research AREAS

Improved MBB

“Disruptive”

New use casesMBB enhancementsof bit rates, capacity, …

Ultra-reliableUltra-low latency

Interferencecancellation

SimultaneousTx and Rx

THz communication

mm-wave communication

Ultra-densenetworks

Advanced antennatechniques

Enhancements of video, broadcast, privacy etc.

Device-to-device

Low load communication (“ultra-lean”)

Network flexibility

Cognitive radio

!

Page 16: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 16

Research initiatives globallySome Examples

Page 17: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 17

5G Capability evolution:› Higher peak data rates› More and denser traffic› Ubiquitous and deeper coverageNew and evolved 5G use cases:› Machine-type communications› Ultra-reliable communications› Etc. …

Spectrum implications

300 MHz 30 GHz

DRIVERS

• Larger carrier bandwidths

• More spectrum

• Spectrum at higher frequencies

• Need to be identified at WRC-18/19

100 GHz10 GHz1 GHz 3 GHz

Page 18: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 18

METIS project

EU-funded research project on future wireless communication

Universities and research institutes

29 partners / 2500 man-month / 29 M€

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

First phaseUsage scenarios &fundamental technology

Second phase (prel.)More detailed concept

development

WRC’12 WRC’15 WRC’19

Page 19: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 19

METIS – Objectives

1000x higher mobile data volumes

10x - 100x higher number of connected devices

10x - 100x typical end-user data rates

5xlower latency

10xlonger battery lifefor low-power devices

Develop a concept for future mobile and wireless communications system that supports the connected information society

Page 20: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable

Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 20

METIS – Defined Scenarios

Amazingly fast

(Very high data rate)

Great service in a crowd

(Very dense crowds of users)

Ubiquitous things communicating

(Very low energy and cost. Massive number of devices)

Best experience follows you

(Mobility)

Super real-time and reliable connections

(Very low latency)

Page 21: Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 (Rev B) · Research trends and IMT beyond 2020 | Commercial in confidence | KI/EAB/TU Uen, Rev B | 2014-02-11 | Page 8 Future Wireless access Ultra-reliable