Upload
norman-cecil-daniel
View
212
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Research Needs for Research Needs for Critical Loads and Critical Loads and
LevelsLevels
A.R. Riebau, Ph.D.A.R. Riebau, Ph.D.17 Feb 200517 Feb 2005
Riverside, Ca.Riverside, Ca.
Do we want a North Do we want a North American approach?American approach?
Canada, Mexico, Canada, Mexico, USA?USA?
A.R. Riebau, Ph.D.A.R. Riebau, Ph.D.17 Feb 200517 Feb 2005
Riverside, Ca.Riverside, Ca.
Greetings from the NAFC Greetings from the NAFC Working Group on Working Group on
Atmospheric Change and Atmospheric Change and ForestsForests
Our group is established under Our group is established under the UN FAO to coordinate efforts the UN FAO to coordinate efforts between Mexico, Canada, and between Mexico, Canada, and the USA on forests, air quality, the USA on forests, air quality, and climate change.and climate change.
NAFC = North American Forestry Commission
NAFC Atmospheric Change NAFC Atmospheric Change and Forestsand Forests
Three governmental agencies Three governmental agencies primary leads:primary leads:
Canadian Forest Service (Dr. Harry Canadian Forest Service (Dr. Harry Hirvonen, Roger Cox, others…)Hirvonen, Roger Cox, others…)
Mexican Forest Service or CONAFOR Mexican Forest Service or CONAFOR (Ing. Carlos Gonzoles-Vincete, Tomas (Ing. Carlos Gonzoles-Vincete, Tomas Hernadez)Hernadez)
USDA Forest Service (A.R. Riebau, Mark USDA Forest Service (A.R. Riebau, Mark Fenn, Karl Zeller, Rich Fisher,others…)Fenn, Karl Zeller, Rich Fisher,others…)
Website: http://www.fs.fed.us/global/nafc/
Research needs:Research needs:
Development of a program that Development of a program that links ground level measurements, links ground level measurements, models, and remote sensing in to models, and remote sensing in to one cogent program.one cogent program.
Ground-level data Ground-level data collectioncollection
Linking existing data:Linking existing data: Fairly easy:Fairly easy:
NADP/NTNNADP/NTN CASTNETCASTNET IMPROVEIMPROVE ARNEWSARNEWS US EPA Federal reference US EPA Federal reference
Ground-level data Ground-level data collectioncollection
Linking existing data:Linking existing data: Fairly easy:Fairly easy:
US DOI NPS Air MonitoringUS DOI NPS Air Monitoring USDA FS Air Resource USDA FS Air Resource ManagementManagement
LTER/experimental Forests and LTER/experimental Forests and watersheds watersheds
Ground-level data Ground-level data collectioncollection
Linking existing data:Linking existing data: Fairly hard:Fairly hard:
US FIAUS FIAMexico?Mexico?
LTER/ NEON??LTER/ NEON??
Ground-level data Ground-level data collectioncollection
We need research to We need research to capitalize on our exisiting capitalize on our exisiting data for CL&L while data for CL&L while designing an approach for designing an approach for new data collection new data collection (nested opportunistic (nested opportunistic network)network)
What was Humble our plan What was Humble our plan from last year’s meeting?from last year’s meeting?
Develop a system of a system Develop a system of a system of demonstration sites.of demonstration sites.
Develop a methods Develop a methods comparison paper, to explain comparison paper, to explain parallels between ICP and parallels between ICP and recent North American critical recent North American critical loads approaches.loads approaches.
Candidate CL & L Candidate CL & L demonstration sites (as of May demonstration sites (as of May
2004)2004) :: Presidential Range, NH Presidential Range, NH Lye Brook, VT Lye Brook, VT Hubbard Brook, NH Hubbard Brook, NH Monongahela National Forest, WV Monongahela National Forest, WV Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiment Site Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiment Site
WY WY Kings River Project, CA Kings River Project, CA San Bernardino National Forest, CASan Bernardino National Forest, CA Columbia River Gorge National Scenic Columbia River Gorge National Scenic
Area, OR/WA Area, OR/WA
Candidate CL &L demonstration Candidate CL &L demonstration sitessites
Presidential Range, NH Presidential Range, NH Lye Brook, VT Lye Brook, VT Hubbard Brook, NH Hubbard Brook, NH Monongahela National Forest, WV Monongahela National Forest, WV Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiment Site WY Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiment Site WY Kings River Project, CA Kings River Project, CA San Bernardino National Forest, CASan Bernardino National Forest, CA Columbia River Gorge National Scenic Area, OR/WA Columbia River Gorge National Scenic Area, OR/WA
Just an aside—Just an aside—
Is this still a good idea? How might we move this forward?Is this still a good idea? How might we move this forward?How about Canada and Mexico?How about Canada and Mexico?
Research needs:Research needs:
Development of a program that Development of a program that links ground level measurements, links ground level measurements, models, and remote sensing in to models, and remote sensing in to one cogent program.one cogent program.
Models and Models and Modeling?Modeling?
Methods Comparison PaperMethods Comparison Paper
Modeling methods are really Modeling methods are really the driving issue, as several the driving issue, as several modeling approaches have modeling approaches have been in use.been in use.
Policy implications (need to Policy implications (need to work with ICP on these).work with ICP on these).
ICP Modeling and MappingICP Modeling and Mapping
Need to gain more Need to gain more understanding of ICP understanding of ICP approaches.approaches.
Applications of techniques and Applications of techniques and emissions permitting process.emissions permitting process.
Policy implications of analyses.Policy implications of analyses.
Models and Models and Modeling?Modeling?
But what about…But what about…
Modeling and MappingModeling and Mapping
Can we capitalize on the NOAA/EPA Can we capitalize on the NOAA/EPA Air Quality Forecasting Program Air Quality Forecasting Program (for the USA)?(for the USA)?
Weather at high resolution (8 or 6 KM)Weather at high resolution (8 or 6 KM) OzoneOzone ParticulatesParticulates DepositionDeposition
Modeling and MappingModeling and Mapping
Can we capitalize on our Can we capitalize on our ecosystems modeling for ecosystems modeling for global change (LANDIS, global change (LANDIS, others)?others)?
Fire ecology models? Fire ecology models?
Many moreMany more
Modeling and MappingModeling and Mapping
The point is can we “imbed” The point is can we “imbed” this nested opportunistic this nested opportunistic network within a framework network within a framework of on-going simulation of on-going simulation initiatives to:initiatives to: Gain spatial coverageGain spatial coverage Gain temporal coverageGain temporal coverage Gain usefulness & creditabilityGain usefulness & creditability
Research needs:Research needs:
Development of a program that Development of a program that links ground level measurements, links ground level measurements, models, and remote sensing in to models, and remote sensing in to one cogent program.one cogent program.
Remote Sensing?Remote Sensing?
Remote SensingRemote Sensing Can we capitalize on the new programs Can we capitalize on the new programs
being developed by NASA and NOAA?being developed by NASA and NOAA?
Terra/Aqua MODIS (forest and ecosystem Terra/Aqua MODIS (forest and ecosystem health) health)
NPOESNPOES
New “troposphere” atmospheric satellites New “troposphere” atmospheric satellites
Automated dronesAutomated drones
Remote SensingRemote Sensing
The point is can we these on-The point is can we these on-going RS initiatives to:going RS initiatives to: Validate suspected damageValidate suspected damage Separate highly sensitive areas Separate highly sensitive areas
from lessfrom less Gain spatial coverageGain spatial coverage Gain temporal coverageGain temporal coverage Gain usefulness & creditabilityGain usefulness & creditability
ConclusionsConclusions
We are in this for the “long haul.”We are in this for the “long haul.”
Although many of the old problems aren’t Although many of the old problems aren’t solved, new approaches could change the solved, new approaches could change the relevancy and urgency of these problemsrelevancy and urgency of these problems
Might this convergent system approach Might this convergent system approach (e.g., on-ground to simulation to remote (e.g., on-ground to simulation to remote sensing) better align us with the larger sensing) better align us with the larger science communityscience community
This view-point might draw much interest This view-point might draw much interest from other sources and partnersfrom other sources and partners
Farewell but not Farewell but not goodbye… we goodbye… we
really need to a really need to a long-term long-term
relationship!relationship!
Website: http://www.sgcp.ncsu.edu/criticalloads/