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Research Article Efficacy and Cost-Efficacy of Biologic Therapies for Moderate to Severe Psoriasis: A Meta-Analysis and Cost-Efficacy Analysis Using the Intention-to-Treat Principle Ching-Chi Chi 1,2 and Shu-Hui Wang 3,4 1 Department of Dermatology and Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chiayi 61363, Taiwan 2 College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan 33302, Taiwan 3 Department of Dermatology, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, Banciao, New Taipei 22060, Taiwan 4 Oriental Institute of Technology, New Taipei 22061, Taiwan Correspondence should be addressed to Shu-Hui Wang; [email protected] Received 30 April 2013; Revised 13 November 2013; Accepted 18 November 2013; Published 28 January 2014 Academic Editor: Yoshio Ishibashi Copyright © 2014 C.-C. Chi and S.-H. Wang. is is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Background. Compared to conventional therapies, biologics are more effective but expensive in treating psoriasis. Objective. To evaluate the efficacy and cost-efficacy of biologic therapies for psoriasis. Methods. We conducted a meta-analysis to calculate the efficacy of etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab, and ustekinumab for at least 75% reduction in the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score (PASI 75) and Physician’s Global Assessment clear/minimal (PGA 0/1). e cost-efficacy was assessed by calculating the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per subject achieving PASI 75 and PGA 0/1. Results. e incremental efficacy regarding PASI 75 was 55% (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 38%–72%), 63% (95% CI 59%–67%), 71% (95% CI 67%–76%), 67% (95% CI 62%–73%), and 72% (95% CI 68%–75%) for etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab, and ustekinumab 45 mg and 90 mg, respectively. e corresponding 6-month ICER regarding PASI 75 was $32,643 (best case $24,936; worst case $47,246), $21,315 (best case $20,043; worst case $22,760), $27,782 (best case $25,954; worst case $29,440), $25,055 (best case $22,996; worst case $27,075), and $46,630 (best case $44,765; worst case $49,373), respectively. e results regarding PGA 0/1 were similar. Conclusions. Infliximab and ustekinumab 90 mg had the highest efficacy. Meanwhile, adalimumab had the best cost-efficacy, followed by ustekinumab 45 mg and infliximab. 1. Background Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory disease affecting 1–3% of the general population and incurs a considerable economic burden [1]. A number of biologics have been introduced for treating moderate to severe psoriasis. Etanercept is a fusion protein that binds to and neutralizes tumor necrosis factor (TNF) [2]. Adalimumab is a recombinant monoclonal antibody that binds to TNF and blocks its interaction from TNF receptors [3]. Infliximab is a chimeric monoclonal antibody which binds and neutralizes TNF [4]. Ustekinumab is a monoclonal antibody against the p40 subunit of the IL-12 and IL-23 cytokines which are involved in inflammatory and immune responses [5]. Short-term trials on these biologics showed that 47%–88% of the participants achieved at least 75% reduction in the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score (PASI 75) aſter treatment for 10 to 16 weeks [25]. Biologics therapies for psoriasis are expensive. Based on the US drug price in April 2010 [6], the 6 month drug costs are $17,954, $13,429, $19,725, $16,787, and $33,574 for the etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab (for a person weighing 81–100 kg), ustekinumab 45 mg, and ustekinumab 90 mg regimens approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) (see below), respectively. Healthcare payers therefore oſten have an eligibility criterion for the reimbursement of biologics therapies. Patients with moderate to severe psoriasis (defined as involvement of greater than 5% body surface area Hindawi Publishing Corporation BioMed Research International Volume 2014, Article ID 862851, 10 pages http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/862851

Research Article Efficacy and Cost-Efficacy of Biologic …downloads.hindawi.com/journals/bmri/2014/862851.pdf · mg, ustek-inumab mg and in iximab had a cost of ,, and , per additionalPGA

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Research ArticleEfficacy and Cost-Efficacy of Biologic Therapies for Moderateto Severe Psoriasis: A Meta-Analysis and Cost-Efficacy AnalysisUsing the Intention-to-Treat Principle

Ching-Chi Chi1,2 and Shu-Hui Wang3,4

1 Department of Dermatology and Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chiayi 61363, Taiwan2 College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan 33302, Taiwan3Department of Dermatology, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, Banciao, New Taipei 22060, Taiwan4Oriental Institute of Technology, New Taipei 22061, Taiwan

Correspondence should be addressed to Shu-Hui Wang; [email protected]

Received 30 April 2013; Revised 13 November 2013; Accepted 18 November 2013; Published 28 January 2014

Academic Editor: Yoshio Ishibashi

Copyright © 2014 C.-C. Chi and S.-H. Wang. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons AttributionLicense, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properlycited.

Background. Compared to conventional therapies, biologics are more effective but expensive in treating psoriasis. Objective. Toevaluate the efficacy and cost-efficacy of biologic therapies for psoriasis. Methods. We conducted a meta-analysis to calculate theefficacy of etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab, and ustekinumab for at least 75% reduction in the Psoriasis Area and Severity Indexscore (PASI 75) and Physician’s Global Assessment clear/minimal (PGA 0/1). The cost-efficacy was assessed by calculating theincremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per subject achieving PASI 75 and PGA 0/1. Results. The incremental efficacy regardingPASI 75 was 55% (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 38%–72%), 63% (95% CI 59%–67%), 71% (95% CI 67%–76%), 67% (95% CI62%–73%), and 72% (95% CI 68%–75%) for etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab, and ustekinumab 45mg and 90mg, respectively.The corresponding 6-month ICER regarding PASI 75 was $32,643 (best case $24,936; worst case $47,246), $21,315 (best case $20,043;worst case $22,760), $27,782 (best case $25,954; worst case $29,440), $25,055 (best case $22,996; worst case $27,075), and $46,630(best case $44,765; worst case $49,373), respectively. The results regarding PGA 0/1 were similar. Conclusions. Infliximab andustekinumab 90mg had the highest efficacy. Meanwhile, adalimumab had the best cost-efficacy, followed by ustekinumab 45mgand infliximab.

1. Background

Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory disease affecting 1–3% ofthe general population and incurs a considerable economicburden [1]. A number of biologics have been introducedfor treating moderate to severe psoriasis. Etanercept is afusion protein that binds to and neutralizes tumor necrosisfactor (TNF) [2]. Adalimumab is a recombinant monoclonalantibody that binds to TNF and blocks its interaction fromTNF receptors [3]. Infliximab is a chimeric monoclonalantibody which binds and neutralizes TNF [4]. Ustekinumabis a monoclonal antibody against the p40 subunit of the IL-12and IL-23 cytokines which are involved in inflammatory andimmune responses [5]. Short-term trials on these biologics

showed that 47%–88% of the participants achieved at least75% reduction in the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score(PASI 75) after treatment for 10 to 16 weeks [2–5].

Biologics therapies for psoriasis are expensive. Based onthe US drug price in April 2010 [6], the 6 month drug costsare $17,954, $13,429, $19,725, $16,787, and $33,574 for theetanercept, adalimumab, infliximab (for a person weighing81–100 kg), ustekinumab 45mg, and ustekinumab 90mgregimens approved by the Food and Drug Administration(FDA) (see below), respectively. Healthcare payers thereforeoften have an eligibility criterion for the reimbursement ofbiologics therapies. Patients withmoderate to severe psoriasis(defined as involvement of greater than 5% body surface area

Hindawi Publishing CorporationBioMed Research InternationalVolume 2014, Article ID 862851, 10 pageshttp://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/862851

2 BioMed Research International

or involvement of ≤5% body surface area affecting sensitiveareas or areas that significantly impact daily function (e.g.,palms, soles, head, neck, or genitalia) are eligible for reim-bursement if the psoriasis has not responded to phototherapyand systemic agents (such as acitretin, methotrexate, andcyclosporine) or if the patients are intolerant of, or have acontraindication to, these treatments [7].

The drug costs for treating psoriasis in the US haveincreased by 30% from 2000 to 2008, with a major contribu-tion from biologics [1].The increasing drug spending leads toan economic burden of healthcare systems. The objective ofthis study was to use the best evidence to assess the efficacyand cost-efficacy of biologic therapies for treating moderateto severe psoriasis. It is our hope that this will assist in efficientallocation of limited resources in treating psoriasis. We didnot analyze conventional therapies in this study as biologictherapies are primarily used as second-line treatments whenconventional therapies fail or are contraindicated.

2. Methods

2.1. Meta-Analysis. We performed a meta-analysis of ran-domized controlled trials using the intention-to-treat (ITT)principle to assess the efficacy of etanercept, adalimumab,infliximab, and ustekinumab in treating psoriasis. Wesearched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials,MEDLINE, and EMBASE for relevant studies on November23, 2012. The inclusion criteria of studies were randomizedplacebo-controlled trials which assessed the efficacy of etan-ercept, adalimumab, infliximab, and ustekinumab in treatingmoderate to severe psoriasis in adults by using the FDA-approved regimens for at least 6 months.

We included trials that adhered to the regimens approvedby the US FDA. Trials that did not use an approved regimenwere excluded. If a multiarm placebo-controlled trial con-tained an arm using an approved regimen and another usingan unapproved regimen, we extracted relevant data from thearm using the approved regimen and the placebo arm. Theapproved etanercept regimen for treating psoriasis is 50mgtwice weekly in the first 12 weeks, followed by 50mg onceweekly or 25mg twice weekly [2]. The approved adalimumabregimen is 80mg at week 0, followed by 40mg every otherweek [3].The approved infliximab regimen is 5mg/kg admin-istered at weeks 0, 2, and 6, followed by 5mg/kg every 8 weeksthereafter [4]. The approved ustekinumab regimen is 45mg(or 90mg for patients weighing over 100 kg) at week 0 andweek 4, followed by 45mg (or 90mg for patients weighingover 100 kg) every 12 weeks [5].

The primary efficacy outcome was the proportion ofparticipants achieving PASI 75 at month 6 (week 24–28were acceptable). We built a decision tree for analysis asshown in Figure 1. The proportion of participants achievingPASI 75 was 𝑃𝑏 and 𝑃𝑐 in the biologics and placebo groups,respectively.The secondary efficacy outcome was the propor-tion of participants achieving Physician’s Global Assessmentclear or minimal (PGA 0/1) at month 6. We calculatedthe outcomes based on all randomized participants, thatis, ITT analysis. All randomized participants with missing

Patients with moderate to severe psoriasis

Biologic

Placebo

PASI 75 achieved

PASI 75 achieved

PASI 75 not achieved

PASI 75 not achieved

Pb

1 − Pb

Pc

1 − Pc

Figure 1: Decision tree.

outcome data were considered treatment failure. If a trialdid not have data on PASI 75 and PGA 0/1 response after6 months’ use of placebo because the placebo groups wereswitched to biologics treatment before month 6, we used thelast observation carried forward approach to estimate theoutcomes. For example, if the placebo group was switched tobiologic treatments at week 12, we used the PASI 75 and PGA0/1 data at week 12 as the estimated efficacy after 6 months’use of placebo.

We defined incremental efficacy as the absolute increasein the proportion of participants achieving a prespecifiedoutcome after a biologic therapy when compared to placebo,that is, 𝑃𝑏 − 𝑃𝑐 (see Figure 1). We calculated the 6-monthincremental efficacy of each biologic regimen for PASI 75 andPGA 0/1 response, respectively. When more than one trialwere available for an outcome, we applied a meta-analysistechnique to calculate the pooled efficacy and 95% confidenceinterval (CI) by using the DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model [8].The ReviewManager 5.1 (Nordic CochraneCentre, Cochrane Collaboration, Copenhagen, Denmark,2011) was used for meta-analysis.

2.2. Cost-Efficacy Analysis. For cost-efficacy analysis, we con-sidered the direct drug costs of the approved regimen basedon the US drug price in April 2010 [6]. The direct costsare Cost𝑏 and Cost𝑐 in the biologics and placebo groups,respectively. The costs of placebo were assumed to be nil. Forinfliximab,we assumed a patient bodyweight of 81–100 kg andwasting of remaining vial after use (one vial contains 100mginfliximab). We assessed the cost-efficacy by calculating theincremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), which was theratio of the increase in costs to the efficacy, that is, (Cost𝑏 −Costc)/(𝑃𝑏 − 𝑃𝑐). In other words, the ICER was the averagecost for one participant to achieve a prespecified outcome.The lower the ICER was, the more cost-effective a biologictherapy was.

We calculated the 6-month (24 weeks) base case ICERs ofeach biologic therapy according to the incremental efficacywhen compared to placebo in terms of PASI 75 and PGA0/1. We also calculated the worst and best case ICERsbased on the lower and upper 95% confidence limits ofthe incremental efficacy, respectively. The range between theworst and best case ICERs can be regarded as the 95% CI

BioMed Research International 3

868 records excluded

906 records after duplicates were removed

2 additional records identified through other sources

1271 records identified through database searching

906 records screened

38 full-text articles assessed for eligibility

24 full-text articles excluded, with reasons:

due to use of unapproved regimens

due to lack of placebo

due to lack of relevant outcomes

13 studies included in qualitative synthesis

13 studies included in quantitative synthesis

(meta-analysis)

∙ 9 articles excluded

∙ 3 articles excluded

∙ 12 articles excluded

Figure 2: Study flow diagram.

of the ICER. In addition, we used the base case data toconduct an incremental analysis after excluding the leastcost-effective biologic therapy and calculated the incrementalcosts per additional PASI 75 or PGA 0/1 responder betweenthe remaining biologic therapies.

3. Results

3.1. Meta-Analysis. As shown in Figure 2, 1271 records wereidentified through searching the databases and 2 additionalrecords were obtained from a pharmaceutical company. Afterremoval of duplicates and exclusion due to use of unapprovedregimens, lack of placebo, or relevant outcomes, 13 trialswith a total of 5309 participants were included [9–21]. Allthe included trials were of high quality when appraised byusing the Cochrane Collaboration’s tool for assessing risk ofbias in randomized trials [8]. The efficacy outcomes of theincluded trials are summarized in Table 1. The meta-analysis(Figure 3) found that the pooled incremental efficacy of PASI75 response was 55% (95% CI 38%–72%), 63% (95% CI 59%–67%), 71% (95% CI 67%–76%), 67% (95% CI 62%–73%),and 72% (95% CI 68%–75%) for etanercept, adalimumab,infliximab, ustekinumab 45mg, and ustekinumab 90mg,respectively. The pooled incremental efficacy of PGA 0/1

response was 58% (95% CI 45%–71%), 56% (95% CI 52%–59%), 69% (95% CI 63%–76%), 58% (95% CI 51%–64%),and 62% (95% CI 58%–66%) for etanercept, adalimumab,infliximab, ustekinumab 45mg, and ustekinumab 90mg,respectively (Figure 4).

3.2. Cost-Efficacy. Based on the ICER as to PASI 75 response(Table 2), adalimumab had the best cost-efficacy ($21,315 inthe base case, $20,043 in the best case, and $22,760 in theworst case), followed by ustekinumab 45mg ($25,055 in thebase case, $22,996 in the best case, and $27,075 in the worstcase) and infliximab ($27,782 in the base case, $25,954 in thebest case, and $29,440 in the worst case). For etanercept, the6-mo ICER was $32,643 in the base case, $24,936 in the bestcase, and $47,246 in the worst case. Ustekinumab 90mg hadthe highest 6-mo ICER ($46,630 in the base case, $44,765 inthe best case, and $49,373 in the worst case).

Based on PGA 0/1 response (Table 3), adalimumab hadthe most favorable 6-month ICER (adalimumab: $23,980in the base case, $22,760 in the best case, and $25,824 inthe worst case), followed by infliximab ($28,587 in the basecase, $25,954 in the best case, and $31,310 in the worst case)and ustekinumab 45mg ($28,943 in the base case, $26,229in the best case, and $32,915 in the worst case). Etanercepthad a wide 95% CI of a 6-month ICER (base case $30,954;best case $25,287; worst case $39,897) and overlapped withadalimumab and ustekinumab 45mg. Ustekinumab 90mghad the highest 6-month ICER of PGA 0/1 (base case $54,151;best case $50,869; worst case $57,886).

The base case incremental analysis (Table 4) showedwhen considering PASI 75 response, etanercept was domi-nated. Adalimumab was likely to be the most cost-effective,with a cost of $21,315 per PASI 75 responder when comparedto placebo. Ustekinumab 45mg had a cost of $83,950 peradditional PASI 75 responder when compared to adali-mumab, while infliximab had a cost of $68,175 per addi-tional PASI 75 responder when compared to ustekinumab45mg. Ustekinumab 90mg had a cost of $1,384,900 peradditional PASI 75 responder when compared to infliximab.On the other hand, when considering PGA 0/1 response,adalimumab was likely to be the most cost-effective biologictherapy, with a cost of $23,980 per PASI 75 responder whencompared to placebo. Ustekinumab 45mg had a cost of$167,900 per additional PGA 0/1 responder when comparedwith adalimumab. Compared to ustekinumab 45mg, ustek-inumab 90mg and infliximab had a cost of $3,358,150 and$26,709 per additional PGA 0/1 responder, respectively.

4. Discussion

Psoriasis is a chronic dermatosis which cannot be curedand imposes an impact on quality of life comparable tothat experienced by patients with type 2 diabetes mellitusor chronic lung disease [22]. Clinical efficacy and cost-efficacy are thus important in allocating limited resources fortreatments. The present study assessed the 6-month efficacyand cost-efficacy of biologic therapies by examining twooutcomes (PASI 75 and PGA 0/1), and can serve as a useful

4 BioMed Research International

Table1:Effi

cacy

outcom

esof

inclu

dedtrials.

Trial(firstauthor,pub

licationyear)

Interventio

ns(onlycomparis

onsrele

vant

tothismeta-analysislisted)

Rand

omise

dparticipants(𝑛)

Timingof

outcom

eassessment

PASI

75[𝑛

(%)]

PGA0/1[𝑛(%

)]

Etan

ercept

trials

Papp

etal.,2005

[9]

Interventio

n:Etanercept

50mgBIW

for12weeks,then25

mgBIW

for12weeks.

203

Week24

102(50%

)NA

Con

trolintervention:

PlaceboBIW

for12weeks,then25

mgBIW

for12weeks.

204

Week12

6(3%)

NA

Bageletal.,2012

[19]

Interventio

n:Etanercept

50mgBIW

for12weeks,then50

mgQW

for12weeks.

62Week24

43(69%

)39

(63%

)Con

trolintervention:

PlaceboBIW

for12weeks,then50

mgBIW

for12weeks.

62Week12

3(5%)

3(5%)

Adalim

umab

trials

Gordo

netal.,2006

[10]

Interventio

n:Ad

alim

umab

80mgatweek0,then

40mgEO

Wsta

rtingatweek1.

46Week24

29(63%

)29

(63%

)Con

trolintervention:

PlaceboQW,thenadalim

umab

80mgatweek12,followed

by40

mg

EOW

from

week13

on.

52Week12

2(4%)

NA

Mentere

tal.,2008

[12]

Interventio

n:Ad

alim

umab

80mgatweek0,then

40mgEO

Wsta

rtingatweek1.

814

Week24

570(70%

)488(60%

)Con

trolintervention:

PlaceboQW

atweek0,then

EOW

beginn

ing𝑡week1and

throug

hweek15,followed

by40

mgEO

Wfro

mweek16

on.

398

Week16

26(7%)

16(4%)

Asahinae

tal.,2010

[14]

Interventio

n:Ad

alim

umab

80mgatweek0,then

40mgEO

Wsta

rtingatweek2.

43Week24

30(70%

)25

(58%

)Con

trolintervention:

PlaceboEO

Wfor2

4weeks.

46Week24

6(13%

)5(11%

)Infliximab

trials

Reichetal.,2005

[15]

Interventio

n:Infliximab

5mg/kg

atweeks

0,2,and6,then

every8weeks.

301

Week24

227(75.4%

)203(67.4

%)

Con

trolintervention:

Placeboatweeks

0,2,and6,then

every8weeks.

77Week24

3(3.8%)

2(2.6%)

Mentere

tal.,2007

[16]

Interventio

n:Infliximab

5mg/kg

atweeks

0,2,and6,then

every8week.

150

Week26

110(73.3%

)112

(74.6%

)Con

trolintervention

Placeboatweeks

0,2,and6,sw

itchedto

infliximab

5mg/kg

atweek16.208

Week10

4(1.9%)

2(1%)

Torii

andNakagaw

a2010[17]

Interventio

n:Infliximab

5mg/kg

atweeks

0,2,and6,then

every8weeks.

35Week26

24(68.6%

)28

(80%

)Con

trolintervention:

Placeboatweeks

0,2,and6,sw

itchedto

infliximab

5mg/kg

atweeks

16.19

Week10

0(0%)

2(10.5%

)

BioMed Research International 5

Table1:Con

tinued.

Trial(firstauthor,pub

licationyear)

Interventio

ns(onlycomparis

onsrele

vant

tothismeta-analysislisted)

Rand

omise

dparticipants(𝑛)

Timingof

outcom

eassessment

PASI

75[𝑛

(%)]

PGA0/1[𝑛(%

)]

Ustekinu

mab

trials

Leon

ardi

etal.,2008

[11]

Interventio

n:(i)

Uste

kinu

mab

45mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

255

Week28

178(71%

)147(58%

)(ii)U

stekinu

mab

90mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

256

Week28

191(75%)

161(63%)

Con

trolintervention:

Placeboatweeks

0and4,then

ustekinu

mab

45or

90mgevery12

weeks.

255

Week12

8(3%)

10(4%)

Papp

etal.,2008

[13]

Interventio

n:(i)

Uste

kinu

mab

45mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

409

Week28

276(67%

)243(59%

)(ii)U

stekinu

mab

90mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

411

Week28

314(76%

)280(68%

)Con

trolintervention:

Placeboatweeks

0and4,then

ustekinu

mab

45or

90mgevery12

weeks.

410

Week12

15(4%)

20(5%)

Tsaietal.,2011[18]

Interventio

n:Uste

kinu

mab

45mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

61Week28

42(69%

)40

(66%

)Con

trolintervention:

Placeboatweeks

0and4,then

ustekinu

mab

45or

90mgevery12

weeks.

60Week12

3(5%)

5(8%)

Igarashi

etal.,2012

[20]

Interventio

n:(i)

Uste

kinu

mab

45mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

65Week28

44(68%

)NA

(ii)U

stekinu

mab

90mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

62Week28

42(68%

)NA

Con

trolintervention:

Placeboatweeks

0and4,then

ustekinu

mab

45or

90mgevery12

weeks.

33Week12

2(6%)

3(9%)

Zhengetal.,2012

[21]

Interventio

n:Uste

kinu

mab

45mgatweeks

0and4,then

every12

weeks.

160

Week28

140(88%

)132(83%

)Con

trolintervention:

Placeboatweeks

0and4,then

ustekinu

mab

45or

90mgevery12

weeks.

162

Week12

18(11%

)24

(15%

)

BIW:twicew

eekly;EO

W:every

otherw

eek,NA:not

available;PA

SI75:atleast75%redu

ctionin

theP

soria

sisAreaa

ndSeverityInd

exscore;PG

A0/1:Ph

ysician’s

GlobalA

ssessm

entclear

oralmostclear;Q

W:once

weekly.

6 BioMed Research International

Favours biologicsFavours placebo0 0.5 1−1 −0.5

Test for subgroup differences: 𝜒2 = 15.12, df = 4 (P = 0.004), I2 = 73.5%

Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 2.12, df = 2 (P = 0.35); I2 = 6%Test for overall effect: Z = 38.80 (P < 0.00001)

Subtotal (95% CI)

Subtotal (95% CI)

Subtotal (95% CI)

Subtotal (95% CI)

Subtotal (95% CI)

Papp et al. 2008 [13]

Papp et al. 2008 [13]

Papp et al. 2005 [9]2.1.1 Etanercept

Bagel et al. 2012 [19]

2.1.2 Adalimumab

2.1.3 Infliximab

2.1.4 Ustekinumab 45 mg

Gordon et al. 2006 [10]

Reich et al. 2005 [15]Menter et al. 2007 [16]Torii and Nakagawa 2010 [17]

Menter et al. 2008 [12]Asahina et al. 2010 [14]

Leonardi et al. 2008 [11]

Leonardi et al. 2008 [11]

2.1.5 Ustekinumab 90 mg

Zheng et al. 2012 [21]Igarashi et al. 2012 [20]

Igarashi et al. 2012 [20]

Tsai et al. 2011 [18]

Total events

Total events

Total events

Total events

Total events

Risk differenceRisk differenceIV, random, 95% CIIV, random, 95% CI YearWeight

PlaceboEventsEvents TotalTotal

BiologicsStudy or subgroup

20082006

2010

200820082011

2012

201220082008

2012

20052007

2010

2012200554.7%204

626203102

43

145

62 3

9

45.3%

6.3%5224681443

2957030

629

227110

24

361

35

150301 3

4

0

7

77208

19

266

34

39846

88.7%5.0%

51.5%40.7%

7.8%

25.7%81532

18

46

2552554096165

160

1782764244

140

680

19131442

547

25641162

25

2158 255

41033

4106033

162

29.0%11.8%10.5%22.9%

36.6%57.1%6.4%

100.0%266

496903

265

100.0%

100.0%304486

950 920

698729

100.0%

100.0%

0.55 [0.38, 0.72]

0.63 [0.59, 0.67]

0.71 [0.67, 0.76]

0.67 [0.62, 0.73]

0.47 [0.40, 0.55]0.65 [0.52, 0.77]

0.59 [0.44, 0.74]

0.72 [0.65, 0.78]

0.67 [0.61, 0.73]0.64 [0.59, 0.69]0.64 [0.51, 0.77]0.62 [0.48, 0.76]0.76 [0.69, 0.83]

0.72 [0.68, 0.75]

0.71 [0.66, 0.77]0.73 [0.68, 0.77]0.62 [0.47, 0.76]

0.71 [0.64, 0.79]

0.69 [0.52, 0.85]

0.63 [0.60, 0.67]0.57 [0.40, 0.74]

Test for overall effect: Z = 6.43 (P < 0.00001)Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.01; 𝜒2 = 5.34, df = 1 (P = 0.02); I2 = 81%

Test for overall effect: Z = 32.92 (P < 0.00001)Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 0.84, df = 2 (P = 0.66); I2 = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 29.91 (P < 0.00001)Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 0.11, df = 2 (P = 0.95); I2 = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 24.75 (P < 0.00001)Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 9.25, df = 4 (P = 0.06); I2 = 57%

Figure 3: Meta-analysis based on at least 75% reduction in the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score.

reference for dermatologists and policy makers. Our meta-analysis revealed that infliximab and ustekinumab 90mghad a higher pooled incremental efficacy as to either PASI75 or PGA 0/1 when compared to other biologics. On theother hand, adalimumab had the best cost-efficacy based oneither PASI 75 or PGA 0/1, followed by ustekinumab 45mgand infliximab. Etanercept had a wide range of cost-efficacyestimate due to limited available data and was dominated inthe incremental analysis. Ustekinumab 90mg had very highcosts of $1,384,900 and $3,358,150 per additional PASI 75 andPGA0/1 responderswhen compared to the next best regimen,which were above any known conventional willingness to paythreshold.

Previous economic analyses on biologics for treatingpsoriasis determined the efficacy based on data from short-term endpoints at weeks 10 to 16 [23–27]. However, theefficacy may differ with time. For example, the proportionof PASI 75 responders to etanercept increased from 59% atweek 12 to 69% at week 24 [19]. The proportion of PASI 75responders to adalimumab increased from 53% at week 12to 64% at week 24 [10]. By using a 6-month data, our studyprovides a reliable reference as to intermediate-term efficacyand cost-efficacy. We originally planned to collect efficacyoutcome assessed at week 52, but could not obtain relevantdata because of the fact that the length of trial was less than 52weeks [9], discontinuation of biologic therapy for participants

BioMed Research International 7

Risk differenceRisk differenceIV, random, 95% CIIV, random, 95% CI YearWeight

PlaceboEventsEvents TotalTotal

BiologicsStudy or subgroup

Favours biologicsFavours placebo0 0.5 1−1 −0.5

Test for subgroup differences: 𝜒2 = 13.71, df = 4 (P = 0.008), I2 = 70.8%

30441Total events

0.59 [0.53, 0.65]0.63 [0.58, 0.68]0.62 [0.58, 0.66]

20082008

Subtotal (95% CI) 100.0%

38.6%2551020280

161 256411

667410665

61.4%Papp et al. 2008 [13]Leonardi et al. 2008 [11]2.2.5 Ustekinumab 90 mg

0.55 [0.49, 0.60]0.54 [0.47, 0.60]0.57 [0.43, 0.71]0.68 [0.60, 0.76]0.58 [0.51, 0.64]

200820112012

2008

Subtotal (95% CI) 100.0%24.9%14.2%28.7%32.1%20 410

25560

162887885

16061

255409243

14740

132

562 59

105

24

Papp et al. 2008 [13]Leonardi et al. 2008 [11]Tsai et al. 2011 [18]Zheng et al. 2012 [21]

Total events

2.2.4 Ustekinumab 45 mg

0.58 [0.45, 0.71]0.58 [0.45, 0.71]

0.56 [0.52, 0.60]

0.56 [0.52, 0.59]

0.65 [0.58, 0.71]0.74 [0.67, 0.81]

0.69 [0.50, 0.89]0.69 [0.63, 0.76]

0.47 [0.30, 0.65]20082010

20052007

2010

20122.2.1 Etanercept

2.2.2 AdalimumabMenter et al. 2008 [12]Asahina et al. 2010 [14]

Bagel et al. 2012 [19]Subtotal (95% CI)

Subtotal (95% CI)

Subtotal (95% CI)

Torii and Nakagawa Menter et al. 2007 [16]Reich et al. 2005 [15]2.2.3 Infliximab

Total events

Total eventsHeterogeneity: not applicable

626262

62

3

488 814 16 398 95.2%4.8%465

21

43857

25

513444 100.0%

100.0%100.0%

100.0%

47.0%2 77208

19304

301150

35

203112

28

343486

2

2

6

42.6%

10.4%

339

39

Total events

Test for overall effect: Z = 8.65 (

Test for overall effect: Z = 28.74 (P < 0.00001)

P < 0.00001)

Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 0.92, df = 1 (P = 0.34); I2 = 0%

Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 3.32, df = 2 (P = 0.19); I2 = 40%Test for overall effect: Z = 20.61 (P < 0.00001)

Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 8.63, df = 3 (P = 0.03); I2 = 65%Test for overall effect: Z = 17.55 (P < 0.00001)

Heterogeneity: 𝜏2 = 0.00; 𝜒2 = 1.08, df = 1 (P = 0.30); I2 = 7%Test for overall effect: Z = 29.57 (P < 0.00001)

2010 [17]

Figure 4: Meta-analysis based on Physician’s Global Assessment clear or almost clear.

Table 2: Incremental efficacy and cost-efficacy based on at least 75% reduction in the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score.

Biologics Pooled incremental efficacy 6-month incremental cost-effectiveness ratioBase case Best case Worst case Base case Best case Worst case

Etanercept 55% 72% 38% $32,643 $24,936 $47,246Adalimumab 63% 67% 59% $21,315 $20,043 $22,760Infliximab 71% 76% 67% $27,782 $25,954 $29,440Ustekinumab 45mg 67% 73% 62% $25,055 $22,996 $27,075Ustekinumab 90mg 72% 75% 68% $46,630 $44,765 $49,373

with inadequate response [20], and rerandomization of par-ticipants with sustained PASI 75 response to either placebo orbiologics [11–13].

Previous economic analyses only included efficacy datafrom trials conducted in the US and Europe where mostparticipants were Caucasians [23–27]. The present analysis

included efficacy data from four Asian trials [14, 17, 18, 20, 21],and thus it has a better generalizability in amultiethnic settinglike the US.

Many trials included in this study used modified ITTanalysis to assess efficacy outcomes, that is, inclusion of ran-domized subjects who received at least one dose of the study

8 BioMed Research International

Table 3: Incremental efficacy and cost-efficacy based on Physician’s Global Assessment clear or almost clear.

Biologics Pooled incremental efficacy 6-month incremental cost-effectiveness ratioBase case Best case Worst case Base case Best case Worst case

Etanercept 58% 71% 45% $30,954 $25,287 $39,897Adalimumab 56% 59% 52% $23,980 $22,760 $25,824Infliximab 69% 76% 63% $28,587 $25,954 $31,310Ustekinumab 45mg 58% 64% 51% $28,943 $26,229 $32,915Ustekinumab 90mg 62% 66% 58% $54,151 $50,869 $57,886

Table 4: Base case incremental analysis.

6-month costs Incremental efficacy of PASI 75 response ICER (costs per additional PASI 75 responder)Etanercept $17,954 55% DominatedAdalimumab $13,429 63% $21,315a

Ustekinumab 45mg $16,787 67% $83,950b

Infliximab $19,725 71% $68,175c

Ustekinumab 90mg $33,574 72% $1,384,900d

Incremental efficacy of PGA 0/1 response ICER (costs per additional PGA 0/1 responder)Adalimumab $13,429 56% $23,980a

Ustekinumab 45mg $16,787 58% $167,900b

Etanercept $17,954 58% DominatedUstekinumab 90mg $33,574 62% $3,358,150c

Infliximab $19,725 69% $26,709caCompared to placebo.bCompared to adalimumab.cCompared to ustekinumab 45mg.dCompared to infliximab.

drug in statistical analyses [9, 10]. When assessing efficacyoutcomes at month 6, some trials used perprotocol analysis,that is, only including subjects who stayed in the trials inanalysis [11, 13, 15–18, 20, 21]. Both approaches excludedthose lost to follow-up due to lack of efficacy from statisticalanalyses, which may lead to biased efficacy estimates [8].In our meta-analysis, we recalculated all efficacy outcomedata by using the ITT approach, that is, we included all ran-domized subjects in statistical analyses and considered thosesubjects withmissing data as treatment failure.Therefore, ourmeta-analysis provides less biased efficacy estimates and bestmimics actual practice where patients are able to drop out oftreatment and change treatment groups.

Similar to previous economic analyses [25, 27], thepresent cost-efficacy analysis only considered drug costs.Other costs for administering biologics and indirect costswere not considered. The cost efficacy of infliximab willdecrease if the indirect cost and the time missed from workdue to intravenous administration are considered.

Biologic therapies are generally conceived to be expensivewhen compared to conventional therapies. However, a studyrevealed that introduction of biologics therapies reduced thetotal healthcare costs for patients who previously requiredlong-term hospitalization for disease control, as hospitaliza-tions were shortened or no longer needed [28]. Therefore,careful selection of patients appropriate for biologic therapiesmay be cost-saving on the ground of avoidance of ineffective

conventional treatments, reduction of hospitalization costs,increased productivity, and reduction of indirect costs.

Although drug costs are an important concern in choos-ing biologics, they are not the sole determinant. Patients’unique values and circumstances should be considered indecision making [29]. For example, the total number ofinjections in the first 6 months’ therapy is 36, 13, 5, and 3for etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab, and ustekinumab,respectively. Patients who are afraid of injections or dislikethe injection pain may prefer ustekinumab therapy.

Presence of concomitant psoriatic arthritis may affectthe choice of biologics. Anti-TNF𝛼 agents (i.e., etanercept,adalimumab, and infliximab) have established efficacy intreating psoriatic arthritis [30] and are therefore preferred inpatients with concomitant psoriatic arthritis. A trial foundthat ustekinumab reduced symptoms and signs of psoriaticarthritis, but the administered regimen (ustekinumab 90mgor 63mg every week for 4 weeks) differed from those usedin treating psoriasis [31]. Another randomized trial foundthat ustekinumab administered using the approved regimensimproved joint pain visual analogue scale, but the efficacyappeared varying and lacked a dose-response relationship[20].

5. Conclusions

Infliximab and ustekinumab 90mg had a higher pooledefficacy as to either PASI 75 or PGA 0/1 when compared

BioMed Research International 9

to other biologics. On the other hand, adalimumab had thelowest average costs per patient achieving PASI 75 or PGA0/1 response, followed by ustekinumab 45mg and infliximab.Etanercept and ustekinumab 90mg had an unfavorable cost-efficacy. Clinicians and policy-makers should consider theefficacy and cost-efficacy evidence along with patients’ valuesand characteristics (such as presence of psoriatic arthritis)in deciding how to efficiently allocate resources in treatingpsoriasis.

Conflict of Interests

The authors declare that there is no conflict of interestsregarding the publication of this paper.

Acknowledgment

The authors thank Professor Fenella Wojnarowska (NuffieldDepartment of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, UK)for her assistance in searching and her comments on thepaper.

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