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Research and Development inFY 2014Matt HourihanApril 25, 2013for the National Research Council Board on Life Sciences
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/spp/rd
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
-6.6%
-6.4%
-5.2%
-5.0%
-4.6%
-4.2%
-3.9%
60.8%
-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Agriculture
EPA
NIH
DOE Science
DOD S&T
All Other HHS
NSF
DHS
Estimated FY 2013 R&D: Appropriations and Sequester Outcomes
percent change from FY 2012
Source: AAAS estimates based on agency R&D data and budget documents, appropriations documents, and OMB sequester analyses.© 2013 AAAS
DOD "S&T" = DOD R&D in "6.1" through "6.3" categories
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Trends in R&D by Agencyin billions of constant FY 2013 dollars
ARRA Funding
All Other
USDA
NSF
NASA
DOE
NIH
DOD
Source: AAAS Report: Research & Development series.FY 2013 and FY 2014 figures are latest estimates.1976-1994 figures are NSF data on obligations in the Federal Funds survey. © 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%19
76
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Trends in Federal R&DAs a percent of GDP
Total R&D
Development
Research
Facilities
Source: Up to 1994 - National Science Foundation, Survey of Federal Funds for Research and Development; 1995 to Present - AAAS Research and Development series. GDP figures are from Budget of the U.S. Government FY 2014. FY 2013 and FY 2014 figures are latest estimates.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
Life Sciences / GDP
Physical Sciences/GDP
Engineering / GDP
EnvironmentalSciences / GDP
Math / Comp.Sciences / GDP
Federal Funds by Discipline asPercent of GDP, FY 1970-2011
Source: National Science Foundation, Federal Funds for Research and Development series. FY 2010 and 2011 data are preliminary. GDP figures are from OMB.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$545[Defense R&D]
$73
Nondefense Discretionary
$554
[Nondefense R&D]$70
Social Security$860
Medicare$524
Medicaid$304
Other Mandatory$621
Net Interest$223
Composition of the Proposed FY 2014 BudgetTotal Outlays = $3.8 trillion
outlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2014.Projected unified deficit is $744 billion.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$120
[Defense R&D]$15
Nondefense Discretionary
$126
[Nondefense R&D]$16
Social Security$117
Medicare$31
Medicaid$14
Other Mandatory$100
Net Interest$53
Composition of the FY 1980 Budgetoutlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2013.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$254[Defense R&D]
$41
Nondefense Discretionary
$287
[Nondefense R&D]$33
Social Security$406
Medicare$194
Medicaid$118
Other Mandatory$233
Net Interest$223
Composition of the FY 2000 Budgetoutlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2013.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$519[Defense R&D]
$65
Nondefense Discretionary
$570
[Nondefense R&D]$72
Social Security$1,080
Medicare$607
Medicaid$391
Other Mandatory$677
Net Interest$462
Composition of the FY 2018 Budget?outlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2014.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
-2.9%-11.1%
-8.6%-5.4%-3.0%-2.4%-1.9%-1.4%
2.3%4.2%5.4%
10.0%10.8%
21.0%23.7%
44.6%181.7%
-50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
TOTALDOD Other
DOD S&TEPAVA
NIHDOT
NASADOE Science
USDANSF
Other HHSDOE Defense
NISTNOAA
DOE EnergyDHS
R&D in the FY 2014 Budgetpercent change from FY 2012 (INFLATION ADJUSTED)
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents.© 2013 AAAS
DOD "S&T" = DOD R&D in "6.1" through "6.3" categories
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense R&D: Recent Decline DOD: $69.5b (-7%)
Boost for basic, everything else cut
Homeland Security: National Bio and Agro-defense Facility getting built Otherwise, DHS is flat
following recent growth
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
General Science: Growth Area NSF: $6.3B for R&D
(+9%) 10-year Trend: +21.9% Broad investment,
especially Engineering, BIO, SBE
Key focus on broad innovation programs
STEM hub DOE Science: $4.6B for
R&D (+6%) 10-year trend: 18.1% Growth everywhere but
High Energy Physics BER: +6% (foundational
genome science)
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
NIH: Continued Stagnation
10-year trend: -10% Only notable boosts:
NCATS, National Institute for Aging, NLM
BRAIN Initiative ($40 million) Details forthcoming
Big data ($41 million) Concern: Basic /
applied split?
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Next steps… The BIG question: resolving differences over
discretionary spending How does Congress fit a $1057 billion budget into a $966
billion hole?
Further details on STEM strategy Consolidation/reduction plus spending boost (DOEd,
Smithsonian, NSF)
COMPETES
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
$15
$16
$17
$1820
08
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sequestration and the COMPETES Agenciesin billions of nominal dollars
COMPETES 2010Path
ARRA
Pre-SequestrationBaseline
Post-SequestrationProjection
Actuals
COMPETES Agencies include NIST, NSF, and DOE Office of Science. Based on AAAS estimates of R&D funding under sequestration, appropriations documents, and historical agency budgets.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0.00%
0.02%
0.04%
0.06%
0.08%
0.10%
0.12%
0.14%
0.16%
0.18%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
Bio Sciences / GDP
Environmental Bio /GDP
Agricultural / GDP
Medical / GDP
Other Life Science /GDP
Federal Funds For Life Sciences asPercent of GDP, FY 1970-2011
Source: National Science Foundation, Federal Funds for Research and Development series. FY 2010 and 2011 data are preliminary. GDP figures are from OMB.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
$20,000
1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011
Basic Research
AppliedResearch
NIH R&D By Character, FY 1976-2014in billions of constant FY 2013 dollars
Source: AAAS Research and Development series. FY 2013 figures are estimates based on AAAS analysis of appropriations and sequestration; FY 2014 is the President's request.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Basic
Applied
Composition of NIH R&D By Character, FY 1976-2014Percent of total research
Source: AAAS Research and Development series. FY 2013 figures are estimates based on AAAS analysis of appropriations and sequestration; FY 2014 is the President's request.© 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
NSF
NASA
DOE Science
FDA
EPA
USDA
NIH
Select Nondefense R&D Agency Funding Changes,FY 1998-2004
Adjusted for inflation, FY 1998 = 100
Source: AAAS Research and Development series.© 2013 AAAS