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Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
RESCUING FAILING PROJECTS
David Leigh
rofori
Who am I? (professionally)
David Leigh [email protected]
703-362-6133
OSU Industrial EngineeringRobotics / Process Automation Lab
Manager & Teaching Assistant
Mobile InternationalAssembly Line Worker &
Draftsman
Moore Business FormsStaff Industrial Engineer
Master’s ProjectDevelopment of Intel 8086 Assembly Language Industrial Robot driver software for the IBM PC
SBIRE
Consultant - US Army US Air Force rapid response support
IDIQ contract (RRCSR) Proposal
HDS
Product Manager – Smart Power Grid Wireless Residential Metering & Control
Devices (Canadian Deployment)
DOLE-Judication Integration
Edison’s Jewelers & Distributors
Warehouse Management & Operations
McDonnell DouglasSenior Mfg Process Automaton Engineer
Vice Chairman of the McDonnell Douglas Corporation Mfg Automation Standards Committee
A-12 Tulsa Team IT Group Leader (Navy Attack Aircraft Final Assembly, GD / MD Team)
Rofori CorporationPresident
12/82
Bachelor of ScienceMechanical Engineering
TelosProduct Manager:
Ruggedized Military Specification Portable SUN Workstations (US Marine Corps.), Sun Laptop Workstation (US Air Force)
ISO-9000 Certified Manufacturer
New Business Start-up, Wireless Networking Mobile Thin Client for US Air Force Flight Line Maintenance (Before 802.11 “WiFi” became a Standard)
Vantage Technologies
Project Manager for Document Management & Imaging Solutions
“Troubled Project” Rescue SpecialistMicrosoft SharePoint
Deployment & Support
easyTIMESHEET Product
Deployment, Integration, & Support
OSU Mechanical EngineeringBSME - CAD/CAM & Robotics
R&D
1978 – 1982 1983 – 1987 1988 – 1992 1993 – 1997 1998 – 2002 2003 – 2007 2008 – Present
8/86
Master of ScienceIndustrial Engineering
& Management
US DOL OALJProgram Manager
NetBase CorporationVP Solution Services / Principle Consultant
USDA FSA BudgetProject Manager / Principle Consultant
Farm Credit AgencyProject Manager / Principle ConsultantLoans Consolidation Warehouse
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Topics
Project Failure Rate
What is a project, and what is Success?
Who is responsible?
Signs of Trouble
Is it Hopeless?
Recovery plan
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Project Failure Rate
30% to 70% project failure rates depending upon industry
Smaller is better:Failure rate of large IT projects (budgets > $1 m) is almost 50% higher than for smaller projects (budgets < $350 k)
YOU will be faced with a Troubled Project
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
A ProjectA project is a temporary endeavor undertaken to create a unique product, service, or event
The end is reached when the objectives have been achieved (Successful), they will not or cannot be met, or the need no longer exists (not-Successful)
Success is measured by • timeliness • budget compliance • product and project quality • degree of customer satisfaction
VALUE
Copyright 2013 Rofori CorporationCopyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
A ProjectA project is a temporary endeavor undertaken to create a unique product, service, or event
The end is reached when the objectives have been achieved (Successful), they will not or cannot be met, or the need no longer exists (not-Successful)
Success is measured by • timeliness • budget compliance • product and project quality • degree of customer satisfaction
VALUE
Copyright 2013 Rofori Corporation
Inherent Risk?
Quality, Satisfaction, and Value contain both
Objective and Subjectivecriteria aspects…
Which are evaluated by the
Stake Holders?
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Top 5 Causes of Troubled Projects
1. Requirements: Unclear, lack of agreement, lack of priority, contradictory, ambiguous, imprecise.
2. Resources: Lack of resources, resource conflicts, turnover of key resources, poor planning.
3. Schedules: Too tight, unrealistic, overly optimistic.
4. Planning: Based on insufficient data, missing items, insufficient details, poor estimates (defect rate?).
5. Risks: Unidentified or assumed, not managed.
By Michael Krigsman for Beyond IT Failure | March 15, 2011Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Who is Responsible?
“The project manager is responsibleand accountable for setting realistic and achievable boundaries for the
project and to accomplish the project within the approved baselines.”
PMBOK V5, Section 2.2.3, page 35
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Signs of Trouble
Common: Behind Schedule
Over Budget
Earned Value Measures (SV, CV, SPI, CPI) rates worsening
Not so Common: High / increasing defect rates
High / increasing rates of new requirements or changes
High / increasing rates of Risk identification or remediation
Indication of Stake Holder dissatisfaction / disengagement
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Aside – Insidious Cost of Poor Quality
Delivering with a “Fix it Later” Strategy doesn’t only cost you once:
Re-work is Unplanned work = Scope Increase
Limited resources are dramatically More Limited
CPI and SPI < 1, and decreases rapidly
Example: HealthCare.gov
What is your planned defect rate?
How have you accounted for defects in your resource allocation, budget, schedule, and risk register?
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Stake Holder Expectations
VALUE
High
Low
Reality
Stake HolderExpectations
Identifiable Negative Gap = Trouble!
(Lack of Credibility)
VALUE
High
Low
RealityStake HolderExpectations
No Gap = Good chance to proceed
(You Have Credibility)
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Can it be Saved?
Remember this
The Project can be saved if the Stake Holders believe
the resulting VALUE of continuing > Revised Plan
But there are conditions …
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Conditions for Recovery
Honest and Credible Project Manager
Accurate Current State Effectively Communicated
Project Deficiencies Accurately Identified
Credible Remediation Plan
Effectively Managed Expectations
Expectation Gap is not too Large to Overcome
Trust Sufficiently Restored with the Stake Holders
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
All of the above are required
Lack of Effective Communication +
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
New Technology R&D
“Proven technology” vs. New Software product
Major difference in expectations
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Top 5 Causes of Troubled Projects
1. Requirements: Unclear, lack of agreement, lack of priority, contradictory, ambiguous, imprecise.
2. Resources: Lack of resources, resource conflicts, turnover of key resources, poor planning.
3. Schedules: Too tight, unrealistic, overly optimistic.
4. Planning: Based on insufficient data, missing items, insufficient details, poor estimates (defect rate?).
5. Risks: Unidentified or assumed, not managed.
By Michael Krigsman for Beyond IT Failure | March 15, 2011Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Actions to Take
If the problem is:
Requirements, get control of the Scope and Change Management. Every change has Cost/Schedule/Capability impact
Resources or Schedule, Show the original plan… Mandated constraints results in an unrealistic plan – it is
just a “we’ll try” (increased risks)
Problems arise, real life – Murphy’s Law
Improve rate and depth of defects
Planning, Improve accuracy or add “Safety Factor”
Risks, Focus on Identification, Avoidance and MitigationAlways effectively communicate issues/risks to Stake Holders ASAP
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
What should we do?
Acknowledge the challenge and difficulty of aligning expectations and
perceptions across a diverse set of stakeholders, which is a fundamental
obstacle to project success.
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Constant Effective Communication
“Communication has been identified as one of the single biggest reason for
project success or failure.
“Effective communication … is essential.”
PMBOK V5, Section X3.4, page 515
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Efficient communication means providing only the information that is needed.
Effective communication means that the information is provided in the right format, at the
right time, to the right audience, and with the right impact.
PMBOK V5, Section 10.1, page 290
Don’t confuse Efficient with Effective
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation
Summary
Truth, Honesty, and Effective Communication builds Credibility
Effectively Managing Stakeholder Expectations builds Success
Copyright 2013, Rofori Corporation