REPORT TEXT- Humble I.S.D.-April, 2014 · 2014-07-23 · Therefore, this Long Range Plan shows the possibility of a new Elementary school to be built Population and Survey Analysts

Long Range Planning 6 This chapter provides a look at the long‐term facility needs for the district by comparing the 10‐year enrollment projections to the current capacities of Humble I.S.D. school facilities. The Most Likely Growth projections have been compared to the facilities’ capacities to illustrate portions of the district that may be in need of additional capacity in future years.

Transfers The data that PASA generates for long range planning purposes represents the number of students projected to live within each attendance zone (resident students or geo‐coded students) and doesn’t necessarily indicate the number of students projected to attend each school due to inter‐ and intra‐District transfers. For these purposes, transfers are defined as any student attending a school other than his/her school of residence for any reason (voluntary transfer requests, children of district employees, programmatic transfers, etc.). The transfer patterns of the current students in the 2013‐14 school year are included in the Transfer tables in this chapter and can be used in conjunction with the resident student projections for short‐term planning purposes.

Capacities When analyzing the utilization of each campus, there are two equally important factors to consider: 1) how many students will be enrolled and 2) how many students each campus can accommodate. Extensive effort has been expended developing the projections of future student population (refer to Chapters 1‐5) to address the first factor. In order to address the second factor (the number of students that each school can accommodate), District Administration has provided estimates of each campus’s Functional Permanent Capacity, as well as the additional capacity currently provided by temporary buildings. In planning for long‐term utilization of campuses, the projected student population is compared to the permanent capacity of each building. The use of temporary buildings is an important factor, but ideally these buildings would only be used on a temporary basis. Therefore, the capacity including current temporary buildings is shown on the charts in this chapter, but the analysis for needed future campuses is based on permanent capacity only.

Population and Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - April 2014 231

Elementary School Long Range Planning Based on the Most Likely Growth Scenario, the Elementary student population is projected to increase by about 5,600 students to 23,247 students in 2023 (or about 32% increase). With a combined permanent capacity of all current schools of 19,282, this leaves an excess of about ~4,000 Elementary students for whom additional facilities will be needed by the end of this projection period. The first map and associated spreadsheet in this chapter show the 2013‐14 Elementary attendance zones and the number of students projected to live in each zone over the next ten years. This map helps highlight the geographic regions of the District that are expected to receive the greatest increase in enrollment (primarily in the south and southeast). Step 1 In past studies, the explosive growth in the Eagle Springs/Whispering Pines/Atascocita Springs area has been cause for concern with regard to additional future schools. The density of students living in the area warrants the clustering of Elementary schools in close proximity, and PASA has oscillated on recommending the construction of yet another school in that area. Not insignificantly, the possibility of finding a suitable and affordable parcel for the District to purchase would be a challenge as the area is largely built‐out, platted for future development or valuable for commercial development. Also, as the families currently living in the area age and the children age out of the public school system, the possibility exists that empty‐nest parents will remain in these homes. This would create an eventual decline in student enrollment until the time at which the neighborhoods begin to regenerate by selling to younger families with children in school. Thus, building yet another Elementary school in this area could yield underutilized schools in the future. However, there is a short‐term and long‐term need for capacity relief at Whispering Pines, which has continued to accelerate since the last Demographic Update. Currently, Whispering Pines has a permanent capacity of 610 and has portable buildings to accommodate up to 830 students. There are 925 Elementary students currently living in the Whispering Pines attendance zone, which is only manageable because a considerable number are transferring to other schools for programmatic (Bilingual, PK, etc.) or other reasons. This resident population is projected to increase by about 170 students over the next decade, so some accommodation other than the current temporary building/transfer solution likely will be required. Additionally, River Pines currently has twelve classrooms in temporary buildings in order to accommodate the 802 students living in the attendance zone. Construction of new homes, as well as potential future housing developments that haven’t started construction yet, contribute to the almost 500 additional students projected to live in the River Pines attendance zone by 2023. Based on these projections, almost 1,300 students could live in the River Pines attendance zone in the next decade, and there is simply not enough extra capacity at neighboring school to accommodate this growth through re‐zoning. Therefore, this Long Range Plan shows the possibility of a new Elementary school to be built


between Whispering Pines and River Pines, which could potentially draw students from both schools. Alternatively, the District might consider renovating Whispering Pines and River Pines to add permanent capacity and bring them up to a comparable size of other schools in the District (900‐1000 students). Step 2 Much of the acceleration of growth since the last Demographic Update two years ago has occurred along the West Lake Houston Parkway corridor. At the time of the last Update, developers and investors were still wary of the economic downturn and were still in a holding pattern, waiting for the recovery. Experts in the area knew that development along this corridor would ultimately happen, but many of these large parcels now have specific plans and timelines associated with new residential development. The first Elementary school projected to be significantly impacted by this growth is Lakeshore Elementary. This Long Range Plan suggests the need for a new school within the current Lakeshore attendance zone to open in about 2019, but the timing is dependent on a number of factors: 1) the District’s ability to purchase a suitable site in the area, 2) the progress of roads/infrastructure to gain access to the site, and 3) the degree of overcrowding at Lakeshore which the District is willing to tolerate (1,122 projected students in 2017, 1,182 students in 2018, 1,269 students in 2019, 1,363 students in 2020, compared to 950‐student capacity). Step 3 The next long term need for additional capacity is projected to be in the Atascocita Springs/Eagle Springs area, as well as in Ridge Creek. The northern portion of Ridge Creek (west of the railroad tracks) contains several large parcels of land that have significant residential development potential. However, at least in the first few years of these development plans, these subdivisions will be accessed from W. Lake Houston Parkway to the east, not the Park Lakes area to the south. Ideally, the District could purchase an Elementary school site within one of these future developments that could also pull some students from the Atascocita Springs and Eagle Springs attendance zones. This Long Range Plan shows this new school not being absolutely needed until 2020 or 2021 (at the latest), but again, the timing depends on other issues like 1) the District’s ability to obtain a site, 2) timing of roads/infrastructure to the school site, and 3) timing of access to the back of Eagle Springs. There is a good argument for opening this school as soon as possible (within the constraints just listed), in that the first residents in these new developments will have no good access to Ridge Creek (where they are currently zoned) and will have to drive a considerable, roundabout distance to Ridge Creek until a school is built. However, it will be very important to avoid the temptation of opening the school in the very early years of the new developments, and filling it will many students outside of the new developments. The long term projections for the currently vacant land west of the railroad tracks are tremendous; any students external to that area who are zoned into a new school there could quickly need to be zoned out again, as the “home” neighborhood builds out.


Elementary Summary The following chart outlines where and when the District might consider opening new Elementary Schools, based on several criteria:

1. Relieving overcrowding of current campuses that also have additional future growth anticipated

2. Ability of a new campus to open in a given year at a reasonable rate of utilization 3. Minimizing the movement of students whenever possible

Year to be Opened Location

2015 or 2016 Between Whispering Pines and River Pines

2018 or 2019 In Lakeshore attendance zone

2020 or 2021 West of W. Lake Houston Parkway

As discussed above, the timing of new schools is based on many other non‐demographic factors, and PASA’s recommended schedule is intentionally conservative. These years represent the latest feasible time that a new school could be opened in an area, given the levels of overcrowding that would occur without a new school. But, there are a multitude of other factors that will affect the District’s timing decisions.

Middle School Long Range Planning Based on the Most Likely Growth Scenario, the Middle School student population is projected to increase by about 3,000 students to 12,004 students in 2023 (or about 34% increase). With a combined permanent capacity of all current schools of 8,494, this leaves an excess of about ~3,500 Middle School students for whom additional facilities will be needed by the end of this projection period. The next map and associated spreadsheet in this chapter show the 2013‐14 Middle School attendance zones and the number of students projected to live in each zone over the next ten years. This map helps highlight the geographic regions of the District that are expected to receive the greatest increase in enrollment (primarily in the south and southeast). The schools projected to be the most overcrowded in this decade are Humble, Timberwood, and Woodcreek, all with >1,400 resident students projected by 2015‐16. These three schools' combined capacities minus their combined student population in ten years is ‐2,500 students; this translates to 2,500 new "seats", or two new Middle Schools, are projected to be needed in this part of the District in the next ten years.


Middle School #9 The District owns a site adjacent to Ridge Creek that could be used for a new Middle School. This site could be used to relieve Humble MS and Woodcreek MS (western side), but access north up to the Timberwood MS attendance zone will not become a reality for many more years. This new Middle School can be utilized as soon as it is feasible to build it, as both Humble MS and Woodcreek MS are projected to exceed 1,400 students in 2015. Middle School #10 The District may consider purchasing a new Middle School site in one of the new developments along the W. Lake Houston Parkway corridor, particularly on the northern end of the current Woodcreek MS attendance zone. Presumably this new site could be used to relieve both Woodcreek MS and Timberwood MS. The timing of this new MS #10 will depend on other non‐demographic factors, as discussed above regarding an Elementary site, including: 1) the ability of the District to obtain a site and 2) timing of roads/infrastructure to the school site.

High School Long Range Planning Based on the Most Likely Growth Scenario, the High School student population is projected to increase by about 4,800 students to 16,440 students in 2023 (or about 41% increase). With a combined permanent capacity of all current schools of 13,200, this leaves an excess of about ~3,200 High School students for whom additional facilities will be needed by the end of this projection period. The final map and associated spreadsheet in this chapter show the 2013‐14 High School attendance zones and the number of students projected to live in each zone over the next ten years. This map helps highlight the geographic regions of the District that are expected to receive the greatest increase in enrollment (primarily in the south and southeast). Summer Creek HS is projected to have almost 4,000 resident students in 2020, followed by Atascocita HS with 3,700 students in 2020. The projected growth along the West Lake Houston Parkway discussed previously is contributing significantly to this potential overcrowding. It follows logically that a site for a sixth High School should be acquired by the District somewhere in these two attendance zones, such that it can provide overcrowding relief to both Summer Creek High School and Atascocita High School, ideally by about 2020 or so.


Humble I.S.D

. Elementary Sch

ool T

ransfers

126

106

112

121

107

124

117

104

109

114

101

102

125

119

103

118

108

122

111

127

123

116

120

110

115

113

105

Atascocita Springs

Bear Branch

Deerwood

Eagle Springs

Elm Grove

Fall Creek

Fields

Foster

Greentree

Hidden Hollow

Humble

Lakeland

Lakeshore

Maplebrook

North Belt

Oak Forest

Oaks

Park Lakes

Pine Forest

Ridge Creek

River Pines

Shadow Forest

Summerwood

Timbers

Whispering Pines

Willow Creek

Woodland Hills

Atascocita Springs

841

123

31

14

614

41

171

13

102

3936

‐95

‐6

Bear Branch

501

72

75

64

11

42

38

551

‐50

72

Deerw

ood

29

440

11

34

11

34

53

477

‐37

86

Eagle Springs

163

540

18

25

18

26

11

594

‐54

131

Elm Grove

159

437

24

183

12

43

281

581

‐144

‐109

Fall Creek

21

690

22

17

21

91

101

21

732

‐42

15

Fields

11

150

514

63

49

14

91

11

156

2‐57

‐20

Foster

1915

254

011

101

11

39

612

‐72

‐26

Greentree

311

294

41

261

48

12

21

514

21

17

712

‐98

28

Hidden Hollow

1117

12

121

479

12

11

34

17

255

4‐75

‐11

Humble

41

12

13

436

93

32

21

21

471

‐35

63

Lakeland

21

11

51

1372

81

15

81

22

177

3‐45

‐4

Lakesh

ore

41

82

21

178

612

165

162

856

‐70

57

Maplebrook

31

81

53

856

611

42

181

94

22

648

‐82

20

North Belt

23

1713

14

261

61

141

22

32

683

‐67

‐44

Oak Forest

72

516

12

24

37

534

302

133

63

1641

‐107

41

Oaks

11

71

44

16

15

41

2748

29

11

81

565

‐83

2

Park Lakes

36

41

131

81

16

154

620

115

11

629

‐83

71

Pine Forest

33

330

11

510

111

252

92

14

33

21

615

‐86

43

Ridge Creek

93

14

22

121

453

102

150

0‐47

14

River Pines

108

62

11

42

25

11

473

71

16

792

‐55

‐41

Shadow Forest

911

32

88

11

353

010

358

9‐59

‐5

Summerw

ood

12

12

12

119

82

34

155

32

12

605

‐52

32

Tim

bers

121

91

22

22

121

283

262

193

365

48

1800

‐146

‐81

Whispering Pines

113

572

43

12

127

25

281

92

11

69

691

2913

‐222

‐182

Willow Creek

29

11

34

23

152

150

955

2‐43

‐43

Woodland Hills

163

23

164

51

11

340

9464

‐55

60

unco

ded

1313

1023

75

24

114

1311

182

1218

86

143

33

44

33

217

‐‐‐‐

Resides In & Attends

841

50

1

440

54

0

437

690

50

5

540

614

479

436

72

8

786

56

6

616

53

4

482

54

6

529

453

737

53

0

553

654

691

50

9

409

Transfers In

89

122

12

3

185

35

57

37

46

126

64

98

41

127

10

2

23

148

85

154

12

9

61

14

54

84

65

40

54

115

Attends

930

623

56

3

725

472

74

7

542

58

6

740

54

3

534

76

9

913

668

639

682

56

7

700

658

51

4

751

58

4

637

71

9

731

56

3

524

Net

Transfers

Resides In Attends

Reside

s In

Transfers

Out


Atascocita Springs2014: 985

2023: 1,134

Bear Branch2014: 5582023: 613

Deerwood2014: 4732023: 569

Eagle Springs2014: 6532023: 869

Elm Grove2014: 6152023: 722

Fall Creek2014: 812

2023: 1,000

Fields2014: 5832023: 708

Foster2014: 6272023: 888

Humble2014: 4532023: 518

Lakeland2014: 810

2023: 1,171

Lakeshore2014: 939

2023: 1,643

Maplebrook2014: 6682023: 761

North Belt2014: 7352023: 861

Oak Forest2014: 6662023: 751

Oaks2014: 5622023: 623

Park Lakes2014: 6962023: 831

Pine Forest2014: 6242023: 684

Ridge Creek2014: 529

2023: 1,541

River Pines2014: 856

2023: 1,275

Shadow Forest2014: 5752023: 793

Summerwood2014: 6562023: 777

Timbers2014: 7882023: 833Whispering Pines

2014: 9892023: 1,099

Willow Creek2014: 5322023: 620

Woodland Hills2014: 4652023: 527

Hidden Hollow 2014: 552 2023: 632

Greentree 2014: 7182023: 801

AtascocitaRd

UpperLak

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Seagler Springs Ln

Laurel S

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Ch

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Kings River Dr

BelleauW

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Wo

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Kings Park

Way

Dorylee Ln

Northpark

Dr

Eag

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Trl

Kings Lake Es tates Blvd

Will Clayton Pkwy

Bender Rd

Fm 1960

FM 1960 Bypass

Wood

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FM 19601st Street

Ho

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on

Ave

.

WL

ake

Ho

ust

on

Pkw

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Silver Lake Rd

Wils

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Ro

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Sm

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FM 1960

Mesa Dr.

Northpark Drive

Eas

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Hamblen Road

Kingwood Drive

Will Clayton Pkwy.

Beltway 8

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0 1 2 3 40.5Miles

Humble I.S.D.Long Range Planning

Ü

2013-14 Elementary SchoolAttendance Zones

Projected ResidentEE-5th Grade Students


Long Range PlanningProjected Resident EE-5th Grade Students

2013-14 Elementary School Attendance Zones

Current Residents

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita Springs 950 950 948 985 1,030 1,048 1,072 1,086 1,101 1,109 1,118 1,126 1,134Bear Branch 562 606 557 558 539 548 556 565 573 582 592 603 613Deerwood 634 634 483 473 483 493 504 513 525 536 547 560 569Eagle Springs 828 872 601 653 691 708 729 746 764 785 810 839 869Elm Grove 536 624 588 615 642 656 668 675 684 692 702 711 722Fall Creek 755 755 741 812 864 880 905 924 948 967 980 993 1,000Fields 714 846 569 583 595 607 623 632 647 664 679 693 708Foster 669 713 619 627 647 661 687 712 744 776 810 848 888Greentree 779 867 721 718 705 717 730 738 749 761 775 787 801Hidden Hollow 578 578 562 552 572 580 587 592 599 607 616 624 632Humble 723 767 477 453 439 444 450 457 465 477 490 501 518Lakeland 835 967 783 810 861 881 908 933 973 1,018 1,069 1,121 1,171Lakeshore 950 950 865 939 1,012 1,058 1,122 1,182 1,269 1,363 1,446 1,539 1,643Maplebrook 747 879 656 668 687 701 714 719 728 735 744 752 761North Belt 708 708 692 735 750 759 769 780 794 811 830 844 861Oak Forest 702 922 650 666 702 709 715 718 724 729 736 745 751Oaks 604 736 572 562 559 565 570 573 581 590 599 611 623Park Lakes 755 843 637 696 765 788 800 803 807 813 819 825 831Pine Forest 623 799 622 624 621 628 636 644 651 659 667 676 684Ridge Creek 960 960 506 529 571 634 732 838 972 1,113 1,249 1,388 1,541River Pines 755 1,019 802 856 929 961 1,000 1,035 1,087 1,142 1,191 1,236 1,275Shadow Forest 644 644 595 575 569 582 601 621 650 682 717 755 793Summerwood 743 743 612 656 674 697 715 733 751 759 765 771 777Timbers 759 935 809 788 774 781 789 793 801 808 816 824 833Whispering Pines 610 830 925 989 1,017 1,036 1,048 1,053 1,061 1,070 1,080 1,091 1,099Willow Creek 605 605 559 532 525 536 549 558 573 586 598 609 620Woodland Hills 554 598 470 465 466 473 481 486 494 501 510 519 527

Totals: 19,282 21,350 17,621 18,119 18,689 19,131 19,660 20,109 20,715 21,335 21,955 22,591 23,244

Projected Residents

Elementary SchoolFunctional Permanent

Capacity

Functional Capacity w/ Portables

Resident EE-5th Grade Students

Note: For these long range planning purposes, student projections were compared to permanent capacity only (no temporary buildings).




Current Residents

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023Elementary School

Functional Permanent

Capacity



Atascocita Springs 950 950 2 -35 -80 -98 -122 -136 -151 -159 -168 -176 -184Bear Branch 562 606 5 4 23 14 6 -3 -11 -20 -30 -41 -51Deerwood 634 634 151 161 151 141 130 121 109 98 87 74 65Eagle Springs 828 872 227 175 137 120 99 82 64 43 18 -11 -41Elm Grove 536 624 -52 -79 -106 -120 -132 -139 -148 -156 -166 -175 -186Fall Creek 755 755 14 -57 -109 -125 -150 -169 -193 -212 -225 -238 -245Fields 714 846 145 131 119 107 91 82 67 50 35 21 6Foster 669 713 50 42 22 8 -18 -43 -75 -107 -141 -179 -219Greentree 779 867 58 61 74 62 49 41 30 18 4 -8 -22Hidden Hollow 578 578 16 26 6 -2 -9 -14 -21 -29 -38 -46 -54Humble 723 767 246 270 284 279 273 266 258 246 233 222 205Lakeland 835 967 52 25 -26 -46 -73 -98 -138 -183 -234 -286 -336Lakeshore 950 950 85 11 -62 -108 -172 -232 -319 -413 -496 -589 -693Maplebrook 747 879 91 79 60 46 33 28 19 12 3 -5 -14North Belt 708 708 16 -27 -42 -51 -61 -72 -86 -103 -122 -136 -153Oak Forest 702 922 52 36 0 -7 -13 -16 -22 -27 -34 -43 -49Oaks 604 736 32 42 45 39 34 31 23 14 5 -7 -19Park Lakes 755 843 118 59 -10 -33 -45 -48 -52 -58 -64 -70 -76Pine Forest 623 799 1 -1 2 -5 -13 -21 -28 -36 -44 -53 -61Ridge Creek 960 960 454 431 389 326 228 122 -12 -153 -289 -428 -581River Pines 755 1,019 -47 -101 -174 -206 -245 -280 -332 -387 -436 -481 -520Shadow Forest 644 644 49 69 75 62 43 23 -6 -38 -73 -111 -149Summerwood 743 743 131 87 69 46 28 10 -8 -16 -22 -28 -34Timbers 759 935 -50 -29 -15 -22 -30 -34 -42 -49 -57 -65 -74Whispering Pines 610 830 -315 -379 -407 -426 -438 -443 -451 -460 -470 -481 -489Willow Creek 605 605 46 73 80 69 56 47 32 19 7 -4 -15Woodland Hills 554 598 84 89 88 81 73 68 60 53 44 35 27

Totals: 19,282 21,350 1,661 1,163 593 151 -378 -827 -1,433 -2,053 -2,673 -3,309 -3,962

Student Margin





Current Residents

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023Elementary School


Capacity



Atascocita Springs 950 950 100% 104% 108% 110% 113% 114% 116% 117% 118% 119% 119%Bear Branch 562 606 99% 99% 96% 98% 99% 101% 102% 104% 105% 107% 109%Deerwood 634 634 76% 75% 76% 78% 79% 81% 83% 85% 86% 88% 90%Eagle Springs 828 872 73% 79% 83% 86% 88% 90% 92% 95% 98% 101% 105%Elm Grove 536 624 110% 115% 120% 122% 125% 126% 128% 129% 131% 133% 135%Fall Creek 755 755 98% 108% 114% 117% 120% 122% 126% 128% 130% 132% 132%Fields 714 846 80% 82% 83% 85% 87% 89% 91% 93% 95% 97% 99%Foster 669 713 93% 94% 97% 99% 103% 106% 111% 116% 121% 127% 133%Greentree 779 867 93% 92% 91% 92% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 101% 103%Hidden Hollow 578 578 97% 96% 99% 100% 102% 102% 104% 105% 107% 108% 109%Humble 723 767 66% 63% 61% 61% 62% 63% 64% 66% 68% 69% 72%Lakeland 835 967 94% 97% 103% 106% 109% 112% 117% 122% 128% 134% 140%Lakeshore 950 950 91% 99% 107% 111% 118% 124% 134% 143% 152% 162% 173%Maplebrook 747 879 88% 89% 92% 94% 96% 96% 97% 98% 100% 101% 102%North Belt 708 708 98% 104% 106% 107% 109% 110% 112% 115% 117% 119% 122%Oak Forest 702 922 93% 95% 100% 101% 102% 102% 103% 104% 105% 106% 107%Oaks 604 736 95% 93% 93% 94% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 101% 103%Park Lakes 755 843 84% 92% 101% 104% 106% 106% 107% 108% 108% 109% 110%Pine Forest 623 799 100% 100% 100% 101% 102% 103% 104% 106% 107% 109% 110%Ridge Creek 960 960 53% 55% 59% 66% 76% 87% 101% 116% 130% 145% 161%River Pines 755 1,019 106% 113% 123% 127% 132% 137% 144% 151% 158% 164% 169%Shadow Forest 644 644 92% 89% 88% 90% 93% 96% 101% 106% 111% 117% 123%Summerwood 743 743 82% 88% 91% 94% 96% 99% 101% 102% 103% 104% 105%Timbers 759 935 107% 104% 102% 103% 104% 104% 106% 106% 108% 109% 110%Whispering Pines 610 830 152% 162% 167% 170% 172% 173% 174% 175% 177% 179% 180%Willow Creek 605 605 92% 88% 87% 89% 91% 92% 95% 97% 99% 101% 102%Woodland Hills 554 598 85% 84% 84% 85% 87% 88% 89% 90% 92% 94% 95%

Percent Utilization



River Pines2015: 7192016: 730

Fields2015: 7752016: 788

Lakeland2015: 5672016: 584

AtascocitaSprings

2015: 1,0302016: 1,048

Bear Branch2015: 5392016: 548

Deerwood2015: 4832016: 493

EagleSprings

2015: 6912016: 708

Elm Grove2015: 6422016: 656

Fall Creek2015: 8642016: 880

Foster2015: 6472016: 661

Humble2015: 4392016: 444

Lakeshore2015: 1,0122016: 1,058

Maplebrook2015: 6872016: 701

North Belt2015: 7502016: 759

Oak Forest2015: 7022016: 709

Oaks2015: 5592016: 565

Park Lakes2015: 7652016: 788

Pine Forest2015: 6212016: 628

Ridge Creek2015: 5712016: 634

Shadow Forest2015: 5692016: 582

Summerwood2015: 6742016: 697

Timbers2015: 7742016: 781

Willow Creek2015: 5252016: 536


New Elem2015: 7362016: 765 Whispering

Pines2015: 6052016: 618

Greentree2015: 7052016: 717

Hidden Hollow 2015: 572 2016: 580

AtascocitaRd

Farmingham Dr

UpperLak

eDr

Seagler Springs Ln

Laurel S

prings Ln

Ch

estn

ut R

idg

eD

r

Kingwood Dr

Wilson

Rd

Kings River Dr

BelleauW

oo

dD

r

S H

oust

on

Ave

Wo

od

lan

d H

ills

Dr

Kings Park

Way

Dorylee Ln

Northpark

Dr

Eag

l eSh

ore

Trl


Bender Rd

Fm 1960

FM 1960 Bypass

Wood

ri dge Pkwy

FM 19601st Street

Ho

ust

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on

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Eas

tex

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way

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Atascocita Road

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Kingwood Drive

Will Clayton Pkwy.

Beltway 8

Tim

ber

Fore

stD

r.

W. L

ake

Hou

ston

Pkw

y.

Lakeside TerraceD

r

W Townsen Blvd

0 1 2 3 40.5Miles


Ü

Open New Elementary Schoolin 2015 or 2016


**Planning Document Only**The Board of Trustees hasmade no decisions about

future school sites or attendance zones.



Open New Elementary in 2015 or 2016Near Whispering Pines and River Pines

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita Springs 950 950 1,030 1,048 1,072 1,086 1,101 1,109 1,118 1,126 1,134Bear Branch 562 606 539 548 556 565 573 582 592 603 613Deerwood 634 634 483 493 504 513 525 536 547 560 569Eagle Springs 828 872 691 708 729 746 764 785 810 839 869Elm Grove 536 624 642 656 668 675 684 692 702 711 722Fall Creek 755 755 864 880 905 924 948 967 980 993 1,000Fields 714 846 775 788 805 815 831 849 865 881 897Foster 669 713 647 661 687 712 744 776 810 848 888Greentree 779 867 705 717 730 738 749 761 775 787 801Hidden Hollow 578 578 572 580 587 592 599 607 616 624 632Humble 723 767 439 444 450 457 465 477 490 501 518Lakeland 835 967 567 584 607 627 661 700 745 790 835Lakeshore 950 950 1,012 1,058 1,122 1,182 1,269 1,363 1,446 1,539 1,643Maplebrook 747 879 687 701 714 719 728 735 744 752 761North Belt 708 708 750 759 769 780 794 811 830 844 861Oak Forest 702 922 702 709 715 718 724 729 736 745 751Oaks 604 736 559 565 570 573 581 590 599 611 623Park Lakes 755 843 765 788 800 803 807 813 819 825 831Pine Forest 623 799 621 628 636 644 651 659 667 676 684Ridge Creek 960 960 571 634 732 838 972 1,113 1,249 1,388 1,541River Pines 755 1,019 719 730 746 759 782 807 832 855 877Shadow Forest 644 644 569 582 601 621 650 682 717 755 793Summerwood 743 743 674 697 715 733 751 759 765 771 777Timbers 759 935 774 781 789 793 801 808 816 824 833Whispering Pines 610 830 605 618 626 630 636 642 649 655 660Willow Creek 605 605 525 536 549 558 573 586 598 609 620Woodland Hills 554 598 466 473 481 486 494 501 510 519 527New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 736 765 795 822 858 896 928 960 984

Totals: 20,232 22,300 18,689 19,131 19,660 20,109 20,715 21,335 21,955 22,591 23,244


Capacity


Projected Resident EE-5th Grade Students

Projected Residents





2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023Elementary School


Capacity



Atascocita Springs 950 950 -80 -98 -122 -136 -151 -159 -168 -176 -184Bear Branch 562 606 23 14 6 -3 -11 -20 -30 -41 -51Deerwood 634 634 151 141 130 121 109 98 87 74 65Eagle Springs 828 872 137 120 99 82 64 43 18 -11 -41Elm Grove 536 624 -106 -120 -132 -139 -148 -156 -166 -175 -186Fall Creek 755 755 -109 -125 -150 -169 -193 -212 -225 -238 -245Fields 714 846 -61 -74 -91 -101 -117 -135 -151 -167 -183Foster 669 713 22 8 -18 -43 -75 -107 -141 -179 -219Greentree 779 867 74 62 49 41 30 18 4 -8 -22Hidden Hollow 578 578 6 -2 -9 -14 -21 -29 -38 -46 -54Humble 723 767 284 279 273 266 258 246 233 222 205Lakeland 835 967 268 251 228 208 174 135 90 45 0Lakeshore 950 950 -62 -108 -172 -232 -319 -413 -496 -589 -693Maplebrook 747 879 60 46 33 28 19 12 3 -5 -14North Belt 708 708 -42 -51 -61 -72 -86 -103 -122 -136 -153Oak Forest 702 922 0 -7 -13 -16 -22 -27 -34 -43 -49Oaks 604 736 45 39 34 31 23 14 5 -7 -19Park Lakes 755 843 -10 -33 -45 -48 -52 -58 -64 -70 -76Pine Forest 623 799 2 -5 -13 -21 -28 -36 -44 -53 -61Ridge Creek 960 960 389 326 228 122 -12 -153 -289 -428 -581River Pines 755 1,019 36 25 9 -4 -27 -52 -77 -100 -122Shadow Forest 644 644 75 62 43 23 -6 -38 -73 -111 -149Summerwood 743 743 69 46 28 10 -8 -16 -22 -28 -34Timbers 759 935 -15 -22 -30 -34 -42 -49 -57 -65 -74Whispering Pines 610 830 5 -8 -16 -20 -26 -32 -39 -45 -50Willow Creek 605 605 80 69 56 47 32 19 7 -4 -15Woodland Hills 554 598 88 81 73 68 60 53 44 35 27New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 214 185 155 128 92 54 22 -10 -34

Totals: 20,232 22,300 1,543 1,101 572 123 -483 -1,103 -1,723 -2,359 -3,012

Student Margin





2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023Elementary School


Capacity



Atascocita Springs 950 950 108% 110% 113% 114% 116% 117% 118% 119% 119%Bear Branch 562 606 96% 98% 99% 101% 102% 104% 105% 107% 109%Deerwood 634 634 76% 78% 79% 81% 83% 85% 86% 88% 90%Eagle Springs 828 872 83% 86% 88% 90% 92% 95% 98% 101% 105%Elm Grove 536 624 120% 122% 125% 126% 128% 129% 131% 133% 135%Fall Creek 755 755 114% 117% 120% 122% 126% 128% 130% 132% 132%Fields 714 846 109% 110% 113% 114% 116% 119% 121% 123% 126%Foster 669 713 97% 99% 103% 106% 111% 116% 121% 127% 133%Greentree 779 867 91% 92% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 101% 103%Hidden Hollow 578 578 99% 100% 102% 102% 104% 105% 107% 108% 109%Humble 723 767 61% 61% 62% 63% 64% 66% 68% 69% 72%Lakeland 835 967 68% 70% 73% 75% 79% 84% 89% 95% 100%Lakeshore 950 950 107% 111% 118% 124% 134% 143% 152% 162% 173%Maplebrook 747 879 92% 94% 96% 96% 97% 98% 100% 101% 102%North Belt 708 708 106% 107% 109% 110% 112% 115% 117% 119% 122%Oak Forest 702 922 100% 101% 102% 102% 103% 104% 105% 106% 107%Oaks 604 736 93% 94% 94% 95% 96% 98% 99% 101% 103%Park Lakes 755 843 101% 104% 106% 106% 107% 108% 108% 109% 110%Pine Forest 623 799 100% 101% 102% 103% 104% 106% 107% 109% 110%Ridge Creek 960 960 59% 66% 76% 87% 101% 116% 130% 145% 161%River Pines 755 1,019 95% 97% 99% 101% 104% 107% 110% 113% 116%Shadow Forest 644 644 88% 90% 93% 96% 101% 106% 111% 117% 123%Summerwood 743 743 91% 94% 96% 99% 101% 102% 103% 104% 105%Timbers 759 935 102% 103% 104% 104% 106% 106% 108% 109% 110%Whispering Pines 610 830 99% 101% 103% 103% 104% 105% 106% 107% 108%Willow Creek 605 605 87% 89% 91% 92% 95% 97% 99% 101% 102%Woodland Hills 554 598 84% 85% 87% 88% 89% 90% 92% 94% 95%New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 77% 81% 84% 87% 90% 94% 98% 101% 104%

Percent Utilization



New Elem2019: 6992023: 972

Lakeshore2019: 5702023: 671

River Pines2019: 7822023: 877

Fields2019: 8312023: 897

Lakeland2019: 6612023: 835

AtascocitaSprings

2019: 1,1012023: 1,134

Bear Branch2019: 5732023: 613

Deerwood2019: 5252023: 569

EagleSprings

2019: 7642023: 869

Elm Grove2019: 6842023: 722

Fall Creek2019: 948

2023: 1,000

Foster2019: 7442023: 888

Humble2019: 4652023: 518

Maplebrook2019: 7282023: 761

North Belt2019: 7942023: 861

Oak Forest2019: 7242023: 751

Oaks2019: 5812023: 623

Park Lakes2019: 8072023: 831

Pine Forest2019: 6512023: 684


2023: 1,541

Shadow Forest2019: 6502023: 793

Summerwood2019: 7512023: 777

Timbers2019: 8012023: 833

Willow Creek2019: 5732023: 620


New Elem2019: 8582023: 984

WhisperingPines

2019: 6362023: 660

Greentree2019: 7492023: 801

Hidden Hollow 2019: 5992023: 632

AtascocitaRd

Wi l s

on

Rd

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rst Trail Dr

UpperLak

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Seagler Springs Ln

Laurel S

prings Ln

Ch

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Kings River Dr

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Way

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Bender Rd

Fm 1960

FM 1960 Bypass

Wood

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FM 19601st Street

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WL

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on

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Silver Lake Rd

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FM 1960

Mesa Dr.

Northpark Drive

Eas

tex

Free

way

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Atascocita Road

Hamblen Road

Kingwood Drive

Will Clayton Pkwy.

Beltway 8

Tim

ber

Fore

stD

r.

Lakeside TerraceD

r

W. LakeH

ous t

on

Pkw

y.

W Townsen Blvd

0 1 2 3 40.5Miles


Ü

Open New Elementary Schoolin 2019






Open New Elementary in 2019Near Lakeshore and Summerwood

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita Springs 950 950 1,101 1,109 1,118 1,126 1,134Bear Branch 562 606 573 582 592 603 613Deerwood 634 634 525 536 547 560 569Eagle Springs 828 872 764 785 810 839 869Elm Grove 536 624 684 692 702 711 722Fall Creek 755 755 948 967 980 993 1,000Fields 714 846 831 849 865 881 897Foster 669 713 744 776 810 848 888Greentree 779 867 749 761 775 787 801Hidden Hollow 578 578 599 607 616 624 632Humble 723 767 465 477 490 501 518Lakeland 835 967 661 700 745 790 835Lakeshore 950 950 570 596 619 644 671Maplebrook 747 879 728 735 744 752 761North Belt 708 708 794 811 830 844 861Oak Forest 702 922 724 729 736 745 751Oaks 604 736 581 590 599 611 623Park Lakes 755 843 807 813 819 825 831Pine Forest 623 799 651 659 667 676 684Ridge Creek 960 960 972 1,113 1,249 1,388 1,541River Pines 755 1,019 782 807 832 855 877Shadow Forest 644 644 650 682 717 755 793Summerwood 743 743 751 759 765 771 777Timbers 759 935 801 808 816 824 833Whispering Pines 610 830 636 642 649 655 660Willow Creek 605 605 573 586 598 609 620Woodland Hills 554 598 494 501 510 519 527New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 858 896 928 960 984New Elem in 2019 950 950 699 767 827 895 972

Totals: 21,182 23,250 20,715 21,335 21,955 22,591 23,244

Projected Resident EE-5th Grade StudentsElementary School


Capacity


Projected Residents





2019 2020 2021 2022 2023



Capacity


Atascocita Springs 950 950 -151 -159 -168 -176 -184Bear Branch 562 606 -11 -20 -30 -41 -51Deerwood 634 634 109 98 87 74 65Eagle Springs 828 872 64 43 18 -11 -41Elm Grove 536 624 -148 -156 -166 -175 -186Fall Creek 755 755 -193 -212 -225 -238 -245Fields 714 846 -117 -135 -151 -167 -183Foster 669 713 -75 -107 -141 -179 -219Greentree 779 867 30 18 4 -8 -22Hidden Hollow 578 578 -21 -29 -38 -46 -54Humble 723 767 258 246 233 222 205Lakeland 835 967 174 135 90 45 0Lakeshore 950 950 380 354 331 306 279Maplebrook 747 879 19 12 3 -5 -14North Belt 708 708 -86 -103 -122 -136 -153Oak Forest 702 922 -22 -27 -34 -43 -49Oaks 604 736 23 14 5 -7 -19Park Lakes 755 843 -52 -58 -64 -70 -76Pine Forest 623 799 -28 -36 -44 -53 -61Ridge Creek 960 960 -12 -153 -289 -428 -581River Pines 755 1,019 -27 -52 -77 -100 -122Shadow Forest 644 644 -6 -38 -73 -111 -149Summerwood 743 743 -8 -16 -22 -28 -34Timbers 759 935 -42 -49 -57 -65 -74Whispering Pines 610 830 -26 -32 -39 -45 -50Willow Creek 605 605 32 19 7 -4 -15Woodland Hills 554 598 60 53 44 35 27New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 92 54 22 -10 -34New Elem in 2019 950 950 251 183 123 55 -22

Totals: 21,182 23,250 467 -153 -773 -1,409 -2,062

Student Margin





2019 2020 2021 2022 2023



Capacity


Atascocita Springs 950 950 116% 117% 118% 119% 119%Bear Branch 562 606 102% 104% 105% 107% 109%Deerwood 634 634 83% 85% 86% 88% 90%Eagle Springs 828 872 92% 95% 98% 101% 105%Elm Grove 536 624 128% 129% 131% 133% 135%Fall Creek 755 755 126% 128% 130% 132% 132%Fields 714 846 116% 119% 121% 123% 126%Foster 669 713 111% 116% 121% 127% 133%Greentree 779 867 96% 98% 99% 101% 103%Hidden Hollow 578 578 104% 105% 107% 108% 109%Humble 723 767 64% 66% 68% 69% 72%Lakeland 835 967 79% 84% 89% 95% 100%Lakeshore 950 950 60% 63% 65% 68% 71%Maplebrook 747 879 97% 98% 100% 101% 102%North Belt 708 708 112% 115% 117% 119% 122%Oak Forest 702 922 103% 104% 105% 106% 107%Oaks 604 736 96% 98% 99% 101% 103%Park Lakes 755 843 107% 108% 108% 109% 110%Pine Forest 623 799 104% 106% 107% 109% 110%Ridge Creek 960 960 101% 116% 130% 145% 161%River Pines 755 1,019 104% 107% 110% 113% 116%Shadow Forest 644 644 101% 106% 111% 117% 123%Summerwood 743 743 101% 102% 103% 104% 105%Timbers 759 935 106% 106% 108% 109% 110%Whispering Pines 610 830 104% 105% 106% 107% 108%Willow Creek 605 605 95% 97% 99% 101% 102%Woodland Hills 554 598 89% 90% 92% 94% 95%New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 90% 94% 98% 101% 104%New Elem in 2019 950 950 74% 81% 87% 94% 102%

Percent Utilization



Hidden Hollow2020: 6072023: 632

Greentree2020: 7612023: 801

New Elem2020: 2802023: 551

EagleSprings

2020: 7322023: 749


2023: 1,110

New Elem 2020: 7672023: 972

Lakeshore2020: 5962023: 671

River Pines2020: 8072023: 877

Fields2020: 8492023: 897

Lakeland2020: 7002023: 835

AtascocitaSprings

2020: 11092023: 1,134

Bear Branch2020: 5822023: 613

Deerwood2020: 5362023: 569

Elm Grove2020: 6922023: 722

Fall Creek2020: 967

2023: 1,000

Foster2020: 7762023: 888

Humble2020: 4772023: 518

Maplebrook2020: 7352023: 761

North Belt2020: 8112023: 861

Oak Forest2020: 7292023: 751

Oaks2020: 5902023: 623

Park Lakes2020: 8132023: 831

Pine Forest2020: 6592023: 684

Shadow Forest2020: 6822023: 793

Summerwood2020: 7592023: 777

Timbers2020: 8082023: 833

Willow Creek2020: 5862023: 620


New Elem2020: 8962023: 984

WhisperingPines

2020: 6422023: 660

AtascocitaRd

UpperLak

eDr

Seagler Springs Ln

Laurel S

prings Ln

Ch

estn

ut R

idg

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Kingwood Dr

Wils

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Way

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Northpark

Dr

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Bender Rd

Fm 1960

FM 1960 Bypass

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FM 19601st Street

Ho

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Silver Lake Rd

Sm

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FM 1960

Mesa Dr.

Northpark Drive

Eas

tex

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Atascocita Road

Hamblen Road

Kingwood Drive

Will Clayton Pkwy.

Beltway 8

Lakeside TerraceD

r

W. LakeH

ous t

on

Pkw

y.

W Townsen Blvd

0 1 2 3 40.5Miles


Ü

Open New Elementary Schoolin 2020 or 2021






Open New Elementary in 2020 or 2021Near Lakeshore and Atascocita Springs

2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita Springs 950 950 1,109 1,118 1,126 1,134Bear Branch 562 606 582 592 603 613Deerwood 634 634 536 547 560 569Eagle Springs 828 872 732 737 744 749Elm Grove 536 624 692 702 711 722Fall Creek 755 755 967 980 993 1,000Fields 714 846 849 865 881 897Foster 669 713 776 810 848 888Greentree 779 867 761 775 787 801Hidden Hollow 578 578 607 616 624 632Humble 723 767 477 490 501 518Lakeland 835 967 700 745 790 835Lakeshore 950 950 596 619 644 671Maplebrook 747 879 735 744 752 761North Belt 708 708 811 830 844 861Oak Forest 702 922 729 736 745 751Oaks 604 736 590 599 611 623Park Lakes 755 843 813 819 825 831Pine Forest 623 799 659 667 676 684Ridge Creek 960 960 886 957 1,030 1,110River Pines 755 1,019 807 832 855 877Shadow Forest 644 644 682 717 755 793Summerwood 743 743 759 765 771 777Timbers 759 935 808 816 824 833Whispering Pines 610 830 642 649 655 660Willow Creek 605 605 586 598 609 620Woodland Hills 554 598 501 510 519 527New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 896 928 960 984New Elem in 2019 950 950 767 827 895 972New Elem in 2020 or 2021 950 950 280 363 453 551

Totals: 22,132 24,200 21,335 21,953 22,591 23,244



Capacity


Projected Residents

Note: For these long range planning purposes, student projections were compared to permanent capacity only.

* It is possible that New Elem catchment area will include portions of Atascocita Springs, depending on access details and timing.




2020 2021 2022 2023



Capacity


Atascocita Springs 950 950 -159 -168 -176 -184Bear Branch 562 606 -20 -30 -41 -51Deerwood 634 634 98 87 74 65Eagle Springs 828 872 96 91 84 79Elm Grove 536 624 -156 -166 -175 -186Fall Creek 755 755 -212 -225 -238 -245Fields 714 846 -135 -151 -167 -183Foster 669 713 -107 -141 -179 -219Greentree 779 867 18 4 -8 -22Hidden Hollow 578 578 -29 -38 -46 -54Humble 723 767 246 233 222 205Lakeland 835 967 135 90 45 0Lakeshore 950 950 354 331 306 279Maplebrook 747 879 12 3 -5 -14North Belt 708 708 -103 -122 -136 -153Oak Forest 702 922 -27 -34 -43 -49Oaks 604 736 14 5 -7 -19Park Lakes 755 843 -58 -64 -70 -76Pine Forest 623 799 -36 -44 -53 -61Ridge Creek 960 960 74 3 -70 -150River Pines 755 1,019 -52 -77 -100 -122Shadow Forest 644 644 -38 -73 -111 -149Summerwood 743 743 -16 -22 -28 -34Timbers 759 935 -49 -57 -65 -74Whispering Pines 610 830 -32 -39 -45 -50Willow Creek 605 605 19 7 -4 -15Woodland Hills 554 598 53 44 35 27New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 54 22 -10 -34New Elem in 2019 950 950 183 123 55 -22New Elem in 2020 or 2021 950 950 670 587 497 399

Totals: 22,132 24,200 797 179 -459 -1,112

Student Margin






2020 2021 2022 2023



Capacity


Atascocita Springs 950 950 117% 118% 119% 119%Bear Branch 562 606 104% 105% 107% 109%Deerwood 634 634 85% 86% 88% 90%Eagle Springs 828 872 88% 89% 90% 90%Elm Grove 536 624 129% 131% 133% 135%Fall Creek 755 755 128% 130% 132% 132%Fields 714 846 119% 121% 123% 126%Foster 669 713 116% 121% 127% 133%Greentree 779 867 98% 99% 101% 103%Hidden Hollow 578 578 105% 107% 108% 109%Humble 723 767 66% 68% 69% 72%Lakeland 835 967 84% 89% 95% 100%Lakeshore 950 950 63% 65% 68% 71%Maplebrook 747 879 98% 100% 101% 102%North Belt 708 708 115% 117% 119% 122%Oak Forest 702 922 104% 105% 106% 107%Oaks 604 736 98% 99% 101% 103%Park Lakes 755 843 108% 108% 109% 110%Pine Forest 623 799 106% 107% 109% 110%Ridge Creek 960 960 92% 100% 107% 116%River Pines 755 1,019 107% 110% 113% 116%Shadow Forest 644 644 106% 111% 117% 123%Summerwood 743 743 102% 103% 104% 105%Timbers 759 935 106% 108% 109% 110%Whispering Pines 610 830 105% 106% 107% 108%Willow Creek 605 605 97% 99% 101% 102%Woodland Hills 554 598 90% 92% 94% 95%New Elem in 2015 or 2016 950 950 94% 98% 101% 104%New Elem in 2019 950 950 81% 87% 94% 102%New Elem in 2020 or 2021 950 950 29% 38% 48% 58%

Percent Utilization




Humble I.S.D

. Middle Sch

ool T

ransfers

044

043

041

042

045

047

046

048

015

Atascocita

Creekwood

Humble

Kingwood

Riverwood

Sterling

Timberwood

Woodcreek

Comm. Lrng. Ctr.

Atascocita

1,07

438

12

44

1212

31,15

0‐76

‐5

Creekwood

387

324

571

3961

‐88

122

Humble

1622

1,12

830

3225

2159

31,33

6‐208

‐170

Kingwood

621

953

182

21

1,039

‐86

‐6

Riverw

ood

157

897

51

1,042

‐67

59

Sterling

72

145

182

012

52

868

‐48

0

Tim

berw

ood

2122

93

35

1,25

56

1,32

4‐69

7

Woodcreek

124

81

12

91,

120

1,15

7‐37

66

unco

ded

113

57

109

1621


1,074

873

1,12

8

953

975

820

1,25

5

1,12

0

Transfers In

71

210

38

80

126

48

76

103

Attends

1,14

5

1,083

1,16

6

1,033

1,10

1

868

1,331

1,22

3

9

Net

Transfers

Attends

Transfers

Out

Resides In Resides

In


Atascocita2014: 1,1382018: 1,1862023: 1,239

Creekwood2014: 958

2018: 1,0292023: 1,090

Humble2014: 1,3882018: 1,6012023: 1,719

Kingwood2014: 1,0382018: 1,1362023: 1,260

Riverwood2014: 1,0302018: 1,0642023: 1,186

Sterling2014: 937

2018: 1,1242023: 1,335

Timberwood2014: 1,3852018: 1,5412023: 1,646

Woodcreek2014: 1,3122018: 1,9732023: 2,524

AtascocitaRd

Tree Ln

Seagler Springs Ln

Laurel S

prings Ln

Ch

estn

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Mills Branch Dr

Kingwood Dr

Aerobic Ave

Wilson Rd

Ralston

Rd

Kings River Dr

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Will Clayton Pkwy

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Old H

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nd

Hill

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Lakeside TerraceD

rW. Lake Houston Pkwy.

N. Sam Houston Pkwy. E.

W Townsen Blvd

0 1 2 3 40.5Miles


Ü

2013-14 Middle School

Attendance Zones

Projected Resident6th-8th Grade Students


Long Range PlanningProjected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students

2013-14 Middle School Attendance Zones

Functional Permanent Capacity


Current Residents 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 990 1,270 1,161 1,138 1,124 1,153 1,171 1,186 1,194 1,204 1,210 1,223 1,239Creekwood 1,064 1,064 972 958 965 991 1,009 1,029 1,038 1,051 1,059 1,075 1,090Humble 1,110 1,390 1,350 1,388 1,453 1,516 1,560 1,601 1,619 1,648 1,668 1,696 1,719Kingwood 1,030 1,030 1,048 1,038 1,027 1,064 1,097 1,136 1,153 1,178 1,196 1,227 1,260Riverwood 1,130 1,130 1,052 1,030 960 993 1,023 1,064 1,081 1,104 1,122 1,156 1,186Sterling 950 1,202 876 937 973 1,022 1,065 1,124 1,149 1,194 1,225 1,280 1,335Timberwood 1,110 1,502 1,337 1,385 1,415 1,460 1,503 1,541 1,555 1,574 1,588 1,620 1,646Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 1,168 1,312 1,482 1,620 1,765 1,973 2,054 2,179 2,250 2,385 2,524

Totals: 8,494 9,978 8,964 9,186 9,399 9,819 10,193 10,654 10,843 11,132 11,318 11,662 11,999




Atascocita 990 1,270 109 132 146 -163 -181 -196 -204 -214 -220 -233 -249Creekwood 1,064 1,064 92 106 99 73 55 35 26 13 5 -11 -26Humble 1,110 1,390 40 2 -63 -406 -450 -491 -509 -538 -558 -586 -609Kingwood 1,030 1,030 -18 -8 3 -34 -67 -106 -123 -148 -166 -197 -230Riverwood 1,130 1,130 78 100 170 137 107 66 49 26 8 -26 -56Sterling 950 1,202 326 265 229 -72 -115 -174 -199 -244 -275 -330 -385Timberwood 1,110 1,502 165 117 87 -350 -393 -431 -445 -464 -478 -510 -536Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 222 78 -92 -510 -655 -863 -944 -1,069 -1,140 -1,275 -1,414

Totals: 8,494 9,978 1,014 792 579 -1,325 -1,699 -2,160 -2,349 -2,638 -2,824 -3,168 -3,505




Atascocita 990 1,270 117% 115% 114% 116% 118% 120% 121% 122% 122% 124% 125%Creekwood 1,064 1,064 91% 90% 91% 93% 95% 97% 98% 99% 100% 101% 102%Humble 1,110 1,390 122% 125% 131% 137% 141% 144% 146% 148% 150% 153% 155%Kingwood 1,030 1,030 102% 101% 100% 103% 107% 110% 112% 114% 116% 119% 122%Riverwood 1,130 1,130 93% 91% 85% 88% 91% 94% 96% 98% 99% 102% 105%Sterling 950 1,202 92% 99% 102% 108% 112% 118% 121% 126% 129% 135% 141%Timberwood 1,110 1,502 120% 125% 127% 132% 135% 139% 140% 142% 143% 146% 148%Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 105% 118% 134% 146% 159% 178% 185% 196% 203% 215% 227%

Projected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students

Student Margin

Percent Utilization

Note: For these long range planning purposes, student projections were compared to permanent capacity only (no temporary buildings).Population and Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - April 2014 255

Woodcreek2015: 909

2016: 1,2072017: 1,089

MS #92015: 803

2016: 1,0262017: 934

Humble2015: 1,2232016: 1,3412017: 1,302

Atascocita2015: 1,1242016: 1,1862017: 1,171

Creekwood2015: 965

2016: 1,0292017: 1,009

Kingwood2015: 1,0272016: 1,1362017: 1,097

Riverwood2015: 960

2016: 1,0642017: 1,023

Sterling2015: 973

2016: 1,1242017: 1,065

Timberwood2015: 1,4152016: 1,5412017: 1,503

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Open Middle School #9









2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 990 1,270 1,124 1,153 1,171 1,186 1,194 1,204 1,210 1,223 1,239Creekwood 1,064 1,064 965 991 1,009 1,029 1,038 1,051 1,059 1,075 1,090Humble 1,110 1,390 1,223 1,265 1,302 1,341 1,358 1,386 1,404 1,430 1,451Kingwood 1,030 1,030 1,027 1,064 1,097 1,136 1,153 1,178 1,196 1,227 1,260Riverwood 1,130 1,130 960 993 1,023 1,064 1,081 1,104 1,122 1,156 1,186Sterling 950 1,202 973 1,022 1,065 1,124 1,149 1,194 1,225 1,280 1,335Timberwood 1,110 1,502 1,415 1,460 1,503 1,541 1,555 1,574 1,588 1,620 1,646Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 909 1,000 1,089 1,207 1,271 1,357 1,418 1,510 1,605MS #9 1,110 1,110 803 871 934 1,026 1,044 1,084 1,096 1,141 1,187

Totals: 9,604 11,088 9,399 9,819 10,193 10,654 10,843 11,132 11,318 11,662 11,999



2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 990 1,270 -134 -163 -181 -196 -204 -214 -220 -233 -249Creekwood 1,064 1,064 99 73 55 35 26 13 5 -11 -26Humble 1,110 1,390 -113 -155 -192 -231 -248 -276 -294 -320 -341Kingwood 1,030 1,030 3 -34 -67 -106 -123 -148 -166 -197 -230Riverwood 1,130 1,130 170 137 107 66 49 26 8 -26 -56Sterling 950 1,202 -23 -72 -115 -174 -199 -244 -275 -330 -385Timberwood 1,110 1,502 -305 -350 -393 -431 -445 -464 -478 -510 -536Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 201 110 21 -97 -161 -247 -308 -400 -495MS #9 1,110 1,110 307 239 176 84 66 26 14 -31 -77

Totals: 9,604 11,088 205 -215 -589 -1,050 -1,239 -1,528 -1,714 -2,058 -2,395



2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 990 1,270 114% 116% 118% 120% 121% 122% 122% 124% 125%Creekwood 1,064 1,064 91% 93% 95% 97% 98% 99% 100% 101% 102%Humble 1,110 1,390 110% 114% 117% 121% 122% 125% 126% 129% 131%Kingwood 1,030 1,030 100% 103% 107% 110% 112% 114% 116% 119% 122%Riverwood 1,130 1,130 85% 88% 91% 94% 96% 98% 99% 102% 105%Sterling 950 1,202 102% 108% 112% 118% 121% 126% 129% 135% 141%Timberwood 1,110 1,502 127% 132% 135% 139% 140% 142% 143% 146% 148%Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 82% 90% 98% 109% 115% 122% 128% 136% 145%MS #9 1,110 1,110 72% 78% 84% 92% 94% 98% 99% 103% 107%


Student Margin

Percent Utilization


Woodcreek2016: 7472017: 803

2023: 1,062

MS #102016: 7752017: 838

2023: 1,182

MS #92016: 8712017: 934

2023: 1,187

Humble2016: 1,2652017: 1,3022023: 1,451

Timberwood2016: 9382017: 951

2023: 1,007

Atascocita2016: 1,1532017: 1,1712023: 1,239

Creekwood2016: 991

2017: 1,0092023: 1,090

Kingwood2016: 1,0642017: 1,0972023: 1,260

Riverwood2016: 993

2017: 1,0232023: 1,186

Sterling2016: 1,0222017: 1,0652023: 1,335

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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 990 1,270 1,153 1,171 1,186 1,194 1,204 1,210 1,223 1,239Creekwood 1,064 1,064 991 1,009 1,029 1,038 1,051 1,059 1,075 1,090Humble 1,110 1,390 1,265 1,302 1,341 1,358 1,386 1,404 1,430 1,451Kingwood 1,030 1,030 1,064 1,097 1,136 1,153 1,178 1,196 1,227 1,260Riverwood 1,130 1,130 993 1,023 1,064 1,081 1,104 1,122 1,156 1,186Sterling 950 1,202 1,022 1,065 1,124 1,149 1,194 1,225 1,280 1,335Timberwood 1,110 1,502 938 951 963 968 977 982 997 1,007Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 747 803 879 910 952 974 1,017 1,062MS #9 1,110 1,110 871 934 1,026 1,044 1,084 1,096 1,141 1,187MS #10 1,110 1,110 775 838 906 948 1,002 1,050 1,116 1,182

Totals: 10,714 12,198 9,819 10,193 10,654 10,843 11,132 11,318 11,662 11,999



2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 990 1,270 -163 -181 -196 -204 -214 -220 -233 -249Creekwood 1,064 1,064 73 55 35 26 13 5 -11 -26Humble 1,110 1,390 -155 -192 -231 -248 -276 -294 -320 -341Kingwood 1,030 1,030 -34 -67 -106 -123 -148 -166 -197 -230Riverwood 1,130 1,130 137 107 66 49 26 8 -26 -56Sterling 950 1,202 -72 -115 -174 -199 -244 -275 -330 -385Timberwood 1,110 1,502 172 159 147 142 133 128 113 103Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 363 307 231 200 158 136 93 48MS #9 1,110 1,110 239 176 84 66 26 14 -31 -77MS #10 1,110 1,110 335 272 204 162 108 60 -6 -72

Totals: 10,714 12,198 895 521 60 -129 -418 -604 -948 -1,285



2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 990 1,270 116% 118% 120% 121% 122% 122% 124% 125%Creekwood 1,064 1,064 93% 95% 97% 98% 99% 100% 101% 102%Humble 1,110 1,390 114% 117% 121% 122% 125% 126% 129% 131%Kingwood 1,030 1,030 103% 107% 110% 112% 114% 116% 119% 122%Riverwood 1,130 1,130 88% 91% 94% 96% 98% 99% 102% 105%Sterling 950 1,202 108% 112% 118% 121% 126% 129% 135% 141%Timberwood 1,110 1,502 85% 86% 87% 87% 88% 88% 90% 91%Woodcreek 1,110 1,390 67% 72% 79% 82% 86% 88% 92% 96%MS #9 1,110 1,110 78% 84% 92% 94% 98% 99% 103% 107%MS #10 1,110 1,110 70% 75% 82% 85% 90% 95% 101% 106%


Student Margin

Percent Utilization


Humble I.S.D

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001

002

013

004

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Atascocita

Humble

Kingwood

Kingwood Park

Summer Creek

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Comm. Lrng. Ctr.

Atascocita

2,92

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4246

3693

113,18

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801,

464

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7892

31,78

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2,36

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2,695

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Resides

InTransfers

Out

Net

Transfers

Resides In


Atascocita2014: 3,3132018: 3,6252023: 3,915

Humble2014: 1,9032018: 2,2352023: 2,725

Kingwood2014: 2,7562018: 2,9812023: 3,323

Kingwood Park2014: 1,5402018: 1,6942023: 1,918

Summer Creek2014: 2,6392018: 3,4122023: 4,558

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2013-14 High SchoolAttendance Zones




2013-14 High School Attendance Zones

Permanent Capacity

Current Residents

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 3,200 3,209 3,313 3,432 3,515 3,581 3,625 3,686 3,743 3,815 3,871 3,915Humble 2,400 1,810 1,903 2,008 2,094 2,165 2,235 2,340 2,444 2,573 2,666 2,725Kingwood 2,800 2,719 2,756 2,811 2,874 2,930 2,981 3,052 3,123 3,213 3,277 3,323Kingwood Park 1,600 1,485 1,540 1,583 1,622 1,662 1,694 1,741 1,785 1,841 1,885 1,918Summer Creek 3,200 2,426 2,639 2,848 3,039 3,217 3,412 3,674 3,924 4,206 4,403 4,558

Totals: 13,200 11,649 12,151 12,682 13,144 13,555 13,947 14,493 15,019 15,648 16,102 16,439

Permanent Capacity

Current Residents

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 3,200 -9 -113 -232 -315 -381 -425 -486 -543 -615 -671 -715Humble 2,400 590 497 392 306 235 165 60 -44 -173 -266 -325Kingwood 2,800 81 44 -11 -74 -130 -181 -252 -323 -413 -477 -523Kingwood Park 1,600 115 60 17 -22 -62 -94 -141 -185 -241 -285 -318Summer Creek 3,200 774 561 352 161 -17 -212 -474 -724 -1,006 -1,203 -1,358

Totals: 13,200 1,551 1,049 518 56 -355 -747 -1,293 -1,819 -2,448 -2,902 -3,239

Permanent Capacity

Current Residents

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Atascocita 3,200 100% 104% 107% 110% 112% 113% 115% 117% 119% 121% 122%Humble 2,400 75% 79% 84% 87% 90% 93% 98% 102% 107% 111% 114%Kingwood 2,800 97% 98% 100% 103% 105% 106% 109% 112% 115% 117% 119%Kingwood Park 1,600 93% 96% 99% 101% 104% 106% 109% 112% 115% 118% 120%Summer Creek 3,200 76% 82% 89% 95% 101% 107% 115% 123% 131% 138% 142%

Projected Enrollment

Percent Utilization

Student Margin


Documents

REPORT TEXT- Humble I.S.D.-April, 2014 · 2014-07-23 · Therefore, this Long Range Plan shows the possibility of a new Elementary school to be built Population and Survey Analysts