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Renewable Energy is
a Strategic Option for KSA
Eng. Hamed A. Al Saggaf IPP & RE Sector Executive Director
Saudi Electricity Company
1
Renewable
Energy is a
Strategic
Option for
KSA
Demand Challenges
RE is a Strategic Option
SEC Initiatives
Content
2
KSA Initiatives of RE
RE Challenges
21,7 23,6 23,9
26,3 27,8 29,9 31,2
35,0 38,0
41,2 45,7
48,4 51,9
53,9 56,5
62,3 59,0
62,5 66,3
70,3 74,5
79,0
83,7
88,7
94,0
99,7
105,7
112,0 115,7
119,0 122,6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
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0
201
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0
202
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202
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5
202
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202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
GW
Demand Challenges
3
RE is a strategic option
Production and consumption of oil in Saudi Arabia
Mill
ion
Bar
rel/
Day
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
10.5
10.9 10.7
10.3 10.7
9.7 10.1
11.1 11.6
11.5
2013
~12
11.5
3.1
2045
Oil Consumption
Oil Production
~16
Production Year
Current technical production limits
Oil consumption Available for Export
4
RE is a strategic option
Generating Types – Subsidized Fuel Price Generating Types – Market Fuel Price
85 92 108
314
706
354
275
340
1062
174
69 74 91 171
392
213 158
232
751
119
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
SCG
T
CC
GT
Stea
m PV
CSP
Win
d
Ge
o-T
her
mal
Nu
clea
r
PV
Sto
rage
ISC
C379
312
655
314
706
354
275
340
1062
379
261 218
354
171
392
213 158
232
751
253
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
SCG
T
CC
GT
Stea
m PV
CSP
Win
d
Ge
o-T
her
mal
Nu
clea
r
PV
Sto
rage
ISC
C
SAR
/MW
h SA
R/M
Wh
The average of levelized electricity cost
5
RE is a strategic option Comparison of Fuel Prices
6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Diesel ($/bbl) Crude oil ($/bbl) Heavy Oil ($/bbl) Gas ($/MMBTU)
$/Barrel
PV Breakeven SEC new Price International
34,3 35,2
41,0
46,7
54,4 56,6 57,8
62,3 61,4
53,7
42,4
36,6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jan
-15
Feb
-15
Mar
-15
Ap
r-1
5
May
-15
Jun
-15
Jul-
15
Au
g-1
5
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5
De
c-1
5
SEC Contribution during peak load
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Jan
-15
Feb
-15
Mar
-15
Ap
r-1
5
May
-15
Jun
-15
Jul-
15
Au
g-1
5
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5
De
c-1
5
Monthly average for solar energy
25 stations in KSA for solar radiation monitoring
Wat
t h
ou
r/m
2/d
ay
RE VS Annual peak load
7
Load GW
RE is a strategic option
• Wind speed at high potential areas
8.5 m second/year
• Expected generation 400 – 700 kWh/m2
• KSA Wind energy potentials 100–175 TWh/year
Solar Radiation
• Average sunrise 8.4 to 9.2 hour/day
• KSA receives highest rate of solar radiations
2080 to 2450 kWh/m2/year • Solar PV potentials 732-953 TWh/year
Wind Speed (m/second)
KSA Resources of RE
8
RE is a strategic option
Waad Al Shamal
Al Guryat
Al Aqaba Al Jouf Rafha
Hurimla
Mahd Al Dhahab Umloj
Farasan Najran Sharora
Duba
Layla Al Aflag
Joba
Madinah
Al Laith
Selected sites for SEC renewable energy initiatives
9
SEC Initiatives
KSA has the natural resources of sun and
wind
High cost of diesel consumption
high cost of diesel fuel transportation to remote areas
High cost of generation in selected areas
Drivers for SEC initiatives
SEC Initiatives
10
11
SEC Vision for RE:
Explore RE Resources in the
Kingdom to save liquid fuel, reduce
emissions, protect environment and
improve public health.
Current status on RE (SEC):
Initiated Projects Capacity
(MW)
Expected
Operation
Al Jouf IPP PV 80
End by 2017 Rafha IPP PV 20
Umluj IPP Wind 50
Operational Projects Capacity (KW)
Farasan Solar PV
Project 500
2 Rooftop on 2
Schools 60
Ongoing Projects: Capacity (MW)
Duba CSP 50
Wa’ad Al-Shamal CSP 50
Solar PV Layla Aflaj 10 – 50
Huraymila Wind 2.7
SEC Initiatives
12
Subsidy on Fuel
RE Impacts on Grid Stability
Technological Aspects
Harsh Climate Operational Practices & Reserve
Management
RE Challenges
KSA Initiatives of RE
Adding 3.45 GW of RE to National Energy Mix
Adding 9.5 GW of RE to National Energy Mix
Sector Structure and Commercial Model: Best Practices Based on our benchmarks
Strong Policy Making Ministry of energy to control the Integrated Resource Planning process and support its implementation
Integrated conventional and RE
procurement
IPP procurement for both conventional and Renewable Energy to exist within one entity – Principal Buyer
De-Risking Private Sector Investments
Remove private sector hurdles by providing land, conducting geotechnical, environmental and interconnection studies. SLA’s will need to be signed between concerned stakeholders
Clarity of procurement process
A procurement model with well-defined evaluation and qualification criteria, transparent and eliminate conflict of interest.
Cost-recovery assurances
Ensure cost recovery for IPP investors through an independent body.
Governance All key principles are adhered (e.g. transparent, competitiveness, and no conflict of interest, etc.), the Boards/IPP office representation need to be ‘Neutral’
Timaa (Area II) Average GHI: 2,292 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 1,217 MW
RANIA (Area II) Average GHI: 2,234 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 89 MW
MADINAH Taibah (Area II) Average GHI: 2,234 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 263 MW
TAIF (Area II) Average GHI: 2,321 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 100 MW
TABUK (Area II) Average GHI: 2,237 kWh/m2/year Peak Load; 975 MW
5th
8th
13th
14th
15th
AL BAHA (Area II) Average GHI: 2,237 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 52.5 MW
NAJRAN (Area I) Average GHI: 2,438 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 483 MW
SHARURAH (Area I) Average GHI: 2,424 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 126 MW
AFIF (Area II) Average GHI: 2,292 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: MW
1st 2nd 7th 12th
SHAQRA (Area II) Average GHI: 2,245 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 2.5 MW
RIYADH R. Station (Area II) Average GHI: 2,256 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 10,819 MW
AL-DAWADMI (Area II) Average GHI: 2,285 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: MW
LAYLA Aflaaj (Area II) Average GHI: 2,336 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 110 MW
WADI ADDASIR (Area II) Average GHI: 2,336 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 316 MW
RIYADH KA Care City (Area II) Average GHI: 2,307 kWh/m2/year Peak Load: 10,819 MW
3rd
4th
6th
10th
9th
11th
15 High Annual GHI Potential Cities (kWh/m2/year)
Note: 1.Area I (High) ;≥ 2,400 kWh/m2/year 2.Area II (Medium); ≥ 2,200 to 2,399 kWh/m2/year
15 High Wind Potential Areas of Saudi Arabia
Aqaba Area I: 500 km2 Wind Speed; 9.5–12 m/s Esti. Potential; 2,000 MW
Alkhuraybah Area II: 200 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8 – 8.7 m/s Esti. Potential; 800 MW
Alshadakh Area II : 225 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8– 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 850 MW
Bani Amr Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.9 – 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Near Abshakeyr Area II: 325 km2 Wind Speed; 7.6– 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 1,300 MW
Halaba Aseer Area II : 150 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8 – 8.2 m/s Esti. Potential; 600 MW
Near Sharmaa Area II: 400 km2 Wind Speed; 8 – 9 m/s Esti. Potential; 1,600 MW
1
2
3
4 5 6 7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Bil Haris Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Alkaleba Baha Area II : 150 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 600 MW
Shaib Al Arar Area II: 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.5 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Al Baha Area II : 70 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 250 MW
Near Sehat Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.9 – 8.2 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Near Bni Saad Area II : 200 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7 – 8.2 m/s Esti. Potential; 800 MW
Near Shigry Area II : 100 km2 Wind Speed; 7.8– 8.1 m/s Esti. Potential; 400 MW
Al Bad’ Area II : 50 km2 Wind Speed; 7.7– 8.3 m/s Esti. Potential; 200 MW