REGIONAL TRAVEL TRENDS · 2 Regional Trend: Populations Agenda Item 14: Regional Travel Trends March 16, 2016 4.40 4.49 4.56 4.61 4.67 4.72 4.76 4.80 4.87 4.97 5.08 5.18 5.27 5.35

REGIONAL TRAVEL TRENDS

Robert Griffiths

TPB Planning and Programming Director

Transportation Planning Board

April 20, 2016

Agenda Item 10

2

Regional Trend: Populations

Agenda Item 14: Regional Travel Trends

March 16, 2016

4.40 4.49 4.56 4.61 4.67 4.72 4.76 4.80 4.87 4.97 5.08 5.18 5.27 5.35 5.41 5.47

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

(Total Population in Millions)

Source: US Census Bureau

928

559

718

782

643

374

396

958

649

732

772

724

513

454

1054

688

860

793

779

631

608

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

0-14

15-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

2014

2007

2000

Age Group (Population Total in

Regional Trend: Changing Age Distribution


March 16, 2016

Source: US Census Bureau

4

Regional Trends: Employment

2.51 2.53 2.54 2.56 2.62 2.67 2.71 2.73 2.73 2.68 2.69 2.73 2.76 2.78 2.79 2.84

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly

Census of Employment and WagesYEAR

4

Wage & Salary Employment in Millions


March 16, 2016

5

Regional Trends: Federal Employment

324 323332 333 337 338 339 338 344

357375 377 372 367

356366.0

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly

Census of Employment and WagesYEAR

5

Federal Civilian Employment in Thousands


March 16, 2016

6

Federal Procurement Spending in the Washington Metro Area

29 3237

44

53 55 57 59

6976

82 8076

69 72 71

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

$ Billions

Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis, US

Census, Consolidated Federal Funds Report and

USAspending.gov


March 16, 2016

7

Regional Passenger EnplanementsTrend, 2000-2014

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

Enpla

nem

etn

ts(in

mill

ion

s)

Year


March 16, 2016

Source: MWAA and

MAA

8

Map of External Traffic Count Stations

Frederick

Loudoun

Prince William

Prince George’s

Charles

Montgomer

y

9

Regional Trend: Daily Vehicle Traffic Entering and Leaving the Region

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014

AA

DT

(in

Tho

usan

ds)

Year

Traffic Counts at the Borders of

the TPB Planning Region Have

Been Flat Since 2007


March 16, 2016

Source: MDOT, VDOT

10

Regional Trend: Weekday VMT

104.0 107.0109.7

113.7 116.4121.1 121.0 122.8 123.4 120.6 122.9 122.3 122.2 122.2 121.7 124.1

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

(VMT in Millions)

YEAR


March 16, 2016

Source: DDOT, MDOT, VDOT

11

Regional Trend: Weekday VMT/Capita

23.8 24.1 24.7 24.925.7 25.4 25.6 25.3

24.3 24.2 23.7 23.3 22.9 22.5 22.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

(Daily VMT per Capita)

YEAR

11Agenda Item 14: Regional Travel Trends

March 16, 2016

12

Regional Trend: Peak Period Congestion

• Peak Period congestion in the region decreased between

2010-2013; but now has increased slightly

• The Travel Time Index decreased by 6.5% between 2010 and 2013

and increased by 2.6% since 2013..

Note:

Travel Time Index (TTI)

is an indicator of the

intensity of congestion,

calculated as the ratio

of actual travel time to

free-flow travel time.

AM Peak: 6:00-10:00

am

PM Peak: 3:00-7:00 pm


March 16, 2016

Source: TPB Congestion Management Process (CMP)

13

Regional Trend: Metrorail Ridership

607 625 638653 668

700 702728

748 731 733 741718

691 701

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

(Weekday Ridership in

Thousands)

FISCAL YEAR


March 16, 2016

Source: WMATA

14

Weekday Metrorail, Metrobus, Local Transit,Commuter Rail Ridership, 2007-2013

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Metrorail Metrobus DC, MD & VA Local VRE / MARC

(Average Weekday Trips)


March 16, 2016

67.7

13.411.0

3.00.3 0.9

3.7

66.6

10.5

14.1

3.10.5 0.7

4.6

65.1

9.6

15.4

3.10.9 0.9

5.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

DRIVE ALONE (SOV)CARPOOL TRANSIT WALK BIKE OTHER WORK AT HOME

2000

2007

2014

Percent

Regional Trend: Commute Mode Share


March 16, 2016

Source: American Community

Survey, US Census Bureau

16

11%13%

19%

2…

27%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2001 2004 2007 2010 2013

Source: Commuter Connections 2013 State of Commute Report

Regional Trend: Percentage of Commuters Telecommuting

Percent Telecommuting


March 16, 2016

17

Percent Teleworking by Primary Commute Mode

23%

20%

28%

66%

19%

36%

28%

19%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

All Modes

Walk

Bike

Commuter Rail

Bus

Metrorail

Carpool

Drive Alone

Source: Commuter

Connections

2013 State of Commute Data

18

Percent Teleworking by Primary Commute Mode

23%

20%

28%

66%

19%

36%

28%

19%

28%

36%

35%

20%

31%

35%

27%

26%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Modes

Walk

Bike

Commuter Rail

Bus

Metrorail

Carpool

Drive Alone

Do Telework Could TeleworkSource: Commuter

Connections

2013 State of Commute Data

19

• Population and employment in the region increased by 9% between

2000 and 2007. Weekday VMT increased by 18% and Metrorail

ridership increased by 19% in this period.

• Between 2007 and 2014 population increased by 13% and

employment increased by 2%. Weekday VMT declined by 1% and

Metrorail ridership decreased by 4% in this period. Bus ridership

increased by about 1% and commuter rail ridership increased by

22%.

• VMT per capita increased by 8.5% between 2000 and 2007 and

decreased by 10.5% from 2007 to 2014. Peak period congestion

decreased by 6.5% between 2010 and 2013.

• The share of commuters teleworking, at least occasionally, increased

from 11% in 2001 to 27% in 2013. Commuter Rail and Metrorail

commuters are more than Drive Alone and Bus commute to telework,

at least occasionally.

General Findings


March 16, 2016

Robert Griffiths

TPB Planning and Programming Director

[email protected] mwcog.org/tpb

Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments

777 North Capitol Street NE, Suite 300

Washington, DC 20002


March 16, 2016

Documents

REGIONAL TRAVEL TRENDS · 2 Regional Trend: Populations Agenda Item 14: Regional Travel Trends March 16, 2016 4.40 4.49 4.56 4.61 4.67 4.72 4.76 4.80 4.87 4.97 5.08 5.18 5.27 5.35