Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
December 5, 2019
Regional Planning Update
• 4.2 million people
• 2.3 million jobs
• 4 counties
• 82 cities and towns
• Urban and rural
• 6400 square miles
• 1000 square miles urbanized
Central Puget Sound Region
2
Puget Sound Regional CouncilWhat we do• Planning: growth, economy,
transportation
• Federal transportation funds
($240 million/year)
• Regional data and forecasts
• Forum for regional issues
Our members• Cities, Counties, Ports, Transit
• State Agencies and Tribal Governments
Executive Bruce DammeierPierce County - President
Councilmember Claudia BalducciKing County - Vice President
Today’s Meeting
Growth Trends
59,200 62,300
49,300 50,100
74,200
2014 to 2015 2015 to 2016 2016 to 2017 2017 to 2018 2018 to 2019
Source: ESD, WA Employment Estimates (seasonally adjusted) July 2019
• 74k wage & salary jobs were added to the region last year (3.5% increase)
• Over 464k jobs have been added to the region since 2010
Highest annual total in 5 years
Regional Job Growth Surge
59,200 62,300
49,300 50,100
74,200
30,10033,800
31,000 28,900
10,300
2014 to 2015 2015 to 2016 2016 to 2017 2017 to 2018 2018 to 2019
Source: ESD, WA Employment Estimates (seasonally adjusted) – July 2019
• Regional employment increase accounted for over 88% of the statewide total increase last year
• Regional employment accounts for 69% of the statewide total from 2014-2019
WA Job Growth Outside Region Slows
47,900
25,500
63,600
16,100
38,300
63,300
86,300
81,800
67,900
68,700
00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19
• Regional population of 4.20 million in 2019
• 68,700 added to region in 2018-19 (1.7% increase)
• Almost 368k new people have been added to the region in the past 5 years (9.4% increase)
Population Growth Remains StrongAnnual Population Change in the Central Puget Sound
Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties
21,800 22,10025,100 25,800
22,900 23,400 23,50021,500
20,900
27,400
14,100
16,900
43,800
14,900
2,800 2,7001,900
15,000
31,200
39,900
62,700
59,300
46,500
47,800
00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19
Natural Change
Net Migration
• Natural changes in population account for 21k – 24k new residents per year
• Migration continues to outpace natural population changes
• Since 2010, 60% of the region’s population growth has been from migration
Annual Population Change by Component
Migration Still Driving Population Growth
Source: OFM, Components of April 1 Population Change
• The region's housing stock has expanded by nearly 150,000 units since 2012
• Housing production has averaged 21,300 units per year since 2012
2018: Highest Level of Housing Production in 20 years
Recent Growth in Housing Production
Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties & April 1, 2019 Postcensal Estimates of Housing
22,700
25,100
18,200
9,900
23,40024,800
27,500
47,900
25,500
63,600
16,100
38,300
63,300
86,300
81,800
67,900
68,700
00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19
Housing Production and Population Growth
Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties & April 1, 2019 Postcensal Estimates of Housing
21,300 units (X) 2.5 People/Household
Enough housing for 53,250 people
• Production last year could house 68,750 people
Availability of Affordable Housing Limited
Source: Dupre + Scott
2017
2016
2015
2014
+ 30%
SR
167
I-405
I-90
SR
520
I-5
+ 15%
+ 4%
Vehicle hours of delay by freeway corridor.
Source: Freeway Count Detectors, TRAC Flow, – Washington State Department of Transportation
Travel times increasingDelay increased 95% between 2010-2015
12
Source: National Transit Database Monthly Adjusted Release, December 2018
Transit use increasingAnnual Transit Boardings per Capita
San Francisco
Los Angeles
centra l Puget Sound
Chicago
Boston
Washington DC
Phi ladelphia
Portland
Salt Lake CityMinneapolis
Denver
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
0M 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M 12M 14M
13
• In 2018, 6th highest transit boardingsper capita in nation
• All cities above region have legacy heavy rail systems
Today’s Meeting
Planning Framework
14 14
2050 population forecast
15
In smaller households
In 2050 there will be 2.36 people per household on average, down from 2.50 today.
Who will be living here?
16
More diverse
Between 2000 and 2016, 81% of the region’s population growth was people of color.
Older
18% of the region’s population will be over the age of 65 by 2050, up from 14% today.
In 2050, the region’s residents will be:
• A strong economy and a healthy environment
• Preserve waters, farms, recreation and resource lands
• Urban Growth Area and centers strategy
• Local actions to achieve regional VISION
VISION 2040
Integrated plan for sustainable development
18
VISION 2050 Work Program
19
20
Increase housing choices and affordability
Provide opportunities for all
Sustain a strong economy
Significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions
Keep the region moving
Restore the health of Puget Sound
Protect a network of open space
Growth in centers and near transit
Act collaboratively and support local efforts
• Regional strategy for allocating growth
• Groups cities and unincorporated areas by regional geographies
• Goals:
– Focus new growth within the urban area
– Variety of communities, densities, and sizes
– Better balance of jobs and housing across the region
– Within the urban area, focus growth in cities and centers
– Leverage new and existing infrastructure, including transit
Regional Growth Strategy
• Most growth in Metropolitan, Core, and High Capacity Transit Communities
• 65% of region’s population growth and 75% of employment growth in regional growth centers and near high-capacity transit
• Lower growth allocations in urban unincorporated and rural compared with long-term trends
• Better jobs-housing balance by shifting employment allocation from King County
Regional Growth Strategy
Implementation
• Data, tools, and planning guidance
• Policy and plan review
• Regional transportation planning and funding
• Regional economic development planning
• Other regional actions
Today’s Meeting
Relationship to High Capacity Transit
24
• Strategy for mobility and choice
• Meets all state and federal requirements
• $197 Billion
• Integrated Regional Transit Network
• Get ahead on key issues: environment, innovation & technology, finance, performance measurement
Regional Transportation Plan
25
Regional policy: implementationMPP-RC-6
Give regional funding – both for transportation infrastructure and economic development – to support designated regional growth centers and manufacturing/industrial centers, consistent with the regional vision. Regional funds are prioritized to regional centers.
draft VISION 2050, p. 19 (2019)
The region’s transportation investments (in red) are focused within the urban growth areas (light green) where most of the region’s growth is happening, along with most of the region’s traffic.
Regional Centers29 Regional Growth Centers• 2.6% of urban growth area (26 mi²)
• 5% of population (260,000)
• 30% of jobs (500,000)
10 Manufacturing Industrial Centers• 4% of region’s land area (41 mi²)
• 0.3% of population (11,000)
• 9.5% of jobs (160,000)27
• $60 billion+ high capacity transit• Centers and station areas
Aggressive transit program
28
29 Regional Growth Centers
Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations
Ferry: 8 routes
Light Rail: 116 miles/80+ stations
Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines
29
29 Regional Growth Centers
Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations
Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes
Light Rail: 116 miles/80+ stations
Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines
30
29 Regional Growth Centers
Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations
Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes
Light Rail: 116 miles/80+ stations
Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines
31
29 Regional Growth Centers
Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations
Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes
Light Rail: 116 miles/80+ stations
Bus Rapid Transit: 42 routes/~685 stops
32
Communities Connected by High Capacity Transit
• 42 Cities & Towns
• 13 Urban Uninc. Communities
• In 2050, 33% of region’s residents & 57% employment within ½ mile of HCT
33
VISION 2050
34
Transit Focused Growth:
• 65% population growth
• 75% employment growth
Today’s Meeting
Upcoming Work
35
Upcoming PSRC Work
36
Passenger Only Ferry Study Winter 2021
Regional Aviation Baseline Study Fall 2020
2022 RTP Update
2020 Project Selection
Takeaways
Historic levels of regional growth and change
Public supportive – yet growing concerns
Regional & local plans in place and being implemented
Real issues: housing, mobility, equity, environment
Updating plans: adjust and refine policies & strategies
37
