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Regional (MENA Region) Feedstock Availability and
Alternative Approaches to Chemicals Value chains
Abeer El-Sherbiny- Business Development Senior Engineer
13th - 15th November 2017 | Hilton Athens, Greece
Agenda
Egyptian Petrochemicals Holding Company Snapshot
Conventional and Non-Conventional Routes to Chemicals Value Chain
Regional Feedstock Availability
Implications of Lower Oil Prices
Implications of US shale Gas Booming
1
2
3
4
5
Success Strategies driven by challenges based Opportunities 7
Egyptian Petrochemicals Holding Company Snapshot
To be a major player in the petrochemicals industry through
transforming Egypt into a regional petrochemicals hub.
To Develop a competitive petrochemical industry based on local human and
natural resources using state-of-the-art technology.
Vision
Mission
Established in January 2002:
To manage and control the Petrochemicals Industry in Egypt.
Transform Egypt into a
regional petrochemicals hub
through the completion of
Seven plants
Total investment cost of 7.5
Billion Dollars achieving
revenues of 3.5 Billion Dollars
2002-2022
24 Projects
100,000
Job Opportunity
(direct & indirect)
Egyptian Petrochemicals Production
2017
2002
2000
1984
1980
Echem “ The Egyptian
Petrochemicals Holding Company
Sidpec “ Sidi-Kerir
Petrochemicals Company
Amerya Lab Unit
7 Successfully operated Plants
EPC “ Egyptian Petrochemicals Company)
15 million TPA of Intermediate & Final Products
LAB ( 50,000 tons/annum)
Polyethylene (220,000 tons/annum)
PVC ( 80,000 tons/annum)
Primary Petrochemicals
Butadiene Ethylene Benzene Xylene
Chemicals Value Chain Building Blocks
Crude Oil Natural Gas
Condensate Butanes Propane Ethane Methane
Steam Cracking
Olefins
Naphtha
Aromatics
Toluene Propylene Methanol Ammonia
Synthesis Pygas
Importance of Propylene as a Main Building Block
In the global propylene market, demand
has been increasingly driven by the PP
sector; this is highly influenced by the
packaging, automotive and construction
industries.
Global propylene demand is forecast to
grow at CAGR of 4.8% in 2013-2018,
and high-growth applications include
cumene, acrylic acid and PO.
Ice Breaker Question and Poll
Which region has the highest and which one with the lowest Propylene
Demand CAGR in 2013-2018?
1. China : Highest , Americas :Lowest
2. Middle East & Africa: Highest , Europe: Lowest
3. China : Highest , Europe :Lowest
4. Middle East & Africa: Highest , Americas: Lowest
Propylene Global Demand by Region 2013-2018
The Propylene Gap: How Can It Be Filled? On Purpose
Technologies for Producing Propylene
0%
Steam
Cracking
Refinery
PDH
MTO/MTP
Others 2%
33%
62%
3%
9%
4%
26%
47%
14%
2005 2035
"PDH requires modest capital
investment for olefin
production and can easily be
back-integrated for an existing
propylene consumer, lending
itself to project viability. Places
with propane at low cost, such
as the US and the Middle East,
or regions looking to lessen
propylene imports, like China,
[are] candidates for PDH.”
Peter Piotrowski, vice president and
general manager at UOP
72 Million Tons
165 Million Tons
Global Propylene Capacity
Production Cost of Propylene from Naphtha Cracker versus PDH
Propylene Cash
production cost
via naphtha
cracker at ratio
1 to ethylene
Propylene Cash
production cost via
propane
dehydrogenation
Naphtha $/ton
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300
Assumption: Propane Price=
Naphtha Price x 0.9 ($/ton)
Natural Gas $/mmBtu
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Propylene Price CFR NE Asia
$940-980/ton
Naphtha Price should be lower
than $ 570 /ton to have profit
margin for propylene
Breakeven at 430
$/ton Naphtha
$/ ton
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
LNG Exports and Imports 2035 (Bcf/d)
22
5
9
7
17
17
44 2
North
America
S & C
America
Europe
Africa
Middle
East Other
Asia
Russia
Australia Exports
Imports
Regional Opportunities in Egypt, Lebanon, Israel and Cyprus
Global Naphtha: Key Trade Flows (2016, Million Tones)
2.7
18.5
40.7
8.6
8.7
54.8
7
North
America
S & C
America
Europe
Africa
Middle
East
Asia
F.USSR
Surplus
Deficit
Effect of Low oil Prices on Chemical Industry Competitiveness
Asia Europe USA
Negative Negative Very Negative Ethane Based ethylene
Slightly Negative Slightly Negative Slightly Negative Ethylene derivatives
Negative Negative Negative Propane/Butane based
Olefins
Slightly Negative Slightly Negative Slightly Negative Their derivatives
Very Positive Very Positive Positive Naphtha based BTX,
Butadiene
Positive Positive Slightly Positive Its derivatives
Very Positive Positive Slightly Negative Methane/LNG based
Shale Gas Shifts Regional Petrochemicals Profitability
Shale Gas shifts the scene for Middle East
Source: Nexant
Egyptian Petrochemicals Opportunities Considering Global Trends
Considering Specialty chemicals
beside commodities in future
portfolio projects to enhance
profitability and overcome high price
feedstock.
Considering the new on purpose
technologies like OCM, MTO, MTP
…etc to produce olefins and get use
of the available gas in the region.
Get use of the available assets and
facilities to import required feedstock
for prospected projects.
Success Strategies: Speed of Feedstock Prices Changes Pass Along the
Chemical Value Chain
Technology is the problem and the
solution at the same time accordingly
portfolio of technologies
Changes in the relative availability and
prices of feedstock are driving
transformation in the world
petrochemical industry.