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2015 Regional Economic ForecastReal Estate: Toxic or Home Sweet Home Bill Dallas, CEO │ June 16, 2015
Bill Dallas has been in real estate lending for 40 years or 80,000 hours…a true Outlier
Bill DallasOutlier
2
Bill Dallas Real Estate
Entrepreneur
Saleto
NCC
Built several mortgage companies from the ground up
* Acquisition price, not company valuation. Skyline has been in business since 1985. Dallas acquired control in 2009 and has led a Series A, B, C and debt financing for the company.
Founder and CEO of First Franklin
Co-founded
small retail
brokerage
Recapwith DLJ
RecapwithCIVC,
DLJ sells
Saleto
BoA
Acquisition
withCIVC
Company valuation ($ in millions)
Recapwith
Merrill Lynch
Founder - Ownit Skyline
*
wind down
business
Upfront Series B
Dallas Capital Series A
4
EllingtonSeries C
Skyline & NewLeaf Today
Hawaii
550+
$3bn+
30
3
Employees
Loan production 2015
Locations
Direct to agencies
Ranked in the Top 50 Mortgage Lenders in America in 2015 by Mortgage Executive Magazine, Headquartered in Calabasas, CA
5
Real estate entrepreneur 6
Optimism
OptimismExcitement
ThrillEuphoria
Anxiety
Denial
Fear
Desperation
Panic
Capitulation
Despondency Depression
Hope
Relief
Home Sweet Home
Toxic Waste
Real Estate is cyclical 7
After 8 years housing has arrived at a “new normal”
The FED-Inflation-interest rates-jobs & the economy
Rents are skyrocketing and home prices are not? The shared access generation and real estate
America is on sale…but folks aren’t buying?
8
Oct 5, 2001 Apr 5, 2002
0-10 Years 10-20 Years 20-30 Years 30-40 Years 40-50 Years 50-60 Years 60-70+ Years
Loss of 1st Pet
iPhone & MAC
Allowance
Major Car Repa
ir
Car Accide
nt
Off to College
First Car
Armed Servic
es
1st Major Vacation
New Car
Going
into Debt
Marriage
Start a Family
Change Jobs
Divorce
Start a
Business
Move/ Relocate
Private
School
Sale of
Business
Hire Financi
al Planne
rInvestment Loss
Investment
PropertyChild off
to College
Elective Surgery
BankruptcyHome
Ownership
Pay off
Debt
Retirement
Adult Comput
er Conver
sion
Inheritance
Health Concer
ns
Parents Depend
ent
Major Surge
ry
Re-thinking Life Events
Mellennials are delaying life events Push back marriage, kids & homes
Investment Loss
Einstein; “compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world.”
Owing is a form of “forced savings”(retirement)
There are substantial tax benefits (friend with benefits)
“The best investment on earth is earth.”
You can buy a house with somebody else’s money (leverage)You are paying for housing whether you own or rent (slavery)
10
Letterman Top TenWhy is golf better than…
11
Thank [email protected] Done Better. Finally. SM