Regional Climate Observatory with extended observation scope€¦ · Nord-PdC 2050 obj. The « Dynamique Climat» A regional public policy ... October 2016 –CERDD / Hauts-de-France

October 2016 – CERDD / Hauts-de-France Climate Observatory - Diapositive 1

Regional Climate Observatory with

extended observation scope Example of Hauts-de-France region

Date : 05th october 2016

Presented by : Julien DUMONT,

Project manager


Agenda

1. Why and how to build an observatory

with climate extended scopes ?

2. Focus on climatic data and indirect GHG

emissions at local level


Agenda






Five authorities involved in a unique collaboration :

A common political will

Cut by 75% GHG emissions by 2050

Answer to regional stakeholder’s needs

on climate purposes (data, publications, meetings, workshops, …)

Organize a regional climate event each year

GHG emissions/

inhab. France

GHG emissions /

inhab. Nord-PdC

2050

obj.

The « Dynamique Climat»

A regional public policy


5

To provide the necessary figures to facilitate

decision-making, especially at infra-regional level

To facilitate public policies monitoring, especially

the Regional SEAP indicators – although not

evaluating them

To facilitate and centralise the exchanges

among the network of people working on climate

and energy observation

Climate Observatory objectives

> A shared platform for data and resources related to

climate and energy


Pressure–state-response model

Contextual indicators (i.e. energy price

evolution, GDP) From OECD, ICare environnement 2011

A selection of indicators for each observation scope

Observation scopes

Pressures


PARTNERS

COMMITTEESTEERING

COMMITTEE

THEMATIC

WORKGROUPS

TECHNICAL

COMMITTEEFacilitate the

functionning

PARTNERS

NETWORK

Proposes strategic

orientations

Approves, validates

pa

rtic

ipa

tes

info

rms

A well established governance

Partners network : 134 partners

Partnership agreements : 35 signatures

Specific data exchange collaboration agreements : 8 collaboration agreements

A necessary shared tool

> A governance insuring stability and

reliability in data collection, processing

and sharing

http://www.observatoire-climat-npdc.org/fr/les-partenaires

http://www.observatoire-climat-npdc.org/fr/les-partenaires


Agenda






Agenda



2. Focus on climaic data and indirect GHG


a. Climatic data

b. Indirect GHG emissions

NB : regional authorities have been gathered recently :

NPDC region + Picardie region = Hauts-de-France region


Temperature raised by 1,37°C for Lille city and by

1,34°C for Boulogne-sur-Mer coastal city, on 1955 –

2013 period

0,23°C/decade:

Average speed of temperature raising

1955 et 2013

Températures moyennes annuelles à Boulogne-sur-Mer et Lille, en °C

Source : Météo-France.

9,9°C -> 11,3°C

Temperature


Regional and local diagnosis

available : past extreme events,

past and actual climate data,

forecast elements regarding IPCC works

Characterization of the meteo-sensitive

phenomena regarding to specific regional

vulnerabilities

Specific contributions on climate areas

> A dedicated publication

« Changement climatique : réalités et impacts pour les

habitants du Nord-Pas de Calais » - 2014


Global population

exposure to climatic

risks

The Nord-Pas de Calais is a

strongly exposed region

regarding others in France

Exposure is directly bounded

to the density of municipal

population

76 %: part of municipalities middle or strongly exposed to

climatic bounded risks

Risques et impactsLinked risks and impacts


An uneven exposure in

front of important floods

1st natural risk in Nord-Pas

de Calais

Vulnerability increases

because of wintry

precipitation concentration

7 118 : number of authorities disasters recognition décret on

natural disasters flood in region over the 1983 - 2010 period

Risques et impactsLinked risks and impacts


Economic impacts of

floods

Increasing surfaces may

be refunded, knowing that

50 % of the municipalities

already have been

(exposure)

Economic impact of each

flood event may increase too

(strength)

23 : Number of municipalities refunded between

2 and 276 M€ for sinister floods in Nord-Pas de Calais (mudslides, marine floods, increased by phreatic water raisings)

TOP 6 (5M€->276 M€)

Abancourt

Villeneuve-d'Ascq

Bantigny

Lille

Allouagne

Blendecques

Linked risks and impacts


Agenda





a. Climatic data

b. Indirect GHG emissions


Facts : Global warming is a global issue

Energy = 90% of direct GHG emissions in NPDC region

In developped countries :

• a large part of energy is imported:

• Fossil fuels, electricity

• Raw materials or domestic goods (embodied energy)

• embodied energy emissions > direct emissions

• Tendency : direct emissions embodied energy emissions

To appraise indirect emissions, we need to appraise embodied energy

Why considering « indirect GHG emissions » ?


Source: SOeS – CO2 and France economic activity (2010)

Direct emissions(interior local supply)

Direct emissions(interior local supply)

Exportation

related emissio

ns

Importation related

emissions12 t eq CO2 / inhab.

Emissions including

embodiedenergy

Direct emissions

8,7 t eq CO2 / inhab.

(In millions Teq

CO2)

Emissions

including

embodied

energy

Direct

emissions

Importatio

n related

emissions

Exportation

related

emissions= -+



GHG inventories are currently made at the local authorities’ level

Globalisation of GHG emissions and public policies carried out to limit GHG emissions may lead to economic activities relocation

Carbon footprint (embodied energy) vs Cadastral approach

Imported embodied energy can’t be neglected : roughly 45% of a territory emissions



In « Grand Douaisis » (residential, few industries, agricultural place)

Emissions

including

embodied

energy

Direct

emissions

Direct emissions (usual approach) vs.

emissions including embodied energy

Residential

Transportation

Food

Services

Construction

works

Domestic goods

Example of results


In Dunkerque Grand Littoral (highly steel industrial place)

Emissions

including

embodied

energy

Direct

emissions

Direct emissions (usual approach) vs.

emissions including embodied energy

Residential

Transportation

Domestic goods

Food

Services

Construction works

Example of results


Methodology is still under improvement :

Question of the « local modulation », to calculate raw materials and goods flux (€ and tons)

Support short distribution networks for domestic goods and food

Support « circular economy », « functionnal economy »…

Support industries relocation, to bring them back close to theirdistribution close to the final consumer

Perspectives

A free and easing going tool (3 working days):Shared on our website, with step by step guide, excel tool and detailed methodology -> search « ESPASS » on www.observatoire-climat-npdc.org


Thank you !

Pôle et Observatoire Climat / CERDD +33 (0)3 21 13 52 97

[email protected]

www.cerdd.org

www.observatoire-climat-npdc.org

http://www.cerdd.org/

http://www.observatoire-climat-npdc.org/

Documents

Regional Climate Observatory with extended observation scope€¦ · Nord-PdC 2050 obj. The « Dynamique Climat» A regional public policy ... October 2016 –CERDD / Hauts-de-France