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www.esource.com
Redesigning Your Residential PortfolioHighlights from the 2019 E Source Next-Gen Residential DSM Workshop
Web conference
August 13, 2019
Andrea SalazarAssociate Director, Customer Energy Solutions,
E Source
Action
Kate MersonDirector, Customer Energy Solutions, E Source
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Goal of this web conference
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E Source DSM Insights
www.esource.com/dsminsights
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Topical focus of the workshop
Behavioral programs
Low-income programs
Future of low- or no-cost programs
Emerging measures
Emerging technologies and trends
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 6
2020 Next-Gen DSM Workshops
Next-Gen DSM Commercial Workshop (Summer)
Next-Gen Demand-Response Workshop (Spring)
If you or a colleague would like more information about attending one of these events, please contact [email protected]
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 7
LYNDSEY to Insert Polling in Ready TalkOn a scale of 1 to 5, how confident are you in achieving your energy-savings targets in the next few years?
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Current portfolio trends
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Targets are still going up
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More than 75%
51% to 75%
26% to 50%
11% to 25%
Less than 10%
None
For electric and dual-fuel utilities, what percentage of your residential portfolio savings currently come from LEDs?
© E Source© E Source
11%
A shift in lighting savings is underway
33%
17%
33%
6%
0%
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Lighting savings still buoying portfolios
0.82
0.34
0.21
0.92
0.42
0.23
0.84
0.5
0.25
0.580.5
0.21
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
Low income Multifamily Residential
Spen
ding
per
kilo
wat
t-hou
r ($
actu
al)
Sector
Spending per kilowatt-hour, by sector, 2014 to 2017
2014 2015 2016 2017
© E Source (DSM Insights)
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Could we recreate this poll Lyndsey?
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States enforcing their own legislation
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Gas program cost-effectiveness varies by sector
13.32
4.045.08
11.25
5.76 5.32
12.02
7.43 7.81
12.18
8.74
7.24
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
Low income Multifamily Residential
Spen
ding
per
ther
m($
act
ual)
Sector
Spending per therm, by sector, 2014 to 2017
2014 2015 2016 2017
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E Source’s next-gen gas DSM series
Regular peer sharing calls
Next-gen gas resource center
Next-gen gas measures (soon!)
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2
3
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Water heating is the 3rd most energy-
consuming residential end use
Broad range of opportunities: peak shaving, thermal energy storage,
ancillary services
Minimal impacts on customer comfort
Opportunities during
electrification
Great things are done by a series of small things
brought together.—Vincent Van Gogh
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What are your top strategies for maintaining cost-effective savings within your residential portfolio? (Multiple responses are okay.)
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Behavioral
Upstream
Connected homes
Localized DSM
Emerging tech
Online market-places
Serving the hard-to-reach
Customer-centric design
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Next-gen low-income programs
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Resource acquisition costs for low-income programs
$0.95 $16.05
Average$/kilowatt-hour
Average$/therm
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What are the biggest challenges you face within your low-income portfolio?
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Strategies to scale low-income DSM
Use statewide single point of contact to coordinateUse non-weatherization assistance program (WAP) partners to address niche segments
Expand eligibility to moderate-income customers
Create a WAP LLC
Scale neighborhood blitzes in target areasOffer workforce development and training for new contractors
Add new measures to your offering
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Use a single entity to coordinate efforts
Coordinates with all utilities, WAP partners,
and other stakeholders
Contracts with single nonprofit
to administer program funds
Provides oversight of program and
addresses challenges
Ensures funds are distributed
and all requirements are adhered to
Massachusetts Low-Income
Energy Affordability
Network (LEAN)
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Go beyond WAP for niche needs
CenterPoint Energy
offers six different low-income
programs and utilizes multiple
contractors
Idaho Powercreated a for-profit
LLC at a community action program
agency to augment its program
Xcel Energy contracted with a nonprofit to target
multifamily and nonprofits that weren’t being
served
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Duke’s Neighborhood Energy Savers program
Used census and state income data to qualify neighborhoods Held a kickoff with community
leaders 95,000 served in 156 communities
since 2006 Average savings: 7% Customer satisfaction: 95%
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TVA expands partners to broaden reachMatched contributions
Targeted urban areas
Created digital platform for contractors and reporting
Invested in workforce development
Focused on home upgrades and education
1
2
3
4
5
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Options to serve moderate-income customers
Expand eligibility beyond 200% federal poverty line (Ameren IL)1
2
3
4
5
Direct install (Southern California Gas Co., Columbia Gas of Pennsylvania)
Tiered or enhanced incentives (OUC, National Grid, Energy Trust of Oregon)
Financing (Public Service Electric & Gas Co.)
Energy kits (Ameren IL)
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Coming soon for members of the E Source Demand-Side Management Service
Scaling Low-Income
Programs: Success Stories
Making Your Low-Income
Programs Cost-Effective
Top-Performing
Low-Income Programs
Quarterly peer sharing calls
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Common low-income measuresWeatherizationAttic and wall insulation
Weatherproofing
Caulking/repairs
Water-relatedLow-flowshowerheadsFaucet aeratorsPipe wrapHot-water tank blankets
LED lightingA-typeReflectorDecorativeNight lamps
Smart homeSmart thermostatsSmart power strips
AppliancesRefrigeratorsDishwashersClothes washers/dryers
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Innovative low-income measures
HVACAeroseal duct sealingHeat pumps and heat-pump controls
Water-relatedTub spout and thermostatic shut-off valvesSmart water heatercontrolsHeat recovery
LED lightingDusk-to-dawn outdoor lighting
Smart homeEnergy feedbackdevices
WeatherizationExterior insulation and finish systemAerobarrier envelope sealingCool roofsLow-e window film
Distributed energy resourcesElectric vehicle chargersSolar/thermal panels
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Aeroseal
Source: Aeroseal and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Develop Technology to Find and Fill Building Energy Leaks
Seals 90% to 95% of leaks
Space needs to be empty
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Aerobarrier envelope sealing
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Potential for cool roofs in several states
Source: Cool Roofs, Heat Island Group, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 34
Low-e window film
Source: Low-Emissivity Window Film (PDF), General Services Administration
29% HVAC savings for single-pane
windows
2-to-6-year payback period
Source: Low-e Applied Film Window Retrofit for Insulation and Solar Control (PDF), Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
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Energy monitoring and feedback devices
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Hungry for more? Residential Technologies to Focus On After Lighting
Electric Vehicle Resource Center
What Smart Water Heaters Are Out There and Are They Safe?
Fall 2018 Tech Roundup
How Is a “Cool Roof” Installed, and What Are the Estimated Energy Savings for This Measure?
Help Me Make My Windows More Efficient!
Tech Roundup February 2018
Emerging Technology Resource Center
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Next-gen behavioral programs
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Behavioral programs capture significant share of portfolio savings
4.26.5 8.0
11.8 11.1 12.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Perc
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ortfo
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from
beh
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Year© E Source (DSM Insights)
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0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45AEP Ohio
United Illuminating Co.KCP&L
Arizona Public ServiceBGE
Rocky Mountain Power - IDBlack Hills Energy - CO
Eversource (formerly NSTAR)MidAmerican Energy - IL
Otter Tail Power CompanyNational Grid - Niagara Mohawk
Georgia Power Co.Hydro One Networks
National Grid - RICity of Roseville Electric
PepcoPG&E
AVERAGEDelmarva Power
Xcel Energy - ColoradoSouthern California Edison
FortisBCToronto Hydro-Electric System
Cost per kilowatt-hour ($)
Cost-effectiveness
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0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
MidAmerican EnergyNational Grid - RI
Connecticut Natural GasAmeren Illinois
National Grid - MANational Grid - Niagara Mohawk
Eversource (formerly NSTAR)Xcel Energy - MinnesotaXcel Energy - Colorado
MidAmerican Energy - ILMEDIAN
Berkshire Gas CompanyCenterPoint Energy - MinnesotaYankee Gas (Northeast Utilities)
BGEPG&E
AVERAGEPuget Sound Energy
SoCal GasTucson Electric Power
UniSource Energy ServicesLiberty Utilities - NH
Cost per therm ($)
Cost-effectiveness
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Make HER programs opt-out
Test wording and frequency
Use social norms instead of rewards
Cross-promote
Use email and paper reports
Home energy report (HER) best practices
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Focus of next-gen HER programs
Targeting specific customer segments
in unique ways
Integration with other program offerings
Proving persistenceCreating a better
customer experience
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What new program types are emerging?
Prepayment billing for DSM Digital engagement and gamification Community-based pledges and
competitions Online marketplace nudges
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Prepay produces 5% to 14% savings
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Customers want prepay
46%of customers between the
ages of 18 and 34 say they are very or somewhat likely to participate in prepay if offered
© E Source
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DTE Insight app
Bill estimates, goals, usage info, tips Weekly challenges and
rewards Deemed 1.6% savings per
download Feedback, goals, norms,
convenience, competitionSource: DTE Energy
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 47
Marketplace purchase nudging
Recent news: California can claim behavior savings Information, convenience,
norms, framing
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BC Hydro’s Team Power Smart
Started in 2007, now
over 130,000 customers
enrolled
25.6 gigawatt-
hours between 2009 and
2013
12-month challenge to
reduce energy by
10%
$50 reward
plus other perks
One of most successful behavioral programs
Reward-based
program to drive
behavior changes
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 49
Want more info from E Source?
Recent research: HER Programs: Best
Practices and Savings HER Programs: Design
and Implementation HER Programs: Reducing
Customer Calls
Upcoming: HER Programs: Natural
Gas Savings E-commerce series Behavioral DSM Programs:
Peer Sharing Call E Source Forum
www.esource.com© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 50
Next-gen low- and no-cost programs
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 51
Most cost-effective residential categories in 2019
Cost per kilowatt-hour Program category$0.01 Codes and standards support$0.04 Emerging technology development$0.06 Loan/financing$0.07 Behavior change/feedback$0.10 Prescriptive rebate$0.15 Education and awareness$0.17 Tune-up$0.21 Custom rebate$0.22 Energy management assistance$0.22 Conservation kits
Cost per therm Program category$0.01 Prescriptive rebate$0.03 Direct install$0.07 Behavior change/feedback$0.18 Codes and standards
support$0.82 School education kits$1.01 Loan/financing$1.20 Conservation kits$1.28 Education and awareness$1.42 Custom rebate$2.02 Retrocommissioning
Gas programsElectric programs
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Plans to phase out lighting
After 202076%
In 202012%
By 20206%
We have already removed lighting products
6%
By when are you planning to phase out lighting from your direct-install and/or kit program?
© E Source© E Source
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Direct-install recommendationsCombine smart thermostat direct-install with enrollment in a demand-response program 1
2
3
4
5
Segment multifamily customers and incorporate learnings into program design
Offer bonus incentives for bigger-ticket items or a more detailed assessment
Offer free multifamily common-area and in-unit options
Add cost-effective, nonlighting measures
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School kit recommendations
Offer subprograms tailored to different grade levels1
2
3
4
5
Account for participants that plan to install measures later
Offer cash rewards to families, students, and teachers for meeting specific installation goals
Allow participants to give unused kit measures to family members or neighbors
Consider making the program opt-in to minimize uninstalled measures
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Next-gen direct-install and kit measuresWeatherizationAerobarrier air sealingStorm windowsLow-e window film
Water-relatedTub spout & thermostatic shut-off showerhead/valve
LED lightingReflectorDecorativeNight lampsDusk-to-dawn outdoor lightingSmart home
Energy monitoringSmart power stripsSmart thermostatsSmart LEDs
HVACAir conditioning/ furnace tune-upAeroseal duct sealing
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 56
Smart LEDs
How Does Tunable Lighting Affect Productivity?
Save Energy and Improve Health with Tunable Lighting
Smart LED Bulbs
What Color Temperatures Are Available for LEDs and Are There Any Related Health Concerns?
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 57
E Source Measure Insights
CompilesTechnical reference manual (TRM) data
into astructured online database
of measure-specific assumptions and inputs to base
DSM program calculations on
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 58
Do you need to know …
… the expected useful life for low-flow showerheads?
… the installation rate of low-cost measures?
… the annual energy savings for LED lamps?
… the annual hours of operation for furnaces?
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 59
Want more info from E Source?
Recent research: Best Practices for Collecting
Baseline Data for Direct-Install LED Programs Utility School-Kit Programs:
Best Practices and Trends Evolve ShowerStart
Programs
Upcoming: New Measures for Direct-
Install Programs New Measures for Kit
Programs Small Business Programs:
Peer Sharing Call E Source Forum
www.esource.com© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 60
Emerging technologies and
trends
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 61
New construction helping to hit targets
Within our high performance new construction program, we are piloting rebates at design stage and offering an online listing of energy ratings.” —Efficiency Nova Scotia
Using a performance-based incentive approach, our new construction program has enabled us to achieve half of our gas savings. —Energy Trust of Oregon
Our Energy Star New Homes Program surpassed our retail lighting savings. A key focus has been creating a competitive environment among home builders. —SRP
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 62
Streamlining processes
We are using a photo documentation process for all building envelope work to reduce program costs. —Platte River Power Authority
We’re doing video inspections using Face Time and Skype. Contractors love it and it cuts down on home visits. —Tacoma Power
Our instant rebates for smart thermostats have been good for program uptake and customers love it. —Puget Sound Energy
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 63
The smart home
Smart Home Pilots and Programs
Voice Control Changes Everything: Why Utilities Should Care About Virtual Assistants
Choosing an HEM Platform: A Comparison of Systems That Provide Residential Energy Information and Automation
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 64
Heat pumpsSome utilities have had success; other have struggled
• Trade Ally Networks Resource Center• Incorporating Emerging Technologies into Your Programs
Cold-climate heat pumps and variable-capacity heat pumps haven’t performed well
• How Do You Coordinate Minisplit Heat Pump and Backup Heat Operation?
Lots of developments in new heat pump technologies
• New developments in gas heat pumps: Gas Technologies and Programs Resource Center• Top 20 Technologies and Trends of 2018• Emerging Technology Resource Center
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 65
Smart line-voltage thermostats 13 to 120 kilowatt-hour savings per
thermostat Top 20 Technologies and Trends of 2017 Are There Any Programmable
Thermostats on the Market That Could Work for Customers Who Use Electric Resistance Heating? E Source DSMdat E Source DSM Evaluation Library
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 66
Conservation voltage reduction
Improving Power Distribution with Voltage Optimization
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 67
Improved org structures
Evolving the DSM Org Structure to Accommodate DERs How DSM
Departments Are Evolving Into Customer Energy Solutions Teams
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 68
Improved processes DSM Department Evolution:
Implications for New Measure Development Why Tech-Transfer Efforts Aren’t
Working, and What to Do About It Utilities in an Age of Disruption Innovative Techniques for Taking
Emerging Technologies from Discovery to Implementation
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 69
How to leverage the E Source Technology Assessment Service to fill your pipeline with next-gen measures
Measure Development Maturity Assessment
Cleantech Roadmap
E Source Roadmap Template
1
2
3
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NEW! Cleantech roadmapping for members of the E Source Technology Assessment Service
Review technologies
Review technologies
Define desired end state
Recommend tactical interventions to achieve outcomes
On-demand support from E Source
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 71
Cleantech roadmap example
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 72
Next steps to evolve your portfolioJoin next-
gen working group
meetings
Attend a next-gen workshop
in 2020
Submit a question to
Ask E Source
Get a demo of a service or database or
attend a training
© 2019 E Source | www.esource.com 73
QuestionsKate MersonDirector, Customer Energy Solutions, E Source303-345-9145 [email protected]
You're free to share this document in its entirety inside your company. If you'd like to quote or use our material outside of your business, please contact us at [email protected] or 1-800-ESOURCE (1-800-376-8723).
Have a question? Ask E Source!Submit an inquiry: www.esource.com/question
Andrea SalazarDirector, Customer Energy Solutions, E Source303-345-9215 [email protected]