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REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17JULY 2016
REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17Page 01
NEW LAUNCHES
INVENTORY SCENARIO
INSIGHTS
CONSUMER CALLING
PRICE TRENDS
POLICY DEVELOPMENTS AND KEY TRANSACTIONS
Structure
Page 02 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Key Insights And Outlook
Page 03 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Key InsightsSales saw a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8 per cent in Q1 FY’17, compared with a q-o-q decline of 3 per cent in Q4 FY’16. In absolute terms, sales across top-9 cities of India increased from 51,500 units in Q4 FY’16 to 55,550 units in Q1 FY’17. The sales volume was primarily driven by Bengaluru, Pune and Mumbai, which together accounted for 61 per cent of total sales across top-9 cities in Q1 FY’17
Mumbai contributed the most to sales, accounting for 23 per cent of total sales during both the current as well as the previous quarter; Bengaluru saw its share dropping from 23 per cent in Q4 FY’16 to 19 per cent in Q1 FY’17
Ahmedabad and Hyderabad in Q1 FY’17 reported their highest quarterly sales in the past 8 quarters. There was also a price increase in these cities – while Hyderabad saw the highest annual price appreciation of 8 per cent, Ahmedabad witnessed 7 per cent price growth
The Northern region made a strong comeback, with Noida in Q1, FY’17 reporting the highest sales in 4 quarters, and Gurgaon the highest in 7 quarters. Whether this trend will continue remains to be watched
The pattern of launches saw a reversal during the quarter. The number of launches across the top-9 cities rose by 14 per cent in Q1 FY’17 to ~ 41,000 units from ~ 36,000 units in Q4 FY’16. This could be attributed to the recent sops offered by the government for development of affordable housing; more than 50 per cent of the total launches were seen in the affordable segment
The pressure of inventory overhang eased during the quarter – from 38 months in Q4 FY’16 to 35 months in Q1 FY’17, with an overall reduction in unsold inventory. The inventory overhang has fallen only twice in a span of 13 quarters; the first such instance was in Q3 FY’16. This could indicate a bottom formation and the likelihood of further improvement in the coming quarters
The overall market is geared towards completion and delivery of projects. Average delivery of projects as a percentage of under-construction stock increased nearly 4 times to 9 per cent in Q1 FY’17. It has been more pronounced in theaffordable segment, which saw a 6-fold increase to 12 per cent in Q1 FY’17
Page 04 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
OutlookThe stable performance of the Indian rupee against major global currencies and a reduced repo rate with controlled inflation are expected to favour the buyers further. These factors will increase affordability and boost purchasing power, which are critical to stimulating housing demand
The Union Government approved the recommendations of the 7th Pay Commission to increase the central government employees’ wages by 23.55 per cent, with effect from January 1, 2016. The move will increase income levels and is expected to give a big boost to the residential demand in Tier-I and -II cities
Britain’s decision to exit from the European Union (EU) has weakened the pound against the rupee. This is likely to impact Non-Resident Indians’ (NRIs’) near-term plans to invest in the Indian luxury residential sector. Also, many top Indian IT firms earn the bulk of their revenues from the EU. Their revenues might be hit if EU slows down following BREXIT. IT-dependent residential cities like Bengaluru, Chennai and Pune could face the turbulence
The subsequent quarters are expected to see better performance on sales, primarily driven by the upcoming festive season, offers, schemes and freebies given by developers to attract new buyers, coupled with home loan schemes by financial institutions
Notes: BSP is represented in Rs./sq.ft. Inventory overhang is represented in months
Residential Landscape: Top-9 cities as of Q1 FY’17
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
Q-o-Q (%)
GURGAON
MUMBAI NOIDA
HYDERABAD
BENGALURU CHENNAI
KOLKATA
PUNE
AHMEDABAD
Prices largely remained flat, barring positive traction seen in Hyderabad and Gurgaon.
Page 05 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
+726%
+61%
3,000 (+1%)
26
-35%
-13%
4,750 (+1%)
30
-10%
+10%
4,950 (+1%)
38
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
+30%
+42%
5,500 (+3%)
52
+5%
+3%
3,900 (+3%)
28
-37%
-3%
3,900 (0%)
36
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
Launches
Sales
BSP
InvetntoryOverhang
+58%
+10%
8,200 (0%)
41
-48%
+20%
4,050 (-1%)
54
+58%
+7%
4,900 (0%)
22
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Key performance indicators have transitioned to positive zonein Q1 FY’17, Outlook largely looks stable
Page 06 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
Q1 FY’16 Q3 FY’16 Q4 FY’16 Q1 FY’17 Q2 FY’16
-31% 15% -14% 14% -27%
-13% 9% -4% 8% -14%
1% 0% 0% 1% 0%
13% -6% 9% -9% 14%
Residential Trends in top-9 cities*
Inventory Overhang
Price Trend
Sales
Launches
Strong/Marginal Decline Stable Strong/Marginal Increase//
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 07 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Launches: Will The Momentum Increase?
Launches went up by 14% during the quarter; have largely remainedrange-bound in the past 4 quarters
Page 08 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
142,627
115,890 116,402
108,226
78,075 75,357 79,343
73,433
50,594
36,774 42,269 36,275 41,313
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Q1 FY'14
Q2 FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
# of units
-18%
-35%
Page 09 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Launches are expected to remain range-bound as developers proactively
align the supply to meet RERA stipulations
Total number of launches in top-9 cities*
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Five of 9 Cities saw decrease in launches Y-o-Y
Page 09 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Noida includes Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway. ** Mumbai includes Navi Mumbai and Thane.^ Gurgaon includes Bhiwadi, Dharuhera and Sohna.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
2,9
37
85
8
3,5
14
4,4
94
7,5
73
16,0
56
1,6
85
6,4
61
3,6
39
2,9
21
1,3
84
1,75
9
6,8
03
12,0
20
15,000
20,000
10,000
5,000
0
Q1 FY'16 Q1 FY'17
# of units
Page 10 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Aroma Realties Kesar City
Phase 2 & Shiv Infraspace
Serenity Space have launched
>400 units
Godrej Eternity has launched
>850 units
Developer Group Westwind Phase - 1 has launched > 550 units
SKA Greenarchhas launched
>900 units
XRBIA Ambihas launched >1,500 units
NK Enterprises Neel Empire Phase – 1 & Kalpataru Immensa
have launched 2,300 & 1,200 units,
respectively
Total unit launches – Q1 FY’16 vs Q1 FY’17
12,6
37
4,3
12
84
0
Ahmedabad Bengaluru Chennai Hyderabad Kolkata Noida* Pune Mumbai** Gurgaon^
2,0
14
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Affordable segment accounted for 53% of total launches; supply looking to tap benefits of recent government schemes
Page 10 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
22% 23% 22% 20% 12%
20% 22% 23% 20% 16% 14% 18% 20%
41% 41% 40% 39% 42%
36% 30%35%
33% 41%32% 27%
33%
15% 15% 16% 19% 20% 19% 23% 16% 25% 21%
17% 24% 21%
7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 10% 8% 8%
8% 10%
12% 11%
8%
15% 13% 15% 15% 18% 15% 17% 18% 14% 12% 25% 20% 18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q1 FY'14
Q2FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
< Rs.25 Lakhs Rs.25 -50 Lakhs Rs.50-75 Lakhs Rs.75 -100 Lakhs > Rs.1 Crore
% of units
• 100% deduction for profits
• Exemption from service tax
• Excise duty exemption onready-mix concrete
* Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
Q-o-Q budget-wise unit launches in top-9* cities
Incentives to developers in the affordable segment -
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 11 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Consumer & Demand : Uptick In Sales Activity
Sales increased by 8%; have been hovering at an average of ~53k per quarter for the past 5 quarters
Page 12 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
Sales trend in top-9 cities*
134,190
117,680 114,302 107,013
92,725
80,366 76,739
65,789
57,245 48,976
53,457 51,550 55,500
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Q1 FY'14
Q2 FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
-38%
-3%
Quarterly sales likely to improve in the subsequent
quarters on account of festive season
# of units
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Interest in new projects relatively low when compared to projects which are seeing on-ground development
Page 13 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
Sales in top-9* cities: New launches vs old projects
70,204
53,311 50,140
47,351
37,413
30,250 28,894 25,832
20,978
14,323 17,655 16,676 17,529
63,922
64,326 64,155 59,662
55,312 50,116
47,845
39,957 36,267 34,653 35,802 34,874
37,971
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Q1 FY'14
Q2 FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
# of units
9% increase compared
to Q4 FY’16
5% increase compared toQ4 FY’16
New Launches (Launch date ≤ 6 months) Old Projects ( Launch date > 6 months)
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Ahmedabad, Gurgaon and Noida have witnessed the highestincrease in sales over the previous quarter
Page 14 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Noida includes Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway.** Mumbai includes Navi Mumbai and Thane.^ Gurgaon includes Bhiwadi, Dharuhera and Sohna.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
Q-o-Q Sales Index (base: Q1 FY’16)
142
101 103
90 89 85
94
71
73
104
92
110
130 135
85
97 90
87 86
84
79 77
67
81
100
89
95 102
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
Ahmedabad Bengaluru Chennai Gurgaon^ Hyderabad Kolkata Mumbai** Noida* Pune
Ind
ex v
alu
e (
Ba
se: Q
1 F
Y’1
6=10
0)
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Bengaluru, Mumbai and Pune contributed nearly 60% to the total absorption in Q1 FY’17
Page 15 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Noida includes Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway.** Mumbai includes Navi Mumbai and Thane.^ Gurgaon includes Bhiwadi, Dharuhera and Sohna.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
City-wise split of total absorption in Q1 FY’17
Inner Circle - Q4 FY’16 Outer Circle – Q1 FY’17
5%
23%
7%
6%
8%
19%
7%
19%
7%
19%
Ahmedabad
Bengaluru
Chennai
Gurgaon
Hyderabad
Kolkata
Mumbai
Noida
Pune
Bengaluru’s share in total absorption saw a
drop of 4% over the previous quarter;
Ahmedabad saw an increase of 2%
9%
23%
22%
5%
6%6%
5%4%
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Affordable segment continued to command a dominant share in total sales
Page 16 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
1: Affordable segment: Units within < Rs.50 lakh budget2: Mid-segment: Units within Rs.50-75 lakh budget3: Luxury segment: Units in > Rs.75 lakh budgetAnalysis includes apartments and villas across the regions
Notes:
Sales in top-9* cities by budget segment
23%
22%
5%
6%6%
5%4%58% 59% 59% 59% 57% 56% 56% 56% 52% 52% 52% 52% 52%
18% 18% 18% 18% 19% 20% 21% 19% 23% 21% 19% 20% 21%
24% 23% 23% 23% 24% 24% 23% 25% 25% 27% 29% 28% 27%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q1 FY'14
Q2 FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
% of sales
Affordable Segment Mid Segment Luxury Segment 321
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Barring in Hyderabad and Gurgaon, around 50% of the demand was for properties in the affordable segment
Page 17 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
* Noida includes Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway.** Mumbai includes Navi Mumbai and Thane.^ Gurgaon includes Bhiwadi, Dharuhera and Sohna.^^ Based on survey of enquiries received by PropTIger.com.
Notes:
Budget-wise real estate end-user demand^^ – Q1 FY’17
22%
6%6%
33%
3% 13%
1% 2% 4% 7% 4% 7%
44%
43%
53%
11%
29%
44% 50%
48% 44%
15%
33%
17%
25%
39%
26% 12%
37% 37%
3%
12% 10%
29%
15% 19%
9%
8% 8% 5%
9% 7%
34%
15% 7%
22%
3% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
> Rs.1 Crore
Rs.75 -100 Lakhs
Rs.50-75 Lakhs
Rs.25 -50 Lakhs
< Rs.25 Lakhs
% of demand
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 18 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Inventory: Reading Between The Lines
Inventory overhang eased due to an uptick in sales and stable supply
Page 19 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Q-o-Q inventory overhang in top-9* cities
22%
6%6%
* Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Notes:
14 16 17
18 20
23 25
29
33
37 35
38
35
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Q1 FY'14
Q2 FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
# of months
40
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Ahmedabad shows promising signs; both inventory overhang and age of unsold inventory are in a healthy zone
Page 20 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Age of unsold inventory vs inventory overhang in top-9* cities (June’16)
22%
6%6%
* Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.Figures have been rounded off to the nearest hundred.
Notes:
Ahmedabad 32,800
Bengaluru 104,100
Chennai48,200
Gurgaon 50,300
Hyderabad 31,500
Kolkata 33,100
Mumbai 173,900
Noida 94,100
Pune 79,400
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60
Age of unsold inventory (months)
Inventory overhang (months)
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Noida has more than 50% of unsold inventory aged over 3 years
Page 21 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Age of unsold inventory in top-9 cities (June’16)
22%
6%6%
* Noida includes Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway.** Mumbai includes Navi Mumbai and Thane.^ Gurgaon includes Bhiwadi, Dharuhera and Sohna.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions
Notes:
38% 30% 26% 22%
33% 26% 27%
10%
33%
20% 26%
21%
16%
16% 30% 21%
18%
29%
18% 23%
18% 31%
17%
20%
18%
21%
21%
24% 21%
35% 31% 34% 24%
34%
51%
17%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Ahmedabad Bengaluru Chennai Gurgaon ̂ Hyderabad Kolkata Mumbai** Noida* Pune
> 3 Yrs
2 to 3 Yrs
1 to 2 Yrs
≤ 1 Yr
% of inventory
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Around 40% of unsold inventory in Mumbai, Hyderabad and Gurgaon continue to be in the luxury segment
Page 22 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Budget breakup of unsold inventory (June’16)
22%
6%6%
* Noida includes Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway.** Mumbai includes Navi Mumbai and Thane.^ Gurgaon includes Bhiwadi, Dharuhera and Sohna.Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions
Notes:
> Rs.1 Crore
Rs.75 -100 Lakhs
Rs.50-75 Lakhs
Rs.25-50 Lakhs
< Rs.25 Lakhs
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Ahmedabad Bengaluru Chennai Gurgaon Hyderabad Kolkata Mumbai** Noida* Pune
% of inventory
19%
14%
29%
32%
6%
14%
10%
22%
43%
11%
30%
9%
14%
28%
19%
24%
15%
23%
33%
5%
8%
7%
17%
45%
23%
32%
9%
12%
25%
22%
8%
8%
20%
54%
10%20%
42%
22%
7%
9%
33%
33%
12%
5%
17%
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
The focus on completion is at the core, delivery increased nearly four times when compared to Q1 FY’14
Page 23 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Completions as % of inventory across segments in top-9 cities
22%
6%6%
1: Affordable segment: Units within < Rs.50 lakh budget2: Mid-segment: Units within Rs.50-75 lakh budget3: Luxury segment: Units in > Rs.75 lakh budget Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions
Notes:
* Inventory includes only under-construction units
2% 3%
3% 4% 4%
5% 5%
6% 7%
9%
10%
12%
3% 3%
3% 3% 4%
4% 5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
11%
12%
3% 3%
5%
6%
7%
8% 9%
2% 2% 3%
3% 3% 3%
4% 4%
5% 6%
7%
8%
9%
1%
3%
5%
7%
9%
11%
13%
Q1 FY'14
Q2 FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
Affordable Segment1 Mid Segment2 Luxury Segment3 Overall
Completions as % of inventory
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 24 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Pricing: Largely Range-bound
Page 25 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Hyderabad continued its price momentum, with 8% annual growth; Ahmedabad followed with 7%
Weighted average^^ BSP (Rs./sq.ft.) of apartment units as at the end of quarter
City Q1 FY’16 Q1 FY’17 Price Change
(Y-o-Y)
Ahmedabad 2,784 2,966 7%
Bengaluru 4,603 4,754 3%
Chennai 4,810 4,954 3%
Gurgaon^ 5,610 5,464 -3%
Hyderabad 3,589 3,890 8%
Kolkata 3,951 3,903 -1%
Mumbai** 8,081 8,230 2%
Noida* 4,171 4,046 -3%
Pune 4,932 4,897 -1%
Notes: ^^ Price weighted on number of units supply in respective projects in a city. * Noida includes Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway. ** Mumbai includes Navi Mumbai and Thane. ^ Gurgaon includes Bhiwadi, Dharuhera and Sohna. Analysis includes apartments across the regions. Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Notes: * Top 9 Cities are Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai & Thane), Pune, Noida (including Greater Noida & Yamuna Expressway), Gurgaon (including Bhiwadi, Dharuhera & Sohna), Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad. Analysis includes apartments and villas across the regions.
Page 26 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Hyderabad and Bengaluru saw their highest price increase since Q1 FY’14; Gurgaon and Noida gave negative returns
100
97 97 97
99
99 100
101 101 102
106 106
102 104
105 105 107
108 110
111 112 113
113 114
103 104 103 103
104
106
99 98 98 98 97 97 98 97
93 95
103 104
107
108 109 109 112
115 118
98 98 101 101
102 102 100
100
104 105 105 105 105
107 107 107
99 98 99 98
97
96 96
102
106 106 106 106
105 105 105
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
Q1 FY'14
Q2 FY'14
Q3 FY'14
Q4 FY'14
Q1 FY'15
Q2 FY'15
Q3 FY'15
Q4 FY'15
Q1 FY'16
Q2 FY'16
Q3 FY'16
Q4 FY'16
Q1 FY'17
Ind
ex
valu
e (B
ase
: Q1
FY
’14
=10
0)
Weighted average price index of residential units in top -9* cities
Ahmedabad Bengaluru Chennai Gurgaon Hyderabad Kolkata Mumbai Noida Pune
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 27 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Prices remained range-bound in the luxury and mid segments, appreciated in the affordable segment
Q-o
-Q P
rice
Ch
an
ge
(%
)
A�ordable Segment1 Mid Segment2 Luxury Segment3
0%
to
1%
1%
to
2%
A
bo
ve 2
%
Mumbai South (1%)
Dwarka Expressway, Gurgaon
Sohna, Gurgaon (4%)
(4%) Hyderabad South (4%)
Mysore Road, Bengaluru (3%)
Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad(2%)
Hyderabad East
Pune East (1%)Dadri Road, Noida (1%) Ahmedabad Central (1%)
Beyond Panvel, Mumbai (1%)(1%)
Nagar Rd., Pune (1%)Golf Course Extn Road, Gurgaon
(1%)
Bengaluru East (1%)OMR, Chennai
(1%)
Hyderabad West (3%)
Notes: 1: Affordable Segment : Units within < 50 Lakhs budget range. 2: Mid Segment : Units within 50-75 Lakhs budget range. 3: Luxury Segment : Units in > 75 Lakhs budget range.
Price trend map for prominent suburbs for Q1 FY’17
Whitefield (1%)Bengaluru North (1%)
ORR West, Hyderabad Bengaluru Central (1%)
Worli-Andheri,Mumbai (1%)
EM Bypass, Kolkata (1%)
(1%)
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 28 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Policy Developments & Key Transactions
Page 29 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Major policy developments during the quarter
National Haryana Karnataka Maharashtra
Seventh Pay Commission to boost the Indian Real Estate Sector • Rs.1.02 Lakh Crore of additional income will come into the hands of
Central Government employees and pensioners. This is likely to encourage investment in residential real estate
RBI cut repo rate by 25 bps • The first repo rate reduction of 2016 took place, bringing the rate to
the level of 6.5%, the lowest in 6 years
SEBI o ered relaxations to its norms for REITs • SPVs no more restricted to invest in holding assets of other SPVs • REITs allowed to have up to five sponsors, against the current norm
of three
Haryana mandated solar power plants to promote green energy • The Haryana Government is promoting rooftop solar power plants by
providing various incentives, including industrial status, exemption from change of land use approval and cess, etc.
Haryana will develop area along Kundli -Manesar -Palwal Expressway • The Haryana Government has decided to develop industrial, commercial
and service sectors on both sides of the recently opened 53 -km stretch of Palwal -Manesar Expressway
Gurgaon circle rates were cut by 15% to boost the sluggish real estate market
Maharashtra Government hiked the Ready Reckoner rates • Rates for stamp duty and project cost have been increased by 7%
for Mumbai, 4% for Navi Mumbai and 6% for Pune
Municipal Corp. of Greater Mumbai revised draft DP to hike FSI • The revised draft development plan recommended a hike in the FSI
to up to 2 from the present 1.33 for residential developments in the island city, and proposed an FSI of 4 for affordable housing
MMRDA agreed to construct apartments on plots reserved for commercial use in BKC
BBMP partially rolled back hike in property tax • BBMP capped the property tax increase at 20% for
residential properties and 25% for non -residential properties in Bengaluru
Government of Karnataka cleared land hurdles to boost infrastructure projects • The Government of Karnataka has decided to
provide the Rehabilitation and Resettlement (R&R) exemption benefits to infrastructure projects in sectors such as road, railways, airport and power etc., that were stuck due to land acquisition issues
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 30 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Major policy developments during the quarter
Tamil Nadu Andhra Pradesh Other States Uttar Pradesh
No approval required for sewage treatment plant in Chennai for small projects • Approval not required for Sewerage Treatment
Plant design for complexes with 50 dwelling units in areas without a sewage network
AP Government approved G+11 buildings in capital zone • The government decided to allow a maximum of
12 floors (G+11) in the residential zone. However, for high-rise buildings, a developer must have a minimum of 2,000 sq.mtr. of land (1 acre) in his possession
FAR along the Metro corridors in Greater Noida increased • The Uttar Pradesh Government approved increase in the FAR by
0.5 within a 1,000-metre radius of the Metro corridors in Greater Noida
Lucknow Development Authority to implement 1% labour cess • The cess is to be levied on developers at the time of map approval
on all projects whose construction cost exceeds Rs.10 Lakh
Uttarakhand: Land rates to be reduced • The Uttarakhand Government has decided to reduce the land circle
rates in urban and semi -urban areas by around 50%
Bhubaneshwar: Nod to electronic park in Bhubaneshwar • The Central Government approved the proposal of setting up an
Electronic Park on the outskirts of the city. It will house over 100 electronic manufacturing units
Jharkhand: To construct 1.7 lakh units under Prime Minister housing scheme • The Jharkhand Government to construct 172,588 dwelling units
under the Prime Minister housing scheme in rural areas in 2016-17
Centre approved the Dasna -Meerut Stretch • The Central Government has given clearance to NHAI for
construction of the Dasna -Meerut six-lane connector under the Delhi-Meerut Expressway
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 31 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Key funding transactions during the quarterPuravankara Projects will invest Rs. 480 Crore to develop a 20-acre residential project in Mundhwa, Pune
Mahaveer Group has raised Rs. 120 Crore from Xander Finance to complete a 122-acre plotted development in Jigani, Bengaluru
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR) will invest Rs. 300 Crore in two residential projects of Puranik Builders in Pune
BCC Infrastructures raised Rs. 250 Crore from ECL Finance to develop its 58-acre township project Bharat City in Ghaziabad
Altico Capital invested Rs. 130 Crore in two residential projects. It invested Rs. 50 Crore in Lotus Greens Group’s resi-dential project in Noida and Rs. 80 Crore in Shree Sai Group’s residential project in DN Nagar, Mumbai
Mantri Developers raised Rs. 145 Crore from KKR for an ongoing luxury residential project in Bengaluru
Piramal Fund Management invested Rs. 110 Crore in 3 residential projects through an SPV in Habitat Ventures
Piramal Fund Management invested Rs. 425 Crore in an ongoing residential project of Lodha Group in Mumbai
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
Page 32 REALTY DECODED Q1 FY’17
Key funding transactions during the quarterASK Property Investment Advisors got an exit of Rs. 270 Crore from ATS Infrastructures Gurgaon project
Godrej Properties, in partnership with AR Landcraft LLP, forayed into Greater Noida to develop a 100-acre residential project
Realty firm M3M India raised Rs. 1,250 Crore from Indiabulls Housing Finance to acquire a land parcel of 185 acres in Gurgaon and also to repay its existing loans
Kanakia Group acquired a land parcel of 2.5 acres worth Rs. 125 Crores from Windsor Realty in Kanjurmarg, Mumbai
PE fund of Goldman Sachs is investing $250 million in Essel Highways, the infrastructure arm of Essel Group
ICICI Prudential Asset Management Co. has invested a sum of Rs. 150 Crore in realty firm Signature Global for the completion of its affordable housing projects
Source: PropTiger DataLabs Jun’16
ANURAG JHANWAR, MRICSHead – Consulting and Data Insights [email protected]+91 - 99678 49666
SUNIL MISHRAChief Business Officer - Primary Business & Developer [email protected]+91 - 90044 40011
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