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Real Gross Domestic Product Quarters from 2008 peak -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 8 12 16 Germany France United Kingdom Spain Italy Netherlands Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted Cooley-Rupert European Economic Snapshot; www.europeansnapshot.com Source: Eurostat

Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

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Page 1: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Gross Domestic Product

Quarters from 2008 peak

−8

−6

−4

−2

02

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 2: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Gross Domestic Product

Quarters from 2008 peak

−8

−6

−4

−2

02

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 3: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Gross Domestic Product

Quarters from 2009 trough

02

46

8

4 8 12

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2009 trough, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 4: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Private Final Consumption Expenditures

Quarters from 2008 peak

−8

−6

−4

−2

02

4

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 5: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Private Final Consumption Expenditures

Quarters from 2008 peak

−8

−6

−4

−2

02

4

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 6: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Gross Capital Formation

Quarters from 2008 peak

−35

−30

−25

−20

−15

−10

−5

0

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 7: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Gross Capital Formation

Quarters from 2008 peak

−35

−30

−25

−20

−15

−10

−5

0

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 8: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Residential Fixed Capital Formation

Quarters from 2008 peak

−40

−30

−20

−10

0

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 9: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Final Consumption Expenditures of Government

Quarters from 2008 peak

−2

02

46

810

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 10: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Final Consumption Expenditures of Government

Quarters from 2008 peak

−2

02

46

810

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 11: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Final Consumption Expenditures of Government (% of GDP)

Quarters from 2008 peak

−1

01

23

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 12: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Final Consumption Expenditures of Government (% of GDP)

Quarters from 2008 peak

−1

01

23

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 13: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Exports

Quarters from 2008 peak

−20

−15

−10

−5

05

10

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 14: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Exports

Quarters from 2008 peak

−20

−15

−10

−5

05

10

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 15: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Imports

Quarters from 2008 peak

−25

−20

−15

−10

−5

05

10

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 16: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Real Imports

Quarters from 2008 peak

−25

−20

−15

−10

−5

05

10

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 17: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Government Consolidated Gross Debt

Quarters from 2008 peak

020

4060

8010

0

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 18: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Total Employment − Labour Force Survey

Quarters from 2008 peak

−15

−10

−5

05

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Resident Population Concept

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 19: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Total Employment − National Accounts

Quarters from 2008 peak

−15

−10

−5

05

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak, Domestic Concept

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 20: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Unemployment Rate

Months from 2008 peak

05

1015

6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage point change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 21: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Unemployment Rate

Months from 2008 peak

05

1015

6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlandsUnited States

Percentage point change from 2008 peak, Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 22: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Unemployment Rate − Level

Year

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

510

1520

25

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Seasonally Adjusted

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 23: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Long−term Unemployment Rate

Quarters from 2008 peak

−2

02

46

8

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage point change from 2008 peak, Unemployed for over 12 months

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 24: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Labor Force Participation Rate (Ages 15−64)

Quarters from 2008 peak

−2

−1

01

2

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage point change from 2008 peak

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 25: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Labor Force Participation Rate (Ages 15−64)

Year

1995 2000 2005 2010

6065

7075

80

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 26: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Female Labor Force Participation Rate (Ages 15−64)

Quarters from 2008 peak

−2

02

46

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage point change from 2008 peak

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 27: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Female Labor Force Participation Rate (Ages 15−64)

Year

1995 2000 2005 2010

4050

6070

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 28: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Employment Population Ratio (Ages 15−64)

Quarters from 2008 peak

−10

−8

−6

−4

−2

02

4

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage point change from 2008 peak, Resident Population Concept

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 29: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Employment Population Ratio (Ages 15−64)

Year

1995 2000 2005 2010

4550

5560

6570

75

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Resident Population Concept

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 30: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

Average Number of Weekly Hours Worked

Quarters from 2008 peak

−3

−2

−1

01

2

4 8 12 16

GermanyFranceUnited KingdomSpainItalyNetherlands

Percentage change from 2008 peak

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

urop

ean

Eco

nom

ic S

naps

hot;

ww

w.e

urop

eans

naps

hot.c

om

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Page 31: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

●●

●●

●●

● ●

● ●

● ●

●●

● ●

U.K. Beveridge Curve

unemployment rate (percent)

vaca

ncy

rate

(pe

rcen

t)

1.6

1.8

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.6

5 6 7 8

●●

●●

●●

● ●

● ●

● ●

●●

● ●

● ●

●●

● ●

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

cono

mic

Sna

psho

t; w

ww

.eur

opea

nsna

psho

t.com

2001 Q2 − 2012 Q1

2008 Q1 − 2012 Q1

Page 32: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

●●

German Beveridge Curve

unemployment rate (percent)

vaca

ncy

rate

(pe

rcen

t)

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.6

2.8

3.0

5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5

●●

●●

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

cono

mic

Sna

psho

t; w

ww

.eur

opea

nsna

psho

t.com

2009 Q4 − 2012 Q1

Page 33: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

●●

● ● ●

●●●

●●●

●●

● ●

● ● ●

Netherlands Beveridge Curve

unemployment rate (percent)

vaca

ncy

rate

(pe

rcen

t)

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5

●●

● ● ●

●●●

●●●

●●

● ●

● ● ●

●●

● ●

● ● ●

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

cono

mic

Sna

psho

t; w

ww

.eur

opea

nsna

psho

t.com

2001 Q1 − 2012 Q1

2008 Q1 − 2012 Q1

Page 34: Real Gross Domestic Product Percentage change from 2008 peak

● ●

● ●

● ●

● ● ● ●

● ●

Spain Beveridge Curve

unemployment rate (percent)

vaca

ncy

rate

(pe

rcen

t)

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

18 20 22 24

● ●

● ●

● ●

● ● ● ●

● ●

● ●

● ●

● ●

● ● ● ●

● ●

Sou

rce:

Eur

osta

t

Coo

ley−

Rup

ert E

cono

mic

Sna

psho

t; w

ww

.eur

opea

nsna

psho

t.com

2009 Q1 − 2012 Q1