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RBC Capital Markets Healthcare Conference New York, NY February 24, 2015 NASDAQ: LGND

RBC Capital Marketscontent.stockpr.com/ligand/db/201/629/presentation/RBC-Capital-Ma… · Phase 2 9% 2017 Enrollment Completion SAGE‐547 (Neurology) Phase 2 Undisclosed 2017 Pivotal

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Page 1: RBC Capital Marketscontent.stockpr.com/ligand/db/201/629/presentation/RBC-Capital-Ma… · Phase 2 9% 2017 Enrollment Completion SAGE‐547 (Neurology) Phase 2 Undisclosed 2017 Pivotal

RBC Capital MarketsHealthcare Conference

New York, NYFebruary 24, 2015

NASDAQ: LGND

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2

The following presentation contains forward‐looking statements regarding Ligand’s prospects, plans and strategies, drug development programs and collaborations.  Forward‐looking statements include financial projections, expectations regarding research and development programs, and other statements including words such as “will,“ “should,” “could,” “plan,” etc. Actual events or results may differ from Ligand’s expectations.  For example, drug development program benefits may not be realized and there can be no assurance that Ligand will achieve its guidance in 2015 or thereafter or that third party research summarized herein is correct or complete. 

The forward‐looking statements made in the presentation are subject to several risk factors, including, statements regarding intent, belief, or current expectations of the Ligand, its internal and partnered programs, including Promacta™, Kyprolis®, and Duavee™, Ligand’s reliance on collaborative partners for milestone and royalty payments, royalty and other revenue projections based on third party research, regulatory hurdles facing Ligand's and partners’ product candidates, uncertainty regarding Ligand's and partners’ product development costs, the possibility that Ligand's and partners’ drug candidates mightnot be proved to be safe and efficacious and commercial performance of Ligand's and/or its partners’ products, risks related to Ligand’s internal controls, its compliance with regulations, accounting principles and public disclosure, and other risks anduncertainties described in its public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, available at www.sec.gov. Additional risks may apply to forward‐looking statements made in this presentation.  Our trademarks, trade names and service marks referenced herein include Ligand and Captisol. Each other trademark, trade name or service mark appearing in this presentation belongs to its owner. The process for reconciliation between non‐GAAP financial numbers presented on slides 8 and 9, and the corresponding GAAP figures is explained in the footnotes on those slides and a full reconciliation can be found in our earnings press release dated, February 9, 2015. 

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward‐looking statements, which reflect our good faith beliefs (or those of the indicated third parties) and speak only as of the date hereof. All forward‐looking statements are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement, and Ligand undertakes no obligation to revise or update this presentation to reflect events or circumstances or update third party research numbers after the date hereof. This caution is made under the safe harbor provisions of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Safe Harbor Statement

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Ligand: 2015 and Beyond 

• Ligand has transformed into a high‐growth company with economic rights to some of the world’s most important medicines

• Largest portfolio ever and projected to continue to drive the business significantly

• Cutting‐edge innovations with Captisol and LTP technology are making major drugs possible 

• Well positioned for strong revenue and profitability growth 

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Ligand Fast Facts 

4

Portfolio Size

Blockbusters

Catalysts

Outlook

Over 100 fully‐funded programs

Currently 2:  Promacta® and Kyprolis® 

6 major programs highlighted

Over 20 revenue‐generating products expected by 2020

Financials Revenue

Profits

Cash Flow

Repurchase 

> 30% annualized growth projected

> 45% annualized growth projected

High due to low costs and low taxes 

1.25 mil shares (6%) during 2H 2014

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Accelerating Projected Revenue Growth

$0

$30

$60

$90

$120

$150

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

• Growth due to:– New products launched 

– Growth in existing brands

– Higher royalties 

5

$ millions

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$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

License and other

Material Sales

Royalties

Projected Revenue

$49.0

$64.5

$81‐$83

$ millions

6

>$146

>$107

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Ligand’s Cash‐Generating Power Becoming Increasingly Clear

$0

$30

$60

$90

$120

$150

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Revenue Cash Expenses

Actual Outlook

• Strong revenue growth 

• Operating expense levels projected to remain similar the  next few years 

• Significant increase in cash‐flow projected 

$ Millions

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Accelerating Projected Non‐GAAP EPS Growth

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

• Growth due to:

– Higher revenues

– High gross margins

– Low and flat expenses

– Lean share count

8Note:  Non‐GAAP EPS excludes changes in contingent liabilities, mark‐to‐market adjustment for amounts owed to licensors, non‐cash SBC expense and non‐cash debt related costs 

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Cash and Profit Margins Expanding 

9

Actual2013

Actual2014

Projected2015

Gross Margin 88% 86% 86%

Adjusted Cash‐Flow Margin*

48% 52% 60%

Adjusted ProfitMargin*

43% 50% 55%

• Gross margin expected to be consistent• Adjusted cash‐flow and profit margins projected to grow

* Adjusted to exclude non‐cash expense items such as SBC, CVRs, debt expense, etc. (profit is non‐GAAP profit)

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0

2

4

6

8

2008 2014

10

Fully‐Fun

ded Programs (“Sho

ts‐on‐Goal”)

Ligand’s Portfolio Continues to Grow

100 +

0

20

40

60

80

100

2008 2014

9

Ligand’s Achievement:Portfolio Expansion 

Partners’ Achievement:Products Generating Revenue for LGND 

Excellent record as drug researcher, innovator and licensor

Our partners are doing their job getting new products to the market 

1

7

Commercial Produ

cts G

enerating Re

venu

e for Ligand

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Technology and Novel R&D Drive Deal Making

Potential Launch

11

Our Platform Technologies Our Novel R&D

LTP Technology™

Glucagon Receptor Antagonist Program for DiabetesPhase 1Positive Phase 1a datashowing robust effectsafter single dose

Phase 1b study expected to complete in Q2

Change in fasting glucose(24 hr post dose)

Placebo2 m

g10 m

g40 m

g120 m

g240 m

g480 m

g

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

MeanSEM

F

asti

ng

Glu

co

se (

mg

/dL

)

Change in fasting glucosediabetic subjects(24 hr post dose)

Placebo

40 mg

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

MeanSEM

F

asti

ng

Glu

co

se (

mg

/dL

)

Solving solubility andstability challenges

Designed to selectively deliver broad range of pharmaceutical agents to the liver

Oral GCSFPreclinicalLeveraging our technology and heritage in small molecule discovery

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20 Products by 2020 Significant Expansion of Revenue Generating Assets Projected 

• Over 20 commercial programs projected to be generating revenue for Ligand by the end of this decade

• Programs expected to come from existing portfolio; no new deals required to drive that expansion 

2008 2014 2020Projected

1

7

> 20

Ligand’s Revenue Generating Assets 

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64 Different Partners

Select Big Pharma

Select Biotech Select Spec Pharma

Select Generic

Diverse Portfolio Among Drug Companies

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• We estimate our partners will spend over $1.1 billion in 2015 on R&D to advance our programs

• More partnered programs and late‐stage trials are pushing spending up over 30% higher than 2014

Fully‐funded Partnerships Driving Growth

14

– 13 Phase 3 trials – 14 preclinical programs– 38 Phase 2 trials – Manufacturing scale‐up – 58 Phase 1 trials – Regulatory filing fees – 2 Phase 4 trials

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Promacta®

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• Oral medicine that boosts platelets. Ligand owed royalties 

• Long patent protection, Orange Book patent expiration in 2027

• Blockbuster commercial potential (>$1 billion) due to growing and large list of potential therapeutic indications

ITP HCV ORTIdiopathic

ThrombocytopeniaThrombocytopenia

Induced byHepatitis C

OncologyRelated

Thrombocytopenia

16

Promacta®: Blockbuster Commercial Potential 

Aplastic Anemia

95 Countries

Recently filed in the EURecent Pediatric ITP filings 

53 Countries

Global filing andlaunch  investment

Major clinicalinvestment ongoing:MDS, AML, CLL, CIT,

others

AACurrently Approved Indications

Ongoing DevelopmentNew Markets

3 Countries

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MyelodysplasticSyndromes(MDS)

Acute MyeloidLeukemia(AML)

Chronic LymphocyticLeukemia(CLL)

Cancers of the Blood

Severe cytopenia, patientsneed frequent transfusions

Fast‐progressing cancerof the blood

Slow‐progressing cancer

Excess bleeding results in major complications or death for nearly 

25% of patients1

Clinically, Promacta shown to increase plateletsand pre‐clinically,

inhibits leukemia growth

Clinical data in CLL indicates 80% response rate

in CLL‐associated ITP,55% overall response rate

Global Phase 3 studiesin progress

Abnormal red blood cells and platelets can quickly crowd out 

normal cells

Focused in white blood cells

~19,000new diagnosesin US each year2

~14,500new diagnosesin US each year2

~16,000new diagnosesin US each year2

1Expert Opinion: Thrombocytopenia & Myelodysplastic Syndrome medscape.org/viewarticle/5650232 National Cancer Institute, SEER Cancer Review, 201217

Promacta®: Oncology‐Related Thrombocytopenia

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$ millions

GSK reported quarterly sales.  Figures converted from GBP to USD1Growth calculations 2014 vs. 2013

18

2011

Promacta®: Regional Quarterly Revenue

$0.0

$20.0

$40.0

$60.0

$80.0

$100.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

ROW

EU

US

2012 2013 2014

ROW 26%

EU 8%

US 39%TOTAL 25%

Expected strong growth ofLGND royalties— New territories being added— New indications being pursued— Higher royalties on higher sales

Strong year‐over‐year growth in all geographies1

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Kyprolis®

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• Leading 3rd‐line treatment for multiple myeloma (MM) in the US— Viewed as best‐in‐class proteosome inhibitor— 25% year‐over‐year growth in 2014

Kyprolis®

• Royalty rates of 1.5% to 3.0%

ASPIRE Phase 3 Data

Dr. Keith StewartThe Mayo Clinic

“We are observing an unprecedented duration of remission, without additional toxicity, in relapsed and heavily pretreated patients.”

• Amgen submitted US and EU applications for relapsed MM, action expected in 2015— ASPIRE Phase 3 trial helped patients live 8.7 

months longer— Recently granted EU Accelerated Assessment

• Major investment by Amgen focused on further expansion of the label — Relapsed MM: Phase 3 (ENDEAVOR)— Front‐Line MM: Phase 3 (CLARION)— Small‐cell Lung Cancer: Phase 2

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$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$3.0

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

21

Kyprolis® Projections: AMGN AnalystsAnnual Revenue Projections

$ Billion

s HighLowAverage

17 AMGN covering analysts reports as of 1/28/15

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• Hormone replacement therapy once a $4 billion category

• Number of women in US with postmenopausal symptoms expected to exceed 50 million by 20201,2

• Significant market expansion potential ‐ 7 of 10 postmenopausal women are untreated, and most (62%) have not had discussion with their provider3

DUAVEE™ Landscape and US Launch

1 The North American Menopause Society. Menopause Guidebook. 2006;6.2 Howden LM. “Age and Sex Composition: 2010.” 2010 Census Briefs. May 2010.3 Endocrine Society 2012 Survey, www.menopause.org, www.hormone.org

Treated

Untreated0

5,000

10,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSept Oct Nov Dec

• Pfizer launched DTC campaign late in 2014 and recently highlighted brand as growth driver for 2015

2014US Prescriptio

ns

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• Certain portfolio assets stand above others, having the potential to add significantly to Ligand’s top and bottom line

• They do so as a result of a mixture of factors, including:

— Market size or therapy area addressed

— Upcoming potential milestone events

— Royalty rate or specifics of deal economics

• Major news catalysts over the next 6 to 24 months

• More potential programs could move into the Big Six

The Big Six:  Major Pipeline Assets

23

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PartnerProgram

(Therapy Area) StageRoyalty Rate

Potential Launch

Potential 2015 Events

CE‐Melphalan(Oncology)

NDA 20% 2015 Approval

Delafloxacin IV(Infection)

Phase 3 Undisclosed 2016 Phase 3 data

MK‐8931(Alzheimer’s Disease)

Phase 3 Undisclosed 2018 Updates

Sparsentan(FSGS ‐ Kidney Disease)

Phase 2 9% 2017 Enrollment Completion

SAGE‐547(Neurology)

Phase 2 Undisclosed 2017 Pivotal Initiation

IRAK‐4(Oncology)

Preclinical 6.0‐9.5% 2019 Clinical Start

24

The Big Six:  Major Pipeline Assets

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Merck:  MK‐8931

• MK‐8931 is an oral beta‐secretase (BACE1) inhibitor, for potential treatment of Alzheimer's disease (AD)

• Two Phase 3 trials currently underway to assess the safety and efficacy of MK‐8931 in patients with mild‐to‐moderate AD

• Merck has the leading position in the BACE‐inhibition field, which includes AstraZeneca/Lilly, Eisai, Boehringer Ingelheim

• Royalty to Ligand on potential future net sales

25

― Targets prevention of β‐amyloid peptides, which then go on to form the hallmark plaques of the disease

― MK‐8931 is the first BACE1 inhibitor demonstrated to lower β‐amyloid in the cerebral spinal fluid of people with AD

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Merck:  MK‐8931• Recent comments by Merck leadership highlight the importance and 

potential medical and economic impact of MK‐8931

26

“… we’re in Phase 3 with our Novel BACE inhibitor MK‐8931 to determine if it can slow or halt the progression of Alzheimer’s disease.  This, of course, is a critical issue for society with cost for Alzheimer’s care expected to exceed $1 trillion in the U.S. by the year 2050.

Our small‐molecule BACE inhibitor works differently from other interventions being studied in Alzheimer’s disease.  MK‐8931 prevents the formation of toxic amyloid‐β peptides, which then go on to form the hallmark plaques of the disease.  Our program passed a pre‐specified interim safety analysis late in 2013, and we are enrolling our broad Phase 3 program in a range of patients with prodromal, mild and moderate disease.

The program is under the close supervision of the Data Safety Monitoring Board and to date, no changes have been recommended to the study.   In fact, some patients have been on the drug for nearly two years.

We believe our BACE inhibitor program will be a definitive test as to whether the amyloid hypothesis holds true and if intervention at various stages of the disease can deliver benefit to patients suffering from or at risk for Alzheimer’s disease.”

Ken Frazier, Chairman & CEO, Merck & Co.33rd Annual JP Morgan Healthcare ConferenceJanuary 12, 2015

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Ligand’s Novel R&D:

Glucagon Receptor Antagonist

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• Novel, highly potent, oral GCGR antagonist for treatment of type 2 diabetes completed Phase 1a trial in mid‐2014, and Phase 1b trial initiated late last year— One of Ligand’s most promising un‐partnered assets

— Potential best‐in‐class properties

• Diabetes market is expected to double to $60 billion by 20201

— Combo therapy highly prevalent and necessary to optimize management of disease

— Creates significant opportunity for novel treatment mechanisms

28

Novel R&D: Glucagon Receptor AntagonistLGD‐6972 for Diabetes

1 Brinson Patrick report 12/3/12;  SunTrust report 6/25/13

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ExistingClass Product Profile GCGR Advantage

DPP‐IV Inhibitors Modest reduction of plasma glucose Higher glucose 

reduction

GLP‐1 Agonists Only available as injectables Oral

SGLT‐2 Inhibitors Contraindicated for renally impaired patients Spares kidney

• Product profile and recent clinical data suggest significant market advantages for a safe, highly potent, oral GCGR antagonist as compared to existing classes of new mechanisms

29

Novel R&D: Glucagon Receptor AntagonistAdvantages of Potent GCGR Antagonist

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Novel R&D: Glucagon Receptor AntagonistPositive Phase 1a Clinical Data for LGD‐6972

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Change in fasting glucose(24 hr post dose)

Placebo2 m

g10 m

g40 m

g120 m

g240 m

g480 m

g

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

MeanSEM

F

asti

ng

Glu

co

se (

mg

/dL

)

Change in fasting glucosediabetic subjects(24 hr post dose)

Placebo

40 mg

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

MeanSEM

F

asti

ng

Glu

co

se (

mg

/dL

)

• Positive clinical data presented in 2014

• Excellent safety profile

• Dose‐dependent decreases in fasting plasma glucose in normals

• Robust decreases in glucose in type 2 diabetics after just a single dose

• Recent scientific ripening of the field, glucagon receptor antagonism widely seen as one of the most promising novel approaches to treatment of diabetes 

• Multi‐dose trial currently in progress, data expected Q2 2015

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Data Approval/LaunchProgression

31

Calendar of Potential EventsPotential Milestones for Ligand and Partners in Coming Quarters

LGD‐6972 Multi‐Dose Phase 1bLigand

IRAK‐4 Inhibitor PreclinicalTG Therapeutics

MM‐111 Gastric CancerPhase 2Merrimack

Promacta Pediatric ITP ActionsGSK

Kyprolis EU ActionAmgen

CE‐Melph NDA ActionSpectrum

Duavee EU LaunchPfizer

Carbella US ActionLundbeck

Delafloxacin IV SubmissionMelinta

SAGE‐547 Phase 3 Trial StartSage Therapeutics

IRAK‐4 Phase 1 Trial StartTG Therapeutics

MM‐121 Breast CancerPivotal TrialMerrimack

IV‐Topi Phase 2 StartCURx Pharmaceuticals

NS‐2 Phase 2 StartAldeyra Therapeutics

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RBC Capital MarketsHealthcare Conference

New York, NYFebruary 24, 2015

NASDAQ: LGND